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4th October 2018
Ramelius Resources Ltd (RMS) – Initiation Speculative Buy – PT $0.60
Ryan Armstrong
(02 9377 1500)
Capital Summary Ordinary Shares 528.5m
Unlisted Options 3.0m
Unlisted Performance Rights 9.2m
Market Capitalisation (m, undil.) $251.1
Net cash/gold (m) – 30/6 $95.5
Share Price (3/10/2018) $0.475
52 week high/low $0.635/$0.33
Share Price Graph
Directors Mark Zeptner Managing Director
Kevin Lines Non-Exec Chairman
Michael Bohm Non-Exec Director
David Southam Non-Exec Director
Dom Francese Company Secretary
Major Shareholders Ruffer LLP 10.0%
Van Eck 7.4%
Dimensional Fund 4.8%
Credit Suisse Group 2.5%
USAA Investment Management Co. 2.4%
Investment Highlights Ramelius Resources’ current assets include:
- Mt Magnet: Flagship asset and location of
processing facility (operates at ~2Mtpa)
- Vivien Mine: Underground operation that
provides high grade feed to Mt Magnet
(haulage of ~300km)
- Edna May: Purchased from Evolution
Mining was finalised in October 2017 for
$90m ($40m up-front with $50m of
contingent payments). Is expected to
contribute 80-85koz of production in
FY2019
FY2018 Production (actual) = 208,118oz @ AISC
A$1,191/oz. FY2019 Guidance = 200-220koz @
AISC A$1,150-1,250/oz
Mineral Resources stand at ~3.5Moz and
Mineral Reserves ~700koz (all numbers exclude
recently announced Marda acquisition)
Production from Mt Magnet (including
underground ore that is being delivered from
the Vivien operation) will account for ~57% of
projected production.
Total capital expenditure (non-sustaining) for
RMS across Mt Magnet and Edna May for
FY2019 is projected to be ~$33m. This includes
exploration expenditure of ~$13.5m.
On 10th
September 2018, RMS announced an
off-market takeover for Explaurum Limited
(EXU). The offer was for 1 RMS share for every
4 EXU shares; leaving EXU shareholders with
ownership of 19.8% of RMS on a pro forma
basis. Explaurum has a strategically located
asset (Tampia Hill with ~675koz of gold
Resources) ~130km from Edna May.
Ramelius has also signed a binding agreement
to purchase the Marda Gold Project for $13m.
The project is within trucking distance of the
Edna May mill and reinforces the growth plan
of strategic acquisitions.
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Valuation
Price Target (Fully Diluted inc. EXU takeover)
$0.60
Spot Gold Price (A$/oz) 1,650
PRODUCTION DETAILS
Mt Magnet FY18A FY19 FY20
Mining
Ore (kt) 3,515 3,500 3,700
Grade (g/t) 1.85 1.98 1.98
Production Details:
Milled (kt) 4,005 4,200 4,200
Gold Grade (Head) (g/t) 1.71 1.65 1.69
Gold recovery (%) 94 94 94
Produced:
Gold (ozs) 208,118 210,000 215,000
Cost Details:
Mining (A$/t) 26.4 29.7 33.0
Milling (A$/t) 18.9 19.0 19.0
G&A (A$/t) `6.9 7.0 7.0
Hedging:
Ounces Hedged (oz) 89,500 110,250 30,000
Average Price (A$/oz) 1,698 1,708 1,758
Valuation:
Total Gold Revenue (A$m) 337.2 352.9 358.0
C1 Cash Costs (A$m) 187.1 199.6 211.5
All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) (A$m) 241.9 254.4 266.3
Net Cash Flow (not inc. gold holdings) (A$m) -3.5 33.5 34.5
Net Cash Position* (A$m) 75.0 108.5 143.0
TC NPV Value (inc. cash position and takes into account current Reserves) (A$m) 317.2
*It is worth noting that RMS was estimated to have ~A$20.5m worth of gold as at 30th
June 2018
Sensitivity Modelling
Remaining gold hedging of ~140.25koz (average price of ~A$1,719/oz out to December 2019) has
been accounted for within the sensitivity model below. A discount rate of 8% was used for the NPV
calculations.
Spot Gold Price (A$/oz) for 1,500 1,550 1,600 1,650 1,700 1,750 1,800
RMS Valuation (c) 43 49 55 60 65 69 73
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ASX Comparables – Gold Producers
Company RMS SLR RSG SAR SBM RRL EVN NST
FY19 Production
(Guidance) 200-220koz 140-150koz 300koz 325-345koz 350-375koz 340-370koz 720-770koz 850-900koz
AISC (A$/oz) 1,150-1,250 1,350-1,390 1,280 1,050-1,100 1,030-1,100 985-1,055 850-900 1,050-1,150
Net Cash/Gold
(A$m) 95.5 106 114.4 118 344.0 209 -72 263.0
Market Cap ($m) 251.1 261.6 799.2 1,517.5 1,766.9 1,922.0 4,463.0 5,345.8
Mt Magnet Gold Mine
Open Pit
Milky Way and Stellar West pits were the primary ore sources for Mt Magnet. Minor delays were
experienced during the June Quarter due to wet weather and the resultant wet pit floors being
mined through the transitional/fresh rock interface. Claimed high-grade ore mined at Mt Magnet
(including underground Water Tank Hill ore) was ~442,000 tonnes @ 1.55g/t (21,991oz) in the June
Quarter.
Figure 1 - Milky Way open pit
Underground
Stope production continued at Water Tank Hill during the Quarter with claimed mined production of
53,012 tonnes @ 4.70 g/t (8,034oz).
Processing
Total mill production (Mt Magnet and Vivien) was 554,579 tonnes @ 1.80 g/t (32,171oz) at a
recovery of 95.4% and AISC of A$1,243/oz in the June 2018 Quarter. Guidance for the September
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2018 Quarter is approximately 30koz; expected to be delivered at an AISC of A$1,300/oz.
Throughput is expected to be lower in the September Quarterly, due to a planned 6-monthly SAG
mill re-line, which occurred in July 2018; although a higher feed grade should offset this.
Vivien Gold Mine
Ore development From the Vivien Mine was sourced from five production levels. Development in
the upper south 380 level was very encouraging with good lode mined as expected. Total claimed
mined production was 63,691 tonnes @ 6.50 g/t (13,318 oz) and ore haulage from Vivien to Mt
Magnet continued and attributed mill production was 71,549 tonnes @ 5.40 g/t (12,042 oz). AISC
continue to remain below A$1,000/oz and the current Reserve Vivien stands at 370kt @ 6.5g/t
(77koz). RMS is planning a new underground drill drive for deeper drilling down to 1km below
surface to further increase the mine life.
Figure 2 – Vivien Underground Quartz Veining
Edna May Gold Mine
Mining
Production from the Stage 2 open pit continued and claimed high-grade ore mined was 643,549
tonnes @ 1.35 g/t (28,017oz) and a further 202,482 tonnes of low-grade material at 0.47g/t
(3,075oz) was also mined during the June Quarter. The strip ratio continues to reduce as the open pit
reaches its finality.
July & August production at Edna May of 17,088oz is ahead of Guidance and mine life continues to
be the priority for Ramelius. The remainder of the Stage 2 open pit, the additional Greenfinch open
pit (discussed later in the report) and stockpiles should provide mill feed until early 2020.
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Ramelius have recently announced plans to develop underground at Edna May. This allows for a low
capital cost, high grade production scenario at Edna May, which will fit in well with potential future
developments at Marda and Tampia Hill. The Resource is open at depth with possibility to extend
mine life beyond current Ore Reserve position, which stands at 398,000 tonnes @ 4.8 g/t Au for
61,000 ounces. Approximately A$20m of capital development has already been incurred by
Evolution Mining Ltd. to develop mine portal and 250m of vertical development. Ramelius is
expected to recommence underground mining operations in early-2019.
Key financials for the initial mine plan include:
Up-front Capital: A$5.9m
Operating Unit Cost: A$1,089/oz
Royalties: A$153/oz
AISC: A$1,242/oz
Figure 3 – Edna May Underground Proposed Mine Layout
Processing
Total material milled during the June Quarter was 646,507 tonnes @ 1.35 g/t for 26,596 recovered
ounces (gold poured 26,861 ounces). Unit costs continued to decrease as the Stage 2 open pit
deepened, with an AISC achieved of A$1,101/oz, giving an overall result for the nine months of
Ramelius ownership in FY2018 of 72,521 ounces poured at an AISC of A$1,203/oz.
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Production Targets (quarter by quarter) – FY2019
Group gold production for FY2019 is expected to be in line with FY2018, maintaining a plus-
200,000ozpa run rate, with production expected to be 200-220koz at an AISC of A$1,150–1,250/oz.
Figure 4 – Ramelius Resources’ Projected Production Profile FY2019
Tampia Hill Acquisition
Ramelius can utilise in-house expertise and capacity to fast track development of Tampia Hill
(currently owned by Explaurum Ltd), with the proposed mine development strategically located
(~130km by road from Edna May). The acquisition is significant and will secure Ramelius’ position in
the region, with the ability to map-out a longer term project that can satisfy the current mill capacity
of 2.9Mtpa (ore production over the last 5 years has ranged between 2-3Mtpa at a head grade of
0.9-1.2 g/t).
Current JORC-compliant Resource/Reserve at Tampia Hill:
- 675koz Resources (11.7Mt at 1.79 g/t Au)
- 485koz Reserves (7.2Mt at 2.09 g/t Au)
There has also been a supergene zone (Mace) outlined in the current exploration program and this is
expected to add high grade surface ounces in the near term.
A Feasibility Study on the current Resource was completed May 2018 (by Explaurum) with the
following results:
- Simple open-pit mining, with mineralisation outcropping at surface
- 92% gold recovery
- Total gold production of 490koz
- Initial 5.3 year mine life at 1.5Mtpa ore production rate
- Pre-tax NPV of A$125m (discount rate 8%)
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If Ramelius can secure the asset (the bidder’s statement has been distributed - EXU shareholders
have been advised to take no action as yet), Ramelius will investigate both options as a stand-alone
asset, as well as the more likely scenario of integrating with the current Edna May operations.
Marda Gold Project Acquisition
Marda is located 191km north-northeast of Ramelius’ Edna May operations and contains a total of
333koz of Mineral Resources at 1.96g/t Au and 151koz of Ore Reserves at 2.30g/t Au. Ramelius
Resources has signed a binding agreement to purchase the Marda Gold Project and is once again
viewed as a strategic asset in the region. The project will provide options for RMS at Edna May and
presents a similar production scenario to what has been encountered at Mt Magnet (ie; large
trucking distance to a centralised mill).
Previously completed feasibility studies undertaken by Black Oak Mining Ltd. (BOK) in 2012 and 2013
demonstrated that on a ‘stand-alone’ milling basis the oxide deposits were forecast to achieve
overall metallurgical recovery of 95%. Gravity recovery accounted for approximately 60% of the
overall gold recovery in the confirmatory test work.
Figure 5 - Marda Gold Project location relative to Edna May Mine
Other Project Developments
Greenfinch Project (Edna May)
Approval processes for the Greenfinch pit have progressed, including an EPA submission,
consultation with stakeholders, and engagement with the local Shire in respect of relocation of the
Warrachuppin Road. Hydrology and geotechnical studies have been updated and Mining Proposal
and Clearing Permit documents were submitted.
The Approvals processes are ongoing; with RMS working through both Federal and State authorities.
Ore Reserves stand at 1.7Mt @ 1.2 g/t Au for 62koz and RMS is targeting commencement of
operations during the December 2018 Quarter.
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Shannon Project (Mt Magnet)
Good progress was made on the Shannon underground mine design and mining of the pit has been
brought forward to allow commencement of the underground project. Ore Reserves stand at
324,000 tonnes @ 5.2 g/t Au for 54koz and RMS is estimating Portal commencement will be in
January 2019.
Hill 60 Project (Mt Magnet)
The Hill 60 deposit is located 500m south of the current St George/Water Tank Hill underground
mine. Mineralisation is hosted within a north-striking, steep west-dipping, 3 to 10m wide BIF unit.
Previous mining includes historic shaft underground mining, occurring mainly between 1925 and
1942, with estimated production of 53koz. This was followed by mining of a 50m deep pit by
Harmony Gold in 2005. The pit targeted remnant lodes and lode margins and generated 220,000t @
2.64 g/t for 18,700 ounces. Recent drilling at Hill 60 was interpreted and a new resource model
generated. Mine design and evaluation of the model is now in progress and the approvals process
has commenced.
Exploration
Eridanus Prospect (Mt Magnet)
Spectacular high-grade results continue to be received from infill RC drilling (25m centres) at
Eridanus. The RC drilling is confirming a broad continuous supergene blanket of gold mineralisation
from 20mbs. Diamond drilling has identified a series of narrow northwest striking quartz healed
shears, quartz-tourmaline stockwork vein sets and lesser northeast striking sheared quartz healed
vein sets. Visible gold has been noted in northeast trending carbonate-quartz vein sets. An
understanding on the various vein arrays is underway but the current interpretation of shallow to
moderate southerly dipping mineralised fracture sets cut by steeper northwest and/or northeast
quartz healed veins remains unchanged.
A maiden mineral Resource/Reserve has been released:
- Resource: 3.53Mt @ 1.3 g/t Au for 146koz
- Reserve: 2.15Mt @ 1.2 g/t Au for 85koz
Lone Pine Prospect (Mt Magnet)
RC drilling was completed along the western flank of the mineralised ultramafic – porphyry contact
at Lone Pine to scope for deeper high-grade gold mineralisation below the shallow oxide pit.
Better assay results returned from the drilling include:
- 3m at 3.76 g/t Au from 72m + 2m at 7.12 g/t Au from 115m in GXRC1847, and
- 3m at 8.68 g/t Au from 154m + 4m at 5.38 g/t Au from 163m in GXRC1848
The drilling has identified a coherent 400 south plunging mineralised shoot that remains open with
depth. True widths are estimated to be 65% of the reported down hole intersections.
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Resources/Reserves (August 2018)
Resources
Reserves
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Directors and Management
Mark William Zeptner
BEng (Hons) Mining, MAusIMM, MAICD
MANAGING DIRECTOR
Mr Zeptner has more than 20 years’ experience in senior operational and management positions
associated with major gold and nickel assets in Australia and offshore and has been a director since
2015. Mr Zeptner is the Company’s Chief Executive Officer.
Michael Andrew Bohm
B.AppSc (Mining Eng.), MAusIMM, MAICD
INDEPENDENT NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
Mr Bohm is a graduate of the WA School of Mines and has been a director since 2012. Mr Bohm
brings to the Board his extensive experience as a mining professional with extensive corporate and
operational management skills in the minerals industry in Australia, South East Asia, Africa, Chile,
Canada and Europe. Mr Bohm is Chairman of the Nomination and Remuneration Committee and
member of the Audit and Risk Committee.
Kevin James Lines
BSc (Geology), MAusIMM, MAICD
INTERIM INDEPENDENT NON-EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN
Mr Lines has extensive experience in mineral exploration and mining for gold, copper, lead, zinc and
tin and has been a director since 2008. Mr Lines brings to the Board his extensive experience in the
assessment and evaluation of exploration projects and development of properties and mining
operations overseas. Mr Lines was appointed Independent Non-Executive Chairman following the
passing of Inaugural Chairman, Bob Kennedy. Mr Lines is Chairman of the Audit and Risk Committee
and the Due Diligence Committee and member of the Nomination and Remuneration Committee.
David Clifford Southam
B.Comm, CPA, MAICD
INDEPENDENT NON-EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
Mr Southam is a Certified Practising Accountant with more than 25 years’ experience in accounting,
capital markets and finance across the resources and industrial sectors. Mr Southam has been
intimately involved in several large project financings in multiple jurisdictions and has completed
significant capital market and M&A transactions.
Domenico Antonio Francese
B.Ec., FCA, FFin, FCIS, FGIA.
COMPANY SECRETARY
Mr Francese is a Chartered Accountant with an audit and investigations background and more than
12 years’ experience in a regulatory and supervisory role with ASX. He has been employed by
Ramelius Resources Limited since 1 April 2003 and was the inaugural Chief Financial Officer until 1
November 2015. Mr Francese is a Fellow of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in Australia and
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New Zealand, a Fellow of Finsia, a Fellow of the Governance Institute of Australia and a Fellow of the
Chartered Institute of Secretaries.
Tim Manners
BBus (Accounting), FCA, AGIA, MAICD.
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Mr Manners is a finance professional with over 20 years experience in accounting, corporate finance
and financial management functions in the resources industry. Mr Manners has been involved in
exploration, developing and producing companies both in Australia and overseas. Mr Manners has
held the senior financial position in companies within the precious, base and bulk commodities
sectors, including Gold Road Resources Ltd, Phoenix Gold Ltd, Bathurst Resources Ltd and Perilya Ltd.
Mr Manners joined Ramelius Resources Limited in July 2017 and is a Fellow of the Institute of
Chartered Accountants in Australia and New Zealand.
Duncan Coutts
BEng (Hons) Mining, MAusIMM, MAICD
CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER
Mr Coutts is a qualified mining engineer with more than 20 years resource industry experience. He
holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Hons) in Mining Engineering from the Western Australian School of
Mines in Kalgoorlie. Recently he has been providing technical and operational consulting services to
iron ore and gold focused mining companies. Prior to this consulting work, Duncan was CEO of the
privately owned iron ore producer Kimberley Metals Group, located in the Kimberley region of
Western Australia. Mr Coutts has also held positions of General Manager – Development with ASX
listed Galaxy Resources Ltd, Chief Development Officer with ASX listed Metals X Ltd, and Chief
Operating Officer for Harmony Gold Australia where he was responsible for the management and
project development of operations in Western Australia, Northern Territory and Papua New Guinea.
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Disclaimer
The following Warning, Disclaimer and Disclosure relate to all material presented in this document and should be read
before making any investment decision.
Warning (General Advice Only): Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This report is a
private communication to clients and intending clients and is not intended for public circulation or publication or for the
use of any third party, without the approval of Taylor Collison Limited ABN 53 008 172 450 ("Taylor Collison"), an Australian
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a wholly owned subsidiary of Taylor Collison Limited. While the report is based on information from sources that Taylor
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Date Prepared: October 2018
Analyst: Ryan Armstrong
Release Authorised by: David Cutten