r & d and international collaboration on tsunami disaster ... › ... › common › file ›...
TRANSCRIPT
R & D and International Collaboration on Tsunami Disaster Management:SATREPS on Tsunamis in Chile
Principal Investigators, SATREPS Chile on TsunamisTakashi TOMITA, PARI
Rodrigo Cienfuegos, CIGIDEN/PUC
Joint Symposium on TsunamisThe Sixth Chile-Japan Symposium on Tsunami Disaster Mitigation, andThe Fifteenth International Workshop on Coastal Disaster Prevention
Kenchiku Kaikan Hall, January 12, 2016
1
Big Earthquakes Since 1980
http://www.iris.edu/hq/Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology
Greater than M 7.8Shallower than 30 km
2
• Saturday 27 February 2010 at 3:34 a.m. • 125 people killed by the tsunami among 547 people
confirmed dead or missing in the event (Nahuelpan & Varas2010: Legal Medical Service)
• Many people evacuating to hills and staying there several hours
• Debris disaster
Mw 8.8 Maule Earthquake in 2010
Photo by Ms. Cyndi Gatica Mella
Dichato
3
Tsunamis in Chile
Chilean tsunami in 2010 propagation to Japan
12 hrs.
24 hrs.
Tsunami generation areas and periods(Courtesy of Prof. Patricio Winckler Grez, UV)
4
Enhancement of Technology to Develop Tsunami-Resilient Community
Group 3Precise Tsunami Warning Methods
Dr. Baba, Tokushima U. - Dr. Catalán,
CIGIDEN/UTFSM
Group 2Tsunami Disaster
Estimation Method and Mitigation
MeasuresDr. Takahashi, Kansai U.
- Dr. Aránguiz, CIGIDEN/UCSC
Group 1Mathematical
Simulation Methods to Estimate Tsunami
Damage
Dr. Tomita, PARI - Dr. Cienfuegos, CIGIDEN/UC
Group 4Programs to Create Well-Prepared/Resilient People and Community
Dr. Miura, U. Yamaguchi - Dr. Cifuentes, UDECDr. Ono, Kyoto U. - Mr. Caselli, UV
Purpose: Development of technologies and measures to improve communities and people in Chile, Japan and other tsunami-prone areas to be well-prepared and resilient against tsunamis
Project Period: From 26 January 2012 to 31 March 2016
• SATREPS• Collaboration between the Japan Science and Technology Agency
(JST) and the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)• Aims:
– Enhancing international cooperation in science and technology between Japan and developing countries
– Acquiring new knowledge and technology that lead to the resolution of global issues and the advance of science and technology, and through this process, creating innovations
– Capacity Development• Research Fields:
– Environment/Energy– Bioresources– Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, and– Infectious Diseases Control
• 99 projects commenced in 43 countries, since 20086
Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development
PI: Tomita, PARILeaders:G1: Tomita, PARIG2: Takahashi, Kansai UG3: Baba, Tokushima U.G4: Miura, Yamaguchi U.G4a: Miura, Yamaguchi UG4b: Ono, Kyoto U
Participating Organization:U: Kansai, Kyoto, Nagoya, NDA,
Shizuoka, Tohoku, Tokushima,Tokyo, Tsukuba, Yamaguchi
RI: JAMSTEC, MRI, NILIM, PARIGO: JMA, MLIT
58 researchers and government officials
Formation
7
Director: Bordas, MOPManager: Cienfuegos, UC/CIGIDENLeaders:G1: Cienfuegos, UC/CIGIDENG2: Aranguiz, UCSC/CIGIDENG3: Catalan, UTFSM/CIDIDENG4: Cifuentes, UDECG4a: Cifuentes, UDECG4b: Caselli, UV
Participating Organization:U: UC, UCSC, UDEC, UTFSM, UVRI: CIGIDEN, INHGO: MOP, ONEMI, SHOA, Municipality
More than 60 students, professionals and government officials dispatched to Japan for technical exchange and training
JAPAN CHILE
Outputs
• Guideline for Tsunami Propagation and Inundation SHOA
• Tsunami Basics for Engineering MOP/DOP, MINVU, ONEMI, Association of
Minicipalities• Guideline for Port Business Continuity Management MOP/DOP, MTT, SEP, Public Ports, Maritime
Chamber (regarding private ports), DIRECTEMAR, ONEMI
• Guideline for Disaster Imagination Game in Chile ONEMI, Min. Social Development, Asso.
Minicipalities, Minicipalities of Talcahuano, Vina del Mar & Iquique
8
Outputs
• Menu of Tsunami Disaster Mitigation Measures MOP/DOP, MINVU
• Tsunami Scenario Database for Decision Making (SIPAT) SHOA, ONEMI
• Reviews of Recent Progress and Proposals on Chilean Tsunami Warning System SHOA, ONEMI
9
• Estimation of the worst-case tsunami scenario is crucially important for saving lives.
• Priority measure to save lives is prompt evacuation.
• A measure for prompt evacuation is vertical evacuation.
• …
10
Lessons Learned from the 2011 Tohoku Tsunami
Recommendations for tsunami preparedness and response (ONEMI, 2014)
The 2014 Pisagua and 2015 Illapel Tsunamis
11
Outputs of Group 1• Numerical simulation of the 2010 Maule earthquake tsunami in
Talcahuano– Including container debris simulation– “Tsunami and Storm Surge Simulator” (STOC) has been technically
transported to Chilean members: CIGIDEN, DOP and INH• Including a 3 d and non-hydrostatic model of fluid motion and debris
simulation model• IDE-CIGIDEN
– A spatial data infrastructure platform including data of the 2010 Maule earthquake tsunami and 2011 Japan tsunami
• Useful to understand tsunamis and their damage on maps
• Tsunami Basics for Engineering– G 2: Tsunami inundation and damage simulation guideline
• Based on the Japanese manual for tsunami propagation and inundation simulation
– Another textbook for understanding tsunami resistant design in collaboration with G2
13
STOC System
• STOC-ML is a quasi three-dimensional (Multi-level) model with the hydrostatic pressure assumption, capable of calculating tsunami propagation and inundation in a wide area.
• STOC-IC is a three-dimensional model for calculation of a tsunami in a non-hydrostatic field.
• CADMAS-SURF/3D is a model that can capture the free water surface with the VOF method, capable of calculating tsunami impacts on structures.
• STOC-DM calculates motions of debris, using tsunami flow results of STOC-ML and STOC-IC.
Successfully calculated the 2011 Tohoku tsunami in Hachinohe where breakwaters were destroyed by the tsunami action, and in Kuji where the tsunami was transformed to breaking bore.
14
Undular Bore
1/67 slope 1/60 slope 1/240 slope 1/100 slope
Wavegenerator
Wave gauge Current meter
1280 1860 1204 722 950
18.06.5
12.3
80.061.0
30.0 25.0 22.0
400
On the slope of 1/67at x=400 m On the slope of 1/100 at x=5866 m
Exp. vs. Cal. by STOC-IC
IDE-CIGIDEN
Example of runup by the 27F tsunami
Spatial data infrastructure platform information and maps
> Information regarding- tsunami inundation,- flow depths, and- run upis available.
> This information will be open to the national and international community for open access by December 2015.
Inundation areas caused by the 2011 Tohoku tsunami
Inundation area caused by the 2015 Illapel tsunami
• Contents– Wave propagation speed,– Water particle velocity,– Increase of tsunami height due to decrease of water depth,
• Wave shoaling in coastal engineering– Wave transformation and deformation,
• Refraction, diffraction, and reflection,• Undular bore and wave breaking
– Wave force formulae,• Formulae of forces on a breakwater, depending on whether the
tsunami overtops it, and is transformed to an undular bore• Formulae of tsunami wave pressure on a vertical wall on land
– Drag and inertia forces on a mass of body,
Tsunami Basics for Engineering
amax
awmax
max
通過波Incident tsunami
– Formulae of debris collision force,• Including examples of various debris
damage– Basic concept to calculate
topographical change induced by a tsunami, and• Basically following the Takahashi
model– Fragility functions
• Houses and buildings– Koshimura and Mas models– Chilean members documented
• Breakwaters• Warehouses on wharfs, and etc.
– Example of tsunami numerical simulation
• Inundation and container debris in Talcahuano by the 2010 Maule tsunami
Example of fragility function
Example of debris damage
• Guideline for Tsunami-Resistant Design of Breakwaters– Port and Harbour Bureau, MLIT, Japan– Based on lessons from the 2011 Tohoku Tsunami
• Tsunami-resistance is a basic requirement of breakwater design.
• Tsunami-resilience is also required in breakwaters which are in front of important facilities and areas, even if a tsunami exceeding its design tsunami hit.
• Appendix
Thank you for your attention20