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Property Investment Report
578 SHERWOOD ROAD, SHERWOOD QLD
Redwerks Pty Ltd PO Box 2068 Burleigh Waters QLD 2068
P: +61 1300 200 340
www.hotspotcentral.com.au/armchair-developer
INVESTMENT SNAPSHOT 2
What makes this a good investment? 2
WELCOME MESSAGE 3
CAPITAL GROWTH DRIVERS 4
83% Pass on THE Property Selection Index (PSI) 4
STATISTICAL INDICATORS 5
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS 5
Project & property attributes 5
WHOLESALE VERSUS RETAIL 7
HOW IT WORKS …. 8
Investment Entity 8
Borrowing Funds for Development 8
Post Settlement Strategies 8
LOCATION 9
578 Sherwood RD, Sherwood 9
walk score = 78/100 10
SMART SCORE: 91% 11
PROPERTY PARTICULARS 12
introduction 12
floor layout 13
Price list 14
rent appraisal 15
BRISBANE PROPERTY MARKET 16
what the experts say 16
PROPERTY ANALYSIS 17
positively geared after retrieving original investment 17
LOCAL COMMENTARY 19
what the LOCALS say 19
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 20
HOW TO INVEST 21
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Investment Snapshot
WHAT MAKES THIS A GOOD INVESTMENT?
10 min walk to train line into Brisbane CBD.
Brand new - so maximise depreciation
benefits and rental potential.
A Walk Score® of 78 out of 100 means the
location of these apartments is “Very
Walkable”, so most errands can be
accomplished on foot with great
infrastructure in the area (work nodes,
schools, restaurants shops…).
Sold with independent registered valuation
and fixed build contract.
DSR BoomScore™ is 27 out of 48 having
lifted from 20 out of 48 twelve months ago.
This indicates a growing demand relative to
supply when measured against the 8 leading
property indicators including auction
clearance rates, vendor discounting, online
search interest, gross rental yield, vacancy
rates, stock on market percentage, etc.
Vendor discounting on sales have halved in
12 months (7% to 4%).
The number of days taken to sell properties
in Sherwood have halved in 12 months
indicating an increase in demand relative to
properties available for sale.
More than 4 times the number of people are
searching for property in Sherwood on
realestate.com.au than the Queensland
average.
65% of residents in the area are owner-
occupiers compared to 35% tenants; a near
perfect mix for renting or resale on
completion.
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Note: the costs above do not include Hotspotcentral’s fee of $10,000+GST. Please refer to the Financial Services Guide.
ROI SNAPSHOT Unit 12
Required deposit by investor $205,000
Armchair developer fixed cost price $366,600
Independent valuation (as if complete today) $470,000
Estimated equity gain $103,400
Cash on cash return 50%
Discount to market value 22%
WELCOME MESSAGE
Hotspotcentral is proud to offer a 2 bed ,2 bath,
1 car apartment at developer’s cost price in a
boutique block of only 28 apartments.
Wholesale offers in this project sold out 6
months ago. The release of only one apartment
this late in the process means one investor can
benefit from all the work that has already been
done.
It is estimated investors will save 22% on
today’s market value as evidenced by a
comparable Savills commercial valuation.
Exclusive to Hotspotcentral investors only, this
is a prime opportunity to co-develop 28
apartments ideally located in the established
suburb of Sherwood.
Sherwood is one of Brisbane's oldest and most
beautiful suburbs bounded by the Brisbane
River. Located on the southern side of the
Brisbane River about 9 km from the Brisbane
CBD, Sherwood has benefited from
enormous buyer interest in near and inner-city
living.
Residents have easy access to Indooroopilly
Shopping town and the University of
Queensland. Public transport is good;
Sherwood has its own railway station central to
the suburb. Like its neighbours, Corinda and
Graceville, Sherwood is a leafy, quiet residential
suburb with some homes located alongside the
Brisbane River.
There is a thriving small business and
commercial centre on one side of the railway
line, including supermarkets and small retailers.
There is also good access to nearby retail areas
in Graceville and Corinda. The suburb is
supported by a number of churches, primary
schools, and sporting fields. Sherwood's
popularity with Brisbane residents is based on
its beautiful older homes and its easy access to
the city and other facilities. Source: REIQ
Apartments in this small block are expected to
deliver strong capital growth and solid rental
income; an assertion supported by strong
fundamental and statistical evidence in this
report.
The estimated net profit per investor reflects a
22% discount to bank valuation “as if complete
today” with an estimated 50% return on cash
invested over 12 months.
This offer is unique in that the developer is
seeking to extract some equity from his own
project which has been under way for some
time. Construction starts in March 2016.
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Capital Growth Drivers
83% PASS ON THE
PROPERTY SELECTION
INDEX (PSI)
The PSI is an algorithm developed by
Hotspotcentral in conjunction with leading
buyers’ agents and data analysts.
The PSI examines over 100 drivers known to
influence capital growth, rental returns and the
price growth potential for the subject property.
Brisbane generally has been touted for growth
but this does not specify which Brisbane
suburbs will do comparatively better and which
ones to avoid.
The PSI drills down into these micro markets
(e.g. Sherwood - Units) and also factors in the
relative attributes of the subject property and
how it compares to competing alternatives on
factors including price per square metre,
builders reputation, design, fixtures and fittings,
developers reputation.
Each capital growth driver is given a weighting
depending on its relative importance or
influence on overall capital growth potential
when compared with all the other capital
growth drivers and indicators.
Each driver is categorised into three areas of
research before the PSI can be generated:
fundamental, statistical and the attributes of
the subject property.
This complex calculation ensures that all
investment criteria are examined when
evaluating a potential opportunity; a detailed
‘flight check’, if you will, to ensure a safe and
profitable landing at settlement..
Any deals presented to Hotspotcentral with a
PSI score of 75% or more is examined in more
detail before an offer is created in an ASIC
prescribed format under the appropriate ASIC
licensing.
In addition to the upfront discount of 22% on
offer, this PSI score of 83% should give the
investor added piece of mind that their property
should perform well in the medium and long
term after retrieving potentially their entire
upfront cash investment.
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STATISTICAL INDICATORS
DSR BOOMSCORE 27 OUT OF 48 PASS
This implies demand exceeds supply. The higher the
BoomScore the greater the potential for capital growth as
measured on 8 leading supply-demand stats.
DATA TRENDS PASS
Data is trending in the right direction for most of the data
elements measured - correct at March 2016
• DSR BoomScore has increased from 20 to 27
in 12 months: solid capital growth potential
• Vendor discounts halved in 12 months (7% to
4%): sellers getting their asking prices.
• Average days a unit takes to sell in Sherwood
has halved in 12 months: demand is strong.
RIPPLE EFFECT POTENTIAL STRONG
Surrounded by more expensive neighbourhoods with
similar lifestyle amenities: prices should pass on to
Sherwood as buyers get priced out of more expensive
neighbouring suburbs.
AFFORDABILITY RATIO™ PASS
The ratio of median price to median household income
should not be more than the average multiple for similar
surrounding suburbs and better for the broader Brisbane
and QLD market.
MARKET TIMING STRONG
If the suburb has been relatively flat over a 10 year period
when surrounding markets have done well, then there is a
strong possibly the timing is right particularly when the
stats improve as they have recently.
TRADING VOLUME STRONG
Sherwood is strongly traded, producing more reliable data
and property is more likely to increase in value if supply
continues at current pace.
RENT TREND PASS
Rents are increasing proportionately (slightly) higher than
similar and surrounding locations.
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE STRONG
Demographics are changing with more earning power due
to proximity to major employment hubs in the CBD and
surrounds.
HIGHER OWNER OCCUPIER RATIO STRONG
Although the apartment block will initially be sold to
investors mostly, the high owner-occupier percentage
compared to tenants in Sherwood means there is a large
pool of owner-occupier buyers: better for capital growth.
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE STRONG
Unemployment is low in Sherwood and surrounds relative
to the rest of the State.
FUNDAMENTAL
INDICATORS
TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE STRONG
Close to transport nodes including buses and trains, with
easy access to the CBD.
EDUCATION FACILITIES STRONG
There are multiple education facilities including the
University of QLD, private and state schools and daycare
for smaller children.
EMPLOYMENT OPPORTUNITIES STRONG
Sherwood has a number of local employers including the
university of Queensland, and most situated close by in
the CBD.
INFILL AREA EXCELLENT
Infill developments typically attract better rents and prices
due to the established nature of the area and the lack of
development sites and therefore supply (when compared
to massive land estates on the outside of city locations).
PROJECT & PROPERTY
ATTRIBUTES
WALK SCORE™ 78/100 EXCELLENT
Very Walkable - so most errands can be accomplished on
foot. A high Walk Score has a proven correlation to higher
capital growth potential.
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PRICE POINT EXCELLENT
Prices for both retail and Armchair developer buyers have
been set at valuation. Most developers price their stock at
slightly higher than valuation. Armchair developers paying
cost price will struggle to find the same price per sqm for
the same property in a similar inner-ring location.
DEVELOPER TRACK RECORD STRONG
The developer has a background in commercial
development funding which has given him a unique
insight into what projects fail and why. Funding Risk is one
of the biggest reasons for projects failing (see ‘risks’ in
Information Memorandum).
DESIGN & LAYOUT EXCELLENT
The block is very small at only 28 units. This is very
attractive for tenants and owner-occupier buyers. The
sizes are good compared to similar priced apartments and
all apartments have functional layouts with good quality
finishes. See Cameron Kushers comments below.
Notable inclusions: Ducted air-conditioning, stone bench
tops.
CONFIGURATION GOOD
Two bedders are perfect for the target market this close to
a university and the CBD including young professionals
couples, small families and older downsizers.
DENSITY & SCALE GOOD
In 2016, according to the Australian Financial Review,
nearly two-thirds of unit approvals were high rise (4+
storeys or more) with a record low being below four
stories.
This four story apartment is in a low density infill area
which is favoured far more than high density, high rise
buildings typical of much of the unit development in
Brisbane.
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ONLINE SEARCH
INTEREST HIGH DEMAND MARKET
One of the eight statistics we measure for over
15,000 suburbs and use to generate the overall
DSR BoomScore™. In isolation this statistic is a
powerful indicator of demand. When combined
with the remaining 7 stats we get a clearer picture
of Sherwood compares to all markets country-wide
CAMERON KUSHER. CORELOGIC RP DATA RESEARCH ANALYST
”Nearly two-thirds (64.3 per cent) of all units
approved over the year [in Brisbane] were high-rise
(four storeys or more). Just over a quarter (27 per
cent) were townhouses and a record-low 8.7 per
cent were low rise [like 56 Hood St].” like 578 Sherwood Rd
Wholesale versus Retail
The table below illustrates the savings a
wholesale ‘armchair developer’ can expect in
comparison to purchasing the exact same
property on the open market at retail prices.
Note how rental yields on cost increase
significantly while the armchair developer
realises a total difference in costs of $149.900
by removing many of the retail costs.
Purchasing the same property at full market
rates would cost the retail buyer -$34,940 in
stamp duty and other indirect purchase costs
(like lender mortgage insurance and additional
interest on mortgage borrowings).
ROI SNAPSHOT Unit#12
Armchair Developer
Retail off-the-plan buyer
Cost of property $336,600 $336,600
+ developers profit margin of 23% $0 $103,400
+ off-plan selling costs (average 6%) $0 $28,200
Purchase Price $366,600 $498,200
+ stamp duty* $16,640 $16,640
+ legals, lenders mortgage insurance, etc $0 $18,300
Total Purchase Price $383,240 $533,140
Profit or loss on purchase + $114,960 -$34,940
Gross rental yield 6.1% 4.75%
20% Deposit (avoid lenders mortgage insurance) $0 $99,640
Total Difference in Price and Costs $149,900 $0
* developer pays stamp duty in certain circumstances.
These numbers are for illustration purposes only and do not take into consideration your particular circumstance.
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How it works …. The investor contributes between $205,000 in order to
fund the initial costs including purchase of the land and
professional fees associated with council matters and site
preparation.
The bank provides construction funding to completion for
the balance.
You will receive a Shareholding in the special purpose
company established to undertake the project. The
Shareholding is relative to the Unit (property) that is being
purchased. In lieu of a profit share dividend, they will
receive their Unit at the Nominated Cost Price as detailed
in the Information Memorandum.
NOTE: The only investment required will be the initial
Deposit plus Hotspotcentral’s fee: no further funds are
required during the project (e.g. interest on debt).
INVESTMENT ENTITY
A Proprietary Limited Company is created to facilitate the
purchase, development and borrowing of funds from the
Bank to finalise the project. The Project Manager will be
the Sole Director of this Company and will manage the
project to completion and settlement of the Units to each
Investor.
The offer document to participate will be governed by an
AFSL Licensee and all monies will be controlled by the
AFSL Licensee with additional oversight by an
independent Accounting Firm who will provide full
financial reporting, taxation services and all relevant ATO
lodgements for the development company to the
completion of the project.
Once the project is completed and the Units are
transferred to respective Investors; and all accounting and
taxation matters are finalised, the company will be
absolved.
BORROWING FUNDS FOR
DEVELOPMENT
The Development Company will borrow the balance to
complete the development via a major Bank. Interest will
be capitalised into the loan. Once the project is completed
and the the loan paid out, the Units will be transferred to
each investor.
POST SETTLEMENT
STRATEGIES
Following Settlement, your Unit will be transferred to your
chosen entity (stamp duty costs may apply).
The following Strategies can be employed:
1. Retain the Unit as an Investment and borrow the
balance. (E.g. unit #12: $366,600 minus $205,000) =
$161,600
Property will be positively geared.
2. Retain the Unit and use most of your 22% discount to
borrow up to 80% (no Lenders Mortgage Insurance) of
the value and hence drawing your cash deposit back
out; ($470,000 x 80% = $376,000). Property will be
either neutral or slightly negatively geared.
Remaining 2% of 22% profit margin could fund
settlement costs incl. stamp duty.
3. Sell the property off the plan via a local agent and
settle the same day you buyout. You would receive
your deposit of $205,000 plus manufactured equity
estimated at $103,400 less costs.
Important: These figures are entirely for illustration purposes and do not
take into consideration your personal circumstances. You should get
personal advice if necessary. This is not a formal offer. Hotspotcentral is
seeking an expression of interest from investors who have previously
expressed interest in acquiring property at developer’s cost price. The
formal offer will be made subject to a full information memorandum and
FSG provided on request should you wish to review the formal offer.
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Location
578 SHERWOOD RD,
SHERWOOD 8.3 km from Brisbane CBD
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WALK SCORE = 78/100
• Tenants have everything they need on their doorstep.
• Easy drive to the CBD
• Multiple transport routes and times to suit all commuters.
• Bus stops and train station minutes away
"One point increase in Walk Score was associated with
between a $700 and $3,000 increase in home values."
Joe Cortright, Impresa, Inc. (2009) Walking the Walk, CEOs for Cities
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Smart Score: 91%
Sherwood has a very high smart score which is made up of the following attributes that can impact
an area’s desirability and therefore capital growth potential based on demographic profile.
Sherwood therefore has a particularly strong demographic profile in terms of affordability as a factor
of income relative to rents and property prices.
30% of residents in Sherwood are renters, ensuring a ready rental pool for new apartments.
Attribute Weighting
Average level of income 42.9%
Percent teen parent 28.6%
Percent improvised housing 14.3%
Affordability 14.3%
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Property Particulars
INTRODUCTION
The apartment block includes a total of 28 units
comprising 3 one bedroom units , 20 two
bedroom units and 5 two bed units with MPR.
Each Unit on offer will also be provided with a
single car bay.
In addition to the standard inclusions below, it’s
worth mentioning these apartments will also
include:
• European Appliances – ceramic cooktop,
oven, slide out range hood, dishwasher.
• Blinds.
• Ducted Air Con.
• Elevator.
• Good size bedrooms for all 3 Units being 3.0
x 3.2 m with inbuilt wardrobes.
• Stone Kitchen Bench tops
• This is in addition to standard inclusions
such as TV/Foxtel points, carpet, towel rails
and more.
.
On completion, the apartments are turnkey and
include everything your tenants require to move
in on completion. They will present very well
and have a high level of finishes including Stone
kitchen & bathroom bench-tops, stainless steel
kitchen appliances including dishwasher, and
with downlighting throughout.
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FLOOR LAYOUT Unit 12
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PRICE LIST
The retail price for this unit is in the dominant price range for properties in that area meaning there
are more sales at this price point. An important consideration for factoring in to your exit strategy.
The 22% discount to market valuation means rental yields on cost would also increase due to
wholesale investors paying $366,600 versus $470,000.
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ROI SNAPSHOT Unit 12
Required deposit by investor $205,000
Armchair developer fixed cost price $366,600
Independent valuation (as if complete today) $470,000
Estimated equity gain $103,400
Cash on cash return 50%
Discount to market value 22%
RENT APPRAISAL
This has been ordered.
Rental yield appraisals for a 2bed, 2bath in a project by this developer up the road is estimated at
about $430/pw
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Gross rental yields increase from gross 4.75% for retail buyers of the same apartment to 6.1%
for developer investors purchasing a unit at a discount of around $100,000.
Brisbane Property Market WHAT THE EXPERTS SAY
“Brisbane has had the highest average annual
house price growth across the country’s capital
cities since 1970 at 11% per year” … “Brisbane’s
prices have improved by an annual average of
13.6% since 2000, while Sydney’s annual
average has been 10% during that time.”
Terry Ryder
"Similar market dynamics to
Sydney will drive a 14 per cent
surge in Brisbane house prices
over the next two years to June
2017, but outside of these two markets the
outlook is much weaker". BIS Shrapnel
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A CAUTIONARY TALE!
When quoting the forecasts for Brisbane of the
mainstream media commentators it’s important to
remember that forecasts refer to the average
expectation across a very large market and ignore the
many micro markets that exist.
If the average for Brisbane is 5.7% or Sydney 4.3% in
2016 this means there are suburbs within these markets
that will do much worse and others that will perform
much better than these averages.
To this end there are locations that will perform much
better than Sherwood in just about any major city around
Australia and beyond.
The armchair developer strategy is about seeking the
optimum mix between a location that will sustain good
future capital growth and purchasing the right property
at a substantial and proven discount to market value.
This combination just about trumps any purchasing
strategy in terms of the returns on cash invested and the
amount of time and effort expended to achieve these
results.
I’d rather not overpay for a property in a great location
nor get a genuine discount for a property in a poor
location. Hotspotcentral’s Armchair Developer Program
combines the use of our proprietary location picking
technology (DSR BoomScore™) and the Property
Selection Index that examines over 100 capital growth
indicators seeking to get a balance between the
statistics, fundamentals and the property’s attributes.
- Michael Fuller -
"Brisbane (6.4%) is expected to lead the market in
the next year ..."
NAB Quarterly Review
In the three months to January 31, 2016 dwelling values across
Australia’s combined capital cities fell 0.6%, the latest
CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Home Value Index shows.
Brisbane (0.8%), Perth (1.7%) and Hobart (3%) were the only
capitals to record positive growth for the quarter.
Property AnalysisPOSITIVELY GEARED
AFTER RETRIEVING
ORIGINAL INVESTMENT
This cashflow forecast is not specific to any
one investor but the general result would be a
$48/pw net profit after you have retrieved your
initial cash investment in the first year.
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Local Commentary WHAT THE LOCALS SAY
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Investment highlights
✦ Invest in an middle-ring Brisbane location.
✦ Save 22% on valuation immediately.
✦ Potentially cash flow positive from day one … after retrieval of initial deposit.
✦ Short project timeframe as building starts in weeks (March 2016).
✦ Most risks in development occur prior to building commencement.
✦ High annualised cash on cash return of 50%.
✦ Small low-rise apartment block of only 28 (highest demand with lowest supply).
✦ Numerous above-standard fixtures, fittings and finishes.
✦ Most apartments already sold.
✦ Conservative Savills commercial valuations supporting end prices.
✦ Investor can recycle investment into next project … and repeat.
✦ Close to transport.
✦ Location has smart score of 91% meaning solid demographic profile supporting future capital
gains and rental increases.
✦ Rental yields on cost of 6.1% compare favourably to Brisbane average of 3.9%.
✦ High Walk Score of 78% meaning very attractive to tenants and owner-occupiers alike.
✦ 83% score on PSI measured against over 100 investment criteria suggest this investment
should perform relatively very well … while costing the investor nothing to hold.
✦ Capital growth score (DSR BoomScore™) measured across 8 capital growth indicators is
trending upwards meaning demand is beginning to outpace supply in this particular location.
✦ Developer has a strong reputation.
✦ Major multi-award winning builder with solid financials.
✦ Functional floor plans with larger than average bedrooms.
✦ Not available on internet and exclusive only to Hotspotcentral subscribers.
✦ Offered within an ASIC prescribed structure for added protection.
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How to Invest
Please understand that we get a huge response to these offers and they are always oversubscribed.
To give qualified investors a chance we ask that you only request the documentation if you qualify
financially for this offer i.e. have access to $216,000 in cash including fees
If you qualify we will gladly spend a lot of time helping you make an informed decision. You will find
us and our partners very transparent with all the information.
To obtain a copy of the offers documents, please contact
OR
call 1300 200 340
Allocation will be based on a first-in, best dressed basis.
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