prelim slides 2007 - final · • trading profit up 11.1% to £2,478m (up 11.7% pre-integration...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Preliminary Results
17 April 2007
David Reid
Chairman
2
Results highlights
• Sales have increased by 10.9%
• Profit before tax up by 20.3%
• Underlying profit before tax up 13.2%
• Underlying diluted earnings per share up 11.6%
• Full year dividend up 11.7%
Four part strategy
• Core UK
• International
• Non-food
• Retailing services
3
Our people
4
Community Plan
• New Initiatives
- Milk pricing
- Carbon labelling
- Regeneration
- Packaging
Andrew Higginson
Finance and Strategy Director
5
Results headlines
• Strong growth in sales, profits and earnings
• Property funding programme increased
• More share buy-backs, reduced dilution, strong dividend growth
• Cash flows strong, returns rising
• Investing in future growth
Group performance
• Sales up 10.9% to £46.6bn
• Trading profit up 11.1% to £2,478m (up 11.7% pre-integration costs)
• Trading margin stable at 5.8%
6
Property
• Group property profits up 81% to net £139m
• Including JV contribution of £47m
• Proceeds of over £1bn from just over 5% of UK space
• 65% premium to book value
• Increased scale of programme
Group performance
• Underlying profit up 13.2% to £2,545m
• Group operating profit* up 17.7% to £2,648m
• Group profit before tax* up 20.3% to £2,653m
• Underlying diluted earnings per share up 11.6%
• Final dividend is 6.83p, up 12.0%
• Full year dividend is 9.64p, up 11.7%
*include one-off non-cash gain
7
UK sales growth*
Volume Inflation Like-for-like New stores Total sales
5.0%0.6% 5.6%
3.4%
Sales up 9.0%
*sales including petrol
Final 7 wks%
5.8
4.0
9.8
UK sales growth*
Quarter 4%
Like for like 5.8
Net new stores 3.6
Total 9.4
*sales excluding petrol
8
UK trading profit
• Trading profit up 9.2% to £1,914m
• Trading margin up slightly at 5.9%
• After £42 million start-up costs on U.S. and Tesco Direct
9
International
• Sales £11.0bn, up 17.9% at actual rates
• Trading profits £564m, up 18.0% at actual rates
• Trading margin stable (up slightly pre-integration costs)
Asia
• Sales £4.7bn, up 16.8% at actual rates
• Trading profit £246m, up 18.8% at actual rates
• Margins increased
• Malaysia moved into profit
• Hymall stake raised to 90%
10
Europe
• Sales £6.3bn, up 18.7% at actual rates
• Trading profit £318m, up 17.3% at actual rates(up 22.5% pre-integration costs)
• Margins up 30 basis points pre-integration costs
Tesco.com
• £1.2bn sales, up 29.2%
• Profit up 48.5% to £83m*
• Over 250,000 weekly grocery orders
• Tesco Direct launch
*pre start-up costs
11
Telecoms
• Moved into profit
• Voted number one for customer service
• Average revenue per user up by 6%
Tesco Personal Finance
• £65m share of profit
• Increased provision for bad debts
• Actual bad debt experience better than industry average
12
Credit card arrears trends3 month arrears as a % of active balances
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
2004 2005 2006 2007
Total market TPF
Source: APACS
JV’s and Associates
• £106m share of profit
• Includes share of profit of £47m from asset sales
13
Finance costs and taxation
• Finance costs £126m (£127m last year)
• Interest cover strengthened to 21 times
• Effective tax rate 29.1% (last year 29.0%)
Net debt
• Net debt increased to £5.0bn
• Gearing stable at 48%
• 118 million shares bought back, aninvestment of almost £470m
14
Pensions
• Scheme now fully funded on actuarial valuation
• Finance Act revision – A-Day
• Fall in IFRS deficit to just under £670m post-tax
Capital expenditure
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07
£bn 3.0
2.12.3
2.4
2.8
Europe
Asia
Group
UK
15
Cash flow and returns
• Operating cash flow up to £3.5bn
- IFRS pensions charge
- Change to international year-end
• Good progress on returns
16
Terry Leahy
Chief Executive
17
Why I am a Tesco shareholder
• Strong, sustainable growth
• Disciplined investment
• Good returns for shareholders
Returns
• ROCE and return of capital
• 200 basis point ROCE target
• ROCE increased in 2006/7
• Up 50 basis points before effect of acquisitions and start-up costs
• On track to hit target
18
Property
• Big element of embedded value
• Successful joint ventures
• Integral part of a retail business
• Retain at least 70% freehold
• Buy-back increased to at least £3.0bn
19
Communities and environment
• Being good neighbours
• Behaving responsibly
• Seizing new challenges
20
International
• Flexible
• Local
• Focus
• Multi-format
• Capability
• Brand
Focus
• Organic growth, in-market acquisitions
• 8.2m square feet – 4 times new UK space
• 50% more than last year
• Over 7.5m new square feet this year (excluding U.S.)
21
Focus - EuropeCzech
Republic
Poland
Focus - Asia
China
Malaysia
22
Multi-format1K
Express
23
United States
10.2
11.5
10.7
11.0
11.4
10.0
11.0
12.0
02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07
Cash return on investment%
including over 70%
capital less than 5 yrs old
International returns progress
24
International returns - 2005/6£m capital invested
LFL CROIc.10% c.15%c.7-10%
Hungary
Thailand
ROIPoland
Czech Republic
Turkey
MalaysiaJapan
Slovakia
Korea
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
International returns - 2006/7£m capital invested
Slovakia
Malaysia
Japan Turkey
Poland
Czech Republic
Hungary
Thailand
ROI
Korea
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
LFL CROIc.10% c.15%c.7-10%
25
International returns - 2006/7£m capital invested
LFL CROIc.10% c.15%c.7-10%
Slovakia
Malaysia
Japan Turkey
Poland
Czech Republic
Hungary
Thailand
ROI
Korea
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
International returns - 2006/7£m capital invested
LFL CROIc.10% c.15%c.7-10%
Korea
ROI
Thailand
Hungary
Czech Republic
Poland
TurkeyJapan
Malaysia
Slovakia
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
26
Price
27
Service
Range
28
Availability
Consumer priorities
29
Organics
Non-food
30
Tesco Direct
Retailing services
• Tesco Personal Finance
• Telecoms
• Tesco.com
*pre start-up costs
31
Tesco• Sustaining strong growth
• Following the customer
• Improving returns
• Tangible benefits for shareholders
• Tackling social and environmental challenges
• Investing for the future and delivering today
Q & A
32
Preliminary Results
17 April 2007