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Get ready, Gold Pr ices

Improves Again in Quarter

I I I-2013

Gold Prices Stil l Be tah

Antam Rp 503 Thousand in

4 Days During

RELATED NEWS

Price Free Fall, What Gold is still worthy to

be collected?Posted: 08.01.2013 07:02

TOPIC # gold # gold # investing instruments

Liputan6.com, New York : In recent years, gold continues to move freely. Gold prices have less than U.S.

$ 500 per ounce in 2005 and jumped to more than U.S. $ 1,800 in 2011. Until finally lately fallen back to

around U.S. $ 1,300 per ounce. So does gold still deserve to be part of your portfolio?

As reported by the Economic Times , Thursday

(08/01/2013), Nicholas Gregory Mankiw,

macroeconomists United States (U.S.), which holds a

60% investment in stocks and bonds collections 40%,

judging seems to be holding gold ammunition in the

event of collapse your investment.

But economics professor at Harvard University is also

not refuted the notion that investors view gold as a

key portfolio. While the author Harry Browne who was a candidate for the leadership of Parta Libertaria

recommend a permanent allocation of 25% of the total investment for gold.

In 2012, the U.S. central bank (the Fed) reported the Dallas Central Bank Governor Richard Fisher even

has gold worth U.S. $ 1 million in his personal portfolio.

To decide whether the gold should be part of your portfolio or not, here are a few things to learn about

gold Mankiw:

a. The amount of gold reserves was much

World Gold Council predicts that the number of gold mines in the world has produced hover around 174

100 tonnes. If the supply is split evenly to the entire population of the world, then one person will only get

less than one ounce of gold.

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Warren E. Buffet illustrates how a small amount of gold to keep all the gold in a box. Then the box is high

only reached 69 feet or the equivalent of just a baseball field.

A report recently released National Bureau of Economic Research, Claude B. Erb and Campbell R. Harvey

predicts gold prices will rise 9% of the market capitalization of stocks, bonds and gold.

Yet most of the world's gold is still owned by the investors. Meaning if you are planning to hold a portfolio,

asset allocation to gold eat only about 2%.

b. Return the real gold is not large

In the long run, the price of gold has exceeded all prices measured CPI (Consumer Price Index), although

not so high.

Recent data released by the economists Robert J. Barro and Sanjay P. Misra shows the returns of gold

from 1836 to 2011 amounted to only 1.1%. As for long-term investments in bonds and stocks, big return of

each investment reached 2.9% and 7.4%.

c. The price of gold as of vulnerable

The average return offered gold investment investment nearly equal to the Treasury, but the instability was

almost similar to the stock market.

Barro and Misra reported gold return volatility, as measured by the standard deviation since 1975 about

50% higher than the volatility of the stock.

Given gold is a small asset returns and volatility is slightly higher, investors should avoid gold. However,

this condition is not permanent. A fact about gold can still reverse the condition.

d. Gold investment is difficult to predict

An important element in the investment portfolio is certified. In this condition, the gold really shines

remember price is not related to stocks and bonds. Despite the high volatility of gold, put it in a portfolio

can reduce overall risk.

So what should investors do? Difficult to predict given the optimal portfolio is very sensitive to the estimated

return on alternative assets. return of investment is very difficult to measure precisely even though using

the duplicate data. No wonder the financial analysts said the conclusions vary.

So investing in a portfolio of gold should only amount to 2% as hedge funds investments. (Sis / Ndw)

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