quarterly hogs and pigs 09/27/2018 · 2 quarterly hogs and pigs (september 2018) usda, national...
TRANSCRIPT
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs
ISSN: 1949-1921
Released September 27, 2018, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States
Department of Agriculture (USDA).
United States Hog Inventory Up 3 Percent United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on September 1, 2018 was 75.5 million head. This was up 3 percent from
September 1, 2017, and up 3 percent from June 1, 2018.
Breeding inventory, at 6.33 million head, was up 3 percent from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter.
Market hog inventory, at 69.2 million head, was up 3 percent from last year, and up 4 percent from last quarter.
The June-August 2018 pig crop, at 34.2 million head, was up 3 percent from 2017. Sows farrowing during this period
totaled 3.19 million head, up 3 percent from 2017. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the
breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high of 10.72 for the June-August period, compared to
10.65 last year.
61
63
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million head
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs Inventory – United States: September 1
2 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
United States hog producers intend to have 3.16 million sows farrow during the September-November 2018 quarter, up
2 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2017, and up 4 percent from 2016. Intended farrowings for
December-February 2019, at 3.12 million sows, are up 2 percent from 2018, and up 4 percent from 2017.
The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted
for 48 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up from 47 percent the previous year.
Revisions
All inventory and pig crop estimates for September 2017 through June 2018 were reviewed using final pig crop, official
slaughter, death loss, and updated import and export data. The revision made to the June 2018 all hogs and pigs inventory
was 0.4 percent. The net revision made to the March 2018 all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.1 percent. A revision of less
than 0.1 percent was made to the December 2017-February 2018 pig crop. The net revision made to the December 2017
all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.3 percent. A net revision of 0.2 percent was made to the September-November 2017 pig
crop. The net revision made to September 2017 all hogs and pigs inventory was 0.3 percent. A net revision of less than
0.1 percent was made to the June-August 2017 pig crop.
Special Note The December 2018 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report will be released on December 20, 2018 at 3:00 P.M. EST at
www.nass.usda.gov. Please contact the Livestock Branch at (202) 720-3570 or email at [email protected] with any
questions or concerns.
This report was approved on September 27, 2018.
Secretary of Agriculture
Designate
Ted A. McKinney
Agricultural Statistics Board
Chairperson
Joseph L. Parsons
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Contents
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2017 and 2018 ......................................... 4
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2016-2019 .......................................................................... 5
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2017 and 2018 ................. 5
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 ............................................... 6
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 .................................................... 6
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2017 and 2018 .................................................. 7
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2017 and 2018 ....................................................... 7
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2017 and 2018 ........................................ 8
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2017 and 2018 ............................................. 8
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 ......................................... 9
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 .............................................. 9
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2017-2019 ..................... 10
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2017 and 2018 ............................ 10
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2017 and 2018 ........................... 11
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2016-2018 .................. 11
Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 12
Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates ............................................................................................................................ 12
Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present ........................................................................................................... 13
Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 13
4 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Hogs and Pigs Inventory by Class, Weight Group, and Quarter – United States: 2017 and 2018 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item 2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
March 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ June 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ September 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................ December 1 inventory All hogs and pigs .................................................................................. Kept for breeding .............................................................................. Market .............................................................................................. Market hogs and pigs by weight groups Under 50 pounds .............................................................................. 50-119 pounds ................................................................................. 120-179 pounds ............................................................................... 180 pounds and over ........................................................................
70,701 6,098
64,603
20,407 17,862 14,435 11,899
71,010 6,109
64,901
20,647 18,741 13,646 11,867
73,309 6,117
67,192
21,533 19,757 13,874 12,028
73,445 6,179
67,266
21,482 18,594 14,005 13,184
72,833 6,210
66,623
21,082 18,282 14,941 12,317
73,126 6,320
66,806
21,387 19,388 13,938 12,092
75,486 6,330
69,156
22,092 20,262 14,356 12,445
103 102 103
103 102 104 104
103 103 103
104 103 102 102
103 103 103
103 103 103 103
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) 5 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pig Crop, and Pigs per Litter – United States: 2016-2019 [May not add due to rounding. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Item 2016 2017 2018 2019 2018 as percent of 2019 as
percent of 2018 2016 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (percent) (percent)
Sows farrowing December-February 1 2 ............... March-May .................................. December-May 1 ......................... June-August ............................... September-November 3 .............. June-November 4 ........................ Pig crop December-February 1 ................. March-May .................................. December-May 1 ......................... June-August ............................... September-November ................. June-November ..........................
2,927 2,968 5,896
3,057 3,046 6,103
30,139 31,097 61,236
32,331 32,372 64,703
2,986 3,014 5,999
3,106 3,115 6,221
31,146 31,790 62,935
33,075 33,456 66,530
3,055 3,121 6,176
3,185 3,163 6,349
32,320 33,167 65,487
34,159
3,115
104 105 105
104 104 104
107 107 107
106
102 104 103
103 102 102
104 104 104
103
102
(number) (number) (number) (number) (percent) (percent) (percent)
Pigs per litter December-February 1 ................. March-May .................................. December-May 1 ......................... June-August ............................... September-November ................. June-November ..........................
10.30 10.48 10.39
10.58 10.63 10.60
10.43 10.55 10.49
10.65 10.74 10.69
10.58 10.63 10.60
10.72
103 101 102
101
101 101 101
101
1 December preceding year. 2 Intentions for 2019. 3 Intentions for 2018. 4 Actual farrowings for June-August plus intentions for September-November.
Monthly Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – United States: December-November 2017 and 2018 [December preceding year. Blank data cells indicate estimation period has not yet begun]
Month Sows farrowing 1 Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
December ........................ January ........................... February .......................... March .............................. April ................................. May ................................. June ................................ July .................................. August ............................. September ....................... October ........................... November ........................ Total ................................
1,006 992 988
1,036 975
1,003 1,060 1,020 1,027 1,069 1,030 1,017
12,220
1,033 1,023
998 1,072 1,017 1,032 1,078 1,048 1,060
10.44 10.39 10.46 10.54 10.56 10.55 10.56 10.65 10.74 10.65 10.77 10.80
10.59
10.62 10.49 10.63 10.56 10.55 10.77 10.66 10.70 10.81
10,500 10,309 10,337 10,916 10,298 10,576 11,187 10,859 11,028 11,385 11,092 10,978
129,466
10,969 10,736 10,615 11,320 10,733 11,113 11,488 11,216 11,455
1 Monthly values may not add to quarterly or annual totals due to rounding.
6 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
155 540 280
1,000 165 110 560 445 415 880
185 445 100 200 120 80
418
6,098
155 550 260
1,020 160 120 570 455 420 900
190 445 110 235 145 75
400
6,210
100 102 93
102 97
109 102 102 101 102
103 100 110 118 121 94
96
102
545 4,710 3,770
20,600 1,805 1,000 7,840 2,655 2,885 8,320
2,465 1,655 1,040 1,250
790 620
2,653
64,603
615 4,750 3,790
21,480 1,890 1,080 7,930 2,995 3,030 8,000
2,710 1,725 1,090 1,425
955 420
2,738
66,623
113 101 101 104 105 108 101 113 105 96
110 104 105 114 121 68
103
103
700 5,250 4,050
21,600 1,970 1,110 8,400 3,100 3,300 9,200
2,650 2,100 1,140 1,450
910 700
3,071
70,701
770 5,300 4,050
22,500 2,050 1,200 8,500 3,450 3,450 8,900
2,900 2,170 1,200 1,660 1,100
495
3,138
72,833
110 101 100 104 104 108 101 111 105 97
109 103 105 114 121 71
102
103
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: March 1, 2017 and 2018 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................
250 1,530 1,030 5,300
455 285
2,590 1,350
920 3,140
690 740 265 455 170 265
972
20,407
285 1,465
965 5,590
405 320
2,640 1,455 1,040 3,250
700 735 290 510 270 155
1,007
21,082
110 1,460 1,050 6,440
475 245
2,380 515 735
1,860
730 300 305 325 220 115
597
17,862
120 1,465 1,140 6,620
540 265
2,380 560 775
1,720
730 335 305 370 260 80
617
18,282
95 920 810
5,270 345 240
1,650 400 650
1,800
625 270 280 240 175 130
535
14,435
105 980 860
5,360 410 245
1,760 530 670
1,690
700 260 270 280 185 95
541
14,941
90 800 880
3,590 530 230
1,220 390 580
1,520
420 345 190 230 225 110
549
11,899
105 840 825
3,910 535 250
1,150 450 545
1,340
580 395 225 265 240 90
572
12,317
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) 7 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: June 1, 2017 and 2018 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois .......................... Indiana ........................ Iowa ............................. Kansas ........................ Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina ............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas .......................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
155 530 260
1,030 160 110 570 440 420 880
190 450 105 200 125 75
409
6,109
155 570 250
1,040 165 120 580 460 430 910
190 460 120 240 145 80
405
6,320
100 108 96
101 103 109 102 105 102 103
100 102 114 120 116 107
99
103
565 4,720 3,690
20,870 1,790 1,000 7,930 2,810 2,980 8,020
2,510 1,570 1,085 1,290
785 605
2,681
64,901
605 4,780 3,700
21,560 1,875 1,080 7,920 3,040 3,070 7,990
2,710 1,690 1,180 1,440
995 450
2,721
66,806
107 101 100 103 105 108 100 108 103 100
108 108 109 112 127 74
101
103
720 5,250 3,950
21,900 1,950 1,110 8,500 3,250 3,400 8,900
2,700 2,020 1,190 1,490
910 680
3,090
71,010
760 5,350 3,950
22,600 2,040 1,200 8,500 3,500 3,500 8,900
2,900 2,150 1,300 1,680 1,140
530
3,126
73,126
106 102 100 103 105 108 100 108 103 100
107 106 109 113 125 78
101
103
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: June 1, 2017 and 2018 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 1 ................ United States .................
255 1,430
920 5,450
480 290
2,610 1,360 1,005 3,290
720 685 285 455 165 245
1,002
20,647
290 1,550
940 5,590
420 310
2,610 1,505 1,050 3,370
690 785 320 510 300 175
972
21,387
120 1,530 1,140 6,870
490 240
2,390 580 785
1,870
720 340 345 345 235 120
621
18,741
120 1,510 1,150 7,150
520 290
2,490 590 840
1,840
750 400 355 380 275 90
638
19,388
100 930 770
4,950 355 245
1,640 435 615
1,400
630 230 280 240 175 130
521
13,646
95 880 780
5,150 375 220
1,710 475 600
1,450
680 215 250 270 165 90
533
13,938
90 830 860
3,600 465 225
1,290 435 575
1,460
440 315 175 250 210 110
537
11,867
100 840 830
3,670 560 260
1,110 470 580
1,330
590 290 255 280 255 95
577
12,092
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
8 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: September 1, 2017 and 2018 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ...................... Illinois ........................... Indiana ......................... Iowa ............................. Kansas ......................... Michigan ...................... Minnesota .................... Missouri ....................... Nebraska ..................... North Carolina .............. Ohio ............................. Oklahoma .................... Pennsylvania ............... South Dakota ............... Texas ........................... Utah ............................. Other States 1 .............. United States ...............
160 540 260 980 165 120 550 440 410 900
180 455 110 215 135 80
417
6,117
155 570 250
1,040 170 120 580 465 430 910
190 460 120 245 145 80
400
6,330
97 106 96
106 103 100 105 106 105 101
106 101 109 114 107 100
96
103
600 4,860 3,840
21,620 1,835 1,070 7,750 3,060 3,040 8,400
2,670 1,765 1,090 1,325
895 600
2,772
67,192
625 4,880 3,950
22,560 1,860 1,100 8,020 3,285 3,020 8,490
2,610 1,820 1,190 1,475
985 525
2,761
69,156
104 100 103 104 101 103 103 107 99
101
98 103 109 111 110 88
100
103
760 5,400 4,100
22,600 2,000 1,190 8,300 3,500 3,450 9,300
2,850 2,220 1,200 1,540 1,030
680
3,189
73,309
780 5,450 4,200
23,600 2,030 1,220 8,600 3,750 3,450 9,400
2,800 2,280 1,310 1,720 1,130
605
3,161
75,486
103 101 102 104 102 103 104 107 100 101
98
103 109 112 110 89
99
103
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: September 1, 2017 and 2018 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017 2018
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ........................... Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa .................................. Kansas .............................. Michigan ........................... Minnesota ......................... Missouri ............................ Nebraska .......................... North Carolina ................... Ohio .................................. Oklahoma ......................... Pennsylvania .................... South Dakota .................... Texas ................................ Utah .................................. Other States 1 ................... United States ....................
275 1,505 1,050 5,640
475 310
2,630 1,485 1,015 3,400
730 770 305 450 235 235
1,023
21,533
305 1,570
960 5,850
445 330
2,690 1,605 1,010 3,450
670 835 325 520 310 220
997
22,092
125 1,620 1,180 7,210
505 260
2,500 640 835
1,950
785 440 335 365 255 125
627
19,757
140 1,560 1,230 7,650
525 290
2,500 640 865
2,000
730 375 340 405 275 105
632
20,262
105 930 780
5,070 355 250
1,500 460 600
1,550
640 265 270 260 160 130
549
13,874
95 900 890
5,260 385 220
1,730 530 570
1,580
615 235 270 275 150 105
546
14,356
95 805 830
3,700 500 250
1,120 475 590
1,500
515 290 180 250 245 110
573
12,028
85 850 870
3,800 505 260
1,100 510 575
1,460
595 375 255 275 250 95
585
12,445
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) 9 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Breeding, Market, and Total Inventory – States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Breeding Market Total
2016 2017 2017 as percent of 2016
2016 2017 2017 as percent of 2016
2016 2017 2017 as percent of 2016
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ................... Illinois ....................... Indiana ..................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ..................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina .......... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ....................... Utah .......................... Other States 1 ........... United States ............
150 540 270
1,030 165 110 570 435 415 880
200 450 100 190 110 75
420
6,110
150 530 260
1,000 165 120 570 450 430 900
190 460 110 215 140 80
409
6,179
100 98 96 97
100 109 100 103 104 102
95
102 110 113 127 107
97
101
520 4,560 3,830
21,170 1,745 1,020 7,930 2,665 2,985 8,420
2,500 1,710 1,110 1,260
770 625
2,615
65,435
600 4,870 3,740
21,800 1,945 1,070 7,930 2,950 3,170 8,100
2,760 1,780 1,140 1,345
910 470
2,686
67,266
115 107 98
103 111 105 100 111 106 96
110 104 103 107 118 75
103
103
670 5,100 4,100
22,200 1,910 1,130 8,500 3,100 3,400 9,300
2,700 2,160 1,210 1,450
880 700
3,035
71,545
750 5,400 4,000
22,800 2,110 1,190 8,500 3,400 3,600 9,000
2,950 2,240 1,250 1,560 1,050
550
3,095
73,445
112 106 98
103 110 105 100 110 106 97
109 104 103 108 119 79
102
103
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Market Inventory by Weight Group – States and United States: December 1, 2016 and 2017 [Weight groups may not add to market inventory due to rounding]
State
Under 50 pounds
50-119 pounds
120-179 pounds
180 pounds and over
2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017 2016 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head)
Colorado ............................ Illinois ................................ Indiana .............................. Iowa ................................... Kansas .............................. Michigan ............................ Minnesota .......................... Missouri ............................. Nebraska ........................... North Carolina ................... Ohio ................................... Oklahoma .......................... Pennsylvania ..................... South Dakota ..................... Texas ................................ Utah ................................... Other States 1 .................... United States .....................
220 1,450 1,040 5,620
455 300
2,720 1,340
955 3,160
750 735 320 445 170 250
957
20,887
255 1,550
980 5,830
480 330
2,740 1,450 1,030 3,190
760 735 305 460 240 185
962
21,482
120 1,360 1,090 6,550
520 265
2,350 520 790
1,950
660 360 335 325 190 120
597
18,102
130 1,480 1,040 6,820
520 240
2,350 560 840
1,790
760 430 335 365 240 85
609
18,594
95 890 790
5,010 320 215
1,560 375 650
1,680
600 275 245 245 175 130
531
13,786
115 920 775
5,080 420 245
1,580 445 640
1,570
660 230 260 270 175 100
520
14,005
85 860 910
3,990 450 240
1,300 430 590
1,630
490 340 210 245 235 125
530
12,660
100 920 945
4,070 525 255
1,260 495 660
1,550
580 385 240 250 255 100
594
13,184
1 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
10 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: December-February 2017-2019 [December preceding year. May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2017 2018 2019 2 2019 as percent of 2018
2017 2018 2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa .......................... Kansas ...................... Michigan ................... Minnesota ................. Missouri .................... Nebraska .................. North Carolina ........... Ohio .......................... Oklahoma ................. Pennsylvania ............ South Dakota ............ Texas ........................ Utah .......................... Other States 3 ........... United States ............
76 265 145 510 79 50
275 220 175 460
91
200 46
102 50 39
203
2,986
72 260 130 560 79 53
300 225 180 455
91
200 48
111 58 36
197
3,055
75 260 125 540 87 54
305 255 190 460
96
200 50
116 70 35
197
3,115
104 100 96 96
110 102 102 113 106 101
105 100 104 105 121 97
100
102
9.90 10.20 10.25 10.75 10.00 10.40 11.35 10.05 11.55 9.90
10.80 10.30 10.30 11.30 9.90 8.70
9.86
10.43
9.70 10.60 10.45 11.00 10.20 10.70 11.20 10.15 11.70 9.90
10.80 10.60 10.60 11.45 9.90 7.70
10.09
10.58
752 2,703 1,486 5,483
790 520
3,121 2,211 2,021 4,554
983
2,060 474
1,153 495 339
2,001
31,146
698 2,756 1,359 6,160
806 567
3,360 2,284 2,106 4,505
983
2,120 509
1,271 574 277
1,985
32,320
93 102 91
112 102 109 108 103 104 99
100 103 107 110 116 82
99
104
1 Number of pigs born December-February that were still on hand March 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: March-May 2017 and 2018 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................. Indiana ........................... Iowa ............................... Kansas ........................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ................ Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................. Utah ............................... Other States 2 ................ United States .................
77 255 135 510 80 50
300 220 185 470
97
195 50
101 50 39
200
3,014
75 275 115 570 76 53
310 240 190 465
88
205 51
110 65 34
199
3,121
97 108 85
112 95
106 103 109 103 99
91
105 102 109 130 87
100
104
10.40 10.55 10.50 10.95 10.00 10.50 11.40 10.25 11.45 10.00
10.60 10.60 10.50 11.35 7.30 9.00
10.00
10.55
9.60 10.70 10.30 11.10 10.10 10.90 11.20 10.20 11.30 10.10
11.00 10.70 10.50 11.70 9.80 7.60
10.07
10.63
801 2,690 1,418 5,585
800 525
3,420 2,255 2,118 4,700
1,028 2,067
525 1,146
365 351
1,996
31,790
720 2,943 1,185 6,327
768 578
3,472 2,448 2,147 4,697
968
2,194 536
1,287 637 258
2,002
33,167
90 109 84
113 96
110 102 109 101 100
94
106 102 112 175 74
100
104
1 Number of pigs born March-May that were still on hand June 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) 11 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: June-August 2017 and 2018 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
2017 2018 2017 2018 2018 as percent of 2017
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado ........................ Illinois ............................ Indiana .......................... Iowa ............................... Kansas .......................... Michigan ........................ Minnesota ...................... Missouri ......................... Nebraska ....................... North Carolina ............... Ohio ............................... Oklahoma ...................... Pennsylvania ................. South Dakota ................. Texas ............................ Utah ............................... Other States 2 ................ United States .................
78 265 135 520 85 54
300 235 190 490
97
205 51
105 52 36
208
3,106
80 260 125 570 87 57
305 255 185 485
89
210 51
117 71 39
199
3,185
103 98 93
110 102 106 102 109 97 99
92
102 100 111 137 108
96
103
10.90 10.75 10.35 11.20 10.60 10.80 11.40 10.15 11.65 10.05
10.70 10.60 10.60 11.30 7.80 9.00
9.88
10.65
9.50 10.65 10.50 11.20 10.90 10.80 11.15 10.45 11.30 10.30
10.90 10.65 10.70 11.10 10.10 11.00
10.12
10.72
850 2,849 1,397 5,824
901 583
3,420 2,385 2,214 4,925
1,038 2,173
541 1,187
406 324
2,058
33,075
760 2,769 1,313 6,384
948 616
3,401 2,665 2,091 4,996
970
2,237 546
1,299 717 429
2,018
34,159
89 97 94
110 105 106 99
112 94
101
93 103 101 109 177 132
98
103
1 Number of pigs born June-August that were still on hand September 1, or had been sold. 2 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
Sows Farrowing, Pigs per Litter, and Pig Crop – States and United States: September-November 2016-2018 [May not add due to rounding]
State
Sows farrowing Pigs per litter Pig crop 1
2016 2017 2018 2 2018 as percent of 2017
2016 2017 2016 2017 2017 as percent of 2016
(1,000 head) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (number) (number) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent)
Colorado .................... Illinois ........................ Indiana ...................... Iowa ........................... Kansas ...................... Michigan .................... Minnesota .................. Missouri ..................... Nebraska ................... North Carolina ........... Ohio ........................... Oklahoma .................. Pennsylvania ............. South Dakota ............. Texas ........................ Utah ........................... Other States 3 ............ United States .............
74 260 140 550 82 49
310 210 180 460
96
195 50
100 48 38
204
3,046
72 265 135 550 83 53
315 235 195 460
100 200 50
105 60 35
202
3,115
76 270 135 560 87 58
305 250 190 470
92
210 50
117 69 34
190
3,163
106 102 100 102 105 109 97
106 97
102
92 105 100 111 115 97
94
102
10.40 10.60 10.30 10.90 10.60 10.60 11.20 10.45 11.60 10.30
10.50 10.55 10.50 10.90 9.90 9.00
9.96
10.63
10.20 10.70 10.35 11.15 10.80 10.90 11.45 10.40 11.70 10.20
10.80 10.70 10.40 11.45 9.20 9.00
10.15
10.74
770 2,756 1,442 5,995
869 519
3,472 2,195 2,088 4,738
1,008 2,057
525 1,090
475 342
2,031
32,372
734 2,836 1,397 6,133
896 578
3,607 2,444 2,282 4,692
1,080 2,140
520 1,202
552 315
2,048
33,456
95 103 97
102 103 111 104 111 109 99
107 104 99
110 116 92
101
103
1 Number of pigs born September-November that were still on hand December 1, or had been sold. 2 Intentions. 3 Individual State estimates not available for the 34 Other States.
12 Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Statistical Methodology
Survey Procedures: A random sample of roughly 6,500 United States producers was surveyed to provide data for these
estimates. Survey procedures ensured that all hog and pig producers, regardless of size, had a chance to be included in the
survey. Large operations were sampled more heavily than small operations. During the first half of September 2018, data
were collected from about 4,800 operations, 73 percent of the total sample. The data collected were received by electronic
data reporting, mail, telephone, and face-to-face personal interviews. Regardless of when operations responded, they were
asked to report inventories as of September 1, 2018.
Estimating Procedures: Hogs and pigs estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing
recommendations and analysis submitted by each regional field office. National and State survey data were reviewed for
reasonableness with each other and with estimates from past years using a balance sheet. The balance sheet begins with
the previous inventory estimate, adds the estimates of births and imports, and subtracts the estimates of slaughter, exports,
and deaths. This indicated ending inventory level is compared to the Agricultural Statistics Board estimate for
reasonableness.
Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve quarter to quarter relationships. Estimates for the
previous four quarters are subject to revision when current estimates are made. In December, estimates for all quarters of
the current and previous year are reviewed. The reviews are primarily based on hog check-off receipts and slaughter.
Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Department of Agriculture five-year Census of Agriculture are
available. No revisions will be made after that date.
Reliability: Since all operations raising hogs are not included in the sample, survey estimates are subject to sampling
variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in
reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized
through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for
consistency and reasonableness.
To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for
selected items in the following table. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance
and is computed using the difference between first and final estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for hog inventory
estimates over the past 20 quarters is 1.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the final estimate will not be
above or below the current estimate of 75.5 million head by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 that the
difference will not exceed 2.2 percent.
Reliability of September 1 Hog Estimates [Based on data for the previous twenty quarters]
Item Root mean
square error
90 percent confidence
level
Difference between first and latest estimate
Average Smallest Largest Years
Below latest Above latest
(percent) (percent) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000) (number) (number)
All hogs and pigs ............................ Pig crop ......................................... Expected farrowings Next quarter ............................... Following quarter .......................
1.3
2.1
2.5
3.0
2.2
3.6
4.4
5.2
710
470
65
75
45.4
0
10
11
1,726
1,260
129
197
11
13
11
11
9
6
9
9
Quarterly Hogs and Pigs (September 2018) 13 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service
Records by Quarter – United States: 1866 to Present [This table provides data users with record high estimates of all hogs and pigs, market hogs, pig crop, and pigs per litter since each data series began]
Item Estimate Record high Series began
(1,000 head) (year) (year)
All hogs and pigs March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Market March 1 .......................................................... June 1 ............................................................. September 1 ................................................... December 1 .................................................... Pig crop December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................
72,833 73,126 75,486 83,741
66,623 66,806 69,156 67,266
32,320 33,167 34,159 33,456
2018 2018 2018 1943
2018 2018 2018 2017
2018 2018 2018 2017
1988 1964 1988 1866
1988 1964 1988 1963
1970 1970 1970 1970
(number) (year) (year)
Pigs per litter December-February1 ...................................... March-May ...................................................... June-August ................................................... September-November .....................................
10.58 10.63 10.72 10.74
2018 2018 2018 2017
1970 1970 1970 1970
1 December preceding year.
Information Contacts
Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to
contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to [email protected].
Travis Averill, Chief, Livestock Branch ......................................................................................................... (202) 720-3570
Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section ........................................................................................................... (202) 690-2424
Sherry Bertramsen – Livestock Slaughter ................................................................................................ (202) 690-8632
Holly Brenize – Sheep and Goats ............................................................................................................. (202) 720-0585
Donnie Fike – Dairy Products .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-4448
Heidi Gleich – Cattle, Cattle on Feed ....................................................................................................... (202) 720-3040
Mike Miller – Milk Production and Milk Cows ....................................................................................... (202) 720-3278
Seth Riggins – Hogs and Pigs .................................................................................................................. (202) 720-3106
Access to NASS Reports For your convenience, you may access NASS reports and products the following ways:
All reports are available electronically, at no cost, on the NASS web site: www.nass.usda.gov
Both national and state specific reports are available via a free e-mail subscription. To set-up this free
subscription, visit www.nass.usda.gov and click on “National” or “State” in upper right corner above “search”
box to create an account and select the reports you would like to receive.
For more information on NASS surveys and reports, call the NASS Agricultural Statistics Hotline at (800) 727-9540,
7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: [email protected].
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination against its customers, employees, and applicants for
employment on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, sex, gender identity, religion, reprisal, and where
applicable, political beliefs, marital status, familial or parental status, sexual orientation, or all or part of an individual's
income is derived from any public assistance program, or protected genetic information in employment or in any program
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employment activities.)
If you wish to file a Civil Rights program complaint of discrimination, complete the USDA Program Discrimination
Complaint Form (PDF), found online at www.ascr.usda.gov/filing-program-discrimination-complaint-usda-customer, or
at any USDA office, or call (866) 632-9992 to request the form. You may also write a letter containing all of the
information requested in the form. Send your completed complaint form or letter to us by mail at U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Director, Office of Adjudication, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, by fax
(202) 690-7442 or email at [email protected].