preserving communities in the wake of the foreclosure crisis€¦ · in chicago region and across...
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WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Metropolitan Housing Coalition
June 26, 2012 | Louisville, Kentucky
Preserving Communities in the Wake of the
Foreclosure Crisis
Dory Rand | President
Woodstock Institute | Chicago, Illinois
P 312.3680310 | F 312.368.0316
@woodstockinst
WoodstockInstitute
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
24,000
28,000
4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
New Foreclosure Filings
Completed Foreclosure Auctions
In Chicago region and across the country, foreclosure
filings have stabilized at new, higher levels
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Local impact of foreclosure during the economic crisis
is clear: communities of color disproportionately
impacted
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: Woodstock analysis of data provided by Record Information Services
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: Woodstock analysis of data provided by Record Information Services
Local impact of foreclosure during the economic crisis
is clear: communities of color disproportionately
impacted
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: Woodstock analysis of data provided by Record Information Services
Local impact of foreclosure during the economic crisis
is clear: communities of color disproportionately
impacted
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
2006
2007
2008
2009
Local impact of foreclosure during the economic crisis
is clear: communities of color disproportionately
impacted
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Single-family Mortgages Entering Foreclosure in the
Six County Chicago Region, by Period of Origination,
2008-2011
23.3% 20.7% 23.7% 24.1%
75.5% 71.4% 61.8% 58.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011
2010
2009
2008
2005-2007
Before 2005
Source: Woodstock analysis of data provided by Record Information Services
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Single Family Foreclosure in the Six County Chicago
Region by Type of Mortgage, 2008-2011
43.2% 45.9% 55.2% 56.6%
6.9% 10.7%
13.0% 11.9%
45.9% 38.9%
28.7% 27.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011
Other
Balloon
ARM
FHA/VA
Conventional
Source: Woodstock analysis of data provided by Record Information Services
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Accumulation of Foreclosure Activity
in Communities of Color, 2006 to 2010
8.7% 9.7%
7.0%
27.0%
24.4% 23.2%
19.0%
15.1%
10.9%
26.3%
15.9%
12.8%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
80% or greater African American
50% or greater mixed Minority
50% or greater Latino
20-49.9% minority 10-19.9% minority Less than 10% minority
Share of Properties Share of Properties with Foreclosure Filings
Source: Woodstock analysis of data provided by Record Information Services
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
10 Percent or less Minority
10-19.9 Percent Minority
20-49.9 Percent Minority
50-79.9 Percent Minority
80 Percent or more African
American
50 Percent or more Latino
LTV < 75
LTV 75-94
LTV 95-99
LTV 100-109
LTV 110-124
LTV > 125
Source: Proprietary data on negative equity; 2010 Decennial Census
Loan-to-value ratios of properties with mortgages
in Chicago six county region, fourth quarter of 2011
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Average home equity and outstanding mortgage debt per property in the
Chicago six county region, fourth quarter 2011
$108,069 $101,152
$60,379
$20,761 $6,800
$35,174
$226,223
$212,429
$180,455
$140,167
$79,167
$242,989
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
10 Percent or less Minority
10-19.9 Percent Minority
20-49.9 Percent Minority
50-79.9 Percent Minority
80 Percent or more African
American
50 Percent or more Latino
Mortgage Equity
Source: Proprietary data on negative equity; 2010 Decennial Census
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Change in Prime Home Purchase and Refinance
Lending in Communities of Color, 2006 to 2008
-55.8%
-70.9%
-53.7%
-68.5% -64.5%
-56.0% -52.5%
-60.3%
-16.3%
-29.9%
-20.3%
-42.7%
-33.0% -31.2%
-25.3% -28.4%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
Boston Charlotte Chicago Cleveland Los Angeles New York Rochester Avg All Cities
Census Tracts with 80% or More Residents of Color
Census Tracts with Less Than 10% Residents of Color
Source: Home Mortgage Disclosure Act
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
There is Tremendous Polarization in Credit Score
Distributions
17.6%
34.2% 30.5%
47.7%
57.7% 56.7%
51.9%
43.3%
22.9%
28.3%
16.4%
10.9% 11.5% 14.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80% or greater African
American
50% or greater Latino
50% to 79.9% Mixed Minority
20% to 49.9% Minority
10% to 19.9% Minority
Less than 10% Minority
State of Illinois
Over 740 Less than 580
Source: June 30, 2009 sample of national credit bureau data
Forging Solutions
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
• Design responses to today’s economic realities • Prioritize community needs • Collaborate to work at a regional scale
Design responses to
today’s economic realities
• Challenge: Concentrated
negative equity
– Response: FHFA should
allow Fannie Mae- and
Freddie Mac-backed loans
to engage in principal
reductions
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Design responses to
today’s economic realities
• Challenge: Persistent
unemployment
– Response: Provide
payment assistance to
unemployed
homeowners through
programs like Hardest
Hit Fund
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Image source: Kheel Center at Cornell University, Creative Commons license
Design responses to
today’s economic realities
• Challenge: Concentrated low credit scores in communities of color
– Response: Support efforts to build credit for credit-underserved populations
– Use additional data to build credit
– Utilize manual, relationship-based underwriting when appropriate
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Prioritize community needs
• Land banks allow for
sustainable and efficient
planning of vacant
property reuse
– Exist in 12 states
– Pilot project in south
Cook County, IL
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Prioritize community needs
• City of Chicago, Cook
County vacant buildings
ordinances require
servicers to maintain
properties throughout
the foreclosure process
In 6 months:
– Vacant building registrations
grew more than 2x
– Fine revenue grew by 123%
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Collaborate to work at regional scale
• Regional Home Ownership
Preservation Initiative
brought regional
stakeholders together to:
– Communicate best practices
throughout the region
– Improve data collection,
delivery of housing
counseling
– Support regional housing
collaboratives
– Document impact of
foreclosure crisis and
analyze local needs
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Collaborate to work at regional scale
• Sub-regional housing
collaboratives formed
around NSP and have
worked to plan housing
priorities across municipal
boundaries
– Collaboratives attracted
more than $29 million in
federal funds to areas that
rarely have access
– Channeling diverse funds to
stabilize target areas
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Advocate for stronger community investment and
consumer protection laws
• Work with the Consumer
Financial Protection
Bureau to enhance
consumer protections
• Ask regulators to
modernize the
Community
Reinvestment Act
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
WOODSTOCK INSTITUTE | JUNE 2012
Metropolitan Housing Coalition
June 26, 2012 | Louisville, Kentucky
Preserving Communities in the Wake of the
Foreclosure Crisis
Dory Rand | President
Woodstock Institute | Chicago, Illinois
P 312.3680310 | F 312.368.0316
@woodstockinst
WoodstockInstitute