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R&D
INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON THE STATE
OF THE E-BUSINESS REVOLUTION
by
T. COLTMAN * T. M. DEVINNEY ** A. S. LATUKEFU †
and D. F. MIDGLEY ††
2000/26/MKT
* Ph.D. at the Centre for Corporate Change, Australian Graduate School of Management, University
of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia 2052. ** Director at the Centre for Corporate Change, Australian Graduate School of Management,
University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia 2052. † Researcher at the Centre for Corporate Change, Australian Graduate School of Management,
University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia 2052. †† Professor of Marketing, INSEAD, Boulevard de Constance, 77305 Fontainebleau Cedex, France. A working paper in the INSEAD Working Paper Series is intended as a means whereby a faculty researcher's thoughts and findings may be communicated to interested readers. The paper should be considered preliminary in nature and may require revision. Printed at INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France.
International Perspectives on the State of the e-Business Revolution
Tim Coltman Australian Graduate School of Management
University of New South Wales +61 2 9931 9368
+61 2 9313 7279 (fax) [email protected]
Timothy M. Devinney
Australian Graduate School of Management University of New South Wales
+61 2 9931 9382 +61 2 9313 7279 (fax)
’Alopi S. Latukefu Australian Graduate School of Management
University of New South Wales +61 2 9931 9510
+61 2 9313 7279 (fax) [email protected]
David F. Midgley
INSEAD Fontainebleau FRANCE
+33 1 6072 4229 +33 1 6074 5500 (fax)
Paper presented to the eCommerce and Global Business Forum, Santa Cruz, California, May 2000. This
research is supported by a grant from the Centre for Corporate Change at the AGSM and the R&D
Division of Insead.
Abstract
International Perspectives on the State of the E-Business Revolution
A common belief emanating from the US is that information and network-based systems herald a
‘new economy’ revolutionizing the way business is conducted. In this paper, we advance an
international perspective that questions whether e-business truly represents a revolution in the way firms’
operate or whether it is a more normal evolution driven by technology—i.e., whether it is simply a
variation on a theme. Although such a question appears mundane, it is fundamental that both academics
and business practitioners understand the answer to this question. For, in the end, the answer determines
the relevance of current academic theory and business practice to the supposed new reality.
Our paper builds on neo-institutional economic thinking and a recent theory of international
business structure to examine the three core determinants of the performance of multinational firms—the
supply-based pressures for global integration, the demand-based pressures for local responsiveness, and
the contracting pressures for transactional completeness—in an e-business setting. As will be shown, the
role that networking technology plays in determining the structure and strategy of multinational
enterprises in an e-business environment is likely to be more of a variation on a theme than a revolution—
once one accounts for the transactional changes that are occurring. Finally, we extend our perspective on
e-business to assist global managers dealing with the all-important issues of how to build and change
institutions to better exploit the potential of e-business.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 1
INTRODUCTION
It is almost universally accepted that information and network-based systems will herald in a ‘new
economy’ completely changing the way business and commerce is conducted. According to the
‘e-vangelists’, the winners in the new economy will be those existing firms conducting more and more of
their business through the digital infrastructure (e.g., Ford and General Motors) or those new firms
seeking to exploit the potential of the ‘Net’ (e.g., Yahoo and Amazon). These predictions are fuelled by
increased attention in the popular press, and by a fascination with e-business stock by investors, both
large and small, and their growing disdain for ‘old economy’ operations.1
Booz-Allen & Hamilton (1999) finds that more than 90 per cent of top managers believe the
Internet will have a major impact on the global marketplace by 2001. Given this response, one could
assume that most managers no longer need convincing that they are in the throes of fundamental change
and are busy implementing electronic business plans that will convert their firms to the new economic
model. However, this could not be further from the truth. The reality is that many multinational
enterprises (MNEs) are hesitant to make the enormous investments and are concerned about committing
human and financial capital when they don’t clearly understand how the technology fits with their global
strategy. And their concern is appropriate, particularly in a world with uneven technology standards and
infrastructure across countries and market segments.
A substantial gap exists in our understanding of the e-business technology and its application to
global firms. To address this problem our paper provides a structured examination of the nature of the e-
business in light of the extant frameworks operating in international business (Bartlett & Ghoshal 1989)
and the economic nature of transactional phenomenon (Coase 1937; Williamson (1991; 1996)). Although
it may be considered heresy by e-vangelists, the promises of Internet driven growth for global MNEs may
be more hype than substance when taken from this perspective. There are serious questions regarding the
pace at which the ‘global’ networked economy is emerging and the ultimate suitability of electronically
based business for many MNEs in their roles as integrators across time and space.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 2
Organization of the Paper
The subsequent sections pose and answer a series of related questions concerning the e-business
phenomenon in relation to the pressures facing, and strategic decisions available to, global firms. We
begin with a comparison of prediction versus reality and argue that much of the hype surrounding the
development of e-business has been wide of the mark. We then suggest a framework to demystify global
strategy and help us understand how it is affected by developments in e-business. In particular, we are
concerned with the growing relevance of institutional economics and contracting theory to assist us in
comprehending why e-business is occurring as it is and what the implications are for MNE strategy and
operations. Next, we extend this view of e-business to assist global managers dealing with the all-
important issues of how to build and change institutions to better exploit the potential of e-business.
ESPOUSED E-BUSINESS AND E-BUSINESS IN USE
Prior encounters with revolutionary technological change highlight the difference between what Argyris
and Schon (1978) have referred to as espoused theories (what we say about the technology) and theories-
in-use (how we actually use the technology). Nowhere is this difference more evident than in the current
discourse surrounding e-business.2 The actual impact e-business is having on the way people shop and
the way business is conducted on a day-to-day basis (theory in use) is still quite different from the way it
is talked about by the technological-elite and reported in the popular media (espoused theory).
Technology-in-use: Business-to-Consumer Perspective
According to the usual statistical sources most people in OECD countries still lack or choose not to have
Internet access (Exhibit 1). Even in the United States, the most networked country in the world,
approximately half the population still do not have Internet access.3 The reason for this differential
uptake is not just because of infrastructure. Germany, for example, has one of the best
telecommunications infrastructures in the world yet is considered a laggard due to delayed deregulation,
reluctance to use credit cards, high prices and conservative business practices (Veeramani & Talbert
1999). Ultimately the pervasiveness of Internet access internationally, is a complex brew of political,
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 3
industrial, societal and infrastructure related factors.
Exhibit 1 about here
For those who have access, either at home or in the office, the Internet has proven to be more of an
addition to their lives—sometimes helpful, at times entertaining, often slow and frustrating—than a
critical and indispensable part of their existence. For example, companies such as Peapod Inc., Netgrocer
Inc., and Streamline have invested millions of dollars into solving a nagging problem most people face
every week, shopping for groceries. Yet despite the best efforts of these companies, less than 1 per cent
of U.S. households order groceries online (Schwartz 1999; pg. 30) and these companies are facing
enormous financial and strategic pressure (CNN 2000a). The empirical evidence suggests that, in reality,
this often-mundane task is seen by many consumers as one of life’s small social pleasures and
furthermore that these consumers have no intention of giving up the physical shopping experience.4
Additionally, many products and services we purchase are ‘experience’ goods and have to be seen, felt or
touched by consumers before they can be appreciated. Exhibit 2 presents the experience of Internet e-
commerce in Australia (which Exhibit 1 shows to be close to the US in Internet penetration) and reveals
two facts: (1) most B2C5 e-commerce is concentrated in products that are validated externally (e.g.,
authors, musicians, brands, etc.) and (2) there is little consumer loyalty, even to a product category.
Notes John Davidson (2000), “consumers use the internet to find the lowest prices on earth, and then walk
into bricks and mortar stores and expect the retailers to match the price.”
Exhibit 2 about here
The bottom line is that despite the media attention, consumer electronic business is still in the
formative stage. Consumers continue to experiment online and there are many business related barriers—
security, privacy, uncertainty, low bandwidth, consumer protection as well as network access—to be
overcome before we can even begin to speak of revolutionary change in consumer outlook and behavior.
Technology in Use: Business-to-Business
At present, most MNEs are less interested in selling online to consumers than in using the Internet to
interact with suppliers and large buyers. Therefore, the potential for near-term transformative change and
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 4
exploitation of e-business lies in upstream B2B activities in contrast to the higher profile but more risky
downstream B2C activities. There are all sorts of reasons why MNEs are more willing than consumers to
communicate, negotiate, buy and sell online:
��Companies, and in particular MNEs, with their experience in managing far-flung subsidiaries, are
better equipped to communicate electronically. Many business transactions are already conducted at
a distance—by facsimile, mail, or electronic data interchange (EDI). These competencies are easily
translated to the e-business realm.6
��Companies are more cost-conscious, since every dollar saved in procurement is equal to a dollar of
new profit. This is most relevant to MNEs who maintain some of the largest procurement systems in
the world and tend to standardize this aspect of their operations.7
��As corporations develop online strategies aimed at reducing costs and increasing efficiency, network
externalities will have a particularly strong impact. Because MNEs have invested substantial
amounts of money in developing global IT supply chain infrastructures, the natural reaction for these
companies is to encourage others to do the same and generate further efficiency gains for the
complete network.8
��Opportunities to create close alliances with business partners offer innovative opportunities to form
strategic relationships or address customer problems in new ways. This is particularly pertinent to
MNEs who, in most cases, possess alliance relationships involving customers, suppliers, distribution
channel members, partners with complementary skills and resources, and sometimes competitors.9
��Functionality has seen the web browser become a default application for many companies and the
dominance of standard open platforms has allowed quick uptake of browser technology as the front-
end of MNE network systems.
The Aberdeen Group “pegs business-to-business at 10 to 20 times the business-to-consumer
market” (Tedeschi, 1999) and the Boston Consulting Group predicts that one-fourth of all business-to-
business purchasing will be conducted online by 2003 some $2 trillion over the Internet and $0.8 trillion
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 5
over private networks using EDI (BCG 1999). For many companies, like Ford, General Electric, Dell and
Cisco, the movement of products from detailed designs to basic commodities through a supply chain is
where the real value in e-business is to be found.
BCG (1999) argues that the most lucrative opportunities for B2B e-commerce are not in
production-oriented savings (estimated at 15 per cent), but in the transaction savings associated with the
procurement, maintenance and governance of indirect materials. Here cost savings associated with
activities such as: selecting products and vendors, filling out requisition forms, securing approvals,
sending out purchase orders, receiving goods, checking content matches the invoices, and sending out the
payment could reach 65 per cent as buyers’ internal purchasing and record keeping processes are
simplified. Traditionally, this has been a manual paper-based process, although some firms have used
EDI to achieve cost savings. However, EDI’s costly support requirement has made it difficult to justify
for many smaller enterprises where it was easier to rely on the fax and telephone for communication. The
development of web based procurement and handling systems such as Chemdex assuage this barrier.
Espoused e-Theory versus R-e-ality
Recent publications and practitioner frameworks are replete with anecdotal evidence touting the supposed
revolutionary aspects of e-business (See Coltman et al. (2000) for a discussion of this). Exhibit 3 presents
a list of the general predictions and the current reality (although clearly not a complete list). A litany of
the predictions would imply that that we would be operating in an business environment of new rules
(Kelly 1998), demanding radically different planning methodologies (Downes & Mui 1998), where speed
is paramount (Downes & Mui 1998), scale is irrelevant (Dyson 1997), intermediaries are by-passed
(Gilder 1994) and a fundamental product and customer rethink (Aldrich 1999) is necessary because our
models of branding (Kalakota & Whinston 1996) and pricing are irrelevant. However, the rhetoric of e-
business is, at times, atheoretic and more reflective of speculators’ hopes than business reality.
Exhibit 3 about here
In trying to understand why such visionary predictions have yet to come to fruition one need
simply refer to a Porteresque value chain. The operational and strategic impact of the complex stream of
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 6
exchange interactions connecting the organizational entity to primary suppliers and customers—
certainly will change in some way shape or form when new technologies and systems appear. However,
the more relevant question is whether these changes are competence enhancing or competence destroying
(Henderson & Clark 1990). If the changes are competence enhancing we would expect both a
reinforcement of existing structures and that the benefits of change will accrue to incumbents. If the
changes are competence destroying then we would expect that the benefits would accrue to new entrants
and the incumbents who are best able to jettison their old structures. Similarly, it is possible that at one
point in the value chain we would see competences reinforced (e.g., brands may take on greater value and
hence benefit incumbent producers) while at another we find competences being destroyed (e.g., supplier
relationship management may become moot in a world of open supplier auction systems making
dedicated systems obsolete).
The e-vangelists live in a world where the Internet represents a system wide competence
destroying change. However, the evidence indicates that this may be true for some components of a
business but it is rare for it to be true for all areas of a firm’s operations. Indeed, one could argue that the
current dominance of B2B Internet activity is due to its competence enhancing nature. It is occurring now
because it is a marginal change from existing supply chain systems. Auction systems are only a
theoretical stone’s throw from traditional open and closed bidding and personal negotiation approaches to
procurement. Hence, the question we seek to address is where are the changes taking place and how are
they most likely to affect the operations and success of MNEs.
UNDERSTANDING E-BUSINESS EVOLUTION IN MNES
Whether induced by technical change or competitive interaction, market turbulence creates organizational
confusion. In providing focus for thinking about the impact of the Internet on the activity of MNEs we
utilize a recently articulated theory developed by Devinney, Midgley & Venaik (2000) (hereinafter
DMV). DMV provide a structured way of examining contestable markets by separating environmental
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 7
pressures from managerial decisions thereby elucidating a clearer understanding of the nature and
evolution of MNE strategy and performance.
According to DMV, the degree to which alternative MNE structures survive and thrive is
determined by the interaction between a series of pressures—that shape the firm—and the ways in which
managers react to these pressures strategically and operationally over time. DMV build on three
traditions. First, they expand the popular integration-responsiveness framework of Prahalad & Doz
(1987) and Bartlett & Ghoshal (1989) by subsuming within their theory the traditional cost driven
pressures of global integration (GI) and demand driven pressures of local responsiveness.10 Second, they
build on the neo-Austrian tradition of the resource-based theory of the firm (Wernerfelt 1984; Barney
1986) by articulating how path dependence and causal ambiguity create very different competing
structures that are sustainable in the same international market. In addition, this helps explain and
account for the organizational stickiness that limits the ability of the MNE to move from one structure to
another quickly. Third, DMV integrate into their theory the role of the completeness of contractual and
institutional structure operating in the market environment so as to account for issues of organizational
structure, ownership and governance, and the control of residual rents from the activities of the firm
(Carson et al. 1999).
A schematic representation of DMV’s theory is given in Exhibit 4. The model provides a
rigorous way to develop a clearer understanding of the e-business phenomenon by separating the complex
interaction between environmental pressures and constraints from firm constraints and managerial beliefs
and reactions. Four macro constructs, operating over three dimensions (discussed shortly), are identified
in DMV that influence the choice of MNE strategic orientation:
1) The overarching higher level pressures associated with environmental, technological, and economic
and market conditions. These include the social, legal, business and governmental milieu within
which commerce occurs.
2) The way these pressures serve to determine the dimensional structure of the market (see Venaik,
Midgley & Devinney (2000) for an empirical discussion of this).
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 8
3) The set of strategic orientations possible in any given market. Based on the structure of the pressures
in a market there will be a limit to what is possible, both physically and competitively.
4) The influence of the firm’s existing structure. The path dependent nature of the evolution of the firm
will determine where, in any given time frame, it can operate effectively. This will have two related
effects.
a. Managerial beliefs regarding what is best for the firm. Manager’s will need to make choices
about what is ‘best’ from what is ‘possible’ and this will be influenced by their perceptions of
the nature of the pressures and what is possible for the firm to do.
b. The technological feasibility. Along with the pressures faced by the firm from the outside are
the constraints the firm places on itself from its historic operational and strategic choices.
Exhibit 4 about here
Hence we can think of examining the nature of the market and strategic structure of MNEs by
asking a series of related questions. What does the environment allow? How might we represent the
pressures from the environment in a parsimonious way? Given our parsimonious representation of the
pressures being faced, what is possible (ignoring any one firm)? Examining the firm itself, there are two
related questions. First, what is operationally and strategically feasible at any point in time? Second,
what do the managers of the firm believe is the correct strategic orientation at any point in time? It is the
interaction of all these questions, being answered by a host of related firms, that will ultimately determine
the strategic orientation of the MNE and whether that orientation is survivable.
The purpose of this paper is not to repeat DMV’s approach but use it to analyse MNE e-business
evolution. Exhibit 5 lists the macro and micro constructs discussed above and summarizes the relevant
impact e-business has had on the way these activities are organized and configured. The sections that
follow discuss these in greater depth and highlight the discussion with a series of short case studies.
Exhibit 5 about here
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 9
Developing a Parsimonious Model of the Environmental Pressures Facing MNEs
DMV put emphasis on a three dimensional structure of the MNE’s world. If we translate this to
the e-business realm, the question is whether there is any need to change the approach or points
emphasized. As noted in Exhibit 2 many of the beliefs about how e-business would change the world
failed to grasp that the underlying pressures acting upon a business—environmental, technological,
economic and transactional—play a key role in the way firms configure their value adding activities. If
these pressures do not change the firm has little incentive to alter its activities significantly. Taking a less
sanguine view of e-business there is no evidence that its development has changed the regulatory,
economic and transactional conditions dramatically for most industries. This is so for a few simple
reasons. The way the majority of people shop or the way most business is conducted on a day-to-day
basis remains largely the same (albeit sped up to a degree). Access to suitable IT infrastructure is a
problem in many developing countries and cultural idiosyncrasies provide significant hurdles for the sort
of global e-business that would be advantageous to MNEs. In India and China cash is strongly
preferred credit is unavailable and people don’t trust debit accounts to deliver money when they need it.
For example, the high costs associated with reliable delivery and payment makes it much more difficult
for Dagdang.com, an online Chinese bookstore, to expand. Amazon.com and Barnes&Noble.com had
few such problems. Many developing countries have weak legal protection of intellectual property rights
and local government attitudes toward enforcement particularly in more authoritarian regimes can
restrict e-business development opportunities.
However, that said, the nature of these pressures can be expected to change as new industries
arise. For example, it is unlikely that the drivers of the music industry will remain the same if technology
changes the relationship between the musician and the customer (see the Chaosmusic and Sanity case
later in the discussion). Disintermediation and reintermediation may imply that the specific pressures
towards global economies of scale either increase or decrease. Hence, although the notion of GI
pressures11 remains relevant, what defines the GI construct will change as open systems redefine
traditional value chain activities. For example, AutoXchange did not necessarily change the pressures
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 10
facing the global automobile corporations. However, web technology’s ability to provide small and
medium enterprises similar sorts of ‘scale advantages’ in supply chain management have allowed
operations like Chemdex and AT Kearney’s eBreviate system to reduce the importance of locational
proximity for many sorts of procurement requirements. Similarly, LR pressures12 can be expected to
evolve as consumer access widens and if the promises that the technology will change the nature of the
relationship between customer and producer prove true. We noted earlier that on-line grocery operations
have been unsuccessful in places like the US and Australia because of their inability to account for the
way people shop. However, similar services are booming in Europe mainly because restricted shopping
hours create an opportunity to substitute an e-service for the traditional Saturday shopping rush imposed
on European consumers. But even in this case the ability to ‘globalize’ such services is seriously
hampered by the simple fact that delivery must occur.13
Transactional Completeness. DMV have shown that one of the main problems with the IR
framework is that it fails to account for the transactional pressures that impact the firm’s value chain.
They propose a third dimension, transactional completeness, to address this gap. Transactional
completeness (TC) is derived from Grossman and Hart (1983) and Williamson (1991; 1996) and
addresses the issues of organizational form and the economics of information exchange between parties in
a value exchange. A firm is transactionally more complete the more the components of its value chain (or
value network) can be transacted openly in the market (or as if it is in a market). For example, a firm that
can outsource distribution, payment and maintenance in a reliable manner would be more transactionally
complete than one that must do this work in-house as a way of protecting its rights to the assets utilized.
Natural informational asymmetries, legal rights, path dependent activities and historical governance
structures are all pressures driving the ability to engage in more transactionally complete value
exchanges.
It is these sorts of pressures that are most likely to be affected by the evolution of the Internet and
can more accurately explain e-business development in MNEs. The successful use of e-business by firms
such as Amazon, Dell and Cisco has been based on an ability to leverage protection and trust either
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 11
through strong contractual bonds (i.e., patents or standards) or because of the policing power of the
marketplace (particularly in commodity or commodity-like markets). It is apparent that many of the e-
business beneficiaries in the international marketplace of late have largely been firms in those
environments where commodity products can be sourced in a reliable manner from the open market
such as books, toys, CD’s and computer equipment—and validation is ensured either by an existing
brand—e.g., the artist or author—or the ability to free ride on services provided by bricks and mortar
operations—e.g., auto dealers.
A company specializing in one-to-one service with individual pricing is generally going to be less
contractually complete. For example, professional services firms typically own and control much more
of the value chain and ‘webifying’ these activities across the value system in an efficient and effective
manner is much more difficult. For example, Orlikowski (1993) was able to illustrate the difficulty a
management consulting firm experienced implementing Lotus Notes groupware technology. Despite
strong executive support, potential cost savings and technical sophistication in the product, the system
was not widely used. The consulting firm’s structural properties competitive desire to protect individual
competencies and knowledge assets proved to be counter cultural to the premises underlying the e-
business groupware technology (i.e., shared information, co-operation and collaboration). Similar
phenomena are experienced with respect to the institution of ‘knowledge management’ systems where
formal IT structures fail without adaptive informal structures to support them (see, Soo, Midgley &
Devinney 1999).
Hennart (1991) and Dunning (1981; 1995) note how external markets have advantages over
internal coordination by replacing administrative fiat with price based incentives and transactional
alternatives. In examining the nature of the changes that e-business has wrought on the evolution of the
pressures facing MNEs it is the expansion of the usage of the price mechanism and the widening of
contractual choice (in our parlance TC) that has the potential for the greatest change. Although
opportunities for GI (by reducing diseconomies of scale) and LR (by having data mining tailor offerings
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 12
to consumers) will no doubt expand (it is unlikely we will see them contract) much of this must be looked
on as a second order effect driven by the ability to engage in a range of transactions with a range of
parties that was heretofore difficult and costly. For example, although e-Bay may allow a bidder in
Lebanon PA to buy a carpet from someone in Tajikistan this does not change the nature of the
relationship—i.e., auctions have existed for millennia—it just makes the range of transactional
possibilities greater by removing the need for the bidder to be on site. The fact that e-Bay needed to
purchase Butterfield & Butterfield is more telling since for truly valuable items independent verification
is much more important to completing a market than simply being able to decrease the thinness of the
market (i.e., increasing the number of bidders).
Developing a Parsimonious Model of MNE Organizational & Managerial Asset Structure and
Strategic Beliefs
Referring back to Exhibit 4, it is important to understand the structure of the MNE’s strategic positioning
on the three dimensions. The firm’s existing organizational structure its complex combination of assets,
legacy systems, resources and managerial processes and the beliefs of its managers can be both an asset
and a liability depending on how these factors are positioned relative to the pressures operating in the
marketplace. In this sense, DMV is a contingency model, whereby the fit between environmental
pressures and existing structures and preferences play an enormous part in the strategic and tactical
success of the firm. We can think of this in three inter-related ways. First, what is possible given the
existing structure of the firm? Second, what does management think is possible (both today and in the
future)? Third, what is it that is feasible—technically and organizationally—for the firm to achieve?14
This structure is useful in understanding the pressures in an e-business world. The existing
organizational structure is valuable when it complements e-business initiatives in ways that enable the
firm to create and deliver new customer value propositions. Dell Computer’s ability to leverage existing
catalogue sales competences and go direct to customers with a customized, price-competitive product
provides an excellent example. Dell was able to use these capabilities even in markets (e.g., Europe and
Asia) where catalogue sales were limited. Part of this success was due to the complementary nature of
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 13
the firm’s existing structure, what its management thought were the strategic possibilities, and their ability
to technically move the firm in that direction. On the other hand, existing competence can also be
destroyed or work against the ability of the firm to accommodate the new pressures it is facing. Novell’s
adherence to the proprietary IPX-based networking standards, a strategy it only recently abandoned in
favor of the open Internet protocol, represented a set of circumstances where managerial beliefs
constrained the company’s ability to move to a scientifically feasible and more market amenable strategy
(Economist 1998).
The Importance of Technical Feasibility. The resource-based theory of the firm puts emphasis on
the role that path dependence and causal ambiguity play in creating organizational stickiness. Technical
feasibility represents the space of strategic and tactical options available to the MNE at any point in time.
For MNEs with existing operations, this structure defines its ability to develop a coherent and consistent
e-business strategy worldwide. For instance, integrating processes to ensure accuracy and currency of
information and standardizing data fields to transfer information between newly constructed interfaces
and legacy systems represent significant changes. However, this is the easiest part of the e-business
transition. When we consider that e-business is as much about organizational, political and relationship
change as it is about technology, then the scope of change management task takes on a whole new
dimension. It is little wonder that the scale of the change daunts most MNEs because their sheer size and
spread implies that implementation of any e-business strategy must necessarily be more difficult than for
local firms or startups.
When we examined the difference between European e-business and US e-business, it is apparent
that one reason European firms are having such difficulty is their inability to deal with feasibility issues.
European firms face high organizational switchover costs that undermine and constrain their e-business
initiatives. Some of this is environmental—e.g., the European Union’s data privacy directive—but much
of it is due to the natural structures that have evolved to create more consensus-driven management
structures in Europe. In other words, European firms are constrained by the fact that they cannot expand
their ‘feasible set’ of strategic options as quickly as their American rivals.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 14
For any specific e-business strategy to fall into the MNE’s feasible set it must fit with the
constraints of the broader environment, the firm’s existing structure and the transactional characteristics
of exchange that are possible. In other words, the business orientation must be achievable and the MNE
must be able to ‘get’ to its new strategic position from its existing point of operation. For most firms, the
‘best’ option is rarely available to them simply because they cannot organizationally move from where
they are to where they want to be. Hence, as Carson et al. (1999) note, firms end up accepting remedially
efficient15 second or third best options simply because the organizational slate cannot be completely
wiped clean. In other words, the switchover costs are simply too great.
Remedial efficiency limits MNEs to three e-business strategy options: (1) develop a new MNE
company with independent e-business capabilities worldwide; (2) alter the MNE’s existing worldwide
strategy and base it on an e-business platform; or (3) base the worldwide e-business platform on the
MNE’s existing worldwide strategy and structure. All three options are simple (but enormous) trade-offs
between: (a) the value of existing assets and structures relative to the new e-business assets and structures
and (b) the costs of switching over to a new structure. The latter is clearly the more complex and critical
issue because it entails trading off the cost of building a new structure versus the capitalization or
destruction of existing assets. Option (1) may have high asset value but enormous costs associated with
building brand awareness. Option (2) may have high asset value because of existing brands and
relationships but massive switchover costs as existing structures are abandoned. Option (3) has lower
switchover costs but potentially lower long run asset value should the pressure for change in the market
be great.
Managerial Beliefs. Every firm has a belief system that is shared by senior managers. Within the
context of the DMV model, the managerial belief system comprises an understanding about what the firm
is capable of doing organizationally, what is ‘best’ for the firm’s future, and what would succeed in the
market (i.e., what are the relevant pressures). More technically put, managerial beliefs are the preferences
that managers have, over the three dimensions (GI, LR, and TC), about the appropriate direction to go and
the relative trade-off between the three dimensions; e.g., what does it cost me, in terms of local
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 15
responsiveness to be more globally integrated? It is a reflection of the relative cost of various strategic
choices about the degree of GI, LR or TC. Murtha, Lenway and Bagozzi (1998) show that a range of
managerial beliefs about the appropriateness of different MNE strategic orientations exist, even within the
same firm. DMV emphasize the matching between what is technically feasible for a firm and what
manager’s believe is appropriate.
On the traditional dimensions of GI and LR there is no specific managerial orientation that can be
said to dominate any other but it is unlikely that e-business initiatives will generate large benefits for
firms shunning additional economies of scale or local responsiveness. However, if web based business
systems create a world more amenable to constant returns to scale it is conceivable that an orientation
toward TC and LR will dominate. But the most obvious, and for us the most important, belief relates to
transactional completeness and whether managers think the quality and reliability of the exchange is
enhanced through e-business. It might seem as if TC could go in only one direction but this, too, is not
clear. For example, universities have been reluctant to embrace online delivery of course material even
though they deal largely with information exchange. Academics believe that electronic delivery of course
material removes a key facet of the value chain, the interactive face-to-face exchange with students. A
move to complete distance delivery is believed to have such strong adverse selection characteristics—i.e.,
only the ‘lower’ quality price sensitive producers would do it that way. Similarly, in places with strong
privacy concerns, such as Europe or Australia, the benefits of more complete contracting arrangements
may be stifled and political pressures could lead to markets that are even less transactionally complete
than before the advent of web technology.
What is quite clear today is that the plethora of inconsistent managerial beliefs regarding what
works and doesn’t work is fragmenting the strategies being seen in the market creating conflicts between
what is feasible for a MNE to achieve and what managers think they can achieve. But what this
discussion should highlight is that there is a natural conflict between the pressures for change and the
forces of the status quo. An interesting area of study would be to ask where the pressures for change are
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 16
originating. To what degree are they coming from managerial beliefs pulling firm to a new technically
feasible set or are they coming from the base environmental and technological pressures?
The Expansion of Market Opportunities and MNEs’ Choice of New Strategic Orientations
Two of the important insights from DMV are that: (1) the potential ‘space’ available in the market is
limited to the maximal set of technically feasible options open to the firms (called the feasible frontier),
and (2) that there is no a priori dominant position open to firms along this frontier. Taking this to the e-
business realm it implies: (1) that the space available to MNEs can only be expanded if the feasible
options available to actual or potential firms allow it, and (2) there is no a priori dominant outcome to be
expected. Hence, the way Barnes & Noble reacted to the swift entrance of Amazon.com into the online
bookselling business, or the way E*trade, Ameritrade and My Discount Broker are competing against the
major conventional stock brokerage firms can be explained by the obvious lack of dominance of any one
strategy in a world where the frontier of options has expanded.
At a more structural or value chain level there is also evidence that the differential impact that
open systems technology is having on MNE’s value networks is leading to simultaneous
disintermediation and reintermediation, sometimes in very interesting ways. Hence, firms operating as
cooperators rather than competitors are able to capitalize on market expanding opportunities that benefit
all firms (perhaps not necessarily proportionately). AutoXchange, involving Ford, General Motors and
Daimler-Chrysler and the online retail consortium NetXchange, involving America’s Sears Roebuck and
France’s Carrefour are two illustrations of such systems.
Three overlapping questions are relevant to this discussion (and for which there are yet to be clear
answers). First, have strategic holes that were unavailable to existing and potential players in the market
been opened up? For example, are options for GI previously unavailable now open to exploitation?
Second, has there been a differential expansion of the feasible frontier of strategic options in any one
direction; i.e., towards GI, LR or TC? In other words, if the feasible set of options has been expanded has
this disproportionately occurred on one dimension, such as greater TC? Third, has this expansion
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 17
occurred in areas where existing MNEs are operating or where potential competitors can now operate in
parallel with established players?
In a very real sense, these questions are the most interesting since they are the most visible and
relate most directly to MNE performance. Hence, firms like E-Bay have arisen as nascent MNEs by
filling in a previously unoccupied space newly created by the expansion of the feasible frontier into
higher levels of TC and GI. Auctions have always been relatively ‘complete’ in the sense that buyers and
sellers only bought and sold items through auctions when quality verification and payment were clear
(e.g., in the case of commodities). What web based systems did is expand their scope to a wider market
clientele. Chemdex has done a similar thing but also added on-line consulting that has simultaneously
allowed it to tailor the delivery of its services to specific customers, thereby reacting to expansions of the
frontier in both the realm of TC and LR. What should be clear is that the most critical factor in this
discussion is the ‘completeness’ of the institutions permitting contracting between the organizations and
their stakeholders—owners, suppliers, employees, consumers and society. The real areas of change are
those areas where ‘old’ institutions—hierarchies within firms, established supplier relations, EDI systems,
etc.—can be co-opted by technology in ways that transform, not the business, but the psychology of the
business and the fundamental core of what defines the business.
CASE STUDIES
The previous discussion has shown how we can integrate e-business developments into existing models of
MNEs. This does not simply validate the theory but also provides a normative mode of understanding that
helps to demystify what is at times a confusing and daunting phenomenon. In the examples that follow we
illustrate how we can use the DMV approach to understand a number of very specific cases. The first two
case sets use the banking and technology industries both sectors that are particularly amenable to e-
business as illustrations of how environmental pressures and constraints restrict the adoption rate of e-
business. The third case group investigates music retailing as an instance of how LR pressures influence
the heterogeneity of firm structures and perpetuates fragmentation. The fourth case series examines the
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 18
business-to-business sector to show the differential impact e-business has on the industry value chains.
Following these examples, we re-review the framework to address the all important and practical problem
of designing appropriate institutional structures to effectively support e-business.
ANZ–Grindlay’s and Wingspan—Native e-Business versus Existing Structures
Traditional bricks and mortar banks like ANZ—Grindlay’s16 develop, package and sell financial products
through proprietary distribution channels (i.e., local branch offices). Regulatory pressures and customer
relationship demands create strong incentives for local responsiveness over most components of the value
chain. A central concern in the industry has always been the high costs of distribution and technology-
oriented strategies have been used extensively used in the industry to reduce costs.17 The main mode of
competition was scale, market coverage and breadth of product and service offerings. Hence, banks ran
their operations very much in a multidomestic fashion with strong internalization of functions (low levels
of TC). The arrival of virtual banks like Wingspan.com and Security First represented the first foray into
banking by completely contractual players where e-tail delivery was backed up with contracted services
(rather than ownership).
ANZ response has been to avoid commodity status and the bank has come down firmly on the side
of complementing its traditional operations with an integrated e-business capability, particularly in trading
with its alliance with E*trade. E-business provides both an opportunity to reduce costs and add value,
enabling customers to review transaction details, transfer funds and pay bills in a secure manner over the
Internet. Such approaches are still incremental rather than revolutionary and repleat with problems of
remedial efficiency—i.e., ANZ simply cannot change its systems and reduce its infrastructure costs
quickly enough. The level of transactional completeness remains relatively low, local responsiveness is
still important and control through vertical value chain integration is still the dominant paradigm.
Wingspan on the other hand reflects a trend to a more globally integrated, commodity-based
approach. The site offers a dizzying array of financial products and services and has adopted a strategy
that seeks to expose more of the value chain to market competition. Financial products are sourced via
contractual arrangements with Bank One (Wingspan’s parent company) and vendor partners.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 19
There are several observations we can make about these examples. First, despite developments in
the US, total virtual banking has not had an impact in the global banking industry. This is partly a result
of government regulation, customer insecurity with globally operated banks and the fact that local banks
have been quick to offer an adequate online capability. Second, the example illustrates the difficulty in
attempting to revolutionize the banking sector; an industry built on strong history and entrenched
managerial beliefs. Bank One recently fired Wingspan’s chief advocate, CEO Dick Vague, and according
to industry analysts, the firm will be either integrated back into Bank One as a ‘clicks and mortar’ strategy
(Computerworld 1999) or sold off to a third party.18 Lastly, it is apparent that significant changes in the
way banking is conducted will be dependent upon steady erosion rather than a revolutionary event. It is
likely that partial substitutes like Intuit’s Quicken or Microsoft Money will continue to pressure
incumbents, who will move into alliances with partners offering disintermediated components of the
financial services value constellation.
Bank One’s inability to embrace and exploit the Wingspan.com business model can be explained
by the realization that: (a) Wingspan represented a competence destroying change that did not allow it to
broadly exploit the skills, competences and knowledge embedded in its traditional routines and
procedures; and, (b) as an incumbent it managers may have been less than enthusiastic to embrace
technological changes that threatened to render their existing products non-competitive—and thereby
cannibalize their existing market position (Afuah 2000). Hence after an initial foray into the strategy of
building a separate e-business firm with its own strategy, Bank One has reverted to an incremental model
more in line with that taken by ANZ.
Since there is little reason to believe that customers enjoy banking, the organisational stickiness
Bank One attempted to break and ANZ has accommodated does not necessarily bode well for financial
services over the long term if the technological issues can be resolved. As banks and other financial
service providers continue to place more services online and new competitor types enter the market space,
we will see growing pressures for banks to become more transactionally complete as more of their
services become pure commodities. Relationship management will become more difficult and the branch
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 20
as the traditional image of the bank will continue to be replaced by new value propositions such as virtual
alliances.
Cisco and Compaq—Managing the Channel of Distribution
With firm growth rates among the fastest in the world the information technology (IT) sector provides a
number of interesting examples of e-business in action. Rapid technological change and short product life
cycles combine to create strong forces for global integration in this industry. Yet Cisco and Compaq
provide contrasting examples of the difficulties associated with channel switchover costs in e-business.
For Cisco, e-business was a natural evolution. Its core product the router does not have a
floppy disk drive, so downloading software updates over the Internet to an IT literate customer base
provided an obvious benefit. According to Arago-Stemel, a Cisco IT manager, the company ‘lucked out’
when it first embarked on e-business in 1994 since they didn’t have any real plan (Clark 1997). However
a closer analysis reveals a number of important characteristics that were easily enhanced through e-
business. Firstly, as an industry leader Cisco’s routing operating protocols (RIP) emerged as the industry
standard providing strong contractual bonds and hence high levels of TC but with a potential threat of
high switching cost to the customer (who may become captive to Cisco’s standard). Secondly, the
company’s philosophy is that it will partner with virtually any company and is quite prepared to contract
out non-value added competencies (Time 2000). The relationship Cisco has with FedEx illustrates the
point. Cisco chose to outsource the distribution component of the value chain, depending on FedEx for
delivery of all ordered products to customers. The opportunity for joint gain in this arrangement is
enhanced through a FedEx developed embedded extranet architecture. When a customer queries the
delivery status of a router on Cisco’s web page, the query is sent to a FedEx database, the FedEx server
then transparently returns a status report for the customer. Thus the ability to outsource and hence focus
on high value added competences were central to Cisco’s success.
Compaq on the other hand illustrates the difficulty of entering into a direct-sales strategy that
involves value chain disintermediation. In an attempt to imitate the success of Dell, the company is
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 21
struggling with switchover feasibility and remedial efficiency issues (Carson et al. 1999). The strategic
logic was straightforward enough, eliminate reseller margins and utilize the savings to go direct to
customers with a customizable, price competitive product. Unfortunately, the reality was not as simple. In
Compaq’s case, its success has been determined largely by its long-standing, close channel relationship
with resellers. Not surprisingly when these resellers learned of Compaq’s decision to sell direct to the
customer, they let their displeasure be known. Compaq Australia has been on the receiving end of this
displeasure, when all Compaq products were tossed out of the country’s leading retail outlets. The cost to
Compaq Australia of the debacle is estimated at $60 million in lost revenue (The Australian 1999). The
Compaq story is one that other firms are loath to repeat.
The reason Compaq is struggling with disintermediation, has nothing to do with whether or not
profits are possible. Rather it has everything to do with deciding how to move into a new distribution
channel without jeopardizing existing channel relationships. As noted by Carson et al. (1999), just
because something is feasible and preferable is a necessary, not sufficient, condition for its adoption.
Institutional structures, such as intermediaries, satisfy the complex requirements of customers and
suppliers that cannot be unraveled overnight. Sanchez and Mahoney (1996) note that there is a complex
and not necessarily clear relationship between technical capability and organizational design. Cisco has
been able to use a modular design approach to coordinate processes without the need to exercise
coordination continually (hence, it has high TC). Compaq tried to mimic this logic but found that its
existing value chain structure was not willing or capable of accommodating the change simply because it
was not in its interests to do so.
Chaosmusic.com versus Sanity.com and MP3—Local Responsiveness with Electronic Delivery
The music industry and its associated distribution channels are changing at a rapid pace. Perhaps some of
the most interesting in terms of what is happening with the onset of direct digital distribution of music
(through the internet) and traditional distribution in physical media (i.e., CDs, DVD). Amazon created its
business through the distribution of physical goods (i.e., books and CDs), using the technology as a
logistics tool. However with the establishment of a network by which the product is sold ‘informationally’,
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 22
a new set of players has emerged that deal not only in the informational selling space, but also transmit the
product ‘online’ to the customer. These businesses are built purely on network principles and represent a
new category of firm. The advent of Napster and Gnutella technologies implies that, in some ways, we
cannot class these operations as a physical industry since they are widely dispersed. For example, the
ability to share music and video from point to point rather than through a single server completely muddies
the distinction between seller and buyer. For firms in this industry, particularly at the retail interface, face
real questions as to whether a ‘clicks and mortar’ model is viable or whether a more technologically open
and flexible pure Internet play is the better option. This was made quite salient in AOL’s decision to pull
the plug on its own “unauthorised freelance project”—i.e., the Gnutella development group—because of
its potential for undermining the operations of Time Warner (CNN 2000b).
The music business is an example of a disintermediated value chain with variable strategic
orientations depending on the firm’s position on the value chain. Artists are both local and global, as are
record companies. Retailing operations have major chains, such as Virgin and HMV, and local
operations, such as Borders (in the USA), Sanity (in Australia) and WOM (in Germany). The tension is
increased by the development of native Internet players all along the music (or media) value chain. Two
recently listed Australian players at the retail end of the game, Sanity.com and Chaosmusic, can
demonstrate this.
Sanity.com is a hybrid clicks and mortar operation in the mode of companies like
Barnes&Noble.com. Its beginning is in pure retail operations and it has grown to over 200 stores
countrywide. Sanity.com sources its music and content through third party suppliers such as Global New
Media and Global Fulfilment and maintains a strategic portal relationship with EMI (EMI holds a 10 per
cent share in the company). The portal arrangement allows Sanity.com to source content (both textual
and audio visual) for use on its own web site as well as gaining access to EMI catalogues for the sale of
EMI produced music through the site. Chaosmusic.com is a pure Internet play with no pre-established
operations. Chaos obtains its content through its relationship with a network of online partners including
genre specialist sites as well as portal and media websites. It acquires its physical product through both
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 23
local and overseas suppliers, including Valley Media Inc. (US). A key component to Chaosmusic’s
strategy is to supply the infrastructure to allow artists to upload and sell their music through the web using
the company’s audio-delivery and e-business systems. This infrastructure includes Liquid Audio and
MP3 capabilities as well as website development that allows local musicians to maintain sites, get their
music reviewed, broadcasted and sold, and have their gigs listed on Chaosmusic’s event calender.
Both Sanity.com and Chaosmusic focus on high levels of local responsiveness, although at
different ends of the value chain. Sanity’s local responsiveness is based on its ability to provide customer
service through its bricks and mortar stores and to use that as a primary source of its customer
intelligence. Chaosmusic’s local responsiveness is concentrated down at the content end, with more
weight put on pushing local content and building its brand as an ‘alternative’ music environment.
South Fresh & Sydney Fish Market—Alternative B2B Models in Traditional Business
Very few people would associate the long-established craft of fishmongering with electronic business, but
seafood wholesalers in New Zealand (South Fresh Limited) and Australia (Sydney Fish Market) offer a
different perspective and represent the sort of radical change in traditional markets also represented by
Chemdex. These traditional firms provide important insights into how e-business is being used to add
value and support transactions between businesses.
As an intermediary located between the fish processor (or fisherman) and the buyer (supermarket
chains), South Fresh’s value proposition is based on a proven ability to move high quality perishable
goods (i.e., fish) cheaper and faster than the competition. Distribution logistics are critical and demand
that the firm be flexible and locally responsive. Transaction costs are high to ensure operational standards
and procedures are followed and quality is maintained. In this sense e-business provides a natural adjunct
to the business operations by reducing invoice exchanges, supporting online settlement and providing a
level of rigorous management throughout the transaction. Since the company already has an EDI network
in place this change is reflective of continual improvement rather than radical change.
The most significant insight we gain from this case however relates to the level of TC. Put
simply, fish quality is a function of time and temperature the higher the temperature the less time one
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 24
has before it deteriorates (and smells). It is often difficult to know whether you are getting a quality
product or not, and the truth is often stretched when discussing the product’s full history. Since most
people can’t determine the reliability of the product, low levels of TC characterize the fish industry. In
such an industry a highly respected and trusted fishmonger plays an important role. According to Toby
Warren, CEO of South Fresh, in this industry “relationships are the key and business will always be done
on the basis of relationships, through people they know and trust.”
Although it is unlikely that e-business will change this aspect of the fish industry, South Fresh
operates using a model that uses technology as a complement to local responsiveness. South Fresh’s
system allow fishermen to know which purchasers are demanding which fish at what time. Hence, they
can send their boats out on any given day with specific targets to meet. For example, if John Dory is being
demanded then they can focus their efforts on the John Dory stock. Using a system that allows fishermen
to ‘reserve’ demand, they can be assured that either all or some portion their catch is sold to specific
buyers and the buyers can be assured that their demand will be met in a timely fashion. While both
systems are still embryonic, the more exciting aspect of this case relates to the new ways in which
information can be used further upstream in the value chain. E-business developments do more than
improve the order and procurement process, they also provide suppliers with an ability to match
production with demand. The South Fresh web site provides dynamic information updated every thirty
seconds on current inventory levels and reserve order quantities. Any catch over that reserved ahead of
time can either be sold for a fixed price using the order book system or put up for auction. South Fresh’s
operations increase TC by reducing wastage and stabilizing price and quantity. It increases LR by
guaranteeing that demand is met when it needs to be met.
In the case of the Sydney Fish market (SFM; the largest fish market in the Southern Hemisphere),
recent government deregulation initiatives have created strong pressure to find new ways to add value to
the fishmongering proposition. The threat of market erosion is real and increasing numbers of suppliers
(particularly in the growing aquaculture sector) are selling direct to buyers. Unlike South Fresh, the SFM
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 25
chose to address this problem using a more traditional means of creating a market clearing mechanism.
They embarked on a two-pronged approach. For existing fishing fleets, an on-line Dutch (or declining
price) auction operates. However, to capture the aquaculture market (which is more likely to go direct to
customers) an e-catalogue business model is used (with posted prices). For all suppliers often located
in remote geographical areas the ability of the SFM to provide a reliable market and price is an
attractive proposition. For the buyer, a centralized trading hub offers advantages by bringing together a
large range of fishing fleets and specialty aquaculture supply. The e-catalogue allows aquaculture
producers to decide when they harvest their stock, leaving them with no price risk. The Dutch auction
reduces the quantity risk of fishermen but leaves them with price risk. The aim of the SFM system is to
increase TC by reducing the thinness of the market for large breeds of fish.
Although both firms would like to source and distribute on an international scale, the main
challenge to the fishmonger is the fact that they are currently restricted to local markets because of
distribution economics and relationship problems. Fish produce does not move easily over fiber optic
cable and what increases in transactional completeness that can be achieved are unlikely to create more
than limited opportunities for further global expansion.
Summary—Mapping the Impact of E-Business
A simple way of pulling these case studies together is to examine what the implications are for the
direction of the expansion of the operating space open to firms and how this differs across the value
chain. Exhibit 6 shows our hypotheses as to where the feasible frontier is expanding and how radical
those changes may be. Exhibit 7 presents a summary discussion on the where along the value chain there
are pressures for change.
Exhibits 6 & 7 about here
Exhibit 6 shows that the dominant expansion is in the area of transactional completeness. In all
four cases, web based systems create more complete contracting possibilities either by reducing the role
of intermediaries (music), expanding ordering and placement systems (fishmongering and IT equipment),
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 26
and/or expanding the possibilities of one-to-one product placement (music and banking). In the case of
IT equipment opportunities for greater GI have opened up but this is based heavily on the fact that IT
companies were sourcing components globally before the dominance of web based procurement systems.
But the second strongest effect is in expansion of the ability of MNEs and local firms to increase their
responsiveness to local customer demands.
Exhibit 7 provides a value chain schematic that shows the components of the changes. For
simplicity we have broken the value chain into four generic stages. The most critical changes are
emphasized with thicker lines. In the case of retail banking the main drivers are coming from
downstream marketing pressures allowing for greater tailoring of offerings. Because customers self-
select this allows banks to reduce their overall costs. In the case of the music industry, the main pressure
is in the distribution technology. This is having both upstream effects (through production and the ability
of artists to go direct through their own sites) and downstream effects (through the threat it is creating
with an alternative retail environment). With the IT equipment industry we see logistics as the main
driver, with both material sourcing and outbound logistics driving production and selling. A similar
phenomenon is occurring with fishmongering. Procurement systems create an environment where
wastage is reduced through better ordering and just-in-time harvesting.
CONCLUSION
Our discussion and examples show how the existing models of strategy and structure can be used to
understand the impact of e-business on the structure of MNE and local firms. As noted earlier, it is
important to recognize that the opportunities and threats open systems and web technology pose vary
considerably from market to market and firm to firm. This is because the relevant level of analysis is the
component(s) of the value chain (or network) and the transactions (either internally or externally) that are
affected by the new technologies. Hence, simple prescriptions and predictions will tend to fail because,
even if the changes in the fundamental pressures are the same for all firms in an industry, what is
technically feasible for any one firm and the beliefs that managers hold about what is happening will vary
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 27
considerably. Without understanding this, understanding the impact of e-business development will be
impossible.
Because of the predominance of the net in opening up transactional possibilities we have stressed
the notion of transactional completeness and hopefully shown that the standard integration-responsiveness
framework is unable to accommodate e-business development mainly because it fails to account for this
critical component of strategy and structure. In addition, DMV and Carson et al. (1999), the basis of our
dialogue, place special significance on the fact that managerial beliefs and technical (or organizational)
feasibility seriously limit the nature and speed of any actual change a MNE can make in a limited period
of time. In developing e-business ‘compliant’ organizational structures MNEs must take into account the
fact that they must, to some degree or another, destroy, change and build institutional arrangements that
allow their strategies to be fulfilled. This requires not only that there is profit to be earned (in more
technical terms that the change is remedially efficient) but that it is also possible for the MNE to do it (in
more technical terms that the switchover from one structure to another is feasible). In the latter case, the
MNE needs to consider both the cost of switching into the new structure and the cost of switching out of
the old. Both Bank One/Wingspan and Compaq failed to understand this because their manager’s felt that
bold strategies were necessary. The opposite was true in the case of ANZ and Sanity.com who chose to
stay close to their existing structures. Companies such as Cisco, Chaosmusic and South Fresh had no
existing structures so were able to align their strategy and structure to the emerging pressures.
Perhaps this point is self-evident, but start-ups have the freedom to choose from a broader palette
of strategic options than existing firms. This does not mean that all start-ups will choose wisely or indeed
that those who choose wisely will necessarily succeed (given that choice of strategy and structure is only
part of the competitive advantage equation) but they are less constrained. Existing firms must pay more
attention to how they migrate from one form to another. In particular, we have suggested that for existing
MNEs most of the new forms will be evolutionary hybrids rather than revolutionized organizations. And
in working out how to migrate to these hybrid forms we have also suggested that managers pay particular
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 28
attention to their institutional arrangements. For it is along this dimension that there is greatest
opportunity for enhancing efficiency and minimizing the dangers of switchover from one form to another.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 29
Endnotes
1Berkshire Hathaway and Procter and Gamble are two recent examples of this phenomenon. The poor performance of Berkshire Hathaway—its earnings down 40 per cent and its stock down 20 per cent in 1999—is attributed to its focus on ‘old economy’ stocks (Khalfani 2000). Procter and Gamble hit almost 50 per cent of its yearly high in mid-March 2000 based on poor profit performance driven by analyst’s beliefs about a defunct ‘old’ business model (Schlesinger 2000). 2 We define e-business as any business that is conducted, in whole or in part, through a digital infrastructure. 3 It is clear that this number is a moving target. 4 There is every indication that similar effects are driving the near term fortunes of other e-commerce retailers. See, Streitfeld (2000). 5 B2C = business-to-consumer; B2B business-to-business
6 For example, Dell’s online strategy worked because existing catalogue based competencies quick response, low-cost fulfillment system characterised by direct customer interactions and made-to-order manufacturing were naturally compatible with an e-business model. 7 For example, the opportunity to achieve significant savings in the procurement of parts, has been the driving force behind the announcement by Ford, General Motors and Daimler Chrysler to join forces to create the world’s largest virtual market known as ‘autoXchange’ (The Australian, February 25, 2000). 8 For example, in the case of Air Products, there has been a strong commitment to an Internet-based strategy, integrating the company’s suppliers, customers and other stakeholders into their informational framework. 9 For example, for Chemdex e-business goes much deeper than ordering books from Amazon or PCs from Dell. Corporate customers require relationships and Chemdex consultants provide on-site assistance to assist firms map their existing systems into Chemdex software—seeing the company grow from 3 suppliers in January 1998 to 335 suppliers and more than a million products (Economist 1999). 10 Political pressures operate over all the dimensions. Hence something like tariffs may be considered both a GI and an LR pressure. Venaik, Midgley & Devinney (2000) discuss why this is logical and how it might be accommodated empirically. 11 Cost reduction, multinational customers, multinational competitors, investment intensity, technological intensity and universal access to raw materials and energy 12 Differences in customer needs, distribution channels, availability of substitutes and adaptation to market structure and host governmental demands 13 It is also interesting to speculate what the reaction to this trend will be like. For example, if large established players like Tengelmann can build their own competence it is likely they will dominate this end of the business too. However, if the change is competence destroying the only possible reaction by establish retailers is to push for extended shop hours to reduce the desire to shop on-line. In this case the impact to a society like Germany could be quite large. 14 In this context we use ‘technically feasible’ broadly. It is meant to represent the firms tangible and intangible assets and includes property, products, information technology, reward systems, financial control systems and production processes. However, it does not include the beliefs and strategic orientation of the management. 15 Remedial efficiency refers to the fact that an option chosen may not be Pareto optimal but is efficient conditional on the path dependent and other internal or external constraints operating at the time of the choice. 16 ANZ—Grindlay’s operates as ANZ in some locations (Australia, UK, Hong Kong, China, etc.) and ANZ—Grindlay’s in others (mainly South Asia and the Middle East). 17 Report for the Australian Government titled E-Commerce Beyond 2000 (2000), identifies the use of IT as the major force shaping the financial services sector over the past two decades. 18 The reverse phenomenon was the fate of Advanz Bank, Germany’s first Internet bank that ultimately succumbed to Dresdner Bank’s approaches.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 30
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State of the e-Business Revolution Page 33
Exhibit 1: Per cent of the Population with Internet Access at Home or at Work
37%
43% 40%44%
24% 15% 14% 10%0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
Sweden Canada U.S. Australia U.K. Germany Japan France
Source: Computer Industry Almanac, November 1999.
Exhibit 2: Consumer Internet Purchasing Behavior by Product Category (1999)
Growth in consumption Repeat purchase rate
Books 42% 7%
Non-education software 35% 7%
Music (CD, MP3) 29% 5%
Magazine subscriptions 16% 5%
Shares/financial information 15% NA
Event tickets 15% 3%
PC hardware 14% 4%
Games 14% 4%
Travel tickets 13% 3%
Online classifieds 11% NA
News articles/subscriptions 11% 3%
Educational software 10% 3%
Clothes & shoes 10% 2%
Adult entertainment 9% 3%
Food 6% 1%
Wine 6% 1%
Source: www.consult
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 34
Exhibit 3: e-Predictions and e-Reality
Prediction State of Current Reality
Brands will die! The Internet represents a major threat to brands, making brand strength weaker than ever before (Kalakota and Whinston 1996).
In an over communicated environment, the Internet provides no guarantee of customer attention or lower search cost. It is likely, therefore, that users will continue to gravitate towards brands as a way to simplify choices, reduce search costs and build trust (Barwise 1997).
Middlemen will die! “In every industry—from retailing to insurance—the key impact of the computer-network revolution is to remove the middleman” (Gilder 1994)
We have still seen few examples of successful disintermediation resulting from e-business investment. This has nothing to do with whether profits are possible. Rather, it has everything to do with the difficulty of working out how to move into a new distribution channel without jeopardizing existing channel relationships.
Scale is irrelevant! Esther Dyson, has suggested that size will be less important for online firms (Dyson, 1997; pg. 64)
Networks, be they real or virtual, work to a relatively simple logic. The larger the network, the more attractive it is to users. Markets for portal companies (e.g., Yahoo.com), hardware (e.g., Intel) and software (e.g., Microsoft) all provide recent examples of companies deriving increased value from wider reach. Equally standardization of inter-organizational systems will require governance mechanisms and large firms will leverage their bargaining power to encourage co-operation among channel members. Such co-operation is often in the best interests of the large firm.
Being first is the key! In the networked economy, speed is God and first movers will reap the rewards (Downes and Mui 1999).
There is no guarantee that pioneering firms like Amazon or eBay will be able to maintain their position as the market evolves. Information technologies, by themselves, will not produce sustainable competitive advantage and pioneers must be careful not to develop the ‘wrong’ resources. Provided high switching costs do not exist, the early follower is often well positioned to exploit their existing resources and core competencies. In many cases, the early follower has complementary assets (e.g., brands) that will be their basis of competition.
Lower prices! E-business will lead to more efficient markets and lower prices
Reduced information exchange and coordination costs have enabled firms to capture a larger part of the customer value proposition. Whilst the cost of getting the right item to the right customer has got cheaper, there is not guarantee that this will result in lower prices. Speculation about whether prices will go up or fall is something of a red herring.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 35
Exhibit 4: The Structured Approach to MNE Strategic Orientation
Environmental, Economic, Structural and Market Conditions
Dimensional Structure of the Industry/Market
Global IntegrationLocal Responsiveness
Transactional Completeness
Set of All Possible Strategic Orientations
The Firm’s Existing Structure:Asset, Organizational, and Managerial
Set of Strategic Orientations Open to the Firm
Technological Feasibility
Managerial Choice of Strategic Orientation
Global IntegrationLocal Responsiveness
Transactional Completeness
Managerial Beliefs aboutEnvironment & Dimensional Structure
Managerial Orientation
Source: DMV (2000)
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 36
Exhibit 5: An Overview of the Key Constructs in Light of e-Business Evolution
Construct e-Business Impact (today) e-Business Impact (tomorrow)
1. Environmental, Economic, Structural and Market Conditions
Whilst the rate of technological change is significant, e-business cannot claim at this time, to have changed the environment, economic or market conditions radically for most industries. There are still many barriers to e-business at a macro level, not the least of which are: IT infrastructure, intellectual property rights, tax regimes and governmental influences that create pressures to localize
There will be natural pressures toward standardization of institutional structures and government regulation. However, in the medium term every indication is that these influences will remain local. In the longer-term open systems will create a greater likelihood that Internet systems worldwide will not possess the sorts of local idiosyncrasies that dominate MNE operations today.
2. Dimensional Structure of the Market
The impact e-business has had on the dimensional structure of the industry/market appears to be minimal. Forces for GI and LR are largely the same. Pressures for transactional completeness appear to more accurately explain e-business development.
Over time we would expect that there would be a growing importance of transactional completeness. However, there is no reason to believe that the underlying facets of the dimensions will remain the same over time.
3. Firms Existing Structure: Asset, Organizational and Managerial
Overall it is difficult to argue that the firm’s existing structures have been significantly affected by e-business. The key issue is whether legacy systems and processes are enhanced or destroyed through e-business initiatives.
There is little doubt that this will change in many firms. In particular, those MNEs that can break from physical systems will possess an advantage in their ability to standardize operations worldwide.
4. Set of All Possible Strategic Orientations
The impact of e-business is potentially greatest here with a number of new competitive and cooperative orientations emerging. However in the large many of these new ‘virtual’ orientations have failed to show that they possess sustainable advantages.
This is quite unpredictable and we would expect that the breadth of competitive offerings from local and MNEs would rise with time. MNEs will face increasing pressure from local companies facing potentially low barriers to entry.
5. Managerial Beliefs about Environmental & Dimensional Structure
The tensions between what the firm is organizationally capable of doing and what managers believe is best for the firm’s future, or what would succeed in the market, are crucial constraints to e-business. E-business may be providing more options, but in the large, limited organizational capability rather than a lack of strategic insight amongst managers has proven to be a limitation.
Learning about e-business will become clearer as successes and failures provide evidence about what are appropriate strategies.
6. Set of Strategic Orientations Open to the Firm
For MNEs with existing operations, the existing structure of the firm creates enormous constraints on its ability to develop a coherent and consistent e-business strategy worldwide.
MNEs will be faced with three options: (1) develop independent e-business capabilities worldwide; (2) build the MNE worldwide strategy based on an e-business platform; or (3) base the MNEs worldwide e-business platform on the MNEs existing worldwide strategy and structure.
7. Managerial Choice of Strategic Orientation
E-business, and its impact on the nature of the MNEs strategy, is limited because the organization is constrained by the existing pressures of GI and LR.
The most critical factor in the choice of strategic orientation is the ‘completeness’ of the institutions of economic contracting between the organizations and their stakeholders—owners, suppliers, employees, consumers and society. As a result of e-business, the real areas of change are those areas where ‘old’ institutions—hierarchies within firms, established supplier relations, EDI systems, etc.—can be co-opted by technology in ways that transform, not the business, but the psychology of the business and the fundamental core of what defines the business.
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 37
Exhibit 6: An Expansion of the Feasible Space in Four Industries
GI
TC
LR
GI
TC
LR
GI
TC
LR
GI
TC
LR
Banking Music
IT Eqmnt Fishmongering
Small Change
Large Change
State of the e-Business Revolution Page 38
Exhibit 7: A Value Chain Decomposition of E-Business Effects in Four Industries
Source ‘Materials’&
Inbound Logistics
Channel Distribution &
Outbound LogisticsProduction
Marketing& Service
Completely new modes of distribution reduce the cost of delivery (increasing TC) and provide for tailored offerings (thereby
increasing LR & TC).
Alternative sources of music supply arise because of the ability of the artist to
‘go direct’ to the music listener (increasing TC)
Direct to home delivery creates little need to ‘produce’ through traditional means (increasing TC)
On-line banking and related services decrease branch reliance and provide direct delivery of services. LR is increased because
of more specialized 1-on-1 delivery (which is tailored by the customer for themselves). TC is increased because of the ability
to more accurately transact with larger and larger groups of customers who are ‘self revealing’.
Distribution aspects of production decreased
creating local EOS but as a second order effect from channel delivery
and marketing.
Ordering systems can be integrated with operations and marketing (increasing
TC & GI)
Procurement systems move onto the web and open up
existing EDI structures (increasing TC & GI)
Tailored production based on web based ordering
(increasing GI)
Direct marketing and tailored servicing.
Middlemen provide less direct value (increasing both
GI & TC)
Because specific fishermen focus on only the fish necessary, sorting and
distribution are coordinated (increasing TC)
Systems allow for pre-ordering and forecasting
directing fishermen to the right stock (increasing LR
& TC)
Wastage is reduced and more stable price and quality control exists
(increasing TC)
Ban
king
IT E
qpt
Mus
icF
ishm
onge
ring
Note: Bold lines on boxes indicate a critical pressure