MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2017, 8:00 A.M.1. Plenary Lecture 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2017, 10:00 A.M.1. Plenary Lecture 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)1. Plenary Lecture 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2017, 1:30 P.M.1. Special Session 1 - Bayesian Inference for PRA, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)1. External Events Analysis, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21352 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Effective Use of PRA Walkdown Information for Integrated External Hazard Risk Model Development, Richard C. Anoba (Jensen Hughes, Inc.)21813 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): DETERMINATION OF RIVER WATER LEVEL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY CURVES, Gerhard Manfred Schoen, Rainer Christoph Hausherr, Annette Ramezanian (Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate, ENSI)21855 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): NPP CONTROL ROOM HABITABILITY ASSESSMENT DUE TO AN ACCIDENTAL TOXIC RELEASE FROM AN EXTERNAL EVENT APPLYING PROBABILISTIC APPROACH. PART 1: ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION., antonio gomez (UPC), guillem cortes (Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya)22211 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): A PSA for External Events Endangering Water Intake from the River Danube at NPP Paks, Tamas Siklossy, Attila Bareith (NUBIKI Nuclear Safety Research Institute Ltd.)1. High Winds PSA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21816 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Integrated Use of Modeling and Simulation in High Winds PRA, Stephen M. Hess (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Steven Prescott, Curtis L. Smith (INL), Linyu Lin (NCSU), Rampath Sam (Centroid Lab), Nam Dinh (NCSU), Niels Montanari (Centroid Lab)21817 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Plant Walkdown Guidance to Support High Winds Probabilistic Risk Assessments, Leo B. Shanley, Kelly Wright (JENSEN HUGHES), Doug Smith (Texas Tech University), Hasan Charkas (EPRI), Nick Lovelace (JENSEN HUGHES)21883 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): EXCESSIVE RISK CONSERVATISM IN HIGH WIND PRA, Hadi Hadavi (Duke Energy)21892 (25m) (Accept): Improved Tornado Missile Risk Analysis Using Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis of Nuclear Power Plant Structures, Claudia Navarro-Northrup, Robert T. Bocchieri, Virginia Phan, Jeffrey C. Sciaudone, Lawrence A. Twisdale (Applied Research Associates, Inc.)1. Seismic PSA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

21714 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Methodology of Treatment of Multiple Failure Initiating Events for Seismic PRA (1) Establishment of Analysis Methodology and Trial Analysis of Core Damage Frequency, yuki kameko (Tokyo City University Graduate school of Engineering Cooperative Major in Nuclear), Ken Muramatsu, Hitoshi Muta, Tatsuya Kunishi (Tokyo City University)21793 (25m) (Accept): Quantification of Plant-level HCLPF Capacity in PSA-based SMA, Zhaoliang Wang (Canadian Nucl Safety Comm)21801 (25m) (Accept): Insights from the Application of the Hybrid Approach to Seismic Human Reliability Analysis at the Oconee Nuclear Station, Erin Collins, Elizabeth Cook (JENSEN HUGHES), Scott Hollingsworth, David Garland, Russell Childs (Duke Oconee Nuclear Station), Paul J. Amico (JENSEN HUGHES)21860 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Methodology of Treatment of Multiple Failure Initiating Events for Seismic PRA (2)Success Criteria Analysis for Multiple Pipe Break Accidents of a PWR, Tatsuya Kunishi (Tokyo City University Graduate School of Engineering Cooperative Major in Nuclear Energy), Yuki Kameko, Hitoshi Muta, Ken Muramatu (Tokyo City University)

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25, 2017, 3:40 P.M.1. Special Session 2 - MUPRA Advances, Issues, Impediments and Promise, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)1. Dynamic PSA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21840 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): DYNAMIC EVENT TREE GENERATION WITH RAVEN - MAAP5 USING FINITE STATE MACHINE SYSTEM MODELS, Claudia Picoco, Tunc Aldemir (Ohio State), Valentin Rychkov (...lectricité de France)21881 (25m) (Accept): LOCAL FUSION OF AN ENSEMBLE OF SEMI-SUPERVISED SELF ORGANIZING MAPS FOR POST-PROCESSING ACCIDENTAL SCENARIOS, Francesco Di Maio, Roberta Rossetti, Enrico Zio (Politecnico di Milano)21992 (25m) (Accept): IDPSA approach to assess the potential of a thermally induced steam generator tube rupture, Martina Kloos, Joerg Peschke (Gesellschaft f. Anlagen u. Reaktorsich)22197 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Dynamic approach on multi-unit Probabilistic Risk Assessment using continuous Markov and Monte Carlo method, Sunghyon Jang, Akira Yamaguchi (Univ of Tokyo)22267 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Surrogate Model Selection in RAVEN for Seismic Dynamic PRA/PSA, Brian E. Cohn, Jieun Hur (Ohio State), Richard S. Denning (Richard Denning, Consultant), Tunc Aldemir, Halil Sezen (Ohio State)1. Modeling and Simulation 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21911 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Implementation of the RCP SHIELD Seal Model in the Comanche Peak PRA, Nathan Larson, Aaron Moreno, Daniel Tirsun (Westinghouse)22194 (25m) (Accept): Coupling Smoothed-Particle Hydrodynamics and Torricelli's law-based hydraulic models for flooding risk analysis, Niels Montanari (Centroid Lab), Ramprasad Sampath (Centroid Pic), John E. Weglian (EPRI), Robert J. Wolfgang, Donald A. Dube (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Curtis L. Smith, Steven Prescott (INL)

22270 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Convolution Correction Factor Adjustments on Static PRA Models for Event Assessment, James Knudsen, Ted Wood, Steven Prescott, Curtis L. Smith, John Schroeder (INL)22034 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): ACCIDENTS, NEAR MISSES, AND PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS: ON THE USE OF CCDPS IN ENTERPRISE RISK MANAGEMENT, Nathan O. Siu, Kevin A. Coyne, John A. Nakoski, Christopher Hunter (NRC)22258 (25m) (Accept): GLOBAL IMPORTANCE MEASURE METHODOLOGY FOR INTEGRATED PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT, Tatsuya Sakurahara (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign), Zahra Mohaghegh, Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Ernest Kee (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)1. Seismic PSA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22431 (25m) (Accept): PROBABILISTIC FAULT DISPLACEMENT HAZARD ANALYSIS FOR REGULATORY DECISION-MAKING: A CASE-STUDY FOR KRŠKO, SLOVENIA, Richard Quittmeyer, Ali Fatehi, Jose Blanco, Paul C. Rizzo (RIZZO Associates), Milos Bavec (Geološki zavod Slovenije), Igor Riznar (Consultant), Mojca Planinc (GEN energija)21901 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): CORRELATION OF EQUIPMENT FAILURES IN SEISMIC PRAS, Robert William Drsek (FirstEnergy), Eddie Guerra (RIZZO Associates), Sean A. McGhee, Tony A. Mangan, K. Raymond Fine (FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Company)21941 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): AN ORIGINAL APPROACH TO DERIVE SEISMIC FRAGILITY CURVES - APPLICATION TO A PWR MAIN STEAM LINE, Nadia Rahni (IRSN (French Institute for Nuclear Safety)), Maria Lancieri, Christophe Clement, Georges Nahas, Julien Clement, Lionel Vivan, Yves Guigueno, Emmanuel Raimond (IRSN), Thomas Chartier (ENS), Marine Marcilhac, Thierry Yalamas (Phimeca Engineering)22261 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Seismic PRA Fragility Sensitivity Studies, Lawrence A. Mangan (FirstEnergy), Eddie Guerra (RIZZO Associates), Robert William Drsek (FirstEnergy), Sean McGhee, K. Raymond Fine (FirstEnergy Corporation)22230 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Seismic Evaluation of Auxiliary Buildings and Effects of 3D Locational Dynamic Response in SPRA, Jieun Hur, Eric Althoff, Halil Sezen, Tunc Aldemirc (Ohio State), Richard S. Denning (Research Consultant)

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2017, 8:00 A.M.1. Plenary Lecture 4, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2017, 9:00 A.M.1. Special Session 3 - 50.69, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)1. Fire PSA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22015 (25m) (Accept): Lessons Learned Applying NRC-Approved Methods For Incipient Detection Credit in Fire PRA, Richard Stremple, Sum Leung, F. William Etzel, K. Raymond Fine (FENOC), Brian J. Krystek (Engineering Planning and Management, Inc.)

20215 (25m) (Accept): STATISTICAL CHARACTERIZATION OF THE TIME TO REACH PEAK HEAT RELEASE RATE FOR NUCLEAR POWER PLANT ELECTRICAL ENCLOSURE FIRES, Raymond H. Gallucci (NRC)21250 (25m) (Accept): Statistical Characterization of Heat Release Rates from Electrical Enclosure Fires for Nuclear Power Plant Applications, Raymond H. Gallucci, Brian Metzger (NRC)1. High Winds PSA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21790 (25m) (Accept): An Estimation Method for Tornado Missile Strike Probability under Assumption of Statistically Isotropic Tornado Path Directions, Yuzuru Eguchi, Soichiro Sugimoto, Yasuo Hattori, Takahiro Murakami, Hiromaru Hirakuchi (CRIEPI)21806 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Comparison of Tornado Missile Fragilities Developed Using TORMIS and Simplified Methods, Jeffrey Charles Sciaudone, Lawrence A. Twisdale, Thomas B. Dombrosky (Applied Research Associates, Inc.), Marshall B. Hardy (A)22205 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): HIGH WIND PRA KEY INSIGHTS AND UNCERTAINTIES, Nicholas William Lovelace (Jensen Hughes), Lawrence A. Twisdale (Applied Research Associates, Inc.), Matt Johnson (Jensen Hughes)1. LPSD, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21830 (25m) (Accept): Phenomena Identification Ranking Technique (PIRT) for Determination of Low Power Shutdown PRA Priorities, Garill A. Coles (PNNL), Steve M. Short (Pacific Northwest National Laboratories)22215 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Low Power and Shutdown PSA for High Temperature gas-cooled reactor, Tao Liu (INET, Tsinghua University), Tong Jiejuan, ZHAO Jun (INET of Tsinghua University, Beijing, China)22538 (25m) (Accept): Is Green Good Enough? Managing Shutdown Risk in Generation III+ Nuclear Power Plants, Aaron Moreno, Nathan Larson (Westinghouse), Kenneth L. Kiper (Westinghouse Electric Co. LLC)1. Seismic PSA 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22113 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): QUALITATIVE APPROACH TO GRASP WHOLE RISK PROFILE OF MULTI-UNIT SITE, Haruhiro Nomura (The Kansai Electric Power Company), Yoshiyuki Narumiya (The Kansai Electric Power Co.,Inc.), Kensuke Toyoshima, Satoshi Shinzaki, Masayuki Hijiya (Nuclear Engineering, LTD), Akira Yamaguchi (Univ of Tokyo)22163 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): SEISMIC PROBABILISTIC SAFETY ASSESSMENTS - AN INDUSTRY PROFESSIONAL'S PERSPECTIVE, Lawrence Salomone (Pinnacle Specialty Group, Inc.)22174 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): SEISMIC FRAGILITY EVALUATION OF REINFORCED CONCRETE WALLS WITH ARBITRARY SHAPES IN PLAN, Enrique Bazan-Zurita, Yigit Isbiliroglu, Bradley Yagla (RIZZO Associates)

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2017, 10:45 A.M.1. Risk Aggregation 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21842 (25m) (Accept): DATA-MINING APPROACH for VALIDATION of PSA MODELS, Gennadi Loskoutov, Per Erik Hellstroem, Christian Karlsson (Swedish Radiation Safety Authority)

22158 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Risk Aggregation, Smain Yalaoui, Yolande Akl (Canadian Nucl Safety Comm), Marina Roewekamp (Gesellschaft fuer Anlagen- undd Reaktorsicherheit (GRS)), Daniel Hudson (NRC)22161 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): A Hierarchical Tree-Based Decision Making Approach for Assessing the Trustworthiness of Risk Assessment Models, Tasneem Adeeb BANI-MUSTAFA, Nicola Pedroni, Enrico Zio (Ecole Centrale Paris), Dominique Vasseur, Francois Beaudouin (EdF)1. Fire PSA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21910 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): ON MODELING THE PERFORMANCE OF MANUAL FIRE PROTECTION ACTIONS IN FIRE PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT, Tatsuya Sakurahara, Justin T. Pence, Zahra Mohaghegh, Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Ernest J. Kee (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)21965 (25m) (Accept): HIGH ENERGY ARC FAULTS (HEAF) AND THEIR IMPACT ON PRA FOR A NUCLEAR POWER PLANT -LATEST INTERNATIONAL OPERATING EXPERIENCE AND RESEARCH ACTIVITIES, Marina L. Roewekamp (Gesellschaft f. Anlagen u. Reaktorsich), Nicholas Melly, Mark Henry Salley (United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research)22408 (25m) (Accept): Development of Fire PRA Guide for Japanese NPPs, Tsuyoshi Uchida, Toshiyuki ZAMA (Nuclear Risk Research Center, CRIEPI), Hiroyuki TAKEUCHI (Toshiba), Shingo ODA (Hitachi GE Nuclear Energy), Kakujiro KADOYA (Mitsubishi), Daniel FUNK (Jensen Hughes), Mardy KAZARIANS (Kazarians & Associates, Inc.)1. Risk-Informed Decision Making 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22106 (25m) (Accept): ENHANCED GUIDANCE ON INTEGRATED RISK-INFORMED DECISION-MAKING, Donald A. Dube, Gareth W. Parry, Doug E. True, Stuart R. Lewis (JENSEN HUGHES), Fernando Ferrante (EPRI), James R. Chapman (Jim Chapman Risk LLC)22231 (25m) (Accept): Probabilistic Risk Assessment Usage in Support of Plant Operations and Management, Christopher Pupek, Suzanne Loyd, Gregory T. Zucal, Mark Cursey (Jensen Hughes)22252 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Knowledge Management at the U.S. NRC, Suzanne Dennis (NRC)1. ATF, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22169 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Assessing the Business Case for Accident Tolerant Fuel, Stephen M. Hess, Jeffrey R. Gabor (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Jennifer Uhle, Tom Elicson, Garrett Geiger (JENSEN HUGHES)22637 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Estimating Benefits of Associated with Transitioning to Accident Tolerant Fuel, Raymond E. Schneider (Westinghouse STD), N. R. LaBarge, Hans Van De Berg, Martin Van Haltern, Zeses Karoutas, Javier Romero (Westinghouse Electric Corporation)22840 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Risk Implication of Using Accident Tolerant Fuels in LWRS, Koroush Shirvan (MIT), Carl (Rick) Grantom (C. R. Grantom P.E. & Assoc. LLC)1. Data and Parameter Estimation 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22138 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Specification of Prior in Empirical Bayes Estimation through Bayesian Deconvolution for Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Andrei Gribok, Vivek Agarwal, Vaibhav Yadav (INL)

22220 (25m) (Accept): METHODOLOGY FOR MODELING MANUAL VALVE PLUGGING FAILURES IN PRA, Nicole Passmore (Enercon), Jill Soniker (Dominion Generation)22254 (25m) (Accept): Bayes, Data and NUREG_CR-6928 Caveats, Carroll A. Trull (Westinghouse STD), Nathan Larson, Craig Navas (Westinghouse)

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2017, 1:30 P.M.1. Special Session 4 - ATF Panel, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)1. HRA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21764 (25m) (Accept): Reassessment of Operator Actions Claimed in the Sizewell B Living PSA, Christopher Edward Eames, John Collins (EDF Energy)23774 (25m) (Accept): Human Reliability Analysis in CAP1400 Nuclear Power Plant, Qiu Yongping, He Jiandong, Hu Juntao, Zhuo Yucheng, He Jie (SNERDI)21787 (25m) (Accept): Statistical Approaches to Estimation of Nominal HEPs using Simulation Data, Yochan Kim, Jinkyun Park, Wondea Jung (KAERI–Korea)21852 (25m) (Accept): Lessons Learned in Fire PRA Human Reliability Analysis, Pierre E. Macheret (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Nicholas Lovelace (JENSEN HUGHES)1. Risk Aggregation 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22243 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Beyond Basic Events: Measuring the Importance of Hidden PRA Items of Interest, Gregory T. Zucal (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Andrew Miller (JENSEN HUGHES)22424 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): MULTI �-HAZARD RISK AGGREGATION IN SUPPORT OF RISK �-INFORMED DECISION MAKING, Andrea Maioli (Westinghouse Electric Co. LLC), Robert Boyer (Duke Energy), Eric A. Thornsbury (JENSEN HUGHES), Stanley Levinson (AREVA)22425 (25m) (Accept): FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF A FRAMEWORK FOR ADDRESSING SITE INTEGRATED RISK, Andrea Maioli (Westinghouse Electric Co. LLC), Adriana A. Sivori, Ken L. Kiper, David S. Teolis (Westinghouse)21767 (25m) (Accept): MULTI-UNIT ACCIDENT EFFECTS ON SAFETY GOAL QUANTITATIVE HEALTH OBJECTIVES: INSIGHTS FROM A TWO-UNIT CASE STUDY INVOLVING TWO REPRESENTATIVE U.S. NUCLEAR POWER PLANT SITES, Daniel Hudson (NRC), Mohammad Modarres (Univ of Maryland)1. Dynamic PSA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22272 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Generation of Timed-fault Tree from Prime Implicants of Dynamic Flowgraph Method, CHIREUDING ZELIANG, Lixuan Lu (Univ of Ontario Inst of Tech)22407 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): The ADS-IDAC Dynamic PSA Platform with Dynamically Linked System Fault Trees, Mihai A. Diaconeasa, Ali Mosleh (UCLA)22439 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): DEVELOPMENT AND ASSESSMENT OF INTEGRATED SITE RISK USING THE MULTI-UNIT DYNAMIC PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT (MU-DPRA) METHODOLOGY, Matthew L. Dennis (University of Maryland College Park), Mohammad Modarres (Univ of Maryland), Ali Mosleh (University of California, Los Angles)1. Seismic PSA 4, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

22388 (25m) (Accept): SYSTEMS-BASED SEISMIC CONTACT CHATTER ANALYSIS, Eric J. Jorgenson, Robert E. Miller (Enercon Services, Inc.), Parthasarathy Chandran (Southern Company)22394 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): ANALYSIS AND EXAMINATION FOR DEVELOPING FAULT DISPLACEMENT PRA METHODOLOGY, Katsumi Ebisawa (Central Research Inst of Elec Pwr Industry), Hideaki Tsutsumi (CRIEPI), Ryusuke Haraguchi, Kunihiko Sato, Futoshi Tanaka, Daisuke Ochi (Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Ltd.), Yoshinori Mihara (Kajima Corporation), Shinichi Yoshida (Obayashi Corporation)22402 (25m) (Accept): IN-CABINET AMPLIFICATION FACTOR FOR RELAY FRAGILITY ANALYSIS IN SEISMIC PRAs, Stephen Eder (FACILITY RISK CONSULTANTS INC.), Kenneth Whitmore (Enercon Services, Inc.)22410 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Evaluation of Interinfluence between Adjacent Units in seismic PRA, Shuhei Matsunaka (TEPCO Systems Corp), Hiroshi Abe (Tepco Systems Corporation, Inc.), Manabu Watanabe, Yoshihiro Oyama (Tokyo Electronic Power Company Holdings, Inc.)

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 26, 2017, 3:40 P.M.1. PyCATSHOO, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)1. Data and Parameter Estimation 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22282 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Estimation of Manually Recoverable Fraction of Common Cause Failures of Motor Operated Valves, Young G. Jo (Southern Nuclear Operating Company)22257 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Handling Room Cooling in PRA, Carroll A. Trull (Westinghouse STD), Daniel M. Tirsun (Westinghouse Electric Co. LLC)22386 (25m) (Accept): EXPERT ELICITATION PROCESS FOR ISLOCA MODELING - SUCCESSES, CHALLENGES, AND LESSONS LEARNED, Steven M. Short, William Ivans (PNNL)21704 (25m) (Accept): Treatment of Expert Opinion Diversity in Bayesian Belief Network Model for Nuclear Digital I&C Safety Software Reliability Assessment, Ming Li (The US NRC), Hyun Gook Kang (RPI), Seung Jun Lee (Ulsan Natl Inst Sci Tech), Sang Hun Lee (RPI), Tsong-Lun Chu, Athi Varuttamaseni, Meng Yue (BNL), Jaehyun Cho (KAERI–Korea)21705 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Analysis on the Important Indicators in Bayesian Belief Network Model for RPS Software Reliability Assessment, Sang Hun Lee (RPI), Tsong-Lun Chu, Athi Varuttamaseni, Meng Yue (BNL), Jaehyun Cho (KAERI–Korea), Ming Li (The US NRC), Seung Jun Lee (Ulsan Natl Inst Sci Tech), Hyun Gook Kang (RPI)1. Risk-Informed Decision Making 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22105 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): EXELON ECONOMIC ENTERPRISE RISK MODELING OF A BWR, Donald A. Dube, Brian Albinson, Robert J. Wolfgang, Michael Saunders (JENSEN HUGHES), Gregory A. Krueger (Exelon Generation)21687 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): PRA Insights Relating to the Loss of Electrical Sources - A WGRISK Survey, Jeanne-Marie Lanore (IRSN (French Institute for Nuclear Saf), François Corenwinder, Gabriel Georgescu (Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), Fontenay-aux-Roses, France), Attila Bareith (NUBIKI Nuclear Safety Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary), Kevin Coyne (U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC, United States

of), Milan Patrik (ÚJV REZ, Husinec-Rez, Czech Republic), Per Hellstrom (Swedish Radiation Safety Authority (SSM), Stockholm, Sweden), Marina Roewekamp (Gesellschaft fuer Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) gGmbH, Köln, Germany)21779 (25m) (Accept): Risk Methodology for Assessment of Fuel Debris Retrieval Options at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station, William J. Ivans, Bruce Napier, Michael Smith, Eva Mart, Sandra Snyder (PNNL), Mari Marianne Uematsu, Masahiko Kakami (Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Corporation)22427 (25m) (Accept): Risk Analysis Framework for Severe Accident Mitigation Strategy in Nordic BWR: an Approach to Communication and Decision Support, Sergey Galushin, Dmitry Grishchenko, Pavel Kudinov (KTH)22436 (25m) (Accept): ENHANCING SAFETY ASSOCIATED WITH POST FUKUSHIMA MODIFICATIONS:, Sunil D. Weerakkody (NRC)1. Risk-Informed Applications 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22262 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): SPATIO-TEMPORAL PROBABILISTIC METHODOLOGY TO ESTIMATE LOCATION-SPECIFIC LOSS OF COOLANT ACCIDENT FREQUENCIES : CASE STUDY TO RANK PARAMETERS OF STRESS CORROSION CRACKING, wenchi Cheng, Chenghao Ding, Nicholas O'shea, Tatsuya Sakurahara, Grant Schumock, Zahra Mohaghegh, Seyed Reihani, Ernie J. Kee (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Nuclear, Plasma, and Radiological Engineering)22266 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Integrating Risk and Engineering Skills for 10 CFR 50.69 System Categorization, Brian Nolan (JENSEN HUGHES), David Passehl (Jensen Hughes)22268 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Lessons Learned From Development of the 10 CFR 50.69 LAR for Exelon Plants Using the Efficiency Bulletin 17-09 Template, David Passehl (Jensen Hughes), Shannon Rafferty-Czincila, Eugene (Gene) Kelly (Exelon Generation Company), Barry D. Sloane (Jensen Hughes), Philip Tarpinian (Exelon)22269 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Insights from Exelon 50.69 Passive Categorization Pilot at Limerick Generation Station, David Bidwell (Jensen Hughes), Maricarmen Trexler (Exelon Generation Company), Barry D. Sloane (Jensen Hughes)22730 (25m) (Accept): 10 CFR 50.69 GENERIC CATEGORIZATION PROCESS DEVELOPMENT, David S. Teolis, Ryan Griffin (Westinghouse), Ogden Sawyer (AREVA, Inc.), Ralph J. Chackal (Associated Engineering Resoureces, Inc.)1. Seismic PSA 5, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22216 (25m) (Accept): Integrating Physical Degradation Modeling within the Seismic Fragility Analysis of Nuclear Power Plant Equipment, Wei Wang (Politecnico di Milano), Sai Zhang (Tsinghua Univ)22429 (25m) (Accept): Relay Chatter in Seismic PRAs, Andrea Maioli, Clarence Worrell, David Gerlits, Steven Satter (Westinghouse), Andrew Masiunas (Stevenson & Associates, a Jensen Huges Company), Mark Etre (Stevenson & Associates, a Jensen Huges Company,)22444 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): How to find synergy between different teams in a seismic PRA project, Parthasarathy Chandran, Patrick Fussell (Southern Nuclear Operating Company), Adam Blood (Empyream Services)22445 (25m) (Accept): An effective and efficient methodology to update the seismic fragilities of over different seismic hazard updates, Parthasarathy Chandran (Southern Nuclear Operating

Comapny), Benny Jebuna Ratnagaran (Southern Nucleat Operating Company), Adam Blood (Empyrean Services)22802 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Recent Advances in Seismic Fragilities for SPRAs, Greg S. Hardy (Simpson Gumpertz & Heger Inc.), John Richards (EPRI)

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2017, 8:00 A.M.1. Plenary Lecture 5, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2017, 9:00 A.M.1. Risk Aggregation 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22263 (25m) (Accept): SPATIO-TEMPORAL PROBABILISTIC METHODOLOGY FOR COMMON CAUSE FAILURE MODELING IN RISK ANALYSIS, Tatsuya Sakurahara (Univ of Illinois), Grant Schumock (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign), Zahra Mohaghegh, Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Ernest J. Kee (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign)22153 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): A Framework for Assessing Combinations of Hazards in a Probabilistic Safety Analysis, Halbert Taekema, Hans Brinkman (NRG)21894 (25m) (Accept): Issues in Dependency Modeling in Multi-Unit Seismic PRA, Taotao Zhou, Mohammad Modarres, Enrique Droguett (Univ of Maryland)1. Human Factors and Behavioral Sciences, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22139 (25m) (Accept): Optimizing Human Performance through Systems Engineering: Lessons from the UK Defence Sector, Kelly Davies (Corporate Risk Associates Limited), Clare Leslie Borras (CRA)22183 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Functional Allocation to Balance the Requirements of Humans and Automation, Les Ainsworth (Corporate Risk Associates)21857 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): The fidelity of human reliability data collected from training simulators - Comparing with human reliability data identified from operation experience, Jinkyun Park, Yochan Kim, Wondea Jung (KAERI–Korea)1. Level 2 and Level 3 PSA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21833 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Protective Systems: An Application of Regulatory Guidance for ECCS Sump Performance, Wen-Chi Cheng, Tatsuya Sukarahara, ZiHui Gu, Zahra Mohaghegh (Univ of Illinois), Rodolfo Vaghetto (Texas A&M), Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Timothy M. Crook (Transatomic Power Corporation), Martin Wortman (Texas A&M), Dominic Munoz (Alion Sci Technol), Fatma Yilmaz (STP), William E. Schulz (STP Nucl Operating Co), David H. Johnson (B.John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences, UCLA,), Vera Moiseytseva (YK.Risk)21899 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): FULL RISK-INFORMED RESOLUTION OF THE GSI-191: SIMULATIONS OF LOCA SCENARIOS USING RELAP5-3D AND MELCOR, Rodolfo Vaghetto, Ernest J. Kee (Texas A&M), Timothy M. Crook (Transatomic Power Corporation), Yassin A. Hassan (Texas A&M)

22123 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Modeling of SiC Cladding Behavior during Severe Accidents, Wison Luangdilok (Fauske & Assoc), Peng Xu (Westinghouse)1. High Winds PSA 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22219 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Progressive Failure of Turbine Building Cladding in High Winds, Sudhan S. Banik, Lawrence A. Twisdale, Peter Vickery, Shahriar Quayyum (Applied Research Associates, Inc.)22922 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Wind-Driven Rain Modeling, Fragility, and Plant Response Analysis, Peter Vickery, Lawrence A. Twisdale, Abby Liu (Applied Research Associates, Inc.), Sudhan Banik (Applied Research Associates, Inc,.), Art Mironenko, Michael S. Kitlan (Duke Energy Corp.), Nicholas Lovelace (JENSEN HUGHES)22160 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Non-Parametric Method for Wind Pressure Fragility Analysis, Lawrence A. Twisdale (Applied Research Associates, Inc.)1. Seismic PSA 6, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22484 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): SPRA Alternate Screening Method, Robert E. Miller (ENERCON), Parthasarathy Chandran (Southern Nuclear Company)22545 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Seismic PSA of WWER440 Type Reactors in Slovakia, Zoltan Kovacs (RELKO Ltd), Robert Spenlinger (RELKO LTD)22644 (25m) (Accept): Updates to the EPRI Seismic-induced Fire and Flood Methodology Resulting from Pilot Application, Paul J. Amico, Pierre E. Macheret (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Robert Kassawara (EPRI)

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2017, 10:45 A.M.1. Risk Aggregation 4, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22186 (25m) (Accept): TREATING COMMON-CAUSE FAILURES IN MULTI-UNIT PRAs, Sai Zhang, Jiejuan Tong (Tsinghua Univ)21900 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Parametric Estimation of Multi-Unit Dependencies, Taotao Zhou, Mohammad Modarres (Univ of Maryland)22434 (25m) (Accept): Exploring the Need for Standard Approaches to Addressing Risk Associated with Multi-Module Operation in Plants using Small Modular Reactors, Mark A. Caruso (NRC)1. Uncertainty Analysis and Modeling, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22127 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Interpretation of PSA results using semantic analysis of minimal cutsets, Gennadi Loskoutov, Per Erik Hellstroem (Swedish Radiation Safety Authority)21861 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis of LSTF Small Break LOCA Tests Using RELAP5 and RAVEN, Ikuo Kinoshita (Institute of Nuclear Safety System, Inc), Cristian Rabiti, Andrea Alfonsi (INL)22235 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Simple Method to Account for the State of Knowledge Correlation, Michael Lloyd (Risk Informed Solutions Consult. Svcs.), Ross C. Anderson (ENERCON), Jason Hall (Entergy), David S. Teolis (Westinghouse)

1. Configuration Risk Management, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22249 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Lessons Learned in the Development of an At-Power Risk Monitor for the AP1000® Plant, Nathan Larson, Rachel Christian (Westinghouse)22443 (25m) (Accept): The Instantaneous LOOP Frequency, Ross C. Anderson (ENERCON Services, Inc.), Jason Hall (ENTERGY, Arkansas Nuclear One), Michael Lloyd (Risk Informed Solutions)22470 (25m) (Accept): Lessons Learned from Incorporating Temporary Equipment into the Palo Verde Configuration Risk Management Program Using NEI 16-06, Michael Wittas (Palo Verde Nuclear Generating Station), Michael E. Powell (Arizona Public Service)1. Risk-Informed Applications 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21778 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): TECHNICAL SPECIFICATION SURVEILLANCE REQUIREMENT FREQUENCY IMPROVEMENTS IN NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS VIA RISK-INFORMED INITIATIVE-5B APPROACH, John Thomas Kitzmiller, Luyen Nguyen (Westinghouse)22132 (25m) (Accept): CENTRALIZATION OF SURVEILLANCE FREQUENCY CONTROL PROGRAM FOR ENHANCED EFFICIENCY, Nicholas C. Sternowski (JENSEN HUGHES), Jenna Burr (Exelon Corporation)22221 (25m) (Accept): Implementation of a Risk-Informed Surveillance Frequency Control Program for the NextEra Energy Nuclear Fleet, Thomas A. Morgan (Enercon Services), Loren Heistand (NextEra Energy), Anil K. Julka (NEXTera Energy)1. PSA Standards and Peer Reviews, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22244 (25m) (Accept): INSIGHTS INTO NEW 2017 REVISION OF ASME/ANS PRA STANDARD PART 5 - SEISMIC, Eddie Misael Guerra (RIZZO Associates), Andrea Maioli (Westinghouse), Stephen Eder (Facility Risk Consultants), Annie Kammerer (Annie Kammerer Consulting)22222 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): The Use of Comprehensive In-Process Peer Reviews in Support of the UK ABWR PSA Generic Design Assessment Process, Thomas A. Morgan (Enercon Services), Dennis W. Henneke (GE Hitach), Eric J. Jorgenson (Enercon Services), Yunlong Li (GE Hitachi Nuclear), Glen Seeman (GE Hitachi), Cassandra L. Ruch (GE Hitachi Nuclear)22264 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): PRA Peer Review Finding Closure via Independent Assessment, David Passehl (Jensen Hughes), Larry Naron, Jeffrey Stone (Exelon Generation Company), Paul J. Amico, Barry D. Sloane (Jensen Hughes)

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2017, 1:30 P.M.1. HRA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21875 (25m) (Accept): APPROACH TO HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR HIGH WINDS EVENTS, Elizabeth Cook, Erin Collins (JENSEN HUGHES)21903 (25m) (Accept): Final Conclusions and Lessons Learned from Testing the Integrated Human Event Analysis System for Nuclear Power Plant Internal Events At-Power Application, Huafei Liao (SNL), Stephanie Morrow (NRC), Gareth Parry (Jensen Hughes), Dennis Bley (The WreathWood Group), Lawrence Criscione (NRC), Mary R. Presley (EPRI)

22135 (25m) (Accept): Lessons Learned in HRA Dependency Analysis, Joshua S. Beckton (Westinghouse Electric Co. LLC), Mark Wilk (Westinghouse)22184 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Improving quantitative data on performance shaping factors, Les Ainsworth (Corporate Risk Associates)1. Fukushima Lessons Learned, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21844 (25m) (Accept): Mass Relocations after Nuclear Disasters, Vicki Marion Bier (Univ of Wisconsin, Madison), Andrew Nosek (NRC)22129 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): MAAP5 RCIC Model Benchmark Against the Fukushima-Daiichi Unit 2 (1F2) RCIC Performance, Christopher E. Henry, Robert E. Henry, Jaehyok Lim (Fauske & Associates, LLC)22300 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): OVERVIEW OF THE MAAP5 BENCHMARK WITH FUKUSHIMA DAIICHI UNIT 2 (1F2), Christopher E. Henry (Fauske & Associates, LLC)22207 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): Quantitative Risk Assessment for Process of Fuel Assembly Retrieval from Spent Fuel Pool in Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant Decommissioning, Akira Yamaguchi, Sunghyon Jang (Univ of Tokyo), Kazuki Hida (Nuclear Damage Compensation and Decommissioning Facilitation Coportaion), Yasunori Yamanaka (TEPCO holdings), Yoshiyuki Narumiya (The Kansai Electric Power Company, Incorporated)1. Level 2 and Level 3 PSA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22515 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Reconsidering the Likelihood of LERF Due to Liner Melt-Through in Short Term SBO Scenarios, Donald E. Vanover, Robert J. Wolfgang (Jensen Hughes, Inc.)22623 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): MELCOR Independent Confirmatory Analyses for New Reactor Design Certification, Jason Schaperow, Marie Pohida, Shawn Campbell (NRC)22148 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): Advanced Containment Design to Enhance Passive Safety through Phoretic Deposition Phenomena - Preliminary Findings from Empirical Studies, Sola Talabi (Pittsburgh Technical)22239 (25m) (Accept): SPATIO-TEMPORAL SOCIO-TECHNICAL RISK ANALYSIS METHODOLOGY: AN APPLICATION IN EMERGENCY RESPONSE, Ha H. Bui (UIUC), Justin T. Pence, Zahra Mohaghegh, Ernie Kee (Univ of Illinois)1. Non-Light Water Reactor Safety, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21828 (25m) (Accept): Development of a Design-Stage PRA for the Xe-100, Alexander J. Huning (X Energy, LLC.), Zen Y. Wang (X-Energy, LLC.), Karl Fleming (Technology Insights)22000 (25m) (Accept): EVALUATING RISK MEASURES FOR NON-LWR PRA, Yunlong Li, Jordan Hagaman, Dennis W. Henneke, Gary Miller, Glen Seeman (GE Hitachi Nuclear)22001 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): IDENTIFICATION OF RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT NEEDS FOR NON-LWR PRA, Jordan Hagaman, Dennis W. Henneke, Gary Miller, Jonathan Li, Matthew Warner, James Young (GE Hitachi Nuclear)22226 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): PRELIMINARY FUNCTIONAL SAFETY ASSESSMENT FOR MOLTEN SALT FAST REACTORS IN THE FRAMEWORK OF THE SAMOFAR PROJECT, Anna Chiara Uggenti (Politecnico di Torino-Italy), Delphine Gérardin (LPSC-IN2P3-CNRS), Andrea Carpignano,

Sandra Dulla (Politecnico di Torino-Italy), Elsa Merle, Daniel Heuer, Axel Laureau, Michel Allibert (LPSC-IN2P3-CNRS)1. Flooding PSA 1, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21715 (25m) (Accept): NPP flooding due to a dam failure : Teachings, Christelle Weber, Anne Dutfoy, Coraline Gaucher (EdF)22217 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): REVISION AND EXPANSION OF ASME/ANS EXTERNAL FLOODING PRA STANDARD, Michelle Bensi (NRC), Ray E. Schneider (Westinghouse), Artur N. Mironenko (Duke Energy Corp), Suzanne Loyd (Jensen-Hughes), Zhegang Ma (INL)21922 (25m) (Accept): Modeling of Flooding Flow Rates Through Floor Drain Networks Using Mathcad, Robert J. Wolfgang (Jensen Hughes, Inc.)22423 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Development of Internal Flooding PSA for New Build UK Generic Design Assessment, Richard Derrett-Smith (Jacobsen Analytics Ltd)

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2017, 3:40 P.M.1. HRA 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22093 (25m) (Accept): Timeline Development for Main Control Abandonment Human Reliability Analysis Due to Fire Conditions, Susan E. Cooper (NRC), Kaydee Kohlhepp Gunter (Curtisswright), Jeff Julius, Erin Collins, Paul J. Amico (Jensen Hughes), Stacey Hendrickson (Sandia National Laboratory), John Wreathall (John Wreathall & Co. Inc), Mary R. Presley (EPRI), invited22112 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): DYNAMICIZING THE SPAR-H METHOD: A SIMPLIFIED APPROACH TO COMPUTATION BASED HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS, Ronald L. Boring (INL), Martin Rasmussen (NTNU Social Research), Curtis L. Smith, Diego Mandelli, Sarah M. Ewing (INL)22440 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Implementation of FLEX Operator Actions in PRA Models, Parthasarathy Chandran (Southern Nuclear Operating Companyq), David Moore (DL Moore Consulting), John Reddington (Empyrean Services)22478 (25m) (Accept): Human Reliability Analysis for Implementation of Incipient Fire Detectors in Fire PRA Applications, Susan E. Cooper, Amy D'Agostino, Gabriel Taylor, Nicholas Melly (NRC)22479 (25m) (Accept): Developing Human Reliability Analysis Guidance for Main Control Room Abandonment Scenarios in Fire PRAs: What's Different When "Command and Control" is Not in Main Control Room, Susan E. Cooper (NRC), Stacey Hendrickson (SNL), John Wreathall (John Wreathall & Co., Inc.), Jeff Julius (Jensen Hughes), Mary R. Presley (EPRI), Erin Collins (Jensen Hughes), Kaydee Kohlhepp Gunter (Curtiss Wright), Paul J. Amico (Jensen Hughes), Ashley Lindeman (Electric Power Research Institutue), Tammie Rivera (NRC)1. Dynamic PSA 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21679 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): A Dynamic Assessment of an Interfacing System Loss of Coolant Accident, Zachary K. Jankovsky (Ohio State), Matthew R. Denman (SNL), Tunc Aldemir (Ohio State)22462 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Dynamic PRA of a Multi-Unit Plant, Diego Mandelli, Carlo Parisi, Andrea Alfonsi, Shawn W. St. Germain, Ronald L. Boring, Sarah Elizabeth-Marie Ewing, Curtis L. Smith, Cristian Rabiti, Daniel P. Maljovec (INL)

22473 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Measuring Risk Importance in a Dynamic PRA Framework, Diego Mandelli, Zhegang Ma, Carlo Parisi, Andrea Alfonsi, Curtis L. Smith (INL)22461 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): DYNAMIC PRA WITH COMPONENT AGING AND DEGRADATION MODELED UTILIZING PLANT RISK MONITORING DATA, Vaibhav Yadav, Vivek Agarwal, Andrei Gribok, Curtis L. Smith (INL)22109 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Emulation-Based Uncertainty Quantification of a Fire Dynamics Simulation, Clarence Worrell (Westinghouse), Raymond E. Schneider (Westinghouse STD), Brian Leyde, Max Xu (SmartUQ)1. Level 2 and Level 3 PSA 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21737 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Determining Source Terms for Releases from PWR Spent Fuel Pools in Case of Severe Accidents, Michael Hage, Michael Kowalik, Horst Loeffler (GRS)21782 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Crediting the Use of a Rapidly Deployable Mobile Pump to Recover from and Core Damage Events Caused by a Failure of the Turbine Driven Auxiliary Feedwater Pump, Jeffrey Taylor (Westinghouse), Roy R. Lithicum (Exelon), Michael E. Powell (Arizona Public Service Company), Richard Haessler (Westinghouse)21814 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Protective Systems: Definitions and Terms in the Regulated Risk Assessment Setting, Justin T. Pence, ZiHui Gu (Univ of Illinois), Ernest J. Kee (Texas A&M), Zahra Mohaghegh, Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Martin Wortman (Texas A&M), Vera Moiseytseva (YK.Risk), David H. Johnson (ABS Consulting, Inc.)23771 (25m) (Accept): A Bayesian Approach to Estimate Failure Probability of Nuclear Turbine Blades due to Several Degradation Mechanisms, David Quintanar-Gago, Pamela F. Nelson (UNAM)1. Risk-Informed Regulation, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21742 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Main Applications of Probabilistic Safety Analysis Technology in Nuclear Power Plant Design in China, Gong Yu (NSC,CHINA), Qian Hongtao (NSC), Ni Man (nsc), Li Chun (NSC)22155 (25m) (Accept): A Tool for planning the Safety Review of Structures, Systems and Components: Development and Application, Tony Nakanishi (U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC)), Mark A. Caruso (NRC)22237 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Evaluation of the Cumulative Impact of Pending Model Changes to Address MSPI FAQ 14-01 Requirements, Joseph Lavelline (Maracor Technical Services, Inc.)1. Fire PSA 3, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21768 (25m) (Accept): Development of Computer Program to Model Cylindrical Incident Discrete Emissive Radiation (CINDER) from Pool Fires, Robert J. Wolfgang (Jensen Hughes, Inc.)22179 (25m) (Accept): Insights Gained from a Review of Fire PRA Risk Contribution by Ignition Frequency Bin, Usama A. Farradj (Jensen Hughes, Inc.), Kiang Zee, Jazmin NeVille (JENSEN HUGHES), Ashley Lindeman (Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, CA)22435 (25m) (Accept): Modeling of NUREG/CR-7150 Spurious Duration Probabilities, Nathan Larson, Daniel Tirsun, Kyle James Christiansen (Westinghouse)

22689 (25m) (Accept): IMPACT OF NEW NUREGs ON FIRE PRAS, Bruce A. Morgen (EPM - Engineering Planning and Management, Inc.), Mark Humphrey (EPM), Harold A. Stiles (Duke Energy)22719 (25m) (Accept): MODELING INCIPIENT FIRE DETECTION WITH UPDATED GUIDANCE, Bruce A. Morgen (EPM - Engineering Planning and Management, Inc.), Brian Krystek, David Miskiewicz (EPM)

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2017, 8:00 A.M.1. Modeling and Simulation 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21709 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): IMPLEMENTATION OF FLEX STRATEGIES IN SURRY PRA, Aram P. Hakobyan (Dominion Resources Services Inc.), Craig Nierode (Dominion Resources Inc.)21269 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Probabilistic Analysis of Faults Affecting Multiple Redundant Trains of the Electrical Power Supply System of NPPs, Jan C. Stiller, Benjamin Brueck, Gerhard Gaenssmantel, Albert Kreuser, Christian Mueller, Ewgenij Piljugin (Gesellschaft fuer Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) gGmbH)21783 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Fitting of Failure Rate Data to a Closed Form Solution using Gamma-Poisson Method of Moments, Sarah Elizabeth-Maire Ewing, M. Ross Kunz (INL)21836 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Exploring network metrics for accident scenarios: a Case of study of the Uncontrolled Level Drop, Mouna RIFI (EDF R&D / LIPN, CNRS UMR 7030 USPC - University Paris Nord), Mohamed Hibti (EDF R& D), Rushed KANAWATI (LIPN, CNRS UMR 7030 USPC - University Paris Nord)21882 (25m) (Accept): A MULTI-STATE PHYSICS MODELING FOR ESTIMATING THE SIZE- AND LOCATION-DEPENDENT LOSS OF COOLANT ACCIDENT INITIATING EVENT PROBABILITY, Francesco Di Maio, Davide Colli, Enrico Zio (Politecnico di Milano), Liu Tao, Jiejuan Tong (Tsinghua Univ)1. Cyber Security / Cyber Risk, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)22162 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): A Risk-Informed Cyber-Security Program Approach, F. Gregory Hudson, Meredith M. Allen (Metcalfe PLLC)22170 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): AN APPROACH FOR EVALUATING THE CONSEQUENCE OF CYBER ATTACKS ON NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS, Athi Varuttamaseni, Robert A. Bari (BNL), Robert W. Youngblood (INL)22413 (25m) (Accept): Estimation of Failure On-Demand Probability and Malfunction Rate Values in Cyber-Physical Systems of Nuclear Power Plants, Wei Wang, Francesco Di Maio (Politecnico di Milano), Enrico Zio (Department of Energy, Politecnico di M)22437 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Research on Vital Digital Assets for Nuclear Cyber Security, Kookheui Kwon (Korea Institute of Nuclear nonproliferation and control), Hyundoo Kim, Siwon Kim (Korea Institute of Nuclear nonproliferation And Control)22418 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Improvement of Vital Area Identification method, Woo Sik Jung (Sejong University)1. Fire PSA 4, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

22200 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): ADVANCED TECHNIQUES FOR MODELING FIRE-INDUCED CIRCUIT FAILURES OF DIGITAL CONTROL SYSTEMS IN SUPPORT OF FIRE PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENTS, Nicholas William Lovelace, Dane Lovelace, Brett Long, Dan Funk (Jensen Hughes)22203 (25m) (Accept): Moving Forward with Developed Fire PRA Models - A Model Owner's Perspective, Young G. Jo (Southern Nuclear Operating Company)21797 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Is Fire Modeling Getting Better? - A Comparison of Recent Fire Dynamics Simulator Versions for Result Trends, Jeffrey D. Miller (JDM Consulting, LLC)22412 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Predictive Model of the Degradation of Cable Insulation Subject to Radiation and Temperature, Yuan-Shang Chang, Ali Mosleh (UCLA)22195 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): The "Incredible" Difficulty of Proving "Incredibility" - Example of Fire-Induced Multiple Spurious Operations, Raymond H. Gallucci (NRC)1. Passive System Safety and Reliability, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21263 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Comparative assessment of passive and active systems for the development of advanced reactors, Luciano Burgazzi (ENEA)21867 (25m) (Reject Unless Revised): Passive System Reliability Estimation with the Accident Development, Yu Yu, Bin Wang, Xuefeng Lyu, Fenglei Niu (North China Electric Power University)22091 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): A MECHANISTIC RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF RVACS AND METAL FUEL INHERENT REACTIVITY FEEDBACK, David Grabaskas, Acacia J. Brunett, Stefano Passerini, Austin Grelle (ANL)22206 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Mission definition for a passive reliability assessment of SMART passive residual heat removal system, Douglas A. Fynan, Yong Hun Jung, Jin Hee Park (KAERI–Korea)22210 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Passive System Reliability Analysis using APSRA+ Methodology and its Application to Passive Isolation Condenser System of an Advanced Reactor, Amit Chandrakar (Homi Bhabha National Institute, Mumbai), Arun Kumar Nayak (Reactor Engineering Division, Reactor Design Development Group, Bhabha Atomic Research Centre, Trombay, Mumbai 400085, India), Gopika Vinod (Reactor Safety Division, Reactor Design Development Group, Bhabha Atomic Research Centre, Trombay, Mumbai 400085, India)

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28, 2017, 10:45 A.M.1. Safety Culture and Organizational Factors, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21856 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Data-Theoretic Methodology and Computational Platform for the Quantification of Organizational Failure Mechanisms in Probabilistic Risk Assessment, Justin T. Pence (Univ of Illinois), Yicheng Sun, Xuefeng Zhu (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign), Zahra Mohaghegh (Univ of Illinois), Ernest J. Kee (University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign), Cheri Ostroff (University of South Australia)22426 (25m) (Accept): EMPLOYEE WELL-BEING FRAMEWORK TO FACILITATE A TOTAL SAFETY CULTURE WITHIN A NUCLEAR POWER PLANT, Nicolaas Jacobus van Loggerenberg (University of South Africa), Hester Nienaber (University of South Africa (Unisa))1. Flooding PSA 2, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)

22245 (25m) (Accept): A CASE STUDY OF SIMULATION-BASED DYNAMIC ANALYSIS APPROACH FOR MODELING PLANT RESPONSE TO FLOODING EVENTS, Zhegang Ma, Curtis L. Smith, Steven Prescott (INL)22389 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Monte Carlo Simulations for Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment, Ahmed "Jemie" Dababneh, Mark Schwartz (RIZZO Associates), invited22636 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): LESSONS LEARNED IN THE DEVELOPMENT AND CHARACTERIZATION OF AN EXTERNAL FLOOD HAZARD, Raymond E. Schneider (Westinghouse STD), Gary Douglas, John Fluehr (Westinghouse Electric Corporation), Alan Hackerott (Omaha Public Power District)1. Other External Hazards PSA, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21721 (25m) (Accept): HAZARD CURVE EVALUATION FOR FOREST FIRE SMOKE EFFECTS ON AIR-COOLING DECAY HEAT REMOVAL SYSTEMS, Yasushi Okano (JAEA), Hidemasa Yamano (JAEA–Japan)21870 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Screening Approach for Systematically Considering Hazards and Hazard Combinations in PRA for a Nuclear Power Plant Site, Marina L. Roewekamp (Gesellschaft f. Anlagen u. Reaktorsich), Silvio Sperbeck, Gerhard Gaenssmantel (Gesellschaft fuer Anlagen- und Reeaktorsicherheit (GRS) gGmbH)22089 (25m) (Accept): Analysis of the Risk of Aircraft Crash Hazard, James C. Lin (ABS Consulting, Inc.)1. Advanced Information Technology and PSA, sponsored by ANS. Session Organizer: Mrs. Melissa Ann Lucci (Westinghouse)21831 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Protective Systems: Possible Extensions to the RoverD Method, Wen-Chi Cheng, Ha Bui Houng, Tatsuya Sakurahara, Justin Pence, Zahra Mohaghegh (Univ of Illinois), Ernest J. Kee (Texas A&M), Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Martin Wortman (Texas A&M), Vera Moiseytseva (YK.Risk), Fatma Yilmaz (STP), David H. Johnson (ABS Consulting, Inc.)21834 (25m) (Accept with Revisions): Protective Systems: Margins of Safety, Regulatory Authority, and the Calculus of Negligence, Justin T. Pence, ZiHui Gu (Univ of Illinois), Ernest J. Kee (Texas A&M), Zahra Mohaghegh, Seyed-A. Reihani (Univ of Illinois), Martin Wortman (Texas A&M), Vera Moiseytseva (YK.Risk), Fatma Yilmaz (STP), David H. Johnson (ABS Consulting, Inc.)