Water Availability and Securityin Southern EuRope and the Mediterranean

WASSERMed

Title

January 2010 – December 2012Duration

EC-FP7-ENV.2009.1.1.5.2Financed by

1. Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change, Italy, coordinator2. University of Exeter, United Kingdom 3. CIHEAM – Mediterranean Agronomic Institute of Bari, Italy4. CLU srl, Italy5. National Technical University of Athens, Greece6. Universidad Politecnica de Madrid, Spain7. National Center for Agricultural Research and Extension, Jordan8. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany9. Institut de Recherche pour le developpement, France10. Environment and Climate Research Institute of NWRC, Egypt11. Institut National Agronomique de Tunisie, Tunisia12. Faculty of Agriculture, Univ. of Jordan, Jordan

Partners

To analyze, in a multi-disciplinary way, ongoing and future climate induced changes in hydrological budgets and extremes in southern Europe, North Africa and the Middle East under the frame of threats to national and human security. including the assessment of changes in mean flows, frequency and magnitude of extreme precipitation (intensity and duration), surface run-off, stream flows ground water balance, as well as social and economic factors. To provide an interface to other climatologic projects and models, producing climate change scenarios for the Mediterranean and Southern Europe, with special emphasis on precipitation - hence it will synthesize information from the ensembles of existing models. To assess, through economic macro-models, changes in competitiveness, economic structure, trade flows and implicit trade in water (virtual water), originated by changes in water availability.To analyse and to assess the impacts of climate change on the sensitive strategic sectors in the Mediterranean (agriculture and tourism) and to propose adaptation strategies, technological solutions and management practices that could be employed to attenuate these impactsTo develop holistic modelling and methodological approaches for the better quantification of climate change impacts and the understanding of the corresponding water-related security threats.

Mainobjective

CIHEAM-IAMB is the scientific leader of the work package on Climate change impact on water sensitive strategic sectors (agriculture and tourism). The main activities are:

■ The assessment of climate change impact on crop evapotranspiration, irrigation requirements and water productivity in the Mediterranean agriculture■ The determination of the potential impact of irrigation technologies on water saving in agricultural sector■ The assessment of possible adaptation measures to climate change in agricultural sector

MAIBactivities

http://www.wassermed.eu/ Projectweb page

RESEARCH PROJECT

Land and WaterDepartment

Regional Climate and Water Scenarios (WP2)• Regional climate model data sets• Dynamic climate-water-vegetation interactions

Water demand instrategic sectors (WP4)• Agricultural water productivity• Technological solutions• Tourism• Adaptation measures in CS

Integrated modelling of water-related security threats (WP5)• Case studies coordination• Water balance modelling• Quantification of threats

Macro-economiceffects in water budget (WP3)•·Global water GCE model• Water demand elasticities• Virtual water• Policy and climate change

WASSERMed RTD

CLIMATEbaseline

CLIMATEfuture

Crop suitability zones(AEZ temperature approach)

CROPdata

Starting of growing season

LGP (%)L1, L2, L3, L4

GDD(heat units

GDDL1, L2, L3, L4

LGP baselineL1, L2, L3, L4

LGP futureL1, L2, L3, L4

ETobaseline

ETofuture

Kcbaseline

Kcfuture

ETcbaseline

ETcfuture

IRRbaseline

IRRfuture

MGM MGM

AGRICULTURE 2000 vs 2050 (IRR, WP)