probability of burn-through of defective 13 ka joints at increased energy levels arjan verweij

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Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij TE-MPE Lack ofbonding betw een SC cablesand stabilizer Lack ofbonding betw een bus stabilizerand joint stabilizer + R CABLE R C u-C u R SPLICE + Excessive heating triggering aquench 3.5 TeV 6000 A 4 TeV 6800 A 4.5 TeV 7600 A

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Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij TE-MPE. Probability flow (for I 0. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels

Arjan VerweijTE-MPE

Lack of bonding betweenSC cables and stabilizer

Lack of bonding between busstabilizer and joint stabilizer+

RCABLERCu-Cu RSPLICE

+ Excessive heating triggering a quench

3.5 TeV

6000 A

4 TeV 6800 A

4.5 TeV

7600 A

Page 2: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Probability flow (for I<9 kA)

Prompt quench of a joint

Beam losses

Resistive losses in the splice

Burn-out of the joint

Cable/bus movement

Quench of a magnet

P0 P>0

Thermal prop. through the bus (1 joint)

Thermal prop.through GHe (3 joints)

Spurious trips/heater firings, ….

Training

P>0

PB>0

P=0

Delayed quench of a joint

PG>0

PJ>0

PG,PB,PJ

P0 P0

Page 3: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

“To burn or not to burn” depends on:

• Current (Ampl and t)

• Defect size (represented by Raddit)

• RRR of the bus, the diode lead, and the cable

• Geometry “Dipole-Bus-Diode”

• Heating up of the magnet coil.

• Heating up of the diode

• Heat transfer to helium (bus, diode lead, joint area)

• GHe propagation time

• Resistance of the ‘half moons’

Conclusion: A worst case approach for all parameters would give an unrealistic result.

Therefore, all parameters will be fixed to best known (default) values (realistic, but somewhat conservative), and the burn-out current is calculated as a function of the (single sided) defect size for energy levels of 3.5, 4, and 4.5 TeV.

PG,PB,PJ

Page 4: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Assumptions (default values)

Default values Sens. studyfor 4 TeV

RRR of the bus 200 * 100

RRR of the cable 80

Decay time constant 50 s (3.5 and 4 TeV) 68 s (4 and 4.5 TeV)

Geometry Magnet-Diode-Joint Type A-upper, Type A-lower, Type B-upper, Type B-lower

Heating up of the magnet coil (outer layer midplane)

20, 22, 26 K (3.5, 4, 4.5 TeV) ** 44 K

Heating up of the diode see later 2x smaller

Heat transfer between bus and LHe Fit from FRESCA and SM18 tests ***

Heat transfer between joint area and LHe Almost adiabatic

Heat transfer between bus inside diode and LHe

Kapitza + film boiling Adiabatic

GHe propagation 20 s (see later)

‘Half moon’ resistance 2.5 mW (see later) 0.5 & 5 mW

* Recent analysis by M. Koratzinos** Papers by Maroussov, Sanfilippo, Siemko and Roxie calculation by B. Auchmann*** Including also the analysis by P.P. Granieri on heat transfer from a bus

PG,PB,PJ

Page 5: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Estim. nr. of joints in the LHC with Raddit>Rlim

Results of the analysis by J. Strait & M. Koratzinos based on the R16 measurements

PG,PB,PJ

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

0.1

1

10

100

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Perc

enta

ge [%

]

Nr i

n th

e m

achi

ne

Rlim [mW]

Page 6: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Propagation time for GHeTime to reach 9.2 K for helium in the quenched magnet after

1, 2 or 3 magnets quench (initially) in LHC

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000

Current - A

Tim

e -

sec 1 Mag

2 Mag

3 Mag

Results are not (yet) fully conclusive!!

I will assume that the joint is in LHe for t<20 s and in GHe for t>20 s (same as in Chamonix 2010).

Analysis by K.C. Wu & R. van Weelderen (Nov 2009) on 16 quenches during HWC 2008.

PG,(PB,PJ)

Page 7: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140

Burn

-out

curr

ent [

A]

Raddit [mW]

3.5 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=68 s

4.5 TeV, tau=68 s

(11 kA, tau=100 s)

Burn-out current vs RadditPG

PG=0.03% 0.01% 0.001% 0.0002%1.7%

Page 8: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Thermal propagation through the busPB

Upper heat sink

Non-insulateddiode bus

Half moons

Lower heat sink

M3 line

Diode box

Page 9: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Schematic view of “Dipole – Bus – Diode” model

205 mm (upper heat sink)395 mm (lower heat sink)

335 mm (type A)232 mm (type B)

455 mm (type A)150 mm (type B)

195 mm

Dipole (type A or B)

Diode heat sink (Upper or Lower)

‘Half moon’

(Defective) joint

62 mm Non insulated

Standard bus insulation

Double insulation

Heavy insulation

Adiabatic

Dimensional data from P. Fessia and H. Prin

4 configurations: MBA+upper HS, MBA+lower HS, MBB+upper HS, MBB+lower HS

PB

Page 10: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Typical powers (6 kA, 30 K, “40 mW defect”)

Dipole Q=1.8 MJ

Diode, 6 kW

100 W

(Defective) joint

Non insulated

Standard bus insulation

Double insulation

Heavily insulated

Adiabatic

8-12 W

5-20 W

7-15 W

35 W

THS=f(I,t)

TM=f(I,t)

IC=I0e(-t/t1)

IM=I0e(-t/t2)

ID=IC-IM

PB

Page 11: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Heating up of the diode heat sinks

Diode the same as used for the LHC, but helium environment is different Decay time constant has a small effect on THS during the first 50 s

Data from R. Denz (1997)

PB

Page 12: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Half moon resistance

SM18 data

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Ano

de w

arm

Cath

ode

war

m

Ano

de c

old

Cath

ode

cold

Ano

de w

arm

Cath

ode

war

m

Ano

de c

old

Cath

ode

cold

Ano

de w

arm

Cath

ode

war

m

Ano

de c

old

Cath

ode

cold

Ano

de w

arm

Cath

ode

war

m

Ano

de c

old

Cath

ode

cold

Alstom Ansaldo Noell All firms

R (μΩ)

StDev

Average

2.5 mW

Data from industry (at warm) give Raver=0.45 mW with ‘s’=0.4 mW.

PB

Page 13: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

9000

10000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Burn

-out

cur

rent

[A]

Raddit [mW]

3.5 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=68 s

4.5 TeV, tau=68 s

(11 kA, tau=100 s)

Results for “MBB-upper HS” geometryPB

PG=0.1% 0.05% 0.01% 0.002%2%

Page 14: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Burn

-out

cur

rent

[A]

Raddit [mW]

3.5 TeV, MBA, up3.5 TeV, MBA, down3.5 TeV, MBB, up3.5 TeV, MBB, down4 TeV (50 s), MBA, up4 TeV (50 s), MBA, down4 TeV (50 s), MBB, up4 TeV (50 s), MBB, down4 TeV (68 s), MBA, up4 TeV (68 s), MBA, down4 TeV (68 s), MBB, up4 TeV (68 s), MBB, down4.5 TeV, MBA, up4.5 TeV, MBA, down4.5 TeV, MBB, up4.5 TeV, MBB, down

Results for the 4 different geometriesPB

±4 mW ±2 mW

Page 15: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Burn

-out

cur

rent

[A]

Raddit [mW]

Default

R half moon = 0.5 uOhm

R half moon = 5 uOhm

T_magnet 2x higher

Diode lead adiabatic

Heat-up diode 2x smaller

RRR=100

Adiabatic (unrealistic)

Sensitivity to the main parameters (for 4 TeV)PB

±4 mW

Page 16: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

“Magnet-Bus-Diode” test in SM18Purpose: To measure under realistic conditions the thermal propagation from magnet coil and diode towards the joint.

Dedicated temperature probes and voltage taps will be mounted to measure the thermo-electric behavior of the system.

Test will be done on magnet 3128 (type B).

Tests consist of quenching (by heater firing) at various current levels (5-12 kA), resulting in a current bypass through the diode. At the same moment of the heater firing, the current will be ramped down with a few different time constants (50-100 s).

Test foreseen for April 2011.

People involved: M. Bajko, N. Bourcey, G. Dib, P. Fessia, L. Grand-Clement, H. Prin, Th. Renaglia, A. Verweij, G. Willering, ……

Aperture 1 Aperture 2

half moonhalf moon

EJ MBB D-EXIT

T

lower heat sink

upper heat sink

MBB D-EXIT

MBB D-ENTEJ MBB D-ENT

EE013

V

EE111

EE112

EE219EE119

EE113 EE211

EE212

EE213

EE012

VV

V

V

V

TT

T

TI

I

T

T

T

T

PB

Page 17: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

PJBurn-out current vs Raddit

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Burn

-out

curr

ent [

A]

Raddit [mW]

3.5 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=68 s

4.5 TeV, tau=68 s

PG=0.12% 0.05% 0.012% 0.003%

Page 18: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Probability for burn-out: Sum-up

Beam energ

y

t I2*t[106As]

PG * PB * PG+PB *

PJ **

3.5 TeV

50 s 1800 3 x 0.0002 0.002 0.0026 0.003

4 TeV 50 s 2300 3 x 0.001 0.01 0.013 0.012

4 TeV 68 s 3150 3 x 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.05

4.5 TeV

68 s 3900 3 x 0.03 0.1 0.19 0.12* PG and PB given in % per MB quench.** PJ given in % per prompt joint quench.

Pyear = NM * (PG+PB) + NJ * PJ NM*(PG+PB)

PG,PB,PJ

(NJ << NM)

Number of prompt joint quenches per year

Number of dipole quenches per year

Probability per year for joint burn out

Page 19: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Pyear

1 qu

ench

/wee

k

1 qu

ench

/mon

th

Page 20: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Final remarksThe probability figures hold under the assumptions that:

• Raddit measurements are representative for the entire machine,

• the joints did not deteriorate over the last 2 years.

A ‘thermal amplifier test’ in all sectors could qualify the safe operating current in situ (see talk Mike K.) .

Up to now, only the RB circuit is analysed. The RQD/F circuits are safer, due to the small decay time constant (9-15 s), the slightly smaller current, and the longer distances between joint/magnet/diode.

Sensitivity studies and results of the 4 different geometries show that especially the GHe propagation and the thermal propagation from the diode & half moons to the joint have a large impact.

The scheduled “Dipole – Bus – Diode” test in SM18 can improve our understanding of these thermal propagations. If slower than foreseen, then low-risk operation at 4.5 TeV could be envisaged.

Page 21: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Annex

Page 22: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Probability for burn-out in case of a magnet quenchPG

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

0.00001 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1

Burn

-out

curr

ent [

A]

PG [% per MB quench)

3.5 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=68 s

4.5 TeV, tau=68 s

3.5 TeV=6kA4 TeV=6.8 kA4.5 TeV=7.6 kA

Page 23: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Probability for burn-out in case of a magnet quenchPB

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1

Burn

-out

curr

ent [

A]

PB [% per MB quench]

3.5 TeV, MBA, up

3.5 TeV, MBA, down

3.5 TeV, MBB, up

3.5 TeV, MBB, down

4 TeV (50 s), MBA, up

4 TeV (50 s), MBA, down

4 TeV (50 s), MBB, up

4 TeV (50 s), MBB, down

4 TeV (68 s), MBA, up

4 TeV (68 s), MBA, down

4 TeV (68 s), MBB, up

4 TeV (68 s), MBB, down

4.5 TeV, MBA, up

4.5 TeV, MBA, down

4.5 TeV, MBB, up

4.5 TeV, MBB, down

Page 24: Probability of burn-through of defective 13 kA joints at increased energy levels Arjan Verweij

Chamonix 2011 – Beam Energy Session A. Verweij

Prob. for burn-out in case of a prompt joint quenchPJ

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0.001 0.01 0.1 1

Burn

-out

curr

ent [

A]

PJ [% per prompt joint quench]

3.5 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=50 s

4 TeV, tau=68 s

4.5 TeV, tau=68 s