project home economic impact study final 2012-06-29
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
1/20
ECONOMICANDFISCALIMPACTOF
PROJECTH.O.M.E.WELLNESSCENTER
FinalReportSubmittedTo:
ProjectH.O.M.E.
1515FairmountAvenue
Philadelphia,PA19130
Final
Report
Submitted
By:
EconsultCorporation
1435WalnutStreetSuite300
PhiladelphiaPA19102
June29,
2012
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
2/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageii
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
TABLEOFCONTENTS
1.0 Introduction 1
2.0 Methodology 2
3.0 UpfrontConstruction 3
4.0 OngoingOperations 6
5.0 FiscalImpact 9
6.0 RACPEconomicImpactMetrics 11
AppendixAEconomicandFiscalImpactModelMethodology A1
AppendixBEstimatedIndustryDistributionofEconomicImpactfromUpfront
Construction
A4
AppendixCEstimatedIndustryDistributionofEconomicImpactfromOngoing
Operations
A6
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
3/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page1
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
1.0 INTRODUCTION
ProjectH.O.M.E.proposestheconstructionoftheWellnessCenter,afederallyqualifiedHealth
Center that will serve as a central location for the provision of community health services.
Accordingto
Project
H.O.M.E.s
2011
2016
Strategic
Plan,
the
Wellness
Center
will
assist
in
increasingaccesstoprimary,behavioral,andspecialtyhealthcareservicesandwillhelppeople
who are experiencing homelessness, aswell as for ProjectH.O.M.E.s residents, alumni and
children,andyouthandadultswholive,work,orgotoschoolinNorthCentralPhiladelphia.
ProjectH.O.M.E.smission is toempoweradults, children,and families tobreak the cycleof
homelessness and poverty, to alleviate the underlying causes of poverty, and to enable
everyonetoattaintheirfullestpotentialasindividualsandasmembersofthebroadersociety.
TheproposedWellnessCenterisanimportantcontributiontotheachievementofthismission
andaparticularlyvitalpartofeliminatinghealthdisparities.
Because of the important societal benefits that ProjectH.O.M.E provides, its economic and
fiscal impacts are often overlooked. However, the proposed Wellness Center will be a
significant sourceofeconomic stimulus,both from its initial constructionaswellas from its
ongoingoperations.
Thisreportisintendedtoidentifyandestimatetheeconomicandfiscalimpactsassociatedwith
the Wellness Centers upfront construction and ongoing operations to both the City of
Philadelphia and to theCommonwealthofPennsylvania. First,amethodologybywhich the
spillovereffectsoftheprojectsanticipateddirectexpenditurescanbeestimated isdescribed
(Section2). Then,economic impacts for theprojectsupfrontconstructionphase (Section3)
andongoingoperationsphase(Section4)areestimatedanddiscussed. Finally,fiscal impacts
resulting from these economic expansions are determined (Section 5). Because one of the
functionsofthisreport istodescribeeconomic impactforthepurposesofapplyingforfunds
from the Commonwealth through its RedevelopmentAssistanceCapital Program (RACP), an
explanationofthepertinentmetricsassociatedwiththe projectisprovided(Section6).
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
4/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page2
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
2.0 METHODOLOGY1
To determine the scale and composition of economic impact from theWellness Center, an
economicimpactmodelwasconstructedthatutilizedmultiplierdatafromtheUSDepartment
ofCommerces
Regional
Input
Output
Modeling
Systems
(RIMS
II)
to
estimate
the
composition
andscaleofexpenditures,employment,andearningsassociatedwiththeproject. Thismodel
estimated two formsofadditionalspillover impacts resulting fromthedirectexpendituresof
theproject:
1. Indirectexpendituresaregeneratedaslocalvendorsincreaseproductioninresponseto
the initial expenditures. New expenditures on inputs and services (e.g. equipment,
materials,professionalservices)causesuppliersofthoseinputsandservicestorampup
production, and to acquire additional inputs and services from their suppliers, who
themselveswill do the same. The sum of these economic activities is known as the
indirectexpenditures,
and
they
support
additional
employment
and
earnings
beyond
theemploymentandearningssupportedbythedirectexpenditures.
2. Inducedexpendituresaregeneratedasemployeesspendtheirearningswithinthelocal
economy. New expenditures on people (i.e. salaries) provide those people with
additionalspendingpower.Someofthatspendingpowerisexercisedwithintheregion,
supporting local providers of various goods and services (e.g. food, entertainment,
lodging,transportation).Thesumoftheseeconomicactivitiesisknownastheinduced
expenditures,and theyalso supportadditionalemploymentandearningsbeyond the
employmentandearningssupportedbythedirectexpenditures.
Thesedirect, indirect, and induced expenditures support a certain scale and composition of
employment and earnings, which can also be estimated using RIMS II multipliers. For the
purposesofthisreport,theunitsofgeographyforwhichestimatesweremadeweretheCityof
Philadelphia and the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. Fiscal impacts for the City and
Commonwealthwerealsoderived,via theconstructionofa fiscal impactmodel thatutilized
JourneytoWorkdataavailablethroughtheUSCensusBureautoapportionvariousamounts
andkindsofeconomicactivityintovarioustaxbaseamountsfortheCityandCommonwealth,
which were then multiplied through by the appropriate tax rates to arrive at tax revenues
generatedtotheCityandCommonwealth.
1SeeAppendixAforadditionaldetailonEconsultseconomicandfiscalimpactmethodology.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
5/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page3
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
3.0 UPFRONTCONSTRUCTION
3.1 Overview
Upfrontconstruction
of
the
Wellness
Center
represents
aone
time
economic
stimulus
for
the
CityandCommonwealth. Thesedirectexpendituresrepresentnetnewinfusionsofeconomic
activity intotheCityandCommonwealth,sincetheywouldnothavetakenplacewithoutthe
project. The economic impact model described in Section 2 is used to translate direct
expendituresassociatedwithupfrontconstructionoftheprojectintoanestimatedamountand
compositionofonetimeeconomicimpact(inexpenditures,employment,andearnings)atthe
CityandCommonwealthlevel.
3.2
DirectExpenditures
from
Upfront
Construction
BasedonprojectionsprovidedbyProjectH.O.M.E.,theproposedWellnessCenterisestimated
tohaveanupfrontconstructioncostofabout$11.0million. Tobeconservative,expenditure
categories suchas landacquisition, financingcosts,andprojectcontingencieswereexcluded
frominputoutputmodelingworkbecausetheydonotalwaysrepresentthepurchaseoflocal
goods and services. The $2.3 million of land acquisition, financing costs, and project
contingencieswas therefore removed, leaving amodelableupfront project cost estimate of
about$8.6millioninconstructioncostsandprofessionalservices(seeTable3.1).
Table3.1DirectExpendituresAssociatedwithUpfrontConstruction(in2012$M)2
Category Actual Amount Modelable Amount
Hard Costs $7.7 $7.7
Soft Costs $1.0 $1.0
Land Acquisition $1.2 $0.0
Financing Costs $0.6 $0.0
Project Contingencies $0.5 $0.0
Direct Expenditures3 $11.0 $8.6
Source:ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
2Throughoutthereport,dollarsareexpressedin2012terms.
3Throughoutthereport,totalsmaynotsumexactlyduetorounding.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
6/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page4
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
3.3 EconomicImpactfromUpfrontConstruction
The$8.6millionofdirectexpendituresassociatedwiththeupfrontconstructionoftheproject
isestimatedtogenerateaconsiderableamountofonetimeeconomic impactwithintheCity
andthe
Commonwealth
(see
Table
3.2).
Within
the
City,
upfront
construction
is
estimated
to
generateabout$13millionintotalexpenditures,supportingabout54jobsandabout$2million
inearningsduringtheconstructionperiod. WithintheCommonwealth,upfrontconstructionis
estimatedtogenerateabout$21million intotalexpenditures,supportingabout180jobsand
about$7millioninearningsduringtheconstructionperiod.4
Table3.2EstimatedOneTimeEconomicImpactofUpfrontConstruction
City Commonwealth
Direct Expenditures ($M) $8.6 $8.6
Indirect and InducedExpenditures ($M)
$4.2 $12.3
Total Expenditu res ($M) $12.8 $20.9
Total Employment 54 180
Total Earnings ($M) $2.1 $6.8
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
3.4 IndustryDistributionofEconomicImpactfromUpfrontConstruction
Theconstruction industrywillgainthemostfromtheupfrontconstructionoftheproject,but
manyother industrieswill alsobepositively impacted (see Table3.3). Within theCity, it is
preliminarily estimated that 40 percent of the expenditure impact and 42 percent of the
employmentimpactwillbeinindustriesbesidesconstruction. WithintheCommonwealth,itis
preliminarily estimated that 63 percent of the expenditure impact and 60 percent of the
employmentimpactwillbeinindustriesbesidesconstruction.5
4Commonwealth impactsare larger thanCity impacts,even thoughdirectexpendituresare thesame,because
spillover impactscontinue toemanatebeyond theCitysboundariestoareasoutside theCity. SincetheCity is
completely containedwithin the Commonwealth, the Commonwealth figures include the City figures, and the
differencebetweenthetworepresentsthe impactthat isestimatedtotakeplace insidetheCommonwealthbut
outsidetheCity.
5 See Appendix B for additional detail on the industry composition of the economic impact from upfront
construction.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
7/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page5
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
Table3.3EstimatedIndustryDistributionofOneTimeEconomicImpactfromUpfront
Construction
Expenditure Impact within the City %Expenditure Impact within theCommonwealth %
Construction 59.9% Construction 36.9%
Professional, scientific, and technicalservices 12.9% Manufacturing 13.6%
Manufacturing 4.4%Professional, scientific, and technicalservices 10.0%
Real estate and rental and leasing 4.2% Real estate and rental and leasing 6.1%
Finance and insurance 3.3% Retail trade 5.3%
All other industries 15.2% All other industries 28.1%
Employment Impact within the City %Employment Impact within theCommonwealth
%
Construction 58.3% Construction 40.1%
Professional, scientific, and technicalservices 11.1%
Retail trade 10.1%
Retail trade 5.9%Professional, scientific, and technicalservices
8.8%
Accommodation and food services 3.8% Manufacturing 7.3%
Health care and social assistance 3.8% Health care and social assistance 7.2%
All other industries 17.2% All other industries 26.4%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
8/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page6
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
4.0 ONGOINGOPERATIONS
4.1 Overview
Ongoingoperations
of
the
Wellness
Center
represent
an
annual
economic
stimulus
for
the
City
andCommonwealth. Thesedirectexpendituresrepresentnetneweconomicactivity intothe
City and Commonwealth, since theywould not have taken place without the project. The
economic impact model described in Section 2 is used to translate direct expenditures
associatedwithongoingoperationsoftheproject intoanestimatedamountandcomposition
of annual economic impact (expenditures, employment, and earnings) at the City and
Commonwealthlevel.
4.2
DirectExpenditures
from
Ongoing
Operations
BasedinpartonproformastatementsprovidedbyProjectH.O.M.E.,6theprojectisestimated
to generate about $5.3 million in annual operating expenditures at steady state (see Table
4.1).7 Muchoftheseexpendituresareassociatedwiththeprovisionofvarioushealthservices,
withtheremainderassociatedwithsupportiveservices,supplies,andoverhead.
Table4.1DirectExpendituresAssociatedwithOngoingOperations(in$M)
Annual Operat ing Budget Amount
Health Care $3.1
Administration $2.0
Utilities $0.1
Maintenance $0.1
Total Expenditures $5.3
Source:ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
6Mostof theanticipatedoperatingexpendituresassociatedwith theprojectareknownat this time. Financial
projections for twoof the projects service lines arenot known at this time,but square footage amounts are
known,andsolowendestimatesofindustryaveragesofannualoperatingexpendituresonapersquarefootbasis
fortheseuseswereusedtoarriveataconservativefigureforthoseoperatingexpenditures.
7 Theproject isprojected toarrive ata steadystate levelby Year5,atwhichpoint itwillbeoperatingat full
capacity.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
9/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page7
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
4.3 EconomicImpactfromOngoingOperations
Thisamountofdirectexpenditures isestimatedtogenerateaconsiderableamountofannual
economic impact within the City and the Commonwealth (see Table 4.2). Within the City,
ongoingoperations
are
estimated
to
generate
about
$8.8
million
in
total
expenditures,
supporting about 60 jobs and about $2.2 million in earnings each year. Within the
Commonwealth, ongoing operations are estimated to generate about $12.3million in total
expenditures,supportingabout135jobsandabout$4.1millioninearningseachyear.8
Table4.2EstimatedAnnualEconomicImpactofOngoingOperations
City Commonwealth
Direct Expenditures ($M) $5.3 $5.3
Indirect and InducedExpenditures ($M)
$3.5 $7.1
Total Expenditu res ($M) $8.8 $12.3
Total Employment 59 135
Total Earnings ($M) $2.2 $4.1
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
4.4 IndustryDistributionofEconomicImpactfromOngoingOperations
Thehealthcareandsocialassistanceindustrywillgainthemostfromtheongoingoperationsof
theproject,butmanyotherindustrieswillalsobepositivelyimpacted(seeTable4.3). Within
the City, it is estimated that 62 percent of the expenditure impact and 59 percent of the
employmentimpactwillbeinindustriesbesideshealthcareandsocialassistance. Withinthe
Commonwealth, it isestimated that70percentof theexpenditure impactand64percentof
theemploymentimpactwillbeinindustriesbesideshealthcareandsocialassistance.9
8Commonwealth impactsare larger thanCity impacts,even thoughdirectexpendituresare thesame,because
spillover impactscontinue toemanatebeyond theCitysboundariestoareasoutside theCity. SincetheCity is
completely containedwithin the Commonwealth, the Commonwealth figures include the City figures, and the
differencebetweenthetworepresentsthe impactthat isestimatedtotakeplace insidetheCommonwealthbut
outsidetheCity.
9 See Appendix B for additional detail on the industry composition of the economic impact from ongoing
operations.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
10/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page8
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
Table4.3EstimatedIndustryDistributionofAnnualEconomicImpactfromOngoing
Operations
Expenditure Impact within the City %Expenditure Impact within theCommonwealth %
Health care and social assistance 38.4% Health care and social assistance 30.4%
Administrative and waste managementservices 26.5%
Administrative and waste managementservices 20.0%
Real estate and rental and leasing 7.2% Manufacturing 9.0%
Professional, scientific, and technicalservices 4.3% Real estate and rental and leasing 7.6%
Finance and insurance 4.2% Finance and insurance 5.1%
All other industries 19.4% All other industries 29.7%
Employment Impact within the City %Employment Impact within theCommonwealth
%
Health care and social assistance 40.8% Health care and social assistance 36.2%
Administrative and waste managementservices 38.6%
Administrative and waste managementservices 30.0%
Accommodation and food services 4.2% Retail trade 6.1%
Professional, scientific, and technicalservices 2.4% Accommodation and food services 4.4%
Transportation and warehousing 2.2% Manufacturing 3.2%
All other industries 11.9% All other industries 20.1%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
11/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page9
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
5.0 FISCALIMPACT
5.1 Overview
Theupfront
construction
and
ongoing
operations
associated
with
Project
H.O.M.E.s
Wellness
CenterhastheeffectofexpandingvariousCityandCommonwealthtaxbases,thusgenerating
additionaltaxrevenuesfortheCityandCommonwealth. Thefiscalimpactmodeldescribedin
Section2isusedtoestimatetheseamounts.
5.2 FiscalImpactfromUpfrontConstruction
Thetemporaryexpansionineconomicactivitythroughtheupfrontconstructionoftheproject
andthrough
the
indirect
and
induced
expenditures
that
result
from
those
direct
expenditures
willalsoexpandvariousCityandCommonwealthtaxbases(seeTable5.1). Itisestimatedthat
theCitywill gain about $125,000 and theCommonwealthwill gain about $461,000 in tax
revenuesduringtheconstructionperiodasaresult.
Table5.1EstimatedOneTimeFiscalImpactfromProject(UpfrontConstruction)(In$000)
City of PhiladelphiaCommonwealth ofPennsylvania
Wage and Earnings $76 Personal Income $207
Sales $8 Sales and Use $201
Business Privilege $41 Corporate Net Income $53
Total City TaxRevenues
$125Total CommonwealthTax Revenues
$461
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
5.3
FiscalImpact
from
Ongoing
Operations
Theongoingexpansion ineconomicactivitythroughtheongoingoperationsofthe project
andthroughtheindirectandinducedexpendituresthatresultfromthosedirectexpenditures
willalsoexpandvariousCityandCommonwealthtaxbases(seeTable5.2). Itisestimatedthat
the Citywill gain about $90,000 and the Commonwealthwill gain about $300,000 in tax
revenueseachyearasaresult.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
12/20
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
13/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter page11
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
6.0 RACPECONOMICIMPACTMETRICS
ThetablebelowprovidesthenecessaryeconomicimpactmetricsforthepurposesoftheRACP
application. Italsoreferencesthetableortablesfromwhichthosefiguresarederived.
Pro formastatements forYear1werenotavailable. It isestimatedbyProjectH.O.M.E.that
ongoingoperationsinYear1willberoughly80percentofthesteadystatelevelsestimatedin
existingproformastatements. Therefore,itisassumedthatYear1impactswillbe80percent
ofYear5impacts.
Table6.1RACPEconomicImpactMetrics
Question Column A (Priorto Project)
Column B (1-Year)
Column C (5-Year)
Table Reference
A-1(a) 46 57 4.2
A-1(b)
A-2(a)
A-2(b)
B(a)
B(b)
C 62 77 4.2
D 74 3.2
E $30,400 $30,400 4.2
F $30,400 $30,400 4.2
G $37,400 3.2
H No
I $4.2 million $5.3 million 4.2
J $5.7 million $7.1 million 4.2K $243,000 $304,000 5.2
Source:EconsultCorporation(2012)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
14/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA1
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
APPENDIXAECONOMICANDFISCALIMPACTMODELMETHODOLOGY
A.1 EconomicImpactModel
Themethodology
and
input
output
model
used
in
this
economic
impact
analysis
are
considered
standard forestimatingsuchexpenditure impacts,and the resultsare typically recognizedas
reasonableandplausibleeffectsbasedon theassumptions (includingdata)used togenerate
the impacts. Ingeneral,anyeconomicactivitycanbedescribed in termsof the totaloutput
generated fromeverydollarofdirectexpenditures. Ifan industry inagiven region sells$1
millionofitsgoods,thereisadirectinfusionof$1millionintotheregion. Thesearereferredto
asdirectexpenditures.
However,theeconomicimpactontheregiondoesnotstopwiththatinitialdirectexpenditure.
Regionalsupplierstothat industryhavealsobeencalleduponto increasetheirproductionto
meetthe
needs
of
the
industry
to
produce
the
$1
million
in
goods
sold.
Further,
suppliers
of
these same suppliersmust also increase production tomeet their increased needs aswell.
These are referred to as indirect expenditures. In addition, these direct and indirect
expenditures requireworkers,and theseworkersmustbepaid for their labor. Thesewages
andsalarieswill,inturn,bespentinpartongoodsandservicesproducedlocally,engendering
anotherroundofimpacts. Thesearereferredtoasinducedexpenditures.
DirectexpendituresarefedintoamodelconstructedbyEconsultCorporationandbasedondata
providedbytheUSDepartmentofCommercesBureauofEconomicAnalysisthroughitsRegional
InputOutputModeling System (RIMS II). Themodel then produces a calculation of the total
expenditure effect on the regional economy. This total effect includes the initial direct
expenditureeffect,
as
well
as
the
ripple
effects
described,
the
indirect
and
induced
expenditure
effects.
Partof the totalexpenditureeffect is actually the increase in totalwagesand salaries (usually
referredtoasearnings),whichthemodelcanseparate fromtheexpenditureestimates. Direct
payrollestimatesarefedintothehouseholdindustryoftheinputoutputmodel. Impactsofthis
industryareestimatedusing thepersonalconsumptionexpenditurebreakdownof thenational
inputoutputtableandareadjustedtoaccountforregionalconsumptionspendingand leakages
from personal taxes and savings. The direct, indirect, and induced earnings represent a
componentof the totaleconomic impactattributable towagesand salaries.Finally, themodel
calculatesthe
total
expenditures
affecting
the
various
industries
and
translates
this
estimate
into
anestimateofthetotallabor(orjobs)requiredtoproducethisoutput.10
10 Inthe inputoutputmodel,theestimateof increasedemploymentwillalwaysbe intermsoftheemployment
required for a given level of production, usually referred to aspersonyears of employment. As such, these
estimatescannotbeinterpretedasspecifyingpermanentjobs.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
15/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA2
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
Inshort,the inputoutputmodelestimatesthetotaleconomicactivity inaregionthatcanbe
attributed to thedirectdemand for thegoodsor servicesofvarious industries. This typeof
approach is used to estimate the total economic activity attributable to the expenditures
associatedwithvarioustypesofspendingintheregion.
A.2 FiscalImpactModel
TheRIMSIImodelprovidesestimatesoftheeconomicimpactofanewprojectorprogramon
the regional economy. It does not, however, estimate the fiscal impact of the increased
economicactivityonstateandlocalgovernments.Econsulthasconstructedamodelthattakes
theoutputfromtheRIMS IImodelandgeneratesdetailedestimatesofthe increases instate
and localtaxcollectionsthatarisefromthenewproject.Thoserevenuesare infactapartof
thetotal
economic
impact
of
anew
project
that
is
often
ignored
in
conventional
economic
impactanalyses.
TheRIMS IImodelprovidesestimatesofdirect, indirect,and inducedexpenditures,earnings,
and employmentwithin the defined region. The Econsult fiscal impactmodel combines the
RIMSIIoutputwithU.S.CensusBureauCountyBusinessPatternsdatatoproduceestimatesof
thedistributionofadditionalemploymentandearningsbycounty.Inaddition,the2000Census
Journey to Work data on commuting flows are utilized to estimate income earned by
residentsofeachcountywithintheregion,regardlessofwheretheywork.Thefiscalmodelcan
then estimate the increase in earned income taxes by county and for the state as awhole
resulting from the new project. For complex cases, like Philadelphia, the model can
differentiatebetween
residents
and
nonresidents
and
apply
the
proper
wage
tax
rate.
Pennsylvania state business and sales taxes, as well as business taxes in Philadelphia, are
estimatedbasedon themost recentdataonaverage sales taxbaseperemployeebymajor
industry,ascontainedinpublicationsfromthePennsylvaniaDepartmentofRevenue.
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
16/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA3
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
FigureA.1GlossaryofTermsforInputOutputModels
Multiplier Effect the notion that initial outlays have a ripple effect on a local economy, to
the extent that direct expenditures lead to indirect and induced expenditures.
Economic Impacts total expenditures, employment, and earnings generated.
Fiscal Impacts local and/or state tax revenues generated.
Direct Expenditures initial outlays usually associated with the project or activity beingmodeled; examples: one-time upfront construction and related expenditures associatedwith a new or renovated facility, annual expenditures associated with ongoing facilitymaintenance and/or operating activity.
Direct Employment the full time equivalent jobs associated with the direct expenditures.Direct Earnings the salaries and wages earned by employees and contractors as part ofthe direct expenditures.
Indirect Expenditures indirect and induced outlays resulting from the directexpenditures; examples: vendors increasing production to meet new demand associatedwith the direct expenditures, workers spending direct earnings on various purchases withinthe local economy.
Indirect Employment the full time equivalent jobs associated with the indirectexpenditures.
Indirect Earnings the salaries and wages earned by employees and contractors as partof the indirect expenditures.
Total Expenditures the sum total of direct expenditures and indirect expenditures.
Total Employment the sum total of direct employment and indirect employment.
Total Earnings the sum total of direct earnings and indirect earnings.
Source:EconsultCorporation(2009)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
17/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA4
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
APPENDIXBESTIMATEDINDUSTRYDISTRIBUTIONOFECONOMICIMPACT
FROMUPFRONTCONSTRUCTION
TableB.1EstimatedExpenditureDistributionofEconomicImpactwithintheCityfrom
UpfrontConstruction
Rank IndustryExpenditures
($M) %
1 Construction $7.7 59.9%
2 Professional, scientific, and technical services $1.7 12.9%
3 Manufacturing $0.6 4.4%
4 Real estate and rental and leasing $0.5 4.2%
5 Finance and insurance $0.4 3.3%
All other industries $1.9 15.2%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
TableB.2EstimatedEmploymentDistributionofEconomicImpactwithintheCityfrom
UpfrontConstruction
Rank Industry Employment %
1 Construction 31.7 58.3%
2 Professional, scientific, and technical services 6.0 11.1%
3 Retail trade 3.2 5.9%
4 Accommodation and food services 2.1 3.8%
5 Health care and social assistance 2.1 3.8%
All other industries 9.3 17.2%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
18/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA5
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
TableB.3EstimatedExpenditureDistributionofEconomicImpactwithinthe
CommonwealthfromUpfrontConstruction
Rank IndustryExpenditures
($M) %
1 Construction $7.7 36.9%
2 Manufacturing $2.8 13.6%
3 Professional, scientific, and technical services $2.1 10.0%
4 Real estate and rental and leasing $1.3 6.1%
5 Retail trade $1.1 5.3%
All other industries $5.9 28.1%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
TableB.4EstimatedEmploymentDistributionofEconomicImpactwithinthe
CommonwealthfromUpfrontConstruction
Rank Industry Employment %
1 Construction 72.4 40.1%
2 Retail trade 18.3 10.1%
3 Professional, scientific, and technical services 15.8 8.8%
4 Manufacturing 13.2 7.3%
5 Health care and social assistance 13.0 7.2%
All other industries 47.6 26.4%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
19/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA6
ECONSULTCORPORATION June29,2012
APPENDIXCESTIMATEDINDUSTRYDISTRIBUTIONOFECONOMICIMPACT
FROMONGOINGOPERATIONS
TableC.1EstimatedExpenditureDistributionofEconomicImpactwithintheCityfrom
OngoingOperations
Rank IndustryExpenditures
($M) %
1 Health care and social assistance $3.4 38.4%
2 Administrative and waste management services $2.3 26.5%
3 Real estate and rental and leasing $0.6 7.2%
4 Professional, scientific, and technical services $0.4 4.3%
5 Finance and insurance $0.4 4.2%
All other industries $1.7 19.4%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
TableC.2EstimatedEmploymentDistributionofEconomicImpactwithintheCityfrom
OngoingOperations
Rank Industry Employment %
1 Health care and social assistance 24.0 40.8%
2 Administrative and waste management services 22.7 38.6%
3 Accommodation and food services 2.5 4.2%
4 Professional, scientific, and technical services 1.4 2.4%
5 Transportation and warehousing 1.3 2.2%
All other industries 7.0 11.9%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
-
8/11/2019 Project HOME Economic Impact Study FINAL 2012-06-29
20/20
EconomicandFiscalImpactofProjectH.O.M.E.WellnessCenter pageA7
ECONSULT CORPORATION J 29 2012
TableC.3EstimatedExpenditureDistributionofEconomicImpactwithinthe
CommonwealthfromOngoingOperations
Rank IndustryExpenditures
($M) %
1 Health care and social assistance $3.7 30.4%
2 Administrative and waste management services $2.5 20.0%
3 Manufacturing $1.1 9.0%
4 Real estate and rental and leasing $0.9 7.6%
5 Finance and insurance $0.6 5.1%
All other industries $3.4 27.9%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)
TableC.4EstimatedEmploymentDistributionofEconomicImpactwithinthe
CommonwealthfromOngoingOperations
Rank Industry Employment %
1 Health care and social assistance 48.7 36.2%
2 Administrative and waste management services 40.4 30.0%
3 Retail trade 8.1 6.1%
4 Accommodation and food services 5.9 4.4%
5 Manufacturing 4.3 3.2%
All other industries 27.0 20.1%
Source:USDepartmentofCommerce(2009),ProjectH.O.M.E.(2012),EconsultCorporation(2012)