project finance spreadsheet

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TWO PROJECTS Discount rate 12% Year Project A Project B 0 -1000 -800 1 500 420 2 500 420 3 500 420 4 500 420 5 500 420 NPV 802.39 714.01 #VALUE! A B C D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

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Page 1: Project Finance Spreadsheet

TWO PROJECTSDiscount rate 12%

Year Project A Project B0 -1000 -8001 500 4202 500 4203 500 4204 500 4205 500 420

NPV 802.39 714.01 #VALUE!

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Page 2: Project Finance Spreadsheet

TWO PROJECTSDiscount rate 12%

Year Project A Project B0 -1000 -8001 500 4202 500 4203 500 4204 500 4205 500 420

IRR 41% 44% #VALUE!

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Page 3: Project Finance Spreadsheet

SIMPLE CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLEDiscount rate 15%

Year Cash flow0 -1,0001 1002 2003 3004 4005 5006 600

PV of future cash flows 1,172.13 #VALUE!NPV 172.13 #VALUE!IRR 19.71% #VALUE!

NPV0% 1,100.00 #VALUE!3% 849.34 #VALUE!6% 637.679% 457.83

12% 304.1615% 172.1318% 58.1021% -40.8624% -127.1427% -202.7130% -269.16

Discountrate

-3% 0% 2% 5% 7% 10% 12% 15% 17% 20% 22% 25% 27% 30%

-400

-200

0

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NPV of Cash Flows

Discount rate

NP

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Page 4: Project Finance Spreadsheet

-3% 0% 2% 5% 7% 10% 12% 15% 17% 20% 22% 25% 27% 30%

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-200

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NPV of Cash Flows

Discount rate

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Page 5: Project Finance Spreadsheet

RANKING PROJECTS WITH NPV AND IRRDiscount rate 15%

Year Project A Project B0 -500 -5001 100 2502 100 2503 150 2004 200 1005 400 50

NPV 74.42 119.96 #VALUE!IRR 19.77% 27.38% #VALUE!

TABLE OF NPVs AND DISCOUNT RATES

0% 450.00 350.00 #VALUE!2% 382.57 311.53 #VALUE!4% 321.69 275.906% 266.60 242.848% 216.64 212.11

10% 171.22 183.4912% 129.85 156.7914% 92.08 131.8416% 57.53 108.4718% 25.86 86.5720% -3.22 66.0022% -29.96 46.6624% -54.61 28.4526% -77.36 11.2828% -98.39 -4.9330% -117.87 -20.25

Calculating the crossover point

Year Project A Project B0 -500 -500 0 #VALUE!1 100 250 -150 #VALUE!2 100 250 -1503 150 200 -504 200 100 1005 400 50 350

IRR 8.51% #VALUE!

Project ANPV

Project BNPV

Differential cash flows:cash flow(A) - cash flow(B)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

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Project ANPV

Project BNPV

Discount rate

NP

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Page 6: Project Finance Spreadsheet

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

-200

-100

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Project ANPV

Project BNPV

Discount rate

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Page 7: Project Finance Spreadsheet

IGNORE SUNK COSTSHouse cost 100,000Fix up cost 20,000

Year0 -120,000 -20,0001 90,000 90,000

IRR -25% 350% #VALUE!

Cash flowwrong!

Cash flowright!

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Page 8: Project Finance Spreadsheet

SALLY & DAVE'S CONDOCost of condo 100,000Sally & Dave's tax rate 30%

Annual reportable income calculationRent 24,000Expenses Property taxes -1,500 Miscellaneous expenses -1,000Depreciation -10,000Reportable income 11,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -3,450 #VALUE!Net income 8,050 #VALUE!

Net income 8,050 #VALUE!Add back depreciation 10,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!

Rent 24,000Expenses Property taxes -1,500 Miscellaneous expenses -1,000Depreciation 0Reportable income 21,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -6,450 #VALUE!Net income without depreciaiton 15,050 #VALUE!

Depreciation tax shield 3,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!

Cash flow, method 1:Add back depreciation

Cash flow, method 2:Compute after-tax income withoutdepreciation, then add depreciationtax shield

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This is what the net income would have been if depreciation were not an expense for tax purposes.

The effect of depreciation is to add a $3,000 tax shield.

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Page 10: Project Finance Spreadsheet

SALLY & DAVE'S CONDO--PRELIMINARY VALUATIONDiscount rate 12%

Year Cash flow0 -100,0001 18,0502 18,0503 18,0504 18,0505 18,0506 18,0507 18,0508 18,0509 18,050

10 18,050

Net present value, NPV 1,987 #VALUE!Internal rate of return, IRR 12.48% #VALUE!

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Page 11: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Cost of condo 100,000Sally & Dave's tax rate 30%

Annual reportable income calculation

Rent 24,000Expenses Property taxes -1,500 Miscellaneous expenses -1,000

Depreciation -10,000Reportable income 11,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -3,450 #VALUE!Net income 8,050 #VALUE!

Net income 8,050 #VALUE!Add back depreciation 10,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!

Discount rate 12%

Year Cash flow0 -100,0001 18,050 #VALUE!2 18,0503 18,0504 18,0505 18,0506 18,0507 18,0508 18,0509 18,050

10 74,050 #VALUE!

NPV of condo investment 20,017 #VALUE!IRR of investment 15.98% #VALUE!

Data table--Condo IRR as function of annual rent and terminal valueRent

15.98% 18,000Terminal value --> 50,000 Err:504

60,000 Err:50470,000 Err:50480,000 Err:504

SALLY & DAVE'S CONDO: PROFITABILITYAND TERMINAL VALUE

Cash flow, method 1Add back depreciation

=B36

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Page 12: Project Finance Spreadsheet

90,000 Err:504100,000 Err:504110,000 Err:504120,000 Err:504130,000 Err:504140,000 Err:504150,000 Err:504160,000 Err:504

$26,000 per year) and terminal value (from $50,000 to $160,000). Data tables are very useful though not trivial to compute. See Chapter 30 for more information.

Note: The data table above computes the IRR of the condo investment for combinations of rent (from $18,000 to

=B36A B C454647484950515253545556

Page 13: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Terminal value

80,000Book value 0Taxable gain 80,000 #VALUE!Taxes 24,000 #VALUE!

56,000 #VALUE!

Data table--Condo IRR as function of annual rent and terminal value

20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504

Estimated resale value,year 10

Net after-tax cash flow from terminal value

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Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504

$26,000 per year) and terminal value (from $50,000 to $160,000). Data tables are very useful though not trivial to compute. See Chapter 30 for more information.

: The data table above computes the IRR of the condo investment for combinations of rent (from $18,000 to

D E F G H454647484950515253545556

Page 15: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Cost of condo 100,000Sally & Dave's tax rate 30%

Annual reportable income calculation Terminal value

Rent 24,000Expenses Book value Property taxes -1,500 Taxable gain Miscellaneous expenses -1,000 Taxes

Depreciation -10,000Reportable income 11,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -3,450 #VALUE!Net income 8,050 #VALUE!

Net income 8,050 #VALUE!Add back depreciation 10,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!

Discount rate 12%

Year Cashflow0 -100,0001 18,050 #VALUE!2 18,0503 18,0504 18,0505 18,0506 18,0507 18,0508 18,0509 18,050

10 74,050 #VALUE!

NPV of condo investment 20,017 #VALUE!IRR of investment 15.98% #VALUE!

Data table--Condo IRR as function of annual rent and terminal valueRent

15.98% 18,000 20,000Terminal value --> 50,000

SALLY & DAVE'S CONDO: PROFITABILITYAND TERMINAL VALUE

Estimated resale value,year 10

Net after tax--cashflow from terminal value

Cash flow, method 1Add back depreciation

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Page 16: Project Finance Spreadsheet

60,00070,00080,00090,000

100,000110,000120,000130,000140,000150,000160,000

=B36

A B C D4243444546474849505152

Page 17: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Terminal value

80,0000

80,000 #VALUE!24,000 #VALUE!

56,000 #VALUE!

22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000

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Page 18: Project Finance Spreadsheet

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISCost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow

0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220

3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 220Minus depreciation -100 8 220Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE!Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE! NPV 187Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!

Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220

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BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSIS

#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

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Cost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow

0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220

3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 220Minus depreciation -100 8 400Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE!Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE! NPV 246Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!

Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220

Calculating the cash flow from salvage valueMachine market value, year 8 300Book value, year 8 0Taxable gain 300 #VALUE!Taxes paid on gain 120 #VALUE!Cash flow from salvage value 180 #VALUE!

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISwith salvage value

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#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

#VALUE!

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISG

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Page 22: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Cost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow

0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220

3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 530Minus depreciation -100Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE! NPV 232Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE!Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!

Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220

Calculating the cash flow from salvage valueMachine market value, year 7 450Book value, year 7 100Taxable gain 350 #VALUE!Taxes paid on gain 140 #VALUE!Cash flow from salvage value 310 #VALUE!

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISwith salvage value

Machine sold at end of year 7

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#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

#VALUE!

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSIS

Machine sold at end of year 7

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Page 24: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Cost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow

0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220

3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 290Minus depreciation -100Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE! NPV 142Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE!Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!

Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220

Calculating the cash flow from salvage valueMachine market value, year 7 50Book value, year 7 100Taxable gain -50 #VALUE!Taxes paid on gain -20 #VALUE!Cash flow from salvage value 70 #VALUE!

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISwith salvage value

Machine sold at end of year 7

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#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

#VALUE!

BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSIS

Machine sold at end of year 7

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Page 26: Project Finance Spreadsheet

Discount rate 12%

Year Cash flow0 -3001 1852 2493 1554 1355 420

NPV 498.12 #VALUE!IRR 62.67% #VALUE!

Discount rate 12%

Year Cash flow

0 -5001 1852 2493 1554 1355 420

NPV 298.12IRR 31.97%

DON'T FORGET THE COST OF FOREGONE OPPORTUNITIES

The $300 direct cost + $200 <-- value of the existing machines

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Page 27: Project Finance Spreadsheet

SELL THE PHOTOCOPIER OR FIX IT UP?Annual cost savings (before tax) after fixing up the machine 8,000Book value of machine 15,000Market value of machine 5,000Rehab cost of machine 17,000Tax rate 40%Annual depreciation if machine is retained 3,000Annual copying costs In-house 25,000 Outsourcing 33,000Discount rate 12%

Alternative 1: Fix up machine and do copying in-houseYear Cash flow

0 -10,2001 -13,8002 -13,8003 -13,8004 -13,8005 -13,800

NPV of fixing up machine and in-house copying -59,946

Alternative 2: Sell machine and outsource copyingYear Cash flow

0 9,0001 -19,8002 -19,8003 -19,8004 -19,8005 -19,800

NPV of selling machine and outsourcing -62,375

Subtract Alternative 2 CFs from Alternative 1 CFsYear Cash flow

0 -19,2001 6,0002 6,0003 6,0004 6,0005 6,000

NPV(Alternative 1 - Alternative 2) 2,429

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SELL THE PHOTOCOPIER OR FIX IT UP?

#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

#VALUE!#VALUE!

#VALUE!

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Page 29: Project Finance Spreadsheet

CAPITAL BUDGETING WITH ACCELERATED DEPRECIATIONMachine cost 10,000Annual materials savings, before tax 3,000Salvage value, end of year 5 4,000Tax rate 40%Discount rate 12%

Accelerated depreciation schedule (ACRS)

Year1 20.00% 2,000 800 #VALUE!2 32.00% 3,200 1,280 #VALUE!3 19.20% 1,920 768 #VALUE!4 11.52% 1,152 461 #VALUE!5 11.52% 1,152 4616 5.76% 576 230

Terminal valueYear 6 sale price, estimated 4,000 #VALUE!Year 6 book value 576 #VALUE!Taxable gain 3,424 #VALUE!Taxes 1,370 #VALUE!Net cash flow from terminal value 2,630 #VALUE!

Net present value calculation

Year Cost Terminal value0 -10,0001 1,800 8002 1,800 1,2803 1,800 7684 1,800 4615 1,800 4616 2,630

Net present value 657 #VALUE!IRR 14.36% #VALUE!

ACRSdepreciationpercentage

Actualdepreciation

Depreciationtax shield

After-tax cost savings

Depreciation tax shield

The book value at the end of year 6 is the initial cost of the machine ($10,000) minus the sum of allthe depreciation taken on the machine through year 6 ($9,424).

The net cash flow from the terminal value equals the year 6 sale price minus applicable taxes.

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CAPITAL BUDGETING WITH ACCELERATED DEPRECIATION

Total cash flow-10,0002,600 #VALUE!3,0802,5682,2612,2612,630

The book value at the end of year 6 is the initial cost of the machine ($10,000) minus the sum of allthe depreciation taken on the machine through year 6 ($9,424).

The net cash flow from the terminal value equals the year 6 sale price minus applicable taxes.

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