private markets overview -10.12.2015
TRANSCRIPT
Private Markets OverviewOctober 2015
Proprietary and Confi dential
• What Are Private Market Investments 1• Why Consider Private Market Investing 13• Challenges 20• What Do We See in “Real” Portfolios 26• How Much to Allocate 29• Building a Portfolio to Outperform 33• Appendix 42
Agenda
What Are Private Market Investments
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The History of Private Market Investments
1980s• RJR Nabisco• Drexel Burnham Lambert/High Yield• Highly leveraged buyouts• Severe market correction• ERISA rules change• Pensions enter landscape
Early 90s• Traditional LBOs• Proliferation of buyout funds• European LBOs
Late 2000s/Today• Lehman collapse• Credit crunch• Bank lending stopped• Rise in credit related funds• Focus on distressed companies• Emerging markets
Early 2000s• "Mega" funds • Financial engineering • Rise in European activity• VC flattens• Outstanding returns
1970s• VC Focus (early stage)• KKR, Forstmann Little, TH Lee• Leveraged buyouts (”LBOs”) begin
Mid 2000s• "Mega Mega" funds• Globalization• Public-to-Private• VC growing slowly• Rise in Asian activity
Mid 90s• Israel VC industry begins
Late 90s• Tech Boom• VC craze• Massive Fundraising• Tech bubble burst
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Present
An industry in existence for 40+ years, where strategies and geographies evolve with changing macro-economic conditions
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What is Private Equity?
Private Equity Fund III, LP
Portfolio Company A
Portfolio Company B
Portfolio Company C
Portfolio Company D
Portfolio Company E
A professionally managed pool of capital that invests primarily in private companies or securities
How it Works
1. C
apita
l Com
mittment 2. Investm
ent Period
3. Harvesting Period
• Capital Committed: An investor’s fi nancial obligation to provide a set amount of capital to the fund
• Capital Contributions: Capital contributed from an investor’s capital commitment to fund partnership investments, organizational expenses and management fees
• Distributions: Cash or stock disbursed to the investors from a fully or partially realized investment
1. Capital CommitmentInvestor makes a capital commitment to a fund manager in year 1
2. Investment PeriodOver the next 4-5 years the fund manager calls capital for investments in portfolio companies
3. Harvesting PeriodTypically, in years 6-10, fund manager begins to exit portfolio company investments, sending capital back to investors in the form of distributions. Partial realizations can occur as early as year 2-3.
The Process The Terms
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Private Markets Investment Strategies
Credit/Distressed
Emerging Markets
Secondaries
Investments in securities of companies that are either already in default, under bankruptcy protection, or in distress and heading toward such a condition. The most common distressed securities are bonds and bank debt.
Predominantly growth capital and buyout investment opportunities due to the nature of these economies. Encompasses Latin America, Asia-Pacifi c, Emerging Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa, Middle East and North Africa.
Investments in existing portfolios or direct investments at a discount based on remaining life and funded capital percentage. These opportunities are generally already delivering positive returns and therefore valuable to include in the early years of a fund-of-funds.
Venture/Growth Equity
Investments in startup and early stage, high risk/high potential companies; investments in relatively mature companies looking for growth over the long term.
Examples of portfolio companies in prior HL Funds-of-Funds
U.S. Buyout and Europe Buyout
Equity investments where a company, business unit or assets are acquired from the current shareholders, typically with the use of fi nancial leverage. These companies are generally mature and generating operating cash fl ows.
Co-InvestmentsDirect investments in a portfolio company alongside the lead general partner. Most co-investments are on the same terms as the general partner, minority positions, and/or passive investments.
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Company Lifecycle & Applicable Private Equity Strategies
Private equity managers invest in companies of critical stage to create value
• Create/develop new companies or new technologies
• Restructure, refocus or revitalize ineffi cient operating companies
• Acquire growth companies in fragmented industries
• Lend to companies enable to borrow from banks
CompanyFormation
Venture/Growth Capital
RegularBuyouts
Distressed/Turnaround/
Value-Oriented Buyout
RegularBuyouts
RapidGrowth
Maturity
Decline
Restructuring/Revival
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Private vs. Public Universe
Over 11,000 private U.S. companies with annual revenues over $100 million vs. approximately 2,700 public U.S. companies with the same annual revenues
• Private equity represents a target-rich environment, the market potential of which is dramatically larger compared to publicly-traded companies
8,184 companies74%
1,285 companies12%
1,567 companies14%
Number of Private US Companies By LTM Revenue ($M)*
$100-$499 $500-$1,000 $1,001+* Source: Capital IQ (Jan. 2014)
$100-$499 $500-$1,000 $1,001+
* Source: Capital IQ (Jan. 2014)
Number of Public US Companies By LTM Revenue ($M)*
974 companies36%
1,289 companies47%
454 companies17%
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 7
Private vs. Public Universe
22,402 companies78%
3,039 companies11%
3,217 companies11%
Number of Private European Companies By LTM Revenue (€M)*
€100-$500 €500-$1,000 €1,001+* Source: CaplQ (January 2014)
€100-$500 €500-$1,000 €1,001+
* Source: CaplQ (January 2014)
Number of Public European Companies By LTM Revenue (€M)*
1,284 companies48%
982 companies37%
406 companies15%
Over 28,000 private European companies with annual revenues over €100 million vs. approximately 2,700 public European companies with the same annual revenues
• Private equity represents a target-rich environment, the market potential of which is dramatically larger compared to publicly-traded companies
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 8
How to Access the Private Equity Market?
Invest Directly in a Fund
Invest in a Fund-of-Fundsfor One (Separate Account)
Invest in a Commingled Fund-of-Funds
Investor
Other Investors Other Investors
Private Equity FundGeneral Partner
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Private Equity FundGeneral Partner
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Private Equity FundGeneral Partner
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Fund-of-Funds
Investor
Private Equity FundGeneral Partner
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Private Equity FundGeneral Partner
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Private Equity FundGeneral Partner
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
General Partner/Manager (1%)Investor (99%)
Private Equity Fund
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Private Equity Fund
Limited Partnership
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Private Equity Fund
PortfolioCompany
PortfolioCompany
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 9
Lifecycle of a Private Equity Partnership
*This graph is for illustrative purposes only. The actual profi le of any given investment in a fund may vary substantially.
Year 3
J-Curve effect
0
Ret
urn
Year 6 Year 9
Investment Phase Value Creation Harvest
PrimarySecondary
The J-curve:
• During the fi rst few years of a fund’s life, when capital is initially drawn, valuations appear to decline relative to the paid-in capital
• This is the result of management fees and other organizational expenses, which are paid based on total committed capital
• In the early stages of a fund’s life, these costs represent a large portion of total contributed capital, resulting in negative valuations
• Secondary investments and other strategies that are able to distribute capital early in a fund’s life help mitigate the J-curve
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Understanding Private Equity Exposure and Cash Flows
Commitment ≠ Exposure commitment pacing requires careful planning• $10M commitment never fully exposed
As cash goes out, cash also comes back in while PE is illiquid, cash returns can be generated as early as 2-3 years and the entire commitment is not fully exposed all at once
Example:• Maximum cash out-of-pocket is roughly half of commitment• Cash fl ow positive for the year in years 5-6• Full commitment returned in form of distributions in years 7-8
Annual Capital Calls Annual Distributions Cumulative Net Cash Flow
Investment Life Cycle: $10M Commitment to a Fund-of-Funds
Cas
h Fl
ow (m
illion
s)
Annual net cash flowbecomes positive
-2.3
-1.4 -1.5
-0.6-1.2 -1.1
-0.7-0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.0 0.1 0.30.5
1.5
2.52.2 2.4
0.70.1
0.7 1.0
-5.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
Maximum cash out-of-pocket
-$4.9MMaximum exposure to PE
Cumulative cash flowbreak even point
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Market Value 2.3 3.2 4.3 5.0 6.0 6.0 5.6 3.8 2.6 2.9 2.6 1.7
Please refer to endnotes in Appendix
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Horizon Model – Investment Pacing
Portfolio NAV vs. Target Allocation
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
$ in
mill
ions
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
NAV - Existing NAV - New Commitments PE and RA Allocation (10.0%)
• Model takes into account client’s current Private Market Asset exposure and expected commitment amounts
• Forecasts cash infl ows / outfl ows and portfolio valuations, based on proprietary database of historical data
• Used to align client’s Private Market allocation to its target % and help determine new investment pacing
• Projects potential performance of funds over life of each fund commitment
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Horizon Model – Investment Pacing
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Distributions Contributions Net Cash Flow Cumulative Net Cash Flow
NAV:Target Allocation
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Year 1 AllocationYear 2 AllocationYear 3 AllocationYear 4 AllocationYear 5 AllocationYear 6 AllocationYear 7 AllocationYear 8 AllocationYear 9 Allocation
Current Allocation
Current Portfolio NAV and Cash Flows Over Time
U.S
.D. i
n M
illio
nsU
.S.D
. in
Mill
ions
Why Consider Private Market Investments
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 14
Fixed income yields remain stubbornly low
Searching for Yield
4.9%1.8%
3.4%
1.5%
4.1%
8.0%
2.8%3.9%
2.0%
6.0%
21.8%
8.5% 8.5%6.9%
16.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Yield Ranges - Past 20 YearsMin, Current, and Max Yield
Minimum Yield Current Yield Maximum Yield
High Yield US Corporate Mortgage (30-Yr) US Treasury (10-Yr) Emerging Maket
Source: Barclays, Bloomberg. Indices: Barclays U.S. High Yield Index, Barclays U.S. AAA Corporate Index, Federal Reserve 30Y Mortgage rate, US 10Y Treasury, Barclays Emerging Market Agg. Bond Index. Current as of 9/30/2015 (October 2015)
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 15
Public equities have been strong recently, but markets have seen two major corrections in the past 15 years
Public Equity Returns
MS
CI W
orld
Public Equity Market Performance MSCI World Index
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2014Source: MSCI World Price Index. As of 4/30/2015 (May 2015)
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 16
Private Equity IRR vs. PME IRR• Average spread of 693 bps• Top quartile spread of 1,143 bps
IRR: Private Equity OutperformsN
et IR
R
Vintage Year
All Private Equity Performance vs. Public Markets All Private Equity Funds vs. MSCI World TR Index
Public Market Equivalent* All Private Equity Pooled IRR All Private Equity Top Quartile Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database, MSCI. As of September 30, 2014 (January 2015)
All PE Average: 12.5%
Top Quartile Average: 16.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 17
10-Year Performance
10-Year Asset Class Performance - As of 03/31/2015
Asset Class Annualized Total Return Annualized Volatility Sharpe Ratio
Private Equity 13.4% 16.6% 0.61
Domestic Equities 8.4% 17.0% 0.30
International Equities 6.5% 20.3% 0.16
Emerging Market Equities 10.7% 24.9% 0.29
High Grade Bonds 6.3% 6.5% 0.45
High Yield Bonds 8.0% 12.4% 0.38
Hedge Funds 5.7% 7.8% 0.30
REITs 8.5% 26.1% 0.20
Commodities -1.0% 20.4% N/MSource: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database (March 2015)
Indices used: Hamilton Lane All Private Equity with volatility de-smoothed; Russell 3000 Index; MSCI World ex US Index; MSCI Emerging Markets Index; Barcalys Aggregate Bond Index; Credit Suisse High Yield Index, HFRI Composite Index; FTSE/NAREIT Equity REIT Index; Dow Jones-UBS Commodities Index. Geometric mean returns in USD.
• Private equity outperforms on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis
• It remains an attractive asset class
Please refer to endnotes in Appendix
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 18
Risk of Loss Less than Publics
Investors are more likely to lose principal in equity mutual funds than in Private Equity funds
% of Mutual Funds Returning Less Than 1.0x1
% of Buyout Funds Returning Less Than 1.0x
Inception Year
Vintage Year
Source: Bloomberg. As of 9/30/2014 (April 2015)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database. Data as of 9/30/14 (April 2015)
Average 2000 - 2010: 22.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Average 2000 - 2010: 12.6%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
1 The mutual fund sample encompasses 19,000 funds raised between 2000-2010. A mutual fund is deemed to have returned less than 1.0x if it has a negative ten year return as of September 30, 2014. In the absence of a ten year return, the same criteria is applied to the fi ve year return as of September 30, 2014.
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 19
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Robinson & Sensoy(2011)
Higson & Stucke(2012)
Harris, Jenkinson, and Kaplan (2013)
Jason Malinowski; Blackrock Research (2010)
Ann
ual O
utpe
rform
ance
(bps
)
Private Equity Annual Outperformance vs. S&P 500 By Academic Study Author(s)
Source: Cyclicality, Performance Measurement, and Cash Flow Liquidity in Private Equity (proprietary LP investment database); Performance of Private Equity (Cambridge Associates); Private Equity Performance, What Do We Know? (Burgiss); Do Buyouts Outperform? (Thomson, S&P, Blackrock)
Upper Bound Stated Outperformance Lower Bound
• Studies support a range of 300-500 bps of outperformance of public equities
Academic Studies
Challenges:Illiquidity
Blind Pool
Transparency / Valuation
Regulations
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 21
Sample Fund Structures and Terms*
• Term: Ten-year limited partnership
• Typically two, one-year extension options, voted on by Advisory Committee
• Annual Management Fee: Based on committed capital
• Venture Funds: 2-2.5%
• Buyout Funds: 1.5-2%
• Carried Interest: GP profi t participation
• Most often set at 20% of gains
• Premier funds charge a higher carry
• Usually above a Preferred Return/Hurdle Date of 5-10% for buyout funds
• i.e. GP receives $.20 on every dollar of profi t after set hurdle
• Commitment/Investment Period: Capital called over four to fi ve years for investments
*The actual fund structure and terms of any given fund investment may vary substantially
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 22
• Limited coverage
• Reach across industry
• Time frame
• Inconsistent data
• Uneven reporting
• Uncertain values
• Currency issues
Historically, PE Databases Unreliable
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 23
Private Equity Data Collection
Private Equity Benchmark Provider Data SourcesLP Back Offi ce GP Contributed LP Contributed FOIA Data1
Hamilton LaneCambridge AssociatesBurgissState StreetPreqinThomson ReutersPevara/EfrontPitchbookDow JonesBloomberg
Data Source Considerations
• Sample restricted to institutional portfolios
• Few can do this
• Contribution bias• Unaudited• Labor intensive
• Time lag• Labor intensive• Contribution bias
• Easy to aggregate
• Time lag• Limited metrics• Uncertain
currency conversion
1 U.S. Freedom of Information Act covers investments made by state and municipal pensions
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 24
Fund X: 7.54% IRR
Fund X Quartile Classification Across Data Providers Vintage Year 2003
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Hamilton Lane Preqin Cambridge Associates
IRR
(%)
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database, Preqin, Thomson One/Cambridge Associates. For vintage 2003 Venture Capital. As of 6/30/2014 (December 2014)
Fund X is a real vintage year 2001 buyout fund – it can be classifi ed in three different quartiles depending on the data provider that is used
Inconsistent Benchmarks
• Differences up to 2x comparing the same returns
• A lack of consistently reliable data sources continues to plague the industry
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 25
Mitigating Private Equity Risks and Concerns
Illiquidity Blind Pool Investment Transparency/Valuations
Entire commitment is never fully exposed all at once and cash distributions may occur as early as within 2-3 years (see page 12)
Invest with GPs who have a proven ability to exit over multiple cycles
Active portfolio management and dialogue with GPs/management teams on exit plans
Interim distributions/partial realizations from recaps, restructurings, and partial sales
Thoughtful portfolio construction through strategic allocations to J-curve mitigating strategies
Continuity in GPs strategy over multiple funds is important
Invest with GPs with strong and proprietary pipelines of opportunity
GP and LP communication is critical
Investing in largely funded secondaries provides transparency to underlying company holdings
ASC 820 (formerly FAS 157) - Financial Accounting Standards Board guides the alternative investment industry on how they measure and disclose fair value in fi nancial statements
SEC registration
• Annual audits required by GPs
Quarterly advisory board calls
Annual meetings, update meetings and continuous dialogue with GPs
Selecting top-tier managers with premier access, strong and tenured relationships and a superior understanding of PE asset allocations
helps mitigate PE risks and concerns
What Do We See in “Real” Portfolios
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 27
Private Equity vs. Public Equity Performance
Public Equity +300 bps
Public Equity +500 bps
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20%
Priv
ate
Equi
ty R
etur
n
Public Equity Return
10-Year Public Pension Plan Returns Private Equity Returns vs. Public Equity Returns
Source: Annual reports of 10 of the 50 largest U.S. public DB plans that provided a 10-year private equity return in their filing.Most recent year-end as of September 30, 2014
Private equity outperforms public equities in all but one public pension plan in our sample• Much greater dispersion of returns in private equity – selection matters
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 28
The Allocation Effect
Plans with larger allocations to private equity have had better performance in private equity• It takes scale and resources to effectively invest in private equity
Priv
ate
Equ
ity R
etur
n
Current PE Allocation ($B)
10-Year PE Return vs. PE AllocationBy $ Allocated to Private Equity
Source: Annual reports of 10 of the 50 largest U.S. public DB plans that provided a 10-year private equity return in their filing.Most recent year-end as of March 31, 2014.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Priv
ate
Equ
ity R
etur
n
Current PE Allocation (% of Plan Assets)
10-Year PE Return vs. PE Allocation By % Allocated to Private Equity
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
How Much to Allocate
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 30
Traditional Risk Framework
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15% 17% 19%
Ret
urn
Volatility
Efficient Frontiers With and Without Private Equity
26% Allocation to PE
50% Allocation to PE
75% Allocation to PE
100% Allocation to PE
Efficient Frontier without PE Efficient Frontier with PE
Left unconstrained, effi cient frontier models call for large allocations to private equity1
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database (March 2015) Indices used: Hamilton Lane All Private Equity with volatility de-smoothed; Russell 3000 Index; MSCI Emerging Markets Index; Barcalys Aggregate Bond Index; Credit Suisse High Yield Index, HFRI Composite Index; FTSE/NAREIT Equity REIT Index; Dow Jones-UBS Commodities Index. Geometric mean returns in USD. Please refer to endnotes in Appendix.
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 31
Who Invests in Private Equity?
Public pension funds make up approximately 29% of all private equity commitments• A longer-term asset class, private equity may be suitable for investors who are able to make capital
commitments over a multi-year period
Private SectorPension Funds
14%Banks & Investments5%
Insurance Companies10%
Endowment Plans7%
Sovereign WealthFunds14%
Investment Companies2%
Government Agencies5%
Public Pension Funds29%
Percentage of Private Equity Capital by Limited Partner Type
Foundations6%
Family Offices6%
Source: Preqin Investor Intelligence (January 2015)
SuperannuationSchemes
1%Corporate Investors
1%
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 32
What is the Appropriate PE Allocation?
The largest pension funds allocate approximately 9.0% of their assets to private equity*
Asset Class Public Corporate Union
Domestic Stock 29.2% 23.7% 30.6%
International Stock 19.7% 15.3% 7.3%
Global Equity 2.4% 3.5% 8.8%
Domestic Fixed Income 20.8% 33.2% 28.3%
Globa/International Fixed Income 2.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Cash 1.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Private Equity 9.3% 6.5% 3.7%
Real Estate Equity 7.8% 4.9% 11.1%
Alternatvies 5.0% 7.5% 8.2%
Other 1.9% 1.1% 0.7%Source: Pensions & Investments: Average Asset Mixes - Top 200 Defi ned Benefi t Pension FundsAs of 9/30/2014 (Feb 2015)
Building a Portfolio to Outperform
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 34
Building Portfolios Designed to Outperform
Top-Down +Bottom-Up Approach =
Performance
Manager Selection Access
M
arke
t Ove
rlay
Portfolio Construction
• High-quality GPs that allocate through market cycles
• Flexible commitment pacing to prevailing market opportunities
• Build customized portfolios from complementary top-tier fund managers
• In-depth quantitative and qualitative analysis
• Access through leading market position, global network
• Size and scale leads to differentiated deal fl ow and access
• Investment philosophy allows for diversifi cation without indexing returns
• Selectively allocate to strategies in order to mitigate the J-curve
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 35
Tactical Allocation is Crucial
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011EU Buyout
24.9%EU Buyout
36.3%EU Buyout
32.8%Secondary FoF 21.6%
US Large/Mega 15.9%
Growth Equity 21.8%
Multi-Stage VC 9.3%
Seed/Early VC 18.2%
Seed/Early VC 25.3%
US SMID23.5%
Real Estate25.1%
Multi-Stage VC 33.1%
US Large/Mega 19.9%
Distressed Debt 26.6%
Distressed Debt 20.6%
EU Buyout20.4%
US SMID11.5%
Seed/Early VC 17.4%
Distressed Debt 8.7%
Multi-Stage VC 15.5%
Growth Equity 21.3%
US Large/Mega 22.0%
Multi-Stage VC 25.0%
Seed/Early VC 30.6%
Real Estate19.4%
US SMID21.6%
US SMID19.7%
US SMID18.2%
ROW11.0%
ROW13.1%
US SMID8.2%
Growth Equity 15.4%
US SMID16.6%
Multi-Stage VC 18.0%
Secondary FoF 22.7%
Infrastructure20.8%
ROW13.6%
ROW21.3%
Multi-Stage VC 3.3%
Mezzanine12.6%
Seed/Early VC 10.7%
US Large/Mega 9.4%
Secondary FoF 7.5%
US SMID12.9%
US Large/Mega 15.2%
Infrastructure15.4%
Late Stage VC 20.9%
Real Estate20.3%
Growth Equity 13.4%
Real Estate20.8%
Real Estate0.9%
Real Estate11.0%
Distressed Debt 10.4%
Distressed Debt 9.0%
US Large/Mega 7.4%
Natural Resources
12.3%
Distressed Debt 14.9%
Seed/Early VC 14.5%
Seed/Early VC 19.3%
Natural Resources
17.0%
US SMID11.3%
US Large/Mega 19.3%
Seed/Early VC -2.8%
Seed/Early VC 3.9%
Secondary FoF 8.9%
EU Buyout8.1%
Growth Equity 6.7%
Secondary FoF 11.7%
Late Stage VC 12.5%
ROW13.5%
Growth Equity 14.1%
US SMID16.3%
Secondary FoF 10.3%
Mezzanine9.0%
Multi-Stage VC 7.3%
US SMID7.7%
Seed/Early VC 4.2%
Distressed Debt 10.6%
Multi-Stage VC 12.3%
Distressed Debt 12.3%
US SMID13.1%
Mezzanine15.5%
Mezzanine9.7%
Multi-Stage VC 4.9%
Real Estate1.0%
Mezzanine6.7%
EU Buyout3.9%
Mezzanine10.2%
Secondary FoF 11.7%
Real Estate12.2%
Natural Resources
12.8%
Growth Equity 13.1%
Multi-Stage VC 2.5%
Seed/Early VC -0.8%
Secondary FoF 6.7%
ROW3.2%
US Large/Mega 9.6%
Natural Resources
10.5%
EU Buyout8.0%
EU Buyout12.3%
US Large/Mega 12.3%
Late Stage VC 1.0%
Multi-Stage VC 3.7%
Mezzanine3.0%
Late Stage VC 7.5%
EU Buyout10.4%
Natural Resources
-7.5%
Distressed Debt 10.9%
Distressed Debt 8.8%
Seed/Early VC -2.4%
Real Estate-2.6%
Natural Resources
1.9%
ROW6.5%
Mezzanine10.2%
Mezzanine10.5%
ROW8.4%
Real Estate0.3%
EU Buyout4.2%
ROW10.1%
ROW4.4%
EU Buyout4.4%
Real Estate4.1%
Real Estate 5.8%
Infrastructure2.6%Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database. Pooled Net IRRs as of 9/30/2014 (February 2015)
Strategies as designated by Hamilton Lane. Fund size classifi cations (SMID, Large/Mega) may vary by vintage yearStrategies with less than three funds in a Vintage Year are not included for the year on the chart
Periodic Table of Returns by Vintage Year
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 36
1985
North America - BuyoutWestern Europe - BuyoutNorth America - Distressed DebtNorth America - Real EstateNorth America - Venture CapitalNorth America - Growth EquityNorth America - InfrastructureNorth America - MezzanineNorth America - Special SituationsROW - BuyoutROW - Growth EquityROW - Real EstateROW - Venture CapitalWestern Europe - Distressed DebtWestern Europe - InfrastructureWestern Europe - Real EstateFoFMulti-Manager CISecondary FoF
KKR
WCAS
TCW
Forstmann Little
OakSummit
Butler Capital
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database (August 2014)
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 37
2014
North America - BuyoutWestern Europe - BuyoutNorth America - Distressed DebtNorth America - Real EstateNorth America - Venture CapitalNorth America - Growth EquityNorth America - InfrastructureNorth America - MezzanineNorth America - Special SituationsROW - BuyoutROW - Growth EquityROW - Real EstateROW - Venture CapitalWestern Europe - Distressed DebtWestern Europe - InfrastructureWestern Europe - Real EstateFoFMulti-Manager CISecondary FoF
TPG
Oaktree
ApaxTA
Advent
KKR Bain
NEA
Carlyle
BlackstoneWarburgPincus
Apollo
BC
SilverLake
GoldmanSachs
BlackstoneRE
PermiraTCV
Coller
NordicCVC
JPMorgan
Cinven
Hellman
Global Infrastructure PartnersLexington
Cerberus
Insight
GeneralAtlantic
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database (August 2014)
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 38
Wide disparity of returns makes manager selection critical
Manager Selection
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
IRR
(%)
Private Equity IRR Quartiles As of September 30, 2014
Upper Quartile IRR Median IRR Bottom Quartile IRR MSCI World
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database (April 2015) MSCI World, net reinvested dividends.Benchmark calculated as PME (Public Market Equivalent) using All Private Equity pooled cashflows.
Vintage Year
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 39
PE Manager Access and Selection are KeyIn
tern
al R
ate
of R
etur
n (IR
R)
Top Quartile Median Bottom Quartile
SPTR vs. Top Quartile U.S. BuyoutRolling One Year TWR - As of September 30, 2014
U.S. Buyout Top Quartile S&P 500 Total Return Index
U.S. Buyout
EuropeanBuyout
U.S.Stock Funds
EuropeanStock Funds
Ten
Year
Ret
urn
Dispersion of Returns Private Equity vs Mutual Funds: 10 Year Time-Weighted Returns
Upper Middle Bottom
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database, Bloomberg. As of 9/30/2014 (March 2015)
Vintage Year Since-Inception ReturnsAll PE - As of September 30, 2014
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database. As of 9/30/2014 (March 2015)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Source: Hamilton Lane Fund Investment Database, Bloomberg. (September 2014)
Trai
ling
1Y T
ime-
Wei
ghte
d R
etur
n (T
WR
)
-10% -5% 0% 5%
10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
• Fund access and selection are crucial to performance in this asset class
• The performance gap between top and bottom quartile returns is wider in private equity than any other asset class
• Most managers do not beat the public markets
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 40
Keys to Private Equity Manager Success
• Low Purchase Price/Higher Sale Price• Structure/Financing• Earnings Improvement• Strategic Reorientation
• IPO• Strategic/Financial Sale• Merger• Refi nancing
How Does a GP Add Value? How Do GPs Exit Investments?
A successful manager increases the value of its portfolio companies and is able to exit these companies at prices well above cost
It is critical to understand how GPs generate value and distinguish between the realized/unrealized performance in a fund
60% 55% 76%
64%
22% 35% 12%
23%
18% 10% 12% 13%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Fund I Fund II Fund III Total
Value Creation
Debt Paydown Multiple Expansion EBITDA Growth
Example: Private Equity Fund VI - Prior Investment Performance 1
($mm) Fund Total Portfolio Gross IRR Realized Portfolio Gross IRR Unrealized Portfolio Gross IRR
Fund I 31.4% 31.4%Fund II 34.5% 38.9% 8.9%Fund III 27.4% 31.0% 12.4%Fund IV 14.8% 20.3% 13.6%Fund V 15.0% 40.7% 13.9%Total 24.4% 34.1% 13.3%
1 For illustrative purposes only. Actual performance results may vary.
Proprietary and Confi dential Page 41
Contact Information
Philadelphia One Presidential Blvd., 4th Floor Bala Cynwyd, PA 19004 USA +1 610 934 2222
Rio de Janeiro Av. Niemeyer 2, Sala 102 Leblon Rio de Janeiro Brasil 22450-220 +55 21 3520 8903
New York 610 Fifth Avenue, Suite 401 New York, NY 10020 USA +1 212 752 7667
Tokyo 17F, Imperial Hotel Tower 1-1-1, Uchisaiwai-cho, Chiyoda-ku Tokyo 100-0011 Japan +81 (0) 3 3580 4000
London 8-10 Great George Street London SW1P 3AE United Kingdom +44 (0) 207 340 0100
San Francisco 200 California Street, Suite 400 San Francisco, CA 94111 USA +1 415 365 1056
Fort Lauderdale 200 SW 1st Avenue, Suite 880 Ft. Lauderdale, FL 33301 USA +1 954 745 2780
Las Vegas 3753 Howard Hughes Parkway Suite 200 Las Vegas, NV 89169 USA +1 702 784 7690
Hong Kong Room 1001-3, 10th Floor St. George’s Building 2 Ice House Street Central Hong Kong, China +852 3987 7191
San Diego 7777 Fay Avenue, Suite 201 La Jolla, CA 92037 USA +1 858 410 9967
Tel Aviv 14 Shenkar Street Nolton House Herzliya Pituach, 46733 P.O. Box 12279 Israel +00 972 9 958 6670
Appendix
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 43
Endnotes
Page 10
Please note that the data shown herein represents actual performance data for an investor who committed $10M to the Hamilton Lane Carpenters Partnership Fund L.P. in 2000. The return fi gures shown
may differ for investors who committed to the partnership at a different time or with different terms. The data shown is intended to provide information about the potential cash fl ows that a private equity fund
can provide, and should not be considered a proxy for the performance of all private equity funds. Actual performance will vary depending on, amongst other factors, market and credit conditions and may
vary signifi cantly from the data shown herein. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Pages 17, 30
The Hamilton Lane All Private Equity Index tracks the performance of private equity strategies including buyout, venture capital, credit, and other special situation strategies. The index excludes real
estate, fund-of-funds, and secondary fund-of-funds. The Russell 3000 Index tracks the equity performance of the 3,000 largest U.S. companies. The MSCI World Ex U.S. Index tracks large and midcap
equity performance in developed market countries, excluding the U.S.. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index tracks large and mid-cap equity performance in emerging market countries. The Barclays
Aggregate Bond Index tracks the performance of U.S. investment grade bonds. The Credit Suisse High Yield Index tracks the performance of U.S. sub-investment-grade bonds. The FTSE/ NAREIT
All Equity REIT Index tracks the performance of U.S. equity REITs. The Dow Jones-UBS Commodities Index tracks the performance of a broad basket of commodity futures contracts.
Proprietary and Confi dentialPage 44
As of
Disclosures
As of October 1, 2015
This presentation has been prepared solely for informational purposes and contains confi dential and proprietary information, the disclosure of which could be harmful to Hamilton Lane. Accordingly, the recipients of this presentation are requested to maintain the confi dentiality of the information contained herein. This presentation may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of Hamilton Lane.
The information contained in this presentation may include forward-looking statements regarding returns, performance, opinions, the fund presented or its portfolio companies, or other events contained herein. Forward-looking statements include a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors beyond our control, or the control of the fund or the portfolio companies, which may result in material differences in actual results, performance or other expectations. The opinions, estimates and analyses refl ect our current judgment, which may change in the future.
All opinions, estimates and forecasts of future performance or other events contained herein are based on information available to Hamilton Lane as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change. Past performance of the investments described herein is not indicative of future results. In addition, nothing contained herein shall be deemed to be a prediction of future performance. The information included in this presentation has not been reviewed or audited by independent public accountants. Certain information included herein has been obtained from sources that Hamilton Lane believes to be reliable but the accuracy of such information cannot be guaranteed.
This presentation is not an offer to sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy, any security or to enter into any agreement with Hamilton Lane or any of its affi liates. Any such offering will be made only at your request. We do not intend that any public offering will be made by us at any time with respect to any potential transaction discussed in this presentation. Any offering or potential transaction will be made pursuant to separate documentation negotiated between us, which will supersede entirely the information contained herein.
The MSCI World Index is a free fl oat-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure the equity performance of developed markets.
Certain of the performance results included herein do not refl ect the deduction of any applicable advisory or management fees, since it is not possible to allocate such fees accurately in a vintage year presentation or in a composite measured at different points in time. A client’s rate of return will be reduced by any applicable advisory or management fees, carried interest and any expenses incurred. Hamilton Lane’s fees are described in Part 2 of our Form ADV, a copy of which is available upon request.
The following hypothetical example illustrates the effect of fees on earned returns for both separate accounts and fund of funds investment vehicles. The example is solely for illustration purposes and is not intended as a guarantee or prediction of the actual returns that would be earned by similar investment vehicles having comparable features. The example is as follows: The hypothetical separate account or fund of funds consisted of $100 million in commitments with a fee structure of 1.0% on committed capital during the fi rst four years of the term of the investment and then declining by 10% per year thereafter for the 12-year life of the account. The commitments were made during the fi rst three years in relatively equal increments and the assumption of returns was based on cash fl ow assumptions derived from a historical database of actual private equity cash fl ows. Hamilton Lane modeled the impact of fees on four different return streams over a 12-year time period. In these examples, the effect of the fees reduced returns by approximately 2%. This does not include performance fees, since the performance of the account would determine the effect such fees would have on returns. Expenses also vary based on the particular investment vehicle and, therefore, were not included in this hypothetical example. Both performance fees and expenses would further decrease the return.
Hamilton Lane (UK) Limited is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Hamilton Lane Advisors, L.L.C. Hamilton Lane (UK) Limited is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conducts Authority. In the UK this communication is directed solely at persons who would be classifi ed as a professional client or eligible counterparty under the FCA Handbook of Rules and Guidance. Its contents are not directed at, may not be suitable for and should not be relied upon by retail clients.
Any tables, graphs or charts relating to past performance included in this presentation are intended only to illustrate the performance of the indices, composites, specifi c accounts or funds referred to for the historical periods shown. Such tables, graphs and charts are not intended to predict future performance and should not be used as the basis for an investment decision.
The information herein is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, accounting, legal or tax advice, or investment recommendations. You should consult your accounting, legal, tax or other advisors about the matters discussed herein.