race vulcan securing centre stage in the european lithium

6
21 October 2021 Raising Target Price Vulcan Energy Resources Limited EV Materials Canaccord Genuity is the global capital markets group of Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. (CF : TSX) The recommendations and opinions expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal, independent and objective views about any and all the companies and securities that are the subject of this report discussed herein. Rating SPECULATIVE BUY unchanged Price Target A$21.00from A$16.75 VUL-ASX Price A$13.57 Market Data 52-Week Range (A$) : 0.15 - 15.31 Avg Daily Vol (M) : 8.0 Market Cap (A$M) : 1,662.4 Shares Out. (M) : 122.5 Enterprise Value (A$M) : 1,431 NAV /Shr (A$) : 21.00 Net Cash (A$M) : 12.2 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 VUL S&P/ASX Emerging Companies (rebased) Source: FactSet Priced as of close of business 20 October 2021 Vulcan is a European lithium development company progressing the Zero Carbon Lithium project in Germany. The development envisages a 40ktpa lithium hydroxide operation using DLE from geothermal wells which will also generate carbon free power. The process is expected to be carbon negative based life cycle analysis and if achieved, Vulcan would fundamentally change the carbon emission structure of the lithium industry. Link to initiation Not unconventional... Untapped Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited has received a fee as Joint Lead Manager to the Vulcan Energy Resources Limited Capital Raising announced 2 February 2021. Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited has received a fee as Joint Lead Manager to the Vulcan Energy Resources Limited Capital Raising announced 14 September 2021. Timothy Hoff | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. | [email protected] | +61.2.9263.2745 Reg Spencer | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. | [email protected] | +61.2.9263.2701 James Farr | Associate Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. | [email protected] | +61.2.9263.2714 Vulcan securing centre stage in the European lithium race Vulcan has raised A$203m through an A$200m placement and A$3m SPP. Funds were earmarked for several purposes, the most significant of which, in our view, is the acquisition of existing brownfields energy and brine infrastructure. While there has not yet been an announcement of an agreement, we would view the acquisition as major derisking step for the Zero Lithium project as it essentially moves forward the timeline and provides historical (and real-time) data on aquifers in the Upper Rhine Valley. It may also enable VUL to expand upon its 15.85Mt LCE resource. In addition, it would also transform VUL into a revenue-generating company. We have included the capital raising in our model, accounting for dilution, rolled forward our valuation period to DecQ'22 and increased our risking from 50% to 60% to account for the potential of a brownfields acquisition. We continue to focus on Vulcan's rapid delivery of milestones as it moves towards becoming the leading European lithium producer. Our PT has increased 25% to A$21/sh (Prev. A$16.75/sh). Offtake book continues to build Vulcan has signed its third offtake (first offtake note), this time with Umicore for 28-42kt over a five-year period from 2025. Umicore, in its announcement, noted that it had a strong commitment to the creation of a sustainable battery materials supply chain. This builds upon the 5-10ktpa LG Energy Systems offtake signed in July this year and the 6-17ktpa offtake signed with Renault Group in August. We view the Umicore offtake as a strong endorsement of Vulcan's position, technology and progress made to-date. As the first cathode manufacturing customer on VUL's offtake book, we consider Umicore one of the most important as it represents a direct consumer of lithium products. Vulcan has now signed offtake agreements for ~35ktpa of its planned 40ktpa. Lithium hydroxide processing a significant step forward Vulcan proposes to use an electrolysis process to produce lithium hydroxide. This process is well established within the chloralkali industry; however, it has not been used commercially in lithium. Vulcan has produced its first lithium hydroxide using this process from lithium chloride produced from its piloting operations at an existing geothermal plant in the Upper Rhine Valley. Specifications of the product exceeded traditional battery-grade hydroxide and those of VUL's offtake customers. In our view, this shows one of the strengths of DLE, in that it not only concentrates lithium chloride but does so at the exclusion of contaminants, resulting in a higher purity final product. Site selection for downstream processing showing depth of German chemical processing Vulcan has also secured a site for its planned commercial lithium hydroxide plant (Central Lithium Plant - CLP) at the Hochst Chemical Park just outside of Frankfurt. The park is one of Europe's largest chemical sites and hosts 22,000 personnel and 90 companies. The imagery in the announcement shows the scale of the park and proposed location of VUL's plant. The CLP will be fed lithium chloride from multiple DLE sites and process it into lithium hydroxide. The plant has access to train and barge transportation, renewable power and the space and utilities for future phased expansion. We believe this demonstrates one of the core strengths of operating in Germany, where chemical processing is an established industry with a depth of expertise and operational know how. Valuation We value VUL using a 60% risk-weighted NAV net corporate costs and nominal exploration value, using an 8% WACC and long-term lithium hydroxide prices of US$15,000/t. For important information, please see the Important Disclosures beginning on page 3 of this document.

Upload: others

Post on 07-Apr-2022

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

21 October 2021

Raising Target Price

Vulcan Energy Resources LimitedEV Materials

Canaccord Genuity is the global capital markets group of Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. (CF : TSX)The recommendations and opinions expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal, independent and objectiveviews about any and all the companies and securities that are the subject of this report discussed herein.

RatingSPECULATIVE BUYunchanged

Price TargetA$21.00↑from A$16.75

VUL-ASXPriceA$13.57

Market Data52-Week Range (A$) : 0.15 - 15.31Avg Daily Vol (M) : 8.0Market Cap (A$M) : 1,662.4Shares Out. (M) : 122.5Enterprise Value (A$M) : 1,431NAV /Shr (A$) : 21.00Net Cash (A$M) : 12.2

18

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Nov-

20

Dec

-20

Jan-2

1

Feb-2

1

Mar

-21

Apr-

21

May

-21

Jun-2

1

Jul-

21

Aug-2

1

Sep

-21

Oct

-21

VULS&P/ASX Emerging Companies (rebased)

Source: FactSet

Priced as of close of business 20 October 2021

Vulcan is a European lithium developmentcompany progressing the Zero Carbon Lithiumproject in Germany. The development envisages a40ktpa lithium hydroxide operation using DLE fromgeothermal wells which will also generate carbonfree power. The process is expected to be carbonnegative based life cycle analysis and if achieved,Vulcan would fundamentally change the carbonemission structure of the lithium industry.

Link to initiation Not unconventional... Untapped

Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited has receiveda fee as Joint Lead Manager to the Vulcan EnergyResources Limited Capital Raising announced 2February 2021.

Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited has receiveda fee as Joint Lead Manager to the Vulcan EnergyResources Limited Capital Raising announced 14September 2021.

Timothy Hoff | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. | [email protected] | +61.2.9263.2745Reg Spencer | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. | [email protected] | +61.2.9263.2701James Farr | Associate Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. | [email protected] | +61.2.9263.2714

Vulcan securing centre stage in the European lithiumraceVulcan has raised A$203m through an A$200m placement and A$3m SPP. Fundswere earmarked for several purposes, the most significant of which, in our view, is theacquisition of existing brownfields energy and brine infrastructure. While there has not yetbeen an announcement of an agreement, we would view the acquisition as major deriskingstep for the Zero Lithium project as it essentially moves forward the timeline and provideshistorical (and real-time) data on aquifers in the Upper Rhine Valley. It may also enableVUL to expand upon its 15.85Mt LCE resource. In addition, it would also transform VULinto a revenue-generating company.

We have included the capital raising in our model, accounting for dilution, rolled forwardour valuation period to DecQ'22 and increased our risking from 50% to 60% to account forthe potential of a brownfields acquisition. We continue to focus on Vulcan's rapid deliveryof milestones as it moves towards becoming the leading European lithium producer. OurPT has increased 25% to A$21/sh (Prev. A$16.75/sh).

Offtake book continues to build

Vulcan has signed its third offtake (first offtake note), this time with Umicore for 28-42ktover a five-year period from 2025. Umicore, in its announcement, noted that it had astrong commitment to the creation of a sustainable battery materials supply chain. Thisbuilds upon the 5-10ktpa LG Energy Systems offtake signed in July this year and the6-17ktpa offtake signed with Renault Group in August. We view the Umicore offtake as astrong endorsement of Vulcan's position, technology and progress made to-date. As thefirst cathode manufacturing customer on VUL's offtake book, we consider Umicore one ofthe most important as it represents a direct consumer of lithium products. Vulcan has nowsigned offtake agreements for ~35ktpa of its planned 40ktpa.

Lithium hydroxide processing a significant step forward

Vulcan proposes to use an electrolysis process to produce lithium hydroxide. This process iswell established within the chloralkali industry; however, it has not been used commerciallyin lithium. Vulcan has produced its first lithium hydroxide using this process from lithiumchloride produced from its piloting operations at an existing geothermal plant in the UpperRhine Valley. Specifications of the product exceeded traditional battery-grade hydroxideand those of VUL's offtake customers. In our view, this shows one of the strengths ofDLE, in that it not only concentrates lithium chloride but does so at the exclusion ofcontaminants, resulting in a higher purity final product.

Site selection for downstream processing showing depth of German chemicalprocessing

Vulcan has also secured a site for its planned commercial lithium hydroxide plant (CentralLithium Plant - CLP) at the Hochst Chemical Park just outside of Frankfurt. The park isone of Europe's largest chemical sites and hosts 22,000 personnel and 90 companies. Theimagery in the announcement shows the scale of the park and proposed location of VUL'splant. The CLP will be fed lithium chloride from multiple DLE sites and process it into lithiumhydroxide. The plant has access to train and barge transportation, renewable power andthe space and utilities for future phased expansion. We believe this demonstrates one ofthe core strengths of operating in Germany, where chemical processing is an establishedindustry with a depth of expertise and operational know how.

Valuation

We value VUL using a 60% risk-weighted NAV net corporate costs and nominal explorationvalue, using an 8% WACC and long-term lithium hydroxide prices of US$15,000/t.

For important information, please see the Important Disclosures beginning on page 3 of this document.

2

Figure 1: Financial and operational summary for Vulcan Energy

Vulcan Energy ASX:VUL

Analyst : Tim Hoff Rating: Speculative Buy

Date: 20/10/2021 Target Price: A$21.00

Year End: June

Market Information Company Description

Share Price A$ 13.57

Market Capitalisation A$m 1,662.4

12 Month Hi A$ 16.65

12 Month Lo A$ 1.03

Issued Capital m 122.5

ITM Options m 15.9 Profit & Loss (A$m) 2021a 2022e 2023e 2024e

Fully Diluted m 138.4 Revenue 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0

Trading Volume - 90 Day Average m 8.0 Operating Costs 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Royalty 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Valuation A$m Risking A$/share Corporate & O'heads -4.5 -6.0 -6.0 -6.0

Zero Carbon Lithium NPV 8% 2,423.3 60% 17.51 Exploration (Expensed) 0.0 -23.3 -23.3 -23.3

Energy Business NPV 5% 171.5 60% 1.24 EBITDA -10.6 -29.3 -29.3 -29.3

Corporate (45.2) (0.33) Dep'n -0.1 0.0 -0.0 0.0

Net cash /(Debt) 12.2 0.09 Net Interest 0.0 2.3 -3.3 -34.1

TOTAL 2,911.7 21.04 Other 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0

Target 21.00 Tax 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

NPAT (reported) -10.7 -27.0 -32.7 -62.5

Assumptions 2021a 2022e 2023e 2024e Abnormals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Lithium Hydroxide (US$/t) 10,764 17,125 18,125 14,500 NPAT -10.7 -27.0 -32.7 -63.5

Power (€kwh) 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25

EUR:AUD 1.58 1.58 1.58 1.58 EPS -$0.07 -$0.12 -$0.22 -$0.27

EUR:USD 1.22 1.22 1.22 1.22

Cash Flow (A$m) 2021a 2022e 2023e 2024e

Sensitivity Cash Receipts 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0

Cash paid to suppliers & employees -3.4 -6.0 -6.0 -6.0

Exploration and Evaluation -5.8 -23.3 -23.3 -23.3

Tax Paid 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Net interest expense 0.1 2.3 -3.3 -34.1+/- Other -working cap change 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Operating Cash Flow -2.8 -3.7 -9.3 -40.1

Capex -1.3 -52.1 -576.6 -1,276.5

Other 0.0 -1.3 -1.3 -1.3Investing Cash Flow -7.1 -76.8 -601.3 -1,301.2

Debt Drawdown (repayment) 0.0 0.0 400.0 1200.0

Share capital 124.4 203.1 0.0 500.0

Financing Expenses -6.1 -6.0 0.0 -25.0

Financing Cash Flow 118.3 197.1 400.0 1675.0

Opening Cash 8.6 114.7 231.3 20.7

Increase / (Decrease) in cash 108.3 116.6 -210.6 333.7

FX Impact 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Closing Cash 114.7 231.3 20.7 354.4

Op. Cashflow/Share -$0.02 -$0.03 -$0.08 -$0.27

Production Metrics 2021a 2022e 2023e 2024e P/CF -585.1x -454.7x -178.1x -49.9x

Zero Carbon Lithium EV/FCF nm nm nm nm

Lithium Hydroxide (LiOH) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 FCF Yield nm nm nm nm

C1 Cash cost (US$/t) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Power generation (MW) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Balance Sheet (A$m) 2021a 2022e 2023e 2024e

Generation costs (€kwh) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cash + S/Term Deposits 114.7 231.3 20.7 354.4

Other current assets 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2

Reserves & Resources Brine Volume (km2) Grade (mg/l Li) LCE (Mt) Current Assets 115.9 232.5 21.9 355.6

Zero Carbon Lithium Property, Plant & Equip. 1.5 55.0 632.9 1,910.8

Taro 2.4 181 2.27 Exploration & Develop. 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8

Ortenau 13.4 181 12.86 Liabilities

MOU area 0.7 181 0.72 Payables 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1

Short Term Debt 0.0 0.0 400.0 1,600.0

Directors & Management Long Term Debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Name Position Net Assets 129.0 299.1 266.4 678.0

Francis Wedin Managing Director & Founder - CEO Shareholders Funds 136.5 333.6 333.6 808.6

Gavin Rezos Chairman Reserves 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9

Rob Ierace CFO Retained Earnings -15.4 -42.4 -75.0 -138.5

Total Equity 129.0 299.1 266.4 678.0

Substantial Shareholders Shares (m) % Debt/Equity 0% 0% 0% 0%

Francis Wedin 13.00 12.0% Net Debt/EBITDA 40.4x 63.3x -40.6x -31.0x

Bianca Rinehart 7.24 6.7% Net Interest Cover nm nm nm -0.9x

Gavin Rezos 6.03 5.6% ROE -8% -9% -12% -9%

Clearstream Banking 5.66 5.3% Book Value/share $1.05 $2.44 $2.17 $4.60

John Hancock 5.38 5.0% Net Debt -114.7 -231.3 379.3 1,245.6

Source: Company Reports, Canaccord Genuity Estimates

Vulcan Energy Resources is developing the Zero Carbon Lithium project in the Upper Rhine Valley, Germany. The

proposed project w ill deliver 40ktpa of battery quality lithium hydroxide and 73MW of geothermal pow er

generations capacity.

$11

$16

$21

$26

$31

$36

-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30%

Change in

Targ

et P

rice

Lithium Hydroxide Price ($/t) Exchange Rate (E:AUD$) Energy Price E(kwh)

Vulcan Energy Resources LimitedRaising Target Price

Speculative Buy unchanged Target Price A$21.00 from A$16.75 | 21 October 2021 EV Materials 2

Appendix: Important Disclosures

Analyst Certification

Each authoring analyst of Canaccord Genuity whose name appears on the front page of this research hereby certifies that (i) therecommendations and opinions expressed in this research accurately reflect the authoring analyst’s personal, independent andobjective views about any and all of the designated investments or relevant issuers discussed herein that are within such authoringanalyst’s coverage universe and (ii) no part of the authoring analyst’s compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, relatedto the specific recommendations or views expressed by the authoring analyst in the research, and (iii) to the best of the authoringanalyst’s knowledge, she/he is not in receipt of material non-public information about the issuer.

Analysts employed outside the US are not registered as research analysts with FINRA. These analysts may not be associatedpersons of Canaccord Genuity LLC and therefore may not be subject to the FINRA Rule 2241 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions oncommunications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account.

Sector Coverage

Individuals identified as “Sector Coverage” cover a subject company’s industry in the identified jurisdiction, but are not authoringanalysts of the report.

Investment RecommendationDate and time of first dissemination: October 20, 2021, 15:29 ETDate and time of production: October 20, 2021, 09:42 ETTarget Price / Valuation Methodology:

Vulcan Energy Resources Limited - VUL

Our price target is set in line with our NAV with a 60% risk weighting. We use US$15,000/t LiOH prices, 1.58 EUR/AUD exchangerates and discount rates of 8% for the lithium business and 5% for the energy business.

Risks to achieving Target Price / Valuation:

Vulcan Energy Resources Limited - VUL

Risks include pricing, delivery, resource size and grades, capex and opex estimates and production schedules.

Distribution of Ratings:

Global Stock Ratings (as of 10/20/21)Rating Coverage Universe IB Clients

# % %Buy 641 68.78% 44.62%Hold 139 14.91% 27.34%Sell 8 0.86% 37.50%Speculative Buy 139 14.91% 59.71%

932* 100.0%*Total includes stocks that are Under Review

Canaccord Genuity Ratings System

BUY: The stock is expected to generate risk-adjusted returns of over 10% during the next 12 months.

HOLD: The stock is expected to generate risk-adjusted returns of 0-10% during the next 12 months.

SELL: The stock is expected to generate negative risk-adjusted returns during the next 12 months.

NOT RATED: Canaccord Genuity does not provide research coverage of the relevant issuer.

“Risk-adjusted return” refers to the expected return in relation to the amount of risk associated with the designated investment orthe relevant issuer.

Risk Qualifier

SPECULATIVE: Stocks bear significantly higher risk that typically cannot be valued by normal fundamental criteria. Investments inthe stock may result in material loss.

12-Month Recommendation History (as of date same as the Global Stock Ratings table)

A list of all the recommendations on any issuer under coverage that was disseminated during the preceding 12-month periodmay be obtained at the following website (provided as a hyperlink if this report is being read electronically) http://disclosures-mar.canaccordgenuity.com/EN/Pages/default.aspx

Vulcan Energy Resources LimitedRaising Target Price

Speculative Buy unchanged Target Price A$21.00 from A$16.75 | 21 October 2021 EV Materials 3

Required Company-Specific Disclosures (as of date of this publication)Vulcan Energy Resources Limited currently is, or in the past 12 months was, a client of Canaccord Genuity or its affiliated companies.During this period, Canaccord Genuity or its affiliated companies provided investment banking services to Vulcan Energy ResourcesLimited.In the past 12 months, Canaccord Genuity or its affiliated companies have received compensation for Investment Banking servicesfrom Vulcan Energy Resources Limited .In the past 12 months, Canaccord Genuity or any of its affiliated companies have been lead manager, co-lead manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities of Vulcan Energy Resources Limited or any publicly disclosed offer of securities of VulcanEnergy Resources Limited or in any related derivatives.

Canaccord Genuity or one or more of its affiliated companies intend to seek or expect to receive compensation for InvestmentBanking services from Vulcan Energy Resources Limited in the next three months.

Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited has received a fee as Joint Lead Manager to the Vulcan Energy Resources Limited CapitalRaising announced 2 February 2021.

Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited has received a fee as Joint Lead Manager to the Vulcan Energy Resources Limited CapitalRaising announced 14 September 2021.

Vulcan Energy Resources Limited Rating History as of 10/19/2021

AUD20

AUD15

AUD10

AUD5

AUD0Jan 17Apr 17Jul 17Oct 17Jan 18Apr 18Jul 18Oct 18Jan 19Apr 19Jul 19Oct 19Jan 20Apr 20Jul 20Oct 20Jan 21Apr 21Jul 21Oct 21

I:SB:AUD15.0004/14/2021

SB:AUD15.5007/19/2021

SB:AUD16.7508/12/2021

Closing Price Price Target

Buy (B); Speculative Buy (SB); Sell (S); Hold (H); Suspended (SU); Under Review (UR); Restricted (RE); Not Rated (NR)

Required Company-Specific Disclosures (as of date of this publication)

Past performance

In line with Article 44(4)(b), MiFID II Delegated Regulation, we disclose price performance for the preceding five years or thewhole period for which the financial instrument has been offered or investment service provided where less than five years. Pleasenote price history refers to actual past performance, and that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future price and/orperformance.

Online Disclosures

Up-to-date disclosures may be obtained at the following website (provided as a hyperlink if this report is being read electronically)http://disclosures.canaccordgenuity.com/EN/Pages/default.aspx; or by sending a request to Canaccord Genuity Corp. Research, Attn:Disclosures, P.O. Box 10337 Pacific Centre, 2200-609 Granville Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada V7Y 1H2; or by sending a requestby email to [email protected]. The reader may also obtain a copy of Canaccord Genuity’s policies and procedures regarding thedissemination of research by following the steps outlined above.

General Disclaimers

See “Required Company-Specific Disclosures” above for any of the following disclosures required as to companies referred to inthis report: manager or co-manager roles; 1% or other ownership; compensation for certain services; types of client relationships;research analyst conflicts; managed/co-managed public offerings in prior periods; directorships; market making in equity securitiesand related derivatives. For reports identified above as compendium reports, the foregoing required company-specific disclosurescan be found in a hyperlink located in the section labeled, “Compendium Reports.” “Canaccord Genuity” is the business name usedby certain wholly owned subsidiaries of Canaccord Genuity Group Inc., including Canaccord Genuity LLC, Canaccord Genuity Limited,Canaccord Genuity Corp., and Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited, an affiliated company that is 80%-owned by Canaccord GenuityGroup Inc.

The authoring analysts who are responsible for the preparation of this research are employed by Canaccord Genuity Corp. a Canadianbroker-dealer with principal offices located in Vancouver, Calgary, Toronto, Montreal, or Canaccord Genuity LLC, a US broker-dealerwith principal offices located in New York, Boston, San Francisco and Houston, or Canaccord Genuity Limited., a UK broker-dealer with

Vulcan Energy Resources LimitedRaising Target Price

Speculative Buy unchanged Target Price A$21.00 from A$16.75 | 21 October 2021 EV Materials 4

principal offices located in London (UK) and Dublin (Ireland), or Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited, an Australian broker-dealerwith principal offices located in Sydney and Melbourne.

The authoring analysts who are responsible for the preparation of this research have received (or will receive) compensationbased upon (among other factors) the Investment Banking revenues and general profits of Canaccord Genuity. However, suchauthoring analysts have not received, and will not receive, compensation that is directly based upon or linked to one or more specificInvestment Banking activities, or to recommendations contained in the research.

Some regulators require that a firm must establish, implement and make available a policy for managing conflicts of interest arisingas a result of publication or distribution of research. This research has been prepared in accordance with Canaccord Genuity’s policyon managing conflicts of interest, and information barriers or firewalls have been used where appropriate. Canaccord Genuity’s policyis available upon request.

The information contained in this research has been compiled by Canaccord Genuity from sources believed to be reliable, but (withthe exception of the information about Canaccord Genuity) no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by CanaccordGenuity, its affiliated companies or any other person as to its fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness. Canaccord Genuityhas not independently verified the facts, assumptions, and estimates contained herein. All estimates, opinions and other informationcontained in this research constitute Canaccord Genuity’s judgement as of the date of this research, are subject to change withoutnotice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility or liability.

From time to time, Canaccord Genuity salespeople, traders, and other professionals provide oral or written market commentary ortrading strategies to our clients and our principal trading desk that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in thisresearch. Canaccord Genuity’s affiliates, principal trading desk, and investing businesses also from time to time make investmentdecisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views expressed in this research.

This research is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any designatedinvestments discussed herein in any jurisdiction where such offer or solicitation would be prohibited. As a result, the designatedinvestments discussed in this research may not be eligible for sale in some jurisdictions. This research is not, and under nocircumstances should be construed as, a solicitation to act as a securities broker or dealer in any jurisdiction by any person orcompany that is not legally permitted to carry on the business of a securities broker or dealer in that jurisdiction. This material isprepared for general circulation to clients and does not have regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or particularneeds of any particular person. Investors should obtain advice based on their own individual circumstances before making aninvestment decision. To the fullest extent permitted by law, none of Canaccord Genuity, its affiliated companies or any other personaccepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from or relating to any use of the information contained inthis research.

Research Distribution Policy

Canaccord Genuity research is posted on the Canaccord Genuity Research Portal and will be available simultaneously for access byall of Canaccord Genuity’s customers who are entitled to receive the firm's research. In addition research may be distributed by thefirm’s sales and trading personnel via email, instant message or other electronic means. Customers entitled to receive research mayalso receive it via third party vendors. Until such time as research is made available to Canaccord Genuity’s customers as describedabove, Authoring Analysts will not discuss the contents of their research with Sales and Trading or Investment Banking employeeswithout prior compliance consent.

For further information about the proprietary model(s) associated with the covered issuer(s) in this research report, clients shouldcontact their local sales representative.

Short-Term Trade Ideas

Research Analysts may, from time to time, discuss “short-term trade ideas” in research reports. A short-term trade idea offers anear-term view on how a security may trade, based on market and trading events or catalysts, and the resulting trading opportunitythat may be available. Any such trading strategies are distinct from and do not affect the analysts' fundamental equity rating forsuch stocks. A short-term trade idea may differ from the price targets and recommendations in our published research reports thatreflect the research analyst's views of the longer-term (i.e. one-year or greater) prospects of the subject company, as a result of thediffering time horizons, methodologies and/or other factors. It is possible, for example, that a subject company's common equity thatis considered a long-term ‘Hold' or 'Sell' might present a short-term buying opportunity as a result of temporary selling pressure inthe market or for other reasons described in the research report; conversely, a subject company's stock rated a long-term 'Buy' or“Speculative Buy’ could be considered susceptible to a downward price correction, or other factors may exist that lead the researchanalyst to suggest a sale over the short-term. Short-term trade ideas are not ratings, nor are they part of any ratings system, andthe firm does not intend, and does not undertake any obligation, to maintain or update short-term trade ideas. Short-term tradeideas are not suitable for all investors and are not tailored to individual investor circumstances and objectives, and investors shouldmake their own independent decisions regarding any securities or strategies discussed herein. Please contact your salesperson formore information regarding Canaccord Genuity’s research.

For Canadian Residents:

This research has been approved by Canaccord Genuity Corp., which accepts sole responsibility for this research and its disseminationin Canada. Canaccord Genuity Corp. is registered and regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada(IIROC) and is a Member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund. Canadian clients wishing to effect transactions in any designatedinvestment discussed should do so through a qualified salesperson of Canaccord Genuity Corp. in their particular province or territory.

For United States Persons:

Vulcan Energy Resources LimitedRaising Target Price

Speculative Buy unchanged Target Price A$21.00 from A$16.75 | 21 October 2021 EV Materials 5

Canaccord Genuity LLC, a US registered broker-dealer, accepts responsibility for this research and its dissemination in the UnitedStates. This research is intended for distribution in the United States only to certain US institutional investors. US clients wishing toeffect transactions in any designated investment discussed should do so through a qualified salesperson of Canaccord Genuity LLC.Analysts employed outside the US, as specifically indicated elsewhere in this report, are not registered as research analysts withFINRA. These analysts may not be associated persons of Canaccord Genuity LLC and therefore may not be subject to the FINRA Rule2241 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by aresearch analyst account.

For United Kingdom and European Residents:

This research is distributed in the United Kingdom and elsewhere Europe, as third party research by Canaccord Genuity Limited,which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. This research is for distribution only to persons who are EligibleCounterparties or Professional Clients only and is exempt from the general restrictions in section 21 of the Financial Services andMarkets Act 2000 on the communication of invitations or inducements to engage in investment activity on the grounds that it is beingdistributed in the United Kingdom only to persons of a kind described in Article 19(5) (Investment Professionals) and 49(2) (High NetWorth companies, unincorporated associations etc) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005(as amended). It is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons. This material isnot for distribution in the United Kingdom or elsewhere in Europe to retail clients, as defined under the rules of the Financial ConductAuthority.

For Jersey, Guernsey and Isle of Man Residents:

This research is sent to you by Canaccord Genuity Wealth (International) Limited (CGWI) for information purposes and is not tobe construed as a solicitation or an offer to purchase or sell investments or related financial instruments. This research has beenproduced by an affiliate of CGWI for circulation to its institutional clients and also CGWI. Its contents have been approved by CGWIand we are providing it to you on the basis that we believe it to be of interest to you. This statement should be read in conjunctionwith your client agreement, CGWI's current terms of business and the other disclosures and disclaimers contained within thisresearch. If you are in any doubt, you should consult your financial adviser.

CGWI is licensed and regulated by the Guernsey Financial Services Commission, the Jersey Financial Services Commission and theIsle of Man Financial Supervision Commission. CGWI is registered in Guernsey and is a wholly owned subsidiary of Canaccord GenuityGroup Inc.

For Australian Residents:

This research is distributed in Australia by Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited ABN 19 075 071 466 holder of AFS Licence No234666. To the extent that this research contains any advice, this is limited to general advice only. Recipients should take intoaccount their own personal circumstances before making an investment decision. Clients wishing to effect any transactions in anyfinancial products discussed in the research should do so through a qualified representative of Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limitedor its Wealth Management affiliated company, Canaccord Genuity Financial Limited ABN 69 008 896 311 holder of AFS Licence No239052.

For Hong Kong Residents:

This research is distributed in Hong Kong by Canaccord Genuity (Hong Kong) Limited which is licensed by the Securities and FuturesCommission. This research is only intended for persons who fall within the definition of professional investor as defined in theSecurities and Futures Ordinance. It is not intended to be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class ofpersons. Recipients of this report can contact Canaccord Genuity (Hong Kong) Limited. (Contact Tel: +852 3919 2561) in respect ofany matters arising from, or in connection with, this research.

Additional information is available on request.

Copyright © Canaccord Genuity Corp. 2021 – Member IIROC/Canadian Investor Protection Fund

Copyright © Canaccord Genuity Limited. 2021 – Member LSE, authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority.

Copyright © Canaccord Genuity LLC 2021 – Member FINRA/SIPC

Copyright © Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Limited. 2021 – Participant of ASX Group, Chi-x Australia and of the NSX. Authorized andregulated by ASIC.

All rights reserved. All material presented in this document, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to CanaccordGenuity Corp., Canaccord Genuity Limited, Canaccord Genuity LLC or Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. None of the material, nor itscontent, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, or transmitted to or distributed to any other party, without the prior expresswritten permission of the entities listed above.

None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, reproduced, or distributed to anyother party including by way of any form of social media, without the prior express written permission of the entitieslisted above.

Vulcan Energy Resources LimitedRaising Target Price

Speculative Buy unchanged Target Price A$21.00 from A$16.75 | 21 October 2021 EV Materials 6