recovery schedules: practical considerations in their development...

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Presented To: Presented by : Dr. Anamaria Popescu, PE, PSP, PMP March 19, 2015 Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development & Approval AACE International Rocky Mountain Section Denver, CO

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Page 1: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Presented To:

Presented by : Dr. Anamaria Popescu, PE, PSP, PMP

March 19, 2015

Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development & Approval AACE International Rocky Mountain Section Denver, CO

Page 2: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Bio: Anamaria Popescu

Senior Director- FTI Consulting, Construction Solutions 19 Years Experience: Project Management Construction Advisory Services Expert Witness Long Time Member of AACE-Forensic Schedule Analysis (Co-Author of 29R-03) Industries: Oil and Gas Production (On-shore and Off-shore) Pipelines Petrochemical and Process Plants University of Texas at Austin Civil Engineering/CEPM Program PhD in Schedule Analysis PM at Enron Youngest Scheduler- Primavera DOS Avid Sailor and Racer Since Age 10

Page 3: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Definition: Recovery Schedule

“A specialized schedule showing special efforts to recover time lost compared to the master schedule…often a contract requirement when the project finish date is no longer projecting contractual completion” - AACE International RP 10S-90

Page 4: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Schedule Evolution

Baseline Schedule

Schedule Updates

Recovery Schedule

Revised Baseline

Schedule Updates

As-Built Schedule

Page 5: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Actual Dates Actual Logic % Complete

Actual Man-hours Delays/Impacts

Change Logic & Lags Change Duration

Delete/Add Activities Change Resources Change Calendars

“Time Now” (Data Date)

Forms Basis for Recovery Schedule

Development

Revising Statusing

Schedule Updates-Two Elements

Page 6: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Contractor’s Response Options

Options

Ignore

“No”

Submit Full Submit

Partial

Submit + $$$

Page 7: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Recovery Plan Continuum Ac

cele

ratio

n Co

st

The Time vs. Cost Tradeoff

EOT / Acceleration

EOT Only

Acceleration Only

$0

0 Days Time Extension (Days) Max Delay

Max Cost

Page 8: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Development Process: Considerations

Identify critical milestones Cost/Time recovery tradeoffs (Acceleration) Identify owner requirements Be realistic Involve ALL the team (e.g. subs): “BUY-IN” Critical Document Assumptions When Done-Monitor Progress Against Recovery Schedule

Page 9: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Recovery Schedule Development: Strategies

Page 10: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Schedule Update: 8 Weeks Behind

Page 11: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Reduce “G”

Page 12: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Reduce “A”

Page 13: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Reduce “J & K”

Page 14: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Reduce “C, F, M”

Page 15: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Reduce “F, L, M”

Page 16: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

“That’s All Folks…”

Page 17: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

The Price Tag…

Page 18: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Verification Of the Adequacy and Legitimacy

Page 19: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Owner Verification: Considerations

• Correct Schedule Update • Critical and near Critical Paths • Specific Activities identified? • Manpower Allocation • Historical Productivity Rates • Electronic Version (not PDF) • Schedule Diagnostic Report • Schedule changes valid & supportable? • Require a “Recovery Worksheet”

Page 20: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Owner Verification: Next Steps

• Collaborating Meeting • Schedule Review Live • Grouped by Critical Paths • Agree on Activities and $$$ • Monitoring Plan • Output Signed C.O.

Page 21: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Collaborative Review:

Critical Path Verification

Page 22: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Owner Verification:

Recovery Worksheet

Page 23: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Risks in Accepting/Implementing

• Acceleration efforts not always effective: Excusable (and potentially compensable)

delays Responsibility for delays to Recovery

Schedule Cost recovery under directed

acceleration

Page 24: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Conclusions

• Good scheduling: foundational element • Contract provisions • Early identification of impacts • Compliance with notice requirements • Recovery schedule coordination • “Buy In” crucial • Cost/Schedule tradeoffs • Closely monitor progress

Page 25: Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations in Their Development ...aacerms.org/archive/presentations/2015-03_RecoverySchedules.pdf · Recovery Schedules: Practical Considerations

Questions?