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Ke r s t i n C u h l s w i t h m a n y t h a n k s t o B r u n o G r a n s c h e

HUMAN-TECHNOLOGY BOUNDARY SHIFTS – OR COOPERATION?

Finland 2012

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1. BMBF Foresight 2007-2009

2. Future Field Human Technology Cooperation

3. Future Questions for a Ubiquitious Society

4. Outlook and Question to be discussed

Agenda

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• Identifying new research and technology focuses,

• Identifying (and deriving ) areas of activity covering a range of research and innovation fields,

• Analysing potential fields of technology and innovation in which strategic partnerships might be possible,

• Deducing priority areas of research and development activity.

1. Objectives of the BMBF Foresight Process

Future topics evaluated for 14 start fields

Topics, actors, recommended actionin 7 new forms of future fields

2nd report

November 2007

%

1st report

ResearchWorkshop of expertsMonitoring 1st wave

Online survey

Analysis of potential:Actors and topics

3rd report

%

%

%% % %

% %%%

%%

%

% %

%

%%%

% %

%

in 14 start fields

Differentiated evaluation

Synopsis ofresearchesMonitoring 2nd wave

………

Selection according to criteria, re-clustering

June 2009

%

%

%

%

%

%

………

………

………

………

………

………

………

Mapping of future topics

First re-clustering

Topic searches BMBF Foresight

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On behalf of the Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) The BMBF's Foresight Process (2007-2010)

The BMBF's Foresight ProcessThe Seven Fu tu re Fie lds

ProductionConsumption2.0

Human-Technology Cooperation

DecipheringAgeing

Sustainable Living Spaces

Transdisciplinary Models and Multi-Scale Simulation

Time Research

Sustainable Energy Solutions

http://www.bmbf.de/en/12673.php

Biological clocks/ Chronobiology

Ultra-precise/ultra-short time measurement and 4D imaging

• Understanding Biological clock(s) in people: avoiding disease, targeted therapies (chronopharmacology)

• Connections shift work/ energy implementation/ Adiposity, hormonal influences, effects of melatonin

• effects of social factors on human rhythms

• Concentrated learning at times when people learn best

• Dealing with time on scales beyond classical time scales

• New time structures in a society with more older and fewer younger people

• New sources of light

• 4D imaging/ short-term observation (e.g. Compact x-ray lasers for biomedical examinations, processes of the human body)

• Atto (second) electronics – control of processes on an atomic time scale

• Intramolecular energy transport (e.g. energy -efficient electronics, molecular computers)

• GPS applications (e.g. precision farming, machine remote maintenance)

• Optimised synchronisation of media and wireless communication

Parallelising or synchronising (efficiency processes)

• Making processes “more efficient” instead of just faster

• Synchronise internet server:speed, saving energy

• Synchronising production processes

• Structuring, parallelising, initiating innovation processes

Time Research

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the availability of large amounts of information through digitalising and fast Internet connections,

the ability of machines to interpret information using semantic technologies

profound knowledge of the human brain and the development of neuroprosthetics,

real-time processing of large masses of information in a range of technological systems due to considerable increases in computing power and the miniaturisation of switching networks,

a broader range of potential applications, thanks to the greater integration of different components

in the smallest space due to micro-systems technology,

wireless networking and ubiquitous embedding of systems,

greatly improved pattern recognition algorithms,

broader access to satellite-supported positioning.

2 . Fu t u r e F i e l d H u m a n -Te c h n o l o g y C o o p e r a t i o n :

Developments that create a new innovat ion dynamic

Human-Technology-

Teams

Neuroprosthetics, -implants

Philosophy of technology

NeuroenhancementIntelligent prosthetics

Autonomous robotics

AI research

Software Agents

Ambient Intelligence

Intelligent automation

Assessment of the consequences of technology

Affective Computing

Anthropology

Aesthetics

Brain-Machine-Interface

Sensors

VR-Immersion

Semantic technologies

Adaptive environments

Social robotics

Pervasive Computing

Nanoethics/Neuroethics

Technical genesis/ Innovation research

Physical Avatars

Behavioural sciences (Neuro/Psycho)Telepresence /Teleaction

Micro-systems technology

Intelligent materials

Semantics

Anthropomatics

Media technology/image sciences

Social structure analysis/social policy

Empirical social research

Human-Machine-Culture

Redefininghumanity

1

2

3

4

Machineagents

Human-Machine-Systems

Human Technology Cooperation

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New innovation dynamic

Relative amount of publications to these keywords 2000-2009

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

1

0.00000

0.00050

0.00100

0.00150

0.00200

0.00250

0.00300

0.00350

0.00400

0.00450

neuroscience*

0.00000

0.00005

0.00010

0.00015

0.00020

0.00025

embedded system*

semantic* web*

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

0

20

1

0.00000

0.00020

0.00040

0.00060

0.00080

0.00100

0.00120

0.00140

0.00160

robotic*

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increasingly dense technological surroundings expanding technical structure of human life

Why Human-Technology Boundary Shiftsn e w p rox i m i t y t o p e o p l e , t h e i r b o d i e s , b r a i n s a n d d a i l y l i v e s

BIDIRECTIONAL OLED-MICRODISPLAY, Fraunhofer IPMS

ambient assistive living, smart environments, ambient intelligence

mixed-, augmented reality robotic exoskeletons “physical Avatars”, VR-

immersion, telepresence and teleaction

various Assistance Systems anthropomimetic robots software agents (virtual broker) neuroprostetics, implants …

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Shifts between human and technology

distributed agency in hybrid human-technology constellations

‚shared spaces‘ or penetration of formerly separated spheres

non-identifiability in communication and everyday life

Increasing exposure to black boxes (finance algorithms, emergency systems)

Shifts round human via technology

human self-concept configuration via anthropomimesis (human-human)

stressing the „genetic porosity“ by cross-species genetics(human-animal)

increasing impact power through techniques to an superhuman/godlike extend(human-supernatural)

Self-alienation to some kind of Posthumans(humanT1-humanT2)

3. Future Questions:Human-Technology Boundary Shifts ambiguity

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Increasing impact powernegat i ve U top ians

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Anthropomimesisembod ied cogn i t i on , human lea rn ingand deve lopment

Left: iCub an open source cognitive humanoid robotic platform http://www.icub.org/ Above: CB2 robotic child created at Osaka University, Japan Right: ECCEROBOT Embodied Cognition in a Compliantly Engineered Robot http://eccerobot.org/

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Hybrid human-technology constel lat ionsseamless i n te rac t i on

Left: HAL (Hybrid Assistive Limb®) y Cyberdyne Middle above: BBCI berlin brain computer interface Middle below left: OLED microdisplay based Eyetracking HMD, Fraunhofer IPMS, 2011 Middle below right: VI-Bot (DFKI) Virtual Immersion for holistic feedback control of semi-autonomous robots Right: Amanda Boxtel, before this 18 years reliant on a wheelchair. Now having a walk in the park with E-Legs by Berkeley Bionics

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We observe more and more that human-technology cooperations/ combinations/ ubiquitious society topics can be observed in commercials and as attractive.

What ist your impression about the following picture?

4. Outlook and further question for discussion

Atractiveness of prosthesis ???

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Anthropomimetischer Robotertorso - ECCEROBOT

Thank you very much!

For further information:Dr. Kerstin Cuhlskerstin.cuhls@isi.fraunhofer.deorBruno Granschebruno.gransche@isi.fraunhofer.de

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Eccerobot: http://www6.in.tum.de/Main/ResearchEccerobot

Forest Walker: http://www.gizmag.com/raytheon-significantly-progresses-exoskeleton-design/16479/picture/121265/

E-Legs: http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2010/10/berkeley-bionics-introduces-elegs-e.html?pagewanted=all

Wirbelsturm: http://www.geodz.com/deu/d/tropischer_Wirbelsturm

Ambient Intelligence: http://www.acatech.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Baumstruktur_nach_Website/Acatech/root/de/Publikationen/Stellungnahmen/acatech_bezieht_Position_intelligente_Objekte_web.pdf

VI-Bot: http://robotik.dfki-bremen.de/de/forschung/projekte/unterwasserrobotik/vi-bot.html

BMBF-Foresight-Prozess:

BMBF: http://www.bmbf.de/de/12673.php

Fraunhofer-ISI: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/projekte/bmbf-foresight.php

Zukunftsfelder neuen Zuschnitts http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/download/publikationen/_Foresight-Prozess_BMBF_Zukunftsfelder_neuen_Zuschnitts.pdf

Etablierte Zukunftsfelder: http://isi.fraunhofer.de/isi-de/v/download/publikationen/_FP_BMBF_Etab_Zukunftsf_Zukunftst.pdf

Bruno Gransche M.A.

Competence CenterInnovation and Technology Management and ForesightFraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research IS

Breslauer Straße 48 | 76139 Karlsruhe | GermanyPhone +49 721 6809-424 | Fax +49 721 6809-77424bruno.gransche@isi.fraunhofer.de