pwcs t4 project proposal: on the green golden bell frog · green & golden bell frog in nsw –...

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PWCS T4 project proposal: Impacts on the Green & Golden Bell Frog Prof Graham H. Pyke (UTS) Representing the NSW Frog & Tadpole Study Group

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Page 1: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

PWCS T4 project proposal:Impacts on the Green & Golden 

Bell Frog

Prof Graham H. Pyke (UTS)Representing the NSW Frog & 

Tadpole Study Group

Page 2: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

Main points

• GGBF critically endangered, within NSW, within the Hunter region and at Kooragang

• Single highly‐significant population of GGBFs on Kooragang/ Ash islands; it needs to be managed as such

• Assessing impacts of human activities on GGBF populations rests on breeding habitat

• T4 project will probably lead to population extinction; ‘death by several cuts’

• Contribution of proposed offset area to GGBF conservation is close to zero

Page 3: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBF‐ Heading for extinction

• Up to 1995‐ over 80% loss

Page 4: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW –1995 to 2007

• Populations23% lost

• Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007, out of thousands

• More disappeared since 2007

Page 5: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBFs in Upper Hunter

• 8 recorded sites

• Possibly all gone

• One site uncertain

Page 6: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBFs in Middle Hunter

• 8 recorded sites

• Probably all gone

Page 7: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBFs in Lower Hunter

• Probably only Kooragang/ Ash Island still extant

• Sig population

Page 8: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBFs on Kooragang/ Ash Island

• Scattered records of GGBFs

• Single, large population

• Development areas treated as separate

Page 9: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBF population size on Kooragang/ Ash Island

• The trend is in the wrong direction!

1,995 2,000 2,005 2,010 2,015YEAR

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

# G

GB

F ad

ults

Page 10: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBF breeding and assessing human impacts

NO:• Calling (by males)• Eggs• Immatures• AdultsYES:• Tadpoles• Metamorphs

Page 11: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

Impacts on GGBFs on Kooragang island

• GGBF breeding habitat lostBHPB

1.4ha => 0.7haNCIG

0.8ha

Page 12: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

Impacts on GGBFs on Kooragang island

• GGBF breeding habitat lostBHPB & NCIG

1.5ha PWCS

5.1haDeath by three cuts

Page 13: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

GGBFs in Ramsar wetland

• Kooragang population declines => Fewer GGBFs in Ramsarwetland

Page 14: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

No worries? – New breeding habitat on 

the way

• Success unlikely & will take timeRecipe not worked out

Previous such attempts have mostly failed

Max success rate only ~10%

Outcome requires at least 3 years

Page 15: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

Proposed Brundee offset area:Contribution to GGBF conservation?

• NegligibleGGBF 

records few & restricted in location

No breeding habitat

Potential to develop breeding habitat

Page 16: PWCS T4 project proposal: on the Green Golden Bell Frog · Green & Golden Bell Frog in NSW – 1995 to 2007 • Populations 23% lost • Only about 40 populations remaining in 2007,

Impact of proposed T4 project on GGBF

• Likely extinction of Kooragang/ Ash Island population

• Negligible contribution to GGBF conservation from proposed offset area

T4 bad news for GGBF