presen&ng research workshop - wordpress.com
TRANSCRIPT
Outline
• Introduc&ontoworkshopandme/myresearch• Objec&vesofpresen&ngresearch• Howtoachieveyourobjec&ve
2
Workshopform
• (Inter)ac&ve,willcollectinputfromyou• Wewilltrytocompileausefuldocument(onGoogledocs)withourjointknowledge.
• Someworkwillbeinsmallgroups,besttohaveatleastonelaptopineachgroup.
3
Outline
• Introduc&ontoworkshopandme/myresearch• Objec&vesofpresen&ngresearch• Howtoachieveyourobjec&ve
4
10
Risk-basedWaterSystemOpera&on
1/6 4/6 1/6 P
e1 e2 e3
uopt uopt uopt
LLLLLL JJJJJJ KKKKKK
LJJJJK
RISK= Probability X Consequence
15
Weijs, S.V.; Diebold, M.; Mutzner, R.; Golay, J. & Parlange, M.B. Using hacked point and shoot cameras for time-lapse snow cover monitoring in an Alpine valley Geophysical Research Abstracts, 2012, 14, 8244
AlgorithmicInforma&onTheoryindependentlydevelopedbyKolmogorov(1968),Solomonoff(1964)andChai&n(1966)
19
Outline
• Introduc&ontoworkshopandme/myresearch• Objec&vesofpresen&ngresearch• Howtoachieveyourobjec&ve
22
Objec&vesforpresen&ng
• Scien&ficexchange• Youwanttosellyourconclusion• Youwanttosellyourmethod• Youwanttosellyourpaper• Youwanttosellyourideas• Youwanttosellyourself• Youdon'tbuythestatusquoopinion(revolu&on!)
23
Haveastory
• Objec&veisservedbytakehomemessage• Wholenarra&vedependsonmessage• Makesureyouhaveatakehomemessage• Don’tbeafraidtocutmaterial• Objec&veisrarelytoshowallyouhavedone
24
Exercise:ElevatorPitch/Objec&ves
• Formgroups• Someofyouget2minutes&metopresent(AGU)researchinelevatorpitch.
• Ifyouwant,useblankpaperasposter• Allwillwritedownkeytakehomepointofpitch• Andwritedownguessofobjec&ves
25
Outline
• Introduc&ontoworkshopandme/myresearch• Objec&vesofpresen&ngresearch• Howtoachieveyourobjec&ve
28
Howtoconvinceyouradvisor
• Convincetopaytripandletyoupresent• Exci&ngnewresults:Ihaveearnedit!• Perfectsession,networkingopportunity• Opportunitytolearnfromotherpresenta&ons• Meetpoten&alfutureemployers(mightconvinceyoutofinallywrapupThesis)
• …
30
Howtoconvincetheconvener
• Firstneedtochooseasession…• Veryimportantforobjec&ves• Sessiondefinesyourlikelyaudience• Impresscertainconveners?• Choosingrightsessiongivesmorechancesoftalk(ifyouaimforthat).
• Otherreasonsforchoosingsession?…
31
Howtoconvincetheconvener
• Readtheabstractscarefullyformatch• Imaginesessionconvenersaimforsession• Isthereamessage?• Canyoutalkcontributetotheirobjec&ve?• Maybetuneyourwording• Dotheconvenersknowyourwork?• Isyourtopiccontroversial?(debate!)• Otherideas?…..
32
ExamplesH31M:Predic&ons,ModelsandHydrologicalInforma&on:HowMuchCertaintyShouldWeExpectinanUncertainWorld?Channellinginforma&onflowsfromobserva&ontodecision;orhowtoincreasecertaintyTomakeadequatedecisionsinanuncertainworld,informa&onneedstoreachthedecisionproblem,toenableoverseeingthefullconsequencesofeachpossibledecision.
…
33
ExamplesEnsemblehydro-meteorologicalforecas5ngExpectedbenefitsofensemblehydrologicalpredic&onscomprisehigherforecas&ngskills,improvedriskassessmentandwell-informeddecision-makinginopera&onalwatermanagement.Ensemblehydro-meteorologicalforecastandwarningsystemshavebeendevelopedtoimprovefloodcontrolanddroughtmanagement,aswellastoop&mizewateralloca&onandregula&onfordifferentuses.Thevalueofsuchsystemshasbeenrecognizedacrossawiderangeofsectorsandusers,includingriverbasinauthori&es,publicagencies,privateen&&esandcommercialindustries..….Extrac5nglocalinforma5onfromcrowdsthroughbe9ngmarketsInthisresearch,aset-upisconsideredinwhichuserscanbetagainstaforecas&ngagencytochallengetheirprobabilis&cforecasts.Fromaninforma&ontheorystandpoint,arewardstructureisconsideredthateitherprovidestheforecas&ngagencywithbeherinforma&on,payingthesuccessfulprovidersofinforma&onfortheirwinningbets,orfundsexcellentforecas&ngagenciesthroughusersthatthinktheyknowbeher.Especiallyforlocalforecasts,theapproachmayhelptodiagnosemodelbiasesandtoiden&fylocalpredic&veinforma&onthatcanbeincorporatedinthemodels.Thechallengesandopportuni&esforimplemen&ngsuchasysteminprac&cearealsodiscussed.
34
Howtoconvinceyourpartner??
• Conferenceimportantforcareer• Worlddependsonsciencethatissparkedhere
• Itisnotjustdrinkingwithcolleagues• Canprobablybehomein6hoursiflaborstarts
36