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Page 1: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Q2 2015INVESTOR PRESENTATION

Page 2: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Investments03

Company

Overview02

Refining

Industry01

Key

Financials04

Page 3: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Refining Industry

Page 4: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Brent Crude Oil Prices

108,0 115,3106,1

101,2

94,6

84,3

71,7

65,7

60,4

55,0

55,0

45,2

62,0

66,7

48,040

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

2.1

.14

23

.1.1

4

13

.2.1

4

6.3

.14

27

.3.1

4

17

.4.1

4

8.5

.14

29

.5.1

4

19

.6.1

4

10

.7.1

4

31

.7.1

4

21

.8.1

4

11

.9.1

4

2.1

0.1

4

23

.10

.14

13

.11

.14

4.1

2.1

4

25

.12

.14

15

.1.1

5

5.2

.15

26

.2.1

5

19

.3.1

5

9.4

.15

30

.4.1

5

21

.5.1

5

11

.6.1

5

2.7

.15

23

.7.1

5

13

.8.1

5

3.9

.15

24

.9.1

5

15

.10

.15

4

$/Barrel

Page 5: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Net Refinery Capacity Change

810 640160 195 52

-255 -103-576

334

150

340 13540

-100-195

-280

160

250

18184

180

-120

45

-161

530

526

0

0 302

-5-775

-546

520

400

120

390

-140

305

-352

270

300

510

60

368

63

-463

-54

-3.000

-2.000

-1.000

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

China India Middle East Other Asia Other Japan NorthAmerica

Europe

Tho

usa

nd

Bar

rels

/Day

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Source : Tüpraş

5

Page 6: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Refinery Value

Value Added•Ability to upgrade

•Correlated to complexity

Cost Base•Energy Efficiency•Raw Material costs•Scale•Automation

Local Market Dynamics•Growth trends•Supply / Demand balance

Market Position•Proportion of products sold domestically•Local Competition•Infrastructure

6

Page 7: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Product Ratios (Barrel/Barrel)

1,00

1,05

1,10

1,15

1,20

1,25

1,30

1,35

1,40

Jan

Jan

Feb

Mar

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Sep

Oct

No

v

No

v

Dec

Diesel

2010 - 2014 Min Max 2012 2013 2014 2015

2015

Gasoline ratio was at very high levels

Ratios have suffered seasonal declines

0,95

1,05

1,15

1,25

1,35

1,45

1,55Ja

n

Jan

Feb

Mar

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Sep

Oct

No

v

No

v

Dec

Gasoline

2010 - 2014 Min Max 2012 2013 2014 2015

0,60

0,70

0,80

0,90

1,00

Jan

Jan

Feb

Mar

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Sep

Oct

No

v

No

v

Dec

Fuel Oil

2010 - 2014 Min Max 2012 2013 2014 2015

7

Page 8: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Crude Differentials $/Barrel

-4,0-3,5-3,0-2,5-2,0-1,5-1,0-0,50,00,51,01,5

-4,0-3,5-3,0-2,5-2,0-1,5-1,0-0,50,00,51,01,5

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2009-2012 Min/Max 2012 2014 2011 2013 2015

-12,0

-10,0

-8,0

-6,0

-4,0

-2,0

0,0

2,0

Differentials Trends

Ural Iran Light (KI) Iran Heavy (KI) Kirkuk Arab. Heavy Siberian Light CPC

Ural Crude Differentials $/Barrel

8

Page 9: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Med Complex Refining Margins

9

-2,00

-1,00

0,00

1,00

2,00

3,00

4,00

5,00

6,00

7,00

8,00

9,00

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Gro

ss M

argi

n $

/bb

l

Max-Min 2004-2009 Average 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Page 10: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Turkish Sector Outlook

Primary driver of demand is

growing vehicle parc

Auto sales continue to massively

outstrip removals

Very high gasoline tax has led to LPG

& Diesel substitution

Gasoline car sales improving35,8 41,2 50,6 58,3 64,5 76,1 85,4

64,6 73,7

43,6 44,352,2

59,465,4

73,480,3

63,866,8

79,4 85,5102,8

117,6130,0

149,5165,7

128,4140,4

020406080

100120140160180

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Sept.14

Sept.15

Air Passengers - Mill ion

Domestic International

4,6 5,4 6,1 6,8 7,1 7,5 8,1 8,6 9,3 9,9 10,44,1

4,86,1

7,0 7,2 7,6 8,0 8,4 8,7 9,0 9,3

8,710,2

12,213,8 14,3 15,1

16,117,0 17,9 18,8 19,6

0

5

10

15

20

25

Mill

ion

Veh

icle

s

Vehicle Parc

Passenger Car Other

Jet Fuel demand growing strongly Highly competitive liberalised market

Big infrastructure investments

Istanbul has become a hub for Turkish Airlines

Fuel Oil demand is declining Natural gas substitution

Switching is dependent on price

Long Term Asphalt Demand Growth Infrastructure investments

10*By the end of August

Page 11: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

15,6 16,7 17,4

8,0 9,3

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

2012 2013 2014 2014 (6M) 2015 (6M)

Diesel

Turkish Consumption (Million ton)

1,85 1,86 1,92

0,90 1,00

0,00

0,50

1,00

1,50

2,00

2,50

2012 2013 2014 2014 (6M) 2015 (6M)

Gasoline

3.2%7.0%4.2%

0.5%

3,5 3,7 4,1

1,9 2,0

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

2012 2013 2014 2014 (6M) 2015 (6M)

Jet Fuel

5.5% 11.2%

0,690,53 0,53

0,27 0,22

0,00

0,20

0,40

0,60

0,80

2012 2013 2014 2014 (6M) 2015 (6M)

Fuel Oil

-1.1%

-23.0%

11

+16.2%+7.8%

+9.2%

-18.9%

Page 12: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Turkey’s Import / Export Balance (Net)

-3,1

1,6

-9,0

1,8

-3,0

2,1

-10,0

1,5

-3,0

2,5

-10,8

1,6

-3,1

2,4

-12,0

1,0

-3,1

2,5

-12,7

1,8

-14,0-13,0-12,0-11,0-10,0

-9,0-8,0-7,0-6,0-5,0-4,0-3,0-2,0-1,00,01,02,03,04,0

LPG Gasoline Diesel Fuel oil

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Million Ton

Export

Import

12

Page 13: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Company Overview

Page 14: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

14

TÜPRAŞ Refining Assets

İzmir

İzmit

Ankara

İstanbul

Kırıkkale

Batman

Kirkuk

Baku

MARMARA

Kırıkkale

5.0 MT Capacity

NC: 6.32

Storage Capacity :

1.4 Mn m3

Batman

1.1 MT Capacity

NC: 1.83

Storage Capacity :

0.3 Mn m3

İzmit

11.0 MT Capacity

NC: 14.5

Storage Capacity :

2.9 Mn M3

İzmir

11.0 MT Capacity

NC: 7.66

Storage Capacity :

2.4 Mn M3

Baz yağ üreticisi 400 bin ton

Black Sea

Total Refining Capacity: 28.1 Million Tons – 100% of Turkey’s refining Capacity

Current Nelson Complexity(NC): 9.9

Page 15: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

OPET Tüpraş Share 40.0 %

1.427 İstasyon

997 Opet Marka

430 Sunpet Marka

1.1 Million M3 Storage

•Major Terminals in Marmara, Agean, Black Sea & Mediteranean

International Trading

•London

Jet Fuel Sales

•Turkish Airlines JV

Lubricants

•Fuchs JV

A Sector Leader

•2nd Biggest Player

•# 1 Brand

15

Page 16: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

16

DİTAŞ – Deniz Taşımacılığı – Tüpraş Share %79.98

18,7 19,314,8

6,4 4,8

2,02,6

3,1

3,13,5

20,721,9

18,0

9,68,4

0

5

10

15

20

25

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Mill

ion

To

ns

Crude Products

Million $ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Net Sales 139,4 146,4 159,0 103,7 101,7

Op. Profit 19,1 17,9 22,8 25,2 27,3

• Crude• 2001

• 164,86 K DWT

Cumhuriyet

• Products • 2008

• 10,98 K DWT

Sevgi

• Products • 2009

• 10,98 K DWT

Gönül

Products

2011

6 K DWT

Leyla

Products201255 K DWT

Suna

• Bitumen

• 2x20 K DWT

• Esra 2014

• Aylin 2015

Esra & Aylin

16

Financials

19 Tugboats

Page 17: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Crude Suppliers of TÜPRAŞ (Million Tons)

7,4

2,9

1,8

2,5 2

,1

2,2

0,1

0,0

0,4

9,7

2,1

2,0

2,4

3,1

1,1

0,1

0,0

0,3

7,2

2,0

2,8 2

,3

3,8

1,5

0,3

1,0 0

,6

5,1

1,5

2,9 2

,4

6,1

1,5

0,3

0,7

0,6

5,2

8

0,6

1 1,8

7

2,3

7

5,6

7

1,6

3

0,1

8

0,0

8

2,5

7

I RA N RUSS İA S .A RA BİA TURKEY IRA Q KA Z A KSTA N ITA LY L İBYA OTHER

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

In 2014, Tüpraş purchased 18 different types of crude oil from 11

countries, with gravities ranging between 19-46 API

17

Page 18: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Med & Tüpraş Net Margins, $/bbl

6,1

3

2,6

2

4,8

9

4,3

4 3,6

5 2,6

3

-0,2

8

7,5

16,2

8

1,4

0

3,5

5

1,6

5

5,7

3

2,5

2

0,0

6

4,8

8

-2,0

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

2nd Quarter

Tupras Net Med Complex

4,0

5

2,2

2

3,4

2

4,1

2 2,8

5 1,8

8 1,0

5

6,2

34,9

9

2,4

2

3,5

3

1,0

4

4,3

5 2,6

8

0,2

5

5,4

3

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

6 Month

Tupras Net Med Complex

18

1,5

7

1,7

2

1,3

7

3,8

7

1,9

6 0,9

0

2,4

1

4,6

93,7

0

3,4

4

3,5

0

0,4

2

2,9

7

2,8

3

0,4

4

5,9

8

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

1st Quarter

Tupras Net Med Complex

4,5

7

2,2

9

4,5

1

5,2

9

3,3

1 2,4

5

3,2

1

5,5

4

1,9

5

2,8

9

1,1

7

4,2

1

1,6

7

1,9

5

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

12 Month

Tupras Net Med Complex

Page 19: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Capacity Utilisation,%

87

,2 90

,7 93

,2

91

,1

86

,1

60

,4

69

,6 74

,4 78

,7

76

,8

71

,3

65

,0

90

,1

8,7

7,55,5

2,92,4

3,6

3,5

4,0

69,2

77,179,9 81,6

79,174,9

68,5

94,1

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2014 / 1H 2015 / 1H

Crude Oil Other

19

+25,6%

Page 20: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Quarterly Production Volumes (Million Tons)

20

3,31

4,19 4,324,06

5,51

6,256,47

6,07

4,554,63 5,41

5,51

5,71

6,82

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

Min / Max 2007/2014 2014 2015

Page 21: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

1H Product Yields

White Product 72.4%

Production 9.2 mn ton

API:32.7

White Product 72.7%

Production 12.3 mn ton

API:32.63

Gasoline20,7%

Naphtha0,9%

Jet18,3%

Diesel27,1%

Other2,4%

LPG3,5%

Fuel Oil17,7%

Asphalt9,3%

Gasoline20,6%

Naphtha1,2%

Jet18,5%

Diesel27,5%

Other2,7%

LPG3,2%

Fuel Oil17,5%

Asphalt8,8%

Light Distil.21,6%

Mid. Distil.45,4%

Other 5,9%

Black Prod.27,0%

Light Distil.21,8%

Mid. Distil.45,9%

Other6,0%

Black Prod.26,3%

2014 2015

21

Page 22: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Domestic Sales, million tons

1,81 1,78 1,82 1,83

0,85 0,94

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st H2014

1st H2015

Gasoline

2,763,29 3,55

3,83

1,742,12

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st H2014

1st H2015

Jet Fuel

7,878,57 8,11

6,70

3,143,96

0,0

2,0

4,0

6,0

8,0

10,0

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st H2014

1st H2015

Diesel

2,95 2,81 2,93

1,95

0,650,90

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

2011 2012 2013 2014 1st H2014

1st H2015

Bitumen

22

Page 23: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

1H Trading Activities

Exports High CUR = big increases in export

Finished Products Despite high CUR, diesel imports

continued, in order to take market share prior to RUP completion

Intermediates

HVGO for Hydrocracker commissioning

23

371 366

10

432

82

454 465

44

279

61

0

100

200

300

400

500

Product Imports, Ton*000

1H 2014

1H 2015

1.010

63

949

30

1.597

158

1.851

450

500

1.000

1.500

2.000

Gasoline Middle Dist. Fuel Oil Other

Exports, Ton*000

1H 2014

1H 2015

172

311

050

100150200250300350

HVGO + LCGO ASR F.Oil

Intermediate Imports , Ton*000

1H 2014 1H 2015

Page 24: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Sales By Customer 2014

24

Distributors37%

THY Opet12%

Jet Fuel4%

LPG Dist.4%

Petkim1%

Other7%

Export24%

Asphalt9%

Military2%

OMV POAŞ23%

OPET19%

Shell14%

BP5%

TP4%

TOTAL3%

Other32%

Customer Groups Sales to Distributors

Total: 22,2 million ton Distributors : 9,6 million ton

Page 25: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Corporate Governance

92,77

90,52

97,94

95,51

94,41

BOA RD

STA KEHOLD ERS

TRA NSPA RENCY

SHA REHOLD ERS

OV ERA LL

Corporate Governance Rating

One of the top rated companies in

Turkey

Committed to continuous

improvement in this area

Member of the Corporate

Governance Association

25

Page 26: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Sustainability

2,5

1,7

2,2

1,51,1

1,6

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Accident Frequency Rate

37,0%32,2%

36,3%40,4%

2011 2012 2013 2014

Recycled Water %

317348

186

126

2011 2012 2013 2014

GHG Emissions Reduction

120,9

107,4105,4 105,3

102,1 101,6

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Energy Intensity Index

26

Page 27: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Corporate Social Responsibility

Education•23rd April Events

•Umbrella Action Programme

•Fire Fly Programme Sponsorship

•Vocational School Infra-structure Investment

•Our Power is Our Energy

•Pilot Refinery

Culture• Purchase of Relief for Geyre Foundation

Health• Support for Turkish Family Planning Foundation

Environment•Aliağa - MenemenHighway Tree Planting

•Natural İzmit Project

•Safety Week

•Happy Waste

27

Page 28: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Investments

Page 29: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Investments (Million USD)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 E

395

188 177

628

974

1201

959

290

28

Page 30: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

RUP- Mile Stones

30

Tüpraş Technical Department Feasibility Report

• May 2006

Snam Progetti Investment Alternatives Evaluation

• May 2007

Coker Chosen

• Dec 2007

Tecnicas Reunidas Contract Signed

• Dec 2009

Support from Spanish & Italian ECAs

• Aug 2011

Turn Key Agreement

• Aug 2011

Finance Agreement

• Oct 2011

Flare Lighting Ceremony

• Sept 2014

Opening Ceremony

• Dec 2014

Delayed Coker (Last Unit) starts operating

• May 2015

Page 31: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Residuum Upgrade Performance

• As expected:

– The whole refining system is

profitably running at full

capacity utilization

– Diesel production and market

share has been significantly

boosted

– The expected boost in

EBITDA is in line with the

$550 million per annum

originally expected

31

Page 32: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

İzmit Waste Water Treatment

32

Project Aims

• To reduce the need for fresh water

What the Project Entails

• A water treatment plant to process municipal & refinery waste water

• Two temporary systems were built to serve until the main system was completed

• Project completed in 2015

Investment

• 22 Million USD

Page 33: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

İzmir Crude Unit Revamping Project

Project Aims

• Eliminating low energy efficiency in the furnaces

• Enables sustainable full capacity utilization

What the Project Entails

• Configuration Changes

• De-salter & Pre-flash column

• Heat recycling – Heat Exchanger

• Replace column internals

• New pre-flash drum

Expectations

• Investment: 31.9 Million USD

• IRR > 40%

33

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Kırıkkale Power Plant

34

Project Aims

• Improving Energy Efficiency at Kırıkkalewith a combined heat & power plant

• The other refineries are already equipped

• Expected completion: 2016

What the Project Entails

• A new gas turbine

• New steam turbines

• New boilers

• One existing steam turbine will be utilized

• Total power: 60 MW

Investment

• 84 Million USD

• IRR: >30%

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R&D

The R&D department was set up

in 2009

It works primarily on process

improvements

One of the first commercial

successes was the Membrane

Deaerator Project

The Project maximizes the use of waste heat in the refinery by utilizing cold feed water

Unit costs and physical size are much less than the alternative processes

The process has been implemented in two of the refineries

It won an EU Environmental awarded

35

Membrane Deaerator

Conventional Deaerator

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Key Financials

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37

Profitability Indicators , 6 M 2014-2015 & 2Q-2014-15

* In our EBITDA calculation FX related items are not included, whereas CMB rules is that these should be including in

operationg profit

2014 2Q 2015 2Q

(%) 2014 6M 2015 6M (%)

109,63 61,92 -44 Dtd.Brent Price, ($/bbl) 108,93 57,95 -46,8

32,86 32,21 -2,0 Processed Crude API 32,70 32,63 -0,2

73,51 71,83 -1,7 White Product Yield, (%) 72,4 72,7 0,3

0,06 4,88 8028 Med. Complex Margin,($/bbl) 0,25 5,43 2072,0

-0,28 7,51 2782,1 Tüpraş Net Margin,($/bbl) 1,05 6,23 493,3

-6,4 338,0 5382,3 Operating Profit, (mn. $) 116,3 380,2 226,9

-52,0 368,3 807,9 Operating Profit for EBITDA, (mn. $) 65,2 492,6 656,0

-27,2 415,4 1627,2 EBITDA *(mn. $) 123,0 565,1 359,2

-16,4 348,3 2227,3 EBITDA* (mn. $) CCS 84,0 568,2 576,7

18,4 385,1 1989,5 EBITDA (mn.$)-CMB 174,2 452,7 159,9

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38

Financial Highlights (mn $)

1.099

779

134262

113 95 79 150 150

256

328

153 153 78-27

415

271

468

373 361315 226

169

272

115 10689

-11

830

1.329,4

753,5 715560

338

565

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

1.400

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2012-R 2013 2014 2015

331522

67194 161 72

231112

145

16575

75

171273

230

206309 435

17547

174 27147 91

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

-653

-1.955

578 551

1.340

1.9941.696 1.869

1.598 1.663

2.4522.577

-2.500-2.000-1.500-1.000

-5000

5001.0001.5002.0002.5003.000

0,220,19

0,300,32

0,24

0,10

0,40

0,330,30

0,26

0,18

0,30

0,000,050,100,150,200,250,300,350,400,45

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20131Q

20141Q

20141H

20149M

2014 20151Q

20152Q

EBITDA Net Income

Net Debt/(Cash) Return on Average Equity

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Balance Sheet Analysis

1,83 1,81

1,41

2,16

1,72 1,69

1,30

1,64 1,68

1,211,04

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

Dec.12 Mar.13 Jun 13 Sep13 Dec 13 Mar.14 Jun.14 Sep.14 Dec.14 Mar.15 Jun.15

Cash & Equivalents (Billion $)

1,191,34

1,451,33

0,930,71

0,52 0,51

0,090,20

0,66

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

Receivables (Billion $)

2,0 2,1 2,3 2,4 2,6 2,8 2,9 2,9 3,0 3,3 3,1

0,40,8 0,8

1,0 0,50,9

0,3 0,3 0,30,4 0,5

2,42,9 3,1

3,43,1

3,73,2 3,2 3,3

3,7 3,6

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0Financial Loans (Billion $)

LT Loans ST Loans

2,88 2,97 2,943,46

3,22 3,10 3,283,04

2,46

1,74 1,70

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

Payables (Billion $)

39

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40

FX Risk Exposure (30 June 2015 )

ConsolidatedAssets

ConsolidatedLiabilities

LT Financials: 2,496

RUP Loans: 1,827

Eurobond: 700

Other credits: 37

ST Financials 395RUP 306

Payables

1,070

Forward

1,010

Stock

985

Receivables*

8

Cash

184

Million $

+53 million $

FX Risk with RUP : -1,774 million $

RUP FX impacts are subject to Cash Flow Hedge Accounting

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41

Income Statement

2Q 2 Q% Diff. Million USD 6 M 2014 6 M 2015 % Diff.

2014 2015

4.537,3 4.024,7 -11 Net Sales 8.723,5 6.854,0 -21

17,5 442,5 2.424 Gross Profit 202,0 645,6 220

-73,7 -72,0 -2 Operating Expenses -145,0 -142,0 -2

49,7 -32,6 -165 Income/Loss from other operations 59,3 -123,4 -308

-6,4 338,0 5.382 Operating Profit 116,3 380,2 226,9

3,1 12,9 322 Income/Loss from equity investment 13,6 3,7 -72

-3,3 350,9 10.623Operating Profit Before Fin.

Income/Loss129,9 384,0 196

22,9 12,3 -46 Financial Income 44,9 192,9 329

-55,6 -85,5 54 Finance Expenses -106,1 -311,2 193

-36,1 277,7 870 Profit Before Tax & Minorities 68,7 265,7 287

170,9 272,7 60 Net Profit 401,6 384,8 -4

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42

Tüpraş Balance Sheet-Assets

Million USD 30.06.2015 31.12.2014 Difference % Difference

Current Assets 3.069 3.015 55 2

Cash & C. Equivalents 1.037 1.681 -644 -38

Receivables 660 87 574 663

Derivatives 102 28 74 267

Inventories 1.036 1.022 14 1

Pre-paid expenses 57 53 4 7

Other Current Assets 176 144 33 23

Long Term Assets 5.992 6.443 -452 -7

Financial Assets & Subsidiaries 251 315 -64 -20

Fixed Assets 4.231 4.600 -370 -8

Pre-paid expenses 63 112 -50 -44

Deferred Tax 1.116 1.131 -16 -1

Other Long Term Assets 259 284 -25 -9

Total Assets 9.061 9.458 -397 -4

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43

Tüpraş Balance Sheet-Liabilities

Million USD 30.06.2015 31.12.2014 Difference%

Difference

Short Term Liabilities 3.279 3.692 -413 -11

Financial Loans 511 335 175 52

Payables 1.701 2.464 -763 -31

Derivatives 13,95 0,03 13,92 47.476

Deferred Incomes 25 7

Provisions 34 47 -13 -27

Other ST Liabilities 994 838 156 19

Long Term Liabilities 3.186 3.087 98 3

Financial Loans 3.104 3.009 95 3

Payables & Provisions 67 76 -9 -11

Other LT Liabilities 14 2 12 541

Equity 2.576 2.655 -79 -3

Minority Interests 21 24 -3 -13

Total Liabilities 9.061 9.458 -397 -4

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44

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company

management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is

believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable,

they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in underlying

assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.

Neither Tüpraş nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other

person shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this

presentation.

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45

Future Expectations

Crude Oil Prices (Brent)

• Previous expectations were for 60-65 dollars per barrel

• This has been revised to 55-57 dollars per barrel

Med Complex Margin

• Our previous expectations for Med Complex margins were 3.0-3.2 dollars per barrel for the year. We now expect this to be in the 4.3 dollar to 4.7 dollar per barrel band.

Tupras Net Margin

• For Tupras net refinery margins, our previous guidance was 3.7-4.5 dollars per barrel. We now expect this to be in the region of 5.0-5.6 dollars per barrel.

Capacity Utilisation

• Expected Capacity Utilisation in 2015 has been revised from 95% to 97 %

• Production will therefore be approximately 27.5 million tons

• Imports of finished products will be minimal, as we focus on selling increased volumes of production

Page 46: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

Dividends (TL)

1,73

3,242,94

4,96

5,83

4,78

2,312,50

2,98

3,93 3,85

1,58

579626

746

985 964

396

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Tota

l Pay

ou

t (M

illio

n T

L)

Earnings per Share Gross Dividend Total Payout

2012/2013 EPS includes the tax incentive46

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47

Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect the Company

management’s current views with respect to certain future events. Although it is believed

that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, they may be affected

by a variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions that could cause actual

results to differ materially.

Neither Tüpraş nor any of its directors, managers or employees nor any other person

shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from use of this presentation.

Page 48: Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION - Microsoft...Q2 2015 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 03 Investments Company 02 Overview Refining 01 Industry Key 04 Financials Refining Industry Brent Crude Oil

The Investor Relations section of our company website has a wealth of constantly updated

information of interest to investors

www.tupras.com.tr

Investor Relations and Reporting Director

Investor Relations Officer

Turgut Tuncay Önbilgin Jonathan Lamb

Investor Relations and Reporting DirectorsTel. : 262 316 3269Fax : 262 316 30 10-11Güney Mah. Petrol Cad. No .25 PK.41790 Körfez-Kocaeliwww.tupras.com.trE-mail: [email protected]