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Rare and Minor Metals Company Review Exploration, Development & Production December Quarter 2010

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Rare and Minor Metals Company ReviewExploration, Development & ProductionDecember Quarter 2010

Resource Capital Research

Resource Capital Research

Suite 1306 183 Kent Street Sydney, NSW 2000

Tel: +612 9252 9405 Fax: +612 9251 2859 Email: [email protected]: www.rcresearch.com.au

Resource Capital Research ACN 111 622 489

Rare and Minor Metals Company ReviewDecember Quarter 2010

Resource Analyst (Rare and Minor Metals): Dr Trent Allen

Resource Analyst: Dr Tony Parry

Resource Analyst: John Wilson

This report is subject to copyright and may not be redistributed without written permission from RCR. The information contained in this report is for use by US, Canadian and Australian residents only. Copies are available for purchase from RCR.

17 November 2010

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 2

Contents Contents .............................................................................................................................. 2 Overview and Investment Comment ........................................................................................ 3 RCR December Quarter 2010 Featured Company Summary ........................................................ 4 [Explorers‟ Development Cycle Chart, December Q 2010 ............................................................. ] [Comparative Charts ............................................................................................................... ] Financial Data ....................................................................................................................... 5 Company Statistics ................................................................................................................ 5 Reserves, Resources and Historic Mineralisation ........................................................................ 6 Valuation and Performance Data ............................................................................................. 6

Exploration, Development and Production Companies

[Alkane Exploration Limited ........................................................................................... ] Arafura Resources Limited ............................................................................................ 7 Avalon Rare Metals Inc ................................................................................................. 9 Crossland Uranium Mines Limited ................................................................................ 11 Globe Metals & Mining Limited .................................................................................... 13 Greenland Minerals & Energy Limited ........................................................................... 15 [Gippsland Limited ........................................................................................................ ] Gunson Resources Limited .......................................................................................... 17 Galaxy Resources Limited ........................................................................................... 19 [Icon Resources Limited ................................................................................................ ] [King Island Scheelite Limited ........................................................................................ ] [Rodinia Lithium Inc ...................................................................................................... ] [TNR Gold Corp ............................................................................................................ ]

Market Update: Lithium ........................................................................................................ 20 Market Update: Niobium ...................................................................................................... 23 Market Update: Tantalum ..................................................................................................... 25 Market Update: Tungsten ..................................................................................................... 27 Market update: Rare Earth Elements ...................................................................................... 29 Market Update: Zirconium and Zircon .................................................................................... 31

[Selected rare and minor metal price data and production statistics .............................................. ] [Exchange rates of some rare and minor metals producers and consumers. ................................... ] [Rare and minor metal mompany share performance tables ......................................................... ]

Report Contributors ............................................................................................................. 33 Disclosure and Disclaimer ..................................................................................................... 34

[This is the Abridged Report version of the December Quarter RCR Rare and Minor Metals Company Review. The

purchase price of RCR‟s December quarter Subscriber Reports (including uranium, gold, rare and minor metals,

and iron ore) is A$110. The annual rate for RCR reports – commodities covered may vary from quarter to

quarter – is A$440. Purchase details and research services for institutional investors can be found at

www.rcresearch.com.au]

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 3

Overview and Investment Comment

The outlook for rare and minor metals

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

The past three months have seen considerable share price gains for some

rare and minor metals (RMM) equities, as investors become aware of the

potential for future supply shortages and consequent high metal prices.

Speculation has cooled in the past month, but companies that have quality

projects should retain some of their recent gains while prices remain above

their pre-2H10 levels.

The main market driver is China, which is reforming its RMM sectors, by

raising tariffs, reducing export quotas, and encouraging consolidation and

vertical integration of production. China‟s stated aims are to increase

domestic value-adding and use of the RMM, conserve resources, and

improve industry monitoring and efficiency. China‟s actions could boost

global RMM production.

Some examples of commodities with a stable to strong outlook for the next

several years:

Lithium: Increasing intensity of use is expected to require additional

supply beyond 2014.

Niobium: Industry forecasts are for FeNb consumption growth of ~15%

per annum to 2014.

Rare earth elements (REE): Forecasts are for 20-30% CAGR in prices

to 2015. Export prices (China) up 510% year-on-year.

Tantalum: A supply shortfall is expected to hand a competitive

advantage to companies that provide a long-term supply of ethically

produced tantalum.

Tungsten: Supply shortages are indicated from 2013.

Zircon/zirconium: A lack of greenfields projects could create supply

shortages and boost prices in the near to medium term (1-3 yrs).

RMM deposits can take 5+ years to develop as mines, sometimes due to

their geochemical complexity, and the challenge of financing projects that

are considered to be outside the resources mainstream.

This provides an opportunity for companies with projects that are advanced

or can be fast-tracked, e.g. due to location, favourable chemistry, size

and/or high grades).

Equity performances

Globally, RMM stocks have outperformed most exchange-based indices in

the past 12 months. Share price performances have been studied, for 336

exchange-listed companies with one or more RMM projects (in six

commodity groups: lithium, REE, tungsten, zirconium, niobium, tantalum).

The unweighted average performance over 1 month (to November 17) was

+11%, compared to 1% for Australia‟s ASX S&P300 Metals and Mining

Index, and 0.1% for the ASX All Ords. Twelve-month performance was

+56% (S&P300 MM, 12%). The average RMM company share price is 33%

below its 12-month high and 155% above a 12-month low.

RMM stocks have

climbed this quarter,

in line with expected

metal shortages and

price rises.

The current market

driver is China‟s

policy of squeezing

exports.

Strong medium to

long term market

and price growth is

likely for many RMMs

Companies with

strong projects

should continue to

benefit from the

buoyant RMM

markets.

Share prices of rare

and minor metal

companies have

outperformed the

ASX over the past

year, with +56% annual growth.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 4

RCR December Quarter 2010 Featured Company Summary AUSTRALIA

Company Code Commodities Comment

Alkane Exploration Limited ALK Definitive Feasibility Study

ALK shares have gained 45% in three months, driven by the REE market. The world class Dubbo

Zirconia Project (DZP) could be producing Zr, Nb and REE (up to 6.5ktpa) by 4Q12. A Definitive

Feasibility Study of 840koz Au Tomingley is expected 4Q10.

Arafura Resources Limited ARU Bankable Feasibility Study

ARU has raised A$90m at A$1.20/share to fund advanced development of the Nolans Rare Earths

Phosphate Project (NT) and an REE processing plant at Whyalla (SA). Recent share price trend

(+44% in 3 months) could continue: mid-term target is +A$3.00/share.

Crossland Uranium Mines Limited CUX Mid Exploration

CUX is exploring for large scale, low opex unconformity (Chilling) and "Rossing Style" (Charley Ck)

uranium targets located in the NT. Initial drill program at Charley Ck (results awaited) - potential for

significant discovery. Extensive alluvial REE confirmed (Nov '10).

Galaxy Resources Limited GXY Production

Mt Cattlin began Li concentrate production in Oct '10, with full output expected to be ~8.2ktpa Li2O.

GXY has strenghtened its ties to China, via an A$91m share and bond issue, and listing in Hong

Kong, ahead of building the Jiangsu Lithium Carbonate Plant.

Gippsland Limited GIP Bankable Feasibilty Study

Placing A$3.2m shares in Oct '10 means working capital for the Abu Dabbab (Egypt) tantulum-tin

project, where a 10-year offtake agreement is being re-negotiated (possible production 2013). An

ASX spin-off could unlock value in Tasmania and Eritrea.

Globe Metals & Mining Limited GBE Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS)

GBE's share price has jumped 88% in 3 months due to the strong rare metals market - REE

exploration results expected Oct '10. An A$41m deal could see China's ECE gain 51% of GBE, with

an eye to the 60Mt Kanyika Niobium Project (Malawi, BFS expected 2011).

Greenland Minerals & Energy Limited GGG Pre-Feasibility Study

A 33% one-month gain for GGG is due to a buoyant REE market, and Greenland allowing uranium

to be included in economic assessment of the Kvanefjeld Project (forecast REE 43.7kt/yr, U3O8

3.9kt/yr). Share price target A$1.46 with considerable upside.

Gunson Resources Limited GUN DFS, Advanced Exploration

GUN could soon announce a development partner for its ~A$170m Coburn Zircon Project in WA,

which could provide a 'fast track ' to production, as a projected global zircon supply deficit starts to

bite. This step should highlight a still undervalued share price.

Icon Resources Limited III Scoping Study

An expanded tungsten resource at Mt Carbine (QLD) includes a high-grade component of 57.5kt

WO3 @ 0.14% and is a 40% increase on the previous model. Treatment of historic tailings could

start 1Q11 and be followed by hard rock mining in 2013.

King Island Scheelite Limited KIS Feasibility

KIS should soon be debt-free and hold 100% of its King Island tungsten project, after the termination

of a joint venture. The project could produce 3.3kt/yr WO3 from a reserve grading 1.3% WO3, within

three years of funding.

CANADA

Avalon Rare Metals Inc AVL Bankable Feasibility Study (PFS)

The Nechalcho REE Project (Canada) has the second largest REE and third largest Nb resources in

the world. A Bankable Feasibility Study is expected in 2Q12 and the project could be producing

10ktpa total REO in 2015, along with Nb, Ta and Zr. Share price +38% over six months.

Rodinia Lithium Inc RM Early to Mid Exploration

Rodinia is anticipating initial resource statements in 4Q10-1Q11 at two lithium brine projects in the

US and Argentina. The strategy is to explore salars near high grade Li and pre-existing

infrastructure. Strong exploration results have led to share price +63% in 3 months.

TNR Gold Corp TNR Early to Advanced Exploration

TNR is exploring for gold, copper, lithium and rare earth elements (REE) in both North and South

America. A TSX spin-out of International Lithium Corp (ILC) should add value to its Li and REE

assets, and leave TNR with highly prospective Au-(Cu) targets.

Lithium, Tantalum,

Manganese, Iron

Tungsten, Gold,

Base Metals, PGE

Uranium, Gold,

REE, Base Metals,

Diamonds

Tungsten, Copper,

Gold

Rare Earths,

Niobium, Tantalum,

Zirconium

Lithium

Gold, Copper,

Lithium, Rare

Earths

Gold, Rare Earths,

Zirconium, Base

Metals

Rare Earths,

Phosphorus,

Uranium, Gold

Niobium, Tantalum,

Rare Earths,

Uranium, Fluorine

Rare Earths,

Uranium, Zinc,

Sodium Fluoride

Tantalum, Tin, Gold

Zircon, Titanium,

Copper, Gold,

Nickel

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 5

Financial Data

C OM P A N Y Aust Canada USA Europe other

Listed

opt ions Share Price (LC$/share)3

2 Fully

Diluted

M arket

Cap Book

Enterprise

Value

Code Status1

Yr End 52 week Current Shares Opt+W2

C. Notes2

Shares (undiluted) Cash Debt Value (Undiluted)

17 N o vember 2010 Hi Low (m) (m) (m) (m) (LC$m)3

(LC$m)3

(LC$m)3

(LC$m)3

(LC$m)3

AUSTRALIA (A$)

Alkane Explorat ion Limited Equinox M inAZXls LimitedALK E Dec ASX ARUO 1.19 0.23 0.68 249 0 0 249 168 3.6 0.0 46 168

Arafura Resources Limited ARU E June ASX 1.79 0.38 1.07 335 17 0 352 358 90.7 0.0 140 358

Crossland Uranium M ines Limited CUX E June ASX 0.31 0.08 0.21 115 9 0 124 24 5.7 0.0 12 24

Galaxy Resources Limited GXY P June ASX GXYO 1.66 0.91 1.45 191 24 0 215 277 104.8 146.3 107 423

Gippsland Limited GIP E June ASX GIX 0.09 0.03 0.05 624 56 0 680 29 2.6 0.0 7 29

Globe M etals & M ining Limited GBE E June ASX 0.51 0.12 0.32 94 3 0 97 30 3.9 0.0 19 30

Greenland M inerals & Energy Limited GGG E Dec ASX GGGO 1.10 0.31 0.82 270 154 0 424 220 10.5 0.0 59 220

Gunson Resources Limited Uranex NLGUN E June ASX 0.20 0.06 0.17 178 4 0 182 29 0.2 0.0 25 29

Icon Resources Limited III I June ASX 0.23 0.06 0.13 119 23 0 142 15 1.3 0.0 7 15

King Island Scheelite Limited KIS I June ASX 0.28 0.14 0.15 62 5 0 67 9 2.0 0.0 31 9

Total : (A$) 225.3 146.3 452.8 1306

CANADA (C$)

Avalon Rare M etals Inc AVL E Aug TSX OTCQX 5.00 1.89 3.14 92 11 0 103 290 38.8 0.0 77 290

Rodinia Lithium Inc RM E Dec TSX.V OTCQX 0.68 0.25 0.48 65 29 0 94 31 4.3 0.0 15 31

TNR Gold Corp TNR E Dec TSX.V 0.38 0.15 0.18 131 21 0 152 24 3.5 0.0 20 24

Total : (C$) 46.6 0.0 112.1 345

(1) P: Producer; E: Explorer; I: Imminent - includes companies with bankable feasibility studies and likely to be in production within 3 years (2) Fully Diluted (shares, opt ions + warrants (opt. + w), convert ible notes (Conv. N), other obligat ions)

(3) L.C. - Local Currency unit ; Nov '10F (4) AUD/USD:1.01; CAN/USD: 0.99 Colour code: Actuals in black, forecasts in blue. Numbers for FY2010 can be either, depending on when the FY ends and companies' report ing schedules.

Exchanges

Company Statistics

C OM P A N Y

Code Land (A)/(A+B) %

17 N o vember 2010 ('000 ha) Sep-10 Dec-10 2010 2011 Sep-10 Dec-10 2010 2011 Sep-10 Dec-10 2010 2011 Dec-10 2010 2011

AUSTRALIA (A$)

Alkane Explorat ion Limited ALK 181 3.8 3.8 21.2 15.0 1.9 2.0 7.7 6.0 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.0 89 86 86

Arafura Resources Limited ARU 500 6.3 6.3 15.0 25.0 3.0 5.3 13.2 14.3 1.3 2.3 6.0 7.1 70 69 67

Crossland Uranium M ines Limited CUX 964 0.7 2.0 0.0 18.7 1.9 0.4 1.6 3.5 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 61 71 77

Galaxy Resources Limited GXY 145 5.0 5.0 21.8 20.0 1.2 0.5 7.1 3.7 3.2 2.0 8.9 9.2 20 44 29

Gippsland Limited GIP 1,330 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.5 0.6 2.4 2.2 46 10 40

Globe M etals & M ining Limited GBE 279 1.7 3.0 20.0 14.7 0.8 0.3 5.4 2.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.3 46 84 61

Greenland M inerals & Energy Limited GGG 211 1.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 2.6 0.7 6.6 6.0 1.7 1.1 5.3 5.4 39 56 53

Gunson Resources Limited GUN 273 0.5 0.5 4.9 2.0 0.4 0.4 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 70 79 73

Icon Resources Limited III 441 1.0 1.0 8.0 4.0 0.6 0.2 2.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 67 88 77

King Island Scheelite Limited KIS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.8 45 38 49

4323 19.9 22.5 100.8 105.4 12.5 10.4 46.9 40.6 8.0 7.3 27.4 29.0 55 63 61

CANADA (C$)

Avalon Rare M etals Inc AVL 4 8.8 5.0 22.2 23.8 3.0 3.0 19.2 12.0 0.5 0.5 2.1 2.0 86 90 86

Rodinia Lithium Inc RM 31 0.6 0.6 2.3 2.4 0.8 0.8 3.0 3.2 0.4 0.4 1.6 1.6 67 65 67

TNR Gold Corp TNR 34 1.0 0.5 2.3 3.5 0.7 0.7 2.2 2.7 0.3 0.3 2.6 1.3 73 46 68

Total or Average: 69 10 6 26.8 29.7 4 4 24.4 17.9 1 1.2 6.3 4.9 75 67 74

(A) Explorat ion (L.C.$m) (B) Corporate (L.C.$m)Drilling ('000 m)

Prepared by Dr Trent Allen

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 6

Reserves, Resources and Historic Mineralisation

C OM P A N Y

Code Status1

Contained Other Contained Other Contained Other

17 N o vember 2010 Element M t oxide% kt oxide Element M t oxide% kt oxide Element M t oxide% kt oxide

AUSTRALIA

Alkane Explorat ion Limited ALK E REE 0.0 REE 73 0.75 549.0 2.8moz Au 0.0

Arafura Resources Limited ARU E REE 0.0 REE 30 2.80 848.0 3.9mt P2O5 0.0

Crossland Uranium M ines Limited CUX E U,Au,REE U,Au,REE 0.0

Galaxy Resources Limited GXY P Li 11 1.05 119.4 1.7kt Ta2O5 Li 16 1.08 171.5 2.5kt Ta2O5 0.0

Gippsland Limited GIP E Ta 15 0.026 3.9 16.5kt Sn Ta 72 0.018 12.5 20.4kt Sn 0.0 20.2kt Sn

Globe M etals & M ining Limited GBE E Nb 0.0 Nb 60 0.29 174.0 8.4kt Ta2O5 0.0

Greenland M inerals & Energy Limited GGG E REE 0.0 REE 279 1.07 2982.8 177mlb U3O8 0.0

Gunson Resources Limited GUN E Heavy mins 308 1.20 3700 [see note 3] Heavy M ins 979 1.26 12300 366kt Cu 0.0

Icon Resources Limited III I W 0.0 W 115 0.06 70.6 29.8kt Cu 0.0

King Island Scheelite Limited KIS E W 2.2 1.17 25.8 W 11 0.89 101.3 0.0

CANADA (C$)

Avalon Rare M etals Inc AVL E REO 12 1.7 204.2 REE 176 1.43 1958.0 0.0

Rodinia Lithium Inc RM E 0.0 Li 0.0 0.0

TNR Gold Corp TNR E 0.0 Li 0.0 0.0 490koz Au

(1) P: Producer; E: Explorer; I: Imminent - includes companies with bankable feasibility studies and likely to be in production within 3 years; IHC: Investment Holding Company

(2) Reserves, resources and mineralised material published by the relevant company.

The applicable mineral resource codes are by country: Australian: JORC, Canadian: NI 43-101.

(3) The Coburn Zircon Project reserve, contained heavy mineral tonnage, includes 23% zircon and 48% ilmenite

Focus commodity Focus commodity Focus commodity

Reserves (Equity)2

Resources (Equity)2

Historical/M ineralised M aterial (Equity)2

Valuation and Performance Data

C OM P A N Y EV-Cash EV-Cash Production

Code P/Book P/Net Cash /Reserves /Res'v+resources Commencement

17 N o vember 2010 (x) (x) US$/kt1

US$/kt Year 1 month 3 month 6 month 12 month Hi Lo

AUSTRALIA

Alkane Explorat ion Limited ALK 3.7 46.1 na 0.30 na -36 45 125 59 43 193

Arafura Resources Limited ARU 2.6 4.0 na 0.32 na -36 44 133 34 40 182

Crossland Uranium M ines Limited CUX 2.0 4.1 na na na 71 46 95 -5 33 163

Galaxy Resources Limited GXY 2.6 -6.7 2.69 1.88 2010 4 33 32 -6 13 60

Gippsland Limited GIP 4.1 11.0 6.84 2.10 na -10 24 53 -29 49 70

Globe M etals & M ining Limited GBE 1.6 7.8 na 0.15 na -26 88 88 33 37 178

Greenland M inerals & Energy Limited GGG 3.7 20.9 na 0.07 na 33 na 85 92 26 163

Gunson Resources Limited GUN 1.2 158.1 0.01 0.00 na 65 154 117 43 18 195

Icon Resources Limited III 2.1 11.9 na 0.20 4Q10 -4 57 71 18 42 110

King Island Scheelite Limited KIS 0.3 4.6 0.29 0.07 na -9 7 -32 na 46 7

Total/Total Average 5 55 77 27 35 132

CANADA

Avalon Rare M etals Inc AVL 3.8 7.5 1.23 0.13 na -15 18 38 18 37 66

Rodinia Lithium Inc RM 2.1 7.3 na na na 4 63 28 14 29 92

TNR Gold Corp TNR 1.2 6.7 na na na -8 -28 -20 -38 53 20

Total/Total Average -5 13 12 -1 30 45

(1) EV-Cash / Reserves or / Resources applies to kt of focus commodity

(%)

Share Price Performance Current Share Price

% off 12 month

Prepared by Dr Trent Allen

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 7

Arafura Resources Limited

1.79

Debt (A$m) - Dec 10F

Enterprise value (A$m)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (A$m) - Dec 10F

Price/Cash (x) Cash (A$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed company options: Net asset backing (Ac/share)

*Quarters refer to calendar year. ^Raising capex A$950m in 4Q11, assumed 50/50 equity/debt.

Resources

Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC)

Contacts Directors

Dr Steve Ward

Managing Director, CEO

Tel: +61 (0) 8 6210 7666

Perth, WA, Australia

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

Capital raisings (A$m)^

Equity %

-

165.7

124.5

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m) 15,0006,250

291.3

Drilling - RAB (m) 0

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares)

na

Arafura Resources Limited

40.34.0

0 0

A$ 1.07

Production and Financial Forecasts

2012F

486.4

0

Company Comment

0.0

163

Classification Project c/off

(JORC)

Ore

30.3

0.355

U

Mt

P2O5

2.60

2.80

12.3

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised MaterialCode for reporting mineral resources - Australian:

REO

1.0

Measured

Indicated 1.0

Location

REE %

1.0

0.00 0.0

1.7 g/t Au

2.98

Sep-10a

6,250

13.255.30

366.3

Partner Type

100% (Au)

-

0.0

23.518.4

0.0

Key Projects

500

0.0

0.00

na

Tenement costs ($k per year) -

[email protected]

Vein

na

na

M Muir (Non Exec)

(Non Exec)

www.arafuraresources.com.au

East China Min Expl & Devel Bureau (ECE, 22.2%)

I Laurance (Chairman)

Investment Points

Land holding ('000 ha)

Funding from JV partners (A$m)

No

90.7

"

Nolans Total

Mt Porter

ARU.AU

358.4

to

0.0

334.9Number of shares (m)

17.1Options and warrants (m)

Capital Profile

17 November 2010

30

Fully diluted (m)

358.4

World-class rare earth element (REE) deposit at Nolans

Project, with total resources of 30.3mt and production

expected in 2013.

Nolans Project valuation of A$1,967m and NAV

A$3.16/share (10% nom, exchange 0.8, post dilution) at

REO blend value US$30/kg, current is +US$50/kg.

Good infrastructure at NT mine site (railway, gas,

highway). Downstream chemical plant site will be at

Whyalla port in SA: given Major Project status by State.

Mine life +20 years with production of 20ktpa rare earth

oxides (REO), plus phosphoric acid, uranium, gypsum.

REO blend has high proportions of desirable "magnet

feed" REE: Nd, Pr and Dy. Value was US$51/kg in mid

October 2010, up 319% since Dec '09 in strong market.

Project risk should further decrease through 2011 with

final technology demonstration, mine and chemical plant

EIS/approvals, BFS and project finance (both 4Q11).

A$90m placement at A$1.20/share to fund BFS,

resource drilling. Shareholding of ECE will be diluted.

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (A$m)

Major shareholders: JP Morgan Nominees (29.5%)

0.0

Australia

Bankable Feasibility Study

Exchanges: ASX:ARU

Share price (A$) 1.07

S Ward (MD, CEO)

4.0

52 week range (A$/share)

Convertible notes (m)

0.38

352.0

2.6

Aust (NT)

Ni,Cu

Au

100% Au

A Losada-Calderon 100%

100%Kurinelli

Rare Earth Elements, Phosphorus, Uranium, Gold

Corporate (A$m)

5.6333

5.3

Funding duration at current burn (years)

1.32

ARU has raised A$90m at A$1.20/share to fund advanced development

of the Nolans Rare Earths Phosphate Project (NT) and an REE

processing plant at Whyalla (SA). Recent share price trend (+44% in 3

months) could continue: mid-term target is +A$3.00/share.

1.2

12.00

YEAR END: June*

8.007.07

Exploration and evaluation (A$m)

Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%) 69 6970 60

Dec-10F

25,000

0

500

290.6

2010a 2011F

14.28

347.9

500 500

33.92

2.25

67

5.99

90.00

- -

25,000

500

806.0

21.4 40.438.2

90.7

24.6

20.8

8.1

475

0.0 0.0

Cash backing (Ac/share) 6.3

I Kowalick (Non Exec)

none

Aileron / Reynolds 100%/(40%)

Indicated, inferred

L Shasha (Exec)

T Jackson (Non Exec)

Nolans

Hammer Hill

Mt Porter / Frances Ck

REE, P, Fe

100% REE, P, U

REO

1.7

Aust (NT)Mid Expl.

Early Expl.

na

Leach

none

none

none

Sulphide

Reef

Aust (NT)

M'morphic

Various

Aust (NT)

(Ngalia)

Aust (NT)

na

Early Expl.

Adv Expl.

na

Feasibility

Aust (NT)

1.6

kt mlb

848 3.9

2.9 0.7

Option Metal

91.96

ProjectJV

85.7

24.8

Rare Earth Elements

Reserves

2.80

ProcessOwnership/ Target

"

3 g/t Au

Project StatusRoute

344

A free, in-depth report about Arafura Resources Ltd, dated 18 December 2009, is available from w w w .rcresearch.com.au, as are recent quarterly updates

100% Fe, V M'morphicnone Mid. Expl.Jervois

Inferred

Nolans Project 100% 1.05.1 3.20

12.8

34.2koz Au

0.0 0.0 0.0

13.3

mt

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

Nov-

09

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Jul-10

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Oct-10

Sh

are

Pri

ce

($/S

hare

)

ARU - Arafura Resources Limited

Source: Bloomberg

Introduction: Arafura‟s flagship is the Nolans Rare Earths-Phosphate-Uranium Project (NT), 135km NNW of Alice Springs. The deposit has a JORC resource of 30.3mt containing 848kt of rare earth oxides (REO), 3.9mt of phosphate (P2O5), and 13.3mlbs of uranium (U3O8), with potential to expand. A Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) is expected in 4Q11. Mining is planned for 2013, when the Nolans Project could supply ~10% of the global rare earths market. ARU holds +5,000km

2 of grassroots to advanced exploration +projects (REE, Au, Fe, Ni) in the NT.

Nolans Project: Planned annual production from Nolans is 20kt REO, 80kt P2O5 (as phosphoric acid), 0.5mt CaSO4 (gypsum) and 0.33mlbs (150t) U3O8, with 400kt CaCl2 as residue that could be recycled into the chemical process. Mining rate, by open cut, will be 1mtpa with mine life +20 years. Processing will be in three broad stages: concentration; acid leaching into RE/uranium and phosphate streams; and production of final commodities such as REOs. Key inputs are chloralkali and sulphuric acid. The waste material would include Th, which is slightly radioactive (alpha) and must be stored appropriately. Forecast capital costs are A$950m (@ A/US 0.95) with 20% contingency, including A$690m for the chemical plant. Opex could be A$376mpa (chem. plant A$291mpa), i.e. US$376/t ore at 1mtpa. Infrastructure, includes a railway and gas pipeline. Road distance to the Darwin-Adelaide rail line is 65km. On-site concentrate production would precede rail transport to a chemical plant. Whyalla Rare Earths Complex (SA): The major industrial port of Whyalla (1400km rail from Nolans) was chosen in Sep „10 as location for the chemical plant. ARU has signed an Exclusivity Deed for 800ha land with OneSteel (ASX:OST), which controls the port. The purchase is expected to be finalised in 4Q10. The Complex will include facilities for producing feed chemicals and final products. The SA Gov‟t has granted Major Project status, providing certainty for work programs. A final decision to build should follow the BFS and project finance. Development schedule: The Nolans Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) is now expected in 4Q11 after the scope was broadened due to improving credit markets. Announcements in 4Q10 should include a Mine Optimisation Study with mining reserves. Groundwater studies began 2Q10 ahead of an EIS for the mine site in 2Q11. Process de-risking via pilot and demonstration plant testing is under way, focused on beneficiation, the RE/REO stream, and acid recycling. Subject to finance in 4Q11, construction could begin in 2012 and production in 2013. Valuation: NAV is highly sensitive to REO prices. At a long term US$30/kg for the Nolans REO blend (current +US$50/kg), with U3O8 at US$50/lb, phosphate US$750/t and gypsum US$25/t, revenue would be US$689m/yr. Using opex/capex from the Oct ‟10 economic update and a 30% pre-BFS discount, Nolans after-tax NPV is A$1,967m (10% DR, AU/US 0.8). NAV could be A$3.31/share (fully diluted, with cash and exploration assets), assuming dilution from raising 50% of A$950m at a nominal A$2.00/share. Risks to the valuation (both upside and downside) include exchange rates and the China-controlled REO market, especially elevated LREE prices. There is upside risk from an increase in the Nolans resource, and downside in delays (process, permits, finance). Investment Comment: ARU‟s share price has increased 44% in the past three months due to high REE prices and well-received news about the Whyalla chemical complex, although it has backed off the Oct ‟10 high of A$1.79/share due to profit taking and stabilisation of an overheated REE equity market. If ARU keeps meeting its development milestones, a price of +A$3.00/share could be reached after project finance is established (expected 4Q11). The force driving Nolans to production will continue to be increasing REE demand (7%-9%pa) over the next 5 years, against a background of supply constraint and export quotas in China.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 8

Nolans Project economics are sensitive to the REO price, with US$30/kg shown in blue.

The NAV at this value is A$5.14/share, or ~A$3.31/share with dilution in 4Q11 or 1H12 to

raise 50% of capex (A$950m) at A$2/share. Current REO blend value is +US$50/kg.

ARAFURA RESOURCES VALUATION

Target

Price (Low) (High)

Equity REO Valuation A$m A$m A$m

Projects (kt) US$/kg

+ Nolans Resource 100% 848 1.86 1,967 75 5,548

+ Regional Exploration 100% 20 30 150

Sub Total 1,987 105 5,698

+ Cash 90.7 90.7 90.7

+ Tax Losses 0.0 0.0 0.0

- Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0

- Corporate 45.7 45.7 45.7

Sub Total 45.0 45.0 45.0

ARU NET ASSET VALUE 2032 150 5743

Capital Structure

Shares (assumes successful placement of A$90m at A$1.20/share in 4Q10). 366.3 366.3 366.3

Fully Diluted Shares 382.6 382.6 382.6

ARU NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE :A$/share 5.55 0.41 15.68

ARU NET ASSET VALUE DILUTED :A$/share fully diluted 5.36 0.44 15.06

NOLANS PROJECT (NPV based on current resource, October 2007 PFS, August 2009 BFS uppdate, October 2010 project update)

Equity

LONG TERM PRICE FOR NOLANS' REO BLEND :US$/kg 20 30 40 50 60

EXCHANGE RATE :AUUS 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80

NOLANS NPV @ 10% NOMINAL* :A$m 100% -872 1,967 3,186 4,372 5,548

NOLANS NPV @ 10% NOMINAL* :US$m 100% -698 1,574 2,549 3,498 4,439

NPV/SHARE (fully diluted) :A$/share na 5.14 8.33 11.43 14.50

* Includes a pre-BFS project discount of 30% of the project valuation: 30%

*Assumes constant long term prices for phosphoric acid, of US$750/t; and uranium, of US$50/lb

NOLANS RARE EARTHS-PHOSPHATE-URANIUM PROJECT, KEY ASSUMPTIONS*

RESOURCE ESTIMATES

Current JORC Measured, Indicated and Inferred resource (1% REE cut-off) Ore REO P2O5 U3O8

Mt % % lb/t

30.3 2.80 12.900 0.44

Contained metal, kt 848 3900 5.9 (=13.3mlbs U3O8)

MINING METHOD Open Pit

PROCESS METHOD On site: heavy media separation and flotation (beneficiation)

At chemical complex: hydrochloric acid leach removing phosphate as liquid

From liquid, phosphoric acid, gypsum (via CaCl2); from solid, production of REE, uranium

Year 1 Year 20

PRODUCTION RATE :mtpa 0.5 1.0 Production ramp up: 25-75% yr1, 75% yr 2; 100% yr3

:ktpa REO 10 20 Head grade and blend are same as resource grade

:tpa P2O5 40 80

:mlbspa U308 0.17 0.33 ie 150ktpa at full production

:ktpa CaSO4 250 500 ie Gypsum

:strip ratio 1.0 1.0

CAPITAL COSTS :A$m At AU/US 0.95. Sustaining capex 4%pa

RECOVERIES TO CONCENTRATE :% Heavy media recovers 90% of apatite and REE minerals

DOWNSTREAM RECOVERY :% For REO; 85% phosphoric acid; 80% U3O8

OPERATING COSTS :$Am/yr At AU/US 0.95

TAX :%

ROYALTY :%

MINE LIFE :Years

COMMISSION DATE :

950

90

86

* These figures are preliminary in nature and are intended to provide only a general indication of project potential scale and economic robustness.

Considerable refinement may result from Bankable Feasibility study, expected in 4Q11.

Valuation Sensitivity

Sensitivity

376

30

3

20+

2013

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 9

Avalon Rare Metals Inc

4.99

Debt (C$m) - Aug 10F

Enterprise value (C$m)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (C$m) -Aug 10F

Price/Cash (x) Cash (C$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed company warrants: Net asset backing (Cc/share)

Quarters refer to calendar year.

Contacts Directors

Mr Donald Bubar

President, Director, CEO

Tel: +1 (416) 364 4938

Toronto, ON, Canada

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

Capital raisings (C$m)

-

35.5

0.0 0.0

* Cut offs defined on basis of Net Metal Return (NMR) in PFS financial modelling. ^ Inferred total has 0.21% HREO, 2.7% ZrO2, 300ppm Ga2O5.

to

D Bubar (Pres, CEO)

D Connelly

7.6

3.25

1.89

A Ferry (Non Exec Chair)

LocationType

Investment Points

Land holding ('000 ha)*

Funding from JV partners (C$m)

AVL.WT

c/off

feldspar

-

0.0

MFC Global Investment Management US, LLC (15.6%)

[email protected]

Igneous

Partner

2.30.3

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m) 10,2725,000

92.3

0

23,757

79.1

Drilling - RAB (m)

C$ 3.25

Production and Financial Forecasts

2011F2009a 2010F

Avalon Rare Metals Inc

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares) 79.0 79.1 70.8

0 00

10.39 3.00

Corporate (C$m)

May-10a Aug-10F

95

Exploration and evaluation (C$m)

Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%)

AVL.CN

300.0

0.0

92.3Number of shares (m)

10.7Options and warrants (m)

Capital Profile

52 week range (C$/share)

Exchanges: TSX:AVL, OTCQX:AVARF

25

Fully diluted (m)

300.0

Nechalcho Project: world's second largest REE

resource (Canada, NWT), includes ~2.5mt of Total REE

Oxides (TREO) grading 1.4%.

Rare earths in Basal Zone of the deposit are 23% heavy

rare earths, implying a high value ore. Recent 40%

upgrade in Inferred resource (Sep '10).

Thor Lake Pre-Feasibility Study (June 2010): capex

C$900m, opex C$267/t (mined) for 10ktpa TREO, LOM

18yrs, pre-tax NPV (10%) of C$246m (C$2.78/share).

A viable metallurgical process has been defined for

REE, with valuable by-products (zirconium, niobium,

gallium). Low thorium, no significant contaminants.

Well-funded to finish BFS in 1H12, with Oct '10 cash

C$42m (and no debt) after C$30m share placement and

C$9.6m exercise of warrants.

Three-month share price +18% in tight REE market, with

industry-wide speculation followed by pullback.

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (C$m)

Major shareholders:

0.0

Canada

Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS)

Share price (C$)

6.81

The Nechalcho REE Project (Canada) has the second largest REE and third

largest Nb resources in the world. A Bankable Feasibility Study is expected

in 2Q12 and the project could be producing 10ktpa total REO in 2015, along

with Nb, Ta and Zr. Share price +38% over six months.

0.4

12.0019.24

YEAR END: August

17 November 2010

Funding duration at current burn (years)

0.56

Convertible notes (m)

103.0

Rare Metals

2.002.120.50

90

3.22

6886 86

0

4

5,000

4

3.9416.11 0.00

44

Tenement costs ($k per year)

5.8

32.8

9.2

4

22,217

- - -

39.62

41.2

Cash backing (Cc/share) 13.3

10.5

0.0

7.3

0.07.3

50.4

Company Comment

49.949.9 35.4 83.3

Ta

Separation Rapids Igneous

Process

P Fontaine

H Panday Canada (ON)Exploration

Permitting

na

na

none

P McCarter

BD MacEachenwww.avalonraremetals.com

100%

100%

100%

none

none

REE,Nb,Ta100%

100%

Sn,In,Ga

Li

none

none

Option Metal

48.89

Project

7.3

9.2

4.1

JV

Lilypad Lakes Igneous

IgneousWarren Township

Ownership/ Target

Project

East Kemptville

Nechalacho

Canada (ON)

na

Route

Financing

Scoping

na

PFS Canada (NWT)Float, hydromet

Status

Canada (ON)

Canada (NS)

Key Projects

Igneous

TREO

Equity Mt %

Reserves - Nechalacho

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised MaterialCode for reporting mineral resources - Canadian: NI 43-101

Rare Metals Classification Project Ore Nb2O5 Ta2O5TREO

kt

260 204.2

% ppmC$/t NMR*

20.5 1.75 260

0.41 410100% 12.0 1.70

Resources - Nechalacho

358 0.42 139Basal Zone Indicated 100%

Upper Zone Indicated 100% 10.0 1.43 260 143 0.28 169

Basal Zone Inferred 100% 84.2 1.53 260 1,288 0.43 131

Upper Zone Inferred 100% 98.4 1.29 260 1,269 0.36 171

2,556 0.39Total as Inferred^ 182.6 1531.40

Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC) 0.0 0.0 0.0

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Feb

-10

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Oct-10

Share

Price (

$/S

hare

)

AVL - Avalon Rare Metals Inc

Source: Bloomberg

Introduction: AVL owns five rare metals and minerals projects in Canada, of which four are at advanced stages of development. Its main asset is the 100% owned Nechalacho Rare Earth Element Deposit. Nechalacho (REE, Nb, Ta, Zr): The project is at Thor Lake, 100km SE of Yellowknife. The deposit, an igneous intrusion, is enriched in valuable HREE (heavy rare earth elements). Since 2005, Avalon has spent C$25m on exploration and development. It is focusing on high-grade, HREE-rich resources in the large Basal Zone, which (as of September 2010) contains Indicated Resources of 20.45mt @ 1.75% TREO (total rare earth oxides) with 23% HREO/TREO. Total Inferred Resources are 182.6mt @ 1.4% TREO. The deposit also contains Ta, Nb, Zr, Hf and Ga. Less than 10% of the property has been drilled. Recent discoveries include a near-surface zone (North Tardiff) with 11m @ 10.78% TREO. Assays from summer drilling are pending. The main deposit is open in three directions. Pre-Feasibility Study: This June 2010 study was of an 18-year mine life, operating underground (~200m depth) on a 12mt reserve in the deposit‟s Basal Zone, ramping from 5ktpa up to 10ktpa TREO (total rare earth oxides), 18ktpa ZrO2, 1.7ktpa Nb2O5 and 100t Ta2O5. Opex is expected to be C$267/t. Capex is C$899.7m with 22% contingency, including C$589.3m for an underground mine, onsite mill (crush, flotation; 8.4MW by diesel at 2,000tpd) and offsite hydrometallurgical separation plant. The PFS contemplates a plant in the tailings area of an historic mine (Pine Point), to reduce environmental impacts and allow hydroelectric power during summer (7.3MW). In this scenario, concentrate will be barged in summer from Thor Lake via Great Slave Lake to the plant. Combined recoveries are 84.6% for flotation, 90% for the hydro plant. A more recent Scoping Study of plant costs (Oct ‟10) estimates capex at C$346m. The PFS estimates pre-tax net cash flow of C$2.1bn ($1.5bn post tax), with IRR 14%, and pre-tax NPV @ 10% of C$246m (C$/US$ 0.9) and NPV @ 5% of C$826m. REEs contribute ~56% of revenue at US$21.94/kg TREO. Development: Possible start date for full capacity production is 2015, with 24-30 months construction from 2013 upon receipt of land and water permits and financing. A flotation pilot plant could be constructed from September 2010 and a Bankable Feasibility Study is expected in 1H12, ahead of project financing. Permitting: Avalon commenced application for Type A Land Use Permit and Water Licence, in 2Q10 – an Environmental Assessment can take ~1.5-2.5 years to complete, prior to official review and approval. Other Projects: There are three other advanced projects in Canada, i.e. Separation Rapids (lithium, Ontario), Warren Township (calcium feldspar; Ontario; currently inactive pending resolution of permitting issue) and East Kemptville (tin-indium-gallium-germanium; Nova Scotia). A fifth project, Lilypad Lakes (tantalum; Ontario) is early stage. These projects could move forward under Joint Venture or be monetised while AVL develops Nechalacho. Investment Comment: Nechalacho has the second largest REE resource in the world, and the third largest niobium resource. If Nechalacho comes on line in 2015 it would fill <5% of anticipated world REE demand, even at the full rate of 10ktpa, so any downward pressure on global REE prices due to extra supply should be moderate. The NPV of Nechalacho, of C$246m (from the PFS), is close to AVL‟s market capitalisation of ~C$410m but the ore value will have increased since July 2010 (e.g. cerium oxide value +500% in 3 months). In line with other REE equities, the share price increased dramatically after July 2010 due to dramatic cuts in Chinese rare earth exports, and pulled back due to profit taking and stabilisation of the market; AVL remains highly leveraged to REE prices.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 10

Avalon Rare Metals Inc project location map: from a recent company presentation, this

graphic shows the main focus is on Thor Lake, where AVL has the Nechalacho and North T

Deposits. Total resources include 2mt of Rare Earth Oxides (REO).

Thor Lake, schedule to production: Avalon plans to have the Nechalacho REE Deposit in

production in late 2015. The project is expected to progress along four lines: community

engagement, permitting, marketing and Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS).

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 11

Crossland Uranium Mines Limited

0.31

Debt (A$m) - Dec 10F

Enterprise value (A$m)

Major shareholders: Gaden Nominees (6.14%); ANZ Nominees (5.7%)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (A$m) - Dec 10F

Price/Cash (x) Cash (A$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed company options: Net asset backing (Ac/share)

*Uranium prospective tenements only; held and under application. Quarters refer to calendar year.

Contacts Directors

Mr Geoff Eupene

Executive Director

Tel: 61 (0) 8 8981 5911

North Sydney, NSW, Australia

U3O8 Eq

Mlb

Status

Kt

0.0 0.0

P Walker (Non Exec Dir)

1.1

3.3

0.0

Process

Charley Creek

Analyst: John Wilson

Granite

Target

www.crosslanduranium.com.au R Richardson (Non Exec Dir)

5.00

Equity

U3O8Cut Off

P Elliott (Non Exec Dir)

R Cleary (Non Exec Ch)

G Eupene (Exec Dir)

Mineralised Material (est., non compliant w ith JORC)

Project Metal

4.1

0.2

8.4

Cash backing (Ac/share)

1.2

Early Expl. Aus (NT)

Early Expl.

0.00

Aus (NT)

Aus (SA)

16,000

0.00

Lake Woods

Type

Unconf

Project

IOCGU

Chilling Project

Ownership/

Kalabity 30%

TSX.V:PUC

JV

Option Partner

Diamonds

5.7

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material

Key Projects

0.0

U3O8

U3O8Classification

U

TSX.V:PUC

50%

50%

100%

na

Project

Route

na

NT uranium focus - 90%. Exploration budget ~A$3mpa.

Charley Creek (near Alice Springs, NT): strategic holding

(4,111km2); large radiometric anomaly. Cockroach Dam

drilling 4Q10 for "Rossing Style" granite hosted uranium.

Charley Creek sediment basins: Shallow, high percentage

heavy REE (contained in 39% REO). Likely extractable

with exisiting technology. Potential JORC 4Q11.

Chilling (NT): Shallow unconformity style targets in Pine

Creek Orogen. Similar stratigraphy to Rum Jungle.

Marchfly Zone (Chilling): best drill intercept 0.5m @

0.816% U3O8 (2009). Drilling 1H11(2,000m).

Exploration team experienced in Australian uranium

unconformity style deposits - chief geologist for Ranger

Mine development and Ranger 68 discovery.

Uranium

Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian:

Reserves

Aus (NT)

0.0

U Platsearch

U, REE

na

5

-

140.5

2,730

964

Company Comment

9.3

4.6

140.5

17,000

964

Location

Early Expl.

na

Early Expl.

na

0.00.0

24.3

125

Eupene Nominees (5.20%)

0.0

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (A$m)

1.2

0

Fully diluted (m)

24.3

964

4.2

Investment Points

Convertible notes (m)

YEAR END: Dec

5.7

-

2.1

No

Share price (A$)

Number of shares (m) 115

Options and warrants (m)

0.21

0.08

CUX.AU

9

Uranium, Gold, REE, Base Metals, Diamonds

Australia (NT,SA)

Mid Exploration

Exchanges: ASX:CUX

Capital Profile

52 week range (A$/share) to

17 November 2010

0 Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%)

2.2

Ore U3O8

Mt

-

140.5

%

0.0

115.5

0.00

0

0

0

ppm

-

85 70

0.40

0.26

80

1.3

0.970.44 1.04

1.85

0.27Corporate (A$m)

2.55 2.403.86

A$ 0.21

Production and Financial Forecasts

2011FDec-10F

CUX is exploring for large scale, low opex unconformity (Chilling)

and "Rossing Style" (Charley Ck) uranium targets located in the NT.

Initial drill program at Charley Ck (results awaited) - potential for

significant discovery. Extensive alluvial REE confirmed (Nov '10).

61

Land holding ('000 ha)*

Drilling - RAB (m)

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares)

Funding duration at current burn (years)

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m)

Exploration and evaluation - gross (A$m)

Funding from JV partners (A$m)

8.4

Capital raisings (A$m)

Tenement costs ($k per year)

7.7

-

964

0

2,000

5.6

3.2 4.1

(JORC)

5.7

Resources

Mlb

0.0

[email protected]

2.2

5.00

1.0

3.1

3.7

Crossland Uranium Mines Limited

87

115.5

0

730

1.3

2009aSep-10a 2010F

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

Nov-

09

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Jul-10

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Nov-

10

Sh

are

Pri

ce

($/S

hare

)

CUX - Crossland Uranium Mines Limited

Source: Bloomberg

Overview: Crossland Uranium Mines formed as the merger of Klondike Source Limited (KSL) and Crossland Mines Pty Ltd, in May 2006. It listed on the ASX April 2007. Pancontinental holds a contributing 50% stake in most CUX projects (U/REE/base metals). Crossland‟s directors and management are one of the most experienced uranium teams in Australia. Charley Creek project (NT): (4,111km

2 granted) Located 110km north-west of Alice Springs, prospective for

a variety of mineralisation styles, including primary and secondary uranium, heavy rare earth elements and intrusive related copper, nickel and platinoids. Granite hosted uranium - CUX is currently drilling “hot” granites – targeting large, low grade uranium deposit styles, the closest analogy being “Rossing Style” deposits in Namibia. Rock chip samples have returned values up to 0.54% U3O8, with an average of 439ppm for 186 samples. The area has received little, or no, previous exploration attention. Permits were granted mid July and drilling commenced August (1,500m, 10 holes @ 150m) – targeting areas within the Teapot Granite (~50km

2) at Cockroach Dam, Cockroach East, and Cockroach Central. CUX expanded Charley

Creek holding and announced a JV with Western Desert (ASX:WDR, Aug „10). Drainage and Sediment Basins: prospective for palaeochannel and calcrete uranium deposits. Airborne EM conducted in 2007 identified palaeochannels - drilling expected 1H11 subject to approvals. Rare Earth Elements (REE, NT): Initial assays and met test work produced a heavy mineral concentrate from stream channel alluvium. Initial samples contained 39% REO, including a high proportion of heavy REE (Gd, Tb, and Dy, refer table) which are in global short supply. Initial exploration suggests these REE ratios could be widely reported throughout the Cockroach Dam area. CUX expects, due to the shallow nature and likely established process routes for this type of REE mineralogy (phosphate mineral) that there is potential for a low capex project to produce several thousand tonnes pa of heavy REE concentrate. Expansion of REE exploration is expected 2011 - auger drilling (10,000m) 1Q11 to test for depth extensions and consistency of heavy REE RAB/RC drilling (10,000m) expected 2Q11. Chilling (NT): (2904km

2). Located 20km SSW of Rum Jungle on the west side of the Pine Creek Orogen -

targeting large scale, high grade unconformity style uranium deposits. Chilling contains 130km of prospective unconformity strike length and potential 110km extension under cover. Airborne geophysical survey completed 2007 and regional AEM identified 43 priority anomalies, followed up with ground surveys and some initial air-core drilling. Buchanan Window - Increasing focus of CUX activity prospective for uranium and base metals. Confirmed basal Pine Creek Orogen stratigraphy as at Rum Jungle. Drilling 1Q11 (1,500m) – targeting bedrock to 250m depth (10 drill targets). Allia Window - drilling EM anomalies 1Q11 (1,000m). Marchfly - initial drill program 2009 (11 holes) - highest grade intersection - CHDD12: 0.816% U3O8 over 0.5m. Investment Comment: CUX has potential for large scale uranium discovery in established (Chilling, Pine Creek Orogen) and new (Charley Creek) districts. Near term share price catalysts could be Initial drill results from primary uranium targets at Charley Creek - expected Nov-Dec ‟10; and REE auger results 1Q11. The share price doubled from $0.15 with REE announcement 1 November. CUX offers an attractive risk/reward trade-off, with upside to large scale uranium discovery, REE and base metals. Cash A$5.7m Dec ‟10F; capital raising expected 1H11.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 12

Charley Creek (NT): Located 110km NW of Alice Springs. Targeting primary “Rossing Style” deposits – initial drill results awaited. Teapot Granite rock chips: average value 439ppm U3O8 for 186 samples.

Sediment basins also host extensive, shallow heavy REE – confirmed Nov „10.

Charley Creek (NT) Table: Rare earth heavy mineral concentrate results (Nov ‟10). A sample of stream channel alluvium with high REE values (39% total rare earth oxide) confirming high proportion of heavy

REE in concentrate, including Gadolinium (Gd), Terbium (Tb) and Dysprosium (Dy). Potential JORC 4Q11.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 13

Globe Metals & Mining Limited

0.51

Debt (A$m) - Dec 10F

Enterprise value (A$m)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (A$m) - Dec 10F

Price/Cash (x) Cash (A$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed company options Net asset backing (Ac/share)

Quarters refer to calendar year.

Resources

Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC)

*5Mt measured, 18Mt Indicated, 37Mt Inferred

Contacts Directors

Mr Mark Sumich

Managing Director

Tel: +61 (0) 8 9486 1779

West Perth, WA, Australia

MW100%/20% U ASX:RSL S'stone na Adv Expl

0.0 0.0 0.0

174.00.29 0.15 0.014 0.009Kanyika Meas, Ind, Inf* 100% 60.0

% %

Reserves 0.0 0.0

Equity Mt

c/off

% Nb2O5%

Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian:(JORC)

Nb, Ta, U Classification Project Ore Nb2O5

0.00.0 0.00

Ta2O5 U3O8 Nb2O5

kt

0.0

Key Projects

0.00

Status

Target ProcessOwnership/

BFS MW

Mid Expl

MW

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

0.0

18.4

(JORC)

1.6

1.5

Company Comment

36.2

100.1

11.2

Option Metal

44.50

Project

0.0

Early Expl

na

93.75

5.9

1.401.34

MW

MZ

Early Expl

F, REE Carb'tite

Salambidwe

Mount Muambe

J Stephens (Non Exec)

W Hayden (Non Exec)

Livingstonia

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material

5.29

2.5

0.00 3.50

17.5

0.0

Type

ASX:RSL

none

Partner

JV

Project

Machinga

Kanyika 100%

164.1

1,688

279

No

3.9

17.3

2.37.8

Cash backing (Ac/share) 3.6

0.35

61

1.03

8446

17 November 2010

0.12

Rare Metals, Uranium, Fluorine

Exchanges: ASX:GBE

Share price (A$)

0.29

73

Exploration and evaluation (A$m)*

Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%)Performance shares (m)

102 1.4

5.36

0.32

GBE's share price has jumped 88% in 3 months due to the strong

rare metals market - REE exploration results expected Oct '10. An

A$41m deal could see China's ECE gain 51% of GBE, with an eye to

the 60Mt Kanyika Niobium Project (Malawi, BFS expected 2011).

0.4

2.002.09

59

Sep-10a 2011F

Funding duration at current burn (years)

11

Fully diluted (m)

30.1

Valuation gap: Globe NAV (10% nom, 4Q10) based on

scoping/feasibility study is A$315m or ~A$1.78/share post

development funding - current market cap ~A$30m.

Kanyika Project BFS results expected 2011. Scoping

Study (Jun '08, Coffey; update May „09) - 4ktpa Nb as

FeNb, opex US$13/kg-US$20/kg Nb, capex US$155m.

Key economic driver is niobium, used in steel. Nb price is

extremely stable, LT forecast US$39/kg in FeNb, current

US$42/kg. Nb 70-85% revenue; tantalum 15-30%.

Planned 51% investment by China's ECE could bring

initial A$41m and lead to project funding, subject to

government, shareholder approvals (possible Jan '11).

MOU's for offtake covering 45% of forecast production.

Portfolio of exploration projects in Africa. Drilling results

expected Nov '10 from Machinga Project (REE,Nb,Ta).

Kanyika resource of 60mt has 174kt Nb2O5 grading

0.29%, with 18.5mlbs tantalum as Ta2O5 and 11.9mlbs

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (A$m)

Major shareholders: HSBC Custody Nom (7.6%)

0.0

Malawi, Mozambique

Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS)

GBE.AU

30.1

to

5

94Number of shares (m)

3.2Options and warrants (m)

Capital Profile

52 week range (A$/share)

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares)

YEAR END: June

0.79 0.30

Corporate (A$m)

A$ 0.32

Production and Financial Forecasts

2012FDec-10F 2010a

Globe Metals & Mining Limited

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m)

92.9

00

20,000

108.2

3,000

94.2

Drilling - RAB (m) 0

29.45.4

279

5.9

320.8

0

20,00014,688

0

279

Ragusa Investments (6.7%), JP Morgan Nom (6.3%)

M Sumich (Exec Chair, MD)

Investment Points

1.6

Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian:

Land holding ('000 ha)* 279

-

279

Tenement costs ($k per year) -

3.9

Acid leachU (Nb,Ta)

REE0%/80%

none

ASX:RSL100%

0%/90%

Location

na

Granitoid

Pegmatite

na

Route

Pegmatite

[email protected]

REEwww.globemetalsandmining.com.au

D Sumich (Non Exec)

-

31.2

46.8

- -

16.9

Capital raisings (A$m)

Funding from JV partners (A$m) 0.0

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

Nov-

09

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Jul-10

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Oct-10

Sh

are

Pri

ce

($/S

hare

)

GBE - Globe Metals & Mining Limited

Source: Bloomberg

Introduction: Globe Metals & Mining listed on the ASX in December 2005. It is an African-focused rare metals resource company. Its main project is the multi-commodity Kanyika Niobium Project. Globe also has exploration projects focused on rare metals, fluorite and uranium projects. Investment by ECE: A A$41m buy-in at A$0.345/share could see the East China Mineral Exploration and Development Bureau own 51% of GBE. China consumes ~35% of global ferroniobium (FeNb) and ECE (a holder in ASX-listed REE player Arafura) plans to help GBE with project finance and development. Approval is needed from Malawi, China, Australia, shareholders (EGM called for Jan ‟10). Kanyika (uranium, central Malawi): GBE is targeting rare metals (niobium, tantalum), zirconium and uranium mineralisation in an alkalic granitoid in central Malawi. The main ore minerals are disseminated pyrochlore (Nb, Ta, U) and zircon (Zr). GBE aims to bring Kanyika into production in late 2012, or 2013. Resource and grade – The current resource is 60mt, with a recent 77% increase in Measured and Indicated tonnes (now 23Mt). The resource is defined to 300m width, 250m depth and 2.3km of ~3.8km known strike within 5 zones: 60mt @ 0.29% Nb2O5 (174kt), 0.009% U3O8 (11.9mlbs), 0.014% Ta2O5 (18.5mlbs) and 0.5% ZrSiO4. There is a high-grade resource at 3,000ppm Nb2O5 cut-off, of 21mt with 0.41% Nb2O5 of which 10mt is M&I grading 0.47% Nb2O5 The deposit is open along strike in both directions (N-S). There is a high-grade Exploration Target of 40-50Mt @ 0.37-0.4% Nb2O5. Metallurgy – GBE aims to produce ferro-niobium (FeNb) for the steel industry, as well as oxides of niobium, tantalum and uranium, and possibly magnetite (iron oxide) and zircon. Studies commenced in 2008: two initial phases reported encouraging costs and recoveries, and work is entering Stage 3 (bulk testing pilot program). Studies were on hold (dispute with former JV partner) but could restart in 4Q10. Mining Potential - The deposit could be mined open-pit with low strip ratio of 0.5-0.9. Higher-grade, near surface Measured and Indicated resources could be targeted first (critical for early payback of capex). A Scoping Study (Coffey, Jun ‟08; updated May „09) examined 4ktpa Nb production as FeNb alloy, with 59tpa Ta2O5 and 11.4-13.7ktpa ZrSiO4 (processing 2.2-3.5mtpa) with a 20yr LOM. Uranium would report to aluminous slag for potential future processing. Current (revised) model prefers mining 1.5mt-2.5mtpa, for 3,000tpa Nb and 192tpa Ta2O5 over life-of-mine. Capex US$155m, opex US$40.3/t. A Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) is in progress, and a pit design should be completed 4Q10 (Coffey Mining). Other Projects: GBE has exploration projects in Malawi and Mozambique that could provide positive newsflow in the near term. The main focus is Machinga (Southern Malawi), for pegmatite-hosted REE-Nb-Ta-Zr. Trenching in 2Q10 incl. 10m @ 1% TREO (total REO) and 0.5% Nb2O5, with 0.34% HREO. Drilling results expected early Nov „10. The Mount Muambe Project (REE-Fluorite) could be drilled in 4Q10 – surface sampling and re-sampling in 3Q10 turned up high REE values (peak >1.2% TREO) with av. 50% HREO/TREO in fluorite samples, including 168ppm dysprosium (a high-value element). Investment Comment: GBE‟s share price has benefitted from the jump in REE prices in 3Q10. Our NAV for the company is A$315m, or A$1.78/share based on funding 50% of capex at A$1.00/share. The sale of 51% to ECE for A$41m at A$0.375/share moves this NAV to A$0.59/share, close to the 4Q07 high of +A$0.60/share and a reasonable target, subject to ECE‟s investment and a successful BFS.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 14

Kanyika Project valuation: economics are sensitive to the niobium price, with RCR long

term Nb price of US$39/kg in ferroniobium (current is ~US$42/kg). Our share price

target for GBE is A$1.25/share, post financing 50% of capex at A$0.50/share.

GLOBE METALS AND MINING VALUATION

Target

Price (Low) (High)

Equity Niobium Valuation A$m A$m A$m

Projects (kt) US$/kg

+ Kanyika Resource 100% 174 1.04 227 23 730

+ Kanyika exploration 100% 160 0.38 76 4 21

+ Regional exploration 100% 10 5 20

Sub Total 313 32 771

+ Cash 3.9 3.9 3.9

+ Tax Losses 0.0 0.0 0.0

- Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0

- Corporate 1.9 1.9 1.9

Sub Total 2.0 2.0 2.0

GBE NET ASSET VALUE 315 34 773

Capital Structure

Shares 94 94 94

Fully Diluted Shares 102 102 102

GBE NET ASSET VALUE PER SHARE :A$/share 3.35 0.36 8.22

GBE NET ASSET VALUE DILUTED :A$/share fully diluted 3.09 0.34 7.58

With dilution at A$1/share to raise 50% of US$150m :A$/share fully diluted 1.78

With dilution at A$0.50/share to raise 50% of US$150m :A$/share fully diluted 1.25

With dilution at A$1/share, after sale of 51% for A$41m cash :A$/share fully diluted 0.59

KANYIKA SPECIALTY METALS PROJECT (NPV based on June 2010 resource, June 2008 Scoping Study and May 2009 update)

Equity

LONG TERM NIOBIUM PRICE (per kg in FeNb alloy)^ :US$/kg 25 35 45 55 65

EXCHANGE RATE :AUUS 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80

KANYIKA NPV @ 10% NOMINAL* :A$m 100% 27 210 381 574 757

KANYIKA NPV @ 10% NOMINAL* :US$m 100% 22 168 305 459 606

NPV/SHARE :A$/share 0.29 2.23 4.06 6.11 8.05

* Includes a pre-BFS discount of 30% of the project valuation: 30%

^Niobium prices are modelled as f lat line from start of production. Long term FeNb is US$39/kg (Nb), Ta2O5 US$65/lb, U3O8 US$46/lb

GBE's equity assumed to be 100%; however, Govt of Malawi could hold 15% in return for fiscal trade-offs such as tax and royalty reductions

KANYIKA SPECIALTY METALS PROJECT KEY ASSUMPTIONS*

RESOURCE ESTIMATES

Current JORC Indicated and Inferred resource (1,500ppm Nb2O5 cut-off) Ore Nb2O5 Ta2O5 ZrSiO4 U3O8

Mt % % % %

Model does not include zircon production 60 0.29 0.014 0.50 0.009

Contained metal, mlbs 383.6 18.5 661.4 11.9

Contained metal, kt 174.0 8.4 300.0 5.4

MINING METHOD Open Pit

PROCESS METHOD Dedicated Specialty Metals Plant

Concentrate: crush, gravity (incl. seperation of zircon and magnetite), flotation.

Downstream: weak then strong acid leaches, calcining (Nb, Ta, U), smelting with Fe (FeNb).

Year 1 Year 10

PRODUCTION RATE :mtpa 1.72 2.3 Head grade falls from 0.38% Nb2O5 to 0.29% Nb2O5

:tpa Nb 3,000 3,000

:strip ratio 0.6 1.9

CAPITAL COSTS :US$ 155m Excludes working capital; sustaining capex $4mpa.

RECOVERIES TO CONCENTRATE :% 65 All products (Nb, Ta, U)

DOWNSTREAM RECOVERY :% 69

OPERATING COSTS :US$/t 40 to 43 (Includes US$2.80/t mined, US$26 to 34/t milled)

TAX :% 30 Company tax in Malawi

ROYALTY :% 3 ASX:PDN at Kayelekera pays 1.5% for first 3 yrs, then 3%

MINE LIFE :Years 10+

COMMISSION DATE : 3Q13

Valuation Sensitivity

Sensitivity

* These figures are preliminary in nature and are intended to provide only a general indication of project potential scale and economic robustness.

Considerable refinement may result from bankable feasibility study, expected in 2011.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Review, 4Q10 Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 1

1.10

Debt (A$m) - Dec 10F

Enterprise value (A$m)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (A$m) - Dec 10F

Price/Cash (x) Cash (A$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed company options: Net asset backing (Ac/share)

* Uranium prospective properties only.

Mineralised Material (est., non compliant w ith JORC)

Contacts Directors

Mr Roderick McIllree M Hutchinson (Chair)

Managing Director

Tel: 61 (0) 8 9226 1100 S Cato (Exec Dir)

West Perth, WA, Australia J Whybrow (Expl Dir)

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

T Ho (Non-Exec)www.ggg.gl

10.5

Uranium

Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian:

0.0

na

Key Projects

20.9

Investment Points

3.7

GGGO

R McIllree (MD)

Reserves

Type Location

Target

Multi-element focus at Kvanefjeld - uranium component

valued in-ground (4Q10) at ~US$17.5 billion (US$62/lb)

and REE at ~US$146 billion (US$30/kg).

Potential to be one of the world's largest REE and U

deposits - plus economic potential NaF, Zn and Sn.

Resource includes 283mlbs U3O8, 4.9mt REO, 1mt Zn

and 3.1mt NaF- defined over 2km x 1km; open at depth

(>300m) and along strike, regional prospectivity is high.

Metallurgical studies are advanced: process flow sheet

includes alkaline/carbonate pressure leach for uranium,

and separate flotation and leach for REO.

Pre-feasibility study, Feb '10: processing 10.8mtpa for 23

years, producing 43.7ktpa REO and 8.6mlbspa U3O8 .

Capex is US$2.31bn, opex US$41/t. NPV US$2.18bn.

Greenland Government has amended exploration licence

structure to allow for investigation of uranium, signalling

willingness to consider allowing uranium mining.

Indicated, inferred

Project

150

0.0

Route

61%/100%

Partner

Resources

Kvanefjeld*

Project

0.0

Kvanefjeld Advanced Expl

Ownership/

Option Status

JV

U, REO

Metal

Greenland

457 1.0761%

IgneousWestrip

%Mt

Process

Classification

0

*Also uranium (283mlbs contained @ 0.028%), Zn (0.99mt contained @ 0.22%) and NaF (3.09mt contained @ 0.85% NaF).

0.0

10,780

ppm

U3O8

1.6

10.5

3.4

7.6

31.9

(JORC)

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material

TREOCut OffOre

0.71

-

211

Cash backing (Ac/share)

211

Funding from JV partners (A$m)

TREO

0

3.9

6.3 10.5

21.9

Project

2.5

1

211

2011F

32.2

7.6

20.5

5.40

6.00

58

Company Comment

424.3

2.8

Sep-10a 2009aDec-10FYear End: December

Land holding ('000 ha)

13.2

7,000 4,000

0

Greenland Minerals and Energy Ltd

1.10

Funding duration at current burn (years)

-

6.8

JP Morgan Nom (15.9%), HSBC Nom (7.6%), Westrip Hold. (6.9%)

22 November 2010

Exchanges: ASX:GGG

0.31 to

Share price (A$) 0.82

Convertible notes (m) 0.0

52 week range (A$/share)

GGG.AU

Rare Earth Elements, Uranium, Zinc, Sodium Fluoride

Greenland

Pre-Feasibility Study

Production and Financial Forecasts Capital Profile

A 33% one-month gain for GGG is due to a buoyant REE market,

and Greenland allowing uranium to be included in economic

assessment of the Kvanefjeld Project (forecast REE 43.7kt/yr,

U3O8 3.9kt/yr). Share price target A$1.46 with considerable upside.

61

211

-

Capital raisings (A$m)

Tenement costs ($k per year)

39

270.4

0

270.4 226.8

211

0

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (A$m)

Major shareholders: Citicorp Nom (16.7%), National Nom (16.7%),

220.4

220.4

1,000

0

1,000

21.9

3.9

2

21.6 20.7

0

-

6.06.1

2.63

Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%)

Corporate (A$m)

31

1.65

424.3

250.5

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m)

Drilling - RAB (m)

10.47 6.64

0

56

5.28

0.9

6

65

153.9

Number of shares (m) 270.4 Exploration and evaluation (A$m)

Options and warrants (m)

U3O8

Fully diluted (m)

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares)

0.0

[email protected]

4,000

Equity

0.0

-

Kt Kt

A$ 0.82

Mlb

TREO Eqty

2010F

2,983

TREO

4,890

0.0

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

Nov-

09

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Oct-10

Sh

are

Pri

ce

($/S

hare

)

GGG - Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited

Source: Bloomberg

Overview: Greenland Minerals and Energy Limited listed on the ASX in June 2006 (ASX:GGG). It is evaluating the uranium-rich Kvanefjeld multi-element project in Greenland. Kvanefjeld (uranium, Greenland): The project (80km

2) is located on the SW tip of Greenland, at

Narsaq. Within the Ilimaussaq alkaline intrusive igneous complex, it is one of the world‟s largest rare earth elements and uranium deposits. Other elements and minerals include zinc, tin and sodium fluoride. GGG‟s 61% ownership is moving to 90% with A$10m payment, and 100% with A$50m. The deposit: is a flat-lying slab of disseminated mineralisation, open at depth and in three directions. Current JORC resource (Jun ‟09) is 457mt @ 0.028% U3O8 for 283mlbs, 1.07% REO for 4.91mt (includes yttrium) and 0.22% Zn for 0.99mt, with 79% of these in the Indicated category. There is also 363mt @ 0.85% NaF for 3.09mt. The resource covers 2km by 1km and extends from surface to 280m depth. Exploration: There is resource upside within the ~6km x 4km Ilimaussaq intrusive. Regional and resource development drilling (~11,000m from Jun ‟10) has intersected black lujavrite at Zone 2 (6km SE of Kvanefjeld), which is similar to mineralised rocks to the resource. Modelling suggests the lujavrite is present as a continuous layer at depth between the resource and Zone 2. Assays expected 4Q10. Metallurgical and mineralogical tests are at an advanced stage. Current process flow sheet includes alkaline pressure leach (CPL) to remove uranium, recovering 84%, followed by flotation and acid leach to produce REE carbonate (rec. 34%). There is potential to improve recoveries, and to beneficiate the ore prior to the CPL circuit and reduce costs. There is also the possibility of generating a zinc concentrate (ZnS). Fluorine and thorium can both convert to insoluble compounds during CPL. A recently started mineralogical study at UBC (Uni British Columbia) should help refine the processing methodology. Pre-Feasibility Study (updated January 2010): Calls for open cut mining and 10.8mtpa processing, for 43.7kt REO and 3.9kt (8.6mlbs) U3O8. Total capital cost is US$2.31bn including contingency. Operating costs are US$3.83/t mining, US$23.55/t for the CPL uranium circuit (US$29.61/lb at head grade 365ppm U3O8), which includes some of the REO flowsheet, and a further US$13.62/t for the REO circuit (US$3.36/kg at head grade 1.19% REO). Construction is scheduled for 2013 and production for 2015. The study places mid-point NPV (10% disc) at US$2.18bn (pre-tax). Base commodity prices are US$80/lb U3O8 (current LT contract price is ~US$62/lb) and US$13/kg REO (which could now be +US$30/kg). Break even U3O8 is US$37.47/lb. A Definitive Feasibility Study could start in mid 2011 if approved by .the Greenland Government. Corporate: GGG raised working capital in 2Q10, placing A$6m in equity at A$0.34/share, and has organised a further A$15m equity facility that can be drawn down when needed over the next 5 years. Investment Comment: An NPV of US$2.18bn for a PFS-stage project, even pre tax, compared to the market cap of A$220m suggests GGG is undervalued. The gap is due to investor uncertainty, over Greenland‟s attitude to uranium mining, the metallurgical process and the large capex. In Sep „10, the Greenland Government amended the Standard Terms for Exploration Licences to include radioactive elements as exploitable minerals for the purpose of evaluation and reporting. This allows further development of Kvanefjeld and signals the Government‟s willingness to talk about uranium mining – the next positive sign would be approval to start a DFS in mid 2011. As the share price chart shows, this news and the strong rare earths market have been well received by investors. Assuming GGG raises 50% of project capex at A$2/share, pre-tax NPV is A$1.46/share: a likely mid-term price target if the DFS goes ahead and good progress continues with the flowsheet and Kvanefjeld exploration.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 16

Block section showing exploration potential at the Kvanefjeld Deposit, southern Greenland: there is

potential to extend the current resource (incl .283mlbs U3O8 and 4.9mt of rare earth oxides). Mineralised

lujavrite may form a continuous layer at depth that reaches the resource.

Development schedule for Kvanefjeld: The updated PFS is expected in 2Q11, after which Greenland Gov‟t could give permission for a DFS including pilot and demonstration level processing plants. Production is

possible in 2015.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 17

Gunson Resources Limited

0.20

Debt (A$m) - Dec 10F

Enterprise value (A$m)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (A$m) - Dec 10F *

Price/Cash (x) Cash (A$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed Company options: Net asset backing (Ac/share)

* A$0.36m w as raised at A$0.09/share in October 2010. * Assumes nominal A$2.0m further equity capital raised in1Q11 at A$0.12/share.

Reserves

Resources

1.1

18.7

25.1

Total Resources 44.9

Note: MG14 & Windabout contain 0.04% and 0.05% Cobalt respectively

Coburn Zircon Project

Coburn Zircon Project

* Zr % and Ilm. % are the % of total contained heavy minerals that are zircon and ilmentite respectively

Contacts Directors

Mr David Harley

(Managing Director)

Tel: 61 (0) 8 9226 3130

West Perth, WA, Australia

Resource - M & I

Reserves - Pr & Prob 0.80 3.7 23 48100% 308.0 1.20

Mount Gunson - MG14

Mount Gunson - Windabout

Mount Gunson JV

Indicated 100%

1.01.70

187

328 149 161

187

HM mt

1.00 0.5

Inferred 49%

Cut Off

Gunson Resources Limited

1.19

Heavy Minerals

100%Indicated

1.7

% %

(JORC)

PartnerMetal

Target

19

-1.6

0

2,000

8 19

kt

85

Cu

242

Zr %*

BFS underway

Mid Expl.

534

Aust(SA)

Location

Aust(SA)

Aust(SA)

Status

0.0

HM%

1.26

1.31 0.5

Mt Gunson MG14/W'about 100%

Fowlers Bay Nickel 100%

IOCG

na

none

Mount Gunson JV 49%/25% FlotationCu,Au Xstrata

Project

Coburn 100%

W Cunningham (Chairman)

P Harley (Non-Exec Dir)

Option

Cash backing (Ac/share)

Analyst: Dr Tony Parry

www.gunson.com.au

D Harley (MD)

1.0

Flotation

na

Ore Cu

0.1 0.2

Cut Off

15.415.1

-1.0

0.3

DFS Aust(WA)

Early Expl.

2.0

0.00

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised Material

Key Projects

366

Cu

mt mlb

979.0

Classification Project

Equity

Gravity

0.80

Type

Ownership/ JV Process

H. MinsZr

GUN has spent ~10 years and A$20m bringing the

Coburn Zircon Project ("CZP") in WA to DFS completion.

CZP estimated capex is ~A$170m, quoted NPV is

A$141m (~A$0.80/share). Environmental approvals in

place - provides potential production fast track.

CZP is strongly underpinned by positive price outlook for

zircon (67% of revenue).

CZP is strategically important - only one other major

zircon development project globally with a DFS.

CZP could be in production by 4Q12 if GUN finds a

development partner by end 2010.

Xstrata exploring for deep IOCG Olympic Dam style

deposits at Mount Gunson (SA),(49% GUN).

GUN looking to get small scale copper operation (~8ktpa

Cu) started at Mount Gunson 100%-owned ground.

If GUN finds a 'big brother' for the CZP, then we still see

major share price upside.

Possible partner announcement in December 2010?

Code for reporting mineral resources - Australian:

Investment Points

1.3

No

92

0.2

81

-

500

0.2

0.600.15

0.35

0.3

-0.60.4

273

- -

194.1194.1

0

163.5

2.55

0.6

Cu,Au none

Ni

8

Fully diluted (m)

31.9 2,000

Company Comment

16.414.3

0.1

Copper

14.5

Bruce Birnie P/L (2.3%), Directors total (2.6%).

0

2.960.60Capital raisings (A$m) *

273

0.0

273

172.4

Tenement costs ($k per year)

Convertible notes (m)

181.9

0.0 70Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%) 73

Funding duration at current burn (years)

-

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (A$m)

Major shareholders: John Tilbrook/ Grey Willow P/L (10.0%),

31.9 173.5

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m)

Land holding ('000 ha)

Drilling - RAB (m)

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares)

500

0

Options and warrants (m)

0.18

0.0452 week range (A$/share)

GUN.AU

4.4

Zircon, Copper,Gold,Nickel

Australia

DFS, Advanced Exploration

Exchanges: ASX:GUN

Capital Profile

Share price (A$)

Number of shares (m) 177.5

17 November 2010

Production and Financial Forecasts

2012F

0.1

177.5

0.36

273 273

4,850

-

0

0.610.60

79

to

0.42Exploration and Development (A$m)

Dec-10F 2010aSep-10a 2011F

A$ 0.18

YEAR END: June

Funding from JV partners (A$m)

0.16Corporate (A$m)

GUN could soon announce a development partner for its ~A$170m

Coburn Zircon Project in WA, which could provide a 'fast track ' to

production, as a projected global zircon supply deficit starts to

bite. This step should highlight a still undervalued share price.

2.23 2.001.67

0.2

0.2

100%

Equity Ore mt Ilm. %*

12.3

Early Expl. Aust (NT)

0.0

kt

Route

IOCG

none

none IOCG

[email protected]

Project

0.0

1.0

Cu Eq

Tennant Creek 100% Cu,Au

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

0.2

Nov-

09

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Jul-10

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Oct-10

Sh

are

Pri

ce

($/S

hare

)

GUN - Gunson Resources Limited

Source: Bloomberg

Overview: GUN (originally a spin-off of mineral assets from Stuart Petroleum NL) was listed on the ASX in May 2000. GUN‟s two key assets at listing – the Coburn Zircon Project and the Mount Gunson Copper Project - have both reached an advanced stage. Coburn Zircon Project (CZP) (100%): GUN‟s Coburn tenements cover ~1,200km

2 of fossil coastline

approximately 700km north of Perth. GUN has spent nearly A$20m over 10 years on this advanced project since commencing drilling in 2000. The CZP is mainly located on granted mining leases with environmental approvals in place – which is a major plus, facilitating rapid development. A DFS was completed in 4Q09 and GUN is now seeking to bring in a development partner (possibly an end user through establishing offtake agreements) to support a project financing and conceivably bring it into production by the end of 2012. GUN has appointed RFC as its advisor in this process. Seven potential strategic investors have expressed interest in the CZP and have entered a more detailed data assessment phase. The DFS assumes a 17.5mtpa mining rate (23.5 year mine life), dedicated wet concentrator and mineral separation plant to produce 40ktpa zircon, 90ktpa ilmentite and 9ktpa rutile. Capex is estimated at A$169m (not incl. working capital). The revised quoted NPV (at 8% DR) is A$141m (~A$0.80/share), ungeared IRR 16.4%. Assumed A$/US$ long term is 0.85. GUN believes that the outlook for ilmenite, and zircon prices in particular, is very positive with negligible identifiable new zircon supply sources in the next 2-3 years. The zircon price is up 30% in 2010, out-pacing copper. Consultancy TZMI also is positive, emphasising no major greenfields zircon projects under construction. This bodes well for GUN‟s efforts to attract a development partner by the end of the current quarter. Mount Gunson Copper Project (49%): The 1,320km

2 project area is in the 500km long Olympic Cu-Au

belt in S.A., which currently hosts ~75% of known Cu resources in Australia, including the world class Olympic Dam, Prominent Hill and Carrapateena deposits. Xstrata has earnt a 51% JV interest A$4.1m spent. Xstrata can earn a further 24% by expenditure of A$6m over three years. Xstrata has completed geophysical surveys in the remainder of CY10, drilling to recommence 1H11. Big targets, big upside. Mount Gunson Copper Project – Excised Area (100%): In 3Q09 GUN completed a PFS on treating only the shallow flat sheet-like MG14 deposit (19kt Cu resource). This indicated a two year mine life (550ktpa treatment of 1.1mt resource) and full capital pay-back assuming 67% copper recoveries, US$2.70/lb Cu price, A$/US$ = 0.86. The plan would be then to proceed to treat the larger, deeper Windabout deposit (187kt Cu resource) using underground mining. GUN is seeking development partners to fund a BFS over the next 12 months and potentially take equity in the project Investment Comment: In our last Review we said that the market often has trouble valuing small companies with potentially big projects, and that we could see huge price upside if GUN is successful in attracting a development partner for the CZP (which could happen before the end of 2010). This is still very much the case with GUN. Despite a recent share price surge, GUN is still only capitalised at ~A$32m, putting little value on this advanced project, if we factor in its copper exploration assets.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 18

GUN‟s Project portfolio is headlined by the advanced Coburn mineral sands project in WA (zircon is the

key mineral) and the Mount Gunson copper exploration project in SA‟s Olympic Dam territory, where GUN

has a small scale production project BFS underway. Fowler‟s Bay is early stage nickel exploration, and

Tennant Creek early stage copper-gold exploration.

The Mount Gunson Copper project (49% GUN, 51% Xstrata) is situated in the 500km long Olympic Copper-Gold Province in South Australia which contains ~75% of the known copper resources in Australia –

including the Olympic Dam, Prominent Hill and Carrapateena deposits. The latter, potentially containing >4mt Cu (drilled by Teck Cominco), is only 20km east of GUN‟s tenements.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 19

Galaxy Resources Limited

1.66

Debt (A$m) - Dec 10F

Enterprise value (A$m)

Avg monthly volume (m)

Cash (A$m) - Dec 10F

Price/Cash (x) Cash (A$m)

Price/Book (x)

Listed company options: Net Asset Backing (Ac/share)

* Could raise A$61.5m via bonds 4Q10-1Q11, converting at A$1.56/share Quarters stated on calendar year basis. * Mt Cattlin: produces concentrate6% Li2O, shipped to Jiangsu for lithium carbonate process.

Reserves

Resources

Mineralised Material (est., non compliant with JORC)

Contact Directors

Mr Iggy Tan

(Managing Director)

Tel: 61 (0) 8 9215 1700

West Perth, NSW, Australia

Shoemaker

Ravensthorpe

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen Ponton

0.0

Cut off

0.0

Option

0.0

434.4

0.0

484.6

kt

R Wanless (Ind)

na

na

Y Zheng (Non Exec)

I Polovineo (Ind)

[email protected]

Li/Ta,Mn,Au na

C Whitfield (Exec)

Fe, Mn

Major shareholders: Creat Resources Holdings Ltd (19.9%),

Route

C Readhead (Non Ex Chair)

I Tan (MD)

18.3

Process

Equity

na na

Mid Expl

111.9

20,000

00

55.9

21,760

145

China

Construction

138.6

ppm

147 119.4

171.5

64.6

161

Li2O

55.8

%

56.0

145

%

Li2O

41.4

140.1

Company Comment

A near term producer of lithium and tantalum minerals in

Australia, and lithium carbonate in China. Target market

is the Li-ion battery industry (29% growth 2007-2008).

Mt Cattlin (WA): set to be the world's second-largest

hard rock lithium operation, producing 137ktpa of 6%

Li2O concentrate, 56klbspa Ta2O5. Mining has started.

Jiangsu Lithium Plant (China): will process Mt Cattlin

concentrate into lithium carbonate; will be the largest Li

producer in China. Processing expected from 2Q11.

Offtake agreements signed for all Jiangsu output (17ktpa

Li Carb), customers are Chinese cathode

manufacturers and Mitsubishi Corp.

Both projects financed, capex ~A$286m. RCR

estimates NPV (@10% nom, post tax, exchange 0.8) as

A$243m or A$1.33/share, strong upside to A$2/share.

Ongoing A$91m funding from Chinese investors,

including A$30m equity and A$61m in convertible bonds.

Investment Points

Cash Backing (Ac/share)

Project

62.8

524.2

Iron (Fe) Classification Ta2O5

Market capitalisation (undiluted) (A$m)

Corporate (A$m)

Drilling - RAB (m)

Drilling - Other/Diamond (m)

215

358.8

HSBC Custody Nominees (12.6%), R Healy (5.8%), National Nom (5.1%)

146.3

Land holding ('000 ha)*

104.8

31

Fully diluted (m)

422.7

www.galaxyresources.com.au

GXYO

2.6

17 November 2010

276.4

GXY.AU

2.6

Funding from JV partners (A$m)

Shares on issue (pr end) (m shares)

4.2

28.6

00

9.2

191

0

212

8.9

3.7

212

3.17

27.0 20.0

7.1

2.0

191

44.4

0.0

0.5Exploration and Evaluation (A$m)

145 145

5,000

0

Capital Raisings (A$m)

Exploration/(Expl.+ Corporate) (%)

0

191

Lithium, Tantalum, Manganese, Iron

Australia (WA), China (Shanghai), Mongolia

Production

Exchanges: ASX:GXY

Convertible notes (m)*

YEAR END: June1.45

0.91

Operating Costs (US$/t LiCarb)*

Capital Profile

Options and warrants (m)

52 week range (A$/share) to

24

Share price (A$)

Number of shares (m) 191

Galaxy Resources Limited

Mt Cattlin began Li concentrate production in Oct '10, with full output

expected to be ~8.2ktpa Li2O. GXY has strenghtened its ties to China,

via an A$91m share and bond issue, and listing in Hong Kong, ahead

of building the Jiangsu Lithium Carbonate Plant.

2011F

na 170008500

A$ 1.45

2010a

na 1063

nana nana

0

Production and Financial Forecasts

2012F

Lithium Carbonate Production (t)*

1.2

Sep-10a

2.0

35.5

4350

Dec-10F

0.4Meas, Ind, Inf

5,000 20,000

145

30.0

Mt

Ore

0 0

104.896.9

StatusType

JV

X Ren (Non Exec)

KC Kwan (Ind)

A Tse (Exec)

naBIF

Reserves and Resources/Mineralised MaterialCode for reporting mineral resources - Australian: (JORC)

Aus (WA)

Various

Jiangsu Li Carb Plant 100% Li

Aus (WA)

50%/20%

100%

na

GMC

100% 15.9

Project

Ownership/ Target

1.08

Partner

Mt Cattlin

Key Projects

Metal

Mt Cattlin Spodumene 100% Crush, HMS

Project

Location

Aus (SA)PegmatiteLi, Ta

na Palabora na Early Expl

Early/Mid Explna

Mt Cattlin Proved, probable 100% 11.4 1.05 0.4

Aus (WA)100% U,REE,Base

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Nov-

09

Dec-

09

Jan-1

0

Mar-

10

Apr-

10

May-

10

Jun-1

0

Jul-10

Aug-1

0

Sep-1

0

Oct-10

Sh

are

Pri

ce

($/S

hare

)

GXY - Galaxy Resources Limited

Source: Bloomberg

Overview: Galaxy Resources plans to become one of the world‟s leading producers of lithium. It has two Li projects under construction, the Mt Cattlin Mine in WA and a value-adding Li carbonate plant at Jiangsu in China. Li is an essential component of some batteries, of the type used to power electric and hybrid vehicles. Mt Cattlin Spodumene Project (Li, Ta; WA):: will be the world‟s second largest hard rock producer of lithium. The mine is 2km north of Ravensthorpe (WA). Mineralisation is spodumene (LiAlSi2O6) and tantalite in a flat lying pegmatite. Mining will be open cut, to produce a spodumene concentrate and tantalite by-product. Ore processing will be at a rate of 1mtpa averaging 1.1% Li2O (or 3.4mtpa including waste at strip ratio 2.4:1) and produce 137ktpa of spodumene concentrate at 6.0% Li2O (upgrade x6) and 56klbspa of contained tantalum (Ta2O5) in concentrate. Mine life is 16 years, with a reserve of 11.37mt @ 1.05% Li2O and 147ppm Ta2O5. Capital cost is A$79m and cash operating cost is expected to be A$41/t ore (DFS revenue projection A$71/t ore). Spodumene concentrate production began early Oct ‟10. First shipments via Esperance to China, for processing at the company‟s lithium carbonate plant (see below) are expected Nov ‟10 (first two shipments to be processed at third party facility while plant is made ready). Tantalum concentrate will be shipped from Fremantle. There is resource and exploration upside in the project area.. Jiangsu Lithium Plant (China): Designed to add value to the Mt Cattlin concentrate, the plant will be close to the Zhangjiagang Port in Jiangsu Province near Shanghai. Nameplate output will be 17ktpa „EV‟ battery grade (99.9%) lithium carbonate (Li2CO3), plus some „EV Plus‟ grade (99.99%) making GXY the largest lithium producer in China. Capex is expected to be A$72.5m (AU/RMB 6.6). Production expected 2Q11. GXY has a feasibility study for adding a Li ion battery plant to the complex, producing 350kpa units for E-bikes in China. Offtake agreements: These are in place for 100% of Jiangsu output. Customers are Chinese Li cathode producers and Mitsubishi Corporation. GXY says the former are increasing capacity over the coming 12-24 months, and appreciate the security of supply offered by Jiangsu. Terms are commercially confidential. Corporate: A share issue to Creat Resource Holdings in April 2010 raised A$33m. A loan of A$130m (US$105m) was drawn down from Austrian Bank RZB and the China Development Bank in September 2009, for Mt Cattlin and Jiangsu capex (combined A$151.5m including working capital). Further Jiangsu funding should come from an A$61.5m convertible bond issue at A$1.56 conversion, and share placement of A$30m at A$1.39/share, to China-based investors (including Fengli Group, and a founder of Geely Auto Holdings). Tranche 1 of bonds (A$32m) expected Nov ‟10 and the remaining funds in Jan ‟11. A Hong Kong listing is planned for 1Q11 and four new directors with Chinese corporate experience have been appointed. Investment Comment: Galaxy is now a Li producer. It is well funded and supported in China, a major Li market. Its share price is highly leveraged to the price of battery grade (i.e high quality) lithium carbonate. Prices are forecast to increase due to technological advances, and strong environmental policies in China. Li-ion battery output increased 29% year-on-year from 2007 to 2008. World Li Carb demand is ~100ktpa, with 20-25ktpa in China; price is US$5,500-$6,000/t, or higher for better grades (added US$3k/t for 99.9% pure). GXY estimates revenue from the Cattlin-Jiansu operations will be A$143mpa for 16 years, with pre-tax net of A$69mpa. At 17ktpa this indicates GXY is expecting LiCarb at US$8,412/t costing US$4,353/t. At capex A$151.5m, RCR estimates NPV (@10% nominal exchange 0.8) is A$286m or A$1.33/share, close to the current sp, and value of bond and share issues. Further progress at Jiangsu, shipments from Mt Cattlin and an increase in Li prices towards US$/10,000/t could see the stock approach A$2.00.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 20

Plan of Mt Cattlin Spodumene Mine: proposed pit outline, lithium resource blocks and drill intercepts. Production has commenced, with ramp up to 137ktpa concentrate grading 6% Li2O and ~0.02% Ta2O5.

Galaxy Resources, valuation of the Mt Cattlin Mine and Jiangsu Lithium Carbonate Plant: sensitivity analysis is for the Li Carb price; GXY base case for price is US$8,412/t.

Galaxy Minerals valuation based on operating Mt Cattlin mine and expected Jiangsu lithium carbonate plant

Equity

LONG TERM LITHIUM CARBONATE PRICE^ :US$/t 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000

EXCHANGE RATE :AUUS 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80

MT CATTLIN/JIANGSU NPV @ 10% NOMINAL* :A$m 100% -125 59 243 427 611

MT CATTLIN/JIANGSU NPV @ 10% NOMINAL* :US$m 100% -100 47 195 342 489

NPV/SHARE :A$/share -0.58 0.27 1.13 1.99 2.85

* Includes a discount of 15% of the project valuation (Jiangsu development discount): 15%

^Mt Cattlin produces ~56klbs/pa Ta2O5 in concentrate. Tantalum price forecast is US$85/lb to 4Q13, thence US$65/lb long term.

Key Assumptions*

RESOURCE ESTIMATES

Tantalum (Ta2O5)

Mt % kt ppm

Current Mt Cattlin Reserve 11.4 1.05 120 147

Current Mt Cattlin Resource (incl reserve) 15.9 1.08 172 161

Resource upside for 20 years prod'n 4 1.08 43 161

Total conceptual resource 20 1.08 216 161

MINING METHOD Open pit

PROCESS METHOD Spodume mineral concentration At Mt Cattlin, WA

Lithium carbonate production Expected at Jiangsu, China (or interim 3rd party plant)

PRODUCTION RATE :mtpa 1.0 Head grade 1.1% Li2O. 3.4mtpa including waste (strip 2.4:1)

:contained metal 8.22ktpa Li2O As concentrate grading 6% Li2O, with 56klbspa Ta2O5

:lithium carbonate 17ktpa Expected at Jiangsu

CAPITAL COSTS :A$m 79 Plus expected A$72.5m for Jiangsu

OPERATING COSTS :A$/t 41 Mt Cattlin only, tonne ore

:US$/t 4,353 Li Carb at Jiangsu, backed out from GXY revenue projections

TAX :% 30 Australia

ROYALTY :% 4 WA

MINE LIFE :Years 16 Conceptual 20 year resource modelled

COMMISSION DATE : 3Q10 Mt Cattlin Mine. Jiangsu from 2Q11.

* These figures are preliminary and may be refined with ongoing production at Mt Cattlin and the announcement of final costs for the Jiangsu LiCarb plant.

Sensitivity

Lithium (Li2O)

Mt Cattlin Li-Ta spodumene mine, WA

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 21

Market Update: Lithium

Investment Comment

Increasing intensity of lithium use could require new capacity beyond

2014. Resources are ample but could be slow to bring online, due to

financial and technical hurdles faced by some projects. Relatively flat

price forecasts represent stable revenue in a growing sector. There is an

opportunity for developers, with projects that are advanced or can be

fast tracked, to gain market share as demand increases.

Pricing

Lithium carbonate is trading in the range US$5,500-US$6,500/t, having

improved from the US$5,300/t average of 2009. The CAGR of Li

carbonate 2005-2009 was 6.2%, with 2.0% forecast for 2010-2014

(Source: ASX:GXY). By 2015, nominal prices are expected to approach

those seen before the GFC (2007, US$6,731/t; 2015, US$6,757/t).

Chinese lithium carbonate export prices in US$/t 2000-2009,

plus forecast 2010-2015.

Source: Galaxy Resources

Market: Supply and Demand

The main producers of lithium in 2009 were Chile (brines, 7.4kt Li),

Australia (pegmatites, 4.4kt), China (2.3kt) and Argentina (2.2kt), with

a total 18kt Li, down from 25.4kt in 2008 (Source: USGS). Li converts to

Li carbonate at ~5:1 by mass, i.e. LiCarb production in 2009 was ~95kt.

Global reserves are thought to be 9.9Mt Li, of which 76% are in Chile.

World consumption of Li by end use (t Li Carbonate; Roskill)

Lithium producers,

current or near-term,

will be well placed to

take advantage of

forecast increases in Li

price and demand.

Lithium carbonate is

selling for ~US$5,500-

US$6,500/t.

CAGR of 2% is

forecast for 2010-

2014.

Li is produced from

brines and pegmatites,

with ~95kt Li

carbonate in 2009.

Other than batteries,

uses include ceramics

and glass, and

lubricants.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 22

Li carbonate consumption in 2008 was ~120kt but fell 15% in 2009 due

to the GFC. It is expected to recover by +11% to ~113ktpa in 2010 and

be ~148kt by 2013 (+31.5% from 2010). [Source: USGS, Roskill]. The

three main uses of lithium by industry sector in 2009 were ceramics and

glass (31%), batteries (23%) and greases (9%-10%).

The USGS (US Geological Survey) publishes an annual commodity

summary about Li. Important points from the 2010 edition:

Batteries, especially rechargeables, are the market for lithium

compounds with the largest growth potential.

Automobile companies are developing lithium batteries for

electric vehicles, although most such vehicles currently use other types.

The US has invested $2.4B to help develop its domestic battery

and electric vehicle industries. The Li-ion battery supply chain (material-

manufacture-recycle) received ~$940M in grant money.

Li batteries are gaining favour due to low heavy metal content (e.g. Pb,

Cd, Hg), long life, fast recharge and high power/weight ratios compared

to traditional Pb acid, NiCad and Ni hydride rechargeables.

Galaxy Resources (after Market Avenue) reports that Li-ion battery

output increased 29% between 2007 and 2008, with sales of

US$8.03Bn. Strong demand is expected to continue, in line with global

demand for electric vehicles, especially in China.

Current and forecast total lithium carbonate demand versus

productive capacity, 2008-2020.

Source: Roskill

Elemental Facts

Lithium is the lightest solid element, with atomic number 3. It is highly

reactive, with a high electrochemical potential and specific heat

capacity. These attributes make it especially useful for making batteries

and ceramics/glass. The most commonly traded forms of lithium are

mineral concentrates and refined lithium carbonate. Lithium is extracted

from pegmatites (igneous), brines (salar lakes) and hectorite clays.

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

Consumption of

~113kt is expected in

2010, for annual

growth of +11%.

The main growth area

for Li is battery

manufacture,

especially for electric

and hybrid vehicles.

The US has paid

US$940M to support

its domestic lithium

supply chain.

Li ion battery

manufacture increased

29% in 2007-2008.

This rate of growth

could require new Li

carbonate capacity

from 2014 onwards.

Lithium‟s low mass

and high electro-

chemical potential

make it useful for

battery manufacture.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 23

Market Update: Niobium

Investment Comment

Industry forecasts are for ferroniobium (FeNb) consumption growth of

~15% per annum to 2014. New niobium producers have a chance to

meet this increase in demand and find secure revenue in the form of

long-term supply contracts. Prices should remain stable (RCR long term

US$39/kg in FeNb) so long as CBMM does not feel its dominant market

position to be threatened, which is unlikely, as most advanced Nb

projects are of a much smaller scale than Araxa.

Pricing

All measures show that Nb prices have risen in the past several years,

and were quite resistant to the GFC, likely because Nb is only a small

portion of steel production costs, and the price is set by the main

producer, CBMM.

The current EU price in FeNb is US$42-42.50/kg. The 2009 low, of

US$34/kg, was reached in March 2009. This was ~25% below the

previous high (in March 2008), which compares favourably to declines in

base metal prices of ~40% or more over the same period. RCR‟s long-

term forecast for modelling purposes is US$39/kg Nb in FeNb, based on

the apparent stability of Nb prices at or near the current levels.

Ferroniobium import prices, Chinese yuan (66% Nb from Brazil)

Market: Supply and Demand

Over the period 2002-2007, the annualised rate of growth in global

production of FeNb (21%) was more than 2.5x the rate of growth in

steel production (8%). Long-term growth of Nb consumption has been

7.9% pa (1990-2007), compared to 4.1%pa for steel over the same

period.

With 15% pa growth forecast, and a steady price, the outlook for Nb is strong. Prices were resilient in the face of the Global Financial Crisis … This was helped by the refusal of CBMM to lower its price, which the steel mills continued to pay. The Nb market has grown at the rate of 7.9% per annum between 1990 and 2007.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 24

FeNb consumption versus crude steel production

Prior to the GFC, global production of FeNb was ~60kt (contained Nb).

Media reports in mid 2010 from the leading producer, CBMM of Brazil,

indicated that volumes had recovered to ~80% of these levels and that

the market could be fully recovered by early 2011. Brazil is by far the

largest producer of Nb, with 93.5% of world production (Source: USGS).

China is a major force in consumption of the metal: it currently

represents ~20% of FeNb use and >50% of the growth in this market.

This gap could close over the next 20 years due to modernisation and

increasing sophistication of steel production in China and other

developing markets; over this period, the percentage of steel products

using niobium could increase from 10-12% presently to over 20%

(Sources: GBE and Roskill Information Services; RCR).

In terms of companies, there are currently three major producers of

ferro-niobium: industry leader CBMM (Araxa deposit, Brazil), and two

„second tier‟ producers, Anglo American (Catalao mine, Brazil) and

IAMGOLD (Niobec mine, Canada). CBMM currently holds 76% market

share, with 6-8% each for the others. The Araxa reserve grade at 2.5%

Nb2O5 is orders of magnitude higher than its competitors‟ (1.2%

Catalao, 0.6% Niobec) and at 500mt it is more than ten times as large

as the other two put together. In other words, CBMM dominates global

Nb production. In terms of new projects coming online, only Mabounié in

Gabon (Eramet) could threaten any of CBMM‟s market share (resource

350mt @ 1% Nb2O5) but the project must overcome poor recoveries and

high capex before it can enter production.

Elemental Facts

Approximately 90% of Nb is consumed as FeNb by the steel industry, in

high-strength low alloy (HSLA) steel products for construction projects,

oil and gas pipelines and the automobile and shipping industries.

Niobium is not an exchange traded commodity: 95% of FeNb is sold

under individually negotiated contracts based on a benchmark price set

by the main producer, CBMM (Brazil). Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

Ferroniobium producer Niobec is forecasting 15% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for FeNb consumption in 2010. China consumes 20% of FeNb but is the driving force behind increasing intensity of usage. World Nb production is dominated by Brazil (93.5% in 2008) and specifically by one producer, CBMM, which sets the FeNb price. Niobium is used primarily by the steel industry. Prices are decided by negotiation of individual contracts.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 25

Market Update: Tantalum

Investment Comment

A tantalum supply shortfall has lifted prices and is expected to last until

at least 2013. This could benefit companies that can provide a long-term

supply of ethically produced tantalum. RCR‟s long-term price forecast,

based on the assumptions of Ta industry participants (e.g. ASX:GBE) is

US$143/kg (US$65/lb) Ta2O5.

Pricing

The current price of Ta as tantalite (30% Ta2O5) is US$80-95/lb Ta2O5

(Metal Pages). This is (on average) 154% higher than the 2009 low

(August, 2009; US$33.00-36.00/lb Ta2O5), which was the lowest price

since March 2007 (US$32.22-34.33/lb Ta2O5).

The increase is recent and is due largely to anticipation of a supply

shortage as the market is starved of DRC tantalite. This shortage is

expected to last until at least 2013 (Source: Gippsland Minerals).

Tantalite basis 30% Ta2O5

Market: Supply and Demand

Before the GFC, global Ta2O5 consumption was estimated to be 6mlbs

per annum. Industry commentators suggest that the market is growing

at ~ 7% per annum (Sources: GBE, Gippsland Ltd).

Leading commercial consumers are HC Starck GmbH ( part of German

conglomerate Bayer AG), as well as Cabot Corporation (USA), Ulba OJSC

(Kazakhstan), Mitsui-Kinzoku (Japan) and Ningxia Non-Ferrous Metals

(China) plus various other Chinese groups.

The supply deficit in Ta markets could last beyond 2013.

Tantalum prices are commonly reported as lbs of its main ore mineral, tantalite. Ta prices have soared 150% in the past year, partly due to international measures taken against the DRC, which supplies “conflict tantalum”. Ta consumers are manufacturers of advanced technology, in Europe, Asia and the USA.

Resource Capital Research

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Until recently, the state of play in tantalum production was quite

unclear. According to the USGS, world mine production of Ta metal in

2008 and 2009 was ~1.16kt-1.17kt. From 2005-2008, approximately

equal proportions were supplied as ores and concentrates, metal, and

scrap.

For concentrates, 53% was supplied by Australia. The major Ta metal

producer was Brazil (23%) and the biggest secondary producer (waste

and scrap) was China (27%).

Until 2009, the major corporate producer of tantalum was Talison

Minerals from its Wodinga mine in WA‟s Pilbara. However, this closed

during the GFC. It is uncertain when or if this mine will re-open.

Obviously, the downturn in Ta-intensive industries during the GFC led to

Wodinga‟s closure and prevented any problems with undersupply.

The market is complicated by the considerable black market for Ta

(about 20% of the global market), illegally supplied by artisanal mines

in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and allegedly used to fund a

civil war in that country, ie. “conflict tantalum”.

In July 2010, however, the US Congress passed the Financial Stability

Act, which requires US companies to disclose if their products contain

tantalum (and tin, tungsten or gold) that is sourced from the DRC or

adjoining countries. This should prevent the use of DRC material and,

due to the stringent supply chain reporting requirements of the Act, may

also turn buyers away from the adjoining countries (being Uganda,

Rwanda, Burundi, Kenya, Tanzania, Zambia, Angola, Republic of Congo

[Brazzaville], Sudan and the Central African Republic).

Elemental Facts

Tantalum is used in diverse high technology applications. It is resistant

to corrosion, has a low thermal coefficient of expansion, and a high

dielectric constant, so its main uses are in capacitors (e.g. for consumer

electronics), chemical plant and equipment, aviation turbine blades and,

as tantalum carbide, for cutting tools. The majority of the world‟s

tantalum is sold via long-term offtake agreements. Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

Brazil and Australia were major producers of tantalum from 2005-2008 but the latter has ceased production. DRC illegal production complicates the market but the US Conflict Minerals Bill should remedy the problem.

Tantalum is used in

high-tech applications

such as capacitors

and alloys.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 27

Market Update: Tungsten

Investment Comment

Industry participants and commentators are bullish about the medium-

term outlook for tungsten. For example, Icon Resources (III:ASX)

recently stated: “The market price for [concentrates and APT] has

improved from mid-2009 returning to pre-GFC levels. Recent market

analysis has projected longer-term strength for tungsten, particularly for

non-Chinese supply beyond 2012, with supply shortages indicated from

2013.” Annual Report 2010.

These forecasts are based partly on concern about security of supply for

manufacturers, in view of China‟s policy of falling export quotas and high

tariffs (e.g. 20% on ferrotungsten), and its intent to boost

manufacturing. This scenario favours existing producers, and companies

with tungsten projects that can enter production within 2-3 years.

Pricing

Prices have recovered to pre-GFC levels, during which they had a

relatively soft landing due to simultaneous cuts in demand and

production. For mine modelling, RCR has used US$150/mtu contained

tungsten in 65% concentrate.

The current price of ferrotungsten in Europe at 75% W is US$385-

400/mtu (of contained W), APT to China (FOB) is US$297-302/mtu and

concentrate in China at 65% W is US$156-158/mtu (contained W).

These figures are typical of the value-add for increased tungsten

processing. Concentrate prices are up 56% year-on-year, 2009-2010,

and a healthy 19% quarter-on quarter.

Tungsten Industry Price Projections.

Source: Hazelwood Resources and CRU.

Companies with advanced tungsten developments could benefit from elevated prices, flowing from Chinese control (i.e. ~81%) over the current supply. Prices held steady during the GFC due to synchronous falls in supply and demand. Concentrate prices are up 56% Y-O-Y. The outlook to 2013 is positive, with further price increases predicted by most commentators. There is perceived to be upwards price risk due to pressure from China (decreasing export quotas and growing demand).

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 28

Market: Supply and Demand

China is the metal's prime consumer. For example, global consumption

of tungsten in 2007 was 62.9kt, of which China accounted for 31.6%, or

19.8kt. Its consumption of the metal has more than doubled over the

last decade. From 1998 to end-2007, global consumption of tungsten

grew at 5.8% per annum, with the other significant tungsten consumers

being the U.S., Western Europe and Japan. Consumption fell below 60kt

in 2009 but is widely forecast to exceed 60kt in 2010, and approach

80kt in 2013 (e.g. CRU).

China dominated world tungsten production in 2009 (~81%).

China81%

Other6%

Russia4%

Canada3%

Austria2%

Bolivia2%

Portugal2%

Source: USGS.

Global tungsten metal production in 2008 was 55.9kt (USGS) and an

estimated 58kt in 2009 (an increase of ~3.8%). Of the 2009 estimate,

China accounted for 81%, producing 47kt. It was followed by Russia

(2.4kt), Canada (2kt) and Austria (1kt). The 2008-2009 increase was

accounted for by China (+3.5kt), while the rest of the world decreased

output by 1.4kt due to the Global Financial Crisis.

Elemental Facts

Tungsten is the hardest metal, and has a high density (19.25g/cc;

slightly less than gold, 19.3g/cc), melting point and tensile strength.

Tungsten is mined from or adjacent to igneous rocks (e.g. in skarns). It

has two economically important minerals: wolframite ((Fe,Mn)WO4) and

scheelite (CaWO4). The majority of the world‟s 2.8Mt economic reserves

are held by China (with 1.8Mt or 64%. Source :USGS).

Tungsten is primarily used in wear-resistant cemented carbides aka

hardmetals (56%) and steel/alloys (20%), as well as in lighting,

heating, and welding applications. Tungsten chemical compounds are

used in catalysts, inorganic pigments, and high-temperature lubricants.

Tungsten is sold in five common forms – APT (ammonium

paratungstate), ferrotungsten, tungsten concentrate (usually 65%

WO3), and tungsten carbide and oxides. Prices are quoted in $US or

RMB and the main units are mtu (metric tonne units, of 10kg WO3, ie

7.9kg W) and kilograms. It is usually sold on long-term contract.

Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

The world‟s largest consumer of tungsten is China, which used 31.6% of the 2007 total of 62.9kt. Global 2009 mine production was ~58kt, of which China accounted for ~81%. China increased production in the GFC, while the rest of the world cut back. The main application for tungsten is in „hardmetal‟, as tungsten carbide. In China, steel-making accounts for the highest % use. Ferrotungsten is used for steelmaking, while APT feeds into the cemented carbide and chemical stream.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 29

Market update: Rare Earth Elements

Investment Comment

RCR recently attended the Sixth International Rare Earths Conference,

organised by Roskill and Metal Events, to gain a clearer picture of this

complex sector. Industry forecasts are for 6%-10% annual growth in

total REE demand to 2015. Given China‟s almost complete dominance of

REE production (~95%), there is an opportunity for new producers to

take advantage of high prices and demand by ensuring security of

supply to non-Chinese buyers. Rare earth projects, due to their chemical

complexity, can take up to 20 years to develop, so only advanced or

geochemically simple projects will be able to come online in the near

term. Gains in 2H10 by REE equities were driven by fundamentals, but

there has been a recent withdrawal from a speculative peak.

Pricing

Recovery from the GFC, combined with China‟s decision to cut REO

quotas, has driven some prices to historic highs. This includes the LREE,

which are more common and less valuable the HREE. For example, the

biggest gain has been cerium (Ce) over 12 months, up 1527%. These

prices will only be sustainable in the medium and long term to the

extent they are driven by supply-demand fundamentals. This could

favour the HREE.

Changes in reported REO prices over 3 and 12 months

Rare Earth Oxide

Current

price

US$/kg

September

18, 2010

November

18, 2009

3mth %

change

12mth %

change

Lanthanum 56.0 40.5 5.5 38 918

Cerium 61.0 36.0 3.8 69 1527

Praseodymium 72.0 59.5 18.8 21 284

Neodymium 80.5 62.5 19.3 29 318

Samarium 34.5 33.3 4.5 4 667

Europium 630.0 595.0 480.0 6 31

Gadolinium 44.5 40.0 5.8 11 674

Dysprosium 295.0 288.0 111.5 2 165

Terbium 605.0 595.0 350.0 2 73

Yttrium 55.5 34.5 10.3 61 441

Light Rare Earths

Heavy Rare Earths

USD FOB ex-China per kilogram' 99% purity; prices are bid-offer mid points.

Source: Metal Pages, RCR

Market: Supply and Demand

The USGS estimates that world REO production in both 2008 and 2009

was 124kt, of which 120kt (96.8%) came from China. It also estimates

that China has 36% of the total global REO economic reserves of 99mt,

followed by the CIS (19%) and USA (13%). Consumption in 2010 is

forecast to be 125kt REO (Source: IMCOA).

The main importer of REE metals and compounds in 2008 was Japan,

with a combined 34.3kt, while China exported 55kt (BGS). It is clear

that the majority of rare earths are both mined and consumed in China.

BCC Research forecasts 7-9% compound annual growth rate in global

REE demand over 5 years from 2009, which equates to a +60kt increase

in demand, against a supply increase of +40kt. The IMCOA forecasts 6-

10% growth from 2010-2015. Looking forward to 2015, actual

Companies with

advanced projects are

well positioned to gain

from the rare earths

boom.

Some REO prices are

at 10 year highs.

The average,

unweighted 12 month

price increase for the

REO shown in this

table is 510%. The

most valuable

elements (Dy, Eu and

Tb) each have 25%

export tariffs in China;

the others 15%.

China dominates the

global REE trade, with

96.8% of the 124kt

production in 2009.

Demand for REE is

forecast to grow at 7-

9% per annum over

the five years to 2014,

against a 5% increase

in supply.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 30

consumption is forecast to be 180-185kt TREO (total rare earth oxides)

by both BCC and the IMCOA. However, more than this will need to be

produced, as the mined REO ratios do not match the spectrum of

demand, creating pinch points for some elements (e.g. dysprosium for

magnets) and excess of others (e.g. the more common cerium).

Accordingly, it is forecast that supply will have to be in the range of 200-

210kt REO. Recently (August 2010) the China Society of Rare Earths

stated China could supply 160-170kt REO in 2015; sufficient for its own

needs (120kt) plus some exports, but 30-50kt short of global demand.

Rare earths, forecast supply and demand curves

Source: IMCOA, Roskill

China‟s REO export quota for 2H10 was 7,976t, a 64.2% decrease from

the 22,282t REO allocated in 1H10 to both Chinese and foreign-owned

companies and a 72% drop from the 28,417t allocated in 2H09. This

brought the export quota for 2010 down to 30,258t REO, -40% from the

2009 quota (Metal Pages, July 2010). China‟s reasoning is that it wants

to conserve REE resources and add value to them in China. It is also

seeking to reduce the inefficiency, environmental damage and REE

smuggling that are a consequence of having numerous small-scale

unregulated producers (e.g. the REE clay mines of southern China).

In Sep-Oct ‟10 there were reports that REE exports from China to Japan

had ceased, and that China was using its dominant market position to

gain leverage in political disputes. This drove a speculative surge in

share prices for many REE stocks, which has since cooled due to

reassurances from China and a US Dept. of Defence (DOD) report that

China‟s monopoly poses no threat to US national security.

Elemental Facts

The rare earth elements (REE) are the 15 lanthanoid elements (atomic

numbers 57 to 71). They are divided into the light rare earths (LREE,

lanthanum to samarium) and heavy rare earths (HREE, europium to

lutetium). Many deposits are related to alkaline igneous rocks or

weathered materials such as laterites. REE are used in high growth

sectors: energy, electronics and technology, and the environment, e.g.

they are a component in some rechargeable batteries and the magnets

in electric motors. REE are also used as phosphors in energy-efficient

light globes, and in the screens of LCD displays. In 2010, according to

the IMCOA, uses of REO (rare earth oxides) will include magnets (21%),

catalysts (20%), alloys (18%), polishing (15%) and glass (9%). Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

This could create

severe undersupply of

some elements,

especially the scarce

middle and heavy rare

earths.

This graph shows the

looming supply issues

for the REE market.

Demand growth must

be met by production

outside China.

China has dramatically

cut export quotas for

2H10 …

… which led to a jump

in equity prices,

though the market has

recently cooled.

The main REE minerals

are bastnäsite and

monazite

REE have numerous

high growth

applications.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 31

Market Update: Zirconium and Zircon

Investment Comment

Currently, there are few greenfields zircon projects under development.

This could create supply tightness in the near to medium term (ie 1-3

years) and favourable market conditions- ie moderately to strongly

increasing demand - for existing or near-term zircon suppliers.

Pricing

According to Iluka, consensus broker zircon price forecasts for 2010 to

2013 average US$861; US$906; US$927 and US$1,016, respectively.

The average broker forecast CAGR in pricing from 2010 to 2013 is 5.7%.

Zircon Prices in nominal dollars (FOB), historic and forecast

(August 2010).

Market: Supply and Demand

The main producers of zircon in 2009 were Australia (510kt), South

Africa (395kt) and China (140kt), with a total estimate 1.23Mt (Source:

USGS), the majority from heavy mineral sands.

Global consumption of zircon in 2012 could be an estimated 1.4Mtpa. Of

this, 18% or 250Ktpa will be for zirconia and Zr chemicals (Source:

TZMI, Alkane Resources).

As is the case with most commodities, consumption by China has a

significant effect on demand. China imports more than 80% of its zircon

– one of its highest material import dependencies.

Australia‟s Iluka Resources (ASX:ILU) estimates that an appreciable

increase in current zircon prices would be needed to induce new supply.

This is partly because zircon production is closely associated with

titanium production, through heavy mineral sands (in which the current

zircon/TiO2 ratio is ~0.2), i.e. titanium prices would also need to rise in

order to bring on new heavy mineral projects. Any increase in demand

beyond ~1.4Mt-1.5Mtpa zircon in the period 2012-2014, even with a

50% price increase, could create a supply shortage.

Price increases to

benefit producers and

those with production

visibility. A potential

supply crunch would

provide the chance to

gain Zr market share.

Current zircon price is

US$1,100/t.

Average CAGR broker

zircon forecasts 2010-

2013 is 5.7%.

Global zircon

consumption in 2009

was ~1.23Mt, with

1.4Mt forecast for

2012.

China imports +80%

of the zircon it

consumes.

Production could

remain at ~1.4-

1.5mtpa through

2011-2015, even with

a 50% price increase.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 32

Zircon demand by end use, 2000 to 2012.

Zircon supply: induced new projects at 0%, 25% and 50%price

rises on 2008 levels (Source: Iluka).

Source: Iluka

Elemental Facts

Zirconium in economic concentrations occurs most commonly in the

silicate mineral zircon (ZrSiO4). Due to its hardness, zircon is resistant

to weathering and is often found in heavy mineral sand deposits, along

with iron-titanium minerals such as rutile and ilmenite. It also occurs in

hard rock rare metal deposits. According to the USGS: “Ceramics,

foundry applications, opacifiers, and refractories are the leading end

uses for zircon. Other end uses … include abrasives, chemicals, metal

alloys, welding rod coatings, and sandblasting.” Metallic zirconium and

zirconia (ZrO2) are used by the nuclear and chemical industries. Analyst: Dr Trent Allen

Zircon and zirconia are

extremely hard; their

main use is in

ceramics and

refractory coatings.

The use of zircon for

ceramics is increasing

over time.

Zr production from

mineral sands is

buffered by Ti

demand, and there is a

lack of grassroots

projects - so even big

Zr prices might see a

delay in new output.

Zirconium, as the

mineral zircon, is

primarily extracted

from heavy mineral

sands. Zirconium is

also found in hard rock

rare metal deposits.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 33

Report Contributors Trent Allen: Trent has a BSc (Hons) and a PhD from the University of Sydney, specialising in the

petrology, trace-element geochemistry and economic geology of alkaline igneous rocks. His

Australian mining industry experience includes several years with Newcrest‟s Cadia Valley

gold/copper mines, where he was engaged in resource definition and geotechnical engineering.

Trent has also worked as an exploration consultant, university lecturer in geology and civil

engineering, and as a journalist and newspaper editor.

Tony Parry: Tony has extensive experience in metallurgical process development, (working with MIM

Limited for five years) and in mining equity research, equity sales and mining corporate finance

(working in London for five years and subsequently Perth). He was a founding Director and CEO of

an ASX listed exploration company and has been engaged extensively as a strategic planning

consultant to many small-medium enterprises. Tony‟s qualifications include a BSc (Hons) in

Metallurgy and a PhD in Metallurgy from the University of NSW.

John Wilson: John has a background in mining, finance and equity research. He worked on Wall

Street for 6 years and has covered US, Australian and Latin American mining stocks. He has also

worked with BHP in their minerals division. Qualifications include an MBA from the Wharton School

of the University of Pennsylvania and a Bachelor of Engineering from the University of Sydney.

Resource Capital Research

Rare and Minor Metals Company Review, December Q 2010. Disclaimer and disclosure attached. Copyright© 2010 by Resource Capital Research Pty Ltd. All rights reserved. 34

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