presentación roadshow 1 script 2 - investor...
TRANSCRIPT
27/10/2011 18:57 skiron\Roadshow\Presentación Roadshow Script 2.ppt
1
2
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, forward-looking statements. By their
nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to
events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The future
results of Grupo Famsa, S.A.B. de C.V. and its subsidiaries may differ from the results
expressed in, or implied by, the forward-looking statements set out herein, possibly to a
material degree.
3
4 Third Quarter 2011 (3Q11) Highlights
4 Operating and Financial Results 3Q11
4Famsa Mexico
4Banco Ahorro Famsa
4Famsa USA
4 Consolidated Financial Results 3Q11
Agenda
4
Third Quarter 2011 (3Q11) Highlights
4 Pressured by challenging external conditions, Famsa USA’s SSS decreased -13.4% during 3Q11
4 Famsa USA enhanced its value proposition by introducing personal loans at its Texas stores since August
4 Banco Ahorro Famsa continues to post a solid capitalization index (>12%), stable growth in deposits and a declining cost of funding
4 The increase in NPL ratio (IMOR) largely reflects a recent administrative change which is unrelated to GFAMSA’s capacity to collect outstanding loans
4 Famsa Mexico’s same-store sales (SSS) grew +5.0% in 3Q11, resulting in an accumulated SSS increase of +7.7% for 2011; within guidance
4 To enhance our customers’ shopping experience, we are rolling out the “Evolución” project after months of preparation
4 We maintain our estimated range for 2011 Mexico EBITDA of Ps$1,900 -Ps$2,000 million
4 Pressured by Famsa USA’s unexpected losses, Famsa’s 2011 Consolidated EBITDA is now estimated between Ps$1,700 and Ps$1,850 million
USA
MX
5
4 Third Quarter 2011 (3Q11) Highlights
4 Operating and Financial Results 3Q11
4Famsa Mexico
4Banco Ahorro Famsa
4Famsa USA
4 Consolidated Financial Results 3Q11
Agenda
6
Famsa MX maintained moderate sales growth pressured by a few durable goods categories
$8,751
$8,061
$2,982$2,822
3Q10 3Q11 2010 2011
Total: +8.6%SSS: +7.7%
Total: +5.6%SSS: +5.0%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
Famsa Mexico: Net Sales
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
Gro
wth
(%)
Famsa Mexico: Same Store Sales
7
100%
21.2%28.2%
13.3%12.1%
12.3%11.8%
13.1%11.6%
11.0% 8.6%5.1% 5.9%
24.0% 21.8%
2010 2011
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Mob
ilePh
ones
App
lianc
es
Furn
iture
Elec
tron
ics
Com
pute
rs
Pers
onal
Loan
s
Mobile Ph. and Appliances weighed on 3Q11 sales growth. Electronics grew for the first time since ‘08
100%
Famsa Mexico: % of Sales by Product Category
% O
f Sal
es
Famsa Mexico: Sales Growth by Product Category (3Q11)
Gro
wth
(%)
Others
Mobile Phones
Personal Loans
Furniture
Electronics
Appliances
Computers
8
The “Evolución” project is being rolled out to enhance our customers’ shopping experience
3e/4p * 365“Evolución” is a comprehensive retail project aimed at creating an unparalleled shopping experience by simplifying administrative processes and motivating our sales team. 200+ changes involved
9
BAF maintained solid capitalization. Recent IMOR rise reflects process change unrelated to uncollectibility
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Sep-
10
Oct
-10
Nov
-10
Dic
-10
Ene-
11
Feb-
11
Mar
-11
Abr
-11
May
-11
Jun-
11
Jul-1
1
Ago
-11
Sep-
11*
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
Ene-
10Fe
b-10
Mar
-10
Abr
-10
May
-10
Jun-
10Ju
l-10
Ago
-10
Sep-
10O
ct-1
0N
ov-1
0D
ic-1
0En
e-11
Feb-
11M
ar-1
1A
br-1
1M
ay-1
1Ju
n-11
Jul-1
1A
go-1
1Se
p11*
12.3%
BAF: Non-Performing Loans Ratio (IMOR)BAF: Capitalization Index (ICAP)
Source: CNBV, Banco Ahorro Famsa* Preliminary figures
10
+13.5%
Bank Deposits increased to P$9,698 million and their average interest rate declined to 5.3%
622 714 767 806 775
3,8904,337 4,551 3,990
2,340
6,5834,8003,8423,8574,030
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
$9,698
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
8.4%
5.3%
$8,542
BAF: Deposits
Demand Deposits Time Deposits with optional availability Time Deposits
BAF: Average Cost of Funding
Source: Banco Ahorro FamsaSource: Grupo Famsa, Banco Ahorro Famsa
Rat
e (%
)
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
11
$238$19
BAF continued developing its Commercial Loan Portfolio; PYME and Micro reached P$257 million
$13,153
$1,527
Consumer (BAF / Famsa) Commercial (BAF)
Commercial (BAF): Breakdown by Credit TypeP$1,527 million (Sept. 2011)
Financial Institutions, Corporate & Other
PYMEMicro
82.3%245.2%98.0%
Growth$ 1,527 $ 771 Commercial (BAF)
Sep 2011Sep 2010
$ 257 $ 74 PYME + Micro$ 1,270 $ 697 FinInst, Corp & Other
$1,270
GFAMSA: Accounts Receivable Mexico P$14,679 million (Sept. 2011)
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
12
$2,130
$2,397
$692$806
3Q10 3Q11 2010 2011
Total: -14.2% (MXN)Total: -12.8% (USD)SSS: -13.4% (USD)
Total: -11.1% (MXN)Total: -6.3% (USD)SSS: -6.8% (USD)
Famsa USA’s sales remained under pressure from challenging market conditions
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
Famsa USA: Net Sales Famsa USA: Same store Sales
Gro
wth
(%)
13
The abrupt decline in consumer confidence is currently one of the main obstacles for consumption
Une
mpl
oym
entR
ate
USA: Index of Consumer Sentiment
Inde
x
USA: Unemployment
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Ene-
08
May
-08
Sep-
08
Ene-
09
May
-09
Sep-
09
Ene-
10
May
-10
Sep-
10
Ene-
11
May
-11
Sep-
11
National: 9.1
Source: USA Bureau of Labor Statistics
55
60
65
70
75
80
Ene-
08
May
-08
Sep-
08
Ene-
09
May
-09
Sep-
09
Ene-
10
May
-10
Sep-
10
Ene-
11
May
-11
Sep-
11
Source: Reuters/University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment
Hispanic: 11.3
14
37.3%45.5%
33.2%23.6%
10.1% 9.8%
9.1% 8.8%
4.6% 4.9%
5.8% 7.4%
2010 2011
Sales contraction was generalized across FamsaUSA product categories and regions
100% 100%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
Texas
Other
Famsa USA: Growth by Region (USD)
Gro
wth
(%)
Electronics
Appliances
Furniture
Famsa to Famsa
Computer
Others
Famsa USA: % of Sales by Product Category
% o
f Sal
es
15
Famsa redoubled efforts to offset the downturn by further reducing expenses and diversifying assortment
Operating expense savings 2008 – 2011USD (Millions)
Introduction of Personal Loans (TX)
-61 257 268 302 318 Sales
8 48495940Uncollectibles + D&A
-929333738Advertising + Others-876788184Payroll + Rent
-17105111118122Discretionary Operating Expenses
Dif.2011 TTM201020092008
1 2
4 23 licenses to issue Personal Loans at Texas stores
4 Loans regulated by Office of Consumer Credit Commission (OCCC)
4 Issuance of personal loans started in August 2011
4 Aug-Oct: 2,300+ loans
Relevant Figures
4 Average loan: US$5004 Average term: 10 months4 Monthly IAHC (1): 4% (US$200)4 Acquisition charge: US$10
Estimated additional savings in Discretionary Operating Expenses
TOTAL 2012 (Est.): US$5.0 - US$ 6.0 M
(1) IAHC: Installment Account Handling Charge
16
397407
2010 2011
-0.6%534.4537.4
2010 2011
Store network optimization continued in Mx with 7 mattress-specialized stores; 6 conversions, 1 closure
-2.5%
28349
354403
2Q11
0077
Closures 3971Stores
101
Openings
284Banco Ahorro Famsa49Famsa USA
348Famsa Mexico
3Q11
6 store closures correspond to banking branch conversions
currently underway
Total Stores
Num
bers
of S
tore
s
Breakdown of Store Openings and Closures (3Q11)
Total Retail Area
M2
(Tho
usan
ds)
17
4 Third Quarter 2011 (3Q11) Highlights
4 Operating and Financial Results 3Q11
4Famsa Mexico
4Banco Ahorro Famsa
4Famsa USA
4 Consolidated Financial Results 3Q11
Agenda
18
16% 23%18%
18%18% 14%12% 11%8% 7%6% 7%
21% 20%
2010 20113Q10 3Q11 2010 2011
Share of Consolidated Net Sales by Country
77% 81%
23% 19%
2010 2011
-6.8%
+7.7%
+4.6%
2011
-13.4%Famsa USA
+5.0%Famsa Mexico
-0.4%Total
3Q11 Famsa USA
Famsa Mexico
MX
USA$3,663 $3,699
$10,522 $10,966
+1.0%
+4.2%
Net Sales
Consolidated Net Sales
% o
f Sal
es
Consolidated Product Mix
Same Store Sales (%)
% o
f Sal
es
OthersComputerMobile Phones
ElectronicsAppliances
Personal Loans
FurniturePeso
s (M
illio
ns)
193Q10 3Q11 2010 2011
$1,935
$5,719
$1,934
$5,387
3Q10 3Q11 2010 2011 3Q10 3Q11 2010 2011
$11
$552
$196
-$82
3Q10 3Q11 2010 2011
Profitability
+6.2%
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
52.8% 52.3% 51.2% 52.2%
0.0%
+22.3%
8.2% 11.9% 7.6% 8.9%
+47.0%
-98.0%
5.3% 5.2%
-141.8%
-2.2% 0.1%
-10.2%
MX
USA
$481 $432
$1,156$1,257
+8.7%
13.1% 11.7% 11.0% 11.5%
Gross Income EBITDA
Net IncomeComprehensive Financing Expense
$300$441
$795$972
Exch. Loss
Exch. Loss
20
Mexico USA Consolidated
Original Guidance: EBITDA 2011
P$2,000P$1,900
P$100P$50
P$2,100P$1,950
Mexico USA Consolidated
Adjusted Guidance: EBITDA 2011
P$2,000P$1,900
(P$150)(P$200)
P$1,850P$1,700
Due to Famsa USA’s unexpected losses, EBITDA 2011 is now estimated at Ps$1,700-Ps$1,850 million
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)
21
$3,114$3,333
$13,153$11,161
$1,527$771
2010 2011
$9,100$8,860
2010 2011
$1,980$2,112
2010 2011
-6.3%
+2.7%
$3,273$4,784
$8,542 $9,698
2010 2011
+22.6%
$15,045$18,012
$11,815$14,482
+19.7%
Main Balance Sheet Accounts
Trade Accounts Receivable Inventories
Net Debt and Bank Deposits Stockholder’s Equity
Bank Deposits
Net Debt
% Uncollectible/ Accounts
Receivable
Commercial (BAF)Consumer USA
5.7% 7.0%
Consumer México
Peso
s (M
illio
ns)