q3 2017 financial update - nalcor energy€¦ · q3 2014 q3 2015 q3 2016 q3 2017 16 $119 $92...

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Q3 2017 Financial Update November 8, 2017

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Page 1: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Q3 2017 Financial Update November 8, 2017

Page 2: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Agenda

• Stan Marshall President and CEO

• Derrick Sturge Executive VP Finance & CFO

• Questions

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Page 3: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Forward-Looking Information Certain statements in this presentation are “forward-looking statements” based on Nalcor’s current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions, subject to risks and uncertainties. Statements containing words such as “could”, “expect”, “may”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend”, “estimate”, “plan” and similar expressions constitute forward-looking statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements require Management to make assumptions and are not subject to important unknown risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results in future periods to differ materially from forecasted results. While Management considers these assumptions to be reasonable and appropriate based on information currently available, there is a risk that they may not be accurate. Nalcor assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or any other reason.

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Page 4: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

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Page 5: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Stan Marshall, CEO

Page 6: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

LIL stringing crew

Page 7: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Soldiers Pond

Page 8: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Churchill Falls switchyard & extension

Page 9: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

North Dam

Page 10: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Powerhouse

Page 11: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Muskrat Falls Generation Project

Page 12: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Derrick Sturge, EVP Finance and CFO

Page 13: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Key Metrics As at: Sept 30, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Change

Total Assets ($ billions) $17.7 $14.1 $3.6

Income Producing Assets ($ billions) $4.0 $3.6 $0.4

Capital Structure (Debt / Capital) 68% 61% 7%

For the period ended September 30: YTD 2017 YTD 2016 Change

Profit ($ millions) $157 $74 $83

Operating Profit ($ millions) $131 $74 $57

EBITDA $329 $227 $102

Funds from Operations ($ millions) $284 $177 $107

Capital Expenditures ($ millions)1 $2,163 $2,040 $123

Electricity Sales (TWh):

Regulated 5.8 5.7 0.1

Export – Hydro Québec (HQ)2 21.7 20.7 1.0

Export – Other Markets 1.2 1.2 -

13

1 Excludes Maritime Link 2 Export sales to Hydro Quebec reflect energy billed

Page 14: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Business Segment Profit For the period ended September 30: ($ millions) YTD 2017 YTD 2016 Change

Hydro 35 (5) 40

Power Development (1) (1) -

Power Supply1 23 32 (9)

Energy Markets 8 13 (5)

Offshore Development 105 48 57

Corporate & Intersegment (13) (13) -

Profit 157 74 83

14 1 Includes Nalcor’s 65.8% ownership of Churchill Falls

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YTD Electricity Export Prices

$46

$38

$30 $29

$44

$27

$20 $21

$15.00

$30.00

$45.00

$60.00

Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017

Realized Export Price (CAD/MWh)*

Average Market Price (USD/MWh)

15 *Realized Export Price excludes sales to HQ under Power Contract

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Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017

16

$119

$92

$61 $67

$109

$54 $44

$51

$-

$20.00

$40.00

$60.00

$80.00

$100.00

$120.00

Realized Price (CAD/bbl)

Average Dated Brent Price(USD/bbl)

299,035 bbls

1,493,742 bbls

2,425,041 bbls

544,604 bbls

YTD Oil Price & Production

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YTD Regulated Energy Sales

17

(TWh)

5.2 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.8

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017

Page 18: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Total Assets (as at September 30, 2017) Regulated Hydro

14%

Churchill Falls 3%

Oil & Gas 8%

Lower Churchill 48%

LCP Debt Proceeds and

Restricted Cash 14%

Maritime Link 9%

Other 4%

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Assets Under Development : 77% Income Producing Assets: 23%

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YTD Business Segment Capital Expenditures

19

1 Includes Nalcor’s 65.8% ownership of Churchill Falls 2 Excludes Maritime Link

For the period ended September 30 ($ millions) YTD 2017 YTD 2016 Change

Hydro 237 125 112

Power Development 821 754 67

Power Supply1, 2 962 984 (22)

Energy Markets - 1 (1)

Offshore Development 140 173 (33)

Corporate & Intersegment 3 3 -

Total 2,163 2,040 123

Page 20: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Lower Churchill Project Capital Expenditures For the period ended ($ millions) YTD 2017 YTD 2016 Change Total To Date

Muskrat Falls 743 696 47 3,684

Labrador Transmission Assets

69 122 (53) 817

Labrador-Island Link 726 734 (8) 3,162

Nalcor Facilities Capital Costs

1,538 1,552 (14) 7,663

Capitalized Interest & Financing Costs 203 144 59 7551

Transition to Operations 5 3 2 8

Total Capital Costs for Nalcor Components 1,746 1,699 47 8,426

20

1 Excludes $86 million of allowance for funds used during construction on Nalcor’s Class A limited partnership units in the LIL LP that are eliminated upon consolidation

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YTD Funds From Operations

146 119

93

177

284

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017

21

(millions of dollars)

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YTD 2017 Financing Activities

Cash from Operations 9%

Equity Contributions 15%

Partnership Contributions

3%

LCP Debt Proceeds 62%

Hydro Debt Proceeds 11%

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Capital Structure

23

56% 47% 43% 38% 39%

72% 69% 65% 61% 68%

44% 53% 57% 62% 61%

28% 31% 35% 39% 32%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD2017

Equity

Debt

Page 24: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Outlook for the Remainder of 2017

• Strong financial performance in first nine months of 2017

– Partially driven by resolution of issues related to 2013 General Rate Application and Hebron lease finalization and settlement at Bull Arm

– Q4 may not be as strong as the first three quarters

• Continued focus on completion of capital program, general rate application, and moving Hebron to first oil

• Start to prepare for 2018 transition year

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Page 25: Q3 2017 Financial Update - Nalcor Energy€¦ · Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 Q3 2017 16 $119 $92 $100.00 $61 $67 $109 $54 $44 $51 $-$20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $120.00 Realized Price

Outlook for 2018

• Assets moving out of the construction/ development phase (TL 267, Hebron, Labrador Island Link, Labrador Transmission Assets, and Maritime Link)

• Hebron work at Bull Arm completed

• First delivery of electricity from Labrador to the Island

• Capital expenditures starting to reduce – but still very significant

• Anticipate lower income levels in 2018

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Questions