profile of the mid-east region - home - regional skills · 2017. 6. 28. · indices of gross value...
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Profile of the Border Region
Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS
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Introduction
The engagement between education and training providers and employers through the Regional Skills Forum needs to be based on the shared understanding of the labour market they are operating in. Both sides represent the key players in relation to the local labour markets, one on the side of the demand for skills (employers) and one on the side of the supply of skills (education and training providers). The availability of labour market information is critical in ensuring that the engagement between the education and training providers and employers results in an evidence-based, well-informed dialogue about the issues regarding the supply and demand for skills and a mutual agreement on how best to resolve issues identified.
The labour market information presented here is aimed at providing a starting point in relation to the evidence upon which the engagement should be based. It contains a selection of tables, charts and info-graphics on each region’s economy (GVA, income, enterprise base), labour market indicators (employment rate, unemployment rate etc.), demand (employment trends, profile of recent hires, vacancies, immigration statistics, estimates of recruitment requirement by broad skill group) and supply (graduate output and unemployment). It also provides an overview of some issues identified through recent analysis of the labour market, including skill shortages and labour turnover.
The data and analysis presented here has been prepared using the data held in the National Skills Database, which collates a wide range of datasets and models on demand and supply of labour at occupational level. This includes data from the Central Statistics Office, Department of Education and Skills, Department of Social Protection, Department of Jobs, Enterprise and Innovation and a number of models for labour market analysis developed by the SLMRU, including the Labour Market Transitions Model and Occupational Employment Projections Model.
The information will be updated in line with the availability of updates of the underlying data sets.
Skills and Labour Market Research Unit (SLMRU), SOLAS
May 2017
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Contents
• Regional profile – GVA – Incomes – Active enterprises – Medium-large employers
• Labour market indicators • Demand
– Employment – Hires – Vacancies – Employment permits to non-EEA nationals – Job announcements – Employment projections – Expansion, replacement and recruitment requirement
• Supply – Education and training – Live Register – Job-ready job seekers – Unemployment
• Issues identified – Skill and labour shortages – Turnover
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Gross Value Added (GVA) by region at basic prices (euro million)
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Dubl
in
Sout
h-W
est
Mid
-Eas
t
Sout
h-Ea
st
Wes
t
Mid
-Wes
t
Bord
er
Mid
land
2007
2013
2014
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Gross Value Added (GVA) at basic prices by region and sector
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014
GVA at basic prices by region and sector, 2014 (euro million) Sectoral distribution of regional GVA at basic prices, 2014
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Dubl
in
Sout
h-Ea
st
Mid
land
Bord
er
Mid
-Eas
t
Mid
-Wes
t
Wes
t
Sout
h-W
est
Market & non-market services
Manufacturing, building & construction
Agriculture, forestry & fishing
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000Du
blin
Sout
h-W
est
Mid
-Eas
t
Sout
h-Ea
st
Mid
-Wes
t
Wes
t
Bord
er
Mid
land
Market & non-market services Manufacturing, building & construction Agriculture, forestry & fishing
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GVA per person at basic prices (euro)
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
Dubl
in
Sout
h-W
est
Mid
-Wes
t
Mid
-Eas
t
Wes
t
Sout
h-Ea
st
Mid
land
Bord
er
2007
2013
2014
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Indices of Gross Value Added (GVA) per person at basic prices by region (State = 100)
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014
Dublin
Mid-East
Border
Midland
West
Mid-West
South-East
South-West
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
18020
00
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
State = 100
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Disposable income per person by region, 2000-2014 (euro)
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014
2008 2012 2013 2014 % change 2013-2014
% change 2008-2014
% of State average
(2014)
% Deviation from State average
(2014)
Sligo 20,452 18,418 17,685 17,868 1.0% -12.6% 93.2% -6.8% Louth 22,677 18,013 17,282 17,626 2.0% -22.3% 91.9% -8.1% Leitrim 21,833 18,308 17,421 17,565 0.8% -19.5% 91.6% -8.4% Cavan 21,583 17,057 16,516 16,889 2.3% -21.7% 88.1% -11.9% Monaghan 19,794 16,270 15,816 16,395 3.7% -17.2% 85.5% -14.5% Donegal 17,966 15,628 14,883 15,061 1.2% -16.2% 78.5% -21.5% Border 20,335 16,996 16,310 16,601 1.8% -18.4% 86.6% -13.4% State 22,504 19,190 18,536 19,178 3.5% -14.8% 100.0%
State
Border
Dublin
Mid-East
Midland West
Mid-West
South-East South-West
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,00022,00024,00026,000
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
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Disposable income per person by county, percentage deviation from the State average, 2014
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO County Incomes and Regional GDP 2014
-21.5% -15.1%
-14.5% -14.2%
-13.1% -11.9% -11.5%
-10.3% -10.1%
-9.5% -9.2%
-8.4% -8.1%
-6.8% -6.5%
-5.4% -5.4% -5.0% -4.6%
-3.4% -2.6%
-1.7% -1.6%
0.3% 1.1%
6.3% 14.5%
-25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
DonegalRoscommonMonaghanOffalyLongfordCavanMayoClareKerryLaoisWestmeathLeitrimLouthSligoGalway City and CountySouth TipperaryKilkennyWexfordNorth TipperaryMeathCarlowWicklowWaterford City and CountyCork City and CountyKildareLimerick City and CountyDublin
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Number of active enterprises by region (private business economy), 2014
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014
Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
Dubl
in
Sout
h-W
est
Mid
-Eas
t
Bord
er
Wes
t
Sout
h-Ea
st
Mid
-Wes
t
Mid
land
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Number of active enterprises (private business economy), Border, 2008-2014
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014
2008 2013 2014 % change 2013-2014
% change 2008-2014
Donegal 8,306 7,303 7,189 -1.6% -13.4% Louth 6,199 5,895 5,834 -1.0% -5.9% Cavan 4,029 3,675 3,531 -3.9% -12.4% Sligo 3,199 3,189 3,063 -4.0% -4.3% Monaghan 3,348 2,986 2,873 -3.8% -14.2% Leitrim 1,885 1,844 1,756 -4.8% -6.8% Border 26,966 24,892 24,246 -2.6% -10.1% State 244,195 243,571 238,249 -2.2% -2.4%
05,000
10,00015,00020,00025,00030,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Donegal Louth Cavan Sligo Monaghan Leitrim
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Number of persons engaged (private business economy), Border, 2008-2014
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014
Note: Private business economy covers NACE Rev. 2 sectors B to N (excluding activities of holding companies)
2008 2013 2014 % change 2013-2014
% change 2008-2014
Donegal 34,433 27,714 28,865 4.2% -16.2% Louth 28,100 23,720 24,524 3.4% -12.7% Cavan 18,906 14,551 15,052 3.4% -20.4% Sligo 16,835 14,563 14,547 -0.1% -13.6% Monaghan 16,751 13,678 14,249 4.2% -14.9% Leitrim 7,659 5,967 5,955 -0.2% -22.2% Border 122,684 100,193 103,192 3.0% -15.9% State 1,511,920 1,288,017 1,334,291 3.6% -11.7%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Donegal Louth Cavan Sligo Monaghan Leitrim
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Number of active enterprises by sector, Border, 2014
Source: Analysis by SOLAS (SLMRU) based on CSO Business Demography 2014
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
Done
gal
Lout
h
Cava
n
Slig
o
Mon
agha
n
Leitr
im
Administrative activities
Professional, scientific & technical
Real estate activities
Financial & insurance activities
Information & communication
Accommodation & food
Transportation & storage
Wholesale & retail trade
Construction
Water supply, sewerage activities
Electricity, gas, etc. supply
Manufacturing
Mining & quarrying
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Distribution of active enterprises by sector, Border, 2014
Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stat
e
Bord
er
Done
gal
Lout
h
Cava
n
Slig
o
Mon
agha
n
Leitr
im
Administrative activities
Professional, scientific & technical
Real estate activities
Financial & insurance activities
Information & communication
Accommodation & food
Transportation & storage
Wholesale & retail trade
Construction
Water supply, sewerage activities
Electricity, gas, etc. supply
Manufacturing
Mining & quarrying
14
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Distribution of active enterprises and persons engaged by company size, Border, 2014
Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014
Under 10
10 - 19
20 - 49
50 - 249
250 and over
Under 10
10 - 19
20 - 49
50 - 249
250 and over
Active enterprises Persons engaged
Size class Donegal Louth Cavan Sligo Monaghan Leitrim
Under 10 91.8% 92.0% 92.8% 93.0% 91.3% 94.8%
10 - 19 4.9% 4.5% 4.3% 3.9% 4.9% 2.8%
20 - 49 2.4% 2.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 1.7%
50 - 249 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 0.6%
250 and over 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Size class Donegal Louth Cavan Sligo Monaghan Leitrim
Under 10 41.0% 40.0% 38.4% 33.2% 36.0% 46.4%
10 - 19 16.3% 14.1% 13.2% 11.3% 13.3% 11.3%
20 - 49 17.2% 16.5% 12.4% 13.7% 14.3% 15.0%
50 - 249 19.8% 21.9% 20.9% 16.6% 23.5% 27.2%
250 and over 5.7% 7.6% 15.1% 25.2% 13.0% 0.0%
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Distribution of persons engaged by sector, Border, 2014
Source: CSO, Business Demography 2014
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Stat
e
Bord
er
Done
gal
Lout
h
Cava
n
Slig
o
Mon
agha
n
Leitr
im
Administrative activities
Professional, scientific & technical
Real estate activities
Financial & insurance activities
Information & communication
Accommodation & food
Transportation & storage
Wholesale & retail trade
Construction
Water supply, sewerage activities
Electricity, gas, etc. supply
Manufacturing
Mining & quarrying
16
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Industrial activity, Border
767
689 644
716
632
51 53 48 52 47
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Traditional
Modern
7.4
6.3
4.1 4.3 4.3
1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Traditional
Modern
Industrial units by sector Gross output (€billion) in industrial units by sector
Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO data (Census of Industrial Production, 2012) 17
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Number of medium-large business by sector, Border, 2015
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data
Sector Donegal Sligo Leitrim Cavan Monaghan Louth Total
Industry 20 16 3 21 16 23 99
Construction 0 0 1 3 2 2 8
Wholesale & retail 12 4 1 11 5 14 47
Transport 1 0 0 1 2 1 5
Accommodation & food 13 8 2 6 4 10 43
Information & communication 1 1 0 0 0 2 4
Finance 1 0 0 1 0 1 3
Professional services 1 2 0 1 0 3 7
Support & admin 2 1 0 0 1 3 7
PAD 3 1 2 4 1 2 13
Education 17 6 1 6 3 10 43
Health 13 8 6 6 5 8 46
Other 5 0 0 3 3 4 15
Total 89 47 16 63 42 83 340
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Distribution of companies (medium-large) by sector, Border, 2015
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Donegal Sligo Leitrim Cavan Monaghan Louth Border
Other NACE
Health
Education
PAD
Admin & support
Professional services
Finance etc.
Information & communication
Accommodation & food
Transport
Wholesale & retail
Construction
Indusrty
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 19
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Employers: food & beverage manufacturing (medium-large), Border
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 20
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Employers: high-tech* manufacturing (medium-large), Border
*High-tech includes pharmaceuticals, medical devices and computing/ electronic/ optical products
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 21
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Employers: other manufacturing * (medium-large), Border
*Includes plastics, chemicals, metal engineering and machinery
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 22
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Employers: wholesale & retail (medium-large), Border
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 23
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Employers: accommodation & food (medium-large), Border
Source: SLMRU analysis of DataIreland (Kompass) data 24
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Labour market & associated indicators, Border
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data Q4 2016; *Ireland’s NSS targets; **EU 2020 targets
Indicator / Statistic
Border State
*Target (if / where relevant)
Population (15-64) 305,800 3,018,600
Labour Force 214,600 2,195,600
Participation Rate 56.2% 60.1%
Employment (15 and above) 197,500 2,048,100
Employment Rate (20-64) 67.1% 71.2% *69%-71%; **75%
Self-Employment 19% 16%
Unemployment (15-74) 17,100 147,400
Unemployment Rate (15-74) 8.0% 6.7%
Youth Unemployment Rate (15-24) 18.9% 15.2%
Youth Unemployment Ratio (15-24) 6.8% 5.8%
Long Term Unemployment Rate 4.0% 3.6%
Early School Leavers (ESL) (18-24) 6% 6% *<8%; **<10%
NEET (15-24) 13% 12%
Tertiary Level Education (30-34) 48% 54% *>=60%; **>=40%
Life Long Learning (LLL) participation rate 4.3% 6.7% *10%; **15% 25
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Employment by economic sector (persons and % change), Border
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data
-35%
-25%
-15%
-5%
5%
15%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2016 Q4 y-o-y change (%) Q4'11-Q4'16 change (%)
26
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Manufacturing employment by technological intensity, Border, Q4 2016
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data
3,200 13%
3,400 14%
3,300 13%
14,600 60%
High technology
Medium-hightechnology
Medium-lowtechnology
Low technology
27
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Employment by occupation, Border, Q4 2016
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data
13,900
16,500
16,800
18,200
18,500
19,300
24,200
31,400
38,100
0 20,000 40,000 60,000
Managers, Directors and SeniorOfficials
Sales/Customer Services
Process, Plant & Machine Operatives
Caring, Leisure & Other Services
Administrative/Secretarial
Associate Professional & Technical
Elementary Occupations
Professionals
Skilled Trades
28
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Recent job hires, 2016
9%
5%
10%
35% 10%
8%
10%
13%
Border
Midland
West
Dublin
Mid-East
Mid-West
South-East
South-West
Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data
18%
16%
15% 9%
7%
7%
28%
Wholesale & retailtrade
Industry
Accomodation & foodservice
Construction
Health & social work
Education
Other
Recent hires by region, 2016 Recent hires by sector, Border, 2016
29
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Recent job hires, Border, 2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%Lo
wer
sec
or le
ss
High
er se
c or
FET
Third
leve
l
15-2
4
25-3
4
35-4
4
45-6
4
Man
ager
s
Prof
essio
nals
Asso
ciat
e Pr
of
Adm
in
Skill
ed T
rade
s
Serv
ices
Sale
s
Ope
rativ
es
Elem
enta
ry
Full-
time
Part
-tim
e
Source: SLMRU Analysis of CSO QNHS data 30
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DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, 2012-2016*
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016*
WestSouth-EastSouth-WestMid-WestMid-EastMidlandBorderDublin
Source: DSP Jobs Ireland; *2016 data refers to Jan-Jun only 31
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DSP Jobs Ireland vacancies, Border, 2016*
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,400
2015*
2016*
12%
25%
6% 32%
13%
12% Cavan
Donegal
Leitrim
Louth
Monaghan
Sligo
Source: DSP Jobs Ireland
*Refers to Jan-Jun only
32
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Cavan Donegal Leitrim Louth Monaghan Cavan
Professionals Nurses
Nurses
Associate prof Sales agent Sales agent/fundraiser Field sales
exec/fundraiser
Admin Office admin Office admin Office admin/
receptionist
Skilled trades Chefs
Electricians Chefs
Chefs
Fabricators Chefs Chefs
Personal services Care workers Care workers
Care workers
Care workers Care workers Care workers
Sales & customer
Retail assistants Stocktakers
Telesales/call centres agents (with languages) Retail assistants
Retail assistants
Operatives Production operatives
General operatives Drivers (HGV, artic)
Food operatives Drivers (HGV, artic)
Elementary Kitchen assistants
Security guards Waiters/bar staff Kitchen assistants Accommodation assistants
Retail stock takers Cleaners General labourers Waiters
Security guards Kitchen assistants Kitchen assistants
DSP Vacancies by occupation, Border, 2016 (Jan-Jun)
33
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IrishJobs.ie vacancies, Border, 2016
53% 29%
10%
4% 4% 0.3%
Donegal
Louth
Sligo
Monaghan
Cavan
Leitrim
Source: IrishJobs.ie
5%
42%
26%
6%
4%
3% 7% 6%
1% ManagersProfessionalsAssociate professionalsAdministrativeSkilled TradesPersonal ServicesSales & customer serviceOperativesElementary
Vacancies by county
Vacancies by occupation
4%
5%
66%
3% 5%
4% 12%
BorderMidlandWestDublinMid-EastMid-WestSouth-EastSouth-West
Overall vacancies
34
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Employment permits
Border
Information & communications
Human health & social work
Industry
Arts, entertainment, recreation & other service
Financial, insurance & real estate
Accommodation & food services
Other
State
Source: DJEI
New employment permits, Border, 2016 Employment permits by region, 2013-2016
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
South-West
South-East
Mid-West
Mid-East
West
Midland
Border
Dublin
35
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Job announcements, Border, 2016 - 2017
Source: SLMRU analysis 36
Industry Manufacturing
LotusWorks Masonite Ireland,
Optinergy, VistaMed BD, Celtic Pure,
Manor Farm, Diaceutics
Financial YapStone
Services TLM Mission Critial Ltd,
Centre Parcs, Castle Craig Ireland
ICT Paypal, Pramerica Systems Ireland, SLM Connect, Kellton Tech,
Mobile tech inc, SL Controls
Construction Centre Parcs
Retail Connolly
Motor Group
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Employment projections to 2020
Source: Occupational Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS 37
Border
Midland
West
Dublin
Mid-East
Mid-West
South-East
South-West
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
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Employment Projections by sector, Border
Source: Employment Projections 2020, SOLAS
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,00020
0720
0820
0920
1020
1120
1220
1320
1420
1520
1620
1720
1820
1920
20
AgricultureHigh tech manuf.Food processingTrad.manuf.ConstructionWholesale & retailTransportAccom. and foodICTFinancial servicesProfessional servicesOther market servicesPADEducationHealth
38
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Estimated annual replacement and expansion demand, Border 2017
Source: SLMRU projections
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Agric
ultu
re
High
tech
man
uf.
Food
pro
cess
ing
Trad
.man
uf.
Cons
truc
tion
Who
lesa
le &
reta
il
Tran
spor
t & c
omm
unic
atio
n
Acco
m. a
nd fo
od ICT
Fina
ncia
l ser
vice
s
Prof
essio
nal s
ervi
ces
Oth
er m
arke
t ser
vice
s
PAD
Educ
atio
n
Heal
th
Remaining Replacement Expansion
39
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Replacement Expansion Recruitment requirement Agriculture 1,200 <1,000 <1,000
High tech manuf. <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
Food processing <1,000 <1,000 1,000
Trad. manuf. <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
Construction 1,200 1,300 2,500
Wholesale & retail 1,000 <1,000 1,500
Transport <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
Accommodation & food 2,100 <1,000 2,400
ICT <1,000 <1,000 <1000
Financial services <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
Professional services <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
Other market services <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
PAD <1,000 <1,000 <1,000
Education 1,000 <1,000 1,100
Health 1,500 <1,000 1,700
Total 10,900 4,400 15,300
Estimated annual replacement, expansion and recruitment requirement, Border
Source: SLMRU projections 40
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Education and training providers, Border
• 2nd level schools – throughout the region • Further Education and Training
– Donegal ETB – Part of Mayo, Sligo Leitrim ETB – Part of Louth Meath ETB
• Higher Education – Letterkenny IoT – Sligo IoT – St Angela’s College (Sligo) – Dundalk IoT
41
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Junior Cert & Leaving Cert sits, Border, 2012 and 2016
Source: State Examinations Commission 42
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Destination of school leavers, Border
Cavan Donegal Monaghan Leitrim Sligo Louth Border National
Total Cohort 760 2,180 895 445 830 1,680 6,790 54,825
Of which enrolled in
Higher education 38% 38% 46% 42% 42% 39% 40% 44%
Second level/FET 41% 19% 25% 35% 30% 33% 28% 28%
Total education/training 80% 56% 72% 76% 72% 72% 68% 72%
Of those remaining
Social welfare activity 5% 10% 4% 4% 5% 8% 7% 7%
Employment activity 7% 16% 9% 8% 11% 7% 11% 10%
Labour market participation 12% 26% 14% 12% 17% 15% 18% 18%
Other (emigration, other HE etc.) * * * * * * * 10%
Source: DES – School Completers – What Next? (2016) 43
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FET
• Awards data limited (to QQI awards) • No awards data for other awarding bodies
– City & Guilds – ICS (ECDL) – Vendor certification (e.g. Microsoft, Cisco etc)
• Incomplete enrolment data – Confined to PLC enrolments – Other data refers to both places/learners and
calendar/academic years; an estimate of volume of learning is not possible
44
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Donegal Mayo Sligo Leitrim* Louth Meath* Cavan Monaghan
Construction 18 26 95 36 Brick and Stonelaying 2 2
Carpentry and Joinery 5 10 52 18
Painting and Decorating 1 3
Pipefitting 1 1 3
Plastering Plumbing 12 12 29 13
Stonecutting /Stonemasonry Wood Manuf. and Finishing 3 8
Electrical 10 109 105 37 Aircraft Mechanics Electrical 9 78 92 30
Electrical Instrumentation 24 4 1
Electronic Security Systems 1 4 1
Industrial Electrical Engineering Instrumentation 6
Refrigeration 1 5 5
Apprenticeship: new registrations, Border, 2016
*Part of this ETB is located in another region 45
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Donegal Mayo Sligo Leitrim* Louth Meath* Cavan Monaghan
Engineering 7 16 23 13
Farriery Industrial Insulation M.A.M.F. 7 10 5
Metal Fabrication 5 6 11 5
Sheet Metalworking 1 1
Toolmaking 2 3 1 2
Financial Services (Insurance Practice) 3 3 2
Motor 12 31 44 22
Agricultural Mechanics 2 3 2
Construction Plant Fitting 1 3 6 3
Heavy Vehicle Mechanics 2 1 5 7
Motor Mechanics 7 23 28 8
Vehicle Body Repairs 4 2 2
Printing & Paper 2 Grand Total 50 185 269 110
Apprenticeship: new registrations, Border, 2016 (ctd)
Source: Solas *Part of this ETB is located in another region 46
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PLC enrolments, Border, 2011–2015†
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sligo
Monaghan
Louth
Leitrim
Donegal
Cavan
Source: DES
† Academic year (e.g. 2015 refers to 2015/2016 academic year) 47
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PLC enrolments by field of study, Border, 2015 †
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Cavan Donegal Leitrim Louth Monaghan Sligo
Source: DES
† Academic year (e.g. 2015 refers to 2015/2016 academic year) 48
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QQI (FET) major awards, Border, 2011-2016
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sligo
Monaghan
Louth
Leitrim
Donegal
Cavan
Source: QQI 49
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QQI (FET) major awards* by field and level, Border, 2016
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,600
NFQ 6
NFQ 5
NFQ 4
NFQ 1-3
Source: QQI *Excludes fields where value is less than 5 50
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Higher education awards, Border, 2011/12 - 2015/16
4,138 4,415 4,284 4,203 4,259
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Source: HEA 51
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Higher education awards by field and level, Border, 2015/2016
0
300
600
900
1,200
NFQ 9/10
NFQ 8
NFQ 7
NFQ 6
Source: HEA 52
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HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – science, Border, 2015/16
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Biology andrelated
Biochemistry Environmentalsciences
Chemistry Other physicalsciences
Source: HEA 53
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HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – engineering & construction, Border, 2015/16
050
100150200250
Envi
ronm
enta
l pro
tect
ion
tech
nolo
gy
Elec
tric
ity a
nd e
nerg
y
Elec
tron
ics
engi
neer
ing
Mec
hani
cal e
ngin
eerin
g
Man
ufac
turin
g
Food
pro
cess
ing
Cons
truc
tion
n.e.
c.
Arch
itect
ure
Civi
l eng
inee
ring
Engineering & manufacturing Construction
Source: HEA 54
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HE awards (all levels) by detailed field – ICT, Border, 2015/16
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
ICT n.e.c. Computer Use Database &network
Softwaredevelopment
Source: HEA 55
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Live Register, all regions, 2007 - 2017
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
West
Border
Midland
Dublin
Mid-East
Mid-West
South-East
South-West
56
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Live Register, Border, 2007 - 2017
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Border
Sligo
Monaghan
Louth
Leitrim
Donegal
Cavan
57
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Live Register by county and age, Border, 2017
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data (March 2017)
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
>25
<25
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
>25
<25
58
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Live Register by gender, Border, 2017
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data; March 2017
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Female
Male
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Female
Male
59
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Live Register by gender, Border, 2016-2017
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data; March 2017
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Cavan
Donegal
Leitrim
Louth
Monaghan
Sligo
Male
2016
2017
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Cavan
Donegal
Leitrim
Louth
Monaghan
Sligo
Female
2016
2017
60
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Live Register, Border, 2011 - 2015
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
2011
M05
2011
M06
2011
M07
2011
M08
2011
M09
2011
M10
2011
M11
2011
M12
2012
M01
2012
M02
2012
M03
2012
M04
2012
M05
2012
M06
2012
M07
2012
M08
2012
M09
2012
M10
2012
M11
2012
M12
2013
M01
2013
M02
2013
M03
2013
M04
2013
M05
2013
M06
2013
M07
2013
M08
2013
M09
2013
M10
2014
M01
2014
M02
2014
M03
2014
M04
2014
M05
2014
M06
2014
M07
2014
M08
2014
M09
2014
M10
2014
M11
2014
M12
2015
M01
2015
M02
2015
M03
2015
M04
2015
M05
Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
61 Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data
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Live Register, Border, 2011 – 2015 Joiners & Leavers
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2011
M05
2011
M06
2011
M07
2011
M08
2011
M09
2011
M10
2011
M11
2011
M12
2012
M01
2012
M02
2012
M03
2012
M04
2012
M05
2012
M06
2012
M07
2012
M08
2012
M09
2012
M10
2012
M11
2012
M12
2013
M01
2013
M02
2013
M03
2013
M04
2013
M05
2013
M06
2013
M07
2013
M08
2013
M09
2013
M10
2014
M01
2014
M02
2014
M03
2014
M04
2014
M05
2014
M06
2014
M07
2014
M08
2014
M09
2014
M10
2014
M11
2014
M12
2015
M01
2015
M02
2015
M03
2015
M04
2015
M05
Live Register Joiners (Persons) Live Register Leavers (Persons)
62 Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data
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0
5000
10000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Cavan
Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
05000
10000150002000025000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Donegal Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
010002000300040005000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Leitrim Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
05000
100001500020000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Louth
Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
010002000300040005000600070008000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Monaghan Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
01000200030004000500060007000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Sligo Live Register (Persons) Live Register Stayers (Persons)
63 Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO Live Register data
Live Register, Border, counties, 2011 – 2015
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0
500
1000
1500
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Cavan Joiners (Persons) Leavers (Persons)
0200040006000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Donegal
Joiners (Persons) Leavers (Persons)
0
500
1000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Leitrim
Joiners (Persons) Leavers (Persons)
01000200030004000
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Louth
Joiners (Persons) Leavers (Persons)
0500
10001500
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Monaghan
Joiners (Persons) Leavers (Persons)
0
500
1000
1500
2011
M05
2011
M07
2011
M09
2011
M11
2012
M01
2012
M03
2012
M05
2012
M07
2012
M09
2012
M11
2013
M01
2013
M03
2013
M05
2013
M07
2013
M09
2014
M01
2014
M03
2014
M05
2014
M07
2014
M09
2014
M11
2015
M01
2015
M03
2015
M05
Sligo Joiners (Persons) Leavers (Persons)
Live Register, Border, counties, 2011 – 2015 Leavers & Joiners
64
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Job-ready job seekers, Border, April 2017
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Source: DSP 65
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Job-ready job seekers, Border, April 2017
Source: DSP 66
Cavan
Donegal
Leitrim
Louth
Monaghan
Sligo
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Job-ready job seekers by occupation, Border, April 2017
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Cavan Donegal Leitrim Louth Monaghan Sligo
Elementary
Operatives
Sales
Services
Skilled trades
Admin
Assoc. Prof.
Professionals
Managers
Source: DSP 67
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Job-ready job seekers, occupational composition, Border, April 2017
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%Elementary
Operatives
Sales
Services
Skilled trades
Admin
Assoc. Prof.
Professionals
Managers
Source: DSP 68
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Job-ready job seekers, by education, Border, April 2017
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Cavan Donegal Leitrim Louth Monaghan Sligo
NFQ9/10
NFQ8
NFQ7
NFQ6
LC
Junior Cert
Primary
Source: DSP
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Job-ready job seekers, educational composition, Border, April 2017
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%NFQ9/10
NFQ8
NFQ7
NFQ6
LC
Junior Cert
Primary
Source: DSP 70
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Unemployment, Border, Q4 2016
• Approximately – 17,000 unemployed persons – a half were seeking a job for at least 12 months – a fifth had no previous employment experience
• Age: 21% were younger than 25; youth unemployment rate was 19%
• Education: almost a third had attained at most lower secondary education
• Sector: those previously employed in construction accounted for the largest share of unemployed
• Occupation: those previously employed in elementary occupations, skilled trades and caring, leisure and other services accounted for the largest shares of unemployed
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data 71
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Unemployment by education, Border, Q4 2016
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data
32%
28%
18%
9%
13% Lower secondary and below
Upper secondary
FET
Third level non degree
Third level degree and above
72
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Unemployment by age, Border, Q4 2016
Source: SLMRU analysis of CSO QNHS data
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
15-24 25-34 35-44 45 and above
73
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Skills Shortages, Ireland, 2016 • Professionals/associate professionals
– ICT (software developers, cloud, databases/big data, testing, security, technical support, networking and infrastructure)
– Engineering (production, process, quality, validation, product design/development, electronic, electrical, mechanical and chemical)
– Science (analytical development chemist, formulation scientist, microbiologist, QC analyst/validation technician)
– Business & finance (risk, compliance, accounting, business intelligence, data analytics) – Health (doctors, nurses, radiographers, niche area specialists (e.g. prosthetists, radiation
therapists, audiologists), managers) – Construction (construction and quantity surveyors with BIM (building information modelling),
CAD), project managers) • Clerical (multilingual financial clerks in fund accounting/administration, credit controllers,
payroll specialists)
• Skilled trades (chefs, tool making, welding (TIG, MIG), butchers/de-boners, steel-erectors, curtain wallers, glaziers, steelfixers, steel erectors, pipelayers, shuttering carpentry, shift managers and supervisors)
• Sales (technical sales, multilingual customer support)
• Operatives (CNC, drivers (fork lift and special vehicle))
• Retention issues (care, chefs, butchers/de-boners, elementary)
Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU 74
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Labour market transitions: key points
• Turnover defined as either inter or intra occupational movement of persons in
employment
• Turnover typically higher at the lower end of the skill scale, but some exceptions
• Occupations with estimated high turnover rates: general clerks, sales assistants,
food operatives, care workers, elementary occupations (e.g. hospitality, cleaning,
construction labourers), but also some higher skilled (e.g. computer
programmers, financial accounts managers, sales accounts & business
development managers
• Implication for employees: employment conditions, career path and job security
• Implication for employers: difficulty in attracting and retaining staff
• Up-skilling / re-skilling
Turnover
75 Source: National Skills Bulletin, SLMRU