productivity and profitability assessment using financial … · 2014. 3. 23. · 1. determine...
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1
Productivity and
Profitability Assessment
using Financial Statements
Diego PRIOR
2
SESSION 1.DEFINITION OF THE ECONOMIC
AND FINANCIAL VARIABLES NEEDED TO
APPLY THE ANALYSIS.
MODEL OF BALANCE SHEET. OSIRIS DATABASE
ASSETS LIABILITIES
Current Assets Current Liabilities
Stocks Loans
Debtors Creditors
Others Other
Cash & Cash Equivalent Non Current Liabilities
Fixed Assets Long Term Debt
Tangible Fixed Assets Other Non Current Liabilities
Intangible Fixed Assets Shareholders Funds (EQUITY)
Other Fixed Assets Capital
Other
Total Assets Total Shareh. Funds & Liab.
MODEL OF INCOME STATEMENT. OSIRIS DATABASE
Operating Revenue / Turnover
Sales
(-) Costs of Goods Sold
(=) Gross Profit
(-) Other Operating Items
(-) Depreciation/Amortization
(=) Operating P/L
Financial Revenue
Financial Expenses
(+) Financial P/L
(+) Other non Oper./Financial Items
(=) P/L before Tax
(-) Taxation
(=) P/L after Tax
(+) Extraord. & Oth. Items
(=) P/L for Period
Costs of Goods Sold = (Material Costs) + (Costs of Employees)
3
CHAPTER 01. BASIC DEFINITIONS
PROFITABILITY:
��� =�����
��� �× 100
��� =�������
������× 100
��� =�������
��� �× 100
�������!����� ����� =� " #� �
�$% #� �× 100
PRODUCTIVITY:
���&�'��"��� ����� =���%���
(#%���
4
OCCUPANCY RATE:
�!� �" & ���%��
)�$. ���%��× 100
INPUTS MIX:
$+ = 10 ; $, = 30 : inputs mix 1
$+ = 30 ; $, = 10 : inputs mix 2
Impact on costs?
INPUT (x) OUTPUT (y)
PRODUCTION
PROCESS
5
PRODUCTIVITY:
EXERCISE 1:
���&�'��"��� ����� = . =���%���
(#%���
Unit Output Input
A 100 10
B 150 13
C 200 16
D 300 23
E 500 27
Unit Output Input Productivity
A 100 10 10.00
B 150 13 11.53
C 200 16 12.50
D 300 23 13.00
E 500 27 18.51
6
EFFICIENCY:
����'� #'� �����
=.
./01× 100
Unit Output Input Productivity Efficiency
A 100 10 10.00 54.02 %
B 150 13 11.53 62.29 %
C 200 16 12.50 67.53%
D 300 23 13.00 70.23%
E 500 27 18.51 100.00%
Output orientation to achieve efficiency
Input orientation to achieve efficiency
7
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:
Physical magnitudes � money
Output price = %2 = 30
Input price = %1 = 1000 (fixed input)
A B C D E
Total assets 10000 13000 16000 23000 27000
User cost (wx)
(depreciation 20 %; financial cost 10 %)
A B C D E
(+)Revenues 3000 4500 6000 9000 15000
(-) Expenses 3000 3900 4800 6900 8100
(=) Profit/L 0 600 1200 2100 6900
8
��� =�������
��� ��× 100
A B C D E
�������
��� ��× 100
0% 4.61% 7.5% 9.13% 25.5%
Compute ROA for the output orientation strategy: (25.5 %)
Compute ROA for the input orientation strategy
��� =�������
��� �× 100
A B C D E
�������
��� �× 100
0% 13.33% 20.00% 23.33% 46.00%
9
�������!����� ����� =� " #� �
�$% #� �× 100
A B C D E
� " #� �
�$% #� �× 100
100% 115.38% 125.00% 130.43% 185.18%
EXERCISE 2:
1. Determine productivity, efficiency, ROA, ROS and
profitability ratio for year 2 (px= 1000).
2. Estimate ROA after the output and the input
orientation to reach the efficient frontier.
Unit Output Input py wx
A 100 10 30 30.00 %
B 130 13 25 35.00 %
C 210 16 35 33.00%
D 280 23 35 35.00%
E 550 27 40 30.00%
10
SESSION 2. ASSESSMENT OF THE
ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE: PROFITABILITY
RATIOS
CONTENTS OSIRIS DATABASE
Consolidated data
Parent company
Subsidiary
Segment data
KEY RATIOS
Return on Shareholders Funds (%) =
= ��� =�������
������× 100
Profit Margin (%)=
= ��� =�������
��� �× 100
11
Return on Total Assets (%)=
= ��� =�������
��� ��× 100
3��� #� ����� =3��� #� ��� ��
3��� #� ���!����� �
Solvency Ratio (%) =
=4 � �#'�5 + 7 %� '/�5���
4�# − '��� #� ���!. +3��� #� ���!.× 100
Price Earning Ratio =
=)��: � '�%����������#
4 � �#'�5 × 100
EBIT = Operating Profits/Losses
EBITDA = EBIT + Depreciation/Amortization
12
01. CONTENTS INCOME FUND REPORT
Total debt to total capital
Cash flow to total debt
EBITDA interest coverage
ROE
Market capitalization
OPERATING STATISTICS:
�''�%�#'� ��� = # #�<ℎ�� �% #�
#���5� × 365
�" ��< &���� ���5 ��� = � " #� �
#���5� × 365
� "%�� = � " #� �
#���5�
13
Earnings manipulation
Income smoothing
Accounting choice
Taking a big bath
DEFINITION OF ROE AND ROA FOR THE ANALYSIS
FIRM A FIRM B
TOTAL ASSETS 1000 1000
Non Current Liabilities 600 0
Shareholders Funds
400 1000
INCOME STATEMENT FIRM A FIRM B
Oper. Rev. / Turn.
Sales 300 300
(-) Costs of Goods Sold 100 100
(=) Operating P/L 200 200
(-) Financial Expenses (10%) 40 -
(=) P/L before Tax 160 200
(-) Taxation (30 %) 48 60
(=) P/L for Period 112 140
14
EXERCISE:
1. Estimate ROE and ROA
2. Estimate the leverage effect
3. Comment the movements from year 1 to year 2
4. Explore the changes needed for year 3 to achieve a ROE of 10%
Year 1 Year 2
TOTAL ASSETS 1000 1500
Non Current Liabilities 400 900
Shareholders Funds
600 600
INCOME STATEMENT Year 1 Year 2
Oper. Rev. / Turn.
Sales 300 450
(-) Costs of Goods Sold 100 300
(=) Operating P/L 200 150
(-) Financial Expenses 40 135
(=) P/L before Tax 160 15
(-) Taxation 48 4.5
(=) P/L for Period 112 10.5
15
DEFINITIONS
P/L FOR PERIOD
ROE = --------------
EQUITY
P/L FOR PERIOD + FINANCIAL EXPENSES.(1-t)
ROA = -----------------------------------------
TA
P/L FOR PERIOD + FINANCIAL EXPENSES.(1-t)- EXTRAORD.ITEMS
NROA = ---------------------------------------------------------
TA
EXTRAORD.ITEMS
EXROA = --------------
TA
OPERATING P/L.(1-t)
OROA = -------------------
TA
(FINANCIAL REVENUE + OTHER NON OPER.ITEMS).(1-t)
NOROA = ------------------------------------------------
TA
Cost of Financial expenses.(1-t)
Debts i = ------------------------
Liabilities
Liabilities
Leverage f = -----------
Equity
Operating Revenue
Sales turnover turn = -----------------
TA
OPERATING P/L.(1-t)
Net margin m = -------------------
Operating Revenue
OPERATING P/L.(1-t) = [GROSS PROFIT – (OTHER OPERATING ITEMS +
+ DEPRECIATION(AMORTIZATION)].(1-t)
GROSS PROFIT.(1-t)
Gross margin gm = ------------------
Operating Revenue
Rate of fixed [OTHER OPERATING ITEMS +DEPRECIATION(AMORTIZATION)].(1-t) costs fc = ---------------------------------------------------------
Operating Revenue
16
FORMULATION
ROE = ROA + f.(ROA - i)
|
|
ROA = NROA + EXROA
|
|
NROA = OROA + NOROA
|
|
OROA = m . turn
|
|
m = gm-fc
17
SESSION 3. MULTIFACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
AND PROFIT MARGINS
PRODUCTIVITY
OPERATING P/L.(1-t)
Net margin m = ---------------------
Operating Revenue
GROSS PROFIT.(1-t)
Gross margin gm = ---------------------
Operating Revenue
Rate of fixed [OTHER OPERATING ITEMS + DEPRECIATION(AMORTIZATION)] .(1-t) costs fc = ------------------------------------------------------------
Operating Revenue
m = gm - fc
GROSS PROFIT.(1-t) (Operating Revenue – Costs of Goods Sold).(1-t) gm = ------------------- = ------------------------------------------------= Operating Revenue Operating Revenue
Operating Revenue Costs of Goods Sold
= [----------------- - -------------------].(1-t) =
Operating Revenue Operating Revenue
Costs of Goods Sold
= [ 1 - -------------------].(1-t)
Operating Revenue
and:
m = [1 – c – fc]
18
PRODUCTIVITY INDEX:
OUTPUTS Y PRO = -------- = -
INPUTS X
OUTPUTS1 Y1 PRO1 = --------- = --
INPUTS1 X1
OUTPUTS0 Y0 PRO0 = --------- = --
INPUTS0 X0
PRO1 Y1/X1 Y1/Y0
PROg = ------ = ----- = ----
PRO0 Y0/X0 X1/X0
PRICES INDEX:
OUTPUTS PRICE P PRI = -------------- = -
INPUTS INPUTS W
OUTPUTS PRICE1 P1 PRI1 = --------------- = --
INPUTS PRICE1 W1
OUTPUTS PRICE0 P0 PRI0 = --------------- = --
INPUTS PRICE0 W0
PRI1 P1/W1 P1/P0
PRIg = ------ = ----- = -----
PRI0 P0/W0 W1/W0
19
PRODUCTIVITY, PRICES INDICES AND OPERATING
COST RATES
Costs of Goods Sold W.X c = -------------------- = ----
Operating Revenue P.Y
Costs of Goods Sold W1.X1 c1 = -------------------- = -----
Operating Revenue P1.Y1
Costs of Goods Sold W0.X0 c0 = -------------------- = -----
Operating Revenue P0.Y0
c0
c1 = ---------
PROg.PRIg
PRODUCTIVITY, PRICES INDICES AND FIXED COST
RATES
Wf.Xf fc = -----
P.Y
Wf1.Xf1 fc1 = ------
P1.Y1
Wf0.Xf0 fc0 = ------
P0.Y0
fc0
fc1 = ----------
PROfg.PRIfg
20
MULTIPLE INPUTS CASE
PRODUCTIVITY INDEX:
OUTPUTS Y PRO = -------- = ----
INPUTS ΣW.X
OUTPUTS1 Y1 PRO1 = --------- = -----
INPUTS1 ΣW0.X1
OUTPUTS0 Y0 PRO0 = --------- = -----
INPUTS0 ΣW0.X0
PRO1 Y1/ΣW1.X1 Y1/Y0
PROg = ------ = -------- = ------------
PRO0 Y0/ΣW0.X0 ΣW0.X1/ΣW0.X0
PRICES INDEX:
OUTPUTS PRICE P PRI = -------------- = ----
INPUTS INPUTS ΣW.X
OUTPUTS PRICE1 P1 PRI1 = --------------- = -----
INPUTS PRICE1 ΣW1.X1
OUTPUTS PRICE0 P0 PRI0 = --------------- = -----
INPUTS PRICE0 ΣW0.X1
PRI1 P1/ΣW1.X0 P1/P0
PRIg = ------ = -------- = ------------
PRI0 P0/ΣW0.X0 ΣW1.X1/ΣW0.X1
21
SESSION 4. EXTENSIONS OF THE
MULTIFACTOR PRODUCTIVITY INDEX:
BENCHMARKING
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ORIGINAL DATA
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BENCHMARK ON CRS TECHNOLOGY
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BENCHMARK ON VRS TECHNOLOGY
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1
ESTIMATION OF THE ECONOMIES OF SCALE
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EXERCISES ON THE MEASUREMENT OF THE
TOTAL FACTOR PRODUCTIVITY
01_profits_partial_and_TFP
Partial factor productivity quantification
Year 1OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: x w (x).(w) t w (x).(w) t w (x).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: x w (x).(w) t w (x).(w) t w (x).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin 4,30 5,08 20,84
Year 3OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 11.000 5.600 2.000
selling price (pv) 15,50 20,20 42,00
Variable inputs: x w (x).(w) t w (x).(w) t w (x).(w)
Labor cost 0,25 23,00 5,75 0,25 23,00 5,75 0,35 23,00 8,05
Material cost 1,30 4,60 5,98 1,05 4,50 4,73 1,15 4,50 5,18
Energy 0,60 5,95 3,57 0,55 5,90 3,25 0,80 5,90 4,72
Total variable costs 15,30 13,72 17,95
Contribution margin 0,20 6,48 24,06
PERFORMANCE ANALYSISYear 1 Year 2
Sales y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000
total sales 346.320 374.000
Variable costs x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 75.000 84.000
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052
30
Partial factor productivity (partial factor productivity)Productivity in year 1 and year 2
Year 1 Year 2
OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3 OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
Labor 4,55 4,00 2,38 5,00 3,33 2,50
Material 0,95 0,86 0,71 1,00 0,91 0,77
Energy 1,92 1,56 1,22 2,00 1,67 1,25
Productivity changes between period 1 and period 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
ratio change (%) ratio change (%) ratio change (%)
Labor 1,10 10,00% 0,83 -16,67% 1,05 5,00%
Material 1,05 5,00% 1,05 5,45% 1,08 7,69%
Energy 1,04 4,00% 1,07 6,67% 1,03 2,50%
Total factor productivityOUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
change (%) % of cost change (%) % of cost change (%) % of cost
Labor 10,00% 38,64% -16,67% 38,13% 5,00% 45,46%
Material 5,00% 33,87% 5,45% 32,49% 7,69% 27,83%
Energy 4,00% 27,49% 6,67% 29,38% 2,50% 26,71%
TFP: 6,66% -2,62% 5,08%
% of revenues 43,31% 29,66% 27,03%
cumulated TFP: 3,48%
Required:
1. From year 1 to year 2 TFP have increase but profits drop. Are these movements compatible?
2. Compute profits for year 3 and TFP change between years 2 and 3 (fixed costs for year 84.000).
31
02_MACROECONOMIC APPROACH
CASE STUDY 1VARIABLE COST AND NET MARGIN
Year 1
OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin 4,30 5,08 20,84
Year 3OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 15.000 8.600 1.700
selling price (pv) 18,00 25,00 38,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,15 23,00 3,45 0,25 23,00 5,75 0,35 23,00 8,05
Material cost 0,90 5,00 4,50 1,00 5,00 5,00 1,10 5,00 5,50
Energy 0,50 5,60 2,80 0,55 5,60 3,08 0,60 5,60 3,36
Total variable costs 10,75 13,83 16,91
Contribution margin 7,25 11,17 21,09
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNTYear 1 Year 2 Year 3
Sales y pv value y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000 15.000 18,00 270.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000 8.600 25,00 215.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000 1.700 38,00 64.600
total sales 346.320 374.000 549.600
Variable costs x w value x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940 4.995 23,00 114.885
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716 23.970 5,00 119.850
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292 13.250 5,60 74.200
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948 308.935
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052 240.665
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 12.500 11.350 15.000
(-) Depreciation costs 62.500 72.650 85.503
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052 140.162
EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS
CASE STUDYBALANCE SHEET
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Land 15.000,00 16.500,00 17.325,00
Machinery and equipment 500.000,00 581.250,00 684.030,00
Inventories 150.000,00 170.000,00 153.868,00
Accounts receivable-trade 100.000,00 89.350,00 111.700,00
Cash and cash equivalents 15.000,00 16.500,00 17.325,00
Total Assets 780.000,00 873.600,00 984.248,00
inflation rate 10 % 5 %
32
MACROECONOMIC APPROACH
Erik Hörnell (1992), Improving productivity for competitive advantage , Pitman Publishing.
Year 1Value Added quantification
Revenues
Year 1
Revenues y pv value
output 1 10000 15 150000
output 2 4800 21,4 102720output 3 2400 39 93600
total sales 346320
x w value
Materials 19428 3,6 69941
Energy 10240 5,9 60416
(-) Intermediate consumption 130357
(=) Brut Value Added 215963 x w value
(-) Labor costs 86397 Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397
(=) Brut Operating Surplus 129566
(-) Depreciation costs 62500 Productivity = (Value added)/(Total hours or work)
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 12500 Productivity = 48,99
(=) Profits 54566 Revenues Interm. Cons. Increase
1. Increase in units produced ( 10 %) 380952,00 143392,48 53,89 0,10
2. Increase in quality (prices 10 %) 380952,00 130356,80 56,85 0,16
3. Costs reduction ( 10 %) 346320,00 117321,12 51,95 0,06
Inflation 10 % 380952,00 143392,48 53,89 0,10
Innovation (changes in output mix)
33
03_APC, 1975 (RATIO FORM)
CASE STUDYVARIABLE COST AND NET MARGIN
Year 1OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin 4,30 5,08 20,84
Year 3OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 15.000 8.600 1.700
selling price (pv) 18,00 25,00 38,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,15 23,00 3,45 0,25 23,00 5,75 0,35 23,00 8,05
Material cost 0,90 5,00 4,50 1,00 5,00 5,00 1,10 5,00 5,50
Energy 0,50 5,60 2,80 0,55 5,60 3,08 0,60 5,60 3,36
Total variable costs 10,75 13,83 16,91
Contribution margin 7,25 11,17 21,09
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNTYear 1 Year 2 Year 3
Sales y pv value y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000 15.000 18,00 270.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000 8.600 25,00 215.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000 1.700 38,00 64.600
total sales 346.320 374.000 549.600
Variable costs x w value x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940 4.995 23,00 114.885
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716 23.970 5,00 119.850
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292 13.250 5,60 74.200
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948 308.935
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052 240.665
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 12.500 11.350 15.000
(-) Depreciation costs 62.500 72.650 85.503
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052 140.162
EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS
CASE STUDYBALANCE SHEET
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Land 15.000,00 16.500,00 17.325,00
Machinery and equipment 500.000,00 581.250,00 684.030,00
Inventories 150.000,00 170.000,00 153.868,00
Accounts receivable-trade 100.000,00 89.350,00 111.700,00
Cash and cash equivalents 15.000,00 16.500,00 17.325,00
Total Assets 780.000,00 873.600,00 984.248,00
inflation rate 10 % 5 %
34
APC, 1975 (RATIO FORM)
Revenues year 2: 374.000,00 profitability ratio year 2: 1,455547
Variable costs year 2: 256.948,00 change in profitability ratio: 0,910993
(profitability index)
Revenues year 1: 346.320,00 profitability ratio year 1: 1,597759
Variable costs year 1: 216.753,60
Deflacted revenues year 2:
y2 pv1 y2.pv1
output 1 12000 15 180000
output 2 5500 21,4 117700
output 3 1800 39 70200
367900
Deflacted variable costs year 2:
x2 w1 x2.w1
Labor 4770 19,6 93492
Materials 20390 3,6 73404
Energy 10740 5,9 63366
230262
Productivity index
y2.pv1/y1.pv1
Deflacted revenues year 2: 367.900,00 y2.pv1 1,062312
Revenues year 1: 346.320,00 y1.pv1 0,999991
x2.w1/x1.w1
Deflacted variable costs year 2: 230.262,00 x2.w1 1,062321
Variable costs year 1: 216.753,60 x1.w1
0,910993 (profitability index)
Price recovery index
y2.pv2/y2.pv1
Revenues year 2 : 374.000,00 y2.pv2 1,016581
Deflacted revenues year 2: 367.900,00 y2.pv1 0,911001
x2.w2/x2.w1
Variable costs year 2: 256.948,00 x2.w2 1,115894
Deflacted variable costs year 2: 230.262,00 x2.w1
35
04_AMERICAN PRODUCTIVITY CENTER, (1975), Kaplan (1982)
Year 1OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin (m) 4,30 5,08 20,84
PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
Year 1 Year 2
Sales y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000
total sales 346.320 374.000
Variable costs x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 75.000 84.000
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052
36
Sales-activity variance y2 y1 m1 (y2-y1).m1
output 1 12.000 10.000 3,84 7.680
output 2 5.500 4.800 8,55 5.984
output 3 1.800 2.400 20,89 -12.534
(1) Total change in output quantity 1.130
Sales-volume variance y2 y1 m1average (y2-y1).maverage
output 1 12.000 10.000 7,53 15.066
output 2 5.500 4.800 7,53 5.273
output 3 1.800 2.400 7,53 -4.520
Total change in sales-volume variance 15.819
Sales-mix variance y2 y1 m1 (y2-y1).(m1-m1average)
output 1 12.000 10.000 3,84 -7.386
output 2 5.500 4.800 8,55 711
output 3 1.800 2.400 20,89 -8.014
Total change in sales-mix variance -14.690
Price-recovery variance
Sales-price variance pv2 pv1 y2 (pv2-pv1).y2
output 1 16,00 15,00 12.000 12.000
output 2 20,00 21,40 5.500 -7.700
output 3 40,00 39,00 1.800 1.800
Total change in sales-price variance 6.100
Input-cost variance w1 w2 x2 (w1-w2).x2
input 1 19,60 22,00 4.770 -11.448
input 2 3,60 4,40 20.390 -16.312
input 3 5,90 5,80 10.740 1.074
Total change in input-cost variance -26.686
(2) Total change in price-recovery variance -20.586
Productivity variance
Labor t1 t2 w1 y2 (t1-t2).w1.y2
output 1 0,22 0,20 19,60 12.000 4.704
output 2 0,25 0,30 19,60 5.500 -5.390
output 3 0,42 0,40 19,60 1.800 706
Total change in labor productivity variance 20
Materials t1 t2 w1 y2 (t1-t2).w1.y2
output 1 1,05 1,00 3,60 12.000 2.160
output 2 1,16 1,10 3,60 5.500 1.188
output 3 1,40 1,30 3,60 1.800 648
Total change in materials productivity variance 3.996
Energy t1 t2 w1 y2 (t1-t2).w1.y2
output 1 0,52 0,50 5,90 12.000 1.416
output 2 0,64 0,60 5,90 5.500 1.298
output 3 0,82 0,80 5,90 1.800 212
Total change in energy productivity variance 2.926
(3) Total productivity variance 6.942
Total change in contribution margin (1)+(2)+(3) -12.514
37
05_ACCOUNTING MODEL (Kaplan, 1982)
Year 1OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin 4,30 5,08 20,84
PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS
Year 1 Year 2
Sales y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000
total sales 346.320 374.000
Variable costs x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 75.000 84.000
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052
38
PERFORMANCE ANALYSISYear 1 Year 2
Sales y pv value y pv value changes
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000 42.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000 7.280
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000 -21.600
total sales 346.320 374.000 27.680
Variable costs x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940 -18.543
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716 -19.775
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292 -1.876
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948 -40.194
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052 -12.514
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 75.000 84.000 -9.000
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052 -21.514
change in revenues
change in output quantity y2 y1 pv1 (y2-y1).pv1
output 1 12.000 10.000 15,00 30.000
output 2 5.500 4.800 21,40 14.980
output 3 1.800 2.400 39,00 -23.400
Total change in output quantity 21.580
change in output price pv2 pv1 y2 (pv2-pv1).y2
output 1 16,00 15,00 12.000 12.000
output 2 20,00 21,40 5.500 -7.700
output 3 40,00 39,00 1.800 1.800
Total change in output price 6.100
Total change in revenues 27.680
change in variable costs
change in input quantity x1 x2 w1 (x1-x2).w1
input 1 4.408 4.770 19,60 -7.095
input 2 19.428 20.390 3,60 -3.463
input 3 10.240 10.740 5,90 -2.950
Total change in input quantity -13.508
change in input price w1 w2 x2 (w1-w2).x2
input 1 19,60 22,00 4.770 -11.448
input 2 3,60 4,40 20.390 -16.312
input 3 5,90 5,80 10.740 1.074
Total change in input prices -26.686
Total change in variable costs -40.194
Total change in contribution margin -12.514
39
06_Adjusted kaizen costs
Year 1OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin 4,30 5,08 20,84
PERFORMANCE ANALYSISYear 1 Year 2
Sales y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000
total sales 346.320 374.000
Variable costs x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 75.000 84.000
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052
40
Yasuhiro Monden (1997), Sistemas de reducción de costes
Productivity Press
Adjusted kaizen costs
vc1 vc2 (vc1-vc2).y1
output 1 11,16 11,70 -5.400,00
output 2 12,85 14,92 -9.926,40
output 3 18,11 19,16 -2.520,00
kaizen cost variation -17.846,40
41
07_Kurosawa (1991), AIPR systemYear 1
OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 10.000 4.800 2.400
selling price (pv) 15,00 21,40 39,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,22 19,60 4,31 0,25 19,60 4,90 0,42 19,60 8,23
Material cost 1,05 3,60 3,78 1,16 3,60 4,18 1,40 3,60 5,04
Energy 0,52 5,90 3,07 0,64 5,90 3,78 0,82 5,90 4,84
Total variable costs 11,16 12,85 18,11
Contribution margin 3,84 8,55 20,89
Year 2OUTPUT 1 OUTPUT 2 OUTPUT 3
units (y) 12.000 5.500 1.800
selling price (pv) 16,00 20,00 40,00
Variable inputs: t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w) t w (t).(w)
Labor cost 0,20 22,00 4,40 0,30 22,00 6,60 0,40 22,00 8,80
Material cost 1,00 4,40 4,40 1,10 4,40 4,84 1,30 4,40 5,72
Energy 0,50 5,80 2,90 0,60 5,80 3,48 0,80 5,80 4,64
Total variable costs 11,70 14,92 19,16
Contribution margin 4,30 5,08 20,84
PERFORMANCE ANALYSISYear 1 Year 2
Sales y pv value y pv value
output 1 10.000 15,00 150.000 12.000 16,00 192.000
output 2 4.800 21,40 102.720 5.500 20,00 110.000
output 3 2.400 39,00 93.600 1.800 40,00 72.000
total sales 346.320 374.000
Variable costs x w value x w value
Labor 4.408 19,60 86.397 4.770 22,00 104.940
Materials 19.428 3,60 69.941 20.390 4,40 89.716
Energy 10.240 5,90 60.416 10.740 5,80 62.292
(-) Total variable costs 216.754 256.948
(=) Contribution margin 129.566 117.052
(-) Overhead (fixed)costs 75.000 84.000
(=) Profits 54.566 33.052
42
Kurosawa (1991), AIPR system
Profit variance (R2-R1): -21.514
Price recovery variance
y2 pv2 pv1 y2.(pv2-pv1)
output 1 12.000 16,00 15,00 12.000
output 2 5.500 20,00 21,40 -7.700
output 3 1.800 40,00 39,00 1.800
6.100
x2 w2 w1 -x2.(w2-w1)
Labor cost 4.770 22,00 19,60 -11.448
Material cost 20.390 4,40 3,60 -16.312
Energy 10.740 5,80 5,90 1.074
-26.686
-(F2-F1)
-9.000
Total price recovery variance -29.586
Productivity variance
y2 y1 pv1 pv1.(y2-y1)
output 1 12.000 10.000 15,00 30.000
output 2 5.500 4.800 21,40 14.980
output 3 1.800 2.400 39,00 -23.400
21.580
x2 x1 w1 -w1.(x2-x1)
Labor 4.770 4.408 19,60 -7.095
Materials 20.390 19.428 3,60 -3.463
Energy 10.740 10.240 5,90 -2.950
-13.508
Total productivity variance 8.072
43
Decomposition on productivity variance
Technical progress
y2 pv1 pv1.y2
output 1 12.000 15,00 180.000
output 2 5.500 21,40 117.700
output 3 1.800 39,00 70.200
367.900
ππππ1111 1,1870
x2 w1 -ππππ1w1.x2
Labor 4.770 19,60 -110.978
Materials 20.390 3,60 -87.133
Energy 10.740 5,90 -75.217
-273.328
-ππππ1.F1
-89.027
Total variance due to technical progress: 5.545
Expansion or Scale effect
x2 w1 ππππ1111.w1.x2
Labor 4770 19,6 110.978
Materials 20390 3,6 87.133
Energy 10740 5,9 75.217
273.328
ππππ1.F1
89.027
-y1.pv1
-346.320
-w1.(x2-x1)
-13.508
Total variance due to expansion or scale effect 2.526