q2-19 earnings presentation - scorpio tankers...9 9 market summary short term outlook • extended...

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1 1 Q2-19 Earnings Presentation July 31, 2019

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Page 1: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Q2-19 Earnings Presentation

July 31, 2019

Page 2: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities

Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements reflect Scorpio Tanker Inc.’s (“Scorpio’s”) current views with respect to future

events and financial performance. The words “believe,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “estimate,” “forecast,” “project,” “plan,” “potential,” “may,” “should,”

“expect” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon

various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of

historical operating trends, data contained in Scorpio’s records and other data available from third parties. Although Scorpio believes that these

assumptions were reasonable when made, because these assumptions are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies

which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond Scorpio’s control, Scorpio cannot assure you that it will achieve or accomplish these

expectations, beliefs, projections or future financial performance.

Risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the failure of counterparties to fully perform their contracts with Scorpio, the strength of

world economies and currencies, general market conditions, including fluctuations in charter hire rates and vessel values, changes in demand

in the tanker vessel markets, changes in Scorpio’s operating expenses, including bunker prices, drydocking and insurance costs, the fuel

efficiency of our vessels, the market for Scorpio's vessels, availability of financing and refinancing, charter counterparty performance, ability to

obtain financing and comply with covenants in such financing arrangements, changes in governmental and environmental rules and

regulations or actions taken by regulatory authorities including those that may limit the commercial useful lives of tankers, potential liability from

pending or future litigation, general domestic and international political conditions, potential disruption of shipping routes due to accidents or

political events, and other important factors described from time to time in the reports Scorpio files with, or furnishes to, the Securities and

Exchange Commission, or the Commission, and the New York Stock Exchange, or NYSE. Scorpio undertakes no obligation to update or revise

any forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of Scorpio's future performance, and actual results and

future developments may vary materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements.

Disclaimer and Forward-looking Statements

Page 3: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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This presentation describes time charter equivalent revenue, or TCE revenue. TCE revenue is vessel revenue less voyage expenses

(including bunkers and port charges) and is not a measure prepared in accordance with IFRS (i.e. a "Non-IFRS" measure). TCE revenue is

presented here because we believe that it provide investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the Company's management

evaluates the Company's operating performance. This Non-IFRS measure should not be considered in isolation from, as substitute for, or

superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS.

The Company believes that the presentation of TCE revenue is useful to investors because it facilitates the comparability and the evaluation of

companies in the Company’s industry. In addition, the Company believes that TCE revenue is useful in evaluating its operating performance

compared to that of other companies in the Company’s industry. The Company’s definition of TCE revenue may not be the same as reported

by other companies in the shipping industry or other industries. For a reconciliation of TCE revenue to revenue, please see the Appendix of

this presentation.

Unless otherwise indicated, information contained in this presentation concerning Scorpio’s industry and the market in which it operates,

including its general expectations about its industry, market position, market opportunity and market size, is based on data from various

sources including internal data and estimates as well as third party sources widely available to the public such as independent industry

publications, government publications, reports by market research firms or other published independent sources. Internal data and estimates

are based upon this information as well as information obtained from trade and business organizations and other contacts in the markets in

which Scorpio operates and management’s understanding of industry conditions. This information, data and estimates involve a number of

assumptions and limitations, are subject to risks and uncertainties, and are subject to change based on various factors, including those

discussed above. You are cautioned not to give undue weight to such information, data and estimates. While Scorpio believes the market and

industry information included in this presentation to be generally reliable, it has not independently verified any third-party information or verified

that more recent information is not available.

Disclaimer and Forward-looking Statements (Cont’d)

Page 4: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Q2-19 Financial Results

Q2-2019

Financial Results

Net Loss of $29.7 million

Adjusted EBITDA* of $71.8 million, a $24.5 million y-o-y quarterly increase

Net cash flow from operating activities of $46.7 million

Liquidity $307.3 million in cash as of July 30, 2019

DividendThe Company’s Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.10 per share on July 30,

2019

Repayment of 2019 Convertible

Notes

In July 2019, repaid $142.7 million upon the maturity of the Company's Convertible

Notes due in 2019

Q3-19 TCE Guidance as of

July 31, 2019

For the LR2s in the pool: approximately $14,200 per day for 50% of the days.

For the LR1s in the pool: approximately $15,000 per day for 40% of the days.

For the MRs in the pool: approximately $14,300 per day for 40% of the days.

For the ice-class 1A and 1B Handymaxes in the pool: approximately $10,200 per day for

35% of the days.

(*) See reconciliation in the Appendix

Page 5: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Company Highlights

Best in Class Fleet

• Youngest modern fuel efficient fleet of vessels

• IMO 2020 ready with scrubbers to be installed on MR, LR1 and LR2 vessels

Significant Operating Leverage

• World’s largest product tanker fleet covering all asset classes

Strong Balance Sheet

• Liquidity position of $307.3 million in cash as of July 30, 2019

• Natural & proactive de-leveraging through principal repayments & redemption

of unsecured notes and convertible bond

Robust Trading Liquidity & Sizeable Market Cap

• Avg daily trading liquidity of ~$20m & market cap > $1.3b

Intrinsic Shareholders

• Institution and large AUM fund base with long only focus

• Significant insider ownership

• No overhang or lockup agreements

Page 6: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Natural and Proactive De-leveraging

Effective January 1, 2019, the Company adopted IFRS 16, Leases. IFRS 16 amended the existing accounting standards to require lessees to recognize, on a discounted basis, the rights and obligations created by

the commitment to lease assets on the balance sheet, unless the term of the lease is 12 months or less. Accordingly, the standard resulted in the recognition of right-of-use assets and corresponding liabilities on the

basis of the discounted remaining future minimum lease payments.

Outstanding debt balances from Company’s quarterly earnings releases.

2,980,834

2,858,154 2,811,786

2,657,926

73,476

68,073

66,243

2,980,834

2,931,630

2,879,859

2,724,169

$2,000,000

$2,200,000

$2,400,000

$2,600,000

$2,800,000

$3,000,000

$3,200,000

31-Dec-18 31-Mar-19 30-Jun-19 30-Jul-19

(Thousands $

US

D)

Debt Outstanding (Excl IFRS 16 Operating Leases) IFRS 16 Operating Leases

Page 7: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Improving EBITDA and Cash Flow

Adjusted EBITDA* (millions $USD) Net Cash Flow From Operating Activities (millions $USD)

$57.6

$47.3

$104.9

$113.2

$71.8

$185.1

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

Q1 Q2 1H

2018 2019

$34.8

$17.9

$52.7

$74.6

$46.7

$121.3

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

$140

Q1 Q2 1H

2018 2019

(*) See reconciliation in the Appendix

Page 8: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Q2 TCE YoY Comparison

$11,267

$12,567

$11,090

$12,861

$11,520

$13,436

$14,527

$16,974

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

HM MR LR1 LR2

$/D

ay

Q2-18 Q2-19

Page 9: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Market Summary

Short Term Outlook

• Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season

• From May to June 2019 an average of 6.2 mb/d of offline capacity vs five year

avg of 4.9 mb/d

• Reduction in naphtha flows as a result of cheap LPG prices providing substitute for

Asian petrochemical sector

• Despite challenges, significant improvement in YoY TCE rates

• Every monthly YoY TCE rate is higher in 2019 than in 2018

• Expected incremental distillate in preparation for IMO 2020 towards end of Q3-19

Long Term Outlook

• Increased distillate demand from IMO 2020 driven by consumption of MGO &

LSFO blends

• Lowest orderbook as a % of fleet Since March 2000

• Limited newbuilding orders YTD further extending favorable supply outlook

Page 10: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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Monthly Spot TCE Rates Higher YoY

MR Monthly Spot TCE Rates LR2 Monthly Spot TCE Rates ($/day)

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

FY-18 FY-19

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

$18,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

FY-18 FY-19

Source: Clarksons Research Services

Page 11: Q2-19 Earnings Presentation - Scorpio Tankers...9 9 Market Summary Short Term Outlook • Extended and elevated refinery maintenance season • From May to June 2019 an average of

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$8,000

$11,000

$8,000

$12,000

$10,200

$14,300

$15,000

$14,200

$4,000

$6,000

$8,000

$10,000

$12,000

$14,000

$16,000

HM MR LR1 LR2

$/D

ay

Q3-18 Q3-19

Q3 TCE YoY Guidance Comparison

1) Q3-18 guidance from July 31, 2018 Company’s earning release

2) Q3-19 guidance from July 31, 2019 Company’s earning release

(1) (2)

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Appendix

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Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Adjusted EBITDA

In thousands of U.S. dollars 2019 2018

Net income / (loss) 14,476$ (31,794)$

Financial expenses 48,756 39,418

Financial income (3,119) (385)

Depreciation - owned or finance leased vessels 43,814 43,455

Depreciation - right of use assets 2,135 -

Merger transaction related costs - 264

Amortization of restricted stock 7,184 6,650

Adjusted EBITDA 113,246$ 57,608$

In thousands of U.S. dollars 2019 2018 2019 2018

Net loss (29,720)$ (68,901)$ (15,244)$ (100,695)$

Financial expenses 47,327 48,949 96,083 88,367

Financial income (2,725) (345) (5,843) (730)

Depreciation - owned or finance leased vessels 44,369 44,092 88,183 87,547

Depreciation - right of use assets 5,895 - 8,030 -

Merger transaction related costs - 7 - 271

Amortization of restricted stock 6,675 6,530 13,859 13,180

Loss on exchange of convertible notes - 16,968 - 16,968

Adjusted EBITDA 71,821$ 47,300$ 185,068$ 104,908$

For the three months ended March 31,

For the three months ended June 30, For the six months ended June 30,

Reconciliation of Net Income (Loss) to Adjusted EBITDA