prezentacja programu powerpoint · carried out on around 2000 households in poland and ukraine...

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1 Bonn 5-6.12.2019 Dominika Rogalińska, Spatial and Environmental Surveys Department, GUS Marek Cierpiał-Wolan, Statistical Office in Rzeszów Statistics Poland’s experience Cross-border monitoring

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Page 1: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

1Bonn5-6.12.2019

Dominika Rogalińska, Spatial and Environmental Surveys Department, GUS

Marek Cierpiał-Wolan, Statistical Office in Rzeszów

Statistics Poland’s experience

Cross-border monitoring

Page 2: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Poland’s Boundaries

External EU border: 1163 km

Internal EU border:1908 km

Source: Statistical Atlas of Poland, GUS, Warsaw 2018https://stat.gov.pl/en/topics/other-studies/other-aggregated-studies/statistical-atlas-of-poland,17,1.html

Page 3: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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• geographic areas where European integration processes are experienced in everyday life by individuals, businesses and public authorities,

• evidence shows that much can be gained by reducing the negative impact of the territorial, legal and administrative discontinuities which persist in border regions

In Poland:• External EU border – local (small) border traffic• Internal EU border – integration processes

• Flow statistics – not only migration!

Cross-border areas? Why so important?

Source: Communication From the Commission to the Council and the European Parliament – Boosting growth and cohesion in EU border regions, 2017

Page 4: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Cross-border areas statistics – organization of Statistics Poland (GUS)

Central level: Spatial and

Environmental Surveys Department,

GUS

Regional level:

Centre for TransborderAreas and Statistics for

Euroregions

cross-border friendshipdatabase

Statistical Offices in border voivodships

GUS

Page 5: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Department’s tasks:• coordination of work concerning cross-border areas,• monitoring of activities in the area of cross-border and

euroregions statistics in different spatial levels.

Statistical Offices’ tasks:• conducting research, analytical and publishing activities in a

given voivodship in the area of cross-border and euroregionalstatistics, in cooperation with the Centre for Transborder Areasand Statistics for Euroregions (Statistical Office in Rzeszów).

Cross-border areas statistics – tasks (1)

Page 6: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Cross-border areas statistics – statistical offices’ activities (1)

Retail prices in the Polish-Czech borderland in OpolskieVoivodship, the Olomoucký and the Moravskoslezský Regions (ed. SO Opole)

Prices in the Euroregion Nysa 2017 (ed. SO Wrocław)

Euroregion Bug in figures in 2010-2015 (ed. SO Lublin)

The Puszcza Białowieska Euroregion in 2015 (ed. SO Bialystok)

Page 7: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Cross-border areas statistics – statistical offices’ activities (2)

Polish-German borderland in numbers 2014 (ed. SO Zielona Góra)

Kaliningrad Oblast and Warmińsko-Mazurskie Voivodeship in numbers 2017(ed. SO Olsztyn)

Living conditions of the population in the Pomeranian Voivodship, Kaliningrad region and St. Petersburg (ed. SO Gdańsk)

Socio-economic potential of the Carpathian Euroregion in the years 2011-2013 (ed. SO Rzeszów)

Page 8: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre’s tasks:• conducting research, preparing analyzes and statistical

publications in the field of cross-border areas andeuroregional statistics,

• cooperation with institutions in the country and abroad inthe field of cross-border and euroregional statistics,

• coordination of the work of statistical offices in the field ofcross-border and euroregional statistics,

• carrying out work on the use of administrative data sourcesfor cross-border areas’ research.

Cross-border areas statistics – tasks (2)

Page 9: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Towards coherent research system for transborder areas

Delimitationof transborder

areas

Monitoringof socio-economic

phenomena

Comprehensivesurveys

Transborder metadatabase

Methodology

Page 10: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

DISTANCE FROM THE BORDER TO THE PLACE OF RESIDENCE OF POLES AND FOREIGNERS CROSSING THE EU’S BORDER IN POLAND

Preliminary delimitation based on:

Regulation No. 1931/2006 of the European Community, according to which the border zone covers an area of 30 to 50 km from the border,

results of the questionnaire surveys at the border, etc.

Dynamic delimitation - systematic analysisof socio-economic phenomena in this areaand environment (e.g. labour markets,commutes, entrepreneurship, demographicprocesses, tourism, differences in the levelof prices).

Delimitation of transborder areas

Page 11: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Social

Quality of life

Legal

EcologicalFactors

of regionaldevelopment

Economic

Monitoring

Political

Page 12: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Inventory of information resources of official statistics

Extra-statistical sources of information(administrative registers, Big Data sources – mobile phones, road sensors, data from webscraping etc.)

Combining information from the administrative registers, sample surveys and Big Data

sources

(e.g. the linkage of data from Labour Force Survey, Household Budget Survey, National Health Fund, Border Traffic, Accommodation Statistics)

Data sources

Monitoring

Page 13: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Output Data

GeoData Employees

(x,y) LAU ID 1 170

(x,y) LAU ID 2 230

(x,y) LAU ID 3 180

Estimation of model

Data aggregation and benchmarking by NUTS 3

Aggregated Output Data

GeoData Employees

(x,y) NUTS 3 ID 1 1700

(x,y) NUTS 3 ID 2 2300

Labour Force Surveydata

Databases linked by GeoData

NationalHealth Fund

Border Traffic(Big Data)

AccommodationStatistics

GeoData Employees Insuredforeigners

Numberof vehicles

Number of foreigntourists by country

(x,y) LAU ID 1 250 12 15 040 130

(x,y) LAU ID 3 110 32 9 420 190

Datasets linkage and estimation procedure

Integrated database

Page 14: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Data sources

Monitoring

Spatial models (e.g. AHP method used for evaluating competitiveness of spatial

units and tracking demand and supply shocks both in time and space)

Taxonomic methods – hierarchical and non-hierarchical (e.g. transborder index)

Page 15: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for EuroregionsSubjective and objective aspects of quality of life

Synthetic indicators

Selected objective indicators of quality of life

Average monthly gross wages and salaries Sold production of industry per 1 thous population Average usable floor area of a dwelling per one inhabitant Registered unemployment rate Proportion of registered unemployed persons in population at working age Population using wastewater treatment plants in % of total population Proportion of waste recovered in waste generated Persons unemployed over 24 months per 1 thous. population Full-time and part-time paid teachers in terms of full-time employment per 1 thous. population Percentage share of schools equipped with computers with the Internet access Total nursery schools per 1 thous. population Total tertiary schools per 1 thous. population Total students per 1 thous. population Doctors and dental specialists per 1 thous. population Beds in general hospitals per 1 thous. population Nurseries and nursery wards per 1 thous. population Ascertained crimes per 1 thous. inhabitants Proportion of green areas in total area Total respiratory diseases per 100 thous. population Total deaths caused by neoplasms per 100 thous. population Deaths caused by circulatory system diseases per 100 thous. population

Subjective assessment of life domains

Family life Financial situation Friendship Incomes Meeting basic needs Health Achievements General country situation Housing Neighbourhood Available goods and services Prospects Sex life Education level Leisure Job Children Marriage Safety

Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including

transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale).

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Polish households nearSlovakian border

Polish households nearUkrainian border

Ukrainian households nearPolish border

Polish and Ukrainianhouseholds in inner area

0,555 0,562 0,584 0,384

Quality of life - Distortion measure

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for Euroregions

Household surveye.g. tourism, quality of life

Survey at the EU’s borderson the territory of Poland

External borders Internal borders

Questionnaire surveyat the border

Traffic intensity survey Questionnaire surveyin the vicinity of the border

(e.g. shopping centres,service centres,petrol stations) Questionnaire survey

(seaports, airports, railway)

common questionnaire

Comprehensive surveys

Page 18: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for EuroregionsResults of comprehensive surveys

Transborder balance of trade Share of transborder balance of trade in GDP

0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

Mln USD

0,00%0,05%0,10%0,15%0,20%0,25%0,30%0,35%

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

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Centre for Transborder Areas and Statistics for EuroregionsResults of comprehensive surveys

19

100,0

101,0

102,0

103,0

104,0

105,0

106,0

107,0

108,0

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

104,9

101,6

103,1

107,6

104,1 103,9 103,6103,2

0,20

0,06

0,17

0,24

0,25 0,320,33

0,34

The rate of economic growth

Growth rate of GDP - without transborder balance of trade Growth rate of GDP - pure share of transborder balance of trade

103,2

104,2

105,1

101,6

107,8

104,4103,9

103,5

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Summary – development of cross-border statistics

Identificationof

informationneeds

Exploration and use of new data sources

Delimitation of space and development

of spatial analyzes

Bilateral (and international) cooperation

Page 21: Prezentacja programu PowerPoint · Carried out on around 2000 households in Poland and Ukraine including transborder areas (questionnaire - 96 questions on Likert scale). stat.gov.pl

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Dominika Rogaliń[email protected] Cierpiał[email protected]

Thank you for your attention

More information: stat.gov.pl/en/