preparing)for)the)arrival)of) ebolavirusintheutah ) · hemorrhagic fever, a clinical syn-drome that...

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Preparing for the Arrival of Ebola Virus in the Utah Bert K. Lopansri, MD Chief, Intermountain Division of Infec:ous Diseases and Clinical Epidemiology Medical Director, Central Microbiology Lab

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Page 1: Preparing)for)the)Arrival)of) EbolaVirusintheUtah ) · hemorrhagic fever, a clinical syn-drome that should trigger isola-tion guidelines that ensure ap-propriate case management and

Preparing  for  the  Arrival  of  Ebola  Virus  in  the  Utah  

Bert  K.  Lopansri,  MD  Chief,  Intermountain  Division  of  Infec:ous  

Diseases  and  Clinical  Epidemiology  Medical  Director,  Central  Microbiology  Lab  

Page 2: Preparing)for)the)Arrival)of) EbolaVirusintheUtah ) · hemorrhagic fever, a clinical syn-drome that should trigger isola-tion guidelines that ensure ap-propriate case management and

Conflicts  of  Interest  

•  None  related  to  this  presenta:on  

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Learning  Objec;ves  

•  Understand  the  clinical  characteris:cs  of  Ebola  virus  and  how  to  iden:fy  poten:al  cases  

•  Understand  historical  perspec:ve  of  Ebola  and  current  outbreak  

 •  Understand  key  methods  required  to  prevent  spread  to  other  persons  including  healthcare  workers    

Page 4: Preparing)for)the)Arrival)of) EbolaVirusintheUtah ) · hemorrhagic fever, a clinical syn-drome that should trigger isola-tion guidelines that ensure ap-propriate case management and

Ques;on  #1  

•  21  year  old  man  returned  from  West  Africa  (Kumasi,  Ghana)  with  fever,  chills,  headache.    No  sick  contacts  during  travel.    What  your  assessment  of  risk  for  Ebola?  

A.  High  B.  Low  C.  None  D.  Not  enough  informa:on  

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Ques;on  #2  

•  What  are  the  most  appropriate  precau:ons  for  preven:ng  spread  of  Ebola?  

A.  Airborne  precau:ons  only  B.  Airborne  and  contact  isola:on  C.  Droplet  isola:on  D.  Droplet  and  contact  isola:on  E.  Hazmat  

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Ques;on  #3  

•  There  is  no  treatment  for  Ebola.  

A.  True  B.  False    

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Agents  of  Viral  Hemorrhagic  Fever  

VIRUS   TRANSMISSION   Es;mated  annual  cases  

Filoviridae  family                              Ebola                              Marburg    

Human-­‐to-­‐human   Current  deaths:  4,922  All  others:  1,590  

Lassa  virus   Rodent  urine    Human-­‐to-­‐human  

100,000-­‐300,000  

Crimean  Congo  Hemorrhagic  Fever  

Tick,  infected  animal  blood  and  :ssue  

4,000  

Dengue   Mosquito   500,000  Yellow  Fever   Mosquito   200,000  

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Ebola  Virus  

•  Enveloped,  nega:ve  sense  RNA  Virus  

•  Characteris:c  filamentous  par:cles  

n engl j med nejm.org

PERSPECTIVE

3

assumed that the new West Afri-can variant is not more virulent than previous Zaire ebolaviruses; a case fatality rate of about 70%, if confirmed, might even indicate lower virulence. The finding that the Guinea variant resides at a more basal position within the clade than previously known Zaire ebolaviruses1 argues against an in-troduction from Central Africa and instead supports the likeli-hood of distinct evolution in West Africa. These findings reinforce the hypothesis that ebolaviruses have a broader geographic distri-bution than previously thought.

There is currently no licensed prophylaxis or treatment for any ebolavirus or marburgvirus infec-tion; therefore, treatment is mere-ly supportive.2 Over the past decade, however, multiple counter-

measure options have shown promising efficacy in macaque models of filoviruses, and some of the approaches have complet-ed or are at least nearing phase 1 clinical trials in humans.4

The current front-runner for therapeutic intervention seems to be antibody treatment, which has been successful in macaques even when antibodies are admin-istered more than 72 hours after infection. Treatment approaches involving modulatory RNA (i.e., small interfering RNAs or phos-phorodiamidate morpholino olig-omers) are following close be-hind, along with a promising synthetic drug-like small mole-cule, BCX4430.5 The most prom-ising vaccine approaches are based on recombinant technolo-gies, such as virus-like particles

produced through plasmid trans-fection and replication-incompe-tent and -competent viral vectors.4

Among the latter, vesicular stoma-titis virus vectors have shown ef-ficacy within 24 to 48 hours after infection in rhesus macaques.

In the absence of effective in-tervention strategies, diagnosis becomes a key element in our re-sponse to ebolavirus infection.2Detection rests largely on mo-lecular techniques utilizing mul-tiple reverse-transcriptase–poly-merase-chain-reaction assays that can be used at remote outbreak sites. Antigen detection may be performed in parallel or serve as a confirmatory test for immedi-ate diagnosis, whereas assays for detection of antibodies (e.g., IgM and IgG) are secondary tests that are primarily important in sur-veillance. Molecular detection strongly depends on sequence con-servation, and established assays may fail when applied to new variants, strains, or viruses. There-fore, real-time sharing of infor-mation, particularly sequence data, is absolutely critical for our re-sponse capacity, since any delay could have disastrous conse-quences for public health. In ad-dition, diagnostics remain essen-tial for the time-consuming process of tracing contacts during an outbreak and for overcoming the obstacles to reintroducing sur-vivors into their community.

The latest outbreak of Zaire ebolavirus in West Africa again has shown the limited ability of our public health systems to respond to rare, highly virulent communi-cable diseases. The medical and public health sectors urgently need to improve education and vigilance. And rapid, reliable di-agnostic procedures must be im-plemented in key regions within or closer to the areas where these

Ebola — A Growing Threat?

Polymerase

ssRNA

20 nmMatrix

Viral membrane

Glycoprotein spikes

Ebolavirus

Viral membraneViral membrane

Glycoprotein spikes

ssRNANucleocapsidNucleocapsidNucleocapsid

Structure of Ebolavirus.

Shown is an ebolavirus particle and its characteristic filamentous shape. The negative-strand RNA genome is found in the center of particles in an encapsidated form as the nucleocapsid, together with the polymerase complex. Embedded in the virus membrane are trimeric glycopro-tein spikes. Beneath the membrane is the matrix protein, which facilitates morphogenesis and budding of virus particles. The image is based on Protein Data Bank identifiers 3CSY and 1ES6 (www.rcsb.org) and Electron Microscopy Data Bank identifier EMD-2043 (www.emdatabank.org). The abbreviation ssRNA denotes single-stranded RNA.

The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org by BERT LOPANSRI on September 15, 2014. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.

Copyright © 2014 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.

Heinz  Feldmann,  Ebola-­‐A  growing  threat?    NEJM.    

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Distribu;on  of  Ebola  Virus  Infec;ons  PERSPECTIVE

n engl j med nejm.org2

pathology and pathophysiology closely resemble those of ebola-virus infections in humans; im-munosuppression, increased vas-cular permeability, and impaired coagulation have been identified as hallmarks of the disease.2 Evidence of microscopic hemor-rhage is usually found, but the degree of bleeding ranges from undetectable to acutely visible. The recently introduced term “Eb-ola virus disease” may not con-vey the seriousness of a viral hemorrhagic fever, a clinical syn-drome that should trigger isola-tion guidelines that ensure ap-propriate case management and implementation of infection-con-trol measures.

Ebolaviruses are zoonotic pathogens purportedly carried by various species of fruit bats that are present throughout central and sub-Saharan Africa. In con-

trast to marburgvirus, whose reservoir has been identified as Rousettus aegyptiacus fruit bats,3 ebolaviruses have not yet been isolated from bats that have mo-lecular and seroepidemiologic evi-dence of infection. Introduction into humans most likely occurs through direct contact with bats or their excretions or secretions or through contact with other end hosts, such as the great apes. Since Reston ebolavirus has been discovered in pigs on the Philip-pine islands, the possibility that there may be interim or amplify-ing hosts should not be dis-missed, as we further elucidate ebolavirus ecology.

Human-to-human transmission leads to outbreaks, which are of-ten started by a single introduc-tion from the wildlife reservoir or another end host and involve virus variants with little genetic

diversity, as in the current out-break in West Africa.1 Some re-corded outbreaks, on the other hand, have stemmed from multi-ple introductions, which have re-sulted in greater genetic viral diversity among the subsequent distinct chains of human-to- human transmission. Within a given species, however, virus vari-ants have been shown to have low genetic diversity, often less than a few percent, as illustrated by the new variant isolated from patients in Guinea.1 Such limited diversity generally leads to neu-tralizing cross-reactivity within the species.

Biologic characterization of various Zaire ebolaviruses, their case fatality rates, and their virulence in animal models have so far failed to provide convincing evi-dence of obvious differences in pathogenicity. Thus, it should be

Ebola — A Growing Threat?

Lake Victoria marburgvirus

Sudan ebolavirus

Taï Forest ebolavirus

Zaire ebolavirus

Kenya

SouthSudan

Angola

GabonUganda

Ivory CoastLiberia

Guinea

Zimbabwe

Congo

DemocraticRepublic ofthe Congo

Liberia

Kenya

Bundibugyo ebolavirus

Region of current outbreaks offilovirus infections

Region of past and recent outbreaksof filovirus infections

Africa

Outbreaks or Episodes of Filovirus Infections.

The purple ovals indicate regions of past and recent filovirus activity (on the border between the Republic of the Congo and Gabon from 2000 to 2005 and on the border between the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda in more recent years), and the red oval indicates the current outbreak of Zaire ebolavirus.

The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org by BERT LOPANSRI on September 15, 2014. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.

Copyright © 2014 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.

Heinz  Feldmann.  NEJM.  May  7,  2014  

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Ebola  Virus  •  34  independent  clusters,  24  outbreaks  since  1976  •  Five  Ebola  subtypes  –  Zaire  ebolavirus  (ZEBOV)  

•  13  outbreaks,  47-­‐100%  mortality  –  Sudan  ebolavirus  (SEBOV)  

•  6  outbreaks,  36-­‐65%  mortality  –  Taï  Forest  virus  (TFV)    

•  1  Case  –  Bundibugyo  ebolavirus  (BEBOV)    

•  2  outbreaks,  25-­‐36%  mortality  –  Ebola-­‐Reston  (REBOV)  

•  Asymptoma:c  in  humans  

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Pathophysiology  •  Transmission:    –  Infected  reservoir  animals  –  Direct  contact  with  infected  blood  or  body  fluids  •  Minute  skin  lesions    •  Mucosa  •  Percutaneous  injury  

–  Nursing  care  for  infected  pa:ents  

–  Burial  prac:ces  –  NO  EVIDENCE  FOR  AIRBORNE  TRANSMISSION  

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Pathophysiology  •  Primary  Target  Cells:    

–  Macrophages  and  dendri:c  cells,  fibroblasts  

–  Apoptosis  of  “bystander”  cells  (T  cells,  NK  cells)  

•  Other  Target  Cells:    Epithelial  cells  (Endothelial  cells,  adrenal  cor:cal  cells,  hepatocytes)  

•  Vascular  dysfunc:on,  hepa:c  necrosis,  adrenal  insufficiency,  DIC,  shock  

•  Prolonged  shedding  in  semen  (13  weeks)  

From  Mike  Bray,  and  others.  Int  J  Biochem  and  Cell  Biology.  2005  

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Clinical  Manifesta;ons  

•  Incuba:on  Period  –  4-­‐10  days  (Range  2-­‐21)  – NOT  INFECTIOUS  

•  Early  –  Emergence  of  viremia  –  lower  in  first  3  days  –  Fever  (38.5oC),  chills,  myalgias,  nausea,  vomi:ng,  abdominal  pain,  diarrhea  

– Maculopapular  rash  followed  by  desquama:on  (days  5-­‐7)  

–  Sore  throat,  conjunc:vi:s  

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Clinical  manifesta;ons:  Current  Outbreak  

0  10  20  30  40  50  60  70  80  90  

All  

Death  

Survive  

Adapted  from  NEJM.  2014;  371:1481-­‐1495  

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Hemorrhagic  manifesta;ons:  Current  Outbreak  

0  

5  

10  

15  

20  

25  

All  

Death  

Survive  

*  

*   *   *  

Adapted  from  NEJM.  2014;  371:1481-­‐1495  *More  frequent  in  those  who  died.  

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Differen;al  Diagnosis  •  Malaria  •  Typhoid  fever  •  Shigellosis  •  Cholera  •  Leptospirosis  •  Plague  •  Rickeosiosis  •  Relapsing  fever  •  Meningi:s  •  Hepa::s  •  Other  viral  hemorrhagic  fevers    

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Clinical  Manifesta;ons  

•  Late  Stages  •  Shock  •  Mul:-­‐organ  failure  •  Mucosal  hemorrhages  •  Convulsions  •  Diffuse  coagulopathy  •  High  viremia  

•  Time  of  death  6-­‐16  days  aqer  onset  of  symptoms  

•  Lab  findings  •  Leukopenia  (1000  cells/uL)  •  Lymphopenia  and  

neutrophilia  –  Leq  shiq  with  atypical  lymphocytes    

•  Thrombocytopenia  •  AST  and  ALT  eleva:on  •  Electrolyte  abnormali:es  

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Clinical  Management  •  PREVENT  SPREAD  –  Strict  barrier  nursing  procedures  

•  BASIC  SUPPORTIVE  CARE  –  Fluid  and  electrolyte  management  –  Other  suppor:ve  care  as  needed  – Management  of  complica:ons  during  hospitaliza:on  

•  Experimental  agents  –  Zmapp  (LeafBio,  Inc.)  –  Convalescent  sera  –  Brincidofovir  (Chimerix,  Inc.)  –  TKM-­‐Ebola  (  Tekmira,  Inc.)  

•  Post-­‐discharge  preventa:ve  measures  –  No  unprotected  Intercourse  for  3  months  

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Proven  Methods  to  Stop  Ebola  Outbreaks  

•  Early  Diagnosis  •  Contact  Tracing  •  Infec:on  Control  – Pa:ent  Isola:on  – Avoid  contact  with  body  fluids  – Safe  Burial  Prac:ces  

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Situa;on  as  of  Oct.  25,  2014  Suspected  and  confirmed  cases  

Deaths    N  (%)  

Guinea   1553   926  (60%)  Liberia   4665   2705  (58%)  Sierra  Leone   3896   1281  (33%)  Nigeria   20   8  (40%)  Senegal   1   0  Mali   1   1  Spain   3a   2  U.S.   9b   1  (13%)c  TOTAL   10,148   4924  (49%)  

www.cdc.gov  a.  2  repatriated,  1  secondary  transmission  b.  5  repatriated  cases,  2  secondary  transmissions;  1  currently  in  treatment.  c.   Excludes  1  in  treatment  

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Current  Situa;on  •  Nigeria  and  Senegal  –  cleared  •  U.S.  Cases  – 2  Travel  associated  cases  –  1  death,  1  in  treatment  – 2  Secondary  transmissions  –  cured  – 5  Repatriated  Ci:zens  –  all  survived,  cured  –  Ini:al  exposures  to  index  case  under  observa:on  cleared  with  no  infec:ons  

– 8/9  received  convalescent  sera  and  experimental  an:viral  medica:ons    •  Brincidofovir  (Chimerix)    •  TKM-­‐Ebola  (Tekmira,  Inc.)  

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Why  is  EVD  Uncontrolled  in  Current  Outbreak?  

•  Delayed  recogni:on  •  Inadequate  supply  of  PPE  •  Porous  borders  •  Delayed  global  response  •  Inadequate  contact  tracing  •  Cri:cal  shortage  of  HCWs,  hospital  beds  and  treatment  facili:es  –  As  of  Sept  5,  2014  –  610  treatment  beds  available  in  Liberia,  Guinea,  Sierra  Leone  

•  Hospital  care  by  family  members  •  Cultural  barriers  (tradi:onal  healing,  delay  in  seeking  healthcare,  burial  prac:ces)  

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Guinea  Forest  Region  

gence of the virus from the forest, butclearly the sociopolitical landscape dictateswhere it goes from there—an isolated caseor two or a large and sustained outbreak.

The effect of a stalled economy andgovernment is 3-fold. First, poverty drivespeople to expand their range of activitiesto stay alive, plunging deeper into theforest to expand the geographic as well asspecies range of hunted game and to findwood to make charcoal and deeper intomines to extract minerals, enhancing theirrisk of exposure to Ebola virus and otherzoonotic pathogens in these remote cor-ners. Then, the situation is compoundedwhen the unlucky infected person presentsto an impoverished and neglected health-care facility where a supply of gloves, cleanneedles, and disinfectants is not a given,leaving patients and healthcare workersalike vulnerable to nosocomial transmis-sion. The cycle is further amplified aspersons infected in the hospital return totheir homes incubating Ebola virus. Thisclassic pattern was noted in Guinea, whereearly infection of a healthcare worker inGueckedou triggered spread to surround-ing prefectures and eventually to the

capital, Conakry [1]. Lastly, with anoutbreak now coming into full force,inefficient and poorly resourced govern-ments struggle to respond, as we are seeingall too clearly with this outbreak of Ebolavirus disease in West Africa, which is nowby far the largest on record. The responsechallenge is compounded in this case byinfected persons crossing the highly porousborders of the three implicated countries,requiring intergovernmental coordination,with all the inherent logistical challenges inremote areas with poor infrastructure andcommunication networks and, in this case,significant language barriers.

Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone,sadly, fit the bill for susceptibility to moresevere outbreaks. While the devastatingeffects of the civil wars in Liberia andSierra Leone are evident and well docu-mented, readers may be less familiar withthe history of Guinea, where decades ofinefficient and corrupt government haveleft the country in a state of stalled or evenretrograde development. Guinea is one ofthe poorest countries in the world, ranking178 out of 187 countries on the UnitedNations Development Programme Hu-

man Development Index (just behindLiberia [174] and Sierra Leone [177]).More than half of Guineans live below thenational poverty line and about 20% livein extreme poverty. The Guinea forestregion, traditionally comprised of smalland isolated populations of diverse ethnicgroups who hold little power and poselittle threat to the larger groups closer tothe capital, has been habitually neglected,receiving little attention or capital invest-ment. Rather, the region was systemati-cally plundered and the forest decimatedby clear-cut logging, leaving the ‘‘GuineaForest Region’’ largely deforested (Fig-ure 3).

The forest region also shares borderswith Sierra Leone, Liberia, and Coted’Ivoire, three countries suffering civilwar in recent decades. Consequently, theregion has found itself home to tens ofthousands of refugees fleeing these con-flicts, adding to both the ecologic andeconomic burden. A United Nations HighCommission for Refugees census of campsin the forest region in 2004 registered59,000 refugees. Although the formalrefugee camps have now been dismantled

Figure 4. Scenes of the degraded infrastructure of the Guinea forest region. A. Once-paved, but now deteriorated road; B, C, and D.Street views of the dilapidated town of Gueckedou, the epicenter of the Ebola virus disease outbreak. Photos credit: Frederique Jacquerioz.doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0003056.g004

PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases | www.plosntds.org 4 July 2014 | Volume 8 | Issue 7 | e3056

Daniel  G.  Bausch,  Lara  Schwartz.  PLOS  NTDS.  July  2014.  Vol  8(7).  

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Emergence  of  Zaire  Ebola  Virus  Disease  in  Guinea  

T h e n e w e ngl a nd j o u r na l o f m e dic i n e

n engl j med nejm.org2

Frontières had been working on a malaria project in Guéckédou since 2010.) In Guéckédou, eight patients were hospitalized; three of them died, and additional deaths were reported among the families of the patients. Several deaths were reported in Macenta, including deaths among hospital staff members. A team sent by the health ministry reached the outbreak region on March 14 (Fig. 1). Médecins sans Frontières in Europe was notified and sent a team, which arrived in Guéckédou on March 18. Epidemiologic investigation was initiated, and blood samples were collected and sent to the biosafety level 4 laboratories in Lyon, France, and Hamburg, Germany, for virologic analysis.

Me thods

PatientsBlood samples were obtained from 20 patients who were hospitalized in Guéckédou, Macenta, and Kis-sidougou because of fever, diarrhea, vomiting, or hemorrhage. Demographic and clinical data for the patients were provided on the laboratory request forms. Clinical data were not collected in a system-atic fashion. This work was performed as part of the public health response to contain the outbreak in Guinea; informed consent was not obtained.

Diagnostic Assays

Viral RNA was extracted from 50 to 100 µl of undiluted plasma and 1:10 diluted plasma with the use of the QIAmp viral RNA kit (Qiagen). Nucleic acid amplification tests for detection of filoviruses and arenaviruses were performed with the use of commercially available kits and published primers and probes5-11 (Table S1 in the Supplementary Appendix, available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org).

Viral SequencingFragments amplified by filovirus L gene–specific primers were sequenced with the use of poly-merase-chain-reaction (PCR) primers. Complete EBOV genomes were sequenced directly with the use of RNA extracted from serum obtained from three patients with high levels of viral RNA, as measured on real-time reverse-transcriptase–PCR (RT-PCR) analysis. The genome was ampli-fied in overlapping fragments with the use of EBOV-specific primers. The fragments were se-quenced from both ends with the use of conven-tional Sanger techniques. The sequence of the contigs was verified by visual inspection of the electropherograms.

Viral IsolationAbout 100 µl of all serum samples was used to inoculate Vero E6 cells maintained in 25-cm2

flasks in Dulbecco’s modified Eagle’s medium containing 2 to 5% fetal-calf serum and penicil-lin–streptomycin. Cells and supernatant were passaged several times. Virus growth in the cells was verified on immunofluorescence with the use of polyclonal mouse anti-EBOV–specific anti-bodies in the serum of mice challenged with EBOV or on the basis of an increase in viral levels in the cell-culture supernatant over several orders of magnitude, as measured on real-time RT-PCR.

Electron MicroscopySpecimens from two patients were prepared for electron microscopy with the use of a convention-al negative-staining procedure. In brief, a drop of 1:10 diluted serum was adsorbed to a glow-dis-charged carbon-coated copper grid and stained with freshly prepared 1% phosphotungstic acid (Agar Scientific). Images were taken at room tem-perature with the use of a Tecnai Spirit electron microscope (FEI) equipped with a LaB6 filament and operated at an acceleration voltage of 80 kV.

Sierra Leone

Guinea

MamouFaranah

Macenta

Nzérékoré

Liberia

Kissidougou

Guéckédou

Kindia

Conakry

100 kmMali

ivorycoast

Senegal

Guinea Bissau

Figure 1. Map of Guinea Showing Initial Locations of the Outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease.

The area of the outbreak is highlighted in red. The main road between the outbreak area and Conakry, the capital of Guinea, is also shown. The map was modified from a United Nations map.

The New England Journal of Medicine Downloaded from nejm.org by BERT LOPANSRI on September 24, 2014. For personal use only. No other uses without permission.

Copyright © 2014 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.

Sylvain  Baize,  and  others.  NEJM.  Sept  19,  2014    

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What  are  the  global  implica;ons?  

Marcello  F.C.  Gomes,  and  others.  PLOS  Current  Outbreaks.  Sept  2,  2014  

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Risk  of  EVD  Case  Importa;on  

Fig. 3: Risk of EVD case importation

Top 16 countries at risk of EVD case importation in the short term: (top) 1 September and (bottom) 22 September 2014. The risk is assessed as the probability that a country will experience at least one case importation by the corresponding date, conditional on not having imported cases prior to 21 August 2014. The dark blue and light blue bars represent the minimum and maximum probability estimates, respectively, according to different models of case detection during travel (see text). The orange area corresponds to the probability maximum assuming the Nigerian outbreak starts to follow the same dynamic of the other West African countries affected by the EVD epidemic. We report the rank of Nigeria as well, which has experienced already a case importation on 20 of July and indeed it ranks among the countries with the larger probability of case importation.

Fig. 3: Risk of EVD case importation

Top 16 countries at risk of EVD case importation in the short term: (top) 1 September and (bottom) 22 September 2014. The risk is assessed as the probability that a country will experience at least one case importation by the corresponding date, conditional on not having imported cases prior to 21 August 2014. The dark blue and light blue bars represent the minimum and maximum probability estimates, respectively, according to different models of case detection during travel (see text). The orange area corresponds to the probability maximum assuming the Nigerian outbreak starts to follow the same dynamic of the other West African countries affected by the EVD epidemic. We report the rank of Nigeria as well, which has experienced already a case importation on 20 of July and indeed it ranks among the countries with the larger probability of case importation.

Fig. 3: Risk of EVD case importation

Top 16 countries at risk of EVD case importation in the short term: (top) 1 September and (bottom) 22 September 2014. The risk is assessed as the probability that a country will experience at least one case importation by the corresponding date, conditional on not having imported cases prior to 21 August 2014. The dark blue and light blue bars represent the minimum and maximum probability estimates, respectively, according to different models of case detection during travel (see text). The orange area corresponds to the probability maximum assuming the Nigerian outbreak starts to follow the same dynamic of the other West African countries affected by the EVD epidemic. We report the rank of Nigeria as well, which has experienced already a case importation on 20 of July and indeed it ranks among the countries with the larger probability of case importation.

6PLOS  Currents  Outbreaks

↓↓

↓ ↓

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EVD  Preparedness  at  Intermountain  Healthcare  

•  RESOURCES  heps://my.intermountain.net/Ebola/Pages/home.aspx  

•  RECOGNITION  –  Obtain  travel  history  

•  COMMUNICATION  –  Contact  Public  Health  Officials  (800  EPI-­‐UTAH)  –  Infec:ous  Diseases  and  Infec:on  Control  –  Clinical  lab  –  Hospital  administra:on  

•  INFECTION  CONTROL  –  AVOID  CONTACT  WITH  BLOOD  AND  BODY  FLUIDS!  –  Appropriate  disposal  of  medical  waste  

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EVD  Case  Defini;on  •  PERSON  UNDER  INVESTIGATION:  – Fever  >38.0oC,  severe  headache,  myalgias,  vomi:ng,  diarrhea,  abdominal  pain,  unexpected  hemorrhage  

•  Epidemiologic  risk  factors  within  the  past  21  days  before  onset  of  symptoms    – Travel  to  Guinea,  Liberia,  Sierra  Leone  – Resolved  risk  in  Nigeria  and  Senegal  – NO  RISK  FOR  TRAVEL  TO  SPAIN  OR  DALLAS!!  

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Epidemiologic  Risk  Factors  

•  HIGH  RISK  CONTACT:    –  Percutaneous  or  mucous  membrane  exposure  to  blood  or  body  fluid  of  EVD  pa:ent  

–  Direct  skin  contact  with  or  exposure  to  blood  or  body  fluids  without  appropriate  PPE  

–  Processing  blood/body  fluids  of  confirmed  EVD  pa:ent  without  appropriate  PPE  

– Direct  contact  with  dead  body  without  PPE  in  outbreak  country  

•  LOW  RISK  CONTACT:  –  Household  contact,  other  close  contact  in  health  care  facili:es  or  community  sevngs  or  direct  brief  contact  without  wearing  PPE  

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Infec;on  Control  Measures  for  Suspected  Ebola  

•  If  available,  admit  to  nega:ve  pressure  room  –  IF  HIGH  RISK,  TRANSFER  TO  INTERMOUNTAIN  MEDICAL  CENTER  

•  PPE  –  Fluid  impermeable  gowns  with  head  cover  

–  Leg  covering  with  vomi:ng  or  diarrhea  

–  Double  glove  –  Face  shield  and  mask  –  ADD  Full  body  suite  for  confirmed  cases  with  large  amounts  of  diarrhea  and  vomi:ng  

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Infec;on  Control  Measures  for  Suspected  Ebola  

•  ASYMPTOMATIC,  EXPOSED  – Contact  Utah  Department  of  Health  for  monitoring  

– Standard  precau:ons  

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Laboratory  Tes;ng  in  Pa;ents  with  Suspected  EVD  

•  HIGH  RISK:    Limit  lab  tes:ng  to  only  tests  cri:cal  for  pa:ent  care  that  can  be  performed  at  bedside  –  iSTAT  – Malaria  thin  smear  and  RDT  –  Blood  culture  – Manual  WBC  and  Platelet  Count  –  Specimens  must  be  labeled  appropriately  and  hand  delivered  to  the  lab  

 •  EXPOSED,  ASYMPTOMATIC:    – No  restric:ons  on  lab  tes:ng  

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Summary  •  As  the  situa:on  worsens  the  probability  that  cases  will  be  imported  to  neighboring  countries  and  globally  increases.  

•  Awareness  of  a  possible  case  and  communica:on  in  a  mul:disciplinary  manner  is  cri:cal  to  recognizing  and  preven:ng  spread.  

•  Strict  adherence  to  barrier  precau:ons  is  essen:al  to  prevent  secondary  infec:ons  in  HCWs  –  Training  with  PPE  use  essen:al