presentación conferencia goldman sachs -bruselas junio 2013 · 7of20 june 2013 our fundamentals: a...
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Bankia Overview
XVII European Financial Conference
June 2013 1Q 2013
April 2013
June 20132 of 20
May July Sept Nov Dec Apr 28 May
Last year milestones
Recapitalization Process Completed
20122012 20132013
Appointment of
new MANGEMENT
TEAM and new
BOARD OF
DIRECTORS
Signing of the MoU
between the
Government of Spain
and the EU
Results of
OLIVER WYMAN
stress tests
APPROVAL OF THE
RECAPITALIZATION
PLAN
Total capital needs of
€15.5bn in Bankia
Transfer of RE
assets and loans
to SAREB
Bankia Capital
Increase
Prospectus filed
within the CNMV
June 20133 of 20
Recapitalization Process
15.5
Capital
Needs
10.7
4.9
Exchange of
hybrids
Rights
Issue
Capital
Increase
-5.2
2012
Book Value
Capital
Increase
PF Book Value
2012 Post
Recap
10.4
+15.6
Bankia’s recapitalization – Capital Increase
+0.1 Trad. Income
10.5
June 20134 of 20
~
~
BFA
68.4%
Freefloat
31.6%
Capital Increase
Shareholder’s structurepost Capital Increase
Shareholders’ structure
Economics
Total Amount (€m) 15,572
Subscription price (€)
Number of new shares (m)
1.3527
11,497
Total number of shares (m) 11,517
% new shares / total 99.83%
100%
June 20135 of 20
� Developer risk reduced (3.4% of portfolio)
� High coverage of total credit portfolios: 8.1%
� Investments marked to market
� EBA core tier 1 ratio 10.1% (post capital increase)
� Self-sustainable model of capital and liquidity generation
� >90% of total Group maturities covered SOLVENCY & LIQUIDITY
CLEAN
BALANCE SHEET
Bankia: Our fundamentals
2
3
� Profit Before Tax generation: €191 million in Bankia 1Q 13
� Operating costs reduction: down 10.7% on 4Q 2012
� Growth in PPP generated mainly by reduction in cost base
PROFITABILITY &
EFFICIENCY
4
� 4th largest bank in Spain
� Nationwide franchise (> 7.5 MM clients)
� IT systems fully integrated
HIGH FRANCHISE
VALUE
1
June 20136 of 20
Our fundamentals: High franchise value
(1) Source for market shares: Bankia, Banco de España, Dec 2012 and Jan. 2013
LARGE CUSTOMER BASE
RELATIONSHIP WITH OUR CUSTOMERS
New Management Team
CHAIRMAN / EXECUTIVE
Mr. José Ignacio Goirigolzarri
Former CEO of BBVA and previously, responsible for Retail Banking at BBVA.
GENERAL MANAGER OF CHAIRMAN’S OFFICE
Mr. José Sevilla
Former CRO BBVA
GENERAL MANGER OF PEOPLE, ORGANISATIONAND TECHNOLOGY
Mr. Antonio Ortega
Former General Manager of Human Resources and Quality at BBVA
Our Key Strengths: Customer base and Organizational Strengths
EX
TE
RN
AL
INT
ER
NA
L
1
Broad customer base
� > 7.5 million customers, with a close relationship
� > 260,000 SMEs and > 290,000 self-employed
High market share
� ~9% share of customer deposits
� 4th largest bank in Spain
Strong presence in original home territories
� Leader financial institution in its home regions, with
~15% market share
Organizational strengths
� New Management team
� Advanced IT systems
June 20137 of 20
Our fundamentals: A Cleaned Balance Sheet
Bankia Group data. €bn
Credit Portfolio 2013
Developers
down from 17%
in 2011 to 3% of
the credit
portfolioGross customer loans €142.6bn
Net customer loans €131.1bn
Pre-SAREB
Net Assets Transferred to Sareb (Dec. 2012)
19.1
2.7
31.12.12
16.4
Transferred Pre-SAREB
6.02.9
31.12.12
3.1
Transferred
>70% of RE
assets on the
balance sheet
are finished
houses
Net Credit to Developers Foreclosed Assets
Asset quality – Real Estate Exposure2
June 20138 of 20
High
COVERAGE
RATIOS
over total NPLs 61.9%
Coverage Ratios
Coverage over total portfolio 8.1%
over Restructured
Loans25%
Asset quality – NPL & Coverage Level2
Our fundamentals: A Cleaned Balance Sheet
Provisions over gross customer loans
3.2%
15.0%
46.7%
Individuals
Corporates
Real Estate
Coverage ex RE 6.7%
Dec 2012
Gross Total Risks 152.5
NPL 19.8
NPL ratio
NPL ratio coverage
13.0%
61.8%
NPL & Coverage Level
Mar 2013
149.6
19.6
13.1%
61.9%
NPL and NPL coverage stable in the first
quarter 2013
June 20139 of 20
Main liquidity indicators - Bankia
Commercial gap
LTD stable around 120%
Our fundamentals: Solvency and Liquidity
2Q 2012
60.2
1Q 2013
32.8
4Q 2012
33.3
3Q 2012
60.4
Bankia Group data. €bn
� Transfer of deposits to investment funds
seeking higher returns
� Acceleration of branch closures
� Change in policy on deposit interest rates
Continued reduction in the Commercial gap in the
following context:
3
Commercial gap: Net credit – mediation loans – retail commercial paper – strict customer deposits
LTD ratio: (Net credit / (retail commercial paper + strict customer deposits + ICO/EIB deposits + single-certificate covered bonds))
June 201310 of 20
Bankia Group – EBA CORE TIER 1
Actual December 2012
Capital increase(1)
Generated organically
+ 8 bps+ 39 bps9.6%
10.1%
DEC 2012 MAR 2013↑Prof. ↓RWAs
4.9 %
4.7%
4.9 %
4.7%
0.5%
3 Capital Generation
Our fundamentals: Solvency and Liquidity
Self-sustaining capital generation by:
Profit generation
RWA reduction
June 201311 of 20
Proforma(1) 1Q results
Our fundamentals: Profitability
Mar 2013
Net interest income
Gross income
Operating expenses
Pre-provision profit
601
957
(494)
463
Provisions and other expenses
Profit before tax
(272)
191
(1)Pro forma income statement excludes €89 million interest expense for the quarter from the subordinated loan granted by BFA to Bankia, to be
cancelled after the capital increase.
Profit generation
NPLs stabilisation
Cost reduction
Income statement getting
“back to normality”
Bankia Group data. €bn
4
June 201312 of 20
Bankia Group data. %
12M EURIBOR
Although further reductions for loan
yield are expected, reflecting the last
section of the Euribor curve, this
effect will be offset by:
Loan yield and customer deposits
� Wider spreads on new loan production
� Lower interest rates on deposits
� Repurchases and maturities of wholesale issues
� Lower funding costs on regained access to markets
2,99% 3,03%3,26% 3,44% 3,49% 3,41%
3,13%2,99%
2,72%
1,70%
2,06% 1,96% 1,97% 1,90%
1,69%
1,95% 1,95% 1,86%
1T 2011
pro
forma
2T 2011
pro
forma
3T 2011 4T 2011 1T 2012 2T 2012 3T 2012 4T 2012 1T 2013
Rendimiento créditos Coste depósitos de clientesLoan yield Cost of deposits
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
1,74
2,13 2,11 2,051,67
1,280,90
0,60 0,57
1Q11
pro
forma
2Q11
pro
forma
3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
EURIBOR 12M (quarterly avge.)
Our fundamentals: Profitability
Pressure on Net Interest Margin4
pro
forma
pro
forma
Stability in Net Interest Margin
June 201313 of 20
Non-developer
SMEs and
corporates
1Q13
4.00
Spreads on new production
+32 bps
Third-party
mortgages
Loans and advances to customers Customer deposits
Wider LOAN
SPREADS
NEW
PRODUCTION
Lower
DEPOSIT
INTEREST RATES
2012
3.68
1Q13
2.81
+66 bps
2012
2.15
Sight
deposits
1Q13
0.34
-9 bps
2012
0.43
Time
deposits
1Q132012
2.43
-46 bps
2.89
IMPROVEMENT
IN SPREADS
Bankia Group data. bps
Our fundamentals: Profitability
Pricing and business policies focused on margin and fee management4
June 201314 of 20
Bankia Group data, € bn, %
Our fundamentals: Profitability
Asset Mix rebalancing4
Projected evolution of the Credit Portfolio
€145bn
€125bn
60%
30%
10%
58%
38%
4%
� Natural Maturities of the
Mortgage portfolio will be
the main source of change
in the mix.
� >80% of new production in
2012 was related to SMEs
Change in mix without
aggressive growth strategy:
June 201315 of 20
1 Source: Banco de España and Bankia, as of September 2012
OUR KEY STRENGTH: LARGE CUSTOMER BASE
OUR OBJECTIVE: RELATIONSHIP WITH OUR CUSTOMERS
RETAIL1 SMEs
Pension funds
Market share
Mutual funds
Consumer finance
Credit cards
4.9%
4.6%
4.6%
5.6%
11%
10%
7%
16%
Compared to a market share of 10%
Commercial effects
Leasing, Factoring, Reverse factoring
Foreign trade activities
Services: Payroll
Share
Compared to an average customer investment share
of ≈ 26%
Our fundamentals: Profitability
Strengthening our Competitive Positioning4
June 201316 of 20
Bankia Group data. units
Our fundamentals: Efficiency
Branches 2012 – 2015 according to Plan
~1,900
2015e
~3,100
Dec 2012
-38%
9%
91%
1,143
1,888
Branch
network
Closures
Contribution
to PPP (*)
Bankia network after
reorganisation
Low contribution of closed branches
Accelerated Plan
1Q13 2Q13 1Q14
197
607
1,143
(*) Pre-provision profit
Network reorganization4
Maintaining our presence throughout the national territory
� Branch closures envisaged in Strategic Plan to
be accelerated
� Madrid and Valencia networks (60% of total)
fully restructured by June 2013, ahead of
planned
� All planned closures are expected to have
been completed by 1Q 2014
June 201317 of 20
Bankia Group data. units and €bn
Our fundamentals: Efficiency
Workforce 2012 – 2015
~14,500
2015e
~20,500
Dec 2012
-28%
Workforce and Operating Expenses4
*Includes depreciation and amortization
Operating costs 2012 – 2015*
€1.7bn
2015e
€2.3bn
Dec 2012
-26%
Operating expenses evolution
1Q 2013Q4 2012
553
Q1 2012
588
- 10.7%
y/y
- 15.9%
494
� Restructuring costs already provided for in
2012
� Workforce agreement reached in February
2013
Objective efficiency ratio: 40-45%
June 201318 of 20
Bankia Group data. €bn and %
Gross Margin
Total expenses
Pre Provision Profit
4.1
-2.3
1.7
2012
3.9
-1.7
2.2
2015e
Target ROE >10.5%
Cost reduction is the main lever for growth in Pre Provision Profit
Our fundamentals: Efficiency
Improvement of our efficiency4
Cost of Risk ~60 bps
June 201319 of 20
Return to be a solid and
sustainable financial
institution, among the best in
Spanish commercial banking
Our goal
Focus on our customers:
individuals, SMEs and
businesses in original home
territories
Solid and sustainable franchise
Solvent EfficientProfitable
Our strategy
Conclusions
Core Capital >14.5%* ROE >10.5%Cost Income
40% – 45%
*It does not envisage dividend payments, although it is expected that the Bank will resume its shareholder’s policy remuneration in 2014