race, income, and operative time jeffrey h. silber, m.d., ph.d. paul r. rosenbaum, ph.d. xuemei...
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RACE, INCOME, AND OPERATIVE TIMEJeffrey H. Silber, M.D., Ph.D.Paul R. Rosenbaum, Ph.D.
Xuemei Zhang, M.S.Orit Even-Shoshan, M.S.
The Center for Outcomes Research, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia
The Department of Pediatrics, Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, PENN
The Department of Statistics, The Wharton School, PENN
The Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics
Introduction
• Operative time is a common measure of surgical quality– Longer procedures are associated with higher
infection rates– Longer procedures are associated with
physicians-in-training
Measuring Operative Time
• Until now, studies analyzing operative time in the Medicare population have been limited to single (or very few) institutions.
• Operative time is usually defined as:– Surgical Time: Incision to closure– Anesthesia Time: Induction to Recovery Room
Measuring Operative Time in Medicare Patients
• In 1994, billing for Anesthetist and anesthesiologist services changed to a “by the minute” system
• Anesthetist bills (anesthesiologists, nurse anesthetists) from Medicare have never been utilized to examine procedure time on a large scale
• Race and Income have not been studied with respect to procedure time
Goals of this Talk• To examine the accuracy of using Anesthesia
Time Units from Medicare bills to estimate operative time
• To examine models that predict procedure length based on:– Patient comorbidities– Race– Income
• To explore the relationship between race and operative time at individual hospitals
• To discuss the implications of disparities in operative time
Data
• Medicare Claims on the 20 most common General Surgical procedures and the 20 most common Orthopedic procedures in Pennsylvania in 1995 and 1996, N = 77,638
• Chart Abstractions on a subset of 1931 Pennsylvania General Surgical and Orthopedic patients as part of the Surgical Outcomes Study
The Anesthesia Claim
• The Anesthesia Claim consists of two parts:– Base Units– Time Units
• Time units are in 15 minute intervals. The first digit of the time unit is a decimal tenths digit– For example: “25” for units = 15 x 25/10
minutes or 37.5 minutes
• We chose the single longest anesthesia bill associated with the same day as the principle procedure
Time Abstraction
• We defined four specific times for abstraction on 1931 charts in the SOS study:– Start induction– Start incision– Closure– To recovery room or ICU (if going directly to
ICU)
Bill Time - Chart Time. N = 1931 patients from the Surgical Outcomes Study
Shapiro-Wilk Test P < 0.0001
Chart Time as a Function of Claim Time, N = 1931
Variables Int. Slope P R2
Median Absolute Residual (minute)
P(Wald)
I: Unadjusted m-Estimation
-1.21 0.97 .0001 .89 5.49 N/A
II: Comorbidities, Procedures and Hospitals
2.47 0.98 .0001 .89 5.37 <.0001
The independent variable is anesthesia claim minutes, and the dependent variable is anesthesia chart minutes.
N = 1931, = 0.94.
Procedure N 25th %ile Median 75TH %ile
Abd-Perineal Rect Resect 422 210 260 320
Anterior Rectal Resection 685 165 251 255
Left Hemicolectomy 1307 155 195 242
Part Lg Bowel Excis Nec 507 150 191 251
Sigmoidectomy 2922 140 176 221
Lg Bowel Stoma Closure 326 116 164 221
Part Sm Bowel Resection 1253 120 155 209
Right Hemicolectomy 34350 120 155 195
Unilat Thyroid Lobectomy 370 120 135 176
Cholecystectomy-Open 3883 105 135 176
Peritoneal Adhesiolysis 1268 94 125 173
Estimated Anesthesia Time (Minutes) for Each General Surgical Principle Procedure
These times include principle procedures that were also accompanied with other secondary procedures billed on the same day.
Procedure N 25th %ile Median 75TH %ile
Abd-Perineal Rect Resect 84 206 240 285
Anterior Rectal Resection 222 146 176 218
Left Hemicolectomy 262 143 180 221
Part Lg Bowel Excis Nec 77 131 158 206
Sigmoidectomy 678 125 155 195
Lg Bowel Stoma Closure 159 101 125 180
Part Sm Bowel Resection 112 105 131 170
Right Hemicolectomy 940 110 135 170
Unilat Thyroid Lobectomy 286 108 135 167
Cholecystectomy-Open 978 90 116 146
Peritoneal Adhesiolysis 316 80 101 125
Estimated Anesthesia Time (minutes) for Each General Surgical Principle Procedure (when only one procedure performed)
These times only include principle procedures that did not have other secondary procedures billed on the same day.
Procedure N 25th %ile Median 75TH %ile
Lumbar/Lum-sac Fus Post 273 236 299 380
Other Cervical Fus Ant 152 182 240 343
Revise Hip Replacement 971 180 234 311
Spinal Canal Explor 3166 138 180 240
Revise Knee Replacement 1110 143 180 230
Excision Intervert Disc 2565 131 165 221
Total Hip Replacement 6215 140 165 197
Total Knee Replacement 12718 131 150 180
Open Red-Int Fix Hum 690 107 142 191
Partial Hip Replacement 4735 105 129 155
Shoulder Arthroplasty 909 105 124 158
Estimated Anesthesia Time (Minutes) for Each Orthopedic Principle Procedure
These times include principle procedures that were also accompanied with other secondary procedures billed on the same day.
Procedure N 25th %ile Median 75TH %ile
Lumbar/Lum-sac Fus Post 41 200 240 294
Other Cervical Fus Ant 30 155 195 245
Revise Hip Replacement 639 180 225 300
Spinal Canal Explor 1478 131 170 218
Revise Knee Replacement 792 140 179 227
Excision Intervert Disc 1529 122 155 196
Total Hip Replacement 4770 140 165 195
Total Knee Replacement 10551 131 150 180
Open Red-Int Fix Hum 459 101 131 170
Partial Hip Replacement 4102 105 125 150
Shoulder Arthroplasty 129 101 131 176
Estimated Anesthesia Time (minutes) for Each Orthopedic Principle Procedure (when only one procedure performed)
These times only include principle procedures that did not have other secondary procedures billed on the same day.
Estimating Anesthesia Time (Y = Mins. from bill)
Parameter Minutes P-value
Multiple procedures 18.3 .0001
Admit from ER .10 .90
Transfer In 6.6 .0003
Hx Coagulopathy 5.0 .0001
Hx Diabetes 2.5 .0001
Hx Paraplegia 4.7 .0004
Black Race Vs White 5.2 .0001
Severity Score 1 1.5 .04
Severity Score 2 .40 .59
Severity Score 3 & 4 2.2 .03
Severity Score 0 Ref N/A
N=77,638 patients, controlling for 39 (=n-1) surgical procedures and 182 (=n-1) hospitals and 34 patient covariates of which 8 are displayed above. The model was fit using m-estimation, rank R2 of 40%.
WL(n = 9,324)
BM(n = 513)
WM(n = 25,060)
BH(n = 547)
WH(n = 27,473)
BL (n = 2002) 29 (<.0001)
15 (<.0001) 30 (<.0001)
15 (<.0001)
27 (<.0001)
WL (n = 9,324) --- -14 <.0001)
1 (<.0001)
-14 (<.0001)
-2 (<.0001)
BM (n = 513) --- 14 (<.0001)
0 (.8939)
12 (<.0001)
WM (n = 25,060) --- -15 (<.0001) -3 (<.0001)
BH (n = 547) --- 12 (<.0001)
Race, Income, and Procedure Time
WL(n = 9,324)
BM(n = 513)
WM(n = 25,060)
BH(n = 547)
WH(n = 27,473)
BL (n = 2002)BL adjusted by
183 hosp.
29 (<.0001) 9 (<.0001)
15 (<.0001)3 (0.159)
30 (<.0001) 7 (<.0001)
15 (<.0001) 8 (<.0001)
27 (<.0001) 8 (<.0001)
WL (n = 9,324)WL adjusted by
183 hosp.
--- -14 <.0001) -4 (.036)
1 (<.0001) 0 (.578)
-14 (<.0001) -5 (.486)
-2 (<.0001) 1 (.069)
BM (n = 513)BM adjusted by
183 hosp.
--- 14 (<.0001) 4 (.036)
0 (.8939) 5 (.052)
12 (<.0001) 4 (.014)
WM (n = 25,060)WM adjusted by
183 hosp.
--- -15 (<.0001)1 (.570)
-3 (<.0001) 1 (.126)
BH (n = 547)BH adjusted by
183 hosp.
--- 12 (<.0001) 0 (.848)
Race, Income, and Procedure Time
HospitalNo.
BlackNo.
White Teaching TypeExcess Mins.
(b-w) P-Value
1 153 352 Major 3.3 .449
2 147 322 V Major 7.0 .115
3 130 326 V Major 0.8 .870
4 125 108 V Major 12.2 .039
5 118 1319 Major 14.3 .001
6 112 437 Major 12.1 .011
7 112 43 Major -4.6 .562
8 111 1006 Not Teaching 4.0 .366
9 109 71 V Major 6.9 .308
10 107 505 Major 9.3 .050
11 105 178 V Major 15.9 .004
12 100 1007 V Major -5.1 .274
Adjusted Differences Between Black and White Procedure Times in Pennsylvania Hospitals With the Largest Black Populations
The overall Wald test for equality was 0.029, suggesting there is variability in disparity across hospitals. General Surgical and Orthopedic Procedures
Policy Implications
Why might there be a disparity in operative time inside a hospital?
• Reasons consistent with fairness– Unobserved severity– Admission from ER– Emergency Surgery
• Reasons based on injustice– Different Surgeon/Physician-in-Training for
less empowered – Risk of Litigation– Racism (Conscious or Unconscious)
Why do we care about 15 minutes?
Identifying the Provider: Who is holding the retractor?
• In teaching hospitals it is not always clear from the chart or the claim who is performing surgery.
• Is the resident doing the dissection or holding the retractor?
• Differential times between the resident and the attending may help in identifying the two providers.
For a typical procedure like Colectomy, which was described in Khuri et al. (Annals Surgery 2001), we can estimate the relative speed of the resident and attending, assuming the hospital location does not influence this time.
VA Location
N Complexity
% of Cases by Residents
Hours of Surgery
Mean Time
Combined
Teaching 8,038 3.00 93.64 3.17 3.085
Non-Teach
1,201 2.95 1.42 2.54
From this table we can solve for the time a resident takes to perform the colectomy (TR) and the time an attending takes to perform the surgery (TA). We
have two equations and two unknowns:
(0.9346)TR + (0.0636)TA = 3.17
(0.0142)TR + (0.9808)TA = 2.52
Solving, we get TA = 2.523 and TR = 3.213 hours. This is very close to those in
table 8 above, as almost all the surgery in the teaching hospital was with residents and almost all the surgery in the non-teaching hospital was with attendings.
TB = TR * PB,R + TA * PB,A
TW = TR * PW,R + TA * PW,A
Or, since PB,R + PB,A = 1and PW,R + PW,A = 1, we can write:
TB = TR * PB,R + TA * (1 - PB,R ) and
TW = TR * PW,R + TA * (1 - PW,R ).
Hence, TB-TW = PB,R * [TR - TA] - PW,R*[TR - TA] and:
[TB - TW]/[TR-TA] = PB,R - PW,R Or:
[TB - TW]/ [PW,R][TR-TA] = [PB,R / PW,R]-1 and finally:
1+ {[TB - TW] / {[PW,R][TR-TA]}} = [PB,R / PW,R]
The Relative Risk of Getting a Resident in Black Versus White Patients
1B
B WRW WR R R A
T TP
P P T T
From Regression Data
From External Data or Matching Studies
Assuming:
TR-TA = 30 mins
TB – TW = 15 mins
Relative Risk of Obtaining a Resident if a Black Patient Versus
a White Patient
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Percent of Cases Performed by a Resident if Patient is White
Rel
ativ
e R
isk
for
Bla
cks
Advantages of using Procedure Time as a Measure of Disparity
• Bills available for literally all procedures performed in the OR for Medicare patients
• Procedure length is highly dependent on the surgeon, not patient compliance
• Procedure length is less dependent on the past history of the patient—insensitive to unobserved severity
• Time is not game-able, especially since it has not been used to measure disparity in the past
Conclusions
• Procedure time can be well estimated with Medicare claims data
• Procedure time is a function of race and income and the specific hospital, after adjustment for other patient factors
• There is a significant procedure length racial disparity inside of hospitals
• Mechanisms for this procedure length disparity need to be better understood
Acknowledgements
• This work was funded through a grant from the Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics at PENN and supported in part from AHRQ Grant Number HS-09460
The End
Additional Slides for Potential Questions
Sometimes Sometimes
ALWAYS ALWAYS
TEACHING NON-TEACHING
N=96 SurgeonsN=480 Patients
N=480 Patients
N=480 Patients
N=480 Patients
Sometimes Sometimes
ALWAYS ALWAYS
TEACHING NON-TEACHING
P = 0.214
P = 0.002
P = 0.002
P = 0.393
P = 0.657
P = 0.0001
103 minutes
106 minutes
109 minutes
121 minutes