project finance spreadsheet
TRANSCRIPT
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TWO PROJECTSDiscount rate 12%
Year Project A Project B0 -1000 -8001 500 4202 500 4203 500 4204 500 4205 500 420
NPV 802.39 714.01 #VALUE!
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TWO PROJECTSDiscount rate 12%
Year Project A Project B0 -1000 -8001 500 4202 500 4203 500 4204 500 4205 500 420
IRR 41% 44% #VALUE!
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SIMPLE CAPITAL BUDGETING EXAMPLEDiscount rate 15%
Year Cash flow0 -1,0001 1002 2003 3004 4005 5006 600
PV of future cash flows 1,172.13 #VALUE!NPV 172.13 #VALUE!IRR 19.71% #VALUE!
NPV0% 1,100.00 #VALUE!3% 849.34 #VALUE!6% 637.679% 457.83
12% 304.1615% 172.1318% 58.1021% -40.8624% -127.1427% -202.7130% -269.16
Discountrate
-3% 0% 2% 5% 7% 10% 12% 15% 17% 20% 22% 25% 27% 30%
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NPV of Cash Flows
Discount rate
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-3% 0% 2% 5% 7% 10% 12% 15% 17% 20% 22% 25% 27% 30%
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RANKING PROJECTS WITH NPV AND IRRDiscount rate 15%
Year Project A Project B0 -500 -5001 100 2502 100 2503 150 2004 200 1005 400 50
NPV 74.42 119.96 #VALUE!IRR 19.77% 27.38% #VALUE!
TABLE OF NPVs AND DISCOUNT RATES
0% 450.00 350.00 #VALUE!2% 382.57 311.53 #VALUE!4% 321.69 275.906% 266.60 242.848% 216.64 212.11
10% 171.22 183.4912% 129.85 156.7914% 92.08 131.8416% 57.53 108.4718% 25.86 86.5720% -3.22 66.0022% -29.96 46.6624% -54.61 28.4526% -77.36 11.2828% -98.39 -4.9330% -117.87 -20.25
Calculating the crossover point
Year Project A Project B0 -500 -500 0 #VALUE!1 100 250 -150 #VALUE!2 100 250 -1503 150 200 -504 200 100 1005 400 50 350
IRR 8.51% #VALUE!
Project ANPV
Project BNPV
Differential cash flows:cash flow(A) - cash flow(B)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
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Project ANPV
Project BNPV
Discount rate
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Discount rate
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IGNORE SUNK COSTSHouse cost 100,000Fix up cost 20,000
Year0 -120,000 -20,0001 90,000 90,000
IRR -25% 350% #VALUE!
Cash flowwrong!
Cash flowright!
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SALLY & DAVE'S CONDOCost of condo 100,000Sally & Dave's tax rate 30%
Annual reportable income calculationRent 24,000Expenses Property taxes -1,500 Miscellaneous expenses -1,000Depreciation -10,000Reportable income 11,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -3,450 #VALUE!Net income 8,050 #VALUE!
Net income 8,050 #VALUE!Add back depreciation 10,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!
Rent 24,000Expenses Property taxes -1,500 Miscellaneous expenses -1,000Depreciation 0Reportable income 21,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -6,450 #VALUE!Net income without depreciaiton 15,050 #VALUE!
Depreciation tax shield 3,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!
Cash flow, method 1:Add back depreciation
Cash flow, method 2:Compute after-tax income withoutdepreciation, then add depreciationtax shield
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This is what the net income would have been if depreciation were not an expense for tax purposes.
The effect of depreciation is to add a $3,000 tax shield.
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SALLY & DAVE'S CONDO--PRELIMINARY VALUATIONDiscount rate 12%
Year Cash flow0 -100,0001 18,0502 18,0503 18,0504 18,0505 18,0506 18,0507 18,0508 18,0509 18,050
10 18,050
Net present value, NPV 1,987 #VALUE!Internal rate of return, IRR 12.48% #VALUE!
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Cost of condo 100,000Sally & Dave's tax rate 30%
Annual reportable income calculation
Rent 24,000Expenses Property taxes -1,500 Miscellaneous expenses -1,000
Depreciation -10,000Reportable income 11,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -3,450 #VALUE!Net income 8,050 #VALUE!
Net income 8,050 #VALUE!Add back depreciation 10,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!
Discount rate 12%
Year Cash flow0 -100,0001 18,050 #VALUE!2 18,0503 18,0504 18,0505 18,0506 18,0507 18,0508 18,0509 18,050
10 74,050 #VALUE!
NPV of condo investment 20,017 #VALUE!IRR of investment 15.98% #VALUE!
Data table--Condo IRR as function of annual rent and terminal valueRent
15.98% 18,000Terminal value --> 50,000 Err:504
60,000 Err:50470,000 Err:50480,000 Err:504
SALLY & DAVE'S CONDO: PROFITABILITYAND TERMINAL VALUE
Cash flow, method 1Add back depreciation
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90,000 Err:504100,000 Err:504110,000 Err:504120,000 Err:504130,000 Err:504140,000 Err:504150,000 Err:504160,000 Err:504
$26,000 per year) and terminal value (from $50,000 to $160,000). Data tables are very useful though not trivial to compute. See Chapter 30 for more information.
Note: The data table above computes the IRR of the condo investment for combinations of rent (from $18,000 to
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Terminal value
80,000Book value 0Taxable gain 80,000 #VALUE!Taxes 24,000 #VALUE!
56,000 #VALUE!
Data table--Condo IRR as function of annual rent and terminal value
20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504
Estimated resale value,year 10
Net after-tax cash flow from terminal value
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Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504 Err:504
$26,000 per year) and terminal value (from $50,000 to $160,000). Data tables are very useful though not trivial to compute. See Chapter 30 for more information.
: The data table above computes the IRR of the condo investment for combinations of rent (from $18,000 to
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Cost of condo 100,000Sally & Dave's tax rate 30%
Annual reportable income calculation Terminal value
Rent 24,000Expenses Book value Property taxes -1,500 Taxable gain Miscellaneous expenses -1,000 Taxes
Depreciation -10,000Reportable income 11,500 #VALUE!Taxes (rate = 30%) -3,450 #VALUE!Net income 8,050 #VALUE!
Net income 8,050 #VALUE!Add back depreciation 10,000 #VALUE!Cash flow 18,050 #VALUE!
Discount rate 12%
Year Cashflow0 -100,0001 18,050 #VALUE!2 18,0503 18,0504 18,0505 18,0506 18,0507 18,0508 18,0509 18,050
10 74,050 #VALUE!
NPV of condo investment 20,017 #VALUE!IRR of investment 15.98% #VALUE!
Data table--Condo IRR as function of annual rent and terminal valueRent
15.98% 18,000 20,000Terminal value --> 50,000
SALLY & DAVE'S CONDO: PROFITABILITYAND TERMINAL VALUE
Estimated resale value,year 10
Net after tax--cashflow from terminal value
Cash flow, method 1Add back depreciation
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60,00070,00080,00090,000
100,000110,000120,000130,000140,000150,000160,000
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Terminal value
80,0000
80,000 #VALUE!24,000 #VALUE!
56,000 #VALUE!
22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000
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BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISCost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow
0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220
3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 220Minus depreciation -100 8 220Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE!Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE! NPV 187Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!
Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220
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BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSIS
#VALUE!#VALUE!
#VALUE!
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Cost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow
0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220
3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 220Minus depreciation -100 8 400Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE!Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE! NPV 246Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!
Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220
Calculating the cash flow from salvage valueMachine market value, year 8 300Book value, year 8 0Taxable gain 300 #VALUE!Taxes paid on gain 120 #VALUE!Cash flow from salvage value 180 #VALUE!
BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISwith salvage value
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#VALUE!#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISG
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Cost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow
0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220
3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 530Minus depreciation -100Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE! NPV 232Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE!Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!
Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220
Calculating the cash flow from salvage valueMachine market value, year 7 450Book value, year 7 100Taxable gain 350 #VALUE!Taxes paid on gain 140 #VALUE!Cash flow from salvage value 310 #VALUE!
BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISwith salvage value
Machine sold at end of year 7
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#VALUE!#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSIS
Machine sold at end of year 7
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Cost of the machine 800Annual anticipated sales 1,000Annual COGS 400Annual SG&A 300 NPV AnalysisAnnual depreciation 100 Year Cash flow
0 -800Tax rate 40% 1 220Discount rate 15% 2 220
3 220Annual profit and loss (P&L) 4 220Sales 1,000 5 220Minus COGS -400 6 220Minus SG&A -300 7 290Minus depreciation -100Profit before taxes 200 #VALUE! NPV 142Subtract taxes -80 #VALUE!Profit after taxes 120 #VALUE!
Calculating the annual cash flowProfit after taxes 120Add back depreciation 100Cash flow 220
Calculating the cash flow from salvage valueMachine market value, year 7 50Book value, year 7 100Taxable gain -50 #VALUE!Taxes paid on gain -20 #VALUE!Cash flow from salvage value 70 #VALUE!
BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSISwith salvage value
Machine sold at end of year 7
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#VALUE!#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
BUYING A MACHINE--NPV ANALYSIS
Machine sold at end of year 7
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Discount rate 12%
Year Cash flow0 -3001 1852 2493 1554 1355 420
NPV 498.12 #VALUE!IRR 62.67% #VALUE!
Discount rate 12%
Year Cash flow
0 -5001 1852 2493 1554 1355 420
NPV 298.12IRR 31.97%
DON'T FORGET THE COST OF FOREGONE OPPORTUNITIES
The $300 direct cost + $200 <-- value of the existing machines
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SELL THE PHOTOCOPIER OR FIX IT UP?Annual cost savings (before tax) after fixing up the machine 8,000Book value of machine 15,000Market value of machine 5,000Rehab cost of machine 17,000Tax rate 40%Annual depreciation if machine is retained 3,000Annual copying costs In-house 25,000 Outsourcing 33,000Discount rate 12%
Alternative 1: Fix up machine and do copying in-houseYear Cash flow
0 -10,2001 -13,8002 -13,8003 -13,8004 -13,8005 -13,800
NPV of fixing up machine and in-house copying -59,946
Alternative 2: Sell machine and outsource copyingYear Cash flow
0 9,0001 -19,8002 -19,8003 -19,8004 -19,8005 -19,800
NPV of selling machine and outsourcing -62,375
Subtract Alternative 2 CFs from Alternative 1 CFsYear Cash flow
0 -19,2001 6,0002 6,0003 6,0004 6,0005 6,000
NPV(Alternative 1 - Alternative 2) 2,429
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SELL THE PHOTOCOPIER OR FIX IT UP?
#VALUE!#VALUE!
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#VALUE!#VALUE!
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#VALUE!#VALUE!
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CAPITAL BUDGETING WITH ACCELERATED DEPRECIATIONMachine cost 10,000Annual materials savings, before tax 3,000Salvage value, end of year 5 4,000Tax rate 40%Discount rate 12%
Accelerated depreciation schedule (ACRS)
Year1 20.00% 2,000 800 #VALUE!2 32.00% 3,200 1,280 #VALUE!3 19.20% 1,920 768 #VALUE!4 11.52% 1,152 461 #VALUE!5 11.52% 1,152 4616 5.76% 576 230
Terminal valueYear 6 sale price, estimated 4,000 #VALUE!Year 6 book value 576 #VALUE!Taxable gain 3,424 #VALUE!Taxes 1,370 #VALUE!Net cash flow from terminal value 2,630 #VALUE!
Net present value calculation
Year Cost Terminal value0 -10,0001 1,800 8002 1,800 1,2803 1,800 7684 1,800 4615 1,800 4616 2,630
Net present value 657 #VALUE!IRR 14.36% #VALUE!
ACRSdepreciationpercentage
Actualdepreciation
Depreciationtax shield
After-tax cost savings
Depreciation tax shield
The book value at the end of year 6 is the initial cost of the machine ($10,000) minus the sum of allthe depreciation taken on the machine through year 6 ($9,424).
The net cash flow from the terminal value equals the year 6 sale price minus applicable taxes.
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CAPITAL BUDGETING WITH ACCELERATED DEPRECIATION
Total cash flow-10,0002,600 #VALUE!3,0802,5682,2612,2612,630
The book value at the end of year 6 is the initial cost of the machine ($10,000) minus the sum of allthe depreciation taken on the machine through year 6 ($9,424).
The net cash flow from the terminal value equals the year 6 sale price minus applicable taxes.
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