presentation to isart 2005 presented by dr andrew muir ... · wireless broadband in the uk...
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Wireless Broadband in the UKPresentation to ISART 2005
Presented by Dr Andrew MuirMarch 1, 2005
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© Copyright 2005 - Mason Group Ltd
www.analysysmasongroup.com
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© Copyright 2005 - Mason Group Ltd
Format
1. Background
2. Regulation and Spectrum
3. Market Activity
4. Case Study - Community Networks
5. Summary
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© Copyright 2005 - Mason Group Ltd
• > 6million subscribers (4m DSL, 2m cable)
• > 38% all connections are now broadband
• No 1 in G7 for ADSL availability: 96%
• Strong competition in the retail market
• BT trialling 8Mb ADSL and ADSL2+
BackgroundUK Broadband continues to grow
0
3
6
9
12
15
2001
Q3 Q4
2002
Q1 Q2
2002
Q3 Q4
2003
Q1 Q2
2003
Q3 Q4
2004
Q1 Q2
2004
Q3 Q4
Million
Dial-upBroadband
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Dec-03
Jan-04
Feb-04
Mar-04
Apr-04
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
,000
BT retail BT wholesale Other DSLntlTelewest Satellite & FWA
- but limited broadband wireless
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© Copyright 2005 - Mason Group Ltd
Format
1. Background
2. Regulation and Spectrum
3. Market Activity
4. Case Study - Community Networks
5. Summary
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Regulation and Spectrum - Ofcoma new regulator for the UK communications industries:- television, radio, telecommunications and wireless communications service
~70% of the spectrum to be freely tradedShould not be specific regulation aimed at providing advantage for broadband fixed wirelessLicenses should be awarded on a technology and service neutral basis
~70% of the spectrum to be freely tradedShould not be specific regulation aimed at providing advantage for broadband fixed wirelessLicenses should be awarded on a technology and service neutral basis
ResultResult
The vision for spectrum management is for market forces to play an increasingly important
role in determining how spectrum is used
This should encourage efficiency in spectrum use, by increasing the likelihood that spectrum will be held by those who can make best use of it, and by creating more freedom for spectrum to
be used for more valuable applications.
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Regulation and Spectrum - Broadband Stakeholders Group
.
Government's key advisory group on promoting the roll-out and take-up of broadband
Examine the commercial and regulatory reasons for the lack of
progress in terrestrial wireless broadband
Task
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Regulation and Spectrum - Broadband Stakeholders Group
.
there is a lack of a clear strategy for enabling wireless broadband
regulatory timescales have repeatedly slipped and consultation has not been particularly effective
a more flexible approach to spectrum management is required
FindingsTask
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Regulation and Spectrum - Broadband Stakeholders Group
.
FCC’s Spectrum Policy Taskforce a good model for Ofcom
Focus should be to reduce complexity and delays involved inspectrum acquisition
Apply more stringent conditionssurrounding use, including requirements for release ofspectrum if it is not used
ResultsTask
Findings
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Regulation and Spectrum - Broadband Stakeholders Group
Task
Findings
Results
Ofcom should introduce geographically differentiated regulation to increase the EIRP level at 2.4GHz to enable the use of directional antennas in rural areas to achieve greater range
Ofcom should introduce geographically differentiated regulation to increase the EIRP level at 2.4GHz to enable the use of directional antennas in rural areas to achieve greater range
2.4GHz2.4GHz
Ofcom should allocate further spectrum below 10GHz, particularly around 2GHz, to encourage the introduction of new technologies
Ofcom should allocate further spectrum below 10GHz, particularly around 2GHz, to encourage the introduction of new technologies
More spectrumMore spectrum
Ofcom should undertake an urgent review of the spectrum requirements for wireless broadband and set out a strategic plan
Ofcom should undertake an urgent review of the spectrum requirements for wireless broadband and set out a strategic plan
Strategic PlanStrategic Plan
Ofcom should undertake a major review of spectrum management Ofcom should undertake a major review of spectrum management
New ManagementNew Management
Key issues:
√Working
on it
X Market forces
X Market forces
√ Workingon it
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Regulation and Spectrum – below 3GHz
2 GHz 3 GHz
A number of new licenses to be issued over the next 3 years :
These new bands may be used for WiMax
2.500 – 2.6902.400 – 2.4832.290 – 2.302(1 national)
2.010 – 2.025( 1 national)
2.4GHz extensively used in UKbut currently limited to 100mW EIRP (US is 1W/4W)
2.4GHz extensively used in UKbut currently limited to 100mW EIRP (US is 1W/4W)
2.4GHz2.4GHz
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3 GHz 10 GHz
Regulation and Spectrum – above 3GHz
15 licenses auctioned in 2003All sold and now all held by UK BroadbandOfcom looking to release the fixed access restrictions to allow mobile use
15 licenses auctioned in 2003All sold and now all held by UK BroadbandOfcom looking to release the fixed access restrictions to allow mobile use
3.4 GHz3.4 GHzPipex have a national licenseOfcom plans to open up morePipex have a national licenseOfcom plans to open up more
3.6 GHz3.6 GHz
‘Light-touch licensing’Growing in importanceRequires DFS and TPC (802.11h)
‘Light-touch licensing’Growing in importanceRequires DFS and TPC (802.11h)
5.8 GHz5.8 GHz
Existing holders all handed licenses backSingle UK package to be offered - but tradable allowing spectrum and geographic segmentation through ‘partial transfers’
Existing holders all handed licenses backSingle UK package to be offered - but tradable allowing spectrum and geographic segmentation through ‘partial transfers’
10 GHz10 GHz
3.60 – 4.20 5.15 – 5.87 10.125 – 10.5753.48 – 3.60
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28 GHz 40 GHz
Regulation and Spectrum – above 3GHz, and beyond
3 licenses per geographic region42 licenses offered in 2000 auction process, only 15 taken upRemaining 27 offered 2001, none taken upRe-auction planned in 2006 – but lower reservesSpectrum trading would allow each region to be partitioned into smaller areas or allow expansion across the border of a neighbouring region
3 licenses per geographic region42 licenses offered in 2000 auction process, only 15 taken upRemaining 27 offered 2001, none taken upRe-auction planned in 2006 – but lower reservesSpectrum trading would allow each region to be partitioned into smaller areas or allow expansion across the border of a neighbouring region
28 GHz28 GHzOne for the future?One for the future?
40 GHz40 GHz
40.5 – 43.528.05 – 29.45
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Format
1. Background
2. Regulation and Spectrum
3. Market Activity
4. Case Study - Community Networks
5. Summary
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© Copyright 2005 - Mason Group Ltd
Market Activity
• LocustWorld– MeshAP software to configure
access points into a 2.4GHz mesh
• Telabria– first WiMAX network in the UK
now under construction, launching mid-05, backhaul only –Skyport for 5.8GHz mesh access
• BT– trialled mesh radio – poor results
– trialled 5.8GHz – good results, now part of DSL reach
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Market Activity
• First in the world to offer a true bi-directional broadband connection
• Uses 30 trackside radios (utilising IEEE 802.16 technology) spaced at 3km over the 90km route to backhaul wi-fi in the trains
The fastest train service in the world!
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Market ActivityAnd many, many community wireless schemes…
2.4GHz local accessSatellite backhaulCommunity server
TechnicalTechnical
Govt. development grant to set upMonthly subsOften a constant struggle
FundingFunding
Local Champion drivenSupport by best effortsOrganisationOrganisation
ADSL is asynchronousAll reliant on squeezing copper to the lastAnd it’s all reliant on BT
ADSL is asynchronousAll reliant on squeezing copper to the lastAnd it’s all reliant on BT
Will they continue?Will they continue?
ADSL coverage
Wireless interest
time
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Format
1. Background
2. Regulation and Spectrum
3. Market Activity
4. Case Study - Community Networks
5. Summary
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Case Study – Broadband wireless communities Highlands & Islands of Scotland
• Land mass of 40,516 km2
– 52% of Scotland
– 17% of UK
• Population of 430,241
– 8.5% of Scotland
– ~0.7% of UK
• 10 per km2 against EU average of 116 (~16/km2 in Colorado)
Low, dispersed populationMountainous terrain
Telecoms essential!
Low, dispersed populationMountainous terrain
Telecoms essential!
In SummaryIn Summary
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• 380 telephone switches in Highlands & Islands
• ~ 600 lines per exchange
• Uneconomic to upgrade
• No ADSL plans for ~ 230 exchanges
The ProblemNo broadband and no sign of it coming
No affordable market supply- but a growing demand for action
Share IP backhaul in communities via wireless technology to individual Must be sustainable in the longer termEquivalent to ADSL in terms of tariffs and serviceEstablish a not-for-profit company to procure equipment, manage installsCover all capital costs
Share IP backhaul in communities via wireless technology to individual Must be sustainable in the longer termEquivalent to ADSL in terms of tariffs and serviceEstablish a not-for-profit company to procure equipment, manage installsCover all capital costs
Government development body - trial a wireless solutionGovernment development body - trial a wireless solution
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The Pilot
Cromarty
Westray
Achiltibuie
AcharacleTobermory
Five communities chosen for initial trial
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The Pilot CommunitiesCromarty - a test for planning and heritage regulations
Cromarty
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The Pilot CommunitiesTobermory – island based, conservation area
Tobermory
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The Pilot CommunitiesWestray – flat, dispersed, lots of water
Westray
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The Pilot CommunitiesAcharacle – dispersed, lots of trees
Acharacle
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The Pilot CommunitiesAchiltibuie – strung out crofting community, difficult topography
Achiltibuie
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The PilotAcharacle wireless network
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The PilotExample design
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The PilotExample design
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The Pilot- Wireless Broadband ShedWBS
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The PilotRenewable energy repeater station
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Format
1. Background
2. Regulation and Spectrum
3. Market Activity
4. Case Study - Community Networks
5. Summary
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Summary
Broadband has finally caught up in the UK market is there
Ofcom measures should free up spectrum attract more innovative use
New wireless networks are emergingboth the technical merits and the business opportunities must
be understood
Wireless will play an important role in the UK broadband marketmobility and rural being the key areas
Broadband has finally caught up in the UK market is there
Ofcom measures should free up spectrum attract more innovative use
New wireless networks are emergingboth the technical merits and the business opportunities must
be understood
Wireless will play an important role in the UK broadband marketmobility and rural being the key areas
Wireless Broadband in the UKWireless Broadband in the UK
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Wireless Broadband in the UKPresentation to ISART 2005
Presented by Dr Andrew MuirMarch 1, 2005
THANK YOU
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Additional Material
Additional Material
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Market Activity – 2G Mobile
• UK networks evolving:– GPRS use now well established– Maximising ARPU (average revenue per
user) still the main driver in the mobile market
– ARPU still dominated by voice/SMS– Average UK voice ARPU $800/annum:
non-voice traffic ~ 10% total ARPU (Mason estimate)
• Massive market - 58m mobile subscribers in the UK (approx 97% of the UK population), with total turnover for the mobile sector being £15 bn per annum
Mobile Network Usage Trends
Source: Analysys Research
Take up of data applications on 2G networks using GPRS is beginning to show real growth
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Market Activity – 3G Mobile
• 5 operators – cover 99% UK pop, 89% geography
• 384 kbps data rates – enhancements such as high speed downlink
packet access (HSDPA) should significantly increase this – aim is for 1Mbps
– early UK trials of HSDPA due in the first half of 2005
Focus in UK now on 3G