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Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018

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Page 1: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia

July 23–August 15, 2018

Page 2: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Detailed Methodology

2

• The survey was coordinated by Dr. Rasa Alisauskiene from Baltic Surveys/The Gallup Organization on behalf of the Center

for Insights in Survey Research. The field work was carried out by the Armenian Sociological Association.

• Data was collected throughout Armenia between July 23 and August 15, 2018, through face-to-face interviews in

respondents’ homes.

• The sample consisted of 1,200 permanent residents of Armenia older than the age of 18 and eligible to vote. It is

representative of the general population by age, gender, region and size/type settlement.

• Sampling frame: Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia. Weighting: Data weighted for 11 regional groups, age

and gender.

• A multistage probability sampling method was used, with the random route and next birthday respondent selection

procedures.

• Stage one: All districts of Armenia are grouped into 11 regions. The survey was conducted throughout all regions

of Armenia. The city of Yerevan was treated as a separate region.

• Stage two: The territory of each region was split into settlements and grouped according to subtype (i.e. cities,

towns and villages).

• Settlements were selected at random.

• The number of settlements selected in each region was proportional to the share of population living in the

particular type of settlement in each region.

• Stage three: Primary sampling units were described.

• The margin of error does not exceed plus or minus 2.5 percent for the full sample.

• The response rate was 64 percent.

• Charts and graphs may not add up to 100 percent due to rounding.

• The survey was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development.

Page 3: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

High Expectations for Pashinyan’s Government

Page 4: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How do you view the recent change in government in Armenia?

4

39% 43% 10% 3% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Very positively Somewhat positively Somewhat negatively Very negatively Don't know/No answer

Page 5: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How do you view the recent change in government in Armenia?

5

39%

40%

44%

39%

38%

43%

37%

38%

42%

44%

44%

43%

43%

42%

45%

43%

11%

8%

6%

11%

10%

9%

8%

11%

4%

2%

1%

3%

4%

1%

4%

4%

4%

6%

5%

4%

5%

5%

6%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Male

Female

18-29 y.o.

30-49 y.o.

50 years and older

Yerevan

Other urban

Rural

GEN

DER

AG

ESET

TLEM

EN

T

Very positively Somewhat positively Somewhat negatively Very negatively Don't know/No answer

Page 6: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Why do you think the change in government is positive?(Respondents who view change positively; three answers possible; spontaneous

response: N=990)

6

32%

16%

15%

11%

10%

9%

9%

9%

9%

8%

8%

6%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

11%

3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Decreased corruption

National Security Service abuse of power exposed

Improvement of the psychological state of people

Good staff appointments

Justice restored

Democracy

Correct choice for Prime Minister

Less anarchy

Freedom of speech protected

Failure of the Republican Party of Armenia

Serzh Sargsyan removed

New projects presented

Justice for all

Socio-economic improvement

Good work of the police

Revolution

Decreased prices

Poverty eradication

Immigration

Increased salaries for healthcare workers

Job creation

Reduced personal taxation for accumulative pension fund

Solved army problems

Crime decreased

Increased national security

Progress in foreign relations

Improved taxation regime

Proper budget management

Solving of educational problems

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 7: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Why do you think the change in government is negative?(Respondents who view change negatively; three answers possible; spontaneous

response: N=153)

7

49%

24%

15%

15%

14%

11%

11%

9%

8%

2%

5%

7%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Inappropriate staff appointments

Political instability

Economic crisis

National security

No results

Increased crime

Distrust in disclosures

Lack of projects

Vendettas

Monopoly

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 8: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

In your opinion, what are three things you believe the Pashinyangovernment must achieve in the next six months?

(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

8

14%

13%

11%

5%

5%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

1%

32%

22%

24%

14%

12%

11%

11%

8%

5%

7%

9%

5%

6%

6%

8%

7%

4%

5%

5%

4%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Create jobs

Fight corruption

Solve socioeconomic problems

Strengthen national security/borders

Raise pensions

Raise wages

Solve Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

Establish democracy

Fair organization of elections

Stop raising prices

Reduce immigration/emigration

Monitor human resources

Solve educational problems

Establish justice

Solve army problems

Eradicate poverty

Lower housing and communal costs

Decrease bank interest rate

Budget increase

Establish foreign relations

Solve health/medical problems

First mention

All mentions

Page 9: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What are the biggest failures of the previous government?(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

9

25%

12%

7%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

42%

26%

14%

10%

11%

8%

7%

9%

10%

6%

6%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

7%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Corruption

Robbery

Unemployment

Socioeconomic problems

Anarchy

Monopoly

Poverty

Violated rights of the people

Emigration

Crime

April War

Abuse of power

Country mismanagement

Psychological depression of the people

Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

General failures

Price increases

Injustice

First mention

All mentions

Page 10: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What is your preference: should political reforms be undertaken quickly or more gradually?

10

27% 36% 24% 10% 3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely quickly More quickly than not More gradual than not Definitely gradually Don't know/No answer

Page 11: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What is your preference: should economic reforms be undertaken quickly or more gradually?

11

33% 32% 25% 9% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely quickly More quickly than not More gradual than not Definitely gradually Don't know/No answer

Page 12: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you believe that the electoral system needs to be reformed?

12

54% 32% 8% 2%4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely yes Somewhat yes Somewhat no Definitely no Don't know/No answer

Page 13: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If yes, how soon do you think the electoral system needs to be reformed?

(Electoral system needs to be reformed: N=1040)

13

56% 31% 8% 2%3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely before new elections are held Likely before new elections are held

Likely after new elections are held Definitely after new elections are held

Don't know/No answer

Page 14: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Attitudes Toward the Future

Page 15: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Generally speaking, do you think that things in Armenia are going in the right direction or the wrong direction?

15

73% 14% 13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

Page 16: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you think that things in Armenia are going in the...

16

71%

74%

82%

73%

67%

79%

70%

70%

17%

12%

10%

14%

17%

12%

15%

15%

12%

14%

8%

13%

16%

9%

15%

15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Male

Female

18-29 y.o.

30-49 y.o.

50 years and older

Yerevan

Other urban

Rural

GEN

DER

AG

ESETTLEM

EN

T

Right direction Wrong direction Don't know/No answer

Page 17: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Over the last 6 months, the economic situation in Armenia has…

17

9% 34% 44% 9% 2% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Page 18: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Over the last 6 months, the financial situation of your household has...

18

5% 17% 63% 11% 3% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Improved a lot Improved somewhat Stayed the sameWorsened somewhat Worsened a lot Don't know/No answer

Page 19: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How would you evaluate the prevailing mood of the Armenian population?

19

37% 44% 11% 3% 3%1%1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Belief that the future will definitely be better Hope that the future will be somewhat better

Not much hope for a better future Apathy/belief in fate

Insecurity/worry/fear for the future Total disappointment/disbelief in any improvement

Don't know/No answer

Page 20: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you believe that people like you can influence decisions made in your country?

20

22% 40% 24% 10% 4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely yes Probably yes Probably not Definitely not Don't know/No answer

Page 21: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Did you participate in the April street demonstrations that brought about the resignation of Serzh Sargsyan and the nomination of

Nikol Pashinyan?

21

43% 52% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 22: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If yes, would you participate in new street demonstrations if they were called for again?

(Participants: N=520)

22

23% 64% 8% 2%3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Yes, for any reason Yes, but only in favor of something Yes, but only against something

No, for any reason Don't know/No answer

Page 23: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If no, would you participate in new street demonstrations if they were called for?

(Those who did not participate: N=620)

23

4% 21% 10% 55% 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Yes, for any reason Yes, but only in favor of something Yes, but only against something

No, for any reason Don't know/No answer

Page 24: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Views of Anti-Corruption Efforts

Page 25: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

In your opinion, has the following issue significantly improved, somewhat improved, remained the same, somewhat deteriorated,

or significantly deteriorated in the last six months?

25

81%

50%

15%

37%

2%

9%

2%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Corruption

Crime

Improved Remained the same Deteriorated Don't know/No answer

Page 26: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Have you heard of any anti-corruption efforts by the Armenian government or National Assembly?

26

54% 38% 8%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Aug-18

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 27: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Have you heard of any anti-corruption efforts by the Armenian government or National Assembly?

27

57%

51%

58%

56%

49%

72%

40%

45%

36%

39%

36%

36%

41%

24%

51%

43%

7%

10%

6%

8%

10%

4%

9%

12%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Male

Female

18-29 y.o.

30-49 y.o.

50 years and older

Yerevan

Other urban

Rural

GEN

DER

AG

ESET

TLEM

EN

T

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 28: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If yes, please name the anti-corruption reform: (Respondents aware of anti-corruption efforts; three answers possible;

spontaneous response: N=643)

28

36%

23%

19%

17%

9%

4%

3%

2%

2%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

National Security Service disclosures

Detention of oligarch leaders

Disclosure of bribery cases

Stopped collection of bribes in education system

Disclosure of tax evasion

Disclosures of healthcare corruption

Revelation of March 1 case*

Staff changes

Human rights improvement

Other

*The March 1 case refers to the 2008 post-election clashes in Yerevan which resulted in the deaths of 10 people, including two police officers.

Page 29: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Domestic Policy

Page 30: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What are the main problems Armenia is currently facing?(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

30

21%

10%

9%

9%

6%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

38%

21%

23%

19%

18%

12%

9%

10%

9%

8%

6%

5%

3%

5%

7%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Unemployment/Jobs

Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

Socioeconomic problems

National security/Borders

Corruption

Emigration

Low pensions or allowances

Poverty

Low salaries

Army

General financial problems

Healthcare

Human rights

Foreign relations

Rising prices

Education

First mention

All mentions

Page 31: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What are the main problems your town or village is currently facing?

(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

31

17%

10%

8%

5%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

31%

21%

17%

13%

10%

8%

8%

7%

8%

7%

9%

9%

5%

6%

6%

4%

6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Unemployment/Jobs

Garbage disposal

Roads

Transport problems

Socioeconomic problems

Irrigation/Water supply

Sanitation

Emigration

Housing/Communal services

Urban development

Corruption

Planting greenery/Illegal logging

Low salaries

Agricultural development

Ecology

Elevator repairs

Outside lighting

First mention

All mentions

Page 32: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What are the main problems your household is currently facing?(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

32

31%

18%

10%

9%

7%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

50%

31%

20%

21%

15%

9%

10%

8%

4%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Financial problems

Unemployment/Jobs

Housing

Health problems

Social problems

Tuition fees

Communal problems

Emigration

Family psychological state

Judicial Acts Compulsory Enforcement Agency(JACES)

First mention

All mentions

Page 33: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Thinking about the current situation and the future of the country, what are the three things you are most worried about?

(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

33

15%

14%

13%

9%

6%

4%

3%

3%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2%

28%

30%

22%

24%

16%

12%

9%

7%

10%

8%

6%

8%

6%

5%

6%

3%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

National security

Unemployment

Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

Socioeconomic fears

Corruption

Emigration

Stagnant wages

Increasing prices

Poverty

Pension or allowance problems

Army problems

Financial problems

Health/medical problems

Internal instability

Educational problems

Increasing interest rates

Lack of human rights protections

First mention

All mentions

Page 34: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you have family members or close relatives working abroad?

34

59% 40% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Yes No Don't know/No answer

Page 35: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If yes, do you personally benefit from remittances from family members or close relatives working abroad?

(Those with family/relatives abroad; N=706)

35

55% 45%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Yes No

Page 36: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

In which countries do you have family members or close relatives working?

(Those with family/relatives abroad; multiple answers possible; spontaneous response: N=706)

36

70%

23%

10%

10%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

4%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Russia

United States

France

Germany

Belgium

Georgia

Greece

Spain

Canada

Ukraine

Netherlands

Kazakhstan

Poland

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 37: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If you had the opportunity, would you choose to go abroad to live, study, and/or work?

37

21% 31% 21% 25% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely yes Probably yes Probably no Definitely no Don't know/No answer

Page 38: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If you had the opportunity, would you choose to go abroad to live, study, and/or work?

38

22%

20%

33%

21%

15%

18%

25%

22%

31%

32%

35%

39%

23%

31%

31%

32%

23%

20%

17%

23%

22%

21%

22%

20%

23%

27%

14%

16%

39%

29%

21%

24%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Male

Female

18-29 y.o.

30-49 y.o.

50 years and older

Yerevan

Other Urban

Rural

GEN

DER

AG

ESET

TLEM

EN

T

Definitely yes Probably yes Probably no Definitely no Don't know/No answer

Page 39: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

If yes, for which reason would you choose to go abroad?(Respondents who would go abroad: N=631)

39

18% 23% 5% 36% 3% 3% 10% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Live Work Study Live/Work

Live/Study Work/Study Live/Work/Study Don't know/No answer

Page 40: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Governance and Transparency

Page 41: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Please tell me your opinion about the work of each of these institutions:

41

82%

74%

72%

59%

59%

57%

49%

47%

42%

41%

39%

38%

38%

37%

35%

34%

30%

17%

25%

25%

37%

39%

42%

45%

48%

52%

57%

54%

56%

56%

53%

58%

58%

61%

1%

1%

3%

4%

2%

1%

6%

5%

6%

2%

7%

6%

5%

10%

7%

8%

9%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Office of the Prime Minister

Army

Office of the President

Police

Armenian media

Church

Cabinet of Ministers

Public education

Governors

National Assembly (Parliament)

Office of the Prosecutor

Political parties

Local authorities

Non-governmental and civil society organizations

Tax authorities

Courts

Central Electoral Commission

Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/No answer

Page 42: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How do you assess the performance of the following institutions in terms of openness and transparency?

42

42%

25%

15%

11%

11%

9%

8%

6%

6%

5%

38%

46%

50%

44%

39%

41%

40%

37%

32%

33%

15%

22%

28%

32%

38%

34%

40%

42%

42%

36%

3%

4%

5%

9%

9%

9%

10%

10%

14%

16%

2%

3%

2%

4%

3%

7%

2%

5%

6%

10%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Office of the PrimeMinister

Office of thePresident

Cabinet of Ministers

Police

Ministry of Justice

Education system

Local authorities

Courts

Office of the Prosecutor

Tax authorities

Very open and transparent Somewhat open and transparent Somewhat not open and transparent

Fully not open and not transparent Don't know/No answer

Page 43: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How do you feel about the direction of each of the following issues during the past six months?

43

73%

71%

68%

61%

48%

38%

31%

19%

25%

25%

35%

40%

52%

58%

6%

3%

6%

3%

9%

9%

10%

2%

1%

1%

1%

3%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Freedom of speech

Individual human rights

Democracy

Media independence

National security

Education

Economy

Progressed Neither progressed nor regressed Regressed Don't know/No answer

Page 44: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How would you evaluate your confidence in Armenia’s electoral system?

44

10% 31% 26% 31% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Completely confident Somewhat confident Somewhat not confident

Not at all confident Don't know/No answer

Page 45: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What is your perception of the level of impact of Civil Society Organizations (CSOs) in Armenia?

45

13% 29% 28% 17% 13%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

CSOs have a very strong impact on government policy CSOs have some impact on government policy

CSOs have not much impact on government policy CSOs have no impact at all on government policy

Don't know/No answer

Page 46: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Political Parties

Page 47: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

First choice: For which of these political parties would you vote if national parliamentary elections were held next Sunday?

Second choice: Which other party might you vote for if your first choice is not available?

47

66%

13%

4%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

10%

1%

11%

35%

2%

7%

1%

3%

2%

2%

1%

1%

34%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Yelq Dashinq (Civil Contract, Bright Armenia, Republic)

Tsarukyan Alliance/Prosperous Armenia

Republican Party of Armenia

Dashnaktsutyun/Armenian Revolutionary Federation

Armenian Communist Party

Heritage

Armenian Renaissance/Rule of Law

Armenian National Congress

Free Democrats

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

First choice

Second choice

Page 48: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

For which of these political parties would you never vote?(Multiple answers possible; spontaneous response)

48

61%

15%

15%

13%

11%

7%

7%

7%

4%

3%

<1%

16%

1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Republican Party of Armenia

Armenian Renaissance/Rule of Law

Armenian National Congress

Dashnaktsutyun/Armenian Revolutionary Federation

Heritage

Free Democrats

Armenian Communist Party

Tsarukyan Alliance/Prosperous Armenia

Yelq Dashinq (Civil Contract, Bright Armenia, Republic)

Armenian Democratic Party

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

Page 49: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What is your opinion of the following Armenian politicians and other well-known persons in Armenian society?

49

91%

69%

68%

66%

58%

58%

56%

53%

53%

53%

51%

48%

48%

46%

36%

26%

12%

8%

17%

30%

23%

22%

33%

35%

24%

27%

28%

40%

28%

32%

50%

46%

73%

86%

<1%

11%

1%

8%

15%

7%

6%

19%

15%

15%

6%

19%

16%

2%

12%

1%

2%

1%

3%

5%

2%

3%

4%

5%

4%

3%

5%

4%

2%

6%

1%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Nikol Pashinyan

Davit Tonoyan

Armen Sarkissian

Valeriy Osipyan

Artak Zeynalyan

Edmon Marukyan

Gagik Tsarukyan

Zohrab Mnatsakanyan

Mkhitar Hayrapetyan

Arayik Harutyunyan

Aram Sargsyan

Atom Janjughazyan

Artsvik Minasyan

Raffi Hovannisian

Armen Rostomyan

Karen Karapetyan

Serzh Sargsyan

Favorable Unfavorable Have not heard the name Don't know/No answer

Page 50: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

International Relations

Page 51: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How would you evaluate the current state of the relationship between Armenia and:

51

88%

88%

88%

87%

87%

84%

81%

73%

72%

68%

11%

5%

6%

6%

8%

8%

11%

12%

12%

10%

20%

16%

85%

93%

6%

6%

4%

5%

2%

4%

7%

17%

8%

16%

4%

2%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

China

France

Georgia

Iran

Russia

United States

European Union

Lebanon

Ukraine

Israel

Turkey

Azerbaijan

Good Bad Don't know/No answer

Page 52: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important political partners or threats for Armenia?

(Multiple answers possible)

52

84%

41%39% 39%

37%

20%16%

9%7% 6%

2%4%

6%3%

5%1%

3% 3% 2%5%

1%

6%

72%

86%

3%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Russ

ia

Georg

ia

Unit

ed S

tate

s

Fra

nce

Euro

pean U

nio

n

Iran

Chin

a

Ukra

ine

Lebanon

Isra

el

Turk

ey

Azerb

aij

an

Don't

know

/No a

nsw

er

Political partners Political threats

Page 53: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which of these countries do you consider to be the most important economic partners or threats for Armenia?

(Multiple answers possible)

53

76%

54%

45% 45%

37%

31% 30%

20%

10% 9%7%

4%7% 6%

3%6%

2% 1%

6%

1% 2% 1%

65% 64%

10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%R

uss

ia

Georg

ia

Chin

a

Iran

Euro

pean U

nio

n

Fra

nce

Unit

ed S

tate

s

Ukra

ine

Isra

el

Lebanon

Turk

ey

Azerb

aij

an

Don't

know

/No a

nsw

er

Economic partners Economic threats

Page 54: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you believe that Armenia joining the Eurasian Economic Union with Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus, and Kyrgyzstan has been

positive or negative for Armenia?

54

31% 47% 11% 4% 7%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Very positive Somewhat positive Somewhat negative Very negative Don't know/No answer

Page 55: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you think that Russia is a trustworthy ally of Armenia?

55

37% 42% 14% 5% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Very trustworthy Somewhat trustworthy Somewhat untrustworthy

Very untrustworthy Don't know/No answer

Page 56: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How important is it for Armenia’s future to solve outstanding problems related to Artsakh* in the near future?

56

78% 18% 3% 1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Very important Somewhat important Somewhat unimportant Don't know/No answer

* Artsakh is the preferred Armenian-language nomenclature for the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh.

** The option for “very unimportant” was selected by zero (0) percent of respondents, and therefore does not appear on this chart.

Page 57: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you think that a peaceful settlement on Artsakh can be reached with Azerbaijan without either side resorting to military

force?

57

30% 33% 22% 10% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely yes Probably yes Probably no Definitely no Don't know/No answer

Page 58: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Do you believe that Armenia joining the Eurasian Economic Union with Russia, Kazakhstan, Belarus, and Kyrgyzstan has been

positive or negative for Armenia?

58

32%

30%

35%

27%

31%

22%

35%

36%

48%

46%

45%

52%

44%

45%

50%

47%

11%

11%

9%

12%

12%

14%

11%

9%

4%

4%

4%

3%

4%

5%

2%

4%

5%

9%

6%

6%

9%

14%

2%

4%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Male

Female

18-29 y.o.

30-49 y.o.

50 years and older

Yerevan

Other Urban

Rural

GEN

DER

AG

ESET

TLEM

EN

T

Very positive Somewhat positive Somewhat negative Very negative Don't know/No answer

Page 59: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

When do you think the status of Artsakh will be settled?

59

6% 16% 22% 20% 17% 9% 10%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Less than 1 year from today 1-3 years from today 3-5 years from today

5-10 years from today More than 10 years from today Never

Don't know/No answer

Page 60: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Regarding the final status of Artsakh, should it be:

60

34% 32% 30% 1% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

An ordinary region of Armenia An autonomous region of Armenia An independent country

A part of Azerbaijan Don't know/No answer

Page 61: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Regarding Turkey, should the current government seek to reopen the border with Turkey, even if Turkey does not recognize the

genocide?

61

16% 25% 27% 26% 6%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Definitely should seek to reopen border Likely should seek to reopen border

Likely should not seek to reopen border Definitely should not seek to reopen border

Don't know/No answer

Page 62: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Sources of Information

Page 63: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which sources do you use for information about the current international situation?

(Multiple answers possible; spontaneous response)

63

78%

45%

37%

27%

16%

10%

10%

6%

1%

1%

<1%

1%

Armenian TV

Social media*

Armenian internet news sites

Russian TV stations

Armenian radio stations

Russian internet sites

Armenian print media

Euronews TV

YouTube

None

Other

Don't know/No answer

91%

18%

3%

3%

2%

2%

Facebook

OK (Odnoklassniki)

Twitter

VK (Vkontakte)

Instagram

LinkedIn

Social Media Used*(Respondents using social media: N=541)

Page 64: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which of these information channels do you trust most for information about the current international situation?

(Multiple answers possible; spontaneous response)

64

55%

23%

16%

9%

7%

4%

3%

3%

<1%

4%

1%

Armenian TV

Social media*

Armenian internet news sites

Russian TV stations

Armenian radio stations

Russian internet sites

Euronews TV

Armenian print media

YouTube

None

Don't know/No answer

91%

10%

2%

2%

2%

<1%

1%

Facebook

OK (Odnoklassniki)

Twitter

VK (Vkontakte)

Instagram

LinkedIn

Don't know/No answer

Trust in Social Media*(Respondents trusting social media; N=272)

Page 65: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which Armenian television stations do you watch regularly?(Multiple answers possible; spontaneous response)

65

66%

65%

58%

38%

23%

23%

21%

21%

13%

11%

10%

7%

6%

4%

15%

<1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Shant

H1

Armenia TV

Kentron

Yerkir Media

H2

Armnews

ATV

21 TV

Shoghakat

H3

Regional TV stations

Ararat

AR TV

None

Don't know/No answer

Page 66: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which Armenian television station’s news and political information do you trust the most?

(Multiple answers possible; spontaneous response)

66

30%

28%

14%

5%

3%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

16%

<1%

49%

61%

45%

21%

11%

9%

9%

4%

2%

2%

<1%

2%

1%

<1%

16%

<1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

H1

Shant

Armenia TV

Kentron

Armnews

H2

Yerkir Media

ATV

Ararat

Shoghakat

H3

21 TV

Regional TV stations

AR TV

None

Don't know/No answer

First mentioned

All mentioned

Page 67: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which television news program do you watch most frequently?(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

67

32%

23%

15%

6%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

17%

<1%

62%

47%

46%

22%

9%

10%

9%

6%

2%

1%

3%

1%

<1%

17%

<1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Horizone (Shant)

Orakarg (H1)

Jame (Armenia)

Epikentron (Kentron)

Lurer (Armnews)

Lraber (H2)

Yerkirn Aisor (Yerkir Media)

Aisor (ATV)

Armnews-24 (Lurer)

Ore (H3)

Azdarar (AR TV)

Hai Lur (Ararat)

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

First mentioned

All mentioned

Page 68: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which television news program do you trust the most?(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

68

31%

23%

13%

5%

2%

2%

1%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

21%

1%

60%

43%

42%

20%

7%

9%

8%

2%

2%

5%

2%

1%

21%

1%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Horizone (Shant)

Orakarg (H1)

Jame (Armenia)

Epikentron (Kentron)

Lurer (Armnews)

Lraber (H2)

Yerkirn Aisor (Yerkir Media)

Armnews-24 (Lurer)

Ore (H3)

Aisor (ATV)

Azdarar (AR TV)

Hai Lur (Ararat)

None

Don't know/No answer

First mentioned

All mentioned

Page 69: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which television talk shows do you watch most frequently?(Three answers possible; spontaneous response)

69

26%

12%

11%

8%

6%

3%

2%

1%

<1%

<1%

<1%

28%

3%

45%

22%

29%

20%

15%

15%

6%

6%

4%

2%

<1%

28%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mi Vnasir (Shant)

Ekeq haskananq (H1)

Lav Ereko (H1)

Kisabats Lusamutner (ATV)

Hajkakan Urbat (Kentron)

Ete Bolore (H1)

Yerevan e Khosum (Armnews)

Barzradzain (Yerkir Media)

Batsardzak Arjeq (Armnews)

Chap u Sahman (Yerkir Media)

Other

None

Don't know/No answer

First mentioned

All mentioned

Page 70: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Is Armenian mass media free to express a variety of political views?

70

31% 49% 12% 3% 5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Totally free Somewhat free Not very free Not free at all Don't know/No answer

Page 71: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Why do you think that Armenian mass media is not free to express various political views?

(Respondents who think the media is not free: N=178)

71

39%

30%

20%

3%

8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Government puts pressure on media

Media is corrupt

Media does not report bad news

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 72: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

How many times per week do you access the internet?

72

48% 10% 7% 5% 4% 24% 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Aug-18

Every day 5-6 times per week 3-4 times per week 1-2 times per week

Less often Never Don't know/No answer

Page 73: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Where do you access the internet? (Multiple responses possible; internet users: N=907)

73

72%

69%

31%

17%

1%

4%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Home

Mobile phone

Work

Friends house

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 74: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

What internet sites do you visit most often to get news?(Internet users; three answers possible; spontaneous response: N=907)

74

31%

30%

22%

12%

10%

8%

6%

4%

4%

4%

4%

3%

3%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

10%

18%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

News.am

Azautyun.am

1in.am

Lurer.am

Mamul.am

Tert.am

Blocnews.am

Armnews

Hraparak.am

Shamshyan.am

CivilNet.am

Lragir.am

Sputnik.am

Info24.am

Kamoblog

Armedia

Zhoghovurd.am

Operative.am

Armtimes.com

Shant.am

Other

Don't know/No answer

Page 75: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Which social media sites do you use most often?(Internet users; three answers possible; spontaneous response: N=907)

75

81%

25%

8%

5%

5%

2%

1%

8%

5%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Facebook

Odnoklassniki

Vkontakte

LinkedIn

Twitter

Instagram

Other

None

Don’t know/No answer

Page 76: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Demographics

Page 77: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Demographics

77

46%

54%

23%

37%

40%

99%

1%

10%

41%

22%

27%

17%

5%

24%

4%

14%

7%

15%

14%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

Male

Female

18-29

30-49

50+

Armenian

Other

Primary/unfinished secondary

Secondary

Vocational

Higher/Incomplete higher

Blue collar

Farmer

White collar

Executive

Retired

Student

Housewife

Unemployed

GEN

DER

AG

EET

HN

ICG

RO

UP

ED

UC

AT

ION

OC

CU

PA

TIO

N

Page 78: Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia · Public Opinion Survey: Residents of Armenia July 23–August 15, 2018. Detailed Methodology 2 • The survey was coordinated by Dr

Demographics

78

94%

2%

3%

1%

37%

27%

36%

37%

4%

9%

9%

8%

8%

7%

8%

5%

4%

2%

0% 50% 100%

Armenian Apostolic

Catholic

Other

None

Yerevan

Other town

Rural area

Yerevan

Aragatson

Ararat

Armavir

Gegharkunik

Kotayk

Lori

Shirak

Syunik

Tavush

Vayots Dzor

RELIG

ION

SET

TLEM

EN

T T

YPE

REG

ION

S

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