presented by : khalid alharithi · microsoft powerpoint - khalid alharithi abce 2018 final -...
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The Global Economy: Growth Restored with Changes Presented by : Khalid AlHarithi
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• The Economy Outlook 2019 – Global – Regional “MENA”
• Multilateral Global Economy: Sustainability & Innovation – Water Supply – Supply Chain
Table Of Content
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The Economy Outlook 2019
Global Growth 2018 3.1 percent 2019 3.0 percent
2018 Advanced Economies (AEs) 2.4 percent Emerging markets & Developing Economies (EMDEs) 4.9 percent
2019 AEs 2.2 percent EMDEs 5.1 percent
Source: IMF
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The Economy Outlook 2019
Global trade and investment growth (V %) Global Growth
Source: World Bank
IMF and World Bank and many other international organizations forecast: a gradual slower growth in the next two years 2019 and 2020.
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The Economy Outlook 2019
Growth in the MENA region Projected 3 percent in 2018 and 3.3 percent in 2019
Growth in the GCC anticipated 2.1 percent in 2018 and 2.7 percent in 2019
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Purchasing Managers Index (PMI)
1. New Orders 2. Output 3. Employment 4. Supplier Delivery Times 5. Stock of Items Purchased
The Economy Outlook 2019
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Global Output and Export
Global PMI and GDP Developed v Emerging World Output
Future Business Optimism
Global Economy Sep 2018
IHS Markit
The Economy Outlook 2019
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J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI Global manufacturing output growth at two-year low
JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI JPMorgan Global PMI Sectors: Manufacturing PMI
The Economy Outlook 2019
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J.P.Morgan Global Services PMI Services output growth slows despite uptick in new order inflows
Global Service sector business activity
Global Sectors: Services Business Activity
Global Services PMI Summary 50 = no change on prior month.
The Economy Outlook 2019
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J.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI Global economic growth slowed to two-year low in September
JPMorgan Gobal PMI Output Index Global Composite PMI™ 50 = no change on prior month.
The Economy Outlook 2019
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Egypt PMI Headline Turkey PMI Headline
Saudi Arabia PMI Headline UAE PMI Headline
PMI - MENA Region
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Multilateral Global Economy
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The real economy has not regained the ground lost during the 2008 global financial crisis.
Major crises and shocks affecting the global economy :
•Impact of the global financial crisis 2008-2009
•The European Sovereign Debt Crisis Of 2010-2012
•The Commodity Price Realignment In 2014-2016
•The fall of Oil prices in late 2014 - 2016
Multilateral Global Economy
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• Policy Uncertainty and Trade Tensions • US tariffs on Chinese imports • Possible failure of Brexit negotiations • Slow implementation of reforms
• Weakening in trade, manufacturing, and investment
• Higher trade costs • Waning growth momentum • Reversal capital flows
Firming recovery Or Modest easing Countries acceleration of growth 45 % in 2018 vs 56 % in 2017
2018 Results
Results of 2018 • Lift in employment and income • Strengthened balance sheets • Opportunity to rebuild buffers • Progressive technology adoption and innovation • Unsustainable Global Economy Growth
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Who’s surviving Industrial Services & Technology (The arms of Sustainability) • Embracing Sustainability
• Adopting new frameworks in policy making and in investment appetite
• Transforming the outlook towards sustainability
• Building Corporate Partnership Ecosystem
• Diffusion of Technology and Innovation
• Invest and capitalize on diffusion
• Sponsorship to catalyze change
Surviving 2019 and on ward
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Impact of Sustainability and Technology on • Global Water Supply
• Water & Wastewater Treatment Market Worth $674.72 Billion by 2025 Hexa Research
• Global Logistics (Supply Chain) • CAGR of 3.48% from 2016 to 2022 to attain a market size of around $12,256 billion by 2022. • Value of the current market at $8.1tn but this will grow to $15.5tn in 2023 TMR Research
Embraced the sustainability and challenged to optimize and improve by immersive technologies.
Sustainability & Technology
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By 2015, 181 countries had achieved over 75% coverage with at least basic drinking water services
Sustainability & Technology
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Global water treatment market revenue, by type, 2014 ‐ 2025 (USD Billion)
U.S. water & wastewater treatment equipment market, by technology, 2014 ‐ 2025 (USD Million)
Global wastewater treatment equipment market, by end user
Sustainability & Technology
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Thank you!