prosperity scorecard for thunder bay, ontario
DESCRIPTION
A prosperity scorecard for Thunder Bay, Ontario. Prepared by Ronnie Sanders and Patrick Adler of the Martin Prosperity Institute as part of TVOntario's AgendaCamp series on Ontario's changing economy.TRANSCRIPT
February 8, 2009
Prosperity Scorecard for
Thunder Bay, Ontario
Ronnie Sanders and Patrick Adler
Research Associates
2
1. Summary Statistics
2. Overall Performance
3. Technology
4. Talent
5. Tolerance / Inclusiveness
6. Territorial Assets / Quality of
Place
Outline / Approach
3
Benchmark Peers
Peer Selection
14 peer states/
provinces for
Ontario based on
population.
10 cities/regions
selected with
populations
approximately the
same as Thunder
Bay.
• Battle Creek, MI
• Bloomington, IL
• College Station, TX
• Kelowna, BC
• Mount Vernon, WA
• Rocky Mount, NC
• Sherbrooke, QC
• State College, PA
• Trois-Rivieres, QC
4
5
Summary Statistics
Summary Statistics
6
Summary StatisticsPeer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Total Population, 2006 115,700 150,000 197,000 546,000
GDP (CAD millions) 2006 $5,000 $6,000 $9,000 $29,000
Median Age, 2006 25.7 36.6 43.8 37.5
Overall Cost of Living Index 92.5 104.3 131.4 101.5
Thunder Bay, ON123,000
$5,000
41.8
102.8
Total Population
7
123,000
116,000
134,000
138,000
141,000
142,000
146,000
161,000
162,000
187,000
197,000
Mount Vernon, WA
Thunder Bay, ON
Dalton, GA
Battle Creek, MI
State College, PA
Trois-Rivières, QC
Rocky Mount, NC
Bloomington, IL
Kelowna, BC
Sherbrooke , QC
College Station, TX
Total PopulationThunder Bay, ON and Peer Regions, 2006
Source: Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 94-581-XCB2006004. US Census Bureau, American Community Survey. (2006).
Total GDP (100,000 CA $)
8
$5,300
$5,300
$5,500
$5,500
$5,800
$6,500
$6,700
$6,700
$6,800
$7,200
$8,600
Trois-Rivières, QC
Thunder Bay, ON
Battle Creek, MI
Mount Vernon, WA
State College, PA
College Station, TX
Rocky Mount, NC
Dalton, GA
Kelowna, BC
Sherbrooke , QC
Bloomington, IL
GDP (CAD Millions)Thunder Bay, ON and Peer Regions, 2006
Source: MPI Analysis (2008) . Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 94-581-XCB2006004. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2008 Survey. (2006).
Median Age
9
25.7
29.3
31.0
33.8
37.3
37.8
38.2
40.2
41.8
43.4
43.8
College Station, TX
State College, PA
Bloomington, IL
Dalton, GA
Mount Vernon, WA
Battle Creek, MI
Rocky Mount, NC
Sherbrooke , QC
Thunder Bay, ON
Kelowna, BC
Trois-Rivières, QC
Median AgeThunder Bay, ON and Peer Regions, 2006
Source: Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 97-551-xcb2006012. U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey.
Overall Cost of Living
10
92.52
94.46
96.23
96.56
100.28
100.45
100.45
0.00
103.77
127.86
131.39
102.79
College Station, TX
Kelowna, BC
Rocky Mount, NC
Battle Creek, MI
Mount Vernon, WA
State College, PA
Sherbrooke , QC
Thunder Bay, ON
Trois-Rivières, QC
Dalton, GA
Bloomington, IL
Overall Cost of Living IndexThunder Bay, ON and Peer Regions, 2006
11
Overall Performance
Overall Performance
12
Overall PerformanceThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average Population Growth (00-05) 0.8% 10 0% 5.8% 12.4% 5.7%
Job Growth (00-05) -3.4% 10 -3.6% 4.8% 19.9% 9.3%
GDP per capita, 2006 $43,000 6 $35,500 $45,000 $58,200 $45,000
Change in Average Wage (00-05) -2.4% 8 -11.2% -2.2% 3.7% 0.1%
Creativity Index 0.46 5 0.24 0.44 0.66 N/A
Population Growth
13
Job Growth
14
GDP per Capita
15
Change in Average Wage
16
Creativity Index
17
18
Technology
Technology
19
TechnologyThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
AverageTotal Patents, 2005 2 11 2 18 42 517
Patents per 10,000, 2005 0.16 10 0.14 1.17 2.98 2.46
Patent Growth, Short Term (00-05) -3.3% 10 -4.5% 10.8% 56.7% -0.5%
North American High Tech LQ, 2006 0.51 6 0.22 0.58 1.54 0.63
North American Tech Pole Index 0.013 6 0.002 0.020 0.079 0.189
Total Patents
20
Patents per 10,000
21
Patent Growth, Short-term
22
North American High-Tech LQ
23
North American Tech-Pole Index
24
25
Talent
Talent
26
TalentThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Creative Class as % of Workforce, 2006 26.9% 4 18.5% 24.9% 29.4% 26.1%
Super Creative Core as % of Workforce, 2006 14.7% 5 5.6% 11.9% 16.3% 11.0%
Pop > 25, Above High School below BA, 2006 58.2% N/A 51.7% 58.2% 65.5% 59.0%
Talent Index (Pop > 25, BA and above), 2006 13.0% 9 12.0% 21.4% 40.2% 21.7%
Pop > 25, Graduate and/or Professional Degree, 2006 3.5% 9 3.4% 7.8% 20.5% 7.5%
Brain Drain/Gain Index, 2006 0.63 6 0.00 0.69 1.28 N/A
Creative Class
27
Super Creative Core
28
Above High School, Below BA
29
Talent Index (BA and above)
30
Graduate / Professional Degrees
31
Brain Drain / Gain Index
32
33
Tolerance / Inclusiveness
Tolerance / Inclusiveness
34
ToleranceThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
AverageVisible Minorities (% Pop), 2006 2.7% 5 0.0% 5.2% 28.1% 11.1%
Mosaic Index (% Pop), 2006 10.3% 4 2.2% 7.9% 15.0% 7.9%
Gay and Lesbian Index, 2006 0.77 5 0.64 0.79 1.03 0.81
Bohemian Index, 2006 0.67 3 0.16 0.46 1.05 0.69
Integration Index, 2006 0.83 6 1 0.76 0.92 N/A
Visible Minorities
35
Mosaic Index
36
Gay / Lesbian Index
37
Bohemian Index
38
Integration Index
39
40
Territorial Assets / Quality of Place
Territorial Assets / Quality of Place
41
Territorial AssetsThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Social and Cultural AssetsArts and Cultural Establishments per 10,000, 2006 1.95 3 0.22 1.36 2.22
Resturants and Bars per 1,000, 2006 1.83 7 1.46 1.90 2.40
Student/Teacher Ratio, 2006 14.50 4 13.58 15.83 22.17
Doctor's per 1,000, 2006 0.81 5 0.00 1.13 3.42
Civic AssetsFederal Voter Turnout (%), 2004/2006 62% 5 40% 59% 66%
Voilent and Property Crime per Capita, 2006 0.09 10 0.02 0.06 0.12
Housing and Transportation AssetsPopulation Density (KM2), 2006 48 9 25.34 71.67 160.76
Median Housing Value to Income Ratio, 2005 2.42 1 2.42 3.51 7.14
Drivers per Other Modes, 2006 9.77 3 4.84 28.69 169.98
Arts and Cultural Establishments per 10,000
42
Restaurants and Bars per 1,000
43
Student / Teacher Ratio
44
Doctors per 1,000
45
Federal Voter Turnout
46
Crime (Violent + Property) per Capita
47
Population Density (population per km^2)
48
Median Housing Value to Income Ratio
49
Drivers per Other Modes
50
For More Information
51
Summary StatisticsPeer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Total Population, 2006 115,700 150,000 197,000 546,000
GDP (CAD millions) 2006 $5,000 $6,000 $9,000 $29,000
Median Age, 2006 25.7 36.6 43.8 37.5
Overall Cost of Living Index 92.5 104.3 131.4 101.5
Overall PerformanceThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Population Growth (00-05) 0.8% 10 0% 5.8% 12.4% 5.7%
Job Growth (00-05) -3.4% 10 -3.6% 4.8% 19.9% 9.3%
GDP per capita, 2006 $43,000 6 $35,500 $45,000 $58,200 $45,000
Change in Average Wage (00-05) -2.4% 8 -11.2% -2.2% 3.7% 0.1%
Creativity Index 0.46 5 0.24 0.44 0.66 N/A
TechnologyThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Total Patents, 2005 2 11 2 18 42 517
Patents per 10,000, 2005 0.16 10 0.14 1.17 2.98 2.46
Patent Growth, Short Term (00-05) -3.3% 10 -4.5% 10.8% 56.7% -0.5%
North American High Tech LQ, 2006 0.51 6 0.22 0.58 1.54 0.63
North American Tech Pole Index 0.013 6 0.002 0.020 0.079 0.189
TalentThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Creative Class as % of Workforce, 2006 26.9% 4 18.5% 24.9% 29.4% 26.1%
Super Creative Core as % of Workforce, 2006 14.7% 5 5.6% 11.9% 16.3% 11.0%
Pop > 25, Above High School below BA, 2006 58.2% N/A 51.7% 58.2% 65.5% 59.0%
Talent Index (Pop > 25, BA and above), 2006 13.0% 9 12.0% 21.4% 40.2% 21.7%
Pop > 25, Graduate and/or Professional Degree, 2006 3.5% 9 3.4% 7.8% 20.5% 7.5%
Brain Drain/Gain Index, 2006 0.63 6 0.00 0.69 1.28 N/A
ToleranceThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Provincial/State
Average
Visible Minorities (% Pop), 2006 2.7% 5 0.0% 5.2% 28.1% 11.1%
Mosaic Index (% Pop), 2006 10.3% 4 2.2% 7.9% 15.0% 7.9%
Gay and Lesbian Index, 2006 0.77 5 0.64 0.79 1.03 0.81
Bohemian Index, 2006 0.67 3 0.16 0.46 1.05 0.69
Integration Index, 2006 0.83 6 1 0.76 0.92 N/A
Territorial AssetsThunder
Bay, ON
Peer
Ranking
Peer
Minimum
Peer
Average
Peer
Maximum
Social and Cultural AssetsArts and Cultural Establishments per 10,000, 2006 1.95 3 0.22 1.36 2.22
Resturants and Bars per 1,000, 2006 1.83 7 1.46 1.90 2.40
Student/Teacher Ratio, 2006 14.50 4 13.58 15.83 22.17
Doctor's per 1,000, 2006 0.81 5 0.00 1.13 3.42
Civic AssetsFederal Voter Turnout (%), 2004/2006 62% 5 40% 59% 66%
Voilent and Property Crime per Capita, 2006 0.09 10 0.02 0.06 0.12
Housing and Transportation AssetsPopulation Density (KM2), 2006 48 9 25.34 71.67 160.76
Median Housing Value to Income Ratio, 2005 2.42 1 2.42 3.51 7.14
Drivers per Other Modes, 2006 9.77 3 4.84 28.69 169.98
Thunder Bay, ON123,000
$5,000
41.8
102.8
For More Information
• Richard Florida’s books–“The Rise of the Creative Class”
–“The Flight of the Creative Class”
–“Who’s Your City?”
• martinprosperity.org
• creativeclass.com
52