prediction of treatment response in social anxiety

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Linköpings university | Department of Behavioural Sciences and Learning The Psychologist Programme Spring semester of 2016 Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety Disorder - what does the brain tell us that questionnaires do not? Using brain activity related to self- and other-referential criticism to predict treatment response to Internet- delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy for Social Anxiety Disorder Nils Isacsson Örn Kolbeinsson Linköpings universitet SE-581 83 Linköping, Sweden 013-28 10 00, www.liu.se

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Page 1: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

Linköpings university | Department of Behavioural Sciences and Learning

The Psychologist Programme

Spring semester of 2016

Prediction of treatment response

in Social Anxiety Disorder -

what does the brain tell us that

questionnaires do not?

– Using brain activity related to self- and other-referential

criticism to predict treatment response to Internet-

delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy for Social

Anxiety Disorder

Nils Isacsson

Örn Kolbeinsson

Linköpings universitet

SE-581 83 Linköping, Sweden

013-28 10 00, www.liu.se

Page 2: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

The Psychologist Programme consists of 300 academic credits taken over the

course of five years. The programme has been offered at Linköping University

since 1995. The curriculum is designed so that the studies focus on applied

psychology and its problems and possibilities from the very beginning. The

coursework is meant to be as similar to the work situation of a practicing

psychologist as possible. The programme includes one placement period, totaling

12 weeks of full time practice as well as clinical practice at the programmes own

clinic. Studies are based upon Problem Based Learning (PBL) and are organized in

eight themes, Introduction 7,5 credits, Cognitive psychology and the biological

bases of behavior, 37,5 credits; Developmental and educational psychology, 52,5

credits; Society, organizational and group psychology, 60 credits; Personality

theory and psychotherapy, 67,5 credits; Placement practice and regarding the

Psychologist as profession, 27,5 credits; Research methods, 17,5 credits and degree

paper 30 credits.

This report is a psychology degree paper, worth 30 credits, spring semester 2016.

Main supervisor Gerhard Andersson and associate supervisor Kristoffer NT

Månsson.

Department of Behavioral Sciences and Learning

Linköping University

581 83 Linköping

Telephone +46 (0)13-28 10 00

Fax +46 (0)13-28 21 45

Page 3: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

Division, Department

Department of Behavioural Sciences and Learning

581 83 Linköping

SWEDEN

Date

2016-05-26

Language Report category ISRN-nummer LIU-IBL/PY-D—16/422—SE

Svenska/Swedish

X Engelska/English

Licentiate dissertation

Degree project

Bachelor thesis

X Master thesis

Other report

Title Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety Disorder, what does the brain tell us that

questionnaires do not? - Using brain activity related to self- and other-referential criticism to predict

treatment response to Internet-delivered Cognitive Behavioural Therapy for Social Anxiety Disorder

Authors Nils Isacsson and Örn Kolbeinsson

Abstract

Predicting who will benefit from what in the treatment of psychiatric disorders is incremental to future

development of psychological treatments. In the current study functional magnetic resonance imaging

(fMRI) data from participants with social anxiety disorder (SAD) was used to elucidate whether neural

responses to negative evaluation could predict treatment response in SAD. Nine weeks prior to Internet-

delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy (ICBT) onset, participants viewed negative social stimuli directed

either at themselves or an significant other during fMRI scanning. Regression analyses including the

differential activations for other-referential criticism in contrast to self-referential criticism in the posterior

mid cingulate cortex (pMCC) and the lingual gyrus (LG) predicted 34% of treatment change as measured by

residual gain scores on the Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale Self-Report (LSAS-SR) in our sample. The final

regression model, combining these measures with behavioural measures, which by themselves explained

27% of the variance, resulted in a model explaining 50% of the variance regarding treatment response. This

lends additional support to the notion that further elucidating the neurobiological underpinnings of core

processes in SAD, as well as the neural correlates of treatment response to CBT, would be of great value in

predicting treatment outcome.

Keywords

Social Anxiety Disorder, Prediction, Neuroimaging, Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Cingulate

cortex, Lingual Gyrus, Internet-delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy.

Page 4: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

Abstract Predicting who will benefit from what in the treatment of psychiatric disorders is

incremental to future development of psychological treatments. In the current study

functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data from participants with social

anxiety disorder (SAD) was used to elucidate whether neural responses to negative

evaluation could predict treatment response in SAD. Nine weeks prior to Internet-

delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy (ICBT) onset, participants viewed negative

social stimuli directed either at themselves or a significant other during fMRI

scanning. Regression analyses including the differential activations for other-

referential criticism in contrast to self-referential criticism in the posterior mid

cingulate cortex (pMCC) and the lingual gyrus (LG) predicted 34% of treatment

change as measured by residual gain scores on the Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale

Self-Report (LSAS-SR) in our sample. The final regression model, combining

these measures with behavioural measures, which by themselves explained 27% of

the variance, resulted in a model explaining 50% of the variance regarding

treatment response. This lends additional support to the notion that further

elucidating the neurobiological underpinnings of core processes in SAD, as well as

the neural correlates of treatment response to CBT, would be of great value in

predicting treatment outcome.

Page 5: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

Acknowledgements We would like to extend a warm thank you to Kristoffer N.T. Månsson for giving

us this opportunity to delve deeper than we would have ever imagined into the

inner workings of anxiety, in an MRI-lab! Without you none of this would have

been possible, thank you. We would also like to thank Gerhard Andersson for his

encouraging words and constructive feedback.

Our gratitude also goes out to everyone involved in the project, Carl-Johan

Boraxbekk, Tomas Furmark, Håkan Fischer, the lab-staff at Umeå center for

Functional Brain Imaging, and last but not least the participants.

Page 6: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

Table of Contents Background ................................................................................................................................................. 1

Social Anxiety Disorder ............................................................................................................................ 1

Cognitive Behaviour Therapy for Social Anxiety Disorder ..................................................................... 2

Neuroimaging ........................................................................................................................................... 4

Neurobiology of Social Anxiety Disorder ............................................................................................ 5

Self-related processing and neural-correlates ....................................................................................... 9

Prediction of treatment response ............................................................................................................. 10

Depression ........................................................................................................................................... 10

Pretreatment symptom severity of Social Anxiety Disorder ............................................................... 12

Treatment expectancy ......................................................................................................................... 12

Biological predictors of treatment response ........................................................................................ 13

Aims ............................................................................................................................................................ 15

Materials and methods ............................................................................................................................. 15

General procedure ................................................................................................................................... 15

Procedure ................................................................................................................................................ 15

Participants .............................................................................................................................................. 17

Behavioural measures ............................................................................................................................. 18

Treatment ................................................................................................................................................ 19

Experimental task .................................................................................................................................... 19

Data acquisition and preprocessing......................................................................................................... 20

Data analysis ........................................................................................................................................... 21

Behavioural measures predicting outcome ......................................................................................... 22

Analysis of imaging data..................................................................................................................... 22

Results ........................................................................................................................................................ 24

Exploratory analyses of activation related to self- and other-referential criticism ................................. 24

Predicting treatment response using behavioural measures and demographic characteristics ............... 25

Prediction analyses using brain responses .............................................................................................. 26

Discussion .................................................................................................................................................. 30

Differential responses to self- and other-referential criticism ............................................................. 30

Predicting treatment response using behavioural measures and demographic characteristics ........... 32

Prediction analyses correlating brain responses to residual gain scores ............................................. 34

Limitations .............................................................................................................................................. 37

Page 7: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

Future research ........................................................................................................................................ 38

Conclusions ............................................................................................................................................. 39

References .................................................................................................................................................. 40

Appendix A ................................................................................................................................................ 65

Appendix B ................................................................................................................................................ 66

Appendix C ................................................................................................................................................ 69

Appendix D ................................................................................................................................................ 70

Appendix E ................................................................................................................................................ 71

Appendix F ................................................................................................................................................ 72

Appendix G ................................................................................................................................................ 73

Appendix H ................................................................................................................................................ 74

Page 8: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

1

Background

Social Anxiety Disorder

Anxiety is a debilitating state defined by fear, worry, and stress. When these

reactions become so severe that they hinder the daily life of an individual and

cause suffering it is usually defined as an anxiety disorder (American Psychiatric

Association [APA], 2013b). The lifetime prevalence of any anxiety disorder has

been estimated to between 28.9% to 49.5% (Kessler, et al., 2005; Moffitt et al.,

2010), the estimations however vary depending on methodology, country of origin

and diagnostic manuals (Somers, Goldner, Waraich & Hsu, 2006; Moffitt et al.,

2010). Estimates from previously mentioned studies seemingly correspond to

recent survey estimates in the Swedish population (Statistics Sweden, 2015).

In prevalence studies of anxiety disorders Social Anxiety Disorder (SAD), first

described in the early 1900’s as social phobia (Janet, 1903), is the second most

common anxiety disorder, closely trailing specific phobia (Fehm, Pelissolo,

Furmark & Wittchen, 2005; Kessler et al., 2005; Moffitt et al., 2010; Somers et al.,

2006; Wittchen & Jacobi, 2005). The point prevalence of SAD has been estimated

to approximately 15% in the Swedish population (Furmark, et al., 1999; Furmark,

2002), and has internationally been estimated to be even higher among young

people (Heimberg, Stein, Hiripi & Kessler, 2000; Moffitt et al., 2010; Somers et

al., 2006). SAD is characterised by an intense fear or anxiety related to social

situations where the individual might be evaluated or be under scrutiny, that is out

of proportion to the actual threat and non-congruent with the sociocultural context

(APA, 2013a; Heimberg et al., 2014). Individuals suffering from SAD often fear

appearing or being judged as boring, unlikable, or that others will reject them, and

subsequently will avoid, or endure with great fear and anxiety, situations where

these fears might arise. Situations commonly described to evoke these fears are for

example: socialising, eating with others or giving a public performance. In the

fourth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (4th

ed., text rev.; DSM–IV–TR; American Psychiatric Association, 2000) one had to

specify if the social phobia (SP), as it was still known, was generalised or specific

and thus treated these as subtypes (APA, 2000). Generalised SP was characterised

by fearing “most” social situations, however due to debate regarding the

operationalisation of the term (Heimberg et al., 2014) the criteria were changed for

the 5th edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders

(DSM–5; American Psychiatric Association, 2013a) such that specifying SAD as

specific is only done if the anxiety is confined to performance situations, thus

removing the generalised subtype. SAD has a relatively early age of onset

(Hayward, Killen, Kraemer & Taylor, 1998; Stein & Gorman, 2001; Rosellini,

Page 9: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

2

Rutter, Bourgeois, Emmert-Aronson & Brown, 2013). Rosellini et al. (2013) found

that most individuals were diagnosed either before 10 years of age, 21%, or

between 14-17 years, 28,1%, whereas only 11,4 % were diagnosed after 23 years

of age. Because of the low rate of spontaneous remission SAD is said to follow a

chronic course if not treated (Beard, Moitra, Weisberg & Keller, 2010; Yonkers,

Dyck & Keller, 2001), and individuals with SAD reportedly have a lifetime

comorbidity with other mental disorders of between 62-92% (Fehm et al., 2005).

The most prevalent comorbid disorders are other anxiety disorders, substance

abuse and depression (Fehm et al., 2005), with the latter two appearing to develop

subsequently to SAD (de Graaf, Bijl, Spijker, Beekman & Vollebergh, 2003; Fehm

et al., 2005; Weiller, Bissorbe, Boyer, Lépine & van Lecrubier, 1996). Individuals

with SAD also tend to display lower workplace functioning, more unemployment

(Moitra, Beard, Weisberg & Keller, 2011), less quality of life, (Barrera & Norton,

2009; Olatunji, Cisler & Tolin, 2007; Sung et al., 2012; Wong, Sarver & Beidel,

2012), lower levels of educational and career attainment, and less relationship

satisfaction (Wittchen, Fuetsch, Sonntag, Müller & Liebowitz, 1999). Because of

this SAD is estimated to cost 136 million euro per million inhabitants (Acarturk et

al., 2009), albeit having the least estimated direct cost of the anxiety disorders, due

to the low levels of help seeking and low medical costs (Konnopka, Leichsenring,

Leibing & König, 2009). The societal cost of SAD is mostly related to indirect

factors such as higher unemployment and lower workplace functioning (Acarturk

et al., 2009; Konnopka et al., 2009). As a widespread disorder SAD could also be

considered an issue for the democratic process as people with SAD have a hard

time speaking up and asserting themselves, and an equality problem since more

women than men are diagnosed (Heimberg et al., 2000; Somers et al., 2006;

Wittchen & Jacobi, 2005) with a ratio of 3:2 (Furmark, 2002) and the differences

seem to be greater at younger ages (Gren-Landell et al., 2009; Wittchen et al.,

1999).

Cognitive Behaviour Therapy for Social Anxiety Disorder

As the current thesis is interested in the prediction of treatment response,

specifically to Internet-delivered Cognitive Behaviour Therapy (ICBT) for SAD, a

short review of the literature on Cognitive Behaviour Therapy and ICBT for SAD

is in order. The psychological treatment most widely studied in the treatment of

SAD, and anxiety disorders more widely, is CBT (Olatunji, Cisler & Deacon,

2010). In fact, Mayo-Wilson et al. (2014) performed a systematic review and

network meta-analysis and noted that there is some evidence for a differential

effect between CBT and other psychological treatments for SAD, such that CBT

appears to have a greater effect. Further, following a systematic literature review in

2005, the Swedish Council on Health Technology Assessment recommended CBT

Page 10: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

3

as the first choice of psychological treatment for SAD, and stated that there is a

strong scientific foundation on which to base the conclusion that CBT is an

effective treatment of SAD (Swedish Council on Health Technology Assessment

[SBU], 2005). CBT for SAD has been studied in group format, such as the

Cognitive Behavioral Group Therapy-model (CBGT; Heimberg & Becker, 2002),

and in individual format, such as the Individual Cognitive Therapy-model based on

the cognitive model of social anxiety proposed by Clark and Wells (1995). The

types of interventions used in CBT, regardless of format, in the treatment of SAD

are usually focused around exposure, behavioural experiments and cognitive

restructuring, interspersed with elements of psychoeducation and social skills

training (Rodebaugh, Holaway & Heimberg, 2004).

Since the late 1990s, researchers have been interested in the possibility of

delivering psychological treatment, particularly CBT, via the internet (Andersson,

Carlbring, Ljótsson & Hedman, 2013). The Swedish approach, most commonly

referred to as ICBT has been defined as “...a therapy that is based on self-help

books, guided by an identified therapist which gives feedback and answers to

questions, with a scheduling that mirrors face-to-face treatment, and which also

can include interactive online features such as queries to obtain passwords in order

to get access to treatment modules” (Andersson, et al., 2008, p. 164). The foremost

question has been whether or not ICBT produces treatment results similar to those

reported in studies of traditional face-to-face CBT. Hedman, Ljótsson and

Lindefors (2012) conducted a systematic review of published studies on CBT

delivered via the internet and reported that effect sizes were indeed comparable to

those reported in studies of traditional CBT for a multitude of psychiatric

disorders. Furthermore, in a systematic review and meta-analysis reviewing 13

studies comparing ICBT to similar face-to-face treatments, Andersson, Cuijpers,

Carlbring, Riper and Hedman (2014) found no difference in treatment effect when

aggregating results from studies focusing on SAD, panic disorder, depression,

body dissatisfaction, male sexual dysfunction and spider phobia.

Social anxiety disorder is one of the most frequently studied disorders in the ICBT

literature (Boettcher, Carlbring, Renneberg & Berger, 2013). Boettcher et al. in

their review, reported 21 studies on internet-based treatments of SAD from 4

different countries. Additionally, the authors report that of the 17 studies

investigating the efficacy of ICBT for SAD, 15 report large within-group effect

sizes (d > 0.80). A further example is provided by Arnberg, Linton, Hultcrantz,

Heintz and Jonsson (2014) who in their systematic review of the literature on

internet-delivered psychological treatments found 16 trials investigating treatment

for SAD, and rated the evidence of efficacy as being of moderate quality. The first

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4

Swedish study on ICBT for SAD was published in 2006 by Andersson et al., The

authors noted that there appears to be a reluctance to seek treatment among the

target group, due to the fear of embarrassment often associated with social anxiety,

and that ICBT therefore provides an opportunity to reach a group of patients who

previously would not have sought treatment. Andersson and colleagues reported a

large mean within-group effect size of d = 0.87. A follow-up of the original

participants five years later revealed that treatment gains at 1-year follow-up were

sustained at 5-year follow up (Hedman, Furmark et al., 2011). The 9-week

program used in the study by Andersson et al. (2006) has since been altered several

times, retaining the core content of the 9 modules (presented below under

Treatment) but varying for example length of the treatment and whether or not the

treatment is guided by a therapist (Furmark et al., 2009). A 15-week version of the

treatment was compared to 15 weeks of CBGT in a randomised controlled trial

conducted by Hedman, Andersson et al. (2011). The results showed that ICBT was

noninferior to the established CBGT-treatment. Furthermore the effectiveness of

the treatment has been investigated within the context of a regular care internet

psychiatry clinic (El Alaoui, Hedman et al., 2015). El Alaoui, Hedman et al.

studied a sample of 654 patients seeking psychiatric care for SAD during a 4-year

period, and who received ICBT from the specialised clinic. The authors reported a

large pretreatment to 6-month follow-up within-group effect of Cohen’s d = 1.15,

concluding that ICBT is an effective way to deliver treatment to patients with SAD

within the mental health care system.

Neuroimaging

Mapping the brain, and corresponding functions began in the middle of the 19th

century (Broca, 1865), a hundred years prior to the events leading up to functional

magnetic resonance imaging. Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) is a

neuroimaging method that has, during the last decades, revolutionised the field of

neuroscience with the ability to noninvasively measure neuronal activity (Heeger

& Ress, 2002; Logothetis, Pauls, Augath, Trinath & Oeltermann, 2001) by way of

the blood oxygen level dependent (BOLD) signal (Amaro & Barker, 2006). The

first study using the BOLD signal to measure brain activity was reported in 1990

(Ogawa, Lee, Kay & Tank, 1990), and the use of BOLD fMRI rapidly grew to

become widespread and frequently used (Wager, Lindquist & Kaplan, 2007). It has

been used to study the brain function regarding a wide range of disciplines, from

the nature of consciousness (Lloyd, 2002), meditation (Cahn & Polich, 2006) to

evaluating the differential brain processes involved in mental disorders (Brooks &

Stein, 2015). fMRI uses the hemodynamic response, resulting from increased

regional metabolism, and its functional coupling to neuronal activity to

noninvasively measure brain activity (Heeger & Ress, 2002; Hipp & Siegel, 2015;

Page 12: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

5

Logothetis et al., 2001). It should also be noted that even if some aspects of the

relationship between the hemodynamic response and increased neuronal activity

have been adequately clarified, such that for example local increase of BOLD

signal is taken to mean greater neural activity (Heeger & Rees, 2002; Logothetis et

al., 2001), there are still some aspects that have not (Heeger & Rees, 2002; Hipp &

Siegel, 2015). The complexity of the relationship between the hemodynamic

response function and the BOLD signal requires equally complex methodology in

order to interpret the underlying neural activity (Heeger & Rees, 2002). In a

singular study by Hipp & Siegel (2015), the authors were able to show that the

correlation between BOLD response and neuronal activity varied depending on

several factors such as the individual subject, the brain area was being studied and

the frequency of the magnetoencephalography (MEG), providing firsthand

evidence of the functional coupling between neuronal activity and the

hemodynamic response as well as what might interfere with the approximation.

Neurobiology of Social Anxiety Disorder

The neurobiological study of SAD began in the late 1990s (Bell, Malizia & Nutt,

1999) and since then the number of studies in the field has grown rapidly and these

in turn have begun to elucidate the neurobiological underpinnings of the disorder

(Brühl, Delsignore, Komossa & Weidt, 2014; Etkin & Wager, 2007; Freitas-Ferrari

et al., 2010; Furmark et al., 2002). As the current thesis aims to evaluate the

predictive value of said neurobiological underpinnings, these will be briefly

reviewed below. As previously mentioned SAD is characterised by an intense fear

of social situations. In the study of fear acquisition and its expression the amygdala

(LeDoux, 2003), the insula, the hippocampus and the anterior cingulate cortex

(ACC) have been found to be of critical importance (Fullana et al., 2016) with

further indications of the involvement of the prefrontal cortex (PFC) and especially

the medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC) and the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex

(dACC) (Etkin, Egner & Kalisch, 2011; Milad & Quirk, 2012). Generally an

increase in functional reactivity in the above mentioned regions has been reported

in anxiety disorders, forming a fear circuitry (Etkin & Wager, 2007; Etkin et al.,

2011; Shin & Liberzon, 2010), however the results are not unanimous. In a recent

meta-analysis by Brühl et al. (2014), increased functional reactivity in SAD

compared to healthy controls was found in the amygdala, the insula, the

hypothalamus, the ACC, the occipitotemporal regions, the medial and ventrolateral

prefrontal cortex (mPFC, vlPFC) and the parietal cortex, with less consistent

findings related to increased activation in the fusiform gyrus and the hippocampus,

and ambiguous findings regarding the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (dlPFC).

Furthermore, increased connectivity between the frontal areas and the thalamus,

the amygdala and the occipital cortex (OCC) was found, as well as decreased

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6

connectivity between the frontal areas of the two hemispheres (Brühl et al., 2014).

These findings are in line with and expand upon previous reviews (Freitas-Ferrari

et al., 2010). The areas previously implicated as being most connected to the fear

circuitry and SAD have been the amygdala, the insula, the ACC and the PFC why

these will be reviewed individually.

The Amygdalae (Latin for almond) are two almond shaped cell masses located

subcortically in the human medial temporal cortex (Davis & Whalen, 2001). The

amygdala is considered central to the human emotional system, being implicated in

emotional learning, memory, inhibition and regulation as well as influencing

attention, perception and social responding (Phelps & Ledoux, 2005). The

expansive interest in the amygdala originated from its involvement in fear

acquisition and expression, known as fear conditioning, a form of classical or

pavlovian conditioning (Phelps & Ledoux, 2005). In fear conditioning, a neutral

stimulus (NS) comes to elicit a defensive behaviour with it’s adhering

physiological responses after being associated with an aversive event (US), thus

becoming a conditioned stimulus (CS; Rescorla & Wagner, 1972). Amygdalar

reactivity has long been implicated in SAD (Bell, Malizia & Nutt, 1999; Brühl et

al., 2014), for example in response to the processing of facial expressions depicting

neutrality (Cooney, Atlas, Joormann, Eugene & Gotlib, 2006), anger (Evans et al.,

2008), fear (Blair, Shaywitz et al., 2008; Blair, Geraci, Korelitz et al., 2011; Phan

et al., 2013; Prater, Hosanagar, Klumpp, Angstadt & Phan, 2013), as well as

generally having an increased response related to face processing and perception

(Gentili et al., 2008). Furthermore increased amygdalar activity, relative to healthy

controls, has been observed for individuals with SAD in response to negative

comments (Blair, Geraci et al., 2008), social anxiety-related words (Schmidt,

Mohr, Miltner & Straube, 2010), verbal stories regarding social transgressions

(Blair et al., 2010) viewing negative non-social images (Shah, Klumpp, Angstadt,

Nathan & Phan, 2009) and when experiencing anticipatory anxiety (Boehme et al.,

2013; Brühl et al., 2011).

The insular cortex, in humans, is a hidden lobe situated in the depths of the Sylvian

fissure where it takes up less than 2% of the total cortical surface area

(Nieuwenhuys, 2011). The insula receives input from certain sensory thalamic

nuclei, and is reciprocally connected to the amygdala (Kohn et al., 2014), as well

as many other limbic and cortical areas, and is involved in speech production,

processing of emotions, and pain (Nieuwenhuys, 2011). Thus the insular cortex is

critical for interoceptive awareness (Ronchi et al., 2015) and self-consciousness

(Craig, 2011; Smith & Lane, 2015), and an excessive attention to these processes is

a principal characteristic of SAD (APA, 2013b; Clark & Wells, 1995). In healthy

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7

controls higher activation of the insular cortex has been linked to anxiety (Carlson,

Greenberg, Rubin & Mujica-Parodi, 2011; Stein, Simmons, Feinstein & Paulus,

2007). In SAD the insula and amygdala are generally simultaneously activated

(Boehme et al., 2013; Klumpp, Angstadt, Nathan & Phan, 2010; Gentili et al.,

2008; Kohn et al., 2014; Schmidt et al., 2010; Shah et al., 2009), and thus the

insula shows increased reactivity related to facial expressions (Klumpp et al., 2010;

Gentili et al., 2008), negative imagery (Shah et al., 2009), anticipatory anxiety

(Boehme et al., 2013) and social-anxiety related words (Schmidt et al., 2010). A

normalisation of blood flow in the insula has been shown in individuals who have

undergone CBT treatment for SAD (Klumpp, Fitzgerald & Phan, 2013), and when

using emotional regulation strategies derived from CBT (Brühl, Herwig,

Delsignore, Jäncke & Rufer, 2013).

The ACC is a large region surrounding the frontal part of the corpus callosum, in

the medial walls of the frontal lobule (Devinsky, Morell & Vogt, 1995; Etkin, et

al., 2011). Further the ACC has been implicated in the commitment to a course of

action and the evaluation of costs and alternative options (Kolling, Behrens,

Wittmann & Rushworth, 2016). More precisely, studies have found the ACC to be

crucial in the recruitment of cognitive control (Kerns et al., 2004), reinforcement

learning (Kennerley, Walton, Behrens, Buckley & Rushworth, 2006) and

emotional processing, including both appraisal and expression of emotion (Etkin et

al., 2011). The ACC is also extensively connected to the amygdala (Etkin et al.,

2011) and there are indications that these connections may be aberrant in

individuals with SAD, with decreased connectivity to dACC (Prater et al., 2013)

and increased connectivity to the rostral ACC (Demenescu et al., 2013).

Interestingly however, lower dACC-amygdala coupling at pretreatment has also

been related to greater improvement after treatment (Månsson et al., 2015).

Further, increased activity in the ACC has been implicated in SAD in response to

the processing of facial expressions (Blair, Shaywitz et al., 2008; Blair, Geraci,

Korelitz et al., 2011; Klumpp, Post, Angstadt, Fitzgerald & Phan, 2013;

Labuschagne et al., 2012), processing of aversive images (Gaebler, Daniels,

Lamke, Fydrich & Walter, 2014) as well as processing of self-referential

comments (Blair, Geraci, Otero et al., 2011). However decreased activity has been

observed in the dACC as compared to healthy controls in relation to viewing angry

facial expressions (Evans et al., 2008).

The PFC is a large region in the frontalmost part of the neocortex, underlying

higher order cognition and executive skills, in addition to being extensively

connected to other areas such as the ACC, the amygdala, and the parietal- and

occipital areas (Wood & Grafman, 2003). The mPFC has been shown to play a

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8

major role in inferring the best strategy to maximise reward in a given setting

(Donoso, Collins & Koechlin, 2014), and has also been extensively evaluated in

the extinction of learned fear response (Lissek et al., 2014) and regulation of

activity in the amygdala amongst other areas (Motzkin, Philippi, Wolf, Baskaya &

Koenigs, 2015). An increased activity has also been shown in the mPFC when

participants with SAD process self-referential comments from a second person

viewpoint (Blair, Geraci, Otero et al., 2011), when they observe fearful facial

expressions (Frick, Howner, Fischer, Kristiansson & Furmark, 2013; Klumpp,

Angstadt & Phan, 2012), observe sad facial expressions (Labuschagne et al.,

2012), when they process social-anxiety related words (Schmidt et al., 2010), hear

angry voices (Quadflieg, Mohr, Mentzel, Miltner & Straube, 2008), view harsh

faces (Ziv, Goldin, Jazaieri, Hahn & Gross, 2013) and read verbal stories regarding

social transgressions (Blair, Geraci, Otero et al., 2011). Furthermore, decreased

activity has been shown when processing angry facial expressions (Phan et al.,

2013), processing self-referential comments in first person viewpoint (Blair,

Geraci, Otero et al., 2011) as well as when playing a trust game (Sripada et al.,

2009). The dlPFC has been implicated in the evaluation of emotions (Etkin, 2010)

and mental states (Ochsner, Silvers & Buhle, 2012) and has been proposed to gate

the conscious awareness of emotions (Etkin, 2010). In SAD an increased reactivity

has been observed in the dlPFC compared to controls when observing fearful facial

expressions (Blair, Shaywitz et al., 2008), angry facial expressions (Evans et al.,

2008), viewing facial expressions with higher intensity (Klumpp, Angstadt, Nathan

& Phan, 2010), but also a decreased activation when viewing facial expressions in

general (Gentili et al., 2008) Furthermore higher activity in the dlPFC has been

related to increased anxiety symptoms (Koric et al., 2012; Pujol et al., 2013) with

negative expectation (Brühl et al., 2011) responding to verbal criticism (Blair,

Geraci et al., 2008) as well as during a trust game (Sripada et al., 2009).

Successful treatment of SAD has been shown to impact reactivity in several areas,

with CBT attenuating activation in the insula, the vmPFC (Klumpp, Fitzgerald &

Phan, 2013), amygdala (Furmark et al., 2002; Goldin & Gross, 2010; Månsson et

al., 2013) and the posterior superior temporal gyrus (Goldin et al., 2014).

Additionally CBT has been shown to increase activation in the dlPFC, the dmPFC

(Goldin, Ziv, Jazaieri, Hahn, Heimberg & Gross, 2013), and the mPFC (Goldin et

al., 2014) as well as alter the frontal-amygdalar connectivity (Goldin et al., 2013;

Månsson et al., 2013). Thus psychological interventions seem to have a strong

impact on the neural reactivity and connectivity related to SAD, however as of yet

there is little consensus regarding which areas have the most impact on treatment

change and related neural activity.

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Self-related processing and neural-correlates

In this thesis we aim to investigate a process proposed to be central to SAD,

namely the fear of negative evaluation, by applying a paradigm which presents

either self- or other-referential criticism to the subject. Generally studies have

shown neural activation in most brain areas during self-related processing

(Northoff et al., 2006) though it seems that emotional processing related to the self

may elicit greater activation in the central midline structures such as the vmPFC,

the ACC, the dmPFC, and the PCC (van der Meer, Costafreda, Aleman & David,

2010) but also areas including the temporoparietal junction, the precuneus, and the

temporal poles (Legrand & Ruby, 2009).

Amygdalar and insular activity has further been implicated as having a central role

in self-related emotional processing, as opposed to appraisal of the self (Northoff et

al., 2006). In spite of the above mentioned findings, heavy critique has been

directed at the field of imaging research studying self-related processing (Legrand

& Ruby, 2009) due to conclusions being drawn based on neural correlates.

Legrand and Ruby instead proposed that self-evaluative processing does not draw

upon a unique network per se, but relates any object to the subject, thus illustrating

that the areas are involved in inferential processing and memory recall. In line with

the above, the same network has been implicated in processing of personally

familiar stimuli, general evaluation (Northoff, Qin & Feinberg, 2011) as well as

sharing activation patterns with parts of the Default Mode Network (DMN; Qin &

Northoff, 2011). Furthermore because of the relative equivalence between the

DMN and areas related to self-referential processing it has been argued that the

“self” might be largely indistinguishable from the DMN (Northoff, Qin &

Feinberg, 2011).

In a study by Blair, Geraci et al. (2008) 32 comments of emotional- negative,

neutral or positive valence were directed either in second-, you, or third person, he

or she, to individuals with SAD and healthy controls. Significant interactions for

group, valence and referent were found in the mPFC and the bilateral amygdala,

thus individuals with SAD showed significantly greater BOLD response to

negative comments that were self-referential, indicating hyperactivity in SAD

regarding the circuitry underlying the neural representation of the self. Similar

paradigms have been used since, building upon the original used in Blair, Geraci et

al. (2008), amongst others Blair, Geraci, Otero et al. (2011), Abraham et al., (2013)

and Månsson et al. (2016). Boehme, Miltner, and Straube, (2015) also found, in

line with the above, that individuals, with higher social anxiety, had a positive

correlation between more self-focused attention and activations of the mPFC, the

PCC, the temporoparietal junction and the right insula in a self-focusing paradigm.

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Prediction of treatment response

Almost a quarter of a century ago, Steketee and Chambless (1992) noted that

clinicians, rather than boasting the success of psychological treatments, should

look to explore the reasons why treatments fail to attain the expected results. This

is particularly true of treatments such as CBT and ICBT for SAD, on which plenty

of research has been done, yet approximately half of RCT-participants are

classified as non-responders (Loerinc et al., 2015). Prediction research therefore

aims to ascertain which patient characteristics are related to treatment outcome, so

as to facilitate treatment development and selection. Besides treatment outcome,

defined as the posttreatment or follow-up level of functioning of the individual,

measured for example by whether or not the individual still meets diagnostic

criteria for the disorder in question, prediction research is also concerned with

predicting treatment response, defined as whether or not the individual has

responded adequately to the treatment given (Steketee & Chambless, 1992). A

great many variables have been studied as potential predictors of treatment

outcome or treatment response in CBT for SAD, but few results have proven to be

robust. Eskildsen, Hougaard and Rosenberg (2010) compiled a review of 28

studies investigating patient characteristics at pretreatment and their predictive

value in regard to treatment response. One of the main conclusions from the review

was that “...there is little clinically or theoretically relevant knowledge to be gained

from existing studies of pretreatment patient variables as predictors of dropout and

treatment outcome in CBT for patients with [SAD]” (Eskildsen, Hougaard &

Rosenberg, 2010, p. 103). Concerning demographic characteristics, Eskildsen,

Hougaard and Rosenberg report only one study investigating their relationship to

treatment outcome, in which being female and having a higher education was

related to better treatment outcome. The predictive value of age has also been

investigated, and in a couple of studies where participants treated with ICBT

higher age has been related to better treatment outcome (Kawaguchi et al, 2013)

and faster rate of change (El Alaoui, Ljótsson, et al., 2015). Further review will

focus on the two clinical characteristics most studied as regards prediction of

treatment outcome in SAD, namely comorbid depression and pretreatment

symptom severity of SAD. The predictive value of treatment expectancy will also

be reviewed, due to its relative consistency as a predictor of treatment response.

Depression

Depression has long been studied as a possible risk factor for poor treatment

response and poor treatment outcome when delivering CBT for SAD. Chambless,

Tran & Glass (1997) found that higher levels of self-rated depression were related

to lower levels of treatment response at 6 months after treatment. These results

were partially replicated a couple of years later by Scholing and Emmelkamp

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(1999), who reported that severity of depressive symptoms at pretreatment were

related to higher levels of social avoidance at posttreatment. The relationship was

however not statistically significant at 18 month follow up. Eskildsen, Hougaard

and Rosenberg (2010) in their systematic review reported that there appears to be

some support for the findings that depressive symptoms at pretreatment are

negatively related to treatment outcome. The authors do however express that the

relationship between depressive symptoms at pretreatment and degree of change is

still in need of further clarification, as two of the studies reviewed in fact reported

a positive relationship. In a more recent study, Fracalanza, McCabe, Taylor and

Antony (2014) studied the effects of mood disorder and depressive symptom

severity on rate of change when receiving face-to-face CBT for SAD. The authors

reported no significant relationship between depressive symptoms and rate of

change. Depression was however related to severity of SAD-symptoms at pre- as

well as posttreatment which Fracalanza et al. interpret as being in line with

previous findings.

The effects of depression on treatment response and treatment outcome have also

been studied in regard to ICBT, and the findings appear similar to those from

research on face-to-face CBT. Hedman et al. (2012), studying outcome

determinants of CBGT and ICBT respectively, reported that depression, as well as

general anxiety, significantly moderated the relationship between treatment and

outcome, such that lower levels of depression were related to better outcome in

ICBT, but not in CBGT. The authors interpret the findings as possible evidence of

ICBT perhaps being better suited for patients with lower degrees of general anxiety

and depression, as these patients have a greater ability to independently make plans

and follow through on said plans. In contrast to the above findings El Alaoui,

Ljótsson et al. (2015), studying a sample of 726 outpatients with SAD receiving

ICBT, found no statistically significant relationship between depressive symptoms

and treatment response. One possible explanation for the ambiguous findings

regarding depression and response to CBT-treatment is provided by Tillfors,

Furmark, Carlbring and Andersson (2015). The authors studied potential risk

profiles for diminished treatment response to ICBT for SAD. Tillfors and

colleagues applied a cluster analytic strategy to an aggregated dataset containing

data from five RCT studies (ntotal = 167) to identify subgroups of social avoidance

and depression that were related to an increased risk of poor treatment response.

One high risk cluster was identified, containing patients with high levels of

avoidance and high levels of depression. The authors therefore conclude that high

levels of depression and high levels of social avoidance by themselves do not

constitute risk factors of poor treatment response, but participants in which the two

are combined tend to run a higher risk of poor treatment response.

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Pretreatment symptom severity of Social Anxiety Disorder

Generally in research on prediction of psychotherapy outcome, pretreatment

symptom severity has been found to be related to treatment outcome, such that

higher levels of pretreatment symptoms predict worse treatment outcome

(Lindhiem, Kolko & Cheng, 2012), and this appears also to be the case regarding

CBT for SAD. As an example, Kawaguchi et al. (2013) studied predictors of

treatment outcome in a naturalistic sample of outpatients receiving CBGT for SAD

and found a statistically significant relationship between pretreatment SAD and

posttreatment status. In the previously mentioned study by Hedman et al. (2012),

the same relationship between pretreatment SAD severity and outcome was

observed in both CBGT and ICBT, demonstrating that the relationship appears to

hold true regardless of treatment. There are however studies in which contradicting

results have been found. In the studies by Chambless, Tran and Glass (1997) as

well as Schibbye et al. (2014), pretreatment SAD severity was found to be

unrelated to treatment outcome. Another interesting relationship is the one between

pretreatment SAD severity and rate of change, or treatment response. Nordgreen et

al. (2012), in line with the aforementioned findings, reported that ratings of

symptom severity at pretreatment were negatively related to diagnosis-free status

at follow-up 6 to 12 months later, but positively related to reliable change

measured with the Reliable Change Index (RCI; Jacobson & Truax, 1991).

Interestingly, in the naturalistic study by El Alaoui, Ljótsson et al. (2015), a large

and methodologically well suited study as pertains assessing the relation between

pretreatment symptom severity and treatment response, no statistically significant

relationship was found between pretreatment SAD severity and either treatment

outcome or treatment response, suggesting that pretreatment severity of symptoms

has no effect on treatment response or outcome in outpatients receiving ICBT.

Treatment expectancy

One of the more consistently reported predictors of treatment response and

treatment outcome concerning CBT as well as ICBT for SAD, is treatment

expectancy (Eskildsen, Hougaard & Rosenberg, 2010; Boettcher, Renneberg &

Berger, 2013). Boettcher, Renneberg and Berger (2013) define treatment

expectancy as “... the individual change a client expects in the course of therapy”

(p. 204), and the related concept of treatment credibility as “... how logical,

beneficial and trustworthy a treatment seems” (p. 204). Price and Anderson (2012)

studied the predictive value of treatment expectancy in the treatment of public

speaking fears. The authors compared two treatments, CBGT and individual face-

to-face CBT containing elements of virtual reality exposure, to ascertain the

relationship between treatment expectancy and rate of change. The reported results

provided support for a medium-sized to large positive relationship between

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treatment expectancy and rate of change irrespective of treatment. Another

interesting example is provided in the study by Borge, Hoffart and Sexton (2010)

examining predictors of treatment outcome in residential CBT and residential

interpersonal psychotherapy. The authors reported treatment expectancy, as well as

age of onset, as being the most reliable predictors of treatment outcome in both

treatments.

Concerning ICBT, Boettcher, Renneberg and Berger (2013) explored the

relationship between treatment expectancy, measured at week two of treatment,

and symptom reduction following ICBT in a sample of 109 participants with SAD.

The authors reported a statistically significant relationship such that higher

treatment expectancy was related to greater symptom reduction. Furthermore the

relationship between positive treatment expectancy and greater symptom reduction

was mediated by early gains (symptom reduction from week 0 to week 2).

Boettcher, Renneberg and Berger also report a statistically significant positive

relationship between treatment expectancy and treatment adherence. A limitation

noted by the authors of the aforementioned study is however the high and atypical

dropout rate of 37%. Their results are nevertheless corroborated by the previously

mentioned studies by Hedman et al. (2012) and El Alaoui, Ljótsson et al. (2015),

the first showing a positive relationship between treatment expectancy and

treatment response in a research sample of 126 participants receiving ICBT, and

the second showing a similar effect in a sample of 726 patients receiving ICBT

through outpatient care.

Biological predictors of treatment response

Barber (2007) noted that biological variables such as genetic polymorphisms and

brain imaging data had seldom been investigated as potential predictors of

treatment outcome in psychotherapy research. Two studies have investigated the

genetic outcome determinants of CBT for SAD namely Andersson et al. (2013)

and Hedman et al. (2012), who both report no statistically significant relationship

between the examined allelic variations and long-term treatment outcome. The

literature on brain imaging data and prediction has however produced more

encouraging results. The first report suggesting attenuated amygdalar reactivity as

a predictor of treatment response was reported by Furmark et al., (2002) who used

positron emission tomography to show that treatment response to both CBT and

pharmacological treatment for SAD was related to attenuated regional cerebral

blood flow (rCBF) in the amygdala during an anticipatory anxiety task.

Furthermore the authors reported that attenuated rCBF in the amygdala, the

periaqueductal gray area, and the left thalamus was predictive of responder status

at one year follow up, implicating a major role for activity related to these areas in

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the continuation of the disorder. fMRI-data have also been studied to ascertain if

activation patterns related to certain paradigms can be used to predict treatment

response in SAD (Doehrmann et al., 2013; Klumpp, Fitzgerald & Phan, 2013) as

well as other anxiety disorders (e.g. Ball, Stein, Ramsawh, Campbell-Sills &

Paulus, 2014) and depression (e.g. Siegle, Carter & Thase, 2006). In regard to

SAD, Doehrmann et al. (2013) reported that activation in the ventral and dorsal

occipitotemporal cortex as participants were exposed to images depicting angry

faces predicted treatment response, such that greater activation predicted greater

treatment response. Using the combination of imaging data and pretreatment

symptom severity the authors were able to account for 40% of the variation in

treatment response. Furthermore, Klumpp, Fitzgerald and Phan (2013) were also

able to use fMRI-data to predict treatment response to CBT for SAD. This time the

participants were exposed to images depicting faces showing fear, anger, happiness

or neutrality, and the authors reported that activation of brain regions involved in

visual processing when viewing angry and fearful faces, and activation in the

dACC and the dmPFC when viewing fearful faces, predicted treatment response.

Additionally, Klumpp, Keutmann, Fitzgerald, Shankman and Phan (2014) used

resting state fMRI images from the same sample to assess the predictive value of

functional connectivity. The authors reported that connectivity between the

amygdalae and the prefrontal regions at pretreatment was significantly correlated

with treatment response. In addition to standard univariate methods, methods of

multivariate pattern analysis (MVPA) have also been used to examine if

pretreatment brain imaging data can predict treatment response. Using said

approach to predict treatment response to CBT for SAD, Månsson et al. (2015)

used MVPA in an attempt to correctly classify participants as either responders or

non-responders depending on BOLD activation to a previously mentioned fMRI-

paradigm consisting of self- or other referential criticism. The authors reported a

91.7% rate of successful classification, with a specificity of 100% and a sensitivity

of 83.3%, based on activation in the dACC and the amygdala. Whitfield-Gabrieli et

al. (2015) used MVPA on the same sample as the previously described study by

Doehrmann et al. (2013) to assess if patterns of connectomic measures could

predict treatment response to group-based CBT for SAD. Whitfield-Gabrieli et al.

(2015) reported that connectomic measures together with a measure of

pretreatment symptom severity accounted for 60% of the total variance in

treatment response, and that using these data they were able to correctly predict

whether or not the individual would be classified as a treatment responder in 81%

of cases, with a specificity of 78% and a sensitivity of 84%.

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Aims

Despite a number of published studies investigating the relationship between a

variety of predictor variables and treatment response, as well as treatment outcome,

in CBT for SAD, few consistent findings have been reported. The current thesis

therefore aims to explore predictors of change during treatment in a sample of

participants receiving ICBT for SAD. In particular we wish to explore the

predictive properties of fMRI-data collected 9 weeks prior to treatment onset,

using a disorder-relevant paradigm which has previously been used to predict

treatment response. The paradigm, a modified version of the paradigm used in

Blair, Geraci et al. (2008), consists of presenting negative social information to the

participants, and represents a proposed fundamental part of SAD, namely the fear

of negative evaluation. Further elucidating the neural correlates of these fears is of

critical importance to the future understanding of SAD. Using neuroimaging data

to predict treatment response provides a possibly more objective and reliable way

of predicting who will benefit from treatment, and so facilitating effective resource

management in the hard pressed context of psychiatric care. Thus our hypotheses

were as follows, stated as the alternative hypotheses: (1) whole-brain analyses will

reveal greater activation in areas related to the fear circuitry when viewing self-

referential criticism, rather than other-referential criticism. (2) activity in areas

related to the fear circuitry which have previously shown aberrant activity in SAD,

namely the amygdala, the insula, and the ACC, will be significantly related to

treatment response (3) the combination of brain measures and behavioural

measures will explain significantly more of the variation in treatment response than

behavioural measures alone.

Materials and methods

General procedure

The current thesis was part of a larger research project. The purpose of the research

project is to elucidate the mechanism behind CBT for SAD and thus how the brain

is affected and mediates treatment success. During the study, four MRI-scans were

conducted for each participants, at first baseline, second baseline which

corresponded to treatment onset, mid-treatment and posttreatment. Between the

first and second baseline there was a wait period of 9 weeks so as to enable a

within-group wait list control for the research project. The post treatment MRI-

scan was conducted soon after treatment completion, and posttreatment severity

measurements used in the current thesis were collected prior to the final MRI.

Procedure

The study was approved by the local ethics committee. Screening and inclusion

procedures were similar to those from a previous study by the same research group

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(Månsson et al., 2013). The participants were recruited via media advertisement. A

total of 265 individuals reported interest in the study on the webpage and 226

individuals answered all self-report questionnaires; demographics, MRI-safety

criteria, Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale Self-Report (LSAS-SR; Baker, Heinrichs,

Kim & Hofmann, 2002), and Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale

(MADRS-S; Montgomery & Asberg, 1979) see Figure 1. The participants had to

be at least 18 years of age, have no neurological disorder, have no metal implants

or health issues making the MRI hazardous, not be enrolled in any concurrent

psychological treatment, and if undergoing pharmacotherapy, having had a stable

dose for at least three months as well as agreeing to maintain a stable dose across

the duration of the study. A total of 113 participants were eligible after the initial

Online registration for eligibility

(n=265)

Did not complete all surveys (n=39)

Baseline-1 (n=51)

MRI

LSAS-SR

MADRS-S

Baseline-2 (n=46)

CEQ

Post treatment (n=46)

LSAS-SR

Excluded (n=62)

Comorbidity (n=14)

Ineligible for MRI (n=13)

Practical reasons (n=11)

Not SAD, or mild symptoms (n=9)

Withdrawal (n=4)

Suicidality (n=3)

Other treatment (n=3)

Menopause (n=3)

Neuropsychiatric disorder (n=2)

Complete online registration (n=226)

Telephone interview (n=113)

Excluded (n=5)

Pathological findings (n=3)

Withdrawal (n=2)

Figure 1

Flowchart regarding the recruitment and procedure of the study. MRI, Magnetic Resonance

Imaging; LSAS-SR, Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scales – Self Report; MADRS-S, Montgomery-

Åsberg Depression Rating Scale; CEQ, Credibility Expectancy Questionnaire

Page 24: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

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screening and were subsequently interviewed by either master level psychologist

students or psychologists via telephone using the full Mini-International

Neuropsychiatric Interview (M.I.N.I.) version 7.0, developed by Sheehan et al.

(1998), and the social phobia section of the Structural Clinical Interview for DSM-

4 - Axis I Disorders (SCID-I; First, Gibbon, Spitzer & Williams, 1997).

Furthermore the participants were asked about any previous and contemporary

treatments, whether or not they had entered menopause, their reason for applying,

whether they met the safety criteria for MRI, and whether they experience

claustrophobia. Participants were required to meet diagnostic criteria for SAD

according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th edition

(DSM-5; APA, 2013a), have SAD as their primary diagnosis, have no current

severe depression, as indicated by a score above 20 points on MADRS-S, or

suicidal tendencies, as indicated by a score above 2 points on MADRS-S item 9,

not show claustrophobic tendencies, not meet the DSM-5 criteria (APA, 2013a) as

indicated by M.I.N.I. for either: current major depressive disorder, suicidality, any

form of bipolar syndrome, any psychotic syndrome, alcohol disorder or substance

use disorder, any eating disorders, or antisocial personality disorder. Prior to the

first MRI scan the participants were asked to sign forms of informed consent for

genetic analysis, the use of personal information according to the privacy

protection law and that the individual had read the information on the website

about the study procedure. Posttreatment assessment of symptom severity was

completed by participants upon treatment completion, but prior to attending the

fourth and final imaging session.

Participants

Of the initial 265 individuals who screened online for eligibility, a total of 50 were

thereafter included to be analysed. However due to an incidental finding, meaning

in the current context an unexpected abnormality in the individual's brain, during

the first baseline measurement another was recruited, thus 51 participants

underwent MRI-scanning at baseline 1. In total three participants were excluded

due to incidental findings. Furthermore another two participants withdrew before

commencing treatment, and have also been excluded from data analysis, and apart

from these no data-points used for the current analyses are missing. Demographics

characteristics of the current sample are presented in Table 1.

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Table 1:

Demographic description of the participants

Variable Cohort

Gender

Women

Men

29 (63%)

17 (37%)

Age

M (SD)

Min-max

30.7 (8.3)

19-52

Handedness

Right

Left

40 (87%)

6 (13%)

Education

Completed primary education

Completed secondary education

Completed vocational education

Ongoing university studies

Completed university studies

3 (7%)

7 (15%)

2 (4%)

16 (35%)

18 (39%)

Employment

Full time studies

Full time employment

Part time employment

No employment

21 (46%)

18 (39%)

5 (11%)

2 (4%)

Civil State

Married/Cohabiting with children

Married/Cohabiting without children

Non-cohabiting relationship without children

Single with children

Single without children

Other

16 (35%)

10 (22%)

4 (9%)

4 (9%)

9 (20%)

3 (7%)

Note. N = 46

Behavioural measures

LSAS-SR is an instrument developed to measure symptoms of social anxiety, it

consists of 24 items listing different social situations, where the individual is asked

to rate fear and avoidance of said situation on a 4-point likert-type scale (Baker et

al., 2002). The 12-week test-retest reliability is r = 0.83 (p < 0.01) for the total

score (Baker et al., 2002; see Appendix A for full questionnaire). MADRS-S is an

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19

instrument developed to measure symptoms of depression, consisting of 9 items

concerning mood, anxiety, sleep, appetite, concentration, initiative, emotional

engagement, pessimism and suicidality, each item is rated on a 7 point likert-type

scale, the one-week test-retest reliability has been reported to be cronbach’s 𝛼=

0.84 (Fantino & Moore, 2009), and the instrument has also been found to have a

high internal-reliability cronbach’s 𝛼 > 0.8 (Cunningham, Wernroth, Von

Knorring, Berglund & Ekselius, 2011; see Appendix B for full questionnaire). The

Credibility/Expectancy Questionnaire (CEQ; Borkove & Nau, 1972), measures the

individual's expectancy of a positive outcome and the perceived credibility of a

treatment. Internal consistency has been reported to be high, standardised

𝛼 between 0.84 and 0.85, and test-retest scores of 0.82 for the expectancy scale,

and 0.75 for the credibility scale (Devilly & Borkovec, 2000). In the current study

five items on the CEQ were used, rated on a 10 point likert-type scale, omitting the

last question from Devilly, and Borkovec (2000; see Appendix C for full

questionnaire).

Treatment

Participants were treated via a nine week guided ICBT self-help program. The

treatment has repeatedly been shown to be efficacious in the treatment of SAD,

with large effect sizes, and sustained treatment effects at five years after treatment

having been reported (Andersson, Carlbring, Furmark, 2012; Andersson et al.,

2006; Carlbring et al., 2007; Furmark et al., 2009; Hedman, Furmark et al., 2011).

The treatment consisted of nine modules, a new module being introduced once

every week, containing information, worksheets and homework. The first module

presents an introduction to CBT and SAD, modules 2-4 describe Clark & Wells

cognitive model of SAD (Clark & Wells, 1995) and restructuring of dysfunctional

cognitions, modules 5-7 introduce and encourage exposure with response

prevention, and modules 8-9 aim to increase the participants’ social skills and

promote relapse prevention. The treatment also exists as a self-help book

(Furmark, Holmström, Sparthan, Carlbring & Andersson, 2013).

Experimental task

The experimental task which participants performed while in the fMRI-scanner

consisted of viewing sentences of self-referential and other-referential criticism,

using a heavily modified version of a disorder-relevant paradigm initially

developed by Blair, Geraci et al. (2008). A similar version of this paradigm has

previously been used by the research group responsible for the current study to

predict treatment outcome (Månsson et al., 2015). The paradigm is an event-related

design and includes 27 criticising statements either self-referential, “Nobody likes

you”, or other-referential, “Nobody likes [significant other]”, where the other-

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20

referential target was a significant other which the subject had previously stated

that they were close to and who meant much to them (all statements used can be

read in Appendix D and translated to English in Appendix F). Participants were

instructed to read the sentences and press an arbitrary button with their right hand,

alternatively their left hand if they specifically requested it, once they had finished

reading the sentence, after which the sentence disappeared and a fixation cross

appeared as described below and in Figure 2. The instruction for the paradigm was

given in the waiting room prior to the fMRI scan. The sentences were randomised

in their order of presentation, and 36 sentences were displayed for each target, self

or significant other, these were randomly drawn from the respective 27 sentence

pool. The stimuli were presented for a maximum of 2500ms whereupon a fixation

cross with a duration of 500ms was presented prior to the next stimuli. The

sentences were interspersed with 45 fixation crosses with 30 having a duration of

2500ms and 15 a duration of 3500ms. Stimuli were presented using the E-prime

2.0 software (Psychology Software Tools, Pittsburgh, PA, USA), projected on a

screen and viewed through a tilted mirror attached to the head coil. The maximum

duration of the task was five minutes and 50 seconds, but depended on the

participants’ response time. If participants failed to respond to multiple sentences it

was possible for the paradigm to complete before all sentences had been

administered. See Figure 2 for illustration of the paradigm.

Data acquisition and preprocessing

Image acquisition was performed using a 3T General Electric MRI scanner with a

32 channel head coil (GE Medical Systems, Madison, Wisconsin, USA).

Functional T2-weighted BOLD images were acquired with an echo time of 30ms, a

repetition time of 2000ms, an 80° flip angle, a 250x250mm2 field of view

, an

Figure 2

Illustrating the negative statements. The fixation crosses with 500 ms duration was presented

prior to any stimuli. 36 sentences were displayed for each target, self or significant other, and

were randomly drawn from the respective 27 sentence pool. The random duration of the fixation

crosses was either 2500 ms or 3500 ms and there were 30 respectively 15 of each. “X” was

displaced by the name of the significant other for the participant.

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acquisition matrix size of 96x96 and an in-plane resolution of 2.6x2.6mm. Each

slice had a thickness of 3.4mm and 37 slices were acquired for each volume. For

the experimental paradigm described above, 175 volumes were collected per run,

and 10 dummy scans were run prior to image acquisition so as to avoid signal

detection due to progressive saturation. T1-weighted structural images were also

acquired. These images consisted of 180 slices with a voxel size of 0.5x0.5x1mm3

and a field of view of 250x250mm2 and were used for coregistration.

Quality control of the functional images was done manually by both authors via

ocular inspection of the mean image for each time series, as well as by analysing

time series difference data. This was done to identify any obvious artefacts or

quality reductions in the imaging data caused by for instance hardware or software

malfunction, participant’s movement inside the scanner or metallic objects on the

participant's person. Quality control was done using FSLView

(http://fsl.fmrib.ox.ac.uk/fsl/fslview/; Jenkinson, Beckmann, Behrens, Woolrich &

Smith, 2012), MRIcro (www.mricro.com; Rorden & Brett, 2000) and Statistical

Parametric Mapping Software 12 (SPM12; Wellcome Department of Cognitive

Neurology, London, UK) implemented in MATLAB (Mathworks, Natick, MA,

USA). Preprocessing of the data was done by initially realigning all functional

volumes to the mean image for each run, whereafter slice-timing correction was

performed. Slice-timing correction is done to correct for variability in the

measured BOLD-response caused by slices from the same volume being acquired

at different time points, as the first and last slice of a volume are acquired almost

one repetition time, in this case 2000ms, apart. Further, functional images (2 x 2 x

2 mm3 voxel dimensions) were coregistered to the structural images for each

individual, whereafter they were normalized by warping the images onto the

Montreal Neurological Institute (MNI152) template. These steps were taken to

facilitate anatomical identification of event-related activation. The images were

then smoothed using an isotropic 8-mm full-width-half maximum gaussian kernel

so as to reduce signal detection of non-systematic high-frequency spatial noise.

Data analysis

All analyses using non-imaging data were performed using SPSS statistics, v. 23.0

(IBM, Armonk, NY, USA). For all regression analyses, the outcome measure was

defined as residual gain scores on the LSAS-SR between first baseline and

posttreatment measurement points. Residual gain scores are a standardised

measure of change between two points in time. They were computed by first

standardising the raw scores on LSAS-SR to Z-scores, and then calculating the

difference between the posttreatment score, and the baseline score multiplied by

the correlation between the two (as such: Z2 - Z1*r12) as described by Manning and

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22

Dubois (1962). By factoring in the correlation between the two scores, initial

differences between participants are controlled for as well as measurement error

resulting from repeated measures on the same instrument (Steketee & Chambless,

1992), making it uniquely suited for measuring the correlates of change. Further,

controlling for measurement error due to repeated measures is of high relevance in

the context of the present study as participants were required to fill out the LSAS-

SR a total of 15 times across the duration of the study.

Response times from the experimental paradigm were analysed by aggregating

data and calculating a mean for each individual for each condition. The mean of

means within each condition were then compared using a paired sample t-test. All

reaction times below 300ms were treated as missing data and excluded from the

calculation of the individual means, as it is unlikely that individuals were able to

read and comprehend the sentences during that time. If the participants failed to

respond within 2500ms the response was not registered and treated as a failed trial,

thus excluding that particular response time from the calculation of individual

means. If individuals failed to respond in all cases of one condition they were

excluded from all subsequent analyses.

Behavioural measures predicting outcome

To assess the effect of pretreatment SAD symptom severity on treatment response,

LSAS-SR scores from pretreatment were correlated with the difference between

LSAS-SR scores at posttreatment and pretreatment. As earlier noted, subsequent

analyses were performed with residual gain scores of the LSAS-SR as the main

outcome variable, and the hypothesised predictors of depressive symptom severity,

according to MADRS-S, and treatment credibility/expectancy, measured using the

modified version of the CEQ described above, were entered as regressors in a

multiple regression analysis. To control for possible effects of age and gender,

these variables were entered in the first step of the regression model, prior to

entering the supposed predictors. Collinearity diagnostics were assessed to check

for possible multicollinearity.

Analysis of imaging data

The fMRI data was analysed using SPM12 and fitting the BOLD activation to the

voxel-wise general linear model (GLM). In the first-level analysis, the within-

subject level, two contrasts were modelled contrasting targets, self- and other-

referential criticism, to each other. In this step the movement parameters, extracted

during preprocessing, were included and controlled for as covariates of no interest.

The movement parameters consist of the individual's head movement in relation to

the mean image for each run, made up of six regressors: three for translation, and

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three for rotation. This was done to further control for motion artefacts. The

contrasts, which consist of differences in BOLD activation, were modelled as

following: other-referential criticism > self-referential criticism (Other > Self) and

self-referential criticism > other-referential criticism (Self > Other). Additionally,

the respective targets were contrasted to an implicit baseline (Self > Fixation

Cross; Other > Fixation Cross), but these were not analysed in the current thesis as

the primary interested was in the differential processing of self- and other related

criticism. The conditions were modelled as box-car functions, convolved with the

hemodynamic response function using a 128 s high-pass filter. As such the first-

level constitutes the computation of activation for each subject in each voxel, and

in the second-level a group map is formed from the first-level consisting of all

participants and computing one t-value for each voxel, representing activation

(Ashby, 2011). The second-level analysis is simply the GLM estimation of

specified contrasts over all participants. Exploratory whole-brain analyses without

covariates of interest were performed to explore activation related to each contrast.

This was done in order to investigate the differential activation related to the

various contrasts and thus evaluate whether the paradigm produces activation

patterns related to a proposed core mechanism of SAD. All results from contrast

analyses reported below are reported with a significance level of p < 0.001,

uncorrected, as this is common practice.

Analysing the predictive value of the imaging data was done by first performing a

whole-brain analysis of the Other > Self, and Self > Other contrasts including

residual gain scores as a covariate of interest, allowing us to identify which

differential activations were correlated with treatment gains. Beta-weights were

extracted from peak voxels in regions identified in the previous analysis and

subsequently used as continuous predictors in a regression model, so as to identify

the explained variance accounted for by the brain measures. Behavioural measures

and demographic characteristics were then entered in a second step, so as to see

how much variance these added, over and above the brain measures. Finally,

whole-brain analyses were once again performed with the behavioural measures

stepwise added as covariates of no interest, thus controlling for the variation in

brain activity related to each behavioural measure, so as to identify which brain

activity was uniquely related to treatment gains irrespective of the behavioural

measures.

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Results

Exploratory analyses of activation related to self- and other-referential criticism

As previously described participants were exposed to sentences of self-referential

and other-referential criticism and were required to press a button once they had

finished reading the sentence. Across participants, 1648 sentences were

administered for each target. There was a significant difference in the average

response time for other-referential (M = 1388ms, SD = 372ms; Mdn = 1407ms) and

self-referential (M = 1324ms, SD = 360ms, Mdn = 1350ms) sentences, t(44) =

5.254, p < 0.001, indicating a faster response time for self-referential sentences.

Two participants were excluded from the analyses due to not responding to any

sentence in one of the conditions within 2500ms.

In response to Other > Self, the participants showed enhanced activity in clusters

containing the dPCC, right occipital gyrus, bilateral angular gyrus, left middle

temporal gyrus, bilateral supplementary motor area (SMA), left vmPFC and left

dmPFC, see Figure 3 (for a complete list of statistically significant activations see

Table F1 in Appendix F). Furthermore significant peak level activity was observed

in the left subgenual cingulate cortex (sACC). In response to Self > Other,

enhanced activity was observed in bilateral supramarginal gyrus, right dPCC, right

postcentral gyrus, right occipitotemporal area, right posterior middle temporal

gyrus and left hippocampus see Figure 4 (for a complete list of statistically

significant activations see Table F1 in Appendix F). Notably, little differential

Figure 3 Figure 4

Other > Self. All shown clusters significant at p

< 0.001 (uncorrected). Sagittal view, x = -5,

Coronal view, y = -58, Axial view, z = 24

Self > Other. All shown clusters significant at

p < 0.001 (uncorrected). Sagittal view, x = -48,

Coronal view, y = -28, Axial view, z = 24

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activation was found in the previously outlined fear circuitry, for example the

amygdalae and insulae. To ensure that the paradigm indeed elicited anxiety-related

activation, inspection of the Other > Fixation Cross and Self > Fixation Cross

contrasts was performed and fear circuitry activation was found in both cases

(illustrated in Appendix G, Figures G1 and G2 respectively).

Predicting treatment response using behavioural measures and demographic

characteristics

The mean LSAS-SR score at pretreatment, nine weeks prior to treatment onset,

was 76.0 (SD = 19.0) and the mean score at posttreatment was 48.9 (SD = 24.1),

representing a statistically significant average decrease of 27.1 points (SD = 22.0,

t(45) = 8.37, p < .001, Cohen’s d = 1.23). The pretreatment LSAS-SR score was

negatively and statistically significantly correlated with change scores calculated as

LSASpost - LSASpre (r = -.31, p = .03), suggesting that higher pretreatment

symptom severity was related to a greater decrease in LSAS-SR scores between

pretreatment and posttreatment. The residual gain scores calculated from the

LSAS-SR were regressed upon age and gender in a first step, followed by

MADRS-S scores (M = 13.1, SD = 6.2) and CEQ scores (M = 31.7, SD = 8.3) in a

second step as previously described. Results from the ensuing models are reported

in Table 2. The first model containing age and gender was nonsignificant (F(2, 43)

= 1.778, p = .181), the second however was significant (F(4, 41) = 5.073, p <

0.001), explaining 27% of the variance. CEQ-scores emerged as the only

significant predictor. As age appeared to be largely unrelated to residual gain

Table 2

Summary of regression analysis predicting residual gain scores on the LSAS-SR from age,

gender, depressive symptom severity and treatment expectancy.

R2 R

2adj B SE B β t p

Step 1 0.08 0.03

Constant -1.02 0.75 - -1.37 0.179

Age 0.01 0.02 0.06 0.40 0.693

Gender 0.51 0.27 0.29 1.89 0.067

Step 2 0.33 0.27

Constant 0.38 0.79 - 0.49 0.628

Age 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.933

Gender 0.45 0.24 0.25 1.86 0.070

MADRS-S 0.03 0.02 0.25 1.87 0.069

CEQ -0.05 0.01 -0.48 -3.72 0.001

Note. ΔR2 = 0.255 for step 2 (p < 0.001), MADRS-S, Montgomery-Åsberg Depression

Rating Scale; CEQ, Credibility/Expectancy Questionnaire

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26

scores, it was excluded from subsequent analyses. Gender and MADRS-S were

however retained as they trended towards significance (p < 0.08). Collinearity

diagnostics revealed no issues regarding tolerance (all VIFs < 1.15; see Table H1

in Appendix H for correlational matrix).

Prediction analyses using brain responses

For the whole-brain analyses with

residual gain scores as a covariate of

interest, the greatest activation was

found along the midline structures

primarily in the left posterior mid

cingulate cortex (pMCC), left

anterior middle cingulate cortex

(aMCC), and the lingual gyrus (LG)

for the Other > Self contrast. The

only differential increased activation

in the Self > Other was a one voxel

cerebellum activation. The results are

reported in Table 3, and illustrated in

Figure 5.

Table 3

Whole-brain univariate voxel-wise test with residual gain scores for LSAS-SR as covariate of

interest

MNI-coordinates Volume

Contrast Region x y z (mm3) Z

Other > Self

L Posterior middle cingulate cortex -22 -20 44 416 3.79

L Anterior middle cingulate cortex -12 12 50 464 3.64

R Anterior middle cingulate cortex 14 16 44 176 3.57

L Lingual gyrus -14 -66 -2 288 3.51

L Primary visual cortex -12 -80 2 264 3.29

R Medial supplementary motor area 12 24 48 40 3.27

L Middle occipital gyrus -10 -96 -2 48 3.21

R Middle occipital gyrus 10 -74 0 32 3.18

Self > Other

L Cerebellum -14 -36 -20 8 3.45

Note. All listed clusters significant at p < 0.001 (uncorrected), MNI, Montreal Neurological

Institute; Z, Z-score.

Figure 5

Other > Self. All shown clusters significant at p <

0.001 (uncorrected). Sagittal view, x = -11,

Coronal view, y = -10, Axial view, z = 44

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Beta weights were extracted from peak voxels from two clusters showing

significant activation on the Other > Self contrast including residual gain scores as

a covariate of interest. The peak voxels chosen were from clusters in the left LG

(MNI Coordinates x = -14, y = -66, z = -2) and the pMCC (x = -22, y = -20, z =

44). These coordinates were chosen as they represent the two distinct areas in the

brain, the mid cingulate cortex and the inferior occipital lobule, in which activation

was shown to be correlated with residual gain scores (See Figures 6 and 7). Results

from the subsequent multiple regression analysis are reported in Table 4. In

summary, the brain measures by themselves explained 34% of the variance (as

measured by adjusted R2) and adding the behavioural measures and demographic

characteristics into the model resulted in the model explaining a total of 50% of the

variance. The brain measures were significant predictors in both models, at the p <

0.05 level, and CEQ and gender were also significant predictors in the final model.

Once again collinearity diagnostics revealed no issues regarding tolerance (all

VIFs < 1.35; see Table H1 in Appendix H for correlational matrix).

To further elucidate the relationship between the variance explained by the

behavioural measures and the variance explained by activity in the LG and the

pMCC, analyses were performed to discern which brain activation was related to

treatment response, but unrelated to the behavioural measures. This was done by

stepwise inserting gender, MADRS-S and CEQ, as covariates of no interest into

Table 4

Summary of regression analysis predicting residual gain scores on the LSAS-SR using beta-

weights from the Other > Self contrast, as well as including, gender, depressive symptom

severity and treatment expectancy in a second step

R2 R

2adj B SE B β t p

Step 1 0.37 0.34

Constant -0.03 0.10 - -0.26 0.798

L pMCC -1.66 0.57 -0.39 -2.94 0.005

L LG -0.48 0.19 -0.33 -2.51 0.016

Step 2 0.55 0.50

Constant 0.14 0,47 - -0.29 0.774

L pMCC -1.24 0.52 -0.29 -2.34 0.022

L LG -0.42 0.17 -0.29 -2.50 0.017

Gender 0.40 0.19 0.23 2.10 0.044

MADRS-S 0.03 0.02 0.19 1.67 0.102

CEQ -0.04 0.01 -0.35 -3.10 0.004

Note. ΔR2 = 0.18 for step 2 (p < 0.003). pMCC, Posterior Mid Cingulate Cortex; LG,

Lingual Gyrus; MADRS-S, Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale; CEQ,

Credibility/Expectancy Questionnaire.

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the whole-brain analysis with residual gain scores as the covariate of interest.

Generally covarying for the above measures reduced statistically significant

activity somewhat, but no large differences were related to any one of the

measures. In short, covarying for gender decreased statistically significant activity

in the occipital cluster, covarying for MADRS-S increased the cluster size of the

smaller cluster in the left pMCC, and covarying for CEQ removed the cluster in the

left aMCC. Thus MADRS-S scores appeared to be related to suppressed

differential activation otherwise related to greater treatment gains while, being

female and having a higher score on the CEQ appeared to be related to greater

activation in areas related to treatment gains. Controlling for two at a time did not

substantially alter the above findings. Finally when controlling for all of the above

the participants showed activity in clusters within the left LG, right aMCC and left

pMCC, see Figure 8. For a complete list of statistically significant activations

when controlling for all covariates see Table 5.

Figure 6

Showing the relationship between BOLD

response from the left posterior mid cingulate

cortex (pMCC) and residual gain scores.

Coordinates according to MNI, Montreal

Neurological Institute: x = -22, y = -20, z =

44. Lower residual gain scores signifying

greater treatment response.

Figure 7

Showing the relationship between BOLD

response from the left lingual gyrus (LG) and

residual gain scores. Coordinates according to

MNI, Montreal Neurological Institute: x = -14,

y = -66, z = -2. Lower residual gain scores

signifying greater treatment response.

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Table 5

Whole-brain univariate voxel-wise test for Other > Self and Self > Other controlling for gender,

MADRS-S, CEQ with residual gain scores for LSAS-SR as dependent variable

MNI-

coordinates

Volume

Contrast Region x y z (mm3) Z

Other > Self

L Lingual gyrus -12 -60 -8 296 3.57

L Posterior middle cingulate cortex -22 -20 44 16 3.22

L Posterior middle cingulate cortex -14 -20 44 64 3.19

R Anterior middle cingulate cortex 14 16 42 8 3.19

R Superior temporal gyrus 42 -26 2 8 3.12

Self > Other

No significant activationsa

Note. All listed clusters significant at p < 0.001 (uncorrected), MNI, Montreal Neurological

Institute; Z, Z-score. a Artefact activation found in right lateral ventricle with 80mm

3 activation.

Figure 8

Other > Self controlling for gender, MADRS-S and

CEQ with residual gain scores as dependent

variable. All shown clusters significant at p < 0.001

(uncorrected). Sagittal view, x = -15, Coronal view,

y = -64, Axial view, z = -7

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Discussion

In the current study, fMRI was used to evaluate the BOLD-responses of 46

participants with SAD, to a disorder-relevant paradigm in which they were

subjected to negative statements directed either towards themselves or a significant

other. This was done in order to investigate the neural correlates of a central part of

SAD, the fear of negative evaluation, as well as to appraise the predictive value of

functional imaging data as regards treatment response to ICBT for SAD. To

summarise the results: the exploratory analyses revealed differential activation in

the Other > Self as well as the Self > Other contrasts, indicating that the different

conditions were related to differential processing. It was hypothesised that whole-

brain analyses would reveal differential activity situated in the fear circuitry, this

was however not observed. The large effect size observed for the ICBT treatment

(Cohen’s d = 1.23) was comparable to previous studies (Boettcher et al., 2013),

with the majority of participants showing improvement. It should once again be

noted that posttreatment scores were collected subsequent to treatment completion,

but prior to the final MRI-scan in the research project. Regarding behavioural

measures and demographic characteristics, these explained 27% of the variation in

treatment response. CEQ-score was the only predictor variable significantly related

to treatment response in the model assessing gender, age, MADRS-S score and

CEQ score and their relation to residual gain scores on the LSAS-SR. Analyses

relating BOLD activation to treatment response revealed activation on the Other >

Self contrast, with the primary clusters situated bilaterally in the aMCC, in the left

pMCC, the left LG extending towards the left primary visual cortex. Contrary to

what had been hypothesised, whole-brain analyses of the Other > Self and Self >

Other contrasts did not reveal any differential activation related to treatment

response in the amygdala, the insula, or the ACC. Beta-weights were extracted

from the cluster showing the greatest activation in the MCC, as well as the cluster

in the LG and subsequently used in a multiple regression. When modelled together

with the behavioural measures, the aggregated model explained 50% of the total

variance in outcome, supporting the stated hypothesis that the combination of brain

measures and behavioural measures would explain more variation than behavioural

measures alone. Finally, gender, MADRS-S and CEQ were included as covariates

of no interest in a whole brain analysis containing residual gain scores as the

covariate of interest. Results from these analyses showed that activity in the LG as

well as the left pMCC was related to treatment gains whilst controlling for the

effects of gender, MADRS-S and CEQ.

Differential responses to self- and other-referential criticism

The results from the paired sample t-test for response times suggest that when

viewing self-referential criticism participants responded with faster confirmation

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31

and subsequent removal of the stimuli. This could indicate that self-referential

criticism was more anxiety provoking and thus prompted a faster response time.

This is in line with findings reporting an increased avoidance of fear provoking

stimuli with increasing anxiety (Mogg, Bradley, Miles, & Dixon, 2004), something

which have also been illustrated in individuals with social anxiety (Heuer, Rinck,

& Becker, 2007). This interpretation is however not supported by the result on the

whole-brain analyses for Self > Other, and Other > Self contrasts, which displayed

no increased activation in the fear circuitry.

The exploratory analysis for the Other > Self contrast, without covarying for other

measures, revealed statistically significant activation in parts of the left occipital

gyrus, PCC, Angular gyri and dmPFC, areas which have previously been

implicated in the so called Default Mode Network (DMN; Raichle, 2015). The

DMN is a large network of brain areas, consisting roughly of vmPFC, dmPFC,

PCC, precuneus and lateral parietal cortex, that are active during resting or during

attention to internal states, and has been implicated in emotional processing, self-

referential mental activity and recollection of prior experiences (Raichle, 2015).

The DMN, usually studied via resting state fMRI, has previously been linked to

SAD (Peterson, Thome, Frewen & Lanius, 2014), and mixed results have been

presented with studies showing increased connectivity in the network (Liao et al.,

2011), no difference compared to healthy controls (Pannekoek et al., 2013), and

decreased connectivity in areas such as the PFC, the PCC and the AG (Doruyter et

al., 2016; Gentili et al., 2009; Qiu et al., 2011). A complementary view comes from

research on fear conditioning where it has been found that viewing a non-

conditioned stimulus, CS- also known as a safety signal activation is seen in these

very same areas, implicated in DMN (Fullana et al., 2016). As such, safety cues

provoke brain activation similar to when the brain is at rest, during internal focus

or recollection of prior experiences. In the current sample of participants with

SAD, greater DMN activation related to the other-referential stimuli suggesting

that they were interpreted as CS- relative to the self-referential stimuli.

Interestingly, Eisenberger et al. (2011) showed that being near an attachment figure

during a threatening experience produced activation in the vmPFC similar to that

related to safety signals. As many of the participants in the current sample likely

selected attachment figures as their significant other, it is quite possible that the

other-referential stimuli induced this sort of attachment-related safety signal,

explaining the activation pattern seen on the Other > Self contrast. The exploratory

analysis for the Self > Other contrast, without covarying for other measures,

showed significantly greater activation in the bilateral supramarginal gyrus and

right dPCC. The activation in the superior and inferior supramarginal gyrus area

overlaps almost entirely with the secondary somatosensory cortex (SII; Ruben et

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32

al., 2001). The SII has been strongly implicated in the processing of pain

(Apkarian, Bushnell, Treede & Zubieta, 2005). Furthermore a large overlap has

been demonstrated between the areas for physical- and social pain processing,

indicating the SII is central to the processing of social pain (Kross, Berman,

Mischel, Smith & Wager, 2011). Fullana et al. (2016), showed in their meta-

analysis that when contrasting conditioned feared stimuli, CS+, to a CS-, increased

activation was found in the SII, indicating this area to be related to fear processing.

Additionally when controlling for confounding variables the SII seemed to be more

involved in the anticipatory response of CS+. Relating to the current results this

could imply that even though we did not find a greater activation in the previously

outlined fear network for the Self > Other contrast, the activation in the SII could

yet indicate an increased fear response. As the region has also been implicated as

playing a central part in the sensory processing of pain, originating from physical

and social sources alike (Eisenberger, 2012) it is possible that the participants

experienced what would be described as social pain, and a related fear response.

The activation showing on the Self > Other contrast would thus indicate social

pain, related to the fear of negative evaluation central to SAD, producing a

differential fear response not in the areas most related to the fear circuitry, but in

the SII.

Predicting treatment response using behavioural measures and

demographic characteristics

Multiple regression analysis of behavioural measures hypothesised to predict

treatment response provided a statistically significant model, consisting of age,

gender, MADRS-S scores and CEQ scores, explaining 27% of the variance. CEQ

score at pretreatment emerged as the only significant predictor, with MADRS-S

score and gender trending towards significance. These behavioural measures, not

including age, were later modelled along with brain measures; the brain measures

by themselves explaining 34% of the variance, and the aggregated model

explaining 50% of the variance. Activity in both the pMCC and the LG emerged as

significant predictors in the final model. CEQ score and gender were also

significant predictors, such that higher treatment expectancy prior to treatment, and

being male, were related to greater treatment response. The effect of gender should

however be interpreted cautiously due to the skewed distribution, 63% of the

sample being women. Further, the current results illustrate that brain activations

from two areas in the brain added a great deal of value to the prediction of

treatment response in the current sample, pointing to the importance of further

studying neuroimaging as a way of predicting who will respond to treatment.

Notably however, behavioural and demographic predictors were chosen a priori,

while the brain measures were chosen post hoc, due to being the two most

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33

predictive areas in the current sample. Assuming the purpose of using

neuroimaging methods in prediction research should be to identify patterns of

neural activity which can be used to reliably predict who will respond to what

treatment.

The current paradigm is supposedly related to the fear of negative evaluation,

future studies could evaluate paradigms related to other proposed core processes in

SAD. As an example, Mörtberg and Andersson (2014) studied the predictive value

of pretreatment fear of negative evaluation, as well as the predictive value of two

character dimensions, namely anxious worry and self-directedness. The authors

found fear of negative evaluation to be predictive of residual gain scores at

posttreatment in individual cognitive therapy, but not for participants undergoing a

similar group therapy. Anxious worry at pretreatment however was negatively

related to residual gain scores at posttreatment as well as 1-year follow-up for the

entire sample, regardless of treatment received. As such, fMRI-paradigms which

elicit activation related to the construct of anxious worry could be investigated for

their predictive value CBT for SAD. In general, neuroimaging research aiming to

predict treatment response would likely benefit from understanding the neural

correlates of behavioural measures which have previously been shown to predict

treatment response, and developing experimental tasks by which these activations

can be evaluated.

As previously mentioned, results from the multiple regression model of possible

behavioural predictors revealed CEQ scores as the only significant predictor, such

that higher CEQ scores were related to greater treatment gains. Treatment

credibility and treatment expectancy, as measured by the CEQ, this appears to be

emerging as one of few stable predictors of treatment response in CBT for SAD. It

has been proposed that the credibility index measures cognitive appraisal of the

treatment, while the expectancy index measures affective appraisal (Devilly &

Borkovec, 2000), and that these therefore measure two aspects of the same

underlying construct (Boettcher, Renneberg & Berger, 2013). Further, it has been

suggested that treatment expectancy and treatment credibility are related to

additional processes important for psychotherapy outcome, such as self-efficacy

and readiness for change (Price & Andersson, 2012). Boettcher, Renneberg and

Berger (2013) found that part of the effect treatment expectancy had on treatment

outcome was mediated by early treatment gains, and by improved adherence, but

also found that treatment expectancy asserted a direct effect beyond that explained

by the mediators. Results such as these highlight the importance of further

investigating through which processes treatment expectancy affects treatment

response to enable further development of treatment methods. For a long time,

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34

treatment expectancy was regarded as a variable to be factored out, so as to isolate

effects unrelated to expectation effects (Constantino, Arnkoff, Glass, Ametrano &

Smith, 2011). Constantinto et al. however discuss the fact that expectations about

treatment in recent years have been acknowledged as a central process in

psychological treatment, and an important consideration in the choice of treatment

to be delivered, as well as for the therapist to actively cultivate treatment

credibility by providing a clear rationale, and positive treatment expectancy by

acknowledging treatment success and reinforcing the patient's self-efficacy relating

to their ability to change. As an example, Nordgreen et al. (2012) found that

treatment expectancy was related to treatment adherence in unguided, but not in

guided, self-help for SAD, perhaps alluding to an effect of therapist guidance in

mitigating early concerns from the patients. Regarding the current sample,

expectancy and credibility measures were likely affected by the fact that

participants applied for the study of their own volition, expecting to receive an

evidence based, internet-delivered treatment for their SAD. The participants also

underwent a comprehensive screening process, involving multiple contacts with

research personnel, as well as attending two MRI-sessions prior to commencing

treatment. It is feasible that this affected the participants’ ratings of credibility and

expectancy, as they formed an opinion on the competency and credibility of the

research staff and the project in general. The context of the study therefore

produces a stark contrast to a hypothetical naturalistic setting, where patients,

unfamiliar with common concepts of psychological treatment, seek treatment for

SAD through outpatient psychiatric care and are offered ICBT as their only

alternative. In such a setting, attention to the expectations that patients have on the

treatment can be of great importance to maximise treatment response. This has also

been discussed in the previously mentioned study by El Alaoui, Ljótsson et al.

(2015) who investigated the effect of treatment credibility in an outpatient ICBT

treatment for SAD and found treatment credibility, measured at the second week of

treatment, to be the strongest prognostic factor of both adherence and symptomatic

improvement. The authors noted that their participants specifically applied for

internet-delivered treatment, and that it would be interesting to compare the

predictive value of treatment credibility in a sample where patients had varying

preferences regarding the modality of treatment delivery.

Prediction analyses correlating brain responses to residual gain scores

Results from the current analyses assessing the predictive value of brain activation

indicate activity in the anterior and posterior MCC as well as the LG at nine weeks

prior to treatment as being predictive of treatment outcome. Regarding the aMCC

and the pMCC, these areas have been shown to be activated by a multitude of tasks

(Vogt, 2005; Vogt, Berger & Derbyshire, 2003), with the aMCC, commonly

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35

misnamed as the dACC (Vogt, 2016), involved in context evaluation as well as

regulation of behavioural strategies including pain avoidance and reward

sensitivity, and pMCC involved in spatial orientation of the own body along with

pain processing and attention to sensory stimuli including harmful stimuli (Vogt,

2016). Regarding social situations, this is resonated in Apps, Lockwood, and

Balsters, (2013) who illustrate that the MCC is involved in predicting and

monitoring outcome during social interaction. Moreover, the aMCC has been

implicated in the perception (Müller et al., 2010) and regulation of aversive social

stimuli (Koenigsberg et al., 2010) and the pMCC also having been found to be

activated in the perception of social stimuli (Gaebler et al., 2014) but additionally

facilitating cognitive appraisal as an emotion regulation technique (Diekhof, Geier,

Falkai & Gruber, 2011). Relating to our results, where greater activation on the

Other > Self contrast was related to greater treatment outcome, these findings

regarding the aMCC and pMCC could suggest that individuals who do better in

treatment have a greater ability to regulate their negative emotions and differentiate

between stimuli relating to the self or others. Interestingly, the cingulate cortex is

one of the most studied areas as pertains prediction of treatment response for both

the pharmacological and psychological treatment of psychiatric disorders. Activity

in the cingulate cortex has been shown to predict treatment response to CBT for

SAD (Klumpp, Fitzgerald & Phan, 2013; Månsson et al., 2015), Major Depressive

Disorder (Siegle, Carter & Thase, 2006; Fu et al., 2008), Panic Disorder (Lueken et

al., 2013) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder (Nitschke et al., 2009). In general

however, the activity found has been in the ACC, the rostral part of the cingulum,

which has been found to be involved in fear extinction (Sehlmeyer et al., 2009).

One reason for the differential findings currently reported could be the use of an

experimental task which is more related to cognitive components of SAD, and

therefore activates areas more related to cognitive reappraisal, rather than fear

extinction. Månsson et al. (2015) however investigated a previous version of the

paradigm using MVPA and found activity in the dACC and amygdala to be highly

predictive of treatment response.

Brühl et al. (2014) argued that one of the foremost conclusions of their meta-

analysis was the inclusion of the posterior parietal and occipital areas into the

neurobiological explanation for SAD which had prior to this been neglected. Brühl

and colleagues proposed, based on their analysis, that the occipital cortex showed

enhanced activity, and increased connectivity to the frontal lobule and amygdalae

as well as decreased connectivity to the PCC. In the current study, results suggest a

relationship between activity in the LG on the Other > Self contrast relating to

treatment outcome. Activation in occipital areas at pretreatment have previously

been related to treatment outcome in CBT for SAD, but only when viewing

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36

emotional faces, and not including the LG (Doehrmann et al., 2013; Klumpp,

Fitzgerald & Phan, 2013), suggesting different underlying processes as compared

to the current results. Even though the LG is extensively involved in visual

processing (Kastner & Ungerleider, 2000), it has also been suggested to influence

cognition as well as emotion (Pessoa, 2008) and being involved in shaping

perception depending on emotional states and stimuli (Lindquist, Wager, Kober,

Bliss-Moreau & Barrett, 2012). The LG has been shown to be more active during

fear learning (Damaraju, Huang, Barrett & Pessoa, 2009), memory of a fear

conditioned stimulus (Moratti & Keil, 2009), as well as viewing threatening stimuli

such as threat words (Isenberg et al., 1999) and angry faces (Morris, Buchel &

Dolan, 2001), thus LG seems to be involved in fear processing. Results from the

current study showed that differential activation in the LG depending on the target

of negative social stimuli was related to residual gain scores, further indicating a

possible association between aberrant fear processing and treatment response in

SAD. It should be noted that because of the connectivity network of the LG, the

emotional valence detection in visual stimuli could be driven by backward

feedback from the amygdala (Pessoa, 2008), even though the processing itself is

done by the visual cortex involving the LG (Kastner & Ungerleider, 2000). Thus

our results seem to be in line with Brühl et al. (2014), stating that the occipital

regions presumably have integrating and regulating functions in regard to emotion,

and that these are irregular in people with SAD.

To summarise the above, activity in fear circuitry areas a priori hypothesised to be

related to treatment did not emerge as significant predictors of treatment response

on whole-brain analyses for neither the Other > Self nor the Self > Other contrasts.

The results did however indicate that treatment response was predicted by activity

in an area involved in fear processing of emotionally valenced visual stimuli, the

LG, an area associated with using cognitive reappraisal to regulate emotion, the

pMCC, as well as an area related to minimizing pain and maximizing reward,

aMCC. This is not entirely surprising as cognitive reappraisal and being able to

tolerate discomfort in order to achieve long-term goals are core components of the

CBT-treatment used in this study. Moreover, aberrant visual processing and

hypervigilance to social threat could possibly be risk factors of slower rate of

change. As an example Jung et al. (2014) found differential volume of the LG to be

related to neuropsychological deficits and subsequent reduced response to

pharmacological treatment for Major Depressive Disorder. Fu et al. (2008) also

investigated participants with Major Depressive Disorder, and analysing their

cerebral responses to viewing sad faces found activation in the LG as well as the

cingulate cortex to be predictive of treatment response to CBT, further indicating

that these areas are important to achieve change during CBT-treatment. It is

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37

interesting to note that a previous study by Frick, Howner, Fischer, Eskildsen et al.

(2013) showed increased cortical thickness in the LG for participants with SAD

relative to healthy controls, while the current study indicates a role for this area in

predicting treatment response, suggesting that further research specifically target

this area.

Limitations

There are several limitations to be noted. First, the representativity of the current

sample can be called into question, not because of demographic characteristics, but

because of the fact that despite their social fears, these individuals were willing to

undergo a rigorous screening process, involving hours of online screening, several

phone calls in which they were diagnostically interviewed, and finally appear at an

MRI-lab, where they allowed unfamiliar professionals and researchers to lock them

inside an MRI-camera for an hour. Yet these individuals consented to go through

this process, four times, knowing what it would entail. Notwithstanding the awe

and gratitude the current authors feel towards these participants, it is safe to say

that not everyone suffering from SAD would have done the same. It might be

suggested that these participants were highly motivated to change at onset,

reflected by the large overall treatment response, and that they had an ability

uniquely suited for CBT treatment, namely the ability to willingly endure

discomfort in the service of long-term gains.

Second, in the current paradigm criticism related to both a significant other and the

self are likely to elicit social fear, thus when contrasting the conditions against

each other activation related to social fear is cancelled out, if not significantly

different depending on the target. Notably it has been shown that viewing a

significant other receiving negative comments elicits activation possibly related to

an empathic social response, indicating a shared social pain (Bernhardt, & Singer,

2012). This could possibly complicate the interpretation of the current results, as it

is uncertain whether the activation related to other-referential criticism in the

current paradigm elicits similar social fear to that of self-referential criticism, and

specifically how this is related to SAD. As such, including a control group could

have possibly shed additional light on how individuals with SAD experience social

pain differently than healthy controls. Also, multilevel analyses of the response

times could have been used to account for the nested data structure and repeated

measures, so as to further elucidate the nature of the difference between the

conditions.

Third, the brain regions a priori hypothesised to be related to treatment outcome

did not yield any significant results when performing whole-brain analyses, why

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38

data was analysed to specifically identify regions related to residual gain scores.

This kind of procedure, where data are unselectively explored to identify

correlations between brain activation at pretreatment and treatment response,

statistically significant at an arbitrary threshold, and uncorrected for multiple

comparisons, is especially problematic in neuroscience, where over a hundred

thousand comparisons are done for every analysis. Further, no analyses of

connectivity were perfosrmed, restricting our results merely to differential

activation of particular voxels, and no minimum cluster size was specified,

increasing the risk of random voxels exceeding the significance threshold. The

ensuing results must be regarded cautiously, knowing that they hold true only for

the current sample, for the specific paradigm, and that knowledge about how

generalizable the results are can only be gained by replicating them in a different

sample. A way to counteract these problems regarding exploration of correlations,

would have been to use cross-validation measures such as leave-one-out or leave-

k-out, as it would prevent overfitting the models and promote generalisability

(Kriegeskorte, Simmons, Bellgowan & Baker, 2009). Another way to partially

bypass these limitations would have been to use a multivariate method such as the

previously mentioned MVPA-methods, which are currently gaining in popularity

among neuroscientist.

Fourth, the within-group design of the study, and consequent lack of a control

group, limits the interpretations possible from the current results. It would have

been of great interest to study the differences between the present sample and a

group of healthy controls on the contrasts set up for the paradigm used. As it was

assumed that people with SAD would react more negatively to reading criticism

directed at them, a control group would have allowed the validation of this

assumption. Furthermore, as discussed, our findings suggest that the participants

experienced the other-related criticism as a form of control-condition, or even a

safety signal, and it would have been interesting to gauge the reaction of healthy

control.

Future research

The current study was the first to apply the experimental task used in its current

form. Though our results suggest that using the name of a significant other in the

paradigm could possibly be interpreted by the participants as a safety cue, further

research should look to validate these findings by employing a control group to

investigate how the activation found in our sample relates to that of healthy

controls. Furthermore the areas found to be related to treatment response in this

study could be employed as regions of interests in future studies, thus validating

their relevance to prediction of treatment response. It would undeniably be of

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39

interest to also employ a fear conditioning paradigm to see the differential

activation to CS+ and CS- in this comparison. It has also been reported that

individuals with SAD have been shown to have elevated fear conditioning

responses to social stimuli (Lissek et al., 2008) and show resistance to extinction

(Hermann, Ofer & Flor, 2004), thus a fear conditioning paradigm might also be of

interest in predicting treatment outcome by gauging the individual's pretreatment

conditioning pattern.

Finally, research on predictors should strive to integrate behavioural measures and

neuroimaging methods, using one to further the other, by investigating the neural

correlates of behavioural predictors, such as treatment expectancy, and the

behavioural correlates of neural predictors.

Conclusions

Despite the limitations delineated above, certain conclusions can be drawn.

Exploring the neural reactions to significant other- and self-referential statements,

it was illustrated that the participants showed a strong differential activation for

each condition, with self-referential statements appearing to be more related to fear

processing. Furthermore, differential activation in the LG and the MCC predicted

treatment response, and combined with behavioural measures explained 50% of the

variance, once again illustrating the value of neuroimaging methods in prediction

research. As few behavioural measures have proven to be reliably predictive of

treatment response in CBT for SAD, it would be preferable to increasingly apply

neuroimaging to assess which patients would benefit from treatment. As this is

rather costly, it is however unlikely to be realistic considering the neuroimaging

methods currently available, and lacking a clear-cut cost-benefit analysis. Another

direction would be to further investigate neural correlates of treatment response, as

well as the behavioural output related to those neural responses, so as to enable the

development of behavioural measures likely to capture the same explained

variance. To conclude, ICBT appears to be an effective treatment for many, but not

all, people suffering from SAD. Being able to identify those individuals would

allow for a more cost-efficient psychiatric care, as well as enabling the further

development of treatment options for treatment-resistant SAD.

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Appendix A

Liebowitz skala för social ångest (LSAS-SR) Fyll i följande formulär med det mest passande svarsalternativet som listas nedan. Basera svaren på hur

du har känt dig den senaste veckan (tänk dig in i hur du skulle reagera om du inte har varit med om

situationen under veckan). Om du har fyllt i formuläret tidigare, försök vara konsekvent i hur du bedömer

varje situation. Var vänlig och svara på alla frågor.

Rädsla eller ångest Undvikande

0 = Ingen 0 = Aldrig (0%)

1 = Mild 1 = Ibland (1–33% av tiden)

2 = Måttlig 2 = Ofta (33–67% av tiden)

3 = Stark 3 = Vanligtvis (67–100% av tiden)

Gäller för följande situationer:

Rädsla eller

ångest (0-3)

Undvik

ande

(0-3)

1. Tala i telefon på allmän plats

2. Delta i små grupper

3. Äta på offentliga platser

4. Dricka tillsammans med andra på offentlig plats

5. Tala med människor i maktposition

6. Tala eller uppträda inför publik

7. Gå på fest

8. Utföra ett arbete medan någon ser på

9. Skriva medan någon ser på

10. Ringa upp någon som du inte känner särskilt väl

11. Tala med personer du inte känner väl

12. Träffa främmande människor

13. Urinera på en offentlig toalett

14. Komma in i ett rum där andra redan sitter ned

15. Vara i centrum för andras uppmärksamhet

16. Ta ordet på ett möte

17. Göra ett prov

18. Uttrycka oenighet eller ogillande med en person som du inte känner

särskilt väl

19. Se personer i ögonen som du inte känner särskilt väl

20. Avge en rapport till en grupp

21. Göra försök till sexuell kontakt

22. Lämna tillbaka (klaga på) köpta varor i en affär

23. Ordna en bjudning hemma

24. Stå emot en påstridig försäljare

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Appendix B

Montgomery Åsberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS-S)

Namn:________________________________________________ Datum:_______________

Avsikten med de följande 9 frågorna är att ge en detaljerad bild av Ditt nuvarande sinnestillstånd.

Vi vill alltså att Du ska försöka gradera hur Du mått under de senaste tre dygnen.

Frågorna innehåller en rad olika påståenden om hur man kan må i olika avseenden. Påståendena

uttrycker olika grader av obehag, från frånvaro av obehag till maximalt uttalat obehag.

Markera det alternativ Du tycker bäst stämmer in på hur Du mått de senaste tre dagarna. Tänk inte allt

för länge, utan försök arbeta snabbt.

Fråga Svar

1. Sinnestämning

Här ber vi dig beskriva din sinnesstämning, om du känner dig ledsen, tungsint eller dyster till

mods. Tänk efter hur du har känt dig de senaste tre dagarna, om du har skiftat i humöret eller

om det varit i stort sätt detsamma hela tiden, och försök särskilt komma ihåg om du känt dig

lättare till sinnet och det hänt något positivt.

0 Jag kan känna mig glad eller ledsen, alltefter omständigheterna.

1

2 Jag känner mig nedstämd för det mesta, men ibland kan det kännas lättare.

3

4 Jag känner mig genomgående nedstämd och dyster. Jag kan inte glädja mig åt sådant som

vanligen skulle göra mig glad.

5

6 Jag är totalt nedstämd och så olycklig att jag inte kan tänka mig värre.

2. Orokänslor

Här ber vi dig markera i vilken utsträckning du haft känslor av inre spänning, olust och ångest

eller odefinierad rädsla under de senaste tre dagarna. Tänk särskilt på hur intensiva känslorna

varit, om de kommit och gått eller funnits nästan hela tiden.

0 Jag känner mig mestadels lugn.

1

2 Ibland har jag obehagliga känslor av inre oro.

3

4 Jag har ofta en känsla av inre oro, som ibland kan bli mycket stark, och som jag måste

anstränga mig för att bemästra.

5

6 Jag har fruktansvärda, långvariga eller outhärdliga ångestkänslor.

3. Sömn

Här ber vi dig beskriva hur du sover. Tänk efter hur länge du sovit och hur god sömnen varit

under de senaste tre nätterna. Bedömningen skall avse hur du faktiskt sovit, oavsett om du tagit

sömnmedicin eller ej. Om du sover mer än vanligt, markera det första alternativet.

0

Jag sover lugnt och bra och tillräckligt länge för mina behov. Jag har inga särskilda svårigheter

att somna.

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67

1

2 Jag har vissa sömnsvårigheter. Ibland har jag svårt att somna eller sover ytligare eller

oroligare än vanligt.

3

4 Jag sover minst två timmar mindre per natt än normalt. Jag vaknar ofta under natten, även

om jag inte blir störd.

5

6 Jag sover mycket dåligt, inte mer än 2–3 timmar per natt.

4. Matlust

Här ber vi dig ta ställning till hur din aptit är, och tänka efter om den på något sätt skilt sig från

vad som är normalt för dig. Om du skulle ha bättre aptit än normalt, markera då första

alternativet.

0 Min aptit är som den brukar vara.

1

2 Min aptit är sämre än vanligt.

3

4 Min aptit har nästan helt försvunnit. Maten smakar inte och jag måste tvinga mig att äta.

5

6 Jag vill inte ha någon mat. Om jag ska få någonting i mig, måste jag övertalas att äta

5. Koncentrationsförmåga

Här ber vi dig ta ställning till din förmåga att hålla tankarna samlade och koncentrera dig på

olika aktiviteter. Tänk igenom hur du fungerar vid olika sysslor som kräver olika grad av

koncentrationsförmåga, till exempel läsning av komplicerad text, lätt tidningstext och TV-

tittande.

0

Jag har inga koncentrationssvårigheter.

1

2 Jag har tillfälligt svårt att hålla tankarna samlade på sådant som normalt skulle fånga min

uppmärksamhet (t.ex. läsning eller tv-tittande).

3

4 Jag har påtagligt svårt att koncentrera mig på sådant som normalt inte kräver någon

ansträngning från min sida (t.ex. läsning eller samtal med andra människor).

5

6 Jag kan överhuvudtaget inte koncentrera mig på någonting.

6. Initiativförmåga

Här ber vi dig att försöka värdera din handlingskraft. Frågan gäller om du har lätt eller svårt för

att komma igång med sådant som du tycker du bör göra, och i vilken utsträckning du måste

övervinna ett inre motstånd när du ska ta itu med något.

0

Jag har inga svårigheter med att ta itu med nya uppgifter.

1

2 När jag ska ta itu med något, tar det emot på ett sätt som inte är normalt för mig.

3

4 Det krävs en stor ansträngning för mig att ens komma igång med enkla uppgifter som jag

vanligtvis utför mer eller mindre rutinmässigt.

5

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68

6 Jag kan inte förmå mig att ta itu med de enklaste vardagsbestyr.

7. Känslomässigt engagemang

Här ber vi dig ta ställning till hur du upplever ditt intresse för omvärlden och för andra

människor, och för sådana aktiviteter som brukar bereda dig nöje och glädje.

0 Jag är intresserad av omvärlden och engagerar mig i den, och det bereder mig både nöje och

glädje.

1

2 Jag känner mindre starkt för sådant som brukar engagera mig. Jag har svårare än vanligt att

bli glad eller svårare att bli arg när det är befogat.

3

4 Jag kan inte känna något intresse för omvärlden, inte ens för vänner och bekanta.

5

6 Jag har slutat uppleva några känslor. Jag känner mig smärtsamt likgiltig även för mina

närmaste.

8. Pessimism

Frågan gäller hur du ser på din egen framtid och hur du uppfattar ditt eget värde. Tänk efter i

vilken utsträckning du ger dig självförebråelser, om du plågas av skuldkänslor, och om du

oroat dig oftare än vanligt för till exempel din ekonomi eller din hälsa.

0 Jag ser på framtiden med tillförsikt. Jag är på det hela taget ganska nöjd med mig själv.

1

2 Ibland klandrar jag mig själv och tycker att jag är mindre värd än andra.

3

4 Jag grubblar ofta över mina misslyckanden och känner mig mindervärdig eller dålig, även

om andra tycker annorlunda.

5

6 Jag ser allting i svart och kan inte se någon ljusning. Det känns som om jag var en alltigenom

dålig människa, och som om jag aldrig skulle kunna få någon förlåtelse för det hemska jag

gjort.

9. Livslust

Frågan gäller din livslust, och om du känt livsleda. Har du tankar på självmord, och i så fall, i

vilken utsträckning upplever du detta som en verklig utväg?

0 Jag har normal aptit på livet.

1

2 Livet känns inte särskilt meningsfullt, men jag önskar ändå inte att jag vore död.

3

4 Jag tycker ofta det vore bättre att vara död, och trots att jag egentligen inte önskar det, kan

självmord ibland kännas som en möjlig utväg.

5

6 Jag är egentligen övertygad om att min enda utväg är att dö, och jag tänker mycket på hur jag

bäst ska gå tillväga för att ta mitt eget liv.

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69

Appendix C

CEQ Frågor om behandlingen för social rädsla

Dina svar kommer inte att visas för din behandlare. Markera med ett kryss under den siffra som motsvarar

din uppfattning bäst.

1. Hur logisk tycker du att den här typen av behandling verkar?

0=Inte alls logisk 10=Mycket logisk

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Internet-baserad

kognitiv beteendeterapi

2. Hur säker är du på att den här metoden kommer vara framgångsrik i behandlingen av din sociala

rädsla?

0=Inte alls säker 10=Mycket säker

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Internet-baserad

kognitiv beteendeterapi

3. Med vilken grad av tillit skulle du rekommendera den här behandlingsmetoden till en vän med samma

typ av problem som du har?

0=Inte alls tillitsfull 10=Mycket tillitsfull

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Internet-baserad

kognitiv beteendeterapi

4. Hur framgångsrik tror du att denna behandling skulle vara i behandling av andra rädslor av olika

slag?

0=Inte alls framgångsrik 10=Mycket framgångsrik

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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kognitiv beteendeterapi

5. Hur förbättrad förväntar du dig bli av den här behandlingen?

0=Ingen förbättring alls 10=Helt bra/symptomfri

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

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kognitiv beteendeterapi

Page 77: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

70

Appendix D

Experimental task stimuli

27 statements directed in second person, and to a significant other in third person signified

with the placeholder “x” below. The Original statements are in Swedish seen here and

translated to English below in Appendix E.

Self-referential criticism Other-referential criticism

Du är en idiot X är en idiot

Du är tråkig X är tråkig

Du gör bort dig X gör bort sig

Du ser konstig ut X ser konstig ut

Alla skrattar åt dig Alla skrattar åt X

Du är en nolla X är en nolla

Du är pinsam X är pinsam

Alla hatar dig Alla hatar X

Du är misslyckand X är misslyckand

Alla tittar på dig Alla tittar på X

Ingen vill ha dig Ingen vill ha X

Du gör alltid fel X gör alltid fel

Du rodnar X rodnar

Du är värdelös X är värdelös

Du är korkad X är korkad

Du är dum X är dum

Du klarar det aldrig X klarar det aldrig

Du är ingenting X är ingenting

Du är svag X är svag

Du beter dig konstigt X beter sig konstigt

Du gör aldrig rätt X gör aldrig något rätt

Du är klumpig X är klumpig

Du är ful X är ful

Du är hatad X är hatad

Ingen respekterar dig Ingen respekterar X

Du är en förlorare X är en förlorare

Du är nervös X är nervös

Page 78: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

71

Appendix E

Experimental task stimuli

27 statements directed in second person, and to a significant other in third person signified

with the placeholder “X” below. The Original statements are in Swedish, see Appendix D,

translated to English below.

Self-referential criticism Other-referential criticism

You are an idiot X is an idiot

You are boring X is boring

You are making a fool out of yourself

X

is making a fool out of

themselves

You look weird X looks weird

Everyone is laughing at you Everyone is laughing at X

You are a nobody X is a nobody

You are embarrassing X is embarrassing

Everyone hates you Everyone hates X

You are a failure X is a failure

Everyone is watching you Everyone is watching X

Nobody wants you Nobody wants X

You always screw up X always screws up

You are blushing X is blushing

You are worthless X is worthless

You are stupid X is stupid

You are dumb X is dumb

You will never make it X will never make it

You are nothing X is nothing

You are weak X is weak

You are acting strange X is acting strange

You never do anything right

X

never does anything

right

You are clumsy X is clumsy

You are ugly X is ugly

You are hated X is hated

No one respects you No one respects X

You are a looser X is a loser

You are nervous X is nervous

Page 79: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

72

Appendix F

Whole-brain univariate voxel-wise test to Other > Self and vise versa

Table F1

Whole-brain univariate voxel-wise test to Other > Self and vise versa.

MNI-

coordinates

Volume

Contrast Region x y z (mm3) Z

Other > Self

L Anterior middle temporal gyrusa -60 -12 -14 2192 5.22

L Dorsal posterior cingulate cortexa -4 -54 28 5904 4.99

R Middle occipital gyrusa 6 -90 -10 2168 4.6

R Angular gyrus 46 -58 22 1296 4.34

L Angular gyrusa -42 -58 22 2616 4.27

L Ventromedial prefrontal cortex -4 58 -10 160 3.84

L Supplementary motor area -8 20 56 432 3.79

L Middle occipital gyrus -12 -100 -2 408 3.65

L Posterior middle temporal gyrus -58 -34 -2 352 3.47

L Ventromedial prefrontal cortex -6 66 26 296 3.4

L Dorsomedial prefrontal cortex -6 48 40 264 3.31

R Supplementary motor area 18 32 46 64 3.22

L Subgenual cingulate cortex -2 8 -8 16 3.17

R Middle occipital gyrus 18 -80 -16 16 3.14

L Ventromedial prefrontal cortex -6 64 0 24 3.12

Self > Other

R Superior supramarginal gyrusa 48 -34 50 2232 4.36

L Supramarginal areaa -64 -42 34 7960 4.23

R Inferior supramarginal gyrus 66 -32 22 1784 3.83

R Dorsal posterior cingulate cortex 12 -32 36 480 3.79

R Postcentral gyrus 60 -20 34 352 3.66

R Occipitotemporal area 50 -58 -4 336 3.54

R Posterior middle temporal gyrus 54 -44 2 152 3.47

L Hippocampus -30 -40 8 40 3.35

R Inferior supplementary motor area 52 0 6 24 3.27

L Occipitotemporal area -46 -68 0 56 3.25

L Precentral gyrus -44 -6 14 32 3.24

R Dorsal posterior cingulate cortex 28 -54 12 40 3.24

R Intraparietal sulcus 38 -50 10 48 3.24

L Premotor cortex -60 4 22 16 3.2

R Dorsal posterior cingulate cortex 16 -18 36 16 3.17

Note. All listed clusters significant at p < 0.001 (uncorrected), MNI, Montreal Neurological

Institute; Z, Z-score. a pFWE < 0.05

Page 80: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

73

Appendix G

Fear circuitry activation in Other > Fixation Cross and Self > Fixation Cross

contrasts

Figure G1 Figure G2

Other > Fixation Cross. Showing only activity

in the amygdala, hippocampus, and insula

bilaterally. All shown clusters significant at p <

0.001 (uncorrected). Sagittal view, x = -20,

Coronal view, y = -32, Axial view, z = -4

Self > Fixation Cross. Showing only activity in

the amygdala, hippocampus, and insula

bilaterally. All shown clusters significant at p <

0.001 (uncorrected). Sagittal view, x = -20,

Coronal view, y = -32, Axial view, z = -4

Page 81: Prediction of treatment response in Social Anxiety

74

Appendix H

Correlations between predictor variables

Table H1

Correlations between predictor variables

Measure 1 2 3 4 5 6

1. Age –

2. Gender -0.27 –

3. MADRS-S -0.01 0.23 –

4. CEQ -0.09 0.08 0.16 –

5. L pMCC 0.00 0.00 -0.13 0.27 –

6. L LG 0.20 -0.09 -0.03 0.16 0.42** –

Note. ** Correlations significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). MADRS-S, Montgomery-Åsberg

Depression Rating Scale; CEQ, Credibility/Expectancy Questionnaire; pMCC, Posterior Mid

Cingulate Cortex; LG, Lingual Gyrus.