probability 3

Upload: kanchana-randall

Post on 04-Jun-2018

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    1/7

    A random variable X on a sample space S is a function from S into

    the set R of real numbers such that the preimage of every interval

    of R is an event of R is an event of S.

    Random Variable

    If X is a variable whose possible values are numerical outcomes of a random

    experiment then X is called as a random variable. There are two types of

    random variables, discreteand continuous.

    Discrete Random Variables

    A discrete random variable is one which may tae on only a

    countable number of distinct values such as !,",#,$,%,........

    &iscrete random variables are usually counts.

    'g. the number of children in a family,

    the number of students attendance at a tutorial class,

    the number of patients in a doctor(s surgery,

    Probability Distribution

    The probability distribution of a discrete random variable is a list

    of probabilities associated with each of its possible values. It isalso sometimes called the probability function or the probability

    mass function.

    Example:

    A pair of fair dice is tossed. Then

    S ={(1,1), (1,2), .., (6,1), (6,2).,(6,6)}

  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    2/7

    Let the rv X = a! (a,") . ie X (a,") = a! (a,")

    Then X(s) = {1,2,#,$,%,6}

    &(X=1) = p{(1,1)} = 1'#6 = f(1)

    &(X=2) =&{(1,2), (2,2), (2,1)} Ths f(2)=#'#6

    Siiar* f#=%'#6, f$=+'#+, f% = '#6, f6 = 11'#6

    Ths -e can for a ta"e

    !i 1 2 # $ % 6

    f(!i) 1'#6 #'#6 %'#6 +'#6 '#6 11'#6

    This is caed the distri"tion of X

    0

    0.05

    0.1

    0.15

    0.2

    0.25

    0.3

    0.35

    1 2 3 4 5 6

    Y value

    Pr

    obability

    )igure " * +robability distribution of X

    Note The above probability distribution may also be described bythe probability histogram

  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    3/7

    Distribution of a RV

    -et X be a rv on a sample space S with finite image set, Xs/ 0 1x",

    x#, x$, 2..xn3. -et the function f on Xs/ , denoted by fxi/ 0

    +X0xi, i0",#2.n/ is called the distribution or probability function

    of X.

    x" x# 2. xn

    fx"/ )x#/ )xn/

    The distribution f satisfies the conditions

    a/ fxi/ 4 ! and b/ =

    =n

    i

    xif"

    "/.

    A rando varia"e X is said to "e discreteif the set X is finiteor countable.

    o- et / "e defined as the s of (a,")

    i.e. /(a,") = a0"

    Then / is a aso rv. The sape space of / {2,#,$,%,6,+,,,1,11,12}

    3ind the distri"tion of /

    /i 2 # $ % 6 + 1 11 12

    http://planetmath.org/encyclopedia/Finite.htmlhttp://planetmath.org/encyclopedia/Countable.htmlhttp://planetmath.org/encyclopedia/Finite.htmlhttp://planetmath.org/encyclopedia/Countable.html
  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    4/7

    &(*i) 1'#6 2'#6 #'#6 $'#6 %'#6 6'#6 %'#6 $'#6 #'#6 2'#6 1'#6

    4.

    pro"1'#6 #'#6 6'#6 1'#6 1%'#6 21'#6 26'#6 #'#6 ##'#6 #%'#6 #6'#6

    Distribution of Y

    1

    2

    #

    $

    %

    6

    +

    2 # $ % 6 + , 1 11 12

    )igure # * +robability distribution

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.

    0.!

    0."

    1

    2 3 4 5 6 ! " 10 11 12

    Possible values of #$

    %umulativeProb.

    3i5re 1.1 4ative distri"tion of X

  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    5/7

    Continuous Random Variables

    A continuous random variableis one -hich taes an infinite n"er of possi"e vaes.4ontinos rando varia"es are sa* easreents.

    75. 8ei5ht of first *ear stdents in 9o: the tie re;ired to rn a

    A continuous random variable is not defined at specific values.

    Instead, it is defined over an interval of values, and is represented

    by the area under a curvein advanced mathematics, this is

    nown as an integral/.

    +robability density function of continuous uniform variable

    'g. fx/ 0 "5b6a if a 7 x 7b

    0 ! , otherwise

    888 +lot 888

    Show another distribution

    Properties of a random variable (discrete /continuous) [or

    distribution]

    888 explain 88

    S5T 0"# and 'X/0$59

    Properties of (!)

    ". 'xpected value of a constant is e:ual to that constant. i.e. If c is a constant, 'c/ 0 c

  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    6/7

    #. If Xand Yare random variables such that X 7 ; the 'X/ 7 ';/

    $. 'X < ;/ 0 ' X/ < ';/

    %. 'X < c/ 0 ' X/ < c

    9. ' aX / 0 a'X/

    Variance of a distribution #. )

    &'en ( is )is*rete

    ./f.x/.#

    i

    # = XEx

    i

    i , -here 7(X) =

    =## /. i

    i

    i xfx = 7(X2) > ?7(!)@2

    (Tr* soe cass e!ercises)

    &'en ( is *ontinuous

    $+(, - /.#

    ii xfx

    #

    Ths -e can for a ta"e

    !i 1 2 # $ % 6

    f(!i) 1'#6 #'#6 %'#6 +'#6 '#6 11'#6

    E+(2

    , - 12

    /+136, 22

    /+336, 32

    /+536, 42

    /+36, 52

    /+"36, 62

    /+1136,

    - 0136 - 21."

    E+(, - 4.4 +s'oe), 'us E+(2, - 1"."!

  • 8/13/2019 Probability 3

    7/7

    $+(, - 21." 1".!! - 1.""

    o *onsi)er t'e #$ Y - sum of t'e numbers +ab, in a pair of )i*e.

    /i 2 # $ % 6 + 1 11 12

    &(*i) 1'#6 2'#6 #'#6 $'#6 %'#6 6'#6 %'#6 $'#6 #'#6 2'#6 1'#6

    E+Y2, - 22/+136, 32/+236, 77777.. 112/+236, 122/+136,

    - 54.!

    E+Y, -

    $+Y, - 54.! 2 - 5.!

    8t). )ev of Y - - 2.4