public copy of mv theft_sept 11
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HHUNTERSVILLE PPOLICE
DDEPARTMENT 102 Gilead Road P.O. Box 664 Huntersville, N.C. 28070
(704) 464-5400 Fax (704) 947-9200Philip K. Potter, CLEE
Chief of Police
MONTHLY CRIME BULLETIN
Motor Vehicle TheftSeptember 2011
Activity Summary:
• There were four (4) motor vehicle thefts reported in September 2011. There were three (3) motor vehicle
thefts reported during the same time frame in 2010. This is a 33% increase from 2010 to 2011.
• The incidents occurred in the B3, C2 and D1 reporting tracts.
• All four incidents are open for further investigation.
Historically, HPD has an average of 6 motor vehicle thefts during the month of September with a current threshold of
4 to 8. This September, we were within the threshold with 4 reported MV Thefts.
Forecast for October:
The average number of MV Thefts for the month of October is 5 plus or minus 3. By the end of October, there is a
68% chance HPD will have received between 2 and 8 reported MV Thefts.
Prepared by: Laura Rooks, Crime AnalystSubmitted to: Philip K. Potter, Chief of Police
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4 Motor Vehicle Thefts Reported in September 2011
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MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT
September 2011
Geographic Analysis
Incidents per Reporting Tract Number of Crimes per Location
Incidents by Response Area
Location # % of totalCommercial 1 25%
Residential 3 75%
Church
Hotel/Motel
Roadway
4 100%
Tract # % of total
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B1
B2
B3 2 50%B4
C1
C2 1 25%
C3
C4
C5
C6
D1 1 25%D2
D3
D4
D5
99
4 100%
Beat # % of total
East 1
East 2 2 50%
East 3 1 25%
West 1
West 2
West 3 1 25% 4 100%
District # % of
total
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Temporal Analysis
# of Incidents/Day at Found Time Crimes Found by 4hr Intervals
Modus Operandi Analysis
Method of Entry
Forced or Non-forced Entries
Entry Type # % of total
Forced 1 25%Unforced 3 75%
Unknown
4 100%
Point of EntryPoint of Entry # % of total
Door (Driver) 3 75%
Door (Pass)
Day # % Total
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesda
y
Thursday 1 25%
Friday 2 50%
Saturday 1 25%
4 100%
Time Period # % per Allocation
0000-0359
0400-0759 1 25%0800-1159 1 25%
1200-1559 1 25%
1600-1959
2000-2359 1 25%
4 100%
Method # % of total
Broke Glass
Force DoorForced Window
Bodily Force
Pried/Jimmied Lock
No Force 3 75%
Other
Unknown 1 25%
4 100%
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Monthly Crime Analysis for September 2011
Motor Vehicle Theft
Tract Case # Address Date From: Time From: Date To: Time To: Common Name:
A1 None Reported
A2 None ReportedA3 None Reported
A4 None Reported
A5 None Reported
B1 None Reported
B2 None Reported
B3 110924225901
110930062002
Lavenham RdFirst St
9/24/119/29/11
14302000
9/24/119/30/11
22580615
B4 None Reported
C1 None Reported
C2 110929141001 Cimmaron Rd 9/28/11 1901 9/29/11 1308C3 None Reported
C4 None Reported
C5 None Reported
D1 110930100501 Statesville Rd 9/26/11 1000 9/30/11 0900
D2 None Reported
D3 None Reported
D4 None Reported
D5 None Reported
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Incidents per Month 2010 Compared to 2011
September and October Motor Vehicle Thefts Over Time
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
#
o f I n c i d e n t s
September
October
NC = Non-Calculable
Comparison of # of Incidents in September to # of Incidents in October over time
Month Year # of Incidents Month Year # of Incidents Mean # Change by Month
September 2005 8 October 2005 12 10 +4
September 2006 7 October 2006 3 5 -4
September 2007 7 October 2007 5 6 -2
September 2008 5 October 2008 3 4 -2September 2009 6 October 2009 3 4.5 -3
September 2010 3 October 2010 4 3.5 +1
Standard Deviation from Mean in incidents # for 2005-2010 +-2.36 Standard Deviation for change inincidents # b/w Sept and Oct:
+-2.96
Month Year # of Incidents
% Change
September 2010 3September 2011 4 33%