preliminary findings of an individually-tailored adaptive ...preliminary findings of an...
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Preliminary Findings of an Individually-Tailored
Adaptive Intervention to Manage Perinatal Weight Gain
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Annual Meeting of the Society of Behavioral Medicine
April 1 2016
Dr. Danielle Symons Downs, Professor of Kinesiology and OBGYN
The Pennsylvania State University
Symposium Objectives
• Describe individually-tailored,
intensively adaptive intervention for
managing perinatal weight gain
• Discuss preliminary findings from
Study 1
• Highlight key lessons learned in
preparation of Study 2
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Annual Meeting of the Society of Behavioral Medicine
April 1 2016
The Problem
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
(Flegal et al., 2010 – JAMA, 303; 235-241)
(Haugen et al., 2014 – BMC Preg & Childbirth, 14; 201-211)
• Majority of women enter pregnancy
already overweight (OW 45%) or
obese (OB 30%)
• GWG in excess of guidelines
– OW 70%, OB 60%
• Elevates risks for maternal and
fetal complications
– GDM, preeclampsia, macrosomia
(CDCP, 2009; IOM, 2009; Linne et al., 2004; NRC, 2007)
IOM GWG Guidelines
Exercise Psychology Laboratory(CDCP, 2009; IOM, 2009; NCR, 2007)
Category Prepreg
BMI (kg/m2)
GWG
Range
Rates of GWG
2nd-3rd TRI
(M range in
lbs/wk)
Underweight < 19.8 28-40 1 (1-1.3)
Normal 19.9 – 24.9 25-35 1 (.08-1)
Overweight 25.0-29.9 15-25 0.6 (0.5-0.7)
Obese > 30.0 11-20 0.5 (0.4-0.6)
Very small amount of
weight gain per week
Managing GWG Should be Straight Forward?
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
+
• Review found 20% reduced risk of
high GWG with diet only, exercise
only, and diet + exercise
– largely among normal weight women
• Not consistent in OW/OB women
– OW/OB women have more trouble
adhering to diet and exercise rec’s
than NW women
– limited effectiveness
– recruitment & retention
(Muktabhant et al., 2015)
(Streuling et al., 2011; Sui et al., 2012; Choi et al., 2013)
R01 Research Aims
Weisman, C. S., Hillemeier, M. M., Symons Downs, D., Chuang, C. H., & Dyer, A. M. (2010).
Preconception predictors of weight gain during pregnancy: Prospective findings from the Central
Pennsylvania Women’s Health Study. Women’s Health Issues, 20, 126-132.Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
• Aim 1: Establish feasibility of individually-tailored, intensively adaptive
intervention for managing GWG in OW/OBPW (2 studies)
• Aim 2: Use data collected from Aim 1 and control systems engineering to
build dynamical model
– adapt dosages and characterize effects of energy balance and planned/self-
regulatory behaviors (using m-health tools) on GWG
• Use model to develop an optimized intervention
– as effective and efficient as possible
Annual Meeting of the Society of Behavioral Medicine
April 1 2016
Conceptual Framework
Weisman, C. S., Hillemeier, M. M., Symons Downs, D., Chuang, C. H., & Dyer, A. M. (2010).
Preconception predictors of weight gain during pregnancy: Prospective findings from the Central
Pennsylvania Women’s Health Study. Women’s Health Issues, 20, 126-132.Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Dong, Y., Rivera, D. E., Thomas, D. M., Navarro-Barrientos, J. E., Symons
Downs, D., Savage, J. S., & Collins, L. M. (2012). A dynamical systems model
for improving gestational weight gain behavioral interventions. Proceedings of
the 2012 American Control Conference, Montreal, CN, 4059-4064.
Studies
• Study 1: Feasibility
– delivering components/dosages
– self-monitoring with m-Health tools
– measurement
– Included:
• 28 OW/OB pregnant women
• randomized to 7 dosages over 4 wk
• post individual interviews for user
acceptability
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
• Study 2: Proof of Concept
– implement criterion rule
– fully adaptive intervention
– intensive longitudinal data
– Will include:
• 30 OW/OB pregnant women
• randomization to INT vs CON
from ~8-12 wk-37 wk gestation
• biomarkers for maternal stress;
fetal growth and infant birth wt*
Result in:
Control systems engineering to build model
Develop optimized intervention to effectively/
efficiently manage GWG
Lead to:
Better simulation model
Inform necessary modifications
(intervention/measurement protocols)
1R01HL119245-01 *R56HL126799-01
Intervention Components
Exercise Psychology LaboratoryComponents: Evidence-based from model programs (DPP, Look AHEAD,
past GWG interventions, and PI research on promoting healthy behaviors in
pregnancy with the Theory of Planned Behavior (NIDDK 07586702).
1R01HL119245-01
Education• GWG/nutrition/EX guidelines
• GWG plotting
• Energy density, portion size, etc.
• EX benefits, safety, strategies
Goal-Setting• Principles, implementation intentions
• Healthy eating/EX plans
• Problem-solving/weekly feedback
Self-Monitoring
• Behaviors, feedback, overcoming
barriers
Active Learning
• Healthy eating/EX sessions
Intensive Longitudinal Data
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Baseline Intervention Dosage Follow-up
Daily: Aria Scale, Jawbone/Actigraph
Weekly: MFP, Self-Report Measures
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Weight, Height
GWG Attitudes/Knowledge
HE Behaviors, TPB, Cognitions
EX Behaviors, TPB, Cognitions
Self-Regulation Behaviors
Sleep Behaviors
Psychological Well-Being
Socio-demographic
Weight, Height
GWG Attitudes/Knowledge
HE Behaviors, TPB, Cognitions
EX Behaviors, TPB, Cognitions
Self-Regulation Behaviors
Sleep Behaviors
Psychological Well-Being
Socio-demographic
Study 2
Body Composition (Bod Pod)
Serum Blood Biomarkers
Cortisol (Urine)
Mobile Metabolism/RMR
Study 2
Body Composition (Bod Pod)
Serum Blood Biomarkers
Cortisol (Urine)
Mobile Metabolism/RMR
Study 2
Weekly: Cortisol, Perceived Stress, RMR
4-6 Weeks: Fetal Growth/Abnormalities
1R01HL119245-01 *R56HL126799-01
Healthy Mom Zone Study 1
Preliminary Findings
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Study 1: Feasibility of Dosages
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Baseline(week 1)
Intervention Dosage(weeks 2-5)
Follow-up(week 6)
AssessmentsDaily: Aria Scale, Jawbone/Actigraph
Weekly: MFP, Self-Report Measures Assessments
Dosage 1 Dosage 2 Dosage 3 Dosage 4 Dosage 5 Dosage 6 Dosage 7
1R01HL119245-01
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
2nd EX Session
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
2nd EX Session
3rd EX Session
Study 1: Results
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Baseline(week 1)
Intervention Dosage(weeks 2-5)
Follow-up(week 6)
AssessmentsDaily: Aria Scale, Jawbone/Actigraph
Weekly: MFP, Self-Report Measures Assessments
Dosage 1 Dosage 2 Dosage 3 Dosage 4 Dosage 5 Dosage 6 Dosage 7
1R01HL119245-01
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
2nd EX Session
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
2nd EX Session
3rd EX Session
N = 28 Eligible, 22 completed dosage assignment
Study 1: Dosage Feasibility Results
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Baseline(week 1)
Intervention Dosage(weeks 2-5)
Follow-up(week 6)
AssessmentsDaily: Aria Scale, Jawbone/Actigraph
Weekly: MFP, Self-Report Measures Assessments
Dosage 1 Dosage 2 Dosage 3 Dosage 4 Dosage 5 Dosage 6 Dosage 7
1R01HL119245-01
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
2nd EX Session
Education
Self-Monitoring
Food Scale
Goal-Setting
HE/EX Plans
HE Demo’s
EX Session
Self-Monitoring
Feedback
Meal Replacmt
2nd EX Session
3rd EX Session
N = 28 Eligible, 22 randomized, 18 completed (2 pregnancy losses prior to randomization; 4 lost to follow-up after screening, 4 drop-outs)
Participant Characteristics (Completed)
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Wt
Status
AgeM (SD)
Gest Wk
Study Start*M (SD)
Pre-Preg
BMI* M (SD)
Weight Study
Start*M (SD)
GWG Study
StartM (SD)
OW
(n=12)
29.5
(5.9)
18
(4.5)
26.8
(1.5)
173.2
(17.8)
10.8
(9.1)
OB
(n=6)
29.3
(5.0)
13.3
(2.4)
33.5
(3.0)
210.8
(27.3)
5.9
(3.9)
* Significant group difference at p < .01; Variations in participant characteristics precludes individual
dosage examination
Study 1 Feasibility Results
• Identified threshold of “too much intervention” between dosage 6 and 7
– dropped 3rd on-site exercise session – integrated ‘at home’ sessions
• Protocol modifications
– revised screening protocol (e.g., wider BMI range, excluded smokers)
– increased efforts to recruit women into study sooner (~6-8 weeks gestation)
• Assessment Protocol
– dropped Supertracker and ASA-24 – women greatly disliked
– less than 5% missing data despite intensive data collection
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Healthy Mom Zone Study 1
Challenges, Solutions, and Lessons Learned
in Preparation for Study 2
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Retaining Participants Longitudinally
• Clinic OBGYNs encouraging
patients to join study
• Used feedback from Study 1
interviews to improve retention
and reduce burden
– revised instructions and developed
summary table (tasks & appt’s)
– developed PPT and video demo’s for
m-health tools
– adjusted compensation
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Criterion Rule for Evaluating GWG
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
GWG
evaluation
meet GWG
goal:
stay the
course
exceed
GWG goal:
step-up
baseline
intervention
meet GWG
goal at study
entry get:
exceed GWG
goal at study
entry:
step-up
assess GWG in
4-week cycles
through delivery
Decision rule = evaluate GWG; dosage maintained if meet
GWG goal; dosage increased if exceed GWG goal. GWG
also a tailoring variable.
GWG
evaluationRecruit / Enter Study
10-12 weeks
gestation
Criterion Rule for Evaluating GWG
• Study 2: started recruitment sooner (~6-8 wk gestation)
• Include 2-wk acclimation period
– reduce burden (adjust to ILD schedule of measures), concerns about EX
• Adapt up after acclimation as needed
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Recruit
(~6-8 wk)
Baseline
Measures Week
(on-site & home)
Acclimation
(2 weeks)
- on-site session
- education
- goals
- self-regulation
- ILD measures
GWG
Assmt
Above GWG
Step-up Dosage
Within GWG
Maintain Dosage
continue to evaluate every 3-4 wks
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
W (
lb)
145
150
155
142 lb
149.8 lb 153.9 lb
Dosage 3Predicted W (MFP-Actigraph(Evenson))Predicted W (MFP-Actigraph(Hooker))Predicted W (MFP-Jawbone)Measured WIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
EI (k
cal)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
EI MFPIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
PA
(kca
l)
0
500
1000Actigraph (Evenson)Actigraph (Hooker)Jawbone
PA Measurement (ILD)
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
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t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
W (
lb)
160
165
170
175
157 lb
167.5 lb 175.7 lb
Dosage 3
Predicted W (MFP-Actigraph(Evenson))Predicted W (MFP-Actigraph(Hooker))Predicted W (MFP-Jawbone)Measured WIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
EI (k
cal)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
EI MFPIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180
PA
(kca
l)
0
500
1000
Actigraph (Evenson)Actigraph (Hooker)Jawbone
BMI = 25.2 kg/m2
Age = 36
GA @baseline = 17 weeks
BMI = 26.9 kg/m2
Age = 31
GA @baseline = 17 weeks
Correspondence of Actigraph & Jawbone for estimating kcal
(avg discrepancy over 4 weeks was 26 kcal)
Underreporting of Dietary Intake
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
• Energy intake back-calculation from the energy balance model
• Numerical approximation of derivative term using 2nd order centered difference:
• Also developed other approaches to EI estimation:
• Semi-physical identification using batch data to estimate systematic
underreporting of EI in the presence of noise despite missing data
• Kalman filtering approach for real-time EI estimation
• The results obtained from these three approaches are observed to be comparable
Add ACC reference
Degree of Underreporting in Study 1
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Subject MFP Back Calculated EI IOM Guideline % Underreporting
1 2166 2518 3161 14.0%
2 2234 3003 3237 25.6%3 2349 2963 3237 20.7%4 1859 2701 3155 31.2%5 2457 2777 3155 11.5%6 2239 3886 3259 42.4%7 2010 2115 2795 5.0%8 2419 2953 3275 18.1%9 1793 2515 3187 28.7%
10 1477 2945 3216 49.8%11 1376 2543 3120 45.9%12 1534 3196 3214 52.0%13 1204 2626 3223 54.2%14 1793 2664 3155 32.7%15 1378 1968 3109 30.0%16 1358 2321 3181 41.5%17 2126 2476 3184 14.1% Values in kcal
Range from 5-54%100% underreported
Underreporting of Dietary Intake
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
BMI = 29.7 kg/m2
Age = 34
GA @baseline = 16 weeks
BMI = 25.2 kg/m2
Age = 36
GA @baseline = 17 weeks
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
W (
lb)
145
150
155
142 lb
149.8 lb 153.9 lb
Dosage 3Predicted W (MFP-Jawbone)Predicted W (Calc-Jawbone)Measured WIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
EI (k
cal)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
EI MFPEI CalculatedIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
PA
(kca
l)
0
500
1000
Jawbone
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
W (
lb)
170
180
190
200
187 lb
177.6 lb 185.5 lb
Dosage 1
Predicted W (MFP-Jawbone)Predicted W (Calc-Jawbone)Measured WIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
EI (k
cal)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
EI MFPEI CalculatedIOM Recommendation
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
PA
(kca
l)0
500
1000
Jawbone
Less Significant Underreporting More Significant Underreporting
Add ACC reference
1600
1800
2000
2200
2400
2600
2800
12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Calo
ries
Weeks Gestation
Obese Participant
Vesco 30 Vesco 25 Vesco 20 IOM
Calorie Goals 1R01HL119245-01
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Vesco et al. (2012). Contemporary Clinical Trials, 33, 777-785.
• IOM calories are based on energy needs for normal weight women
• Lack of guidance on EI for OW/OB women
• Explore use of calorie goal reduction (Vesco et al., 2012)
Calorie Goals
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
Vesco et al. (2012). Contemporary Clinical Trials, 33, 777-785.
Vesco 20% reduction
Vesco 25% reduction
Vesco 30% reduction
IOMMFP
ASA-24
Vesco Range
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
W (
lb)
170
180
190
200
187 lb
177.6 lb 185.5 lb
Dosage 1
Predicted W (MFP-Jawbone)Predicted W (Calc-Jawbone)Measured WIOM RecommendationVesco Range
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
EI (k
cal)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
EI MFPEI calculatedIOM RecommendationVesco Range
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170
PA
(k
cal)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Jawbone
BMI = 29.7 kg/m2
Age = 34
GA @baseline = 16 weeks
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
W (
lb)
170
175
180
185
190
195
170 lb
186.2 lb
196.1 lb
Dosage 2Predicted W (MFP-Jawbone)Predicted W (Calc-Jawbone)Measured WIOM RecommendationVesco Range
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
EI (k
cal)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
EI MFPEI calculatedIOM RecommendationVesco Range
t (days)0 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200
PA
(k
cal)
0
200
400
600
800
1000Jawbone
BMI = 27.4 kg/m2
Age = 28
GA @baseline = 22 weeks
Safety Alerts for Study 2
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
• Weight loss
• Contraindications to EX
• Anemia
• Addition of Ultrasound protocol*
• 2 participants had U/S flagged
(fetus < 10%tile, low lying
placenta)
• immediate referral to OBGYN
• obtain MD consent to continue
participation
*R56HL126799-01
Conclusions & Next Steps
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
1R01HL119245-01
• Individually-tailored intervention
intense dosages to manage GWG
in OW/OB women appear feasible
• women liked intervention
components, enjoyed active
learning activities
• Study 2 fully adaptive intervention
• recruitment currently under way
• Goal to develop optimized
(effective and efficient)
intervention to manage GWG
Collaborative Team
• Dr. Jennifer S. Savage, Center for Childhood Obesity Research and Department
of Nutritional Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University
• Dr. Daniel E. Rivera, Control Systems Engineering Laboratory, School for
Engineering of Matter, Transport, and Energy, Arizona State University
• Drs. Linda Collins, Joshua Smyth, Barbara Rolls, Rick Legro, Jamey Pauli, Erica
Rauff, Diana Thomas, Yueng Dong, Brandi Rollins, Katie Balantekin
• Abigail Pauley, Lindsey Hess, Allen Kunselman, Courtenay Devlin, Penghong
Guo, Krista Leonard, Emily Hohman
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Dr. Danielle Symons Downs
Funding
• Support for this work has been provided by the Office of Behavioral and
Social Sciences Research (OBSSR) of the National Institutes of Health, the
National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA), National Heart, Lung, and Blood
Institute (NHLBI) through grants R21 DA024266 (roadmap), K25 DA021173,
R01 HL119245-01, R56HL126799-01, USDA NIFA (#2011-67001-30117
Program A2121 Childhood Obesity Prevention Training Program), and PSU
State Social Science Research Institute
Exercise Psychology Laboratory
Dr. Danielle Symons Downs