record operating performance fourth quarter results 2002 13 february 2003
DESCRIPTION
0 3 Total assetsEUR bn Group capital EUR 30.1 bn Risk-weighted assetsEUR bn BIS tier 1 ratio7.48% BIS total capital ratio11.54% Return on equityEarnings per share Operating result 2002 per SBU ABN AMRO at a glance Net profit Return on equity/earnings per share Long-Term Moody’sAa3 Standard & Poor’sAA- FitchIBCAAA- Solid credit rating Strong balance sheet NB: Balance sheet items as at 31/12/2002TRANSCRIPT
Record Operating PerformanceFourth Quarter Results 2002
13 February 2003
0 2
Table of Content Chairman’s Introduction 3 Operating Performance 4 Asset Quality and Capital 13 Strategic Update 20
Note: Appendices to this document are provided in a separate book
0 3
Total assets EUR 556.0 bnGroup capital EUR 30.1 bnRisk-weighted assets EUR 229.6 bnBIS tier 1 ratio 7.48%BIS total capital ratio 11.54%
Return on equity Earnings per share
Operating result 2002 per SBU
ABN AMRO at a glance
Net profit 1998 - 2002 Return on equity/earnings per share
1.828
2.57
3.097
2.363 2.412
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Long-TermMoody’s Aa3Standard & Poor’s AA-FitchIBCA AA-
Solid credit rating
Strong balance sheet
NB: Balance sheet items as at 31/12/2002
WCS13.7%
PCAM6.0%
AALH4.6%
CC8.4%
C&CC67.3%
0%5%
10%15%20%
25%30%
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
0 4
Record high operating performance in 2002
Revenues slightly down (-2.9%) Strict cost control drove expenses down (-6.9%) Record high operating result (EUR 5.5 bln up 7.8%) Provisioning up in line with the outlook (EUR 1.7 bln) Net profit excl. extraordinary result up (2.1%) Substantial improvement in efficiency ratio (70.1%) Tier 1 at 7.48% exceeding target for the year Dividend unchanged at EUR 0.90
0 5
One of the best performing European Financial stocks
Share price performanceas of 1 January 02
5
8
11
14
17
20
23
Jan-
02
Jan-
02
Mar-
02
Apr-
02
May -
02
Jun-
02
Jul-02 Aug-
02
Sep-
02
Oct-
02
Nov -
02
Dec-
02
Jan-
03
Feb-
03
Mar-
03
Apr-
03
May -
03
ABN AMRO European Financials - MSCI Index AEX Index
12.7
10
15
Note:prices as at market closure 13 May 2003
0 6
What is the ABN AMRO proposition?
High proportion of annuity and flow products in total revenues
Execution risk largely eliminated Prudent risk management and good asset quality Sustainable organic capital generating capabilities Genuinely client-led business model Attractive dividend yield backed by sustainable strong
operating performance
Operating Performance
0 8
Record operating performance in 2002
Revenues FY 2002
Overall revenue lower primarily due to a lower level of commission income
Operating expenses driven largely by a substantial decline in WCS and C&CC
Operating result up reflecting the best operating result in history
Commissions 25.4%
Other 10.6%
Trading10.1%
Interest53.9%
0 9
Efficiency ratio falls for the fifth consecutive quarter
Revenues Q4 2002
Operating result increases substantially
Efficiency ratio has reached a new low
Net profit excluding extraordinary result strongly up
Commissions 24.8%
Other 15.3%
Trading9.5%
Interest50.4%
% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 4,489 4,323 3.8 (2.9)
Expenses 3,093 3,004 3.0 (6.9)
Operating result 1,396 1,319 5.8 7.8
Net profit 685 591 15.9 2.1
Efficiency ratio 68.9% 69.5%
0 10
% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 2,600 2,378 9.3 1.8
Expenses 1,668 1,541 8.2 (4.8)
Operating result 932 837 11.4 16.5
Efficiency ratio 64.2% 64.8%
C&CC posts another quarter of strong performance
Robust organic revenue growth fuelled by continued high mortgage origination, spread and volume gains in the Netherlands and Brazil
Expenses up in line with the high level of mortgage activity
Further improvement of the efficiency ratio
Revenues Q4 2002
Netherlands31.3%
RoW11.8%
Brazil13.3%
US43.5%
0 11
With the restructuring largely behind, BU NL focuses on growth
Revenue growth achieved in the context of pricing pressure
Stable staff costs over the quarter as FTE departures occurred in December
Substantial improvement of the efficiency ratio
Restructuring (FTE reduction and branch closure) almost finalised, client satisfaction up
Revenues Q4 2002
Commissions 19.5%
Trading1.0%
Other 3.2%
Interest76.3%
% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 814 740 10.0 4.0
Expenses 634 627 1.1 (1.6)
Operating result 180 113 59.3 41.0
Efficiency ratio 77.9% 84.7%
0 12
Interest54.6%
Commissions 13.4%
Trading3.4%
Other 28.6%
Mortgages helped BU US to deliver strong revenue growth
Revenues driven by gains on the mortgages business
Expenses up due to year-end advertising costs and one-off items (write-off on existing leasehold improvement)
Efficiency ratio up but remains competitive
Revenues Q4 2002% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 1,132 1,044 8.4 6.3
Expenses 594 517 14.9 (3.0)
Operating result 538 527 2.1 18.0
Efficiency ratio 52.5% 49.5%
0 13
Other and trading
0.9
Interest89
Commissions 10.1
Volatility restrains BU Brazil
Revenues were impacted by the interest rate increases
Expenses stable despite increase in labour costs and branch openings
Efficiency ratio affected by decrease in revenues
Revenues Q4 2002% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 346 386 (10.4) (9.6)
Expenses 257 256 0.4 (7.1)
Operating result 89 130 (31.5) (14.8)
Efficiency ratio 74.3% 66.3%
0 14
PCAM maintains revenue growth despite difficult market conditions
PC revenues are largely stable while expenses are substantially up. Expenses were largely driven by reclassification of direct expenses
AM delivers a substantially better performance driven by revenue growth
Revenues Q4 2002
Other 11.2%
Trading2.9%
Commissions 60.6%
Interest25.3%
% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 348 335 3.9 0.3
Expenses 280 255 9.8 (3.7)
Operating result 68 80 (15.0) 16.3
Efficiency ratio 80.5% 76.1%
0 15
WCS restructuring continues to deliver
Revenues relatively stable despite a sharp fall in RWA
Expenses further down as restructuring is rolled out
Operating result increases for the third consecutive quarter
Revenues Q4 2002
Trading25.5%
Interest34.3%
Commissions 37.7%
Other 2.5%
% change
(EUR mln) Q4 02 Q3 02Q4 02/Q3 02
FY 02/FY 01
Revenues 1,270 1,287 (1.3) (14.5)
Expenses 1,051 1,081 (2.8) (14.2)
Operating result 219 206 6.3 (16.2)
Efficiency ratio 82.8% 84.0%
Asset Quality and Capital
0 17
Annualised provisions / RWA (%)
Provisioning is in line with the outlook
Provisioning slightly up in Q4
Overall quality of the portfolio remains satisfactory
WCS corporate portfolio continues to be investment grade
Quality of the C&CC portfolio is stable
Lower level of annualised provisions/RWA than the peer group average 0.0%
0.4%
0.8%
1.2%
1.6%
Q1 01 Q2 01 Q3 01 Q4 01 Q1 02 Q2 02 Q3 02 Q4 02
C&CC WCS ABN AMRO
0 18
Tier 1 ratio exceeds target
Tier 1 ratio increase led by fall of RWA and by high retained earnings
Tier 1 ratio gains 45 basis points despite pension (EUR 804 mln) and currency related (EUR 2.6 bln) charges in 2002
Simultaneous decline in proportion of hybrid instruments
(EUR bln) 30 09 02 31 12 0131 12 02/ 31 12 01
% change31 12 02/30 09 02
Total assetsShareholders’ equityGroup capitalRisk-weighted assets
Tier 1 ratioTotal capital ratio
604.610.8630.9
252.1
7.00%10.87%
597.411.7934.0
273.4
7.03%10.91%
(6.9)(8.5)
(11.5)(16.0)
(8.0)(0.7)(2.6)(8.9)
31 12 02
556.110.7830.1
229.6
7.48%11.54%
0 19
Pensions are accounted for under US GAAP
Accounting policy migrated to US GAAP on 1 January 2002. US GAAP allows the spreading of potential increases of the annual pension costs
Accrued Benefit Cost is fully accounted for in the liabilities under provisions
Annual pension costs have to increase as and when unrecognised net actuarial gains / (losses) are greater than 10% of the Projected Benefit Obligation
Any such increase would then be spread over the average remaining service term - 11 years at present
Value of Plan Assets should always be equal to or greater than Accumulate Benefit Obligation. Any shortfall in the Value of Plan Assets has to be funded by a Tier 1 haircut after capitalised prior service costs and provisions have been deducted
0 20
Pensions had a negative impact on Tier 1 in 2002
In 2002, pensions had a total negative impact on Tier 1 of EUR 804 mln (net of taxes)
Q1 02 provision (EUR mln) migration to US GAAP
Q4 02 provision (EUR mln) coverage of accumulated benefit obligation
Under US GAAP, value of Plan Assets should be at all time equal to or greater than accumulated benefit obligation.
Treatment of pensions is more conservative under US GAAP. Migration required this one-off provision.
Note:Q402 provision is related to the Netherland Plan Assets only
0 21
Due to sustainability of our income stream and high stock dividend (55 - 60%), retained earnings will continue to accrue rapidly
Coverage ratios improved in the course of 2002
We remain committed to achieving our Tier 1 target of 7.50% by end of 2003
Operating income/Provisioning: 3.2x
Net attrib. Profit/Cash Dividend: 3.8x
PBT / (tax+extra.+cash& pref. dividend+minority) 1.7x
High profit retention reflects strong coverage ratios
Note: Ratios calculated on the basis of a 60% stock dividend
Strategic Update
0 23
Our strategy remains unchanged Focus on Retail and Asset Gathering businesses - to
deliver above average returns through cycles WCS continues to play a supportive role with respect to
the Retail and Asset Gathering focus as a principal provider of product capabilities and intellectual capital
With the cost restructuring plan largely behind us, the focus has shifted to revenue and capital generation
0 24
Focus shifts to revenue growth Increase capital allocation to Retail and Asset Gathering
activities– Increase BU NL penetration of the high-value added client and product
segments
– Increase market share of BU US in the retail mass affluent segment
– Expand BU Brazil client base
– Push product capabilities through distribution networks in Italy
Support new business initiatives in WCS– In particular in Financial Markets and Working Capital
Selective and MFV-based acquisitions to supplement the existing operations
0 25
A re-branding has been initiated to reinforce common identity
Re-branding process has been initiated to ensure the projection of the same corporate values and business principles to our clients and to underline the synergies between the SBU’s
0 26
Re-branding
0 27
No outlook for 2003
Despite the momentum in our businesses, we believe that given the geo-political uncertainties at this point and the potential impact of these uncertainties on the global economy, a net profit outlook based on economic assumptions only is not very realistic. We, therefore, refrain from giving an outlook for the year at this point in time.