private label manufacturers association feb 2013
TRANSCRIPT
Private LabelManufacturers AssociationFeb 2013
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
2
AGENDA
1. Customer and Manufacturer Mindset
2. The Market
3. Private Label Performance
4. Christmas Snap Shot
CUSTOMER AND MANUFACTURER
MIND SET
Copy
right
©20
12 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
4
Consumer Confidence continues to erode, with bleak
outlook for coming year
Manufacturer Outlookis divided, but pessimistic about current trends and activities
Trade Spend is reaching saturation point and no longer delivering on its promise
Retailer Relationshipsare being damaged by perceived
power and cost imbalances
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
5
feel they need to cut back on Trade Spend, compared to 38% who see it boosting ROI.
38%39%65%25%
of consumers think we are in a recession – 6% more than in Q4 2009.
of manufacturers feel that business conditions have declined since this time last year
of manufacturers consider their relationship with Woolworths to be “Poor” or “Very Poor”.
THE MARKET
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
10
AUSTRALIAFast Moving Consumer Goods market dynamics | Scan Data
Nielsen Scan Data based on the widest possible basket of product categories that are continuously tracked by Nielsen in each of these countries and channels. In most cases this reflects 60 – 80% of all Longlife categories. For Australia, this is 75% of categories.
Australia continues to experience a slowing rate of FMCG price inflation, which is a recurring pattern in other countries in the region.
2010
-Q1
2010
-Q2
2010
-Q3
2010
-Q4
2011
-Q1
2011
-Q2
2011
-Q3
2011
-Q4
2012
-Q1
2012
-Q2
2012
-Q3
2012
-Q4
2.5% 2.8%3.6%
4.0%4.7%
4.1%
2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.0%1.2%
0.4%0.4%
1.2%
1.5%
2.3%
1.5%
0.2%0.3%
-0.9%
0.5%0.2%
1.0%
2.9%3.2%
4.8%
5.5%
7.0%
5.6%
2.7%3.0%
1.5%2.6%
2.2% 2.2%
Unit value change Volume change Total Growth
2009
2010
2011
2012
3.4%
3.3%
3.3%
1.9%
3.5%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
6.9%
4.2%
4.0%
2.3%
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
15
IN-MARKET SUCCESS AS COLES CONTINUES TO CLOSE THE GAP ON WOOLWORTHS
Market Share % by Retailer 2012 (vs. 2011)
7.6%+ 0.6
29.0%+ 0.5
38.2%+ 0.1
7.7%
- 0.5
Source: Nielsen | Homescan, Total Australia, MAT to
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
16
COLES ENJOYING BROAD SUCCESS ACROSS ALL SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC CLUSTERS FOLLOWED BY ALDI
HIGHIncome
HIGHDensity
LOWIncome
LOWDensity
Families
Singles & Couples
High Income Med Income Low Income
Retailer % Growth Vs Total AUS – 2012
RETAILER GROWTH % AHEAD OF TOTAL AUS
Source: Nielsen | Homescan, Total Australia, MAT to
LETS TALK PRIVATE LABEL!
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
18
21.0 21.1 21.4 21.1 21.0 20.3 20.4 20.5
16.8 17.5 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.9 17.9 18.3
94.2 93.9 93.5 93.6 93.7 93.5 92.5 90.7
22.8 23.5 23.7 23.7 23.5 23.9 24.0 24.1
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
10
20
30
40
50
Qtr to30/04/2011
Qtr to30/07/2011
Qtr to29/10/2011
Qtr to28/01/2012
Qtr to28/04/2012
QTR to28/07/2012
QTR to27/10/2012
QTR to26/01/2013
Coles Woolworths T. Supermarkets Aldi
% VALUE SHARE OF PRIVATE LABEL TO TOTAL PACKAGED GROCERY SALES
Private Label has gained an increase in Share in WOW.Small decrease in PL Share for Coles.Branded products highly increasing their share in Aldi
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
19
Start up families increasing their spend on private labels faster than other demographic groups
Families Share on Private Label Trended, Total Supermarkets
QTR to 30/04/2011
QTR to 30/07/2011
QTR to 29/10/2011
QTR to 28/01/2012
QTR to 28/04/2012
QTR to 28/07/2012
QTR to 27/10/2012
QTR to 26/01/2013
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
22.8
23.5 23.7 23.7
23.5
23.9 24.0 24.1
23.0
24.1
25.3
25.7 25.5
26.2
26.9 26.6
25.0
25.6 25.8 25.7 25.7
26.2 26.0 26.1
24.6
25.5 25.2 25.2
25.4
26.0
25.6
25.1
Total Australia Start-up Families Small Scale Families Bustling Families
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
20
CUSTOMERS BUYING MORE , PENETRATION INCREASES AND OVERALL SHARE INCREASING
-4.2%-4.2%
PenetrationPenetration AWOPAWOP PL VAL SharePL VAL Share
Homescan QTR to 26/01/2013
+6.0%+6.0%
+0.9%+0.9%+1.0%+1.0%
Source: Nielsen | Homescan (Australia) – Issue# 600652/600654
Q4 2012 Nielsen Private Label Report
-6.0%-6.0%
+4.6%+4.6%
+0.0%+0.0% +8.4%+8.4%
+2.1%+2.1%
+2.8%+2.8% -3.4%-3.4%
-5.6%-5.6%
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
22
Purchased in National brands
Promotional Vulnerable PL
Purchased primarily in Private Label
Pet Food Coffee
Milk Ice Cream
Block CheeseConvenience Frozen
Soft Drinks Medicinal ProductsBiscuits And Cookies Frozen Vegetables
Chilled Desserts Vitamins
Confectionery Toilet Paper
Cereal Chilled Spreads
SnacksHeat And Eat Frozen
Packaged Bread In store Bread
8
5
7
Shopping list
THERE ARE 20 CATEGORIES WHICH ACCOUNT FOR 50% OF THE HEAVY PRIVATE LABEL BUYERS SPEND OVER A YEAR IN AUSTRALIA
CHRISTMAS SNAP SHOT
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
26
Strong Christmas Theme:Fresh and ValueAll Your Needs for Christmas
Strong Christmas Theme:Quality and FreshAll Your Needs for Christmas
CHRISTMAS THEMES
Strong Christmas Theme:Fun and Lowest Prices
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
27
Share of Trade
Growth in Media Spend
Share of Trade: Source: Nielsen Homescan, 13 weeks to 29/12/2012. Media Spend: Source: Nielsen Media, 8 weeks to 29/12/2012, data derived from free-to-air channel rate cards after discounts applied. Discounts are derived on a per advertiser basis, based on industry body information. Nielsen aims for this measure to be as accurate as possible, but deviation from the total universe may occur. Shopper Trends: Source: Nielsen Customized Research (CR), based on January telephone survey from a CR Panel (separate to the Homescan panel) (n = 3007 for location of shopping question, n = 3358 for best supermarket winner question).
Thinking about your overall experience (including out-of-store marketing), who do you think should ‘win’ the best Overall Supermarket for Christmas 2012?
At which of the following supermarkets did you complete the majority of your Christmas shopping?
37.7% 29.0% 8.1%-4.9% +14.3% +143.8%
1st (28%) 2nd (24%) 3rd (14%)
1st (37%) 2nd (30%) 3rd (10%)
Aldi performing ahead of expectation over the Christmas period.
CHRISTMAS SHOPPER TRENDS
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
28Shopper Trends: Source: Nielsen Customized Research, based on January questionnaire (n = 2953).
Aldi’s performance over Christmas has been driven in some area’s that aren’t traditional Aldi strengths.
CHRISTMAS SHOPPER TRENDSWhich of the following reasons describe why you chose to shop at your chosen retailer for the majority of your Christmas shop?
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
32
ALDI stocked more branded items this Christmas than ever before – offerings which were on average 75c cheaper than WOW and $1.19 cheaper than Coles.
Time periods are 13 weeks. 2012 to week ending 29/12/2012, 2011 to week ending 31/12/2011, 2010 to week ending 01/01/2011. Source: Nielsen Homescan
The New ALDI Buyer Penetration AWOP ($) Avg Price ($) Per UnitPerceived % Value on
Promo2011 2012 +/- 2011 2012 +/- 2011 2012 +/- 2011 2012 +/-
Australia 76.5 83.2 6.7 21.84 25.14 3.30 4.37 4.48 0.11 48.9 52.1 3.1Woolworths 45.9 47.9 2.1 16.72 16.73 0.01 4.48 4.32 -0.15 50.7 52.8 2.1Coles 38.5 41.7 3.2 15.81 18.18 2.37 4.20 4.76 0.57 48.6 56.7 8.1ALDI 0.0 16.8 16.8 0.00 11.36 11.36 0.00 3.57 3.57 0.0 24.4 24.4
2011 2012Market Share ($)
45.9%38.3%
36.4% 36.2%
0.0%9.1%
WoolworthsColesALDI
-7.8%
Retailer share amongst Aldi’s branded Christmas stock
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
34
10% share of eastern seaboard
Strength is price
Range = 1200 items
Basket size is 90% of WW / Coles
Strong in fresh
Skewed towards families
Strongest rel’ship with suppliers
Brightest future according to Aust. Suppliers
Plans to open in South & Western Australia
50% of household’s shopping
300stores
ALDI
SUMMARY OF TRENDS
Copy
right
©20
13 T
he N
iels
en C
ompa
ny. C
onfid
entia
l and
pro
prie
tary
.
36
SUMMARY OF TRENDS
• Consumer and Manufacturer confidence continues to erode, with bleak outlook for coming year.
• Coles & Aldi winning in the market – both attracting Woolworths key shoppers
• PL continuing to grow in the Australian market, but growth slowing as market becomes more mature
• Private Label growth opportunities increasingly focused on more premium non-traditional areas
• Balancing both Private Label & Branded important to retailers in winning Christmas
• Aldi growth into SA & WA likely to increase the acceptability of Private Label within the Australian market
THANKYOU