quarterly performance report fiscal year 2018, …

Contract No.: AID-OAA-I-12-00038 Task Order: AID-OAA-TO-14-00007

QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE REPORT FISCAL YEAR 2018, QUARTER 3: APRIL 1 – JUNE 30, 2018

CLIMATE ECONOMIC ANALYSIS FOR DEVELOPMENT, IMVESTMENT, AND RESILIENCE

July 14, 2018

This publication is made possible by the support of the American People through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) and was prepared by Crown Agents USA Ltd. and Abt Associates for the Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment, and Resilience (CEADIR) Activity.

Recommended Citation: Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment, and Resilience (CEADIR). 2018. Quarterly Performance Report Fiscal Year 2018, Quarter 3. Washington, D.C.: Crown Agents USA and Abt Associates. Prepared for the U.S. Agency for International Development.

Crown Agents USA, Ltd. 1 1129 20th Street NW 1 Suite 500 1 Washington D.C. 20036 1 Tel: (202) 822-8052 1 www.crownagentsusa.com

With:

Abt Associates

QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE REPORT FOR FISCAL YEAR 2018, QUARTER 1 APRIL 1 – JUNE 30, 2018 CEADIR

Contract No.: AID-OAA-I-12-00038 Task Order: AID-OAA-TO-14-00007

Economic Policy Office and Global Climate Change Office Bureau for Economic Growth, Education, and Environment U.S. Agency for International Development 1300 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20523

Prepared by

Crown Agents USA; with Abt Associates

July 14, 2018

DISCLAIMER

This report is made possible by the support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).

USAID CEADIR Activity: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Performance Report i

CONTENTS Contents ...........................................................................................................................................i

List of Tables ...................................................................................................................................ii

Acronyms and Abbreviations .......................................................................................................iii

1. Executive Summary .............................................................................................................. 5

1.1 Summary of Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Activities ....................................................................................................... 5

2. Contract Administration .................................................................................................... 10

1.1 Administrative Procedures................................................................................................................................... 10

2.1.1 Tracking and Reporting Funding Obligated, Spent, and Remaining................................................... 10

2.1.2 Key Project Management and Technical Staff ........................................................................................ 10

3. Fiscal Year 2018 Quarter 3 Activities and Deliverables .................................................. 12

3.1 El Salvador, Central AMerica, and Mexico Regional Mission (ECAM) CE Finance and LEDS Support 12

3.2 Expanding Small-Scale, Off-Grid Renewable Energy Lending in Ghana and Rwanda ............................. 12

3.3 Scaling Up Clean Energy Lending in West Africa ........................................................................................... 12

3.4 Clean Energy and Sustainable Landscapes Financing in South and Southeast Asia ................................. 13

3.5 Analysis of the Literature on Mangrove Ecosystem Valuation .................................................................... 14

3.6 Indonesia Mangrove Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) ......................................................................................... 14

3.7 Literature Review: Economic and Environmental Impacts of Rural Roads .............................................. 14

3.8 Climate Finance Assessment ............................................................................................................................... 14

3.9 National Climate Assessment (NCA) ............................................................................................................... 14

3.10 Peru Support for National Adaptation Plan Financing ................................................................................... 14

3.11 Technical Assistance for Developing Public-Private Partnerships for Disaster Risk Reduction in Four Cities in India .................................................................................................................................................................... 15

3.12 Analysis of Renewable Electricity Reverse Auctions in Six Countries ...................................................... 15

3.13 Renewable Energy and Smart Grid Suppliers Forum ..................................................................................... 15

3.14 Support for National Adaptation Financing in Senegal .................................................................................. 16

3.15 Local Governance and Private Sector Opportunities for Adaptation to Climate Change, Biodiversity, and Livelihoods in Madagascar .............................................................................................................. 16

4. Monitoring and Reporting ................................................................................................... 18

Annex I. Innovations as a Result of Ceadir’s Work ................................................................ 28

USAID CEADIR Activity: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Performance Report ii

LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 CEADIR Activities and Deliverables Summary .................................................. 6

Table 2: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 CEADIR Financial Report as of June 30, 2018 ................................................... 10

Table 3: CEADIR’s Standard Global Climate Change (GCC), Standard Power Africa, and Custom Indicators for CE .............................................................................................................................................................. 18

Table 4: CEADIR’s Standard GCC and Custom Indicators for Sustainable Landscapes ................................ 22

Table 5: CEADIR’s Standard GCC and Custom Indicators for Adaptation ...................................................... 24

USAID CEADIR Activity: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Performance Report iii

ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ACEF Asia Clean Energy Forum AD Adaptation BAS Business advisory services BPR Banque Populaire Rwandaise BRD Banque Rwandaise de Développement (Rwanda Development Bank) BTG Beyond the grid (Power Africa) CE Clean energy CEADIR Climate Economic Analysis for Development, Investment, and Resilience CO Contracting Officer COMNACC National Committee on Climate Change COR Contracting officer’s representative DCA Development Credit Authority DEC Development Experience Clearinghouse (USAID) DfID Department for International Development (UK) DRR Disaster Risk Reduction E3 Bureau of Economic Growth, Education, and Environment (USAID) ECAM El Salvador, Central America, and Mexico Regional Mission (USAID) ECO Environmental Communication, Learning and Outreach ECOWAS Economic Community of West African States ECREEE ECOWAS Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency EE Energy efficiency EP E3 Economic Policy Office (USAID) ESCO Energy Services Company FAO Food and Agriculture Organization (United Nations) FY Fiscal year GCC E3 Global Climate Change Office (USAID) GHG Greenhouse gas GiZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für internationale Zusammenarbeit (German International

Cooperation) IDIQ Indefinite delivery/indefinite quantity IFC International Finance Corporation IT Information technology ITA International Trade Administration (U.S. Department of Commerce) LEDS Low-emission development strategies M&E Monitoring and evaluation MW Megawatt NAP National adaptation plan NCA National Climate Assessment NDC Nationally Determined Contributions NGO Nongovernmental organization NREL National Renewable Energy Laboratory OPIC Overseas Private Investment Corporation PATRP Power Africa Transactions and Reforms Program PFAN Private Financing Advisory Network PNPCC National Platform for Fisheries and Climate Change PPP Public-private partnerships Q Quarter RDMA Regional Development Mission for Asia (USAID/Asia)

USAID CEADIR Activity: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Performance Report iv

RE Renewable energy REEEP Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Partnership (REEEP) ROGEP Regional Off-Grid Electrification Program SL Sustainable landscapes SME Small and medium enterprises SOW Scope of work TA Technical assistance TERI The Energy and Resources Institute TO Task order UNDP United Nations Development Program USG United States government USAID United States Agency for International Development WARM West Africa Regional Mission

USAID CEADIR Activity: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Performance Report 5

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report summarizes the Fiscal Year (FY) 2018 Quarter 3 (Q3) progress of the CEADIR activity under the Public Financial Management indefinite delivery/indefinite quality (IDIQ) contract. It covers the period from April 1 through June 30, 2018.

CEADIR helps USAID, partner governments, the private sector, and civil society organizations make the financial and economic case for investing in climate change mitigation and adaptation. It provides technical assistance (TA) and capacity development for assessments, economic analysis, planning, and mobilization of financing for low emission development strategies (LEDS) and National Adaptation Plans (NAPs). It spans clean energy (CE), sustainable landscapes (SL), and climate adaptation (AD). This global task order (TO) is supported by the Bureau of Economic Growth, Education and Environment (E3) with core funds from the Global Climate Change Office (GCC) in addition to mission and other USAID operating unit buy-ins. The USAID E3/GCC and E3/Economic Policy (EP) Offices manage the task order. It has a ceiling of $20,041,151 over the TO lifespan, which began on May 19, 2014 and ends March 28, 2019.

The Crown Agents USA CEADIR consortium includes the following partners:

• Crown Agents USA (prime)

• Abt Associates

• Bloomberg New Energy Finance

• Connexus (formerly, AZMJ)

• Enclude Solutions, Ltd.

• Engility

• Stockholm Environment Institute

• University of Michigan/ William Davidson Institute

Dr. Eric Hyman (E3/EP) was the USAID Contract Officer’s Representative (COR) and Activity Manager for Economic Analysis and Policy and Sustainable Landscapes. Other USAID Activity Managers during the quarter included Matthew Ogonowski (E3/GCC) for Clean Energy and Jonathan Cook (E3/GCC) for Adaptation. Patrice Lee was the Contract Officer (CO). During the quarter, the CEADIR management team consisted initially of Tanna Bruce and subsequently Yulia Johansen (Project Manager, Crown Agents USA), Dr. Marcia Trump (Chief of Party, Abt Associates), and Pablo Torres (Operations Manager, Crown Agents USA).

1.1 SUMMARY OF FISCAL YEAR 2018 Q3 ACTIVITIES Table 1 summarizes the buy-in and centrally funded activities of CEADIR in fiscal year 2018 Q3.


Table 1. Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 CEADIR Activities and Deliverables Summary

Activity Area Description Deliverables

El Salvador, Central America, and Mexico Regional Mission (ECAM) CE Finance and Low Emission Development (LEDS) Support

• Submitted revised report for The Clean Energy Market in El Salvador

• Report: The Clean Energy Market in El Salvador

Scaling Up CE Lending in West Africa

• Submitted revised market assessment reports for Nigeria and Liberia

• Submitted draft market assessment report for Sierra Leone

• Submitted end-of-activity report containing an overall review of activity results and an assessment of activity impacts

• Coordinated with the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (ECREEE), the World Bank, Power Africa, and Private Financing Advisory Network (PFAN) on how CEADIR outputs could contribute to their activities. Shared draft market assessment reports with ECREEE in support for ECREEE’s preparations for the Regional Off-Grid Electrification Program (ROGEP)

• Revised market assessment reports for Nigeria and Liberia

• Draft market assessment report for Sierra Leone

• End-of-activity report

Expanding Small-Scale, Off-Grid Renewable Energy (RE) Lending in Ghana and Rwanda

• Hired one business advisory service (BAS) provider in Rwanda

• Delivered two half-day training sessions to seven Banque Populaire Rwandaise (BPR) staff (six women and one man) in May.

• Met with the World Bank and Banque Rwandaise de Développement (Rwanda Development Bank or BRD) to develop training for banks and SMEs in off-grid lending in Rwanda through World Bank Renewable Energy Fund

• Met with potential clients for Ecobank and BPR seeking to borrow for off-grid development projects

• Two half-day training sessions to Banque Populaire Rwandaise (BPR). The training covered energy markets; renewables; energy access; PAYGO/SHS technical, financial, and operational characteristics; and rural, off-grid consumers and their energy characteristics.

• One $2.7 million loan approved by Ecobank for SPI in Ghana. The total included $1.7 million for a line of credit for importation of off-grid solar panels and other inputs and $1 million for



• Planned for off-grid structured finance lending training for Ecobank Ghana

• Explored expansion of activity to one other country

installation of off-grid solar systems for SMEs.

CE and Sustainable Landscapes Financing in South and Southeast Asia

• Began implementing new sub-activity: “Private Sector Recommendations for Renewable Energy Auctions in Southeast Asia”

• Conducted data collection, interviews, and analysis of Thailand’s recent RE auction and prepared draft findings

• Initiated data collection, interviews, and analysis of Malaysia’s recent RE auction

• Collaborated with RDMA and USAID Clean Power Asia in planning and delivering a workshop at Asia Clean Energy Forum (ACEF) in June 2018 in Manila, Philippines; presented CEADIR work

• Sought feedback from participants in the October 2017 SL workshop with FAO on two CEADIR SL briefers; submitted final briefers to USAID

• Draft findings from interviews and analysis of Thailand’s RE auction

• Final agenda for ACEF workshop

• Two final CEADIR presentations delivered June 8, 2018 at ACEF workshop: Renewable Energy Auctions in ASEAN: Perspectives of Private Investors by Mikell O’Mealy, and Preliminary Findings from Interviews with Private Sector Participants in Thailand’s Recent Auction by Tanat Sangarasri.

• Two final CEADIR SL briefers from October 2017 workshop with FAO: Enabling Private Sector Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry Investment in Southeast Asia – Sustainable Rice Platform – Sustainable Rice Cultivation, and Enabling Private Sector Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry Investment in Southeast Asia – Forest Stewardship Council Certified Timber, available at https://cafaworkshop.wixsite.com/climate-action-asia/resources

Climate Finance Assessment

• Submitted revised report

• Initiated work on follow-on products (derivatives) including presentation on clean energy

• Revised Climate Finance Assessment Report – Opportunities for USAID Intervention

Analysis of the Literature on Mangrove Ecosystem Valuation

• Submitted revised report, which was in turn submitted for DEC review and approval

• Revised report Mangrove Ecosystem Valuation: Methods and Results

Indonesia Mangrove Cost-

• CEADIR gathered quantitative data of mean values and probability distributions of variables for a Monte Carlo analysis of mangrove values.

https://cafaworkshop.wixsite.com/climate-action-asia/resources




Benefit Analysis (CBA)

National Climate Assessment

• CEADIR revised the draft chapter, executive summary, figures, and traceable accounts

The Impacts of Rural Road Development on Forests, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries

• Submitted revised report • Revised report The Impacts of Rural Road Development on Forests, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries

Technical Assistance for Developing Private-Public Partnerships (PPPs) for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) in Four Cities in India

• Submitted a summary of discussions with municipal officials and private sector stakeholders in four cities

• Submitted a short list of public-private partnerships (PPPs) for design

• Trip report, including summary of all meetings during the May 2018 TDY mission

• Short list of five proposed PPPs: two in Cuttack – municipal solid waste and rehabilitation of ponds, two in Visakhapatnam – public health and resilient communities, and one in Vijayawada – heat stress.

Analysis of Renewable Electricity Reverse Auctions in Six Countries

• Submitted final report to the DEC and draft presentation.

• Final report Analysis of Renewable Energy Auctions in Six Countries, and PowerPoint.



Renewable Energy and Smart Grid Suppliers Forum

• Confirmed all speakers for May 1 Renewable Energy and Smart Grid Suppliers Forum in Denver, Colorado

• Completed analysis of key emerging markets for US suppliers of technologies and services for large-scale RE and smart grids in developing countries and produced four briefers for the May 1 event

• Finalized agenda and all materials for the event

• Coordinated with USAID-funded Environmental Communication, Learning and Outreach (ECO) team on event planning and preparations

• Delivered May 1 event

• Analyzed participant feedback from event evaluation forms

• Created an activity page on the CEADIR Climatelinks page to share resources from the event

• Began preparing final report from the event

• Confirmed speakers, moderators, and panelists

• Four final CEADIR briefers for May 1 event

• Final agenda and other materials for the event

• Summary of participant feedback from the event

• Activity page on CEADIR Climatelinks website sharing event resources, available at https://www.climatelinks.org/content/renewable-energy-and-smart-grid-suppliers-forum-emerging-market-opportunities-us-firms

Support for National Adaptation Financing in Senegal

• Submitted and received approval for SOW and budget

• Delivered adaptation financing training workshop—in collaboration with USAID COMFISH Plus project—for fisheries and agriculture sectors in Dakar, June 19-21

• Training workshop presentations and related materials

Local Governance and Private Sector Opportunities for Adaptation to Climate Change, Biodiversity, and Livelihoods in Madagascar

• Submitted and received approval for SOW and budget

• Began researching National Adaptation Plan process, governance frameworks for conservation and natural resource management, and vulnerability information for sites in Mikajy, Madagascar

https://www.climatelinks.org/content/renewable-energy-and-smart-grid-suppliers-forum-emerging-market-opportunities-us-firms





2. CONTRACT ADMINISTRATION 1.1 ADMINISTRATIVE PROCEDURES

2.1.1 TRACKING AND REPORTING FUNDING OBLIGATED, SPENT, AND REMAINING

Table 2: Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 CEADIR Financial Report as of June 30, 2018

Financial Report as of June 30, 2018

Obligated Funds $18,912,577

Cumulative Expenditures as of End of Previous Quarter

$13,652,316

April 18

May 18

June 18

$457,386

$358,994

$356,434

Estimated Accruals $222,884

Available Balance $3,864,563

2.1.2 KEY PROJECT MANAGEMENT AND TECHNICAL STAFF The key project management and technical staff during the reporting period included:

Project Management

• Tanna Bruce (Project Manager) and subsequently Yulia Johansen

• Marcia Trump (Chief of Party)

• Pablo Torres (Operations Manager)

Technical Staff

• Edward (Ned) Hoyt (CE)

• Gordon Smith (sustainable landscapes)

• Glen Anderson (adaptation and finance)

• Alan Miller (finance)

• Santiago Enriquez (CE lending)

• Mikell O’Mealy (adaptation/sustainable landscapes/CE)

• Nadia Scharen-Guivel (CE lending/finance)


• Joel Smith (adaptation)

• Lindsay Foley (sustainable landscapes and economics)

• Claudia Rossel (monitoring and evaluation)

Communications and Information Technology Staff

• Leah Quin (communications)

• Alexa Smith-Rommel (communications)

• Brian Pendleton (information technology manager)

Activity Managers and Country Coordinators

• Glen Anderson (Activity Manager, USAID climate finance assessment, Peru NAP financing support, and India disaster risk reduction activities)

• Santiago Enriquez (Activity Manager, ECAM CE finance and LEDS support)

• Gordon Smith (Activity Manager, Indonesia mangrove valuation and literature reviews on road and hydropower impacts)

• Nadia Scharen-Guivel (Activity Manager, expanding small-scall, off-grid RE lending in Ghana and Rwanda, and RE auctions paper)

• Edward (Ned) Hoyt (Activity Manager, scaling up CE lending in West Africa)

• Mikell O’Mealy (Activity Manager, CE and SL financing workshops in Asia, RE and smart grid suppliers forum)

• Joel Smith (Activity Manager, National Climate Assessment international chapter)

• Charlotte Mack (Activity Manager, Madagascar)

• Lorine Giancola (Activity Manager, Senegal)

Finance and Contracts Managers

• Zoey Askarzoi

• Erin Moran


3. FISCAL YEAR 2018 QUARTER 3 ACTIVITIES AND DELIVERABLES

3.1 EL SALVADOR, CENTRAL AMERICA, AND MEXICO REGIONAL MISSION (ECAM) CE FINANCE AND LEDS SUPPORT

CEADIR submitted a revised report for The Clean Energy Market in El Salvador, which was in turn submitted for DEC review.

Deliverables:

• Revised report: The Clean Energy Market in El Salvador.

3.2 EXPANDING SMALL-SCALE, OFF-GRID RENEWABLE ENERGY LENDING IN GHANA AND RWANDA

Since hiring the business advisory service (BAS) providers in Ghana, CEADIR has engaged with 57 potential clients and has worked closely with eight project developers, providing continuous technical direction, support, and referrals of new opportunities. CEADIR has provided a project pipeline to the BAS providers and facilitated meetings with Ecobank. Hubroot, a BAS provider in Ghana, submitted a loan application to Ecobank for $2.7 million for SunPower Innovations (SPI). Ecobank approved the SPI loan during the quarter, pending SPI’s signature for loan execution.

CEADIR also contracted with a BAS provider in Rwanda and began working on identifying small and medium sized businesses.

CEADIR delivered two half-day training sessions to seven BPR staff (6 women and 1 man) in Rwanda on May 23 and 25th, 2018. For the trainings, CEADIR created a sample profit and loss model. This allowed the trainees to work together to develop their own solar PAYGO company including creating a business model and three-year projections.

CEADIR also held meetings with the World Bank and Banque Rwandaise de Développement (BRD) to develop training for banks and SMEs in off-grid lending in Rwanda through the World Bank Renewable Energy Fund program.

Deliverables:

• Two half-day training sessions to BPR staff in Rwanda

• One loan approved by Econbank under the BAS provider structure for $2.7 million to SunPower Innovations in Ghana.

3.3 SCALING UP CLEAN ENERGY LENDING IN WEST AFRICA Following conclusion of all field work in March 2018, CEADIR submitted an end-of-activity report, which contains an overview of all outputs and an assessment of impacts.


CEADIR submitted revisions of the Nigeria and Liberia market assessment reports and a draft of the Sierra Leone market assessment report.

Following on CEADIR’s regular discussions during the implementation of the activity with the USAID-funded Power Africa Transactions and Reforms Program (PATRP), the ECOWAS Centre for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (ECREEE) implementing the World Bank’s Regional Off-Grid Electrification Project (ROGEP), and the Private Financing Advisory Network (PFAN), CEADIR maintained contact and provide input and support to the ECREEE team that started work on the program design for ROGEP.

Deliverables:

• Draft and revised market assessment reports; and

• End-of-activity report

3.4 CLEAN ENERGY AND SUSTAINABLE LANDSCAPES FINANCING IN SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ASIA

CEADIR began implementing the sub-activity with RDMA entitled “Private Sector Recommendations for Renewable Energy Auctions in Southeast Asia.”

Under this sub-activity, CEADIR conducted data collection, interviews, and analysis of the recent RE auction in Thailand and submitted preliminary and revised findings to USAID. CEADIR also initiated data collection, interviews, and analysis of Malaysia’s recent RE auction.

CEADIR collaborated with USAID Clean Power Asia in planning, preparing for, and delivering a deep-dive workshop at the Asia Clean Energy Forum (ACEF) in June 2018 in Manila, Philippines. At this high-profile event, CEADIR presented preliminary findings from its analysis of Thailand’s recent RE auction and solicited feedback and insights from workshop participants. CEADIR also presented findings from analysis of RE auctions in the six other countries (El Salvador, Mexico, Peru, Brazil, India, and South Africa).

CEADIR also submitted two revised briefers after receiving feedback from government participants at the October 2017 regional SL workshop with FAO. The two briefers and other workshop materials are available at https://cafaworkshop.wixsite.com/climate-action-asia/resources.

Deliverables:

• Draft findings from interviews and analysis of Thailand’s recent RE auction

• Final agenda and two CEADIR presentations delivered June 8, 2018 at ACEF workshop:

o Renewable Energy Auctions in ASEAN: Perspectives of Private Investors by Mikell O’Mealy, and Preliminary Findings from Interviews with Private Sector Participants in Thailand’s Recent Auction by Tanat Sangarasri.

• Two final CEADIR SL briefers from the October 2017 worskhop with FAO: Enabling Private Sector Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry Investment in Southeast Asia – Sustainable Rice Platform – Sustainable Rice Cultivation, and Enabling Private Sector Climate-Smart Agriculture and Forestry Investment in Southeast Asia – Forest Stewardship Council Certified Timber



3.5 ANALYSIS OF THE LITERATURE ON MANGROVE ECOSYSTEM VALUATION

CEADIR submitted a revised report, which was submitted for DEC approval.

Deliverables:

• Revised report Mangrove Ecosystem Valuation: Methods and Results

3.6 INDONESIA MANGROVE COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS (CBA)

CEADIR investigated data sources for doing Monte Carlo analysis of mangrove values and developed a first draft of a plan for doing the Monte Carlo analysis. CEADIR also gathered quantitative data of mean values and probability distributions of variables for the Monte Carlo analysis of mangrove values.

3.7 LITERATURE REVIEW: ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF RURAL ROADS

CEADIR submitted a revised report.

Deliverables:

• Revised report The Impacts of Rural Road Development on Forests, Greenhouse Gas Emissions, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries

3.8 CLIMATE FINANCE ASSESSMENT CEADIR submitted a revised report and initiated work for follow-on presentations and briefing materials.

Deliverables:

• Revised Climate Finance Assessment Report: Opportunities for USAID Intervention

3.9 NATIONAL CLIMATE ASSESSMENT (NCA) CEADIR revised the draft NCA chapter on Climate Effects on U.S. International Interests in response to Technical Support Unit and inter-agency comments. CEADIR also coordinated writing of responses to comments.

3.10 PERU SUPPORT FOR NATIONAL ADAPTATION PLAN FINANCING

CEADIR curtailed work on portfolios and profiles, pending discussions with USAID/W and USAID/Peru on the prospects of being able to continue to work collaboratively with the Ministry of Environment and adaptation working groups.


3.11 TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE FOR DEVELOPING PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION IN FOUR CITIES IN INDIA

CEADIR, The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), and the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) co-organized two-day meetings with municipal officials and private-sector stakeholders to discuss options for public-private partnerships to reduce urban disaster risks. The UNDP project manager and city project coordinators participated in all meetings, and USAID/India joined meetings in two of the four cities. Following the meetings, CEADIR and TERI met with USAID/India to develop the short list of PPPs for design. TERI drafted the first design (for a health system PPP in Visakhapatnam) and will prepare and vet additional PPPs with the other cities.

Deliverables:

• Trip report, including summary of all meetings during the May 2018 TDY mission

• Short list of disaster-risk reduction PPPs

3.12 ANALYSIS OF RENEWABLE ELECTRICITY REVERSE AUCTIONS IN SIX COUNTRIES

CEADIR submitted the final report and associated presentation.

Deliverables:

• Analysis of Renewable Energy Auctions in Six Countries final report

• Summary powerpoint

3.13 RENEWABLE ENERGY AND SMART GRID SUPPLIERS FORUM CEADIR continued collaborating with USAID in planning and preparations for a forum for U.S. suppliers of utility-scale renewable energy and smart grid products and services. CEADIR confirmed all speakers, moderators and panelists for the event; finalized the event agenda and all event materials; continued engaging key industry associations and networks to further publicize the event in collaboration with the USAID-funded Environmental Communication, Learning and Outreach (ECO) team.

CEADIR also continued engaging and coordinating with key collaborating partners in event preparations, including the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USTDA), Overseas Private Investment Corporation (OPIC), Power Africa, U.S. Department of Commerce International Trade Administration (ITA), U.S. Commercial Service, and U.S. Export Assistance Center leads based in Denver.

CEADIR completed analysis of key emerging markets for U.S. suppliers of technologies and services for large-scale RE and smart grids in developing countries and finalized four briefers shared at the May 1 event, including three regional briefers focusing on Africa, Asia and Latin America and one briefer providing information sources and other resources for firms to conduct market research.

Following the event, CEADIR analyzed feedback from evaluation forms submitted by participants and provided a summary of participant feedback to USAID. CEADIR also created an activity page on the


CEADIR Climatelinks webiste to share resources and information from the event (see www.climatelinks.org/content/renewable-energy-and-smart-grid-suppliers-forum-emerging-market-opportunities-us-firms). In addition, CEADIR began preparing a final report on the event.

Deliverables:

• Confirmed all speakers, moderators and panelists

• Four final briefers

o Information Resources on Utility-Scale Renewable Energy and Smart Grid Markets in Developing Countries

o Opportunities for U.S. Suppliers of Utility-Scale Wind and Solar Power and Smart Grid Products and Services in Africa

o Opportunities for U.S. Suppliers of Utility-Scale Wind and Solar Power and Smart Grid Products and Services in Asia

o Opportunities for U.S. Suppliers of Utility-Scale Wind and Solar Power and Smart Grid Products and Services in Latin America

• Final agenda and other materials for the event

• Summary of participant feedback from the event

• Activity page on CEADIR Climatelinks website

3.14 SUPPORT FOR NATIONAL ADAPTATION FINANCING IN SENEGAL

CEADIR delivered a three-day adaptation financing training workshop for fisheries and agriculture in Dakar, Senegal, June 19-21, in collaboration with the USAID COMFISH Plus project. Other partners included the National Committee on Climate Change (COMNACC), the National Platform for Fisheries and Climate Change (PNPCC), the Ministry of Fisheries and Marine Economy, and the Ministry of Environment and Sustainable Development. Sixty-five participants (13 women and 52 men) from 23 institutions attended the workshop over the course of the three days (figures exclude CEADIR, COMFISH, and USAID representatives).

During the three-day workshop, CEADIR shared key adaptation financing principles and international adaptation financing models, with discussion of specific applications to the fisheries and agriculture sectors. Workshop participants applied these concepts during in-depth working group activities. Working groups practiced integrating financing into sectoral adaptation planning, assessed institutional readiness to access adaptation financing, and developed strategies to enhance adaptation financing readiness.

Deliverables:

• Training workshop and related materials

3.15 LOCAL GOVERNANCE AND PRIVATE SECTOR OPPORTUNITIES FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE

http://www.climatelinks.org/content/renewable-energy-and-smart-grid-suppliers-forum-emerging-market-opportunities-us-firms

http://www.climatelinks.org/content/renewable-energy-and-smart-grid-suppliers-forum-emerging-market-opportunities-us-firms


CHANGE, BIODIVERSITY, AND LIVELIHOODS IN MADAGASCAR

CEADIR began implementing the activity, including desktop research on the National Adaptation Plan process, local governance and decision-making frameworks for conservation and natural resources management, and vulnerability information for Mikajy sites. Mikajy is a USAID/Madagascar program focused on protecting biodiversity and supporting conservation of unique ecosystems. CEADIR activities in Madagascar will be aligned with the Mikajy program as it relates to climate change. CEADIR activities also included planning a trip in July where the team will hold consultations with various organizations to 1) understand the status of the NAP, including existing activities and gaps; 2) identify entry points for mainstreaming climate adaptation into local development, biodiversity conservation, and natural resource management decision making; and 3) gather information on climate hazards and vulnerability particularly as relevant to the Mikajy site.


4. MONITORING AND REPORTING Table 3, Table 4, and Table 5 contain CEADIR’s reporting of the standard GCC indicators (based on GCC Standard Indicator Handbook and GCC Summary Sheet dated June 2016, and available at https://www.climatelinks.org/resources/gcc-standard-indicator-handbook), the Power Africa standard indicators (for the two activities funded by Power Africa, based on the Power Africa Monitoring, Evaluation, and Learning Plan, version 2 dated May 18, 2016) and some custom indicators. The tables are organized by the three pillars – CE, adaptation, and sustainable landscapes.

Table 3: CEADIR’s Standard Global Climate Change (GCC), Standard Power Africa, and Custom Indicators for CE

Standard GCC Indicators

Number Category Indicator Fiscal Year 2018 Q3

TOTAL Comments

EG.12-1 Training Number of people trained in CE supported by USG assistance

7 (1 man and 6 women)

Power Africa BTG: 7 people (1 man and 6 women) during two half-day training sessions with Banque Populaire Rwandaise offered on May 23 and 25th, 2018.

EG.12-2 Institutional Capacity

Number of institutions with improved capacity to address CE issues as supported by USG assistance

EG.12-3 Legal/Policy Environment

Number of laws, policies, regulations, or standards addressing CE formally proposed, adopted, or implemented as supported by USG assistance

EG.12-4 Investment Mobilized

Amount of investment

https://www.climatelinks.org/resources/gcc-standard-indicator-handbook


mobilized (in USD) for CE as supported by USG assistance

EG.12-5 CE Generation

(MWs)

CEgeneration capacity supported by USG assistance that has achieved financial closure

EG.12-6 GHG Emissions

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, estimated in metric tons of CO2 equivalent, reduced, sequestered, or avoided through CE activities supported by USG assistance

EG.12-7 Projected Emissions

Reductions

Projected GHG emissions reduced or avoided through 2030 from adopted laws, policies, regulations, or technologies related to CE as supported by USG assistance

EG.7.1-1 CE Beneficiaries

Number of beneficiaries with improved energy services due to USG assistance

Standard Power Africa Indicators


Power Africa

#20

Training and Capacity Building

Activities

Person-hours of training completed in technical energy fields supported by USG assistance

48 (40 person-hours for women

and 8 person hours for men in

Rwanda)

Power Africa BTG: Rwanda: On May 23rd, five women and one man from BPR attended a 4-hour training on PAYGO/SHS technical, financial and operational characteristics. On May 25th, five women and one man from BPR attended a 4-hour training on rural, off-grid consumers and their energy characteristics.

Power Africa

#18

Partner Commitment

Tracking

Dollars in commitments made by Power Africa private sector partners

Power Africa

#16

Amount Mobilized

Amount of investment mobilized (in USD) for energy projects by USG

Power Africa

#15

USG Investment Leverage

Total public and private funds leveraged by USG for energy projects

Power Africa #9

Transactions Pending Financial Closure

Number of transactions that have not yet achieved financial closure

Power Africa #8

Generation Capacity Pending Financial Closure

Number of MW of transactions that have not yet achieved financial closure

Power Africa

#10

Generation Capacity Reached Financial Closure

Number of MW from transactions that achieved financial closure


Power Africa

#11

Transactions Reached Financial Closure

Number of transactions that have achieved financial closure

Custom Indicators

N/A Partner Engagement

Number of financial institutions to which CEADIR provides technical assistance

N/A Innovation Number of CE tools, technologies, and methodologies developed, tested, and/or adopted as a result of USG assistance

6 Power Africa WARM: Six products: a financial memo, a solar rooftop installation model, a green loan product, an Energy Services Company (ESCO) loan product and pilot, a roadmap for developing ESCO loan products, and a financial model for PayGo solar/mobile phone transactions (Annex I-A).

N/A Knowledge Sharing Events

Number of instances of knowledge sharing platforms used to relay information on CE with USG support

2 RDMA: CEADIR presentation at the Asia Clean Energy Forum (ACEF) deep dive workshop on "Renewable Energy Auctions: A New Paradigm for Asia", June 8, 2018 in Manila, Philippines (see http://usaidcleanpowerasia.aseanenergy.org/event/renewable-energy-auctions-a-new-paradigm-for-asia/)

Denver: Renewable Energy and Smart Grid Suppliers Forum on May 1

N/A Information Access

Number of instances individual stakeholders access CE information presented via a knowledge sharing event such as a webinar, conference, or symposium, as a result of USG assistance

175 (53 women, 122 men)

RDMA: 125 people attended the ACEF workshop, excluding CEADIR and USG staff on June 8. CEADIR estimated the gender breakdown at 35% women (44 persons) and 65% men (81 persons).

Denver: 50 (9 women and 41 men), excluding CEADIR and USG staff.

http://usaidcleanpowerasia.aseanenergy.org/event/renewable-energy-auctions-a-new-paradigm-for-asia/

http://usaidcleanpowerasia.aseanenergy.org/event/renewable-energy-auctions-a-new-paradigm-for-asia/

https://www.resgforum2018.com/


N/A Assessments Number of CE technical assessments, scans, or institutional diagnostics completed with the support of USG assistance

11 Power Africa WARM: 10 bank diagnostic reports: - Ghana: Stanbic, HFC Bank, and Heritage Bank; - Côte d’Ivoire: UBA and Orabank; - Niger: Sonibank and Ecobank; - Liberia: UBA and Access Bank Liberia; and - Senegal: CNCAS

Analysis of Renewable Energy Auctions in Six Countries

Table 4: CEADIR’s Standard GCC and Custom Indicators for Sustainable Landscapes


Number Category Indicator Fiscal Year 2018 Q3

Total Comments

EG.13-1 Training Number of people trained in sustainable landscapes supported by USG assistance


Number of institutions with improved capacity to address sustainable landscapes issues as supported by USG assistance


Number of laws, policies, regulations, or standards addressing sustainable landscapes formally proposed, adopted, or implemented as supported by USG assistance



Amount of investment mobilized (in USD) for sustainable landscapes as supported by USG assistance

EG.13-5 Sustainable Landscapes

Beneficiaries

Number of people receiving livelihood co-benefits (monetary or non-monetary) associated with the implementation of USG sustainable landscapes activities

EG.13-6 GHG Emissions

GHG emissions, estimated in metric tons of CO2 equivalent, reduced, sequestered, or avoided through sustainable landscapes activities supported by USG assistance

EG.13-7 Projected Emission

Reductions

Projected GHG emissions reduced or avoided through 2030 from adopted laws, policies, regulations, or technologies related to sustainable landscapes as supported by USG assistance

Custom Indicators

N/A Innovation Number of sustainable landscapes tools, technologies and methodologies developed,


tested and/or adopted as a result of USG assistance


Number of instances of knowledge sharing events to relay information on sustainable landscapes as a result of USG assistance


Number of instances individual stakeholders access sustainable landscapes information presented via a knowledge sharing event such as a webinar, conference, or symposium, as a result of USG assistance

N/A Assessments Number of sustainable landscapes technical assessments, scans, or diagnostics completed with the support of USG assistance

Table 5: CEADIR’s Standard GCC and Custom Indicators for Adaptation


Number Category Indicator Fiscal Year 2018 Q3 Results

Total Comments

EG.11-1 Training Number of people trained in climate change adaptation supported by USG assistance

65 (13 women and 52 men)

Senegal: attendance at Senegal’s National Workshop for Climate Adaptation Financing in Dakar, June 19-21 (USG and CEADIR excluded).



Number of institutions with improved capacity to assess or address climate change risks supported by USG assistance

Senegal: While CEADIR cannot claim long term increased institutional capacity as a result of a training workshop, we would like to note the training that was delivered to representatives of the following institutions at Senegal’s National Workshop for Climate Adaptation Financing delivered by CEADIR on June 19-21, 2018 :

1) Plateforme Nationale de Pêche et de Changement Climatique (PNPCC)

2) Ministère de la Pêche et de l'Economie Maritime 3) Ministère de l'Environnement et du Développement Durable 4) Comité National Adaptation au Changement Climatique

(COMNACC) 5) Conseil Interprofessionnel de la Pêche Artisanale au Sénégal

(Conipas) 6) Centre de Suivi Ecologique (CSE) 7) Institut des Sciences de l'Environnement (ISE) at the Université

Cheikh Anta Diop de Dakar 8) Securité Alimentaire au Changement Climatique (CCASA/

Sénégal) 9) Agence Nationale de l’Aviation Civile et de la Météorologie

(ANACIM) 10) GIZ 11) Ministère de l’Économie et des Finances et du Plan (MEFP) 12) Commission sous régionale des peches (CSRP) 13) Conseil Économique Social et Environnemental du Sénégal

(CESE) 14) Haut Conseil de Collectivites Territoriales (HCCT) 15) Direction de la protection et de la surveillance des peches

(DPSP) 16) Agence Nationale des Affaires Maritimes (ANAM) 17) Ministère de l’Agriculture et de l’Équipement Rural (MAER) 18) Programme Multinational de Renforcement de la Resilience a

l’Insécurité Alimentaire et Nutritionnelle au Sahel (P2RS) 19) Gendarmerie National Sénégalaise 20) Haute Autorité Chargée de la Coordination de la Securité

Maritime, de la Sureté Maritime et de la Protection de l’Énvironnement Marin (HASSMAR)

21) Federation Nationale des GIE de Peche du Sénégal (FENAGIE Peche)


22) Direction de la Culture et du Tourisme (DCT) 23) Direction Generale de la Planification et des Politiques

Economiques (DGPPE)


Number of laws, policies, regulations, or standards addressing climate change adaptation formally proposed, adopted, or implemented as supported by USG assistance


Amount of investment mobilized (in USD) for climate change adaptation as supported by USG assistance

$5,000 (public, international -- USAID-funded

activity)

Senegal: Cost sharing by USAID-funded COMFISH activity for implementation of Senegal’s National Workshop for Climate Adaptation Financing on July 19-21, 2018.

EG.11-5 Adaptation Beneficiaries

Number of people supported by the USG to adapt to the effects of climate change

EG.11-6 Adaptive Capacity

Number of people using climate information or implementing risk-reducing actions to improve resilience to climate change as supported by USG assistance

Custom Indicators

N/A Innovation Number of climate change adaptation tools, technologies and methodologies developed,


tested and/or adopted as a result of USG assistance


Number of instances of knowledge sharing events to relay information on climate change adaptation with USG support

1 Senegal’s National Workshop for Climate Adaptation Financing in Dakar, June 19-21.


Number of instances individual stakeholders access climate change adaptation information presented via a knowledge sharing event such as a webinar, conference, or symposium, as a result of USG assistance

N/A Assessments Number of climate change vulnerability (adaptation) assessments completed with the support of USG assistance


ANNEX I. INNOVATIONS AS A RESULT OF CEADIR’S WORK

A. JUSTIFICATION FOR INNOVATION CUSTOM INDICATOR REPORTING

Chapter 4 reported six instances of clean energy tools, technologies, or methodologies developed, tested, and/or adopted as a result of USG assistance. All these innovations resulted from the CEADIR Power Africa West Africa Regional Mission activity. Due to the activity’s focus upstream from transactions, CEADIR succeeded in developing these innovative products, but the activity concluded prior to observing their utilization (except for the financial memorandum) as part of potential transactions which may occur after the activity’s period of performance. See the CEADIR Power Africa West Africa Regional Mission activity’s Monitoring and Reporting Plan for this indicator’s full Performance Indicator Reference Sheet.

1. CEADIR FINANCIAL MEMORANDUM Product Name CEADIR Financial Memorandum

Number of Products Developed

1 (multiple iterations)

Partner Financial Institution(s)

All banks that participated in the workshops

Product Description

Memorandum listed financing sources available to West African banks for long-term capital needed for CE financing.

The memorandum helps financial institutions understand types of funding sources available for CE financing, from what sources, and how to access them. Being educated about these CE funding options is important because CE lending requires longer timeframes for investment returns than other sectors, this requires longer tenors than is usually available, as most African lending (including countries' federal reserves) are focused on short-term financing. In addition to giving banks access to longer-term capital that they can pass along onto their own borrowers, these sources of funding also generally provide better lending terms than is typically available in the region, which is particularly critical for the funding of off-grid and small-scale projects.

CEADIR Role CEADIR solely developed this.


2. SOLAR ROOFTOP INSTALLATION MODEL Product Name Solar Rooftop Installation Model


2

Partner Financial Institution(s)

Product Description A spreadsheet for banks to quickly assess the payback period of a rooftop solar project for both residential, commercial, and industrial clients.

Typically, banks want to understand how profitable a project is and when they can expect return on their investment. The model was developed to help banks understand how to analyze the viability of rooftop solar projects, given the complexities of the technology involved (as well as to help estimate economic savings for the end user). The model involves things like core elements of the solar system (e.g., the panel, the inverters, the batteries), helping banks estimate in how many years they can expect to be repaid (typically 3 or 5 years for return on investment).

CEADIR Role CEADIR solely developed this.

3. GREEN LOAN PRODUCT Product Name Green Loan Product


1

Partner Financial Institution

Heritage Bank Ghana

Product Description A product concept paper for a Heritage green loan product for employees of approved institutions for up to 50,000 Ghanaian Cedis (GHS) (approximately $10,475 as of June 30, 2018) for residential solar or biogas systems from approved vendors.

The resulting Heritage Green Loan Product will offer loans to bank customers who are employees of approved institutions, for principal of up to GHS 50,000 to finance installation of residential solar or biogas systems implemented by approved vendors. Product includes a mechanism for tracking 'green lending' to create a distinction between core lending and green lending transactions - this is useful for accessing financial resources like the Green Climate Fund, for example.

CEADIR Role Financial institution developed this product with input from CEADIR

4. ESCO LOAN PRODUCT AND PILOT Product Name ESCO Loan Product and Pilot



1


Heritage Bank Ghana

Product Description Heritage and CEADIR developed an ESCO loan product and pilot to test the viability of Heritage certifying ESCOs as approved vendors of EE and RE services for its existing commercial and industrial borrowers. CEADIR helped Heritage design the loan product and pilot, develop an MOU with an ESCO (KATA Solar), and prepare some loan applications for the ESCO and its clients.

CEADIR Role Financial institutions developed this, led by CEADIR

5. ROADMAP FOR DEVELOPING ESCO LOAN PRODUCTS Product Name Roadmap for Developing ESCO Loan Products


1


Stanbic Bank Ghana

Product Description The roadmap outlines a plan for developing ESCO loan products for developers and end users from Stanbic Bank’s existing borrowers. The concept and model are very similar to that of Heritage Bank Ghana.

CEADIR Role Financial institution developed this product with input from CEADIR

6. FINANCIAL MODEL FOR PAYGO SOLAR/MOBILE PHONE TRANSACTION

Product Name Financial Model for PayGo Solar/Mobile Phone Transaction


1


First Bank Nigeria (FBN) Sierra Leone

Product Description Excel-based financial project cash flow projections model, incorporating uncertainty.

Sample operational model of the entire PayGo Solar/Mobile Phone loan product, explaining the various risk acceptance criteria and product requirements. The Excel-based financial model can be modified by the bank for their own use.

CEADIR Role Financial institutions developed this, led by CEADIR

quarterly performance report fiscal year 2018, …

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