reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

55
V Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks Eric J. Ma, Runstadler Lab BATS 2013 1

Upload: eric-ma

Post on 26-Jun-2015

76 views

Category:

Technology


3 download

DESCRIPTION

I describe the use of network modelling to answer questions about the ecology of the influenza virus in wild birds.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

VReconstructing the social network

of viruses in wild ducks

Eric J. Ma, Runstadler Lab BATS 2013

!1

Page 2: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

What’s the deal with influenza viruses in ducks?

How do we reconstruct and learn from a social network of viruses?

What’s up next?

Outline

!2

Page 3: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

PB2 2.4 kb1

PB1 2.4 kb2

PA 2.2 kb3

HA 1.8 kb4

NP 1.6 kb5

NA 1.5 kb6

M1/M2 1.0 kb7

NS1/NS2 0.9 kb8

The flu virus has 8 (-) strand RNA segments in its genome.

!3

Page 4: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Because of its segmented nature, the flu virus is capable of genetic reassortment.

!4

Page 5: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!5

Brooks Range

Alaska Range

Minto FlatsFairbanks

Yukon Delta

Page 6: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!6

Page 7: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Minto Flats, Alaska: Breeding ground for ducks along the Pacific flyways.

!7

Page 8: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!8

DONALD

Page 9: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Duck flow = Virus flow

!9

Page 10: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!10

Page 11: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!11

Minto Flats

Page 12: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!12

Page 13: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

15,083

Numbers

17520

2

ducks sampled

duck species in total

viruses isolated

years of sampling

!13

Page 14: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

But what is the relationship between

these viruses?

!14

Page 15: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

!15

VSign Up!

It’s free and always will be.

Page 16: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

What’s the deal with influenza viruses in ducks?

How do we reconstruct and learn from a social network of viruses?

What’s up next?

Outline

!16

Page 17: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!17

Page 18: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!18

Cluster each segment by genetic similarity (PWI)

Page 19: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!19

Different clustering patterns for each segment

Page 20: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!20

Threshold = minimum in-cluster PWI

Page 21: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!21

Estimate transmission transmissions

segment-by-segment

Page 22: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!22

Segment 1

Page 23: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!23

Segment 2

Page 24: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!24

Segment 3

Page 25: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!25

Segment 4

Page 26: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!26

Segment 5

Page 27: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!27

Segment 6

Page 28: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!28

Segment 7

Page 29: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!29

Segment 8

Page 30: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!30

All hypothesized transmissions

8

6

4

Page 31: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!31

Only full transmissions

8

Page 32: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map= 1 virus= different subtypes

!32

Page 33: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Time

Order the isolates roughly in time.

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!33

Page 34: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Plot out the full transmissions

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!34

Page 35: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

In the Minto flats dataset, 460 out of 520 isolates were involved in 1096 full transmissions.

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!35

Page 36: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Of 1096 transmissions, 974 were estimated as direct transmissions.

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!36

Page 37: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Of 1096 transmissions, 49 were estimated as transmissions due to environmental persistence.

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!37

Page 38: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Of 1096 transmissions, 73 were due to multiple isolations from the same bird.

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!38

Page 39: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Of 1096 transmissions, 73 were due to multiple isolations from the same bird.

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!39

Page 40: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

What if we coloured the nodes by host species?

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!40

Page 41: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

What if we coloured isolates by host species?

Time

= 1 virus= different hosts

!41

Page 42: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

We can estimate inter- and intra-species transmissions

Time

= 1 virus

!42

= different hosts inter intra

Page 43: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Time

= 1 virus

!43

= different hosts

379 inter-species transmissions644 intra-species transmissions

inter intra

Page 44: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!44

Let’s colour isolates by subtype again.

inter intra

Page 45: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

In the Minto flats dataset, we have 92 subnetworks of full transmissions

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!45

inter intra

Page 46: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

Were there any reassortant viruses?

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!46

inter intra reassort

Page 47: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

In Minto Flats, we have putatively identified 52 reassortant viruses.

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!47

inter intra reassort

Page 48: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Numbers520 viruses isolated

1096 full transmissions between 460 viruses

974 direct transmissions

49 environmental persisters

52 putative reassortants

!48

Page 49: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

E.g. 1: Which viruses were really able to cross host species?

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!49

inter intra reassort

Page 50: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

E.g. 2: How many viruses carry over to the next year?

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!50

2009 2010

inter intra reassort

Page 51: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Segment Transmission Map

E.g. 3: What factors allow cross-year viruses to persist?

Time

= 1 virus= different subtypes

!51

2009 2010

inter intra reassort

Page 52: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

What’s the deal with influenza viruses in ducks?

How do we reconstruct and learn from a social network of viruses?

What’s up next?

Outline

!52

Page 53: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Q• How do host species barriers shape viral evolution?

• What is the relationship between Eurasian and N. American lineages of influenza?

• Is there a molecular basis for environmental persistence?

Page 54: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

d3.js-based, web-ready !interactive data explorer

(prototype ready)

because some questions don’t show up until you see the data

Page 55: Reconstructing the social network of viruses in wild ducks

Acknowledgments

!55

Jonathan Runstadler

The Awesome

Nichola Hill Brandt Meixell

who are amazing mentors & collaborators