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Summary and conclusive statements Recent development in Australian near real-time water vapour platform using NPI for weather and climate studies Overview The GNSS signal is refracted and delayed during its propagation in the atmosphere, especially through the troposphere. The delayed signal carries significant information about the state of the troposphere so it can be used to determine precipitable water vapour (PWV) contents in the troposphere. Recently, the advance in GNSS technologies suggests that the footprint of the GNSS signal captured can be very valuable for both climate and weather forecasting, especially nowcasting and severe weather forecasting. This contribution presents recent Australian effort and significant achievements in GNSS atmospheric sounding. The advanced NRT platform developed using the Australian NPI through the NDRG project awarded for both severe weather and climate study is introduced. The major outcomes include Signatures of severe weather has been investigated following our success in operational use of GPS radio occultation in the Australian weather forecasting models (ACCESS model) in 2012 Good results achieved through the advanced RMIT NRT ZTD platform : Operationally, ~150 GPS CORS stations Much better than the initial requirements of the EGVAP definition (0.06 mm, 6.3 mm) The expected IWV accuracy is better than 1 kg/m2 It is concluded that GNSS as a robust environmental sensing technology can provide continuous and accurate measurements of the atmosphere with good spatial and temporal resolutions very important for meteorology Has a good potential for forecasting severe weather events and now-casting Is of great importance to data void regions, particularly many large areas in Australia with less dense meteorological sensors deployed and the Antarctic and large ocean areas, in the middle of “nowhere”. Acknowledgements NDRG funding (entitled with Strengthening Severe Weather Prediction Using the Advanced Victorian Regional Global Navigation Satellite Systems) is gratefully acknowledged. Part of this research has been published in journals including Wang et al (JGR, 2015, 2016), Zhang et al (IEEE/JSTAR, 2015), Yuan et al (JGR, 2014), ) Rohm et al (Atmospheric Research, 2014), Rohm et al (AMT, 2014), Choy et al (ASR, 2013) The Australian Natural Disaster Resilience Grant (NDRG) scheme Results and Assessment K. Zhang 1 , X. Wang 1 , S. Wu 1 , T. Manning 1 , R. Norman 1 , Y Yuan 1 , J. Kaplon 2 , J. Bosy 2 , W. Rohm 2 , J. Le Marshall 3 And A. Kealy 4 1 Satellite Positioning for Atmosphere, Climate and Environment (SPACE) Research Centre, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia 2 Wroclaw University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Institute of Geodesy and Geoinformatics, Grunwaldzka 53, 50-357 Wroclaw, Poland 3 The Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia 5 The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia (http://www.rmit.edu.au/SPACE, email: [email protected], Tel: + 61 3 99253272) RMIT University together with its collaborators is developing an Australia near real- time PWV monitoring platform for a project funded through the Australian Natural Disaster Resilience Grant (NDRG) scheme. The aim of the project is to develop an advanced PWV monitoring platform initially covering the state of Victoria using the Australian Positioning Infrastructure (NPI) networks (see Figure 1) together with space- borne GNSS and meteorological atmospheric observing systems for reducing the risks/impact of natural weather disaster events. The current RMIT near real-time system (NRT) is shown in Fig. 2. Partnership RMIT University, Bureau of Meteorology, Department of Environment and Primary Industries (DEPI), Univ. of Melbourne, CRC-SI, Met Office/UK Figure 1. The Australian Positioning Infrastructure (NPI) networks Perth/WA South Australia Brisbane QLD NSW Victoria Darwin Tasmania 1 IGS stations (~8) ARGN stations (34) GPSnet stations (114) Fig. 2 The RMIT NRT system includes 156 stations with an average distance of around 70 km Fig. 5 Comparison with FINAL IGS ZTD for the period DoY 091168 (2015, ~2.5 months) Data processing for the RMIT NRT system The standard data source for GNSS-derived atmospheric values is the zenith tropospheric delay (ZTD). The following three processing scenarios were proposed and tested for ZTD estimation in near real-time. The first two are double-difference (DD) solutions with fixed/float ambiguity resolutions and the ZTD estimation procedures are shown in the left panel of Fig. 3. The first column includes data preparation and the automated Bernese V5.2 software processing management. Note that the steps in the ambiguity resolution procedure are only for the fixed ambiguity resolution. The last scenario is the precise point positioning (PPP) using the iono-free linear combination from a single station, see Fig. 3 (right panel) for its processing flowchart. Fig. 4 Comparison with CODE Rapid ZTD of 6 stations: (a) ZTD bias and (b) ZTD standard deviation -8.0 -6.0 -4.0 -2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 CEDU HOB2 MOBS PARK STR2 TID1 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 CEDU HOB2 MOBS PARK STR2 TID1 DD DD STACKED PPP ZTD (mm) (a) (b) CEDU HOB2 MOBS PARK STR1 STR2 TID1 MEAN bias FLOAT STACKED -0.79 -0.99 -0.18 -1.56 0.82 -0.09 2.15 -0.09 bias FLOAT SINGLE -0.99 -1.20 -0.55 -1.62 0.47 -0.18 1.77 -0.33 bias FIXED STACKED -0.60 -0.94 0.01 -1.15 0.93 -0.18 2.38 0.06 bias FIXED SINGLE -0.90 -1.29 -0.41 -1.88 0.55 -0.25 1.92 -0.32 std. dev. FLOAT STACKED 5.21 6.20 5.53 7.35 5.83 7.74 6.56 6.35 std. dev. FLOAT SINGLE 4.91 6.25 5.94 6.62 5.57 7.56 6.18 6.15 std. dev. FIXED STACKED 5.02 6.06 5.52 8.07 5.77 7.54 6.65 6.37 std. dev. FIXED SINGLE 5.06 6.32 6.16 7.06 5.63 7.30 6.38 6.27 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 ZTD (mm) Fig. 6 Validation using radiosonde at the MOBS station as the reference of ZTD Objectives (1) to develop a smart GPS-based PWV estimation system from GPS-derived tropospheric delay estimates (2) to assimilate the above results to the Australian Community Climate and Earth- System Simulator (ACCESS) model. Complementary to the EU COST Action project This study is complementary to the current EU COST Action Program - Advanced GNSS tropospheric products for monitoring severe weather events and climate (GNSS4SWEC) that SPACE/RMIT is involved in leading the Australian efforts. BNCSKLCR (preparing SKL files for the BNC software) BNC v2.11 (RTCM3 to RINEX 2.11)+ FTP support DATAFEED (ORB/ERP/ION/DCB file management and setting the BERNESE user varibles) RUNNET.pl (running the BERNESE 5.2 DD processing scenario) CLOCK SYNCHRONIZATION AND DATA CLEANING (SPP, triple differences and L3 residuals) PRELIMINARY L3 FLOAT SOLUTION of coordinates and troposphere AMBIGUITY RESOLUTION (L5/L3, QIF, L1L2) FINAL 1 WINDOW ZTD ESTIMATION (L3) REFERENCE FRAME CHECK (Helmert 3-parameter transformation) RE-ESTIMATION (if reference frame changed) STACK OF THE LAST 7 SOLUTIONS (windows) (relative constraining applied for ZTDs and gradients) OUTPUT (TRP, TRO SINEX) BERNESE GNSS SOFTWARE v. 5.2 BNCSKLCR (import the newest station log files and preparing SKL files for the BNC software) BNC v2.11 (RTCM3 to RINEX 2.11) + FTP support DATAFEED (ORB/ERP/ION/DCB file management and setting the BERNESE user variables) CLOCK SYNCHRONIZATION AND DATA CLEANING (SPP, Zero-difference and L3 residuals) PPP L3 FLOAT SOLUTION of coordinates and tropospheric parameters STACK OF THE LAST 7 SOLUTIONS (relative constraining for ZTDs and gradients) OUTPUT (TRP, TRO SINEX) BERNESE v. 5.2 Fig. 3 Data processing flowcharts for the DD (left) and PPP (right) solutions NPI for weather and climate study Fig. 7 ZTDs derived from three CORS stations over the storm occurred at 4 am (UTC, 2 pm local time) on March 6, 2010 in Melbourne for storm passage detection (Zhang et al, 2015) The passage is well detected and ~8hrs between the passage of the cold front and dissipation is observed. BALL BACC MOBS 06/March 05/March Fig. 8 Correlation between PWV and rainfall (Choy et al, ASR)

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Page 1: Recent development in Australian near real-time water ... - PS0301 - Zhang.pdfRecent development in Australian near real-time water vapour platform using NPI for weather and climate

Summary and conclusive statements

Recent development in Australian near real-time water vapour platform using NPI for weather and

climate studies

Overview

The GNSS signal is refracted and delayed during its propagation in the atmosphere,

especially through the troposphere. The delayed signal carries significant information

about the state of the troposphere so it can be used to determine precipitable water

vapour (PWV) contents in the troposphere. Recently, the advance in GNSS technologies

suggests that the footprint of the GNSS signal captured can be very valuable for both

climate and weather forecasting, especially nowcasting and severe weather forecasting.

This contribution presents recent Australian effort and significant achievements in GNSS

atmospheric sounding. The advanced NRT platform developed using the Australian NPI

through the NDRG project awarded for both severe weather and climate study is

introduced. The major outcomes include

• Signatures of severe weather has been investigated following our success in operational use of GPS radio

occultation in the Australian weather forecasting models (ACCESS model) in 2012

• Good results achieved through the advanced RMIT NRT ZTD platform :

− Operationally, ~150 GPS CORS stations

− Much better than the initial requirements of the EGVAP definition (0.06 mm, 6.3 mm)

− The expected IWV accuracy is better than 1 kg/m2

• It is concluded that GNSS as a robust environmental sensing technology

− can provide continuous and accurate measurements of the atmosphere with good spatial and temporal

resolutions – very important for meteorology

− Has a good potential for forecasting severe weather events and now-casting

− Is of great importance to data void regions, particularly many large areas in Australia with less dense

meteorological sensors deployed and the Antarctic and large ocean areas, in the middle of “nowhere”.

Acknowledgements

• NDRG funding (entitled with Strengthening Severe Weather Prediction Using the Advanced Victorian

Regional Global Navigation Satellite Systems) is gratefully acknowledged.

• Part of this research has been published in journals including Wang et al (JGR, 2015, 2016), Zhang et al

(IEEE/JSTAR, 2015), Yuan et al (JGR, 2014), ) Rohm et al (Atmospheric Research, 2014), Rohm et al

(AMT, 2014), Choy et al (ASR, 2013)

The Australian Natural Disaster Resilience Grant (NDRG) scheme

Results and Assessment

K. Zhang1, X. Wang1, S. Wu1, T. Manning1, R. Norman1, Y Yuan1, J. Kaplon 2, J. Bosy 2, W. Rohm 2, J. Le Marshall 3 And A. Kealy 4 1Satellite Positioning for Atmosphere, Climate and Environment (SPACE) Research Centre, RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia

2 Wroclaw University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Institute of Geodesy and Geoinformatics, Grunwaldzka 53, 50-357 Wroclaw, Poland 3The Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia

5The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia

(http://www.rmit.edu.au/SPACE, email: [email protected], Tel: + 61 3 99253272)

RMIT University together with its collaborators is developing an Australia near real-

time PWV monitoring platform for a project funded through the Australian Natural

Disaster Resilience Grant (NDRG) scheme. The aim of the project is to develop an

advanced PWV monitoring platform initially covering the state of Victoria using the

Australian Positioning Infrastructure (NPI) networks (see Figure 1) together with space-

borne GNSS and meteorological atmospheric observing systems for reducing the

risks/impact of natural weather disaster events. The current RMIT near real-time system

(NRT) is shown in Fig. 2.

• Partnership

RMIT University, Bureau of Meteorology, Department of Environment and Primary Industries (DEPI),

Univ. of Melbourne, CRC-SI, Met Office/UK

Figure 1. The Australian Positioning

Infrastructure (NPI) networks

Perth/WA

South

Australia

Brisbane

QLD

NSW

Victoria

Darwin

Tasmania 1

IGS stations (~8)

ARGN stations (34)

GPSnet stations (114)

Fig. 2 The RMIT NRT system includes 156 stations with an average distance of around 70 km

Fig. 5 Comparison with FINAL IGS ZTD for the

period DoY 091–168 (2015, ~2.5 months)

Data processing for the RMIT NRT system

The standard data source for GNSS-derived atmospheric values is the zenith tropospheric

delay (ZTD). The following three processing scenarios were proposed and tested for ZTD

estimation in near real-time.

The first two are double-difference (DD) solutions with fixed/float ambiguity resolutions

and the ZTD estimation procedures are shown in the left panel of Fig. 3. The first column

includes data preparation and the automated Bernese V5.2 software processing

management. Note that the steps in the ambiguity resolution procedure are only for the

fixed ambiguity resolution.

The last scenario is the precise point positioning (PPP) using the iono-free linear

combination from a single station, see Fig. 3 (right panel) for its processing flowchart.

Fig. 4 Comparison with CODE Rapid ZTD of 6 stations: (a) ZTD bias and (b) ZTD standard deviation

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

CEDU HOB2 MOBS PARK STR2 TID10.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

CEDU HOB2 MOBS PARK STR2 TID1

DD

DD STACKED

PPPZ

TD

(m

m)

(a) (b)

CEDU HOB2 MOBS PARK STR1 STR2 TID1 MEAN

bias FLOAT STACKED -0.79 -0.99 -0.18 -1.56 0.82 -0.09 2.15 -0.09

bias FLOAT SINGLE -0.99 -1.20 -0.55 -1.62 0.47 -0.18 1.77 -0.33

bias FIXED STACKED -0.60 -0.94 0.01 -1.15 0.93 -0.18 2.38 0.06

bias FIXED SINGLE -0.90 -1.29 -0.41 -1.88 0.55 -0.25 1.92 -0.32

std. dev. FLOAT STACKED 5.21 6.20 5.53 7.35 5.83 7.74 6.56 6.35

std. dev. FLOAT SINGLE 4.91 6.25 5.94 6.62 5.57 7.56 6.18 6.15

std. dev. FIXED STACKED 5.02 6.06 5.52 8.07 5.77 7.54 6.65 6.37

std. dev. FIXED SINGLE 5.06 6.32 6.16 7.06 5.63 7.30 6.38 6.27

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

Z

TD

(m

m)

Fig. 6 Validation using radiosonde at the MOBS

station as the reference of ZTD

• Objectives

(1) to develop a smart GPS-based PWV

estimation system from GPS-derived

tropospheric delay estimates

(2) to assimilate the above results to the

Australian Community Climate and Earth-

System Simulator (ACCESS) model.

• Complementary to the EU COST

Action project

This study is complementary to the current EU

COST Action Program - Advanced GNSS

tropospheric products for monitoring severe

weather events and climate (GNSS4SWEC) that

SPACE/RMIT is involved in leading the

Australian efforts.

BNCSKLCR

(preparing SKL files for the BNC software)

BNC v2.11

(RTCM3 to RINEX 2.11)+ FTP support

DATAFEED

(ORB/ERP/ION/DCB file management and setting

the BERNESE user varibles)

RUNNET.pl

(running the BERNESE 5.2 DD processing scenario)

CLOCK SYNCHRONIZATION AND DATA CLEANING (SPP,

triple differences and L3 residuals)

PRELIMINARY L3 FLOAT SOLUTION

of coordinates and troposphere

AMBIGUITY RESOLUTION

(L5/L3, QIF, L1L2)

FINAL 1 WINDOW ZTD ESTIMATION

(L3)

REFERENCE FRAME CHECK

(Helmert 3-parameter transformation)

RE-ESTIMATION

(if reference frame changed)

STACK OF THE LAST 7 SOLUTIONS (windows)

(relative constraining applied for ZTDs and

gradients)

OUTPUT

(TRP, TRO SINEX)

BE

RN

ES

E G

NS

S S

OF

TW

AR

E v

. 5.2

BNCSKLCR

(import the newest station log files and

preparing SKL files for the BNC software)

BNC v2.11

(RTCM3 to RINEX 2.11)

+ FTP support

DATAFEED

(ORB/ERP/ION/DCB file management and setting

the BERNESE user variables)

CLOCK SYNCHRONIZATION AND

DATA CLEANING (SPP, Zero-difference and L3

residuals)

PPP L3 FLOAT SOLUTION

of coordinates and tropospheric parameters

STACK OF THE LAST 7 SOLUTIONS

(relative constraining for ZTDs and gradients)

OUTPUT

(TRP, TRO SINEX)

BE

RN

ES

E v

. 5.2

Fig. 3 Data processing flowcharts for the DD (left) and PPP (right) solutions

NPI for weather and climate study

Fig. 7 ZTDs derived from three CORS

stations over the storm occurred at 4 am

(UTC, 2 pm local time) on March 6,

2010 in Melbourne for storm passage

detection (Zhang et al, 2015)

The passage is well detected and

~8hrs between the passage of the

cold front and dissipation is

observed.

BALL

BACC

MOBS

06/March 05/March

Fig. 8 Correlation between PWV and rainfall (Choy et al, ASR)