presentation to the ring of fire delegationmonitors support noaa’s flood and severe weather...

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U.S. Department of the Interior U.S. Geological Survey Earthquake and Tsunami activities of the United States Geological Survey Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegation Dr. Michael L. Blanpied, [email protected] USGS Earthquake Hazard Program August 28, 2010

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Page 1: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

U.S. Department of the Interior

U.S. Geological Survey

Earthquake and Tsunami activities

of the United States Geological Survey

Presentation to the

Ring of Fire Delegation

Dr. Michael L. Blanpied, [email protected]

USGS Earthquake Hazard Program August 28, 2010

Page 2: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

So many earthquakes…

too many earthquakes?

Page 3: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

USGS statutory roles and responsibilities

•! USGS has the delegated federal responsibility to provide notification and warnings for earthquakes, volcanoes, and landslides.

•! In addition, USGS seismic networks support NOAA in carrying out its tsunami warning responsibility; USGS streamgages and storm surge monitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts.

•! USGS geospatial information supports response operations for wildfire and many other hazards.

Page 4: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

The mandate of the National Earthquake

Hazard Reduction Program

•! Develop effective measures for earthquake loss reduction;

•! Promote their adoption;

•! Improve the understanding of earthquakes and their effects on communities, buildings, structures, and lifelines.

Northridge 1994

national earthquake hazards reduction program

Page 5: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

The USGS role in NEHRP

•! Provide earthquake monitoring

and notifications,

•! Assess seismic hazards, and

•! Conduct targeted research needed

to reduce the risk from earthquake

hazards nationwide.

USGS National Earthquake

Information Center

Page 6: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

USGS provides rapid information on

earthquakes worldwide

USGS National Earthquake

Information Center,

Golden, Colorado

Page 7: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

USGS Earthquake Notification System

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/ens/!

Over 175,000 users

Page 8: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

ENS can be customized to suit your needs

Page 9: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

ENS can be customized to suit your needs

Page 10: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

ShakeMap: A tool for rapid post-earthquake

response, coordination, and situational

awareness

California Governor Schwarzenegger pointing to ShakeMap at his press conference following the 2008 M5.4 Chino Hills earthquake that hit LA.

LA County Emergency Operations Center

Page 11: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

ShakeCast

Automated

notifications to

operators of critical facilities"

In California, CALTRANS is a major user of ShakeCast, automatically prioritizing inspections of bridges and overpasses"

Page 12: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

ShakeCast

Automated

notifications to

operators of critical facilities"

In California, CALTRANS is a major user of ShakeCast, automatically prioritizing inspections of bridges and overpasses"

Page 13: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Situational awareness available in 20 minutes

Prompt

Assessment of

Global

Earthquakes for

Response

Page 14: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Situational awareness available in 20 minutes

Prompt

Assessment of

Global

Earthquakes for

Response

Beta-test product:

LossPAGER

Page 15: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

An earthquake information timeline (domestic earthquake)

0sec 1min 5-10min 10-20min 1hr

Page 16: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

NOAA-USGS Post-Sumatra tsunami warning initiative

New GSN Stations

Existing GSN Stations

New DART Buoys

Page 17: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

•! Cooperative program of the USGS and USAID’s Office of

Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA)

•! Purposes:

–! Support OFDA’s response activities to earthquake

disasters in developing nations.

–! Make USGS experts or scientific services available to

assist local geological agencies, when requested.

–! Conduct rapid assessment of earthquake, tsunami, and

landslide hazards and impacts.

–! Provide advice and training to build capacity

in monitoring, hazard asmt., microzonation, etc.

•! Can also support mitigation and capacity-building projects.

Page 18: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Teams deployed following recent earthquakes:

•! Padang, Sumatra M7.6, September 2009

•! Karonga, Malawi M6.0, December 2009

•! Port au Prince, Haiti M7.0, January 2009

Page 19: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts
Page 20: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Rapidly estimated that

over 2 million people

were exposed to

violent shaking

PAGER

Prompt"

Assessment of"

Global"Earthquakes

for"

Response "

Page 21: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts
Page 22: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Stress increase on Enriquillo & adjoining faults

!"#"$%&'()*+,'$-'&./0$1232)323$!"#$%&'#()*%&'#(*+%,-*&#.#/012

Page 23: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Stress increase on Enriquillo & adjoining faults

!"#"$%&'()*+,'$-'&./0$1232)323$!"#$%&'#()*%&'#(*+%,-*&#.#/012

Information summary

distributed in English,

French, Spanish and Creole

Page 24: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

USGS/USAID Earthquake Disaster Assistance Team: Improved seismic hazard analysis

Shaking hazard

Shallow seismic

wave speed

Page 25: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

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Page 26: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Cities at risk: There will be more bulls-eyes

Graphic courtesy of The New York Times

Data from Columbia University Earth Institute

Page 27: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

San Andreas ShakeOut Scenario

•! Top request of emergency managers

•! Rallying point for community

•! San Andreas ‘Big One’ simulated

magnitude-7.8 earthquake; multi-

hazard scenario

•! Initiation near Bombay Beach,

rupturing to the northwest

•! Disruption of critical lifeline

infrastructure (freeway, internet,

power and gas lines) along

surface rupture

•! Strong shaking throughout

region, including urban areas

Page 28: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

California-wide public preparedness drill

October 15, 2009

Page 29: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Putting Down Roots in Earthquake Country

Putting Down Roots for the Central US

(coming soon)

Utah Seismic Safety Commission

American Red Cross, Pacific Gas

& Electric and many more…

Page 30: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

For tsunamis, seismic

is the start

Page 31: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

For tsunamis, seismic

is the start

NOAA DART buoys

Page 32: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

For tsunamis, seismic

is the start All Hazard Alert Broadcast

system installed at Ocean

Shores, Washington.

Credit: Washington Emergency Management The beach is the finish

Page 33: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

National seismic hazard assessment inputs

Seismicity

Quaternary Faults

Attenuation

Relations

Geodetics

Inputs are derived from regional

geology, seismology, and crustal

structure studies

Page 34: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

Translating USGS national hazard maps into model

building codes

Seismic element of NEHRP

Provisions and Int’l Building

Code based on the USGS

national seismic hazard map

2012

Page 35: Presentation to the Ring of Fire Delegationmonitors support NOAA’s flood and severe weather (including hurricane) warnings; our geomagnetic observa-tories support solar storm forecasts

For more information on recent earthquakes,

earthquake hazards,

and USGS earthquake monitoring, research and hazards assessments, see:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov