q1 2017 / quarterly office market report san mateo county...san mateo county q1 2017 / quarterly...
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$4.72 FSClass A
Average Asking Rate
$4.08 FSClass B
Average Asking Rate
The San Mateo County office market picked up right where it left off at the end of 2016, recording 285,000 SF of positive absorption during the first quarter of 2017, ending the first 3 months of the year with a vacancy rate of 7.6%. This marked the 8th consecutive quarter of positive absorption, totaling nearly 2.3 million SF over that time period. San Mateo County continues to boast the lowest unemployment rate in California at 2.7%, while neighboring San Francisco and Santa Clara Counties have the 3rd and 4th lowest unemployment rates in the state.
Average asking rates increased for the 24th consecutive quarter, with the first quarter of the year ending at $4.53 psf full service. Over the past 6 years, average asking rates have increased by 67%. The downtown submarkets within the county are continuing to outperform the suburban markets. In the counties downtown submarkets, the average asking rate is $5.38 psf full service while suburban average asking rates are just $4.43 psf full service. Vacancy in downtown markets is 3.3% while suburban markets recorded a vacancy rate of 8.2% at the end of the first quarter.
Most of the demand for space in the downtown submarkets within San Mateo County is from technology companies. However, recently we have
seen law firms taking big blocks of space in these submarkets. At the end of 2016, international law firm Goodwin Procter signed a 99,000 SF lease at 601 Marshall St in downtown Redwood City. In Q1 2017, also in Downtown Redwood city, law firm Gunderson Dettmer leased 47,000 SF at 550 Allerton Street. Downtown Redwood City is an attractive location for law firms in large part because the San Mateo County courthouse is located in this submarket.
Office development continues to change the landscape of San Mateo County. San Mateo and Redwood City have been the most active office development cities over the past few years. Most of the recent developments that have taken place in these cities are walking distance to CalTrain. Developers are jockeying for position to get their sites entitled. Many cities in San Mateo County have set caps to limit the amount of office development allowed.
San Mateo County will continue to be a landlord’s market as demand from tenants remains strong. With tenant demand totaling nearly 2.5 million SF looking for space within the county during the next 24 months, expect to see this market continue to thrive throughout the rest of the year.
Market Overview
Q1 2017 / Quarterly Office Market Report
San Mateo County
Market Facts
7.8%Class A Vacancy
7.8%Class B Vacancy
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San Mateo County Q1 2017 / Quarterly Office Market Report
Market Snapshot
San Mateo County continues to attract companies from all industry types. Technology companies are driving the office market but professional service companies are also very active in this market.
Historical Asking Rental Rate (FSG) Historical Vacancy
Downtown vs. Suburban Office Markets
Market Inventory
37,576,401 SF
OverallVacancy Rate
7.6% (7.6%*)
Net Absorption
284,704 SF
Average Asking Rate
$4.53 PSF ($4.50*)
Under Construction
1,669,307 SF
550 Allerton StreetRedwood City, CA
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Class A Class B Class A Class B
$3.82
$4.11 $4.24
$4.72
$4.08
7.8%7.8%
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
Q32015
Q42015
Q12016
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Class A Class B Class A Class B
$3.82
$4.11 $4.24
$4.72
$4.08
7.8%7.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
Downtown Suburban
Avg Asking Rate (FS) Vacancy Rate
*Compared to previous quarter
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Market By The Numbers
SUBMARKET Total RBA (SF)
Direct Vacant Space (SF)
Sublet Vacant Space (SF)
Vacancy RateClass A Class B
Direct Avail Space (SF)
Sublet Avail Space (SF)
Avail RateClass A Class B
Net Absorp. (SF)
Under Construction
Average Asking Rent
Total Class A Class B
Daly City 1,091,715 132,390 6,392 15.6% 12.0% 163,277 0 17.3% 17.4% 23,685 0 $3.60 $3.89 $2.92
Brisbane 763,593 186,767 0 19.9% 30.7% 247,930 3,760 33.2% 32.7% 41,047 0 $3.66 $3.70 $3.58
South San Francisco 2,313,789 314,798 16,211 19.3% 1.6% 437,342 17,866 25.6% 3.4% 75,413 0 $3.40 $3.49 $3.04
San Bruno/Millbrae 1,779,246 4,837 0 0.0% 0.4% 82,506 23,157 8.3% 0.4% 62,570 0 $3.50 $3.93 $3.33
Burlingame 2,375,575 170,483 10,606 13.6% 6.8% 217,873 43,700 22.7% 8.2% -3,227 767,000 $3.15 $3.23 $3.21
North County 8,323,918 809,275 33,209 13.1% 8.4% 1,148,928 88,483 20.2% 10.2% 199,488 767,000 $3.44 $3.57 $3.34
San Mateo 7,904,562 728,152 252,191 15.0% 9.6% 779,447 351,369 17.9% 10.3% 70,112 411,994 $4.58 $4.99 $3.95
Foster City 3,305,973 222,687 52,038 8.5% 6.3% 537,461 98,668 20.6% 7.6% -14,982 0 $5.13 $5.19 $4.11
Redwood Shores 5,531,176 244,231 23,290 4.3% 5.5% 498,451 139,176 9.7% 18.3% 95,841 0 $4.70 $4.64 $4.59
Central County 16,741,711 1,195,070 327,519 8.9% 9.1% 1,815,359 589,213 15.1% 10.5% 150,971 411,994 $4.70 $4.96 $3.98
Belmont/San Carlos 1,452,590 37,625 31,578 3.5% 6.7% 36,584 60,740 10.4% 5.0% -32,619 0 $3.49 $3.66 $3.38
Redwood City* 4,414,369 147,604 2,868 0.1% 7.8% 232,475 68,337 4.7% 10.8% -37,843 285,313 $4.96 $4.76 $5.37
Menlo Park 6,643,813 238,012 44,160 3.7% 3.2% 298,176 104,935 4.6% 6.4% 4,707 205,000 $6.94 $7.17 $6.21
South County 12,510,772 423,241 78,606 2.6% 5.9% 567,235 234,012 5.1% 7.9% -65,755 490,313 $5.87 $6.75 $5.03
San Mateo Co. Total 37,576,401 2,427,586 439,334 7.8% 7.8% 3,531,522 911,708 13.0% 9.6% 284,704 1,669,307 $4.53 $4.72 $4.08
Historical Net Absorption & Leasing Activity*Excluding Redwood Shores
San Mateo County Q1 2017 / Quarterly Office Market Report
0
400,000
800,000
1,200,000
1,600,000
2,000,000
-500,000
-250,000
0
250,000
500,000
750,000
Q12013
Q22013
Q32013
Q42013
Q12014
Q22014
Q32014
Q42014
Q12015
Q22015
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Leas
ing
Act
ivity
Net
Abs
orpt
ion
Net Absorption Leasing Activity
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© 2017 Avison Young [Avison Young - Northern California, Ltd.]. All rights reserved. E. & O.E.: The information contained herein was obtained from sources which we deem reliable and, while thought to be correct, is not guaranteed by Avison Young.
AY San Mateo Team
New Construction Delivery (Historical)
Tenant Building Submarket Square Feet Type
Facebook 164 Jefferson Dr Menlo Park 135,307 New
Auris 150 Shoreline Dr Redwood Shores 54,602 New
Nevro 1800 Bridge Pkwy Redwood Shores 50,470 Renewal
Nevro 1600 Bridge Pkwy Redwood Shores 49,981 Expansion
Gunderson Dettmer 550 Allerton St Redwood City 46,877 New
Top Leases
Building Buyer Submarket Square Feet Sale Price
Rakuten Concar Office Park San Mateo 213,346 $179,500,000
Black Mountain Properties 2400 Broadway Redwood City 15,000 $10,217,000
Top Sales
Building Developer Submarket Square Feet % Leased Status
Kylli Burlingame Point Burlingame 767,000 0% Q2/18
Bohannon Menlo Gateway Building 3 Menlo Park 205,226 0% Q4/17
Wilson Meany Bay Meadows Station 3 San Mateo 173,866 70% Q3/17
DoStart 601 Marshall St Redwood City 133,100 75% Q4/17
Premia Capital 550 Allerton St Redwood City 76,647 61% Q3/17
Under Construction
Office Group
Randy Keller, Managing Director / Principal 650.425.6425
Lloyd Bakan, Principal 650.425.6418
Phil Fletcher, Associate 650.425.6421
Tim Grant, Senior Vice President 650.425.6424
Jon Geary, Associate 650.425.6415
Wendy Leung, Vice President 650.425.6416
Todd Campbell, Vice President, Research 650.425.6412
Cheryl Simpson, Operations Manager 650.425.6420
Raquel Ledesma, Graphic Designer 415.322.5057
Property Management / Lease Administration
Tom Greenfield, CPM® LEED®, Property Manager 510.534.4700
Bryce McEfee, LEED® AP, Property Manager 916.426.3584
Tom McEfee, CPM®, SVP, Management Services 916.426.3570
Project / Construction Management
David Gonzales, Managing Director / Principal 415.322.5065
Shannon Dupler, Manager, Financial Reporting 415.349.3399
Clare Friel, Project Manager 415.349.3406
Nicole de la Rosa, Assistant Project Manager 510.254.4268
Delivered Future Delivery
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20170
250,000
500,000
750,000
1,000,000
1,250,000
1,500,000
San Mateo County Q1 2017 / Quarterly Office Market Report
Avison Young - Northern California, Ltd.950 Tower Lane, Suite 120Foster City, CA 94404T 650.425.6413 F 650.425.6413