presentation sustainable solutions for peace and human security

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Sustainable Solutions For PEACE AND THREATS TO HUMAN SECURITY BY DR. TAYO ADULOJU Director, Public Sector Practice

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Page 1: presentation sustainable solutions for peace and human security

Sustainable Solutions For PEACE AND THREATS TO HUMAN SECURITY

BY DR. TAYO ADULOJUDirector, Public Sector Practice

Page 2: presentation sustainable solutions for peace and human security

National Planning Commission

“insuring freedom from want and freedom from fear for all

persons is the best path to tackle the problem of global

insecurity”UNDP 1994 Human Development Report

ORIGINS

Page 3: presentation sustainable solutions for peace and human security

National Planning Commission

• Human Security and Peace form the fundamentals of the preferred Ideal Human Condition and the quest for societies to achieve them will determine their overall sustainability.

• Dr. Mahbub ul Haq first drew global attention to the concept of human security in the United Nations Development Programme's 1994 Human Development Report and sought to influence the UN's 1995 World Summit on Social Development in Copenhagen.

• The UNDP's 1994 Human Development Report's definition of human security argues that the scope of global security should be expanded to include threats in seven areas

ORIGINS

Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group

Page 4: presentation sustainable solutions for peace and human security

National Planning Commission

SUSTAINABLE PEACE SOLUTIONS RELATES TO KEY HUMAN SECURITY THREATS THAT UNDERMINE FREEDOM FROM WANT AND FREEDOM

FROM FEAREconomic

security ECONOMIC

SECURITY REQUIRES AN

ASSURED BASIC INCOME FOR INDIVIDUALS,

USUALLY FROM PRODUCTIVE AND REMUNERATIVE

WORK OR A FUNDED SOCIAL

SAFETY NET.

Food security

 FOOD SECURITY REQUIRES THAT

ALL PEOPLE AT ALL TIMES HAVE BOTH

PHYSICAL AND ECONOMIC ACCESS

TO BASIC FOOD.

Health security

 HEALTH SECURITY

AIMS TO GUARANTEE A

MINIMUM PROTECTION FROM

DISEASES AND UNHEALTHY LIFEST

YLES.

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National Planning Commission

SUSTAINABLE PEACE SOLUTIONS RELATES TO KEY HUMAN SECURITY THREATS THAT UNDERMINE FREEDOM FROM WANT AND FREEDOM

FROM FEAREnvironm

ental security 

ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY AIMS TO PROTECT PEOPLE FROM THE SHORT- AND LONG-TERM

RAVAGES OF NATURE, MAN-

MADE THREATS IN NATURE, AND

DETERIORATION OF THE ENVIRONMENT.

Personal security 

PERSONAL SECURITY AIMS TO PROTECT

PEOPLE FROM PHYSICAL VIOLENCE, WHETHER FROM THE STATE OR EXTERNAL

STATES, FROM VIOLENT

INDIVIDUALS AND SUB-STATE ACTORS,

FROM DOMESTIC ABUSE, OR FROM

PREDATORY ADULTS.

Community

security 

COMMUNITY SECURITY AIMS TO PROTECT PEOPLE

FROM THE LOSS OF TRADITIONAL RELA

TIONSHIPS AND VALUES AND FROM

SECTARIAN AND ETHNIC VIOLENCE.

Political security 

POLITICAL SECURITY IS

CONCERNED WITH WHETHER PEOPLE LIVE IN A SOCIETY THAT HONOURS

THEIR BASIC HUMAN RIGHTS.

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National Planning Commission

ORIGINS

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National Planning Commission

HUMAN SECURITY AND NATIONAL SECURITY SHOULD BE AND OFTEN ARE MUTUALLY REINFORCING. BUT SECURE STATES

DO NOT AUTOMATICALLY MEAN SECURE PEOPLES.

CORRELATION TO SUSTAINABLE PEACE AND NATIONAL SECURITY

NATIONAL SECURITY

DEFENSE SECURITY

INTERNAL (HOMELAND)

SECURITY

HUMAN SECURITY

DIMENSIONS

SPHERE OF PEACE

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SAMPLING OF HUMAN SECURITY THREATS AND

HARMS(CHRONOLOGY OF HARMS STORY

BOARDS)

Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group

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National Planning Commission

Peace building is an intervention that is designed to prevent the start or resumption of violent conflict by creating a sustainable peace.

Peace building activities address the root causes or potential causes of violence, create a societal expectation for peaceful conflict resolution and stabilize society politically and socioeconomically.

Peace building by design is mapped to the Threats and Risks to Peace itself

“PEACE AS A STATE OF AFFAIRS

PRECEDES PEACE AS A STATE OF MIND”

CARL VON CLAUSEWITZ, 1834

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Security Threats

Security Threats

Security Threats

Security Threats

Line of Prevention

(Allocation of Resources )

Preventive Actions

Preventive Actions

ReactiveActions

Oil Spillage

Ethnic Conflicts and Violence

Low Environmental Remediation

High Environmental Degradation

Loss of Livelihoods

High Unemployment

Rate

Growing Communal

Distrust

Increase in Cultism

Proliferation of small arms and light weapons

Breakdown of Social Justice

Structures

Increase Political Violence

Increase Gang Violence

Oil and Gas Asset

Vandalism

Niger Delta Economic

Destabilization

Niger Delta Militancy

Corruption

Oil Theft

EnvironmentalActivism

ActivismSuppression

NIGER-DELTA INSURGENCY AT 2007 STORYBOARD: WHEN A BROADER SET OF STAKEHOLDERS DO NOT CREATE A ROBUST COOPERATION AND PROBLEM SOLVING FRAMEWORK TO DO SOMETHING

Unsustainable Legal

Framework for Oil and Gas

Destruction of critical national infrastructure

Oil and Gas Industry Revenue decline

NEW CONSEQUEN

CES

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National Planning Commission

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Security Threats

Security Threats

Security Threats

Security Threats

Line of Prevention

(Allocation of Resources )

Preventive Actions

Preventive Actions

ReactiveActions

NORTH-EASTERN NIGERIA SUSTAINABILITY AT 2014 STORYBOARD: WHEN A BROADER SET OF STAKEHOLDERS DO NOT CREATE A ROBUST COOPERATION AND PROBLEM SOLVING FRAMEWORK TO DO SOMETHING

Security Threats

Security Threats

Security Threats

Security Threats

Preventive Actions

ReactiveActions

Desertification

Increase In Global

Terrorism Movement

Low Environmental Remediation

Elimination of Grazing Belts

and Lands

Loss of Livelihoods

High Migration of Herdsmen Southward

Reduction in Arable Land

Increase in Herdsmen/Settler

Clashes

Proliferation of small arms and light weapons

Growth of Almajeri

Population

Decrease in Education Security Increase

RadicalizationExtrajudicial

Killing

Socio-Economic Detsabilization of

North Eastern Region

Rise of North-East

Insurgency

Corruption

Increase in Herdsmen/

Settler Clashes

Elimination of Fish

Population

Reduction in Volume of Livestock

Drying Up of Lake Chad

Reduction in Border

Security

Increase in Vulnerable Population

Access to Radical Militia Training and

Teaching

Increase in Armed

Robberies

Mass Atrocities Escalation

Destruction of critical national infrastructure

NEW CONSEQUENC

ES

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“ Intelligence is the soul of all

public business “

- DANIEL DEFOE (1704)

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National Planning Commission

• LACK OF EFFECTIVE COOPERATION FRAMEWORK FOR CONTROLLING THREATS;

• LACK OF EFFECT HUMAN SECURITY THREAT INTELLIGENCE, DATA GATHERING AND ANALYTICS FOR ROBUST POLICY AND STRATEGIC DECISION MAKING;

• SYSTEMIC DISCONNECT BETWEEN EXISTING DATA AND INTELLIGENCE POOLS AND OPERATORS IN THE NIGERIAN SPACE;

• WEAK INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK FOR HUMAN SECURITY THREAT EARLY WARNING SIGNALS, ESCALATION, RESPONSE PREPAREDNESS AND CAPABILITIES;

• WEAK FEEDBACK ON IMPACT REPORTING OF HUMAN SECURITY THREAT REDUCTION.

HUMAN SECURITY CONTROLS THAT HAVE FAILED

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SAMPLING BEST PRACTICES FOR

SUSTAINABLE PEACE AND HUMAN SECURITY

Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group

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National Planning Commission

Mobilize Stakeholde

rs for BroadBased ActionAnd

Review Progress

Organize Stakeholders

Around Threat

Groupings And

Priorities

Organize Solutions and

Structure around Threat

Groupings

SUSTAINABLE PEACE AND

HUMAN SECURITY

Map and Scope the Threats

Intelligence and Data Gathering

Threat Severity

Framework

Impact Reporting and

Horizon Scanning

Framework

Monitoring and

EvaluationFramework

Execution Management Framework

Stakeholder Accountability Framework for

Action on Threat

Reduction

Programme Level

Logical Framework:

Objectives to Impact

Fact-Based Threat

Reduction Solution Design

Resourcing Framework

Communication Framework

Cooperation Framework

Analytics and Trend Coupling

and Pattern Recognition

Threat Groupings

AndPriorities

WE ARE NOW SEEING A MORE RISK BASED APPROACH TO MANAGING AND REDUCING THREATS TO PEACE AND HUMAN SECURITY

SUCCESS CASE: GOVERNMENT’S RESPONSE

TO EBOLA EPIDEMIC

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POINTS OF EMINENT THREATS : SOME

APPLICATIONS TO STORY BOARD CASES

Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group

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National Planning Commission

TERRORISM

HERDSMEN RELATED VIOLENCE

NIGER DELTA MILITANCY

VANDALISATION TO NATIONAL CRITICAL

ASSETS AND INFRASTRUCTURE

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National Planning Commission

“At the heart of a new regulatory

craftsmanship lies the ability to pick important problems and fix them”Malcolm K. Sparrow, Author of Character of Harms,

the Regulatory Craft and Harvard Professor

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THANK YOU

Presentation by Dr. Tayo Aduloju - Workforce Group