presentación uruguay 17 02 12 [read-only] · mef río de janeiro 2.400 km são paulo 1.970 km...
TRANSCRIPT
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MEF
PPP – Programme February 2012
WHY URUGUAY?
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MEF
Why Uruguay?
Strategic Location
Institutional, Political and Social stability
Open, stable and rapidly developing economy
Modern and attractive investment regime
Socio-Economic aspects
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MEF
Río de Janeiro
2.400 Km
São Paulo
1.970 km
Porto Alegre
870 Km
MontevideoBuenos Aires
250 Km
Asunción
1.550 km
Santiago
1.900 km
Uruguay: Platform to the region
Uruguay:
A strategic location,
with the best
connections to
establish a logistics
hub in the heart of the
continent's richest
region.
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MEF
Competitiveness of Uruguay’s infrastructure
Source: World Economic Forum
22
82
37
35
39
62
47
65
108
41
52
35
42
26
roads
railroads
ports
air transport
electricity
telephone
lines
mobile
telephones
Uruguay Chile
Quality ranking infrastructure for 133 countries
Uruguay and Chile by sector
3.7
3.9
1.1
4.1
2.7
4.1
0 1 2 3 4 5
Electricity
Air transport
Ports
Roads
Overall
Infraestructure
Quality Gap Index
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MEF
Uruguay: an open economy and a
full member of MERCOSUR
URUGUAY MERCOSUR
Population
(millions)
3,25 240,48
Area (Sq. Km)176.215 11.800.000
GDP 2010
(USD millions)
39.026 2.516.134
GDP per capita
(USD)
12.002 10.745
GDP growth
rate 2011 (%)
6,3% 4,47%
Source: BCU – BCB – BCRA - BCPMEF
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MEF
Why Uruguay?
Strategic Location
Institutional, Political and Social stability
Open, stable and rapidly developing economy
Modern and attractive investment regime
Socio-Economic aspects
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MEF
Institutional stability
• Strong democratic tradition
• Consolidated structure of political parties
• Consolidated government policies
• Stable economic rules and respect for contracts
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MEF
Uruguay offers a strong rule of law and respect for
property rights…
Rule of Law 2010(Scale: -2.5 to 2.5)
Source: World Bank Institute: Governance Matters
Property Rights Index 2012(Scale: 0-100)
Source: The Heritage Foundation
-1.64
-1.17
-1.06
-0.92
-0.61
-0.58
-0.56
-0.33
-0.13
0.002
0.50
0.72
1.29
-2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50
VEN
ECU
BOL
PRY
PER
ARG
MEX
COL
PAN
BRA
CRI
URU
CHI
5
10
20
20
30
40
40
50
50
50
55
70
85
0 20 40 60 80 100
VEN
BOL
ARG
ECU
PRY
PAN
PER
BRA
COL
MEX
CRI
URU
CHI
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MEF
Main Indexes in Uruguay
FactorUruguay in
South AmericaUruguay in the World
Low Corruption(Transparency International, 2011)
2 25
Improvement of Trade Index(World Economic Forum, 2010)
2 50
Democracy Index(The Economist, 2011)
1 17
Economic Freedom Index(Heritage Foundation, 2011)
2 29
Quality of life(Mercer; 221 cities; data for Montevideo,
2011)
1 77
Low Cost Of Living (Mercer; data for Montevideo, 2010)
4 13
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MEF
Why Uruguay?
Strategic Location
Institutional, Political and Social stability
Open, stable and rapidly developing economy
Modern and attractive investment regime
Socio-Economic aspects
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MEF
4.5
-1.9 -1.9
-3.8
-7.7
0.8
5
7.5
4.3
7.58.5
2.9
8.5
6.3
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Growth in 2009 despite the international crisis
Strong growth in recent years
Real GDP - Annual variation
Source: Central Bank of Uruguay - CEPAL
Annual average: 2007- 2011 = 6,8%
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MEF
… outstanding performance in the context of
Latin America …
Source: IMF : World Economic Outlook - BCU * Official data.
Real GDP - Annual variation
2.8 3.3 3.83.8
3.94.9 5.0
5.8 6.2 6.3 6.4 6.58.0
-2
2
6
10
14
Ve
ne
zue
la
El C
ari
be
Mé
xico
Bra
sil
Am
éri
ca C
en
tra
l
Co
lom
bia
Bo
livia
Ecu
ad
or
Pe
rú
Uru
gu
ay
Pa
rag
ua
y
Ch
ile
Arg
en
tin
a*
2010 2011
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MEF
… as compared to the global economy…
Source: IMF - World Economic Outlook – Central Bank of Uruguay
Real GDP - Annual variation - 2011
-0.9
1.61.8
3.8
4.6
6.3
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
Japan European
Union
US World Latin America
& the
Caribbean
Uruguay
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MEF
Important destination of foreign direct investment
FDI in Latin America
(2010, % of GDP)Foreign Direct Investment
(million dollars)
Source: Central Bank of Uruguay and Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10 -2.0 3.0 8.0
Venezuela
Colombia
Ecuador
El Salvador
México
Argentina
Guatemala
Brasil
Paraguay
Chile
Bolivia
Costa Rica
Perú
Honduras
Uruguay
Dominica
Nicaragua
Panamá
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MEF
Why Uruguay?
Strategic Location
Institutional, Political and Social stability
Open, stable and rapidly developing economy
Modern and attractive investment regime
Socio-Economic aspects
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MEF
Tax and other incentivesInvestment Promotion SystemComprehensive legal framework for investments. Up to 100 percent of investments maybe
tax exempt
• Domestic and foreign investors are treated equally
• Investments are allowed without prior authorization or registration
• There are no restrictions on the transfer of capital or profits
Free Trade ZonesAreas exempt from corporate income and wealth tax, as well as from any other tax.
• Good entering the FTZ are exempt from all import levies.
• Authorized to develop any industrial, commercial or service activity.
Free Port• Montevideo: first and only free port of South America’s Atlantic coast.
• Free goods transit, no authorizations or formal procedures required. Within port facilities
goods are exempt from all import levies.
Free Airport• Value adding services can be carried out in activities related to goods.
- Also in activities associated with services that are applied to goods.
- Exemptions work in the same way as in the Free Port regime.
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MEF
Why Uruguay?
Strategic Location
Institutional, Political and Social stability
Open, stable and rapidly developing economy
Modern and attractive investment regime
Socio-Economic aspects
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MEF
Socio-Economic aspects
• High quality educational standards.
• Social and digital inclusion plan called “Plan Ceibal”
• Highest rated country in Latin America on the 2011 Legatum Prosperity Index
• Free from epidemics and natural disasters
• No racial or religious conflicts
• High quality standards in healthcare services.
• Uruguay: Smoke Free Country – 6th in the world, 1st in South America
• Numerous parks and green areas in Montevideo, golf courses, spas and a 15
mile coastal promenade. World class resort Punta del Este only 80 miles away
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MEF
PPP Programme in Uruguay
Reasons to invest in infrastructure
Why PPP?
Is Uruguay appropriate for PPPs?
PPP Law
PPP Project Pipeline
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MEF
“Uruguay demonstrates every day that it is an example of development and stability
across the world”
Sean Penn, 14 February 2012
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MEF
PPP Programme in Uruguay
Reasons to invest in infrastructure
Why PPP?
Is Uruguay appropriate for PPPs?
PPP Law
PPP Project Pipeline
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MEF
Source: Rozas, P. y R. Sánchez. (2004) Desarrollo de infraestructura y crecimiento económico: revisión conceptual. Serie Recursos
Naturales e Infraestructura No. 75. División de Recursos Naturales e Infraestructura de CEPAL.
Reasons to invest in Infrastructure
Infrastructure multiplier
effect
Attracts private investments due to
the increase in competitiveness and
profitability.
Lower costs imply lower product prices.
Improves accessibility to infrastructure related services.
Better quality of life and social equity.
Positive externalities over investment and
productivity.
Better infrastructure reduces costs and
improves productivity
Direct contribution to Gross Domestic Product Infrastructure improves construction, transport
and exports (better access to markets)
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MEF
Also, the new export led growth model Uruguay is following requires more
and better infrastructure….
2.4
-0.4
6.1
4.9 5.3
8.1
2.9
1.5
4.0 3.5
2.0
-2.6
2.1
5.3
-0.7
0.5
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0Agriculture
Manufacture
Electricity/
Gas/Water
Construction
Transport/
Communications
Commerce/
Restaurant/Hotels
Finance y Services
Government
90s 00s
Growth Rates by Sectors
Source: BCU
Reasons to invest in Infrastructure
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MEF
PPP Programme in Uruguay
Reasons to invest in infrastructure
Why PPP?
Is Uruguay appropriate for PPPs?
PPP Law
PPP Project Pipeline
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MEF
NOTE: The PPP Law does not derogate previous contracting
regimes nor it affects the modifications the government is
planning on the actual Public Purchases System.
Infrastructure needs
Budgetary and fiscal restrictions
Need for new, modern and more effective
contracting procedures
Chance of transferring risk to private agents with the appropriate rights and obligations
The need of a PPP Law emerged
Need for new tools
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MEF
Increase the level of
investment in infrastructure
•With few exceptions, investment has been concentrated in the public sector.
Private investment in Uruguay is below the levels of other countries in the region
(0.5% of GDP).
•The public sector should therefore be trained to make the necessary
investments in the most efficient and effective way.
•Build the needed infrastructure properly requires previous studies, providing
guarantees to funders and building initiative and response capacity in the public
sector.
•Favorable macroeconomic conditions and institutional strength of the country
favors private investments.
•Need to strengthen the institutional support to carry out Public-Private
Partnership (PPP) initiatives successfully.
Why the need to strengthen institutional support for Infrastructure?
Need for new institutions
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MEF
PPP Programme in Uruguay
Reasons to invest in infrastructure
Why PPP?
Is Uruguay appropriate for PPPs?
PPP Law
PPP Project Pipeline
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MEF
Requirements Uruguay
Macroeconomic Stability �
Rule of Law �
Institutional Strength �
Legal and Regulatory Framework � Newly Approved PPP Law N° 18.786
Design and Evaluation � CND–IADB-FOMIN-WB Expertise
Incentives and Penalties � Design and Incentives Mechanisms
Selection Process � Auction Theory + Competitive Dialogue
Adjudication Criteria � CND–IADB-FOMIN-WB Expertise
Risk Management � Risk Matrixes
Financing � International Expertise plus IADB-WB
Guarantees � International Expertise plus IADB-WB
Monitoring and Accounting � CND–IADB-FOMIN-WB Expertise
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MEF
Design/Evaluation/Incentives: CND Role
Key Successful Factors CND Role: Guarantee the Key factors are achieved
Design and Evaluation Design contracts and do the needed studies: feasibility,
social impact, value for money, etc.
Incentives and Penalties Design contracts with the adequate incentives and
penalties so as to minimize the chance of renegotiation.
Selection Process Ensure competitive procedures and transparency.
Awarding Criteria Define the appropriate criteria depending on the
project.
Risk Management Identify, evaluate its impact, reduce and assign risks
efficiently (risk matrixes)
Financing Ensure feasible and sustainable debt/equity ratios.
Guarantees Assess the process of creation and financing of the
needed guarantees/infrastructure funds.
Monitoring and Accounting Assess the public organization owner of the project in
the control of the contract (if CND is asked to for it)
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MEF
Component 1:
Legal Framework Support
Help and promote the PPP Law
and its reglamentary decrete
Component 1:
Legal Framework Support
Help and promote the PPP Law
and its reglamentary decrete
Component 3:
Identify a Medium Term Project
Pipeline
Identify infrastructure needs and
possible PPP projects
Component 3:
Identify a Medium Term Project
Pipeline
Identify infrastructure needs and
possible PPP projects
Component 4:
Financial Instruments
Development
Design and implement financial
instruments
Component 4:
Financial Instruments
Development
Design and implement financial
instruments
Component 2:
Strength Local Capacity
Build local capacity in the involved
institutions and standardize
processes
FOMIN CONTRIBUTION: US$ 1.213.486
LOCAL CONTRIBUTION: US$ 1.219.400
Design/Evaluation/Incentives: BID/FOMIN
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MEF
� Andean Development Corporation
� Chilean expert advice for the project: Unit of
Persons Deprived of Liberty
� Counterpart: CND
� World Bank
� Study on “Financing PPP Projects in
Uruguay”.
� Counterpart : MEF
� Infrastructure UK
� Advice on the setting up of the PPP Unit and
on the evaluation of the first projects
� Counterpart : MEF
Design/Evaluation/Incentives: WB/CAF/IUK
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MEF
PPP Programme in Uruguay
Reasons to invest in infrastructure
Why PPP?
Is Uruguay appropriate for PPPs?
PPP Law
PPP Project Pipeline
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MEF
Main Objective of the PPP Law:
Provide a framework for private investments in infrastructure
development and related services as a tool to improve the
existing infrastructure of the country and promote thereby
economic growth. All this without compromising quality or
cost and without affecting fiscal stability.
The articles comprised in the law regulate most of the necessary
elements to ensure the success of the PPP contracts. Some of
them are adequately addressed in the Law itself, while others
refer to a subsequent regulatory decrete or to the contracts
themselves.
PPP Law Objective (2011)
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MEF
Studies
Approval
(MEF/OPP)
Evaluation Studies: (VFM)
Initiative:
Public or
Private
Offers
Analysis
Bidding:
Competitive
Dialogue
Bidders
EvaluationAdjudication
PLANNED CONTRACTING PROCEDURE FOR PUBLIC/PRIVATE INITIATIVES:
Other important aspects of the PPP Law:
� Arbitrage
� Competitive Dialogue
� Renegotiation
� Step in rigths
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MEF
PPP Law: Fiscal responsibility
Fiscal limits established in PPP Law:
Firm + contingent liabilities generated by PPP projects can not exceed 7% of GDP
Annual payments generated by PPP projects can not exceed 5‰ of GDP
USD 3.500 million
USD 250 million
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MEF
• The Public Administration may
receive private initiatives for PPP
projects under their area of
governance.
• CND will receive all private
initiatives, study them and present
them to the respective Public
Administration.
• The Public Administration will
decide on the initiative
• All information related to the
private initiative will be
confidential.
Presentation: Information related to the identification and feasibility of the project
Evaluation (CND): CND elaborates a technical report
Initiative: CND will present the project at the appropriate Public Administration
Feasibility Study: To be done by the Private Sector if the initiative is accepted
Public Auction: To be done by the respective Public Administration
Stages of the Process
Procedure for private initiatives:
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MEF
PPP Programme in Uruguay
Reasons to invest in infrastructure
Why PPP?
Is Uruguay appropriate for PPPs?
PPP Law
PPP Project Pipeline
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MEF
Source: MTOP
Needed Investments
Circuit US$
Route 3 North 100,000,000
Routes 31 & 4 120,000,000
Route 26 300,000,000
Routes 6, 7 & 8 270,000,000
Routes 13 & 15 110,000,000
Route 14 100,000,000
Routes 21 & 24 125,000,000
TOTAL 1,125,000,000
If the investments are not done 500 million
USD would be postponed and the low quality
of the roads will remain…
*Note: Estimated values for initial investment and
maintenance based on project characteristics and on
availability payment contracts for 20 years
Transport: Roads
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MEF
�The project includes the actual path of
Route 21 goes from Nueva Palmira to
Mercedes and Route 24 between Route 2
and 3.
�Nueva Palmira:
Circulation is disorganized and over
minimum maintenance granular material
pavements
�A 6 kilometers by-pass for trucks to
access the port must be done
�Dolores and Mercedes:
This area shows a similar situation, where
heavy vehicles must enter urban areas
when passing by.
Routes 21 and 24
Routes 21-24 Project: Background
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MEF
-Type of Contract
Due to the fact that the route already exists and there is no need for new works, the
private sector will have to carry out rehabilitation and maintenance works in order to
improve the present state of 190 kilometers of the Route 21-24. This shall be done
under Build, Finance, Maintenance, Operation, and Transfer (BFMOT) contract.
-Investment Amounts
The total amount of the investment is approximately USD 120 million during 20 years,
though the initial investment is approximately USD 80 million.
- Form of Payment
This project will include an availability payment that the Government will make to the
private sector, the set standards for the routes are fulfilled.
- Tender
Tenders will be international and the implementation period of the works is estimated
in 36 months.
Routes 21-24 Project: Characteristics
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MEF
Primary Education:
The school is not a place to
“keep” children but a place from
where to fight social inequalities
To achieve this we need:
1. Extension, broader coverage
and development of full-time
schools
2. Alternative models to expand
the school day
More infrastructure is
required and it has a high
social cost
Pre-School Education
Two main aspects worry pre-school
educational centers directors :
1. Over 60% says the classroom
chairs and bathrooms are
problematic for the development
of the center
2. Near 50% are worried about low
capacity and inappropriate
playground infrastructure
Source: Survey done by ANEP
Project pipeline of around US$30 millions to construct CAIF
Centers (DayCare Schools) and US$ 130 to construct/rebuild
new primary/secondary schools
Education infrastructure
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MEF
�Pursuant to the Budget Law, during the 2010-2014 period the National
Administration of Public Education (ANEP) shall contribute approximately USD 130
million to the construction of the Public Infrastructure Fund, called the “Public
Education Infrastructure Trust.”
�The purpose of said fund is to contribute to the growth, improvement, and
rehabilitation of public education infrastructure through the design, construction,
maintenance, and repair of the public education buildings, the offering of
diagnoses when required, and the purchase of properties for the construction of
said infrastructure.
�The fund will be managed by CND, which shall comply with the guidelines of the
ANEP, and shall carry out every contracting activity through competitive
procedures. CND shall perform all the civil and commercial acts, as well as sign all
the necessary contracts, for the fulfillment of the trust, and shall be able to carry
out the supervision of the works.
Education infrastructure
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MEF
DEMAND:
Evolution of the number of
persons in prison
Source: INACRI
SUPPLY:
1. Each Department (19) has its
own prison that depends of the
Police Chief of the department
2. Overpopulation
The total number of prisoners was 8.200 in June 2009,
representing an overpopulation level of around 150% ����
More infrastructure is needed
Ongoing project of US$120 millions to build a prison for
2000 prisoners
7000
7500
8000
8500
9000
9500
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Capacity Pupulation %
TOTAL 7598 9252 122
INTERIOR 3245 3700 114
MONTEVIDEO 4353 5552 128
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MEF
-Services to be contracted
The design, construction, and funding of a building for 2,000 inmates will be
contracted with the private sector, as well as the cleaning, preventive maintenance,
equipment replacement, food, laundry, plague control, gardening, and on-site
general store services. The Uruguayan State will be responsible for the health
services, police guard and rehabilitation services. The land shall be granted by the
Ministry of Defense
-Amount of the Investment
Investment (including an initial investment and maintenance) is estimated in USD
120 million during 20 years.
- Form of Payment
The State will repay for this investment in the form of availability payments. The
private party must fulfill certain quality standards; otherwise, a percentage of the
agreed-on payment shall be deducted.
- Tenders
Tenders will be international and the implementation period of the works is
estimated in 36 months.
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MEF
“El Jaguel” Park
Convention Center Trust
The construction of convention
and exhibitions centers is a
priority for the Tourism Ministry
Ongoing projects:
1. Convention Center “El Jaguel”
(Punta del Este). Amount: US$ 30
millions
2. Convention Center and
Sporting Complex in Montevideo.
Amount: US$ 200 millions
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MEF
-Amount of the Investment
The investment is estimated in USD 25 million. USD 15 million will come from the
disposal of lands owned by the departmental government, plus USD 10 million that
will be contributed by the Ministry of Economy and Finance (MEF). The contractor
will be in charge of the construction, administration, and maintenance of the
Center. It will receive a subsidy associated to the construction of the Center and,
afterwards, during its operation, the contractor will have to pay a royalty to the
State.
- Trust
A management trust was created, which is be in charge of managing the assets held
in trust for the design, construction, operation, and maintenance of the Center. The
trustor is the City Council of Maldonado and the trustee is CND. CND will more work
during the construction stage because the Project Management is included. During
the operation stage, some of the duties of CND will be to monitor the fulfillment of
the service levels established in the specifications, as well as the fulfillment of the
minimum amount of events and the applicable fines.
Convention Center Trust
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MEF
Mid Term Projects
Hospitals: BSE, Colonia
Railways
Montevideo Port Expansion
Logistic Center
Commercial Ports:
Medium Term:
� Puntas de Sayago Logistic Port
� Rivera Dry Port
Long Term:
� La Paloma Deepwater Port
Railways Needed
Investments
Source: MTOP
Circuit US$
Chamberlain-
Algorta-
Fray Bentos
100,000,000
Toledo-
Nico Perez-
Rio Branco
75,000,000
Algorta-
Paysandu-Salto
50,000,000
TOTAL 225,000,000
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MEF
Uruguay, the best kept secret in Latin
America:
• A stable country
• A strong economy
• An appropriate legal framework to attract investments
• Well educated workforce
• Strategic location
• High quality of life
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MEF
“Uruguay demonstrates every day that it is an example of development and stability
across the world”
Sean Penn, 14 February 2012
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MEF
PPP – Programme February 2012
Thank you!