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1 Solution to selected problems in midterm exam in principal of statistics PREPARED BY Dr. Nafez M. Barakat Islamic university of Gaza MIDTERM 2009-2010

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Page 1: PREPARED BY Dr. Nafez M. Barakat Islamic university of Gazasite.iugaza.edu.ps/nbarakat/files/2014/02/solution-for...distributed, but the value of is unknown. Your sample size is 10

1

Solution to selected problems in midterm exam in principal of statistics

PREPARED BY Dr. Nafez M. Barakat

Islamic university of Gaza

MIDTERM 2009-2010

Page 2: PREPARED BY Dr. Nafez M. Barakat Islamic university of Gazasite.iugaza.edu.ps/nbarakat/files/2014/02/solution-for...distributed, but the value of is unknown. Your sample size is 10

2

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3

P(1.99 < x < 2.0) = p(

36

06.0

0.299.1 < z <

36

06.0

0.20.2 ) = p(-1 < z < 0)

= p(z< 0) – p (z< -1) = 0.05 - 0.1587 = 0.3413

P( 1xX )= 0.99 , p(z >z1) = 0.99, p(z < z1) = 1-0.99 = 0.01, z1= -1.23

9767.136

06.023.10.21

nzx

p(x > 90) = 0.0668, p(z > z1 ) = 0.0668, p( z < z1) = 1.0 -0.0668=

0.9332

Z1 = 1.5 ,

xz ,

75905.1

, 10

P(x> 95) = p( z> (95-75)/10) = p(z>2.0)

= 1- p(z< 2.0) = 1 – 0.9772=0.0228

.p(-z1 < z < z1) = 0.8664, 2 p( 0< z < z1) = 0.4332

P(z< z1) – 0.5 = 0.4332, z1 = 1.5

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4

zx

Lower interval xL = 75 -1.5*10 = 60

Upper interval xu = 75+ 1.5*10 = 90

05745.075

)45.01(45.0)1(

nP

P( 0.3 < p < 0.5) = P( (0.3-0.45)/0.5745 < Z < ((0.5-0.45)/0.5745)

= P(-2.61 < Z < 0.87) = 0.8033

P(Z< Z1) = 0.80, Z1 = 0.84

498.075

)45.01(45.0*84.045.0

)1(

nZp

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5

5371)50(

)1000(*)96.1(*2

22

2

22

e

zn

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6

5.04972.0)67.067.0()67.067.0(

)67.067.0(

ZPX

P

XP

MIDTERM 18/4/2011

SECTION I: MULTIPLE-CHOICE

For each question in this section, circle the correct answer. Each problem is worth 1

point.

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7

1. The process of using sample statistics to draw conclusions about true population parameters

is called

a) statistical inference.

b) the scientific method.

c) sampling.

d) descriptive statistics.

2. A summary measure that is computed to describe a characteristic from only a sample of the

population is called

a) a parameter.

b) a census.

c) a statistic.

d) the scientific method.

3. In a right-skewed distribution

a) the median equals the arithmetic mean.

b) the median is less than the arithmetic mean.

c) the median is larger than the arithmetic mean.

d) none of the above.

1. When extreme values are present in a set of data, which of the following descriptive

summary measures are most appropriate:

a) CV and range.

b) arithmetic mean and standard deviation.

c) interquartile range and median.

d) variance and interquartile range.

2. In its standardized form, the normal distribution

a) has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1.

b) has a mean of 1 and a variance of 0.

c) has an area equal to 0.5.

d) cannot be used to approximate discrete probability distributions.

1. If a particular batch of data is approximately normally distributed, we would find that

approximately

a) 2 of every 3 observations would fall between 1 standard deviation around the

mean.

b) 4 of every 5 observations would fall between 1.28 standard deviations around the

mean.

c) 19 of every 20 observations would fall between 2 standard deviations around the

mean.

d) All the above.

2. The Central Limit Theorem is important in statistics because

a) for a large n, it says the population is approximately normal.

b) for any population, it says the sampling distribution of the sample mean is

approximately normal, regardless of the sample size.

c) for a large n, it says the sampling distribution of the sample mean is

approximately normal, regardless of the shape of the population.

d) for any sized sample, it says the sampling distribution of the sample mean is

approximately normal.

Page 8: PREPARED BY Dr. Nafez M. Barakat Islamic university of Gazasite.iugaza.edu.ps/nbarakat/files/2014/02/solution-for...distributed, but the value of is unknown. Your sample size is 10

8

1. Which of the following statements about the sampling distribution of the sample mean is

incorrect?

a) The sampling distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal whenever

the sample size is sufficiently large (n 30).

b) The sampling distribution of the sample mean is generated by repeatedly taking

samples of size n and computing the sample means.

c) The mean of the sampling distribution of the sample mean is equal to .

d) The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean is

equal to .

2. The width of a confidence interval estimate for a proportion will be

a) narrower for 99% confidence than for 95% confidence.

b) wider for a sample size of 100 than for a sample size of 50.

c) narrower for 90% confidence than for 95% confidence.

d) narrower when the sample proportion is 0.50 than when the sample proportion is

0.20.

3. A 99% confidence interval estimate can be interpreted to mean that

a) if all possible samples are taken and confidence interval estimates are developed,

99% of them would include the true population mean somewhere within their

interval.

b) we have 99% confidence that we have selected a sample whose interval does

include the population mean.

c) Both of the above.

d) None of the above.

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9

SECTION II: TRUE OR FALSE

For each question in this section, indicate whether the sentence is TRUE or False. Each

problem is worth 1 point.

1. ( F ) The possible responses to the question “How many times in the past three months

have you visited a city park?” are values from a discrete variable.

2. ( T ) Other things being equal, as the confidence level for a confidence interval

increases, the width of the interval increases.

3. ( F ) The t distribution is used to develop a confidence interval estimate of the

population proportion when the population standard deviation is unknown.

4. ( F ) The confidence interval obtained will always correctly estimate the population

parameter.

5. ( F ) In estimating the population mean with the population standard deviation unknown,

if the sample size is 12, there will be 6 degrees of freedom.

6. ( T ) As the sample size increases, the effect of an extreme value on the sample mean

becomes smaller.

7. ( T ) A sampling distribution is a distribution for a statistic.

8. ( F ) The probability that a standard normal random variable, Z, is less than 5.0 is

approximately 0.

9. ( F ) The "middle spread," that is the middle 50% of the normal distribution, is equal to

one standard deviation.

10. ( F ) In a set of numerical data, the value for Q2 is always halfway between Q1 and Q3.

11. ( F ) The standard error of the sample mean is affected by the confidence level

12. ( T )A point estimator is a function of the random sample used to make

inferences about the value of an unknown population parameter

SECTION III: FREE RESPONSE QUESTIONS

(i) (2 Points)

The assets in billions of dollars of the five largest bond funds are 19.5, 16.8, 13.7,

12.8, and 10.9. Compute the standard deviation for this population of the five largest bond

funds.

Descriptive Statistics

N Mean Std. Deviation

VAR00001 5 14.7400 3.40925

Valid N (listwise) 5

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11

(ii) (4 Points)

You were told that the mean score on a statistics exam is 75 with the scores

normally distributed. In addition, you know the probability of a score between 55 and 60 is

4.41% and that the probability of a score greater than 90 is 6.68%.

a. (2 Points) What is the probability of a score greater than 95?

p(x > 90) = 0.0668, p(z > z1 ) = 0.0668, p( z < z1) = 1.0 -0.0668= 0.9332

Z1 = 1.5 ,

xz ,

75905.1

, 10

P(x> 95) = p( z> (95-75)/10) = p(z>2.0) = 1- p(z< 2.0) = 1 – 0.9772=0.0228

b. (2 Points)

The middle 86.64% of the students will score between which two scores?

.p(-z1 < z < z1) = 0.8664, 2 p( 0< z < z1) = 0.4332

P(z< z1) – 0.5 = 0.4332, z1 = 1.5

zx

Lower interval xL = 75 -1.5*10 = 60 Upper interval xu = 75+ 1.5*10 = 90

(iii) (2 Points)

The head of a computer science department is interested in estimating the

proportion of students entering the department who will choose the new computer engineering

option. Suppose there is no information about the proportion of students who might choose the

option. What size sample should the department head take if she wants to be 95% confident that

the estimate is within 0.10 of the true proportion?

e=0.1 , 96.1,05.0 2/ z

97)1.0(

)5.01(5.0*96.1*96.1)1(*22

2

e

zn

(iv) (2 Points)

A hotel chain wants to estimate the average number of rooms rented daily in each

month. The population of rooms rented daily is assumed to be normally distributed for each month

with a standard deviation of 24 rooms. during February, a sample of 25 days has a sample mean of

37 rooms. Use this information to calculate a 92% confidence interval for the population mean.

08.0,37,25,24 xn

4.83725

24*75.137

nZXIC

5.456.8.2

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11

n= 16, s=400 from interval (4739.8, 5260.2) 5000x

15,602.216

4002.260* 2/2/2/ dftt

n

ste

From table T ,02.0

confidence level = (1-0.02)*100%=98%

Questions 5-6 refer to the following information:

5- A 95% confidence interval for the mean reading achievement score for a population of

third grades is (40 , 50). The margin of error of this interval is

a) 95% b) 10 c) 5 d) 2.5

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12

e) The answer cannot be determined from the information given

6- The sample mean is

a) 0.95 b) 45 c) 42.5 d) 47.5

e) The answer cannot be determined from the information given

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13

7- Using the same set of data, you compute a 95% confidence interval and a 99%

confidence interval. Which of the following statement is correct?

a) The intervals have the same width b) The 99% interval is wider

c) The 95 % interval is wider d) You cannot be determined which interval is

wider unless you know n and s

9 Suppose you take a simple random sample from a population known to be normally

distributed, but the value of is unknown. Your sample size is 10. Which formula

below should be used

n

to find the 90% confidence interval for the mean?

a) 1.645 b) 1.645 c) 1.833 d) 1.83310 10 10 1

0

s S

x x x x

ANSWER C Questions 13-14 refer to the following information:

13- The height of Palestinian men aged 18 to 24 are approximately normally

distribution with mean 170 cm and standard deviation 6 cm. Half of all young men

are shorter than

a) 164 cm b) 170 cm c) 176 cm

d) Can't tell, because the median height is not given.

14- Only about 5% of young men have heights outside the range

cmtocmC 18215862170.%95.02

a) 164 cm to 176 cm b) 158 cm to 182 cm

c) 152 cm to 188 cm d) 146 cm to 194 cm

15- An airplane is only allowed a gross passenger weight of 6,885 kg. If the weights of

passengers traveling by air between two cities have a mean of 80 kg and a standard

deviation of 18 kg, the approximate probability that the combined weight of 81 passengers

will exceed 6,885 kg is:

a) 0.3906 b) 0.9938 c) 0.0062 d) 0.0000

16. Given a normally distributed population with a mean of 80 and a variance of l00, we

know that the distribution of sample means computed from samples of size 25 from that

population will have a mean of _____ and a standard error of _____.

a) 80, l0

b) 80, 2 c) l00, 25

d) 80, l0

Question #6: [20 Points]

(a) [10 Points]

An article reports that (4.0, 5.6) is a 95% confidence interval for the mean

length of stay, in days, of patients in hospital for a particular operation. Suppose the sample

size is 50, find the sample mean and the standard deviation.

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14

From the interval

009.2,05.0,8.0,8.4 2/ tex

,2.8150

009.28.0*2/ ss

n

ste

(b) [10 Points] How large a sample size is needed to estimate the mean annual income of CCC

company to be within $2000 with probability 0.99? Suppose there is no prior information

about the standard deviation of annual income of the CCC company, but we guess that

about 68% of their incomes are between $10000 and $40,000 and that this distribution of

incomes is approximately bell shaped

At 2000,15000,58.2,01.0 2/ ez

375374.4225)2000(

)15000(*)58.2(*2

22

2

22

e

zn

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15

The Islamic University of Gaza

Faculty of Commerce

Department of Economics and Political Sciences

An Introduction to Statistics Course (ECOE 1302)

Spring Semester 2014 - 8/4/2014 Midterm Exam

Name:___________________________________________ ID:___________

Instructors: □Dr. Nafez Barakat □ Mr. Ibrahim Abed

SECTION I: MULTIPLE-CHOICE (Each problem is worth 1 point)

For each question in this section, circle the correct answer.

4. A summary measure that is computed to describe a characteristic of an entire

population is called

a) a parameter.

b) a census.

c) a statistic.

d) the scientific method.

5. Which descriptive summery measures are considered to be resistant statistics?

a) The arithmetic mean and standard deviation.

b) The interquartile range and range.

c) The mode and variance.

d) The median and interquartile range.

6. Which of the following is a continuous quantitative variable?

a) The color of a student’s eyes

b) The number of employees of an insurance company

c) The amount of milk produced by a cow in one 24-hour period

d) The number of gallons of milk sold at the local grocery store yesterday

7. The possible responses to the question "How would you rate the quality of your

purchase experience with 1 = excellent, 2 = good, 3 = decent, 4 = poor, 5 =

terrible?" are values from a

a) discrete numerical random variable.

b) continuous numerical random variable.

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16

c) categorical random variable.

d) parameter

8. . In sampling from a large population with = 20, the standard error of the mean is

found to be 2. The size of the sample used is:

a) 100 b) 40

c) 10

d) 20

9. The smaller the spread of scores around the arithmetic mean,

a) the smaller the interquartile range.

b) the smaller the standard deviation.

c) the smaller the coefficient of variation .

d) All the above

10. For sample size 16, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately

normally distributed

e) regardless of the shape of the population.

f) if the shape of the population is symmetrical.

g) if the sample standard deviation is known.

h) if the sample is normally distributed

13. In left-skewed distributions, which of the following is the correct statement?

a) The distance from Q1 to Q2 is smaller than the distance from Q2 to Q3.

b) The distance from the smallest observation to Q1 is larger than the distance

from Q3 to the largest observation.

c) The distance from the smallest observation to Q2 is smaller than the distance from

Q2 to the largest observation.

d) The distance from Q1 to Q3 is twice the distance from the Q1 to Q2.

12.According to the Chebyshev rule, at least what percentage of the observations in any data set

are contained within a distance of 3 standard deviations around the mean?

a) 67%

b) 75%

c) 88.89%

d) 99.7%

13.For some positive value of Z, the probability that a standard normal variable is between

0 and Z is 0.3340. The value of Z is

a) 0.07

b) 0.37

c) 0.97

d) 1.06

14. A confidence interval was used to estimate the proportion of statistics students that are

female. A random sample of 72 statistics students generated the following 90% confidence

interval: (0.438, 0.642). Using the information above, what total size sample would be

necessary if we wanted to estimate the true proportion to within ±0.08 using 95%

confidence?

a) 105

b) 150

c) 420

d) 597

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17

2

2

z

n p 1 pe

=( 1.96/0.08)2* 0.54* (1-0.54) = 150

15.When extreme values are present in a set of data, which of the following descriptive

summary measures are most appropriate?

a) CV and range

b) arithmetic mean and standard deviation

c) interquartile range and median

d) variance and interquartile rangs

Section II: TRUE Or FALSE (Each problem is worth 1 point). For each question in this section, indicate whether the sentence is TRUE or False.

2. ( F ) A statistic is usually used to provide an estimate for a usually

unobserved parameter .

3. ( T ) As a general rule, an observation is considered an extreme value if its absolute

value of Z score is greater than3 .

4. ( F ) The answer to the question “How do you rate the quality of your

business statistics course” is an example of an ordinal scaled variable .

5. ( T ) The coefficient of variation is a measure of relative variation .

6. ( F ) The t distribution is used to develop a confidence interval estimate of the

population proportion when the population standard deviation is unknown .

7. ( T ) The width of a confidence interval equals twice the sampling error

8. ( T ) A point estimate consists of a single sample statistic that is used to estimate the

true population parameter

8. ( F ) The amount of bleach a machine pours into bottles has a mean of 36 oz . with a

standard deviation of 0.15 oz . Suppose we take a random sample of 36 bottles

filled by this machine . The sampling distribution of the sample mean has a

standard error of 0.15.

9. ( F ) A university dean is interested in determining the proportion of students who

receive some sort of financial aid. Rather than examine the records for all

students, the dean randomly selects 200 students and finds that 118 of them are

receiving financial aid. Use a 90% confidence interval to estimate the true

proportion of students who receive financial aid. The answer is 0.59 0.068165

P=118/200 = 0.59,

057.059.0200

)59.01(*59.0*645.159.0

)1(

n

PPZP

10. ( F ) As an aid to the establishment of personnel requirements, the director of a

hospital wishes to estimate the mean number of people who are admitted to the

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18

emergency room during a 24-hour period. The director randomly selects 64

different 24-hour periods and determines the number of admissions for each.

For this sample, 8.19X and s2 = 25. The 95% confidence interval for the

population mean is 19.8 4.96

SECTION III: FREE RESPONSE QUESTIONS

Question #3: (5 Points) The owner of a fish market determined that the average weight for a catfish is 3.2 pounds. He also knew that the probability of a randomly selected catfish that would weigh more than 3.8 pounds is 20% and the probability that a randomly selected catfish that would weigh less than 2.8 pounds is 30%.

a) Find the probability that a randomly selected catfish will weigh less than 3.6 pounds ?

20.0)8.3( wp , 80.0)

6.0(,20.0)

2.38.3(

ZPZp

714.0,84.06.0

7123.0)5602.0()714.0

2.36.3()6.3(

ZPZPwP

b) The middle 40% of the catfish will weigh between which two numbers ?

ZZZP ,70.0)( 1 1 = 0.525

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19

574.3714.0*525.02.3 ZXU

825.2714.0*525.02.3 ZX L

Question #4: (5 Points) A study at a college in the west coast reveals that, historically, 45% of their students are

minority students . If a random sample of size 75 is selected

e) Find the probability that the sample proportion of minority students lies between 30% and 50% ?

75,45.0 n

8058.0

0197.08078.0)611.2()87.0(

)87.0611.2(

)

75

)45.01(45.0

45.05.0

75

)45.01(45.0

45.03.0()5.03.0(

ZPZP

ZP

ZPPP

f) 95% of the samples proportions of minority students will be greater than

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21

what value ? P(Z>Z1) = 0.95, P(Z< Z1) = 0.05 Z1 = -1.645

355.075

)45.01(45.0*645.145.0

)1(

nZp

The Islamic University of Gaza

Faculty of Commerce

Department of Economics and Political Sciences

An Introduction to Statistics Course (ECOE 1302) Spring Semester 2014

Final Examination Date : 31/5/2014

Name:_____________________________________________

ID:_____________ Time: Two hour’s

Instructor's: Mr. Ibrahim Abed and D. Nafez Barakat DON'T WRITE ON THIS TABLE

QUESTION #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 TOTAL

POINTS

Question #1: [15 Points] For each question in this section, circle the correct answer. Each problem is worth 1

point.

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21

1. A summary measure that is computed to describe a characteristic from only a sample of

the

population is called

a) a parameter b) a census.

c) a statistic d) the scientific method

2. Which of the following statements about the median is not true?

a) It is more affected by

extreme values than the

arithmetic mean

b) It is a measure of

central tendency c) It is equal to Q2.

d) It is equal to the mode

in bell-shaped "normal"

distributions

3. According to the Chebyshev rule, at least what percentage of the observations in any data set

are contained

within a distance of 3 standard deviations around the mean?

a) 67%

b) 75%

c) 88.89%

d) 99.7%

4. For some positive value of Z, the probability that a standard normal variable is between 0 and Z

is 0.3770. The value of Z is

a) 0.18

b) 0.81

c) 1.47

d) 1.16

5. If we know that the length of time it takes a college student to find a parking spot in the library

parking lot follows a normal distribution with a mean of 3.5 minutes and a standard deviation

of 1 minute, find the point in the distribution in which 75.8% of the college students exceed

when trying to find a parking spot in the library parking lot.

a) 4.2 minutes b) 3.2 minutes

c) 3.4 minutes

d) 2.8 minutes

6. The standard error of the mean

a) is never larger than

the standard deviation

of the population

b) decreases as the

sample size increases c) measures the variability

of the mean from

sample to sample.

d) All of the

above

7. The Dean of Students mailed a survey to a total of 400 students. The sample included 100

students randomly selected from each of the freshman, sophomore, junior, and senior classes on

campus last term. What sampling method was used?

a) Simple random sample b) Systematic sample c) Stratified

sample d) Cluster sample

8. In the construction of confidence intervals, if all other quantities are unchanged, an increase in

the sample size will lead to a interval.

a) narrower

b) wider

c) less significant

d) Biased

9. A university dean is interested in determining the proportion of students who receive

some sort of financial aid. Rather than examine the records for all students , the dean

randomly selects 200 students and finds that 118 of them are receiving financial aid . If

the dean wanted to estimate the proportion of all students receiving financial aid to

within 3% with 99% reliability .how many students would need to be sampled

P=118/200 = 0.59

31782.1646503.0*03.0

)59.01(*59.0*575.2*575.2

e

)(1Zn

2

2

pp

a) 1844 b) 1784 c) 1503 d) 1435

10. Which of the following is most likely a parameter as opposed to a statistic?

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22

a) The average score

of the first five

students

completing an

assignment

b) The proportion

of females

registered to

vote in a county

c) The average

height of people

randomly

selected from a

database.

d) The proportion of

trucks stopped

yesterday that were

cited for bad

brakes

11. In aright _ skewed distribution

a) The arithmetic mean equals the median.

b) The arithmetic mean is less than the median.

c) The arithmetic mean is larger than the median.

d) None of the above

12.The width of a confidence interval estimate for a proportion will be

A) narrower when the sample proportion is 0.10 than when the sample

proportion is 0.45.

B) wider for 90% confidence than for 95% confidence.

C) narrowest when the sample proportion is 0.5.

D) narrower for a sample size of 50 than for a sample size of 100.

E) wider when the sample proportion is 0.95 than when the sample proportion is

0.55.

Question #2: [15 Points]

For each question in this section , indicate whether the sentence

is true or false. Each problem is worth 1 point.

1- ( T ) The possible responses to the question “How long have you been living at your

current

residence?” are values from a continuous variable

2- ( F ) The answer to the question “What is your favorite color?” is an example of an ordinal

scaled

variable

3- ( T ) In a sample of size 40, the sample mean is 15. In this case, the sum of all observations

in the

sample is 600iX .

4- ( T ) The coefficient of variation measures variability in a data set relative to the size of the

arithmetic

mean

5- ( F ) The probability that a standard normal random variable, Z, is between 1.00 and 3.00

is 0.2574.

6- ( T ) As the sample size increases, the effect of an extreme value on the sample mean becomes

smaller

7- ( F ) The standard error of the sampling distribution of a sample proportion is 1p p

n

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23

8- ( T ) Other things being equal, as the confidence level for a confidence interval increases, the

width of the interval increases

9- ( T ) A point estimate consists of a single sample statistic that is used to estimate the true

population parameter

10- ( F ) For a given level of significance, if the sample size is increased, the probability of

committing a Type I error will increase

11- ( T ) For a given sample size, the probability of committing a Type II error will increase

when the

probability of committing a Type I error is reduced

Bonus

Question #7: [5 Points]

Suppose that the incomes in a population have mean $22000 and standard deviation $4000

. A sample of size 40 is selected

a) What is the probability that the sample mean will be within $2000 of the population

mean ?

µ=22000 , 4000 n=40

9984.00008.09992.0

)162.3()1625.3()162.3162.3(

)162.3(()40/4000

2000()2000(

ZPZPZP

ZPPZPXp

b) Suppose that we want the probability of X being within $2000 of the population mean

to be 0.95 . How large a sample do we need?

α=0.05 Zα/2 = 1.96 e = 2000

An Introduction to Statistics Course (ECOE 1302) Spring Semester 2012

Final Examination Date : 28/5/2012

3-Asummary measure that is computed to describe a characteristic of an entire population

is called

162000*2000

4000*4000*1.96*1.96

e

σZn

2

22

α/2

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24

a) a parameter b) a census c) a statistics d) The scientific method

4- According to the chebyshev rule , at least 93.75% of all observations in any data set are

contained within a distance of how many standard deviations around the mean

%75.93%100)4

11(%100

11

2

k

a) 1 b) 2 c) 3 d) 4

5- The mean age of five people in a room is 30 years . One of the people whose age is 50

years leaves the room . the mean age of the remaining four people in the room is

a) 40 b) 30 c) 25 d) Not able to be determined

from the information given

6- For some value of Z , the probability that a standard variable is below Z is 0.791.The

value of z is

a) 0.81 b) -0.31 c) 0.31 d) 1.96

7- Sampling distributions describe the distribution of

a) parameters b) Statistics c) Both a and b d) Neither a nor b

9- The symbol for the power of a statistical test is

a) b) 1- c) d) 1-

10- A type II error is committed when

a) we reject 0H that is true. b) we reject 0H that is false.

c) we don’t reject 0H that is true. d) we don’t reject 0H that is false

11- A university dean is interested in determining the proportion of students who receive

some sort of financial aid. Rather than examine the records for all students , the dean

randomly selects 200 students and finds that 118 of them are receiving financial aid . If the

dean wanted to estimate the proportion of all students receiving financial aid to within 3%

with 99% reliability .how many students would need to be sampled

sampled?

P=118/200 = 0.59

31782.1646503.0*03.0

)59.01(*59.0*575.2*575.2

e

)(1Zn

2

2

pp

a) 1844 b) 1784 c) 1503 d) 1435

12) In a survey of 3200 T.V. viewers, 20% said they watch network news programs.

Find standard error for the sample proportion.

A) 0.0071 B) 0.0865 C) 0.0721 D) 0.0142 E) 0.0649

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25

For each question in this section , indicate whether the sentence

is true or false. Each problem is worth 1 point.

1- ( F ) A statistic is usually unobservable while a parameter is usually observable

2- ( F ) As the sample size increases , the standard error of the mean increases. n

SS

X

3- ( T ) Other things being equal , as the confidence level for a confidence interval increases

, the width of the interval increases

4- ( T ) The t distribution is used to develop a confidence interval estimate of the population

mean when the population standard deviation is unknown

7- ( T ) The mean of the sampling distribution of a sample mean is the population mean

8- ( F ) The quality ("terrible" , "poor" , "fair" , " acceptable" , "very good" , and " excellent"

) of a day care center is an example of a numerical variable

9- ( T ) The coefficient of variation measures variability in a data set relative to the size of

the arithmetic mean

10- ( T ) A box plot is a graphical representation of a 5 _ number summary

11- ( F ) The probability that a standard normal random variable Z is below 1.96 is 0.4750

13- ( T ) A 95% confidence interval for will be wider than a 96% confidence interval for

15- ( T ) The a mount of water consumed by a person per week is an example of a

continuous variable

An Introduction to Statistics Course (ECOE 1302)

Spring Semester 2015 - 8/4/2015 Midterm Exam

Name:___________________________________________ ID:___________

Instructors: □Dr. Nafez Barakat □ Mr. Ibrahim Abed

SECTION I: MULTIPLE-CHOICE (Each problem is worth 1 point)

For each question in this section, circle the correct answer.

9. The collection and summarization of the socioeconomic and physical

characteristics of the employees of a particular firm is an example of

a) inferential statistics.

b) descriptive statistics.

c) a parameter.

d) a statistic.

10. Researchers are concerned that the weight of the average American school child is

increasing implying, among other things, that children’s clothing should be

manufactured and marketed in larger sizes. If X is the weight of school children

sampled in a nationwide study, then X is an example of

a) a categorical random variable.

b) a discrete random variable.

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26

c) a continuous random variable.

d) a parameter.

3 .Which of the following is the easiest to compute?

a) The arithmetic mean.

b) The median.

c) The mode.

d) The standard deviation.

4.According to the Chebyshev rule, at least 93.75% of all observations in any data set are

contained within a distance of how many standard deviations around the mean?

a) 1

b) 2

c) 3

d) 4 %75.93%100)4

11(%100

11

2

k

5. For some positive value of X, the probability that a standard normal variable is between

0 and +1.5X is 0.4332. The value of X is

e) 0.10

f) 0.50

g) 1.00

h) 1.50

6.. In its standardized form, the normal distribution

a) has a mean of 0 and a variance of 1.

b) has a mean of 1 and a variance of 0.

c) has an area equal to 0.5.

d) cannot be used to approximate discrete probability distributions.

7. At a computer manufacturing company, the actual size of computer chips is normally

distributed with a mean of 1 centimeter and a standard deviation of 0.1 centimeter. A

random sample of 12 computer chips is taken. What is the standard error for the sample

mean?

a. 0.029

b. 0.050

c. 0.091

d. 0.120

8. If you were constructing a 99% confidence interval of the population mean based on a

sample of n=25 where the standard deviation of the sample s = 0.05, the critical value

of t will be

a. 2.7969

b. 2.7874

c. 2.4922

d. 2.4851

9. In the construction of confidence intervals, if all other quantities are unchanged, an

increase in the sample size will lead to a interval.

a. narrower

b. wider

c. less significant

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27

d. biased

10. For sample size 16, the sampling distribution of the mean will be approximately

normally distributed

a. regardless of the shape of the population.

b. if the shape of the population is symmetrical.

c. if the sample standard deviation is known.

d. if the sample is normally distributed.

Section II: TRUE Or FALSE (Each problem is worth 1 point).For each question in this section, indicate whether

the sentence is TRUE or False.

1.( F ) A statistic is usually unobservable while a parameter is usually observable.

2. ( F ) Marital status is an example of an ordinal scaled variable.

3. ( F ) The line drawn within the box of the boxplot always represents the arithmetic

mean.

4. ( T ) The Z score of an observation measures how many standard deviations is the value

from the mean

5. ( T ) The probability that a standard normal random variable, Z, is between 1.50 and

2.10 is the same as the probability Z is between – 2.10 and – 1.50.

6. ( T ) If the population distribution is skewed, in most cases the sampling distribution of

the mean can be approximated by the normal distribution if the samples contain at

least 30 observations

7.( F ) In forming a 90% confidence interval for a population mean from a sample size of

22, the number of degrees of freedom from the t distribution equals 22

8.( T ) Other things being equal, as the confidence level for a confidence interval

increases, the width of the interval increases.

9. ( T ) The sample mean is a point estimate of the population mean.

10. ( F ) The confidence interval obtained will always correctly estimate the population

parameter

SECTION III: FREE RESPONSE QUESTIONS

Question #3: (5 Points) A university dean is interested in determining the proportion of students who receive some sort of

financial aid. Rather than examine the records for all students, the dean randomly selects 200

students and finds that 118 of them are receiving financial aid.

a) Use a 90% confidence interval to estimate the true proportion of students who receive

financial aid?

Page 28: PREPARED BY Dr. Nafez M. Barakat Islamic university of Gazasite.iugaza.edu.ps/nbarakat/files/2014/02/solution-for...distributed, but the value of is unknown. Your sample size is 10

28

4)0.59797312,60.48202687(200

0.460.541.6450.59

n

p)p(1

α/2ZP90%C.I

b) An economist is interested in studying the incomes of consumers in a particular region. The

population standard deviation is known to be $1,000. A random sample of 50 individuals

resulted in an average income of $15,000. What total sample size would the economist need to

use for a 95% confidence interval if the width of the interval should not be more than $100?

Question #4: (5 Points) The amount of time required for an oil and filter change on an automobile is normally

distributed with a mean of 45 minutes and a standard deviation of 10 minutes. A random

sample of 16 cars is selected.

1. Find the probability that the sample mean is between 45 and 52 minutes?

)16/10

4552

16/10

4545()5245(

zpxp

4974.05.09974.0)0()8.2()8.20( zpzpzp

2. 95% of all sample means will fall between what two values?

95.0)( 11 zzzp

475.0)0( 1 zzp 96.1975.0)( 11 zzzp

6.641096.145 zxu

4.251096.145 zxl

You may use the following formulae:

n

i n2i 1

i

i 1

x1

x , S x x ,n n 1

N

i N22i 1

i

i 1

X1

, xN N

x

x

xZ

1, , ,

x x p p

nn

,

13671536.6450*50

1000*1000*1.96*1.96

e

σZn

2

22

α/2

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29

2

sx t

n ,

2

x zn

2

p(1 p)p z

n

,

2 2

2

2

Z

ne

,

2

2

z

n p 1 pe

,

2z

n2m

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31

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32