pre-feasibility study of ‘integrated solid waste
TRANSCRIPT
Pre-feasibility Study of
‘INTEGRATED SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PROJECT’
(Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan City, Chhireshwarnath Municipality, Mithila
Municipality, Bardibas Municipality & Dhanusadham Municipality)
March 2019
New Baneshwor, Kathmandu, Nepal
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Pre-feasibility Study of
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LIST OF ACRONYMS
ADB Asian Development Bank
BCR Benefit Cost Ratio
CBG Compressed Biogas
CBO Community Based Organization
CBS Central Bureau of Statistics
DESR Debt Equity Service Ratio
DFID Department for International Development
EIA Environmental Impact Assessment
EPC Engineering Procurement and Construction
EPR Environment Protection Rules
GON Government of Nepal
IEE Initial Environmental Examination
IRR Internal Rate of Return
ISWMP Integrated Solid Waste Management Project
MSW Municipal Solid Waste
NGO Non-Government Organization
NPV Net Present Value
OIBN Office of the Investment Board Nepal
PPP Public Private Partnership
SWM Solid Waste Management
SWMTSC Solid Waste Management Technical Support Centre
WTE Waste to Energy
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Solid waste management is one of the major problem for municipalities in Nepal. Rapid
Urbanization, population growth, modern throwaway culture, reduced landfill capacity
and increasing disposal costs have made this issue a major challenge in recent years. This
is going to be worse in coming years. So, it is important that we recognize this challenge
and prepare ourselves for the future.
Office of the Investment Board (OIBN) is looking forward to attract investment in range of
projects by creating a common platform in upcoming Investment Summit (March, 2019).
One of the key areas identified for the foreign investment is the solid waste management
sector. The main purpose of the study on “integrated solid waste management project
(ISWMP)” is to reflect the current scenario of waste management in proposed locations
which includes Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan City, Chhireshwarnath Municipality, Mithila
Municipality, Bardibas Municipality, & Dhanusadham Municipality of Province 2 and to
document the technical and financial viability of the project. The study included both
primary and secondary data collection methods. Primary data were collected through
visiting each municipalities and speaking to the mayors and other local government
officials whereas the Secondary data was collected from different sources like published
reports, Journal articles and other verifiable and credible internet sources.
This project seems best suited to be developed in a public private partnership (PPP)
model where GON will help in facilitating to get the necessary land for the project which
includes the land for developing transfer stations, processing plant and landfill site. The
developer will then develop all the infrastructure necessary for the smooth
implementation of the project and will operate the project for 20 years which will then
be transferred to GON in good operating condition.
The study looked into the technical and financial aspects of this project and concluded
that the project is technically and financially viable with the total estimated cost to be
around 6.4 Million USD (including interest component during construction period) and
Equity IRR of 16.41%.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF ACRONYMS 2
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS 4
LIST OF TABLES 6
LIST OF FIGURES 7
SALIENT FEATURES OF THE PROJECT 8
1. BACKGROUND 11
1.1. Introduction 11
1.2. Municipal Solid Waste Management in Nepal 11
1.3. Objectives 12
1.4. Scope of Work 13
1.5. Approach & Methodology 13
2. PROJECT DETAILS 15
2.1. Project Background and Description 15
2.2. Project Features 16
2.3. Overview of the Area 18
2.4. Developing a Business Case 20
Product Mix 20
2.5. Market Assessment 23
2.6. SWOT Analysis 24
2.7. Examination and evaluation of alternatives 25
2.8. Relevant case studies 27
Case Study 1 27
Case Study 2 28
3. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS 30
3.1 Pre-Feasibility Approaches & Assumptions 30
3.2 Financial Analysis 34
3.2.1 Basic Financial Results 34
3.2.2 Sensitivity Analysis 35
4. STATUTORY AND LEGAL FRAMEWORK 36
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4.1 Statutory and Legal Framework 36
5. PRELIMINARY ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT 39
6. PRELIMINARY RISK ANALYSIS 41
7. PROJECT STRUCTURE AND IMPLEMENTATION MODEL 45
8. FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 46
8.1. Findings 46
8.2. Recommendations 46
9. ANNEX 48
9.1. Next Steps and Useful Contacts 48
9.2. Map of Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan City 49
9.3. Map of Chhireshwarnath Municipality 50
9.4. Map of Mithila Municipality 51
9.5. Map of Bardibas Municipality 52
9.6. Map of Dhanusadham Municipality 53
9.7. Annex- Financial Report 54
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LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Salient Features of the Project
Table 2: Project Features
Table 3: Quantity and composition of Waste
Table 4: Revenue Sources from the Project
Table 5: Risk Factor Analysis
Table 6: Useful Contact information
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Average composition of household waste of 60 municipalities
Figure 2: Population of the municipalities included in the package
Figure 3: Waste generation of the municipalities included in the package
Figure 4: Average Waste Composition of the municipalities included in the package
Figure 5: Project area location map
Figure 6: Components and end uses of an anaerobic digestion plant
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SALIENT FEATURES OF THE PROJECT
Table 1: Salient Features of the Project
S.N. Features Characteristics
GENERAL
1 Name of Project Integrated Solid Waste management Project
2 Type Waste management
3 Total Population1 Daily waste
generation
(ton/day)2
Janakpur Sub-
Metropolitan
City
177527 56.28
Chhireshwarnath 47358 15.01
Mithila 50279 15.94
Bardibas 73868 23.42
Dhanusadham 50836 16.12
Total 399868 126.76
Average Waste
Composition (%
by weight)3
Organic 71.53
Reusable/Recyclables 28.15
Others (Including Hazardous Waste) 0.41
PROJECT LOCATION
Province Province 2
Land Availability 20 bigha of Land available
Project Location Bardibas Municipality
1 Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), 2011 (Population projected based on growth rate of Dhanusa District @ 1.4%). 2 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations (average per capita
waste generation taken 0.317 kg). 3 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations
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PROJECT COMPONENT/TECHNOLOGY
1 Anaerobic
Digestion
• Mesophilic (35-38 degree Centigrade) / Thermophilic
(above 50 degree centigrade)
• The methane gas will be compressed, bottled and sold to
local market
• Compost will be formed and sold to the local market as
organic fertilizer
MARKET ASSESSMENT
1 Project Demand
Scenario
• There is a pressure on municipalities to Improve and
modernize the collection methods and disposal technology.
• There is a need to reduce the pressure on waste disposal
practices and prices
• 80% reduction in the current volume of waste going to landfill
site which will extend the life of landfill site in the future.
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• The creation of renewable energy and other environmental
benefits
DEVELOPMENT MODALITY
1 Development modality Public Private Partnership
2 Role of Government of Nepal ▪ Facilitation
▪ Acquisition of land
▪ Security
▪ Project Monitoring
3 Roles Private Sector ▪ DPR
▪ Project Development
▪ Investment & Infrastructure development
▪ Operation and Management
▪ Project transfer after concession Period
4 Development Period
a. Pre-Construction Period
b. Financial Closure
c. Construction Period
d. Concession Period
▪ 6 Months
▪ 6 Months
▪ 3 Years
▪ 20 Years
FINANCIALS
1 Total Project Cost (Including IDC) 6.4 Million (USD)
2 Interest Rate 12%
3 Equity IRR 16.41
4 NPV Equity 1.08 Million (USD)
5 Debt Equity Ratio 70:30
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1. BACKGROUND
1.1. Introduction
Solid waste management is a growing problem around the globe. It is becoming one of
the major challenges for local bodies around the world. It is even a greater problem in
countries like Nepal where resources are limited and lack skilled manpower. Majority of
the Local government undertake these tasks internally with their own resources but some
local bodies manages it externally by outsourcing it to the private contractor. It is quite
evident that current population growth coupled with rapid urbanization and lack of
proper landfill facility will make solid waste management a major challenge in coming
days. So, it is important that we recognize this challenge and prepare ourselves for the
future.
1.2. Municipal Solid Waste Management in Nepal
In Nepal, solid waste management is one of the performance indicator and major
responsibility for municipalities. Urbanization and population growth together brings
major challenge of waste management. Cities like Kathmandu, Biratnagar, Birgunj,
Nepalgunj, Butwal, Janakpur, etc. are the main urban cities with industrial corridor and
importance of external trade. As a result, huge influx of people, changing lifestyle will
result in massive waste production. Though some of the major cities are practicing landfill
system of waste management, most of the places are deprived of sanitary waste
management techniques. This eventually will create the investment opportunity in waste
management sector along with collaboration with adjoining municipalities. More
amount of waste means more use of technological components.
ADB carried out a comprehensive study of Municipal Solid Waste of Nepal in 2013. It
analyzed the composition of solid waste in 58 Municipalities. The highest proportion on
Household waste was organic waste with 66% followed by plastics with 12%, and paper
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and paper products with 9%4. The average household per-capita waste generation of
those 58 municipalities of Nepal was 0.317 kg/capita/day5. A recent research
conducted by Engineering Study & Research Centre (P) Ltd. on behalf of Solid Waste
Management Technical Support Centre (SWMTSC) carried out the analysis of household
waste composition of 60 municipalities. The study found out that the organic matter,
which was around 68% of the total fraction, was the highest followed by plastics which
was 10%. Rest of the components are below 10% as Paper and paper products
constitutes 8% and rest of the components like Glass, metal, rubber and leather, textile,
etc. were at or below 6%6. This is represented graphically below by a pie chart (Fig. 1).
Figure 1: Average composition of household waste of 60 municipalities7
1.3. Objectives
Office of the Investment Board (OIBN) is looking forward to attract investment in range of
projects including projects on solid waste management by creating a common platform
4ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations 5 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations 6 D.R.Pathak, Engineering Study and Research Centre (P) Ltd., 2017, Solid Waste Management Baseline Study of 60 New Municipalities,
Accessed from:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/313161363_Solid_Waste_Management_Baseline_Study_of_60_New_Municipalities
7 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations
Organic Waste 68%,Plastics 10%
Paper & Paper
Products 8%
Glass 4%
Metals 1%
Textiles 2% Rubber & Leather 1%Others 6%
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in upcoming Investment Summit (March, 2019). Hence, OIBN has prepared a possible
package for Integrated Solid Waste Management Project (ISWMP) incorporating at least
more than one municipalities based on their daily waste generation and other relevant
criteria. Ultimately, it aims to show case those relevant packages in Investment Summit
(2019) to find the relevant investors for the project. Hence some of the major objective
of the report are as follows:
1. To understand current status of Solid Waste Management in the proposed
Municipalities and their future plans
2. To study the technical and financial viability of the project in the proposed
location
1.4. Scope of Work
The pre-feasibility study aims to reflect the current scenario of waste management in
proposed location and to document the technical and financial feasibility of ISWMP.
Ultimately, study will help to get overall idea of possibilities of investment in this specific
sector and area. Some of the major scope of the study are:
- To collect primary data, secondary data and all the required information for the
development of the said project.
- Carry out the analysis of the gathered information for different aspects such as
technical, financial, social and environmental
- Develop the best suitable investment model i.e. Private or PPP or Blended
Finance
- And provide recommendations based on the findings
1.5. Approach & Methodology
The study included both primary and secondary data collection methods. Primary data
were collected through visiting each municipalities and speaking to the mayors and
other local government officials. Few generic questions were prepared to get all the
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information as per guided by the objectives of the study. The questions were very
objective and open ended.
Secondary data was collected from different sources like published reports, Journal
articles and other verifiable and credible internet sources. Also, Financial, technical,
social and environmental analysis were carried out and a suitable investment model has
been recommended.
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2. PROJECT DETAILS
2.1. Project Background and Description
Solid waste management (SWM) is one of the major environmental issues in cities of many
developing countries, including Nepal. Urban population growth and economic
development lead to increasing generation of municipal solid waste (MSW). The use of
products that generate hazardous waste is another concern. Unmanaged disposal of
medical wastes from hospitals and clinics also contribute to pollution and public health
hazards in the localities. Therefore, SWM has become a major concern for the
municipalities of Nepal.
Current practice of solid waste management in the project area is very basic where the
municipalities or in some cases private contractors are collecting the waste and dumping
it along the river banks, low lying areas and other open spaces which possesses many
health and environmental risks. So, the idea is to develop an integrated solid waste
management plan where source separation will become an integral part of it.
Respective waste is taken to the transfer station and further segregated into recycling,
non-recycling and organic wastes which will then be processed using different
technology to develop different marketable products like organic fertilizer, cooking gas,
pesticide, etc.
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2.2. Project Features
Table 2: Project Features
Municipality Total Population8 Daily waste generation
(ton/day)9
Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan
City
177527 56.28
Chhireshwarnath 47358 15.01
Mithila 50279 15.94
Bardibas 73868 23.42
Dhanusadham 50836 16.12
Total 399868 126.76
Average Waste
Composition (% by weight)10
Organic 71.53
Reusable/Recyclables 28.15
Others (Including
Hazardous Waste)
0.41
Project Components Source Segregation
Collection
Transportation
Recycling
Processing
Disposal
The way we designed this project is that the potential developer is getting their raw
material (Waste) in excess of 100 tons per day and the cities are within the radius of 50
km. Also, the cities we have chosen are the ones with the high population numbers and
are the growing cities of Nepal which also presents huge growth potential.
8 Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), 2011 (Population projected based on growth rate of Dhanusa District @ 1.35%). 9 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations (average per capita waste
generation taken 0.317 kg). 10 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations
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Figure 2: Population of the municipalities included in the package11
Figure 3: Waste generation of the municipalities included in the package12
11 Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), 2011 (Population projected based on growth rate of Dhanusa District @ 1.4%) 12 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations (average per capita waste generation
taken 0.317 kg)
177527
47358 50279
73868
50836
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
200000
JANAKPUR CHHIRESHWARNATH MITHILA BARDIBAS DHANUSADHAM
Population
56.2815.01 15.94 23.42 16.12
126.77
Waste Generations Tons/Day
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Figure 4: Average Waste Composition of the municipalities included in the package13
2.3. Overview of the Area
The project incorporates Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan City, Chhireshwarnath Municipality,
Mithila Municipality, Bardibas Municipality, & Dhanusadham Municipality of Province 2.
Janakpur is the headquarters of Dhanusa District located in Southern Part of Nepal. The
city is center for religious and cultural tourism and covers an area of 1180 Sq. Km. The
District comprises of one Sub-metropolitan city, eleven urban municipalities and six rural
municipalities. Among them one sub-metropolitan city and three municipalities as
mentioned above have been incorporated in this package. Bardibas municipality from
Mahottari district has also been included in this package. This package has been designed
primarily based on total population, waste generation, connectivity and individual
municipal needs. The main source of pollution in the area is the influx of large amount of
religious tourist, improper sanitation and lack of proper waste management system.
The total projected population for 2019 for the sub-metropolitan city and all other
municipalities included in this package is 399868. The projected population is based on
2011 census data with the growth rate of 1.35%14.
This project area lacks proper waste management system. So the importance of the
proposed project is immense for the area. The composition of the waste based on the ADB
13 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations (Waste composition is based on the
Janakpur Municipality data)
14 Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS),2011, Population Monograph,
71.5
3
28.1
5
0.3
2
O R G AN I C R E U S AB L E / R E C Y C L AB L E S O T H E R S ( I N C L UD I N G
H AZ AR D O U S WAS T E )
AVERAGE WASTE COMPOSIT ION
(% BY WE IGHT )
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report15 published in 2013 shows that the Large portion of wastes are organic in nature
which either needs to be composted or converted into biogas.
Figure 5: Project area location map (Source: Google Earth)
15 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations
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2.4. Developing a Business Case
Product Mix
The product mix for this package consists of following components:
• Source Segregation
• Collection
• Transportation
• Recycling
• Processing
• Disposal
The developer should take responsibility of collection of waste which are separated at
source. The waste will then be transferred to the transfer station and then to the
processing site where the recycling materials are separated and sold to the
manufacturer whereas the organic waste will be turned into the biogas, organic fertilizer
and possibly pest repellent. Rest of the waste which can’t be either recycled or
processed are sent to the sanitary landfill site. Developer is only allowed to take maximum
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of 20% of collected waste to the landfill site as rest of the waste should be converted into
some sort of energy forms as mentioned above.
This project is going to be developed in a public private partnership (PPP) model. The
main objective of the ISWM-PPP is to promote sustainable, self-supporting partnerships
between micro and small enterprise and local authorities who, over time, improve lives
and livelihood of poor people in cities and municipalities of low-income countries. So for
this project the GON will facilitate in providing all the necessary land for the project
including the land for developing transfer station, processing plant and landfill site and
the developer will develop all the necessary infrastructure necessary for the smooth
delivery of all the project components mentioned above. The developer will own and
operate the project for 20 years and then transfer the project to the GON in good
operating condition.
On the basis of various factors such as overall level of waste management, composition
of waste, calorific value of waste, suitable quantities of waste, transportation time and
distance to the main processing plant, availability of land, availability of workers and
capacity, existing policies linked to waste management, marketing of product and
incentives for low carbon generation, anaerobic digestion is appropriate technology for
the proposed municipalities.
Anaerobic Digestion - Design and Technology
The proposed plant will be based on anaerobic digestion under Mesophilic (35-38
degree Centigrade) conditions. Similar to standard process of biogas generation, bio-
organic materials will be feed into a digester where anaerobic decomposition of the
organic materials takes place to produce biogas as a main product and compost as
byproduct. The gas thus generated will be then purified to increase the methane
concentration. The enriched biogas is then compressed using a suitable compressor and
filled into cylinders/cascades for distribution. Moreover, the digestate can be used as
organic fertiliser when the feedstock is source separated and non-contaminated organic
waste. The major components and end uses of an anaerobic digestion plant is shown
below;
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Figure 6: Components and end uses of an anaerobic digestion plant [Source:
https://biowaste-to-biogas.com/Download/biowaste-to-biogas.pdf]
Total land required:
According to the report by ADB in association with Australian Government Aid Program,
the land requirement for anaerobic digestion plant is 400–500 m2/ton (includes space for
drying of slurry)16. Hence, for our project to develop the processing site, the tentative land
required ranges from 29,016 m2 – 36,270 m2 (2.9 to 3.6 hectare). We have assumed that
only 80% of the biodegradable waste collected will be fed into the system to produce
biogas.
Based on the ongoing project of Ministry of Urban Development in cooperation with ADB
for project in Nepalgunj Sub Metropolitan City and Birgunj Metropolitan city, the tentative
land requirement for sanitary landfill site (based on comparison of the total waste
generation) for the proposed package is approximately 2.8-3.8 hectare.
16 Towards sustainable municipal organic waste management in south Asia, A guide book for policy makers and practitioners, ADB, 2011
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2.5. Market Assessment
The waste composition of our proposed municipality is as follows;
Municipality Total
Population
17
Total
Waste
generatio
n (Ton)18
organic matters
(Food waste, vegetable/fruit
waste, green leaves, animal
excreta, slaughter waste, Straw,
bamboo, woody waste, dry
leaves, etc.) [71.53%]19
Reusable/
recyclable
s (Metal, paper,
glass, plastic)
[28.15%]20
Others
(including
hazardous
waste)
[0.32%]21
Janakpur Sub-
Metropolitan City
109594 56.28 40.25 15.84 0.18
Chhireshwarnath 48699 15.01 10.74 4.23 0.05
Mithila 35151 15.94 11.40 4.49 0.05
Bardibas 41243 23.42 16.75 6.59 0.07
Dhanusadham 50105 16.12 11.53 4.54 0.05
Total 399868 126.76 90.67 35.68 0.41
Table 3: Quantity and composition of Waste
17 Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS),2011, Population Monograph (Growth rate @1.35) 18 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations (average per capita waste generation taken 0.317 kg) 19 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations 20 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations 21 ADB, 2013, Solid Waste Management in Nepal: Current status and Policy Recommendations
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The main products of our plant at 100 % capacity will be as follows;
Product Quantity/day Approximate rate
(NPR./KG)
Possible Market
/Area of use
Compressed Biogas
(Kg)
3373 85 Restaurants, Hotels,
etc.
Sale of fertilizer (Kg) 1450.72 15 Agro market
Pesticides (liter) 12084.50 8 Agro Market
Reusable &
recyclables (Kg)
30328 8 Scrap collection
center and
Industry
Table 4: Revenue Sources from the Project
2.6. SWOT Analysis
SWOT analysis enables identification of factors characterizing an entity or enterprise
under consideration in the context of a specified purpose, as well as classification of such
factors into four groups. Two of these comprise positive, and the other two negative
elements as shown in the table:
SWOT analysis for integrated solid waste management
Strength Weakness Opportunities Threats
- Improved hygiene and
cleanliness
- Source of Income for
Sub-
Metropolitan/Municipality
(as some royalty has to
be paid by the
developer)
- Lack of
awareness
- Misconception
about landfill site
- Lack of
environmental
knowledge
- Technical
deficiency
- Appropriate
legislative
framework for
proper
integrated solid
waste
management
- Compliance
with
- Opposition
from the local
people
because of
the lack of
understanding
to differentiate
between
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- There will be no annual
solid waste management
cost for concerned
authority
- The partner municipalities
have one kind of informal
consent among
themselves to develop
the project
- Source Segregation
- Land Availability
- Stable Government
- Lack of funding environmental
objectives
- Cost recovery of
solid waste
management
related services
- effective
establishment of
market for
different end
products
- Possibilities of
integration of
other nearby
municipalities
and rural
municipalities
- Financial
Viability
processing
and landfill.
- Lack of
investment in
infrastructure
due to
economic
crisis
- Poor
management
- Workers Strike
2.7. Examination and evaluation of alternatives
On the basis of various factors such as overall level of waste management, composition
of waste, calorific value of waste, suitable quantities of waste, existing policies linked to
waste management, etc. Anaerobic digestion is appropriate technology for the
proposed package. However we also looked into the following options:
Composting:
Composting of waste is a method of decomposing solid wastes. The process involves
decomposition of organic waste into humus known as compost which is a good fertilizer
for plants. Due to shortage of space for landfill in bigger cities, the biodegradable yard
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waste (kept separate from the municipal waste) is allowed to degrade or decompose in
a medium. A good quality nutrient rich and environmental friendly manure is formed
which improves the soil conditions and fertility. Organic matter constitutes high proportion
of the municipal solid waste generated in Nepal. This waste can be recycled by the
method of composting, one of the oldest forms of disposal. It is the natural process of
decomposition of organic waste that yields manure or compost, which is very rich in
nutrients. Composting is a biological process in which micro-organisms, mainly fungi and
bacteria, convert degradable organic waste into humus like substance. This finished
product, which looks like soil, is high in carbon and nitrogen and is an excellent medium
for growing plants. The process of composting ensures the waste that is produced in the
kitchen is not carelessly thrown and left to rot. It recycles the nutrients and returns them
to the soil as nutrients. Apart from being clean, cheap, and safe, composting can
significantly reduce the amount of disposable garbage. The organic fertilizer can be used
instead of chemical fertilizers and is better specially when used for vegetables. It
increases the soil’s ability to hold water and makes the soil easier to cultivate. It helped
the soil retain more of the plant nutrients.
Waste to Energy
The proposed technology is based on waste to biogas which will be treated further to
enhance the methane content followed by its compression and bottling. The other
alternatives could be Waste to Energy (WTE), is a term that is used to describe various
technologies that convert non-recyclable waste into usable forms of energy including
Heat, Fuels and electricity. There are number of processes which convert waste to energy
like gasification, pyrolysis, in-vessel composting, etc. As our technology is based on waste
to biogas its use as a fuel for combustion engines, which convert it to mechanical energy,
powering an electric generator to produce electricity. The design of an electric
generator is similar to the design of an electric motor. Moreover, the compressed
methane gas can be used as fuel in the vehicle.
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2.8. Relevant case studies
Case Study 1
Project Type: Commercial Biogas Plant
Developer: Gandaki Urja Pvt. Ltd.
Location: Majuwa, Pokhara Lekhnath Metropolitan city, Ward No. 32, Kaski District.
Total Capital Investment: NPR. 166,650,038.54
Total Operation and Maintenance Cost: NPR. 80,751,375.35
The proposed 45TPD Compressed Biogas Bottling and Fertilizer plant is to produce high
quality Compressed Biogas and Organic Fertilizer. A continuous flow stirred tank reactor
type digester is selected to decompose the organic materials in anaerobic conditions.
The plant shall consume about 45 tonnes of substrate per day including cow/buffaloes
dung, pig manure and poultry litter to generate 1600kg of Compressed Biogas (CBG) and
11000 kgs of organic fertilizer.
The proposed project site is at Majuwa, Pokhara Lekhnath Metropolitan city, Ward No.
32, Kaski District. The site is about 20 km from the Pokhara and about 30 km from Damauli,
about 500m north east along the Prithivi Highway. The developer has leased 15 ropanis
of land for setting up the plant. The proposed site is located in an area which receives
ample sunlight throughout the day. In addition, there are a few households on only one
side of the proposed plant (north western side) and thus this project will have minimal
social impact due to sparse population density.
The developer has partnered with SLPP RE-NEW, a reputed technology provider from
India with 15 years of experience in the field to develop and operate the plant. The
technology provider shall provide Engineering Procurement and Construction (EPC)
service and also be responsible for overall performance of the plant and machineries.
The technology provider shall also train the staffs and operators of the plant to have an
effective transition while handing over the project to the developers.
The primary produce of the plant shall be compressed biogas and other produce would
be organic fertilizers. The compressed biogas shall be supplied to the nearby hotels,
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restaurants, etc. as a substitute of LPG at about 10% reduction of the prevailing rate of
LPG/kg. Similarly, the organic fertilizers shall be supplied to various farms nearby the plant
and also throughout the country.
This project is financially viable as reflected by the key financial indicators. The internal
rate of return of the project is 14.93% and the project payback period is 8 years.
Case Study 2
Project Type: Waste to Energy Project through Anaerobic Digestion (Biogas) Technology
Developer: Venture Waste to Energy P. Ltd. (Vw2E)
Location: Panmara, Ward-6, Dharan Sub-Metropolitan City
Total Capital Investment: NPR. 24,85,02000
Venture Waste to Energy P. Ltd. (Vw2E) is a private limited company with the aim to
develop waste to energy project through Anaerobic Digestion. One of the major product
of the project is bio-methane gas which they aims to sell it to the domestic and industrial
consumers in Nepal.
The project aims to manage municipal solid waste from Dharan Municipality and use
organic waste as energy source through Anaerobic Digestion. The capacity of the plant
is 30TDP (Ton Per Day) and the project site is located at Panmara , Ward-6 of Dharan Sub
–Metropolitan City of Sunsari District in Province 1.
This project is using the SERI Organic Fuels Technology which is a multi-stage variable
hydraulic and solid retention, microbe incubated Bio-Reaction system. This technology
uses the “microbe incubated Bio-Reactors (MIBR) with stabilized incubation system and
laboratory cultured feed specific microorganisms and related biotechnology and fast
breeder media”. This technology can process any organic feedstock like fruits and
vegetables waste. Not only organic feedstock, it also processes agricultural waste, oil
effluents, poultry and fish remains etc. One of the major advantages of this technology is
that it processes 100% of waste processed.
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The output of this projects are biogas, organic fertilizer, pest repellant and recycling
scraps. The project is technically and financially viable based on their key financial
indicators.
The information provided above are all based on the Detail Project report submitted by
Venture Waste to Energy P. Ltd to Office of Investment Board.
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3. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
3.1 Pre-Feasibility Approaches & Assumptions
Project cost
Total cost of the Project amounted to Dollars 5,659,740 Excluding Interest during
Construction. The Total cost including interest amounted to Dollars 6,406,705.96. Costs
are assumed to occur evenly in construction period.
Particulars
Amount in
Dollars
Land
-
Civil Structure
565,974
Machinery
5,037,169
Others
56,597
Interest During Construction 746,966
Total Project cost
6,406,706
The portion of the interest during construction is capitalize in the individual assets on
proportionate basis.
Capital Structure
The Projects is proposed to be finance in a 70:30 debt equity ratio on the total cost of
the project including Interest during construction (IDC). The requirement of Working
capital would be finance by internal resources itself. Based on the Structure, The total
Investment pattern has been tabulated below:
Component Percentage Amount In Dollars
Equity
30.00%
1,922,012
Debt
70.00%
4,484,694
Total 6,406,706
Civil
Structure
9%
Machinery
78%
Others
1%
Interest During Construction
12%
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Solid Waste Generation & Composition
The overall Financial Analysis is based on the total generation of the solid waste on the
various Municipalities included in this package. The areas that has been included in
Integrated Solid Waste Management Project (ISWMP), Janakpur Package are listed
below:
Total Waste Collection in Janakpur Package has been calculate to be 126.76 Tons per
day. Based on the information and data, composition of the total Solid waste collection
of Janakpur Package is tabled below:
Composition of the waste (At 100% capacity) In Tons % of
Composition
Organic
91
71.53%
Reusable/Recyclables
36
28.15%
Others (Including Hazardous Waste) 0.4
0.42%
Collection Efficiency
Based on the various studies conducted by international agencies and prevailing market
tendency, collection of the Solid waste has been assumed as follows
Household Collection Efficiency
From To Efficiency
0 year
3 year
0%
4 year
13 year
50%
14 year 23 year 60%
Out of the total collected solid waste component, it has been estimated that the
following output could be realized from the project. Details of output quantity has been
computed based on the efficiency as elaborated in table above
The output is assume to increase at the rate of 1.35% per annum, which is based on the
population growth rate.
Areas Included
Janakpur Sub metropolitan, Chhireshwarnath Municipality, Mithila
Municipality, Bardibas Municipality, Dhanusadham Municipality
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Output Per day Output in KGS
Output- Gas
3373
Output - organic fertilizer
1450.72
Output- Reusable/Recycles
30328
Output – Pesticide 12084.5
Project Construction and Operation Period
The Project is assumed to build in the period of 3 Years. And the total operation period
after the construction period would be 20 Years. The project would be hand over to the
government after the completion of the operation period.
Tax, staff Bonus, and Depreciation Assumptions
The tax rate for the Project is assume at 25% on profit earned during the year. Further the
loss carryforward has been taken for 12 years in due consonance with the provision of
Income tax Act 2058. Further, the Staff bonus is assume at 10% on taxable income earned
during any year of the operation as required by The Bonus Act.
Also, the rate depreciation and basis of depreciation is in due adherence to the
provisions of the Income tax Act as Follows:
Particulars Depreciation Method Rate of Depreciation
Land SLM 5.0%
Civil Structure
WDV
5.0%
Machinery
WDV 15.0%
Others SLM 20.0%
However, 1/3 of the additional Depreciation has not been taken into consideration as
facilitated by income tax Act.
Basis of Revenue and Inflation
The Project has mainly two streams of Revenue Module:
1. Collection from Household &
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2. Revenue from sale of Output from Organic Digestion.
Followings are the rates of sales of the output generated from Organic & Reusable Solid
wastes collected.
Sales Rate in
Dollars/KG
Sales Rate in Dollars/KG Sales Rate in
NPR
Gas 0.75 85
organic fertilizer 0.13
15
Reusable/Recycles 0.07
8
Pesticide 0.07 8
Further, each house hold is charged at the rate of Dollars 0.44 as Monthly Charges. Total
Number of Household in the beginning of the period is 73,200 families. The increase rate
of the number of family is based on the growth rate in Population and Output as
discussed above. The sales inflation rate is assumed to increase at the rate of 3% Per
annum and which would be capped at 180%
Other Cost of operations
The project is estimated to have total operating cost of 7% based on the project initial.
The Operations cost are Inclusive of all staff salary, Vehicle Maintenance but don’t
include Interest cost and depreciation cost component It is further Assumed that the
total operation expense is likely to increase at the rate of 4% With the cap of 200%. As
discussed in earlier Paragraph, the project would be financed by 70% Debt. The Interest
rate that has been taken into the calculation is12% which would be repaid in four equal
installment In the period of 12 Years.
Working capital and other Assumptions used
It has been assumed that the overall working capital requirement would be financed by
the equity holders. The working capital has been assumed on following basis.
Receivable & advance 30 Days
Payable and liabilities 15 Days
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Total number of working days has been assumed to be 330 Days and 12 working months.
The total population living in project area of Janakpur Package is 399868 Persons
3.2 Financial Analysis
3.2.1 Basic Financial Results
The project cost for Integrated Solid Waste Management Project (ISWMP), Janakpur
package has taken from desk study report prepared by IBN. It is assume that all the cost
present are in line with current cost structure. It is also assumed that the project
development cost was prepared based on the district rates and prevailing marked rates.
The total Cost of the project is 6,406,705.96 Dollars of Which 746,965.64 Dollars is interest
Component during Construction. The total project excluding Working capital has been
financed by 70% debt and remaining by Equity.
In analysis of the Pre-feasibility of the project, projections are made using different
techniques. Based on the analysis, Project Net Present Value (NPV) was calculated to
1,083,689.70 Dollars.
Also, the Project IRR is calculated to be 14.81% which exceed the required rate of return
of the project. Equity IRR of the Project is at 16.41%. Project IRR & Equity IRR substantiate
the feasibility of the Project. Project Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) is 1.19 Times whereas Equity
BCR is 1.56 Times.
The Project Payback Period & Equity Payback Period are 6.51 years and 13.12 years
respectively. Considering the specific nature of business and overall industry, the pay-
back period seems to be satisfactory.
The average DSCR is computed at 1.42 Times. Although DSCR is low in initial years, it has
been gradually increased.
Indicators Results
Firm IRR
14.81%
Equity IRR
16.41%
NPV- Equity
1,083,689.70 Dollars
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Debt Equity Service Ratio (average) 1.42 Times
Project BCR
1.19 Times
Equity BCR
1.56 Times
Simple Payback Period 6.51 Years
Discounted Payback Period 13.12 Years
3.2.2 Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity Analysis has been carried out on three different components: Interest Rate, O
& M Cost and Project cost.
Rate Increase/Decrease by 5%
Percentage of change Impact on Equity IRR % of change
0.00% 16.41%
5.00% 15.91% -3.05%
-5.00% 16.92% 3.06%
O & M Increase/Decrease by 5%
O&M cost Impact on Equity IRR % of change
0.00% 16.41%
5.00% 15.90% -3.11%
-5.00% 16.93% 3.13%
Project Cost Increase/Decrease by 5%
Project Cost Impact on IRR % of change
0.00% 16.41%
5.00% 14.96% -8.85%
-5.00% 18.00% 9.64%
Based on the analysis, It seems that the project cost is highly sensitive as compared with
O&M Expenses and Interest rates. The special focus to provide to project cost ensuring
the cost remains as the as projected.
The Financial Statement of first 10 years of operation has been separately annexed in the
report.
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4. STATUTORY AND LEGAL FRAMEWORK
4.1 Statutory and Legal Framework
There are number of legislations on solid waste management which governs all the
activities related to its operation. Major ones are given below:
1. Solid Waste Management National Policy, 1996
The first Solid Waste Management National Policy was formulated in 2053 BS
(1996AD) to tackle the emerging solid waste management problems due to
urbanization. The policy emphasized on waste management in municipal and
urban areas. This policy is still in force.
2. The Environment Protection Act, 1996
Sub-article 7.1 of The Environment Protection Act (1996) prohibits haphazard waste
disposal, which will have an adverse impact on environment or civic health. This is
an overarching act on environmental protection from which all other
environmental related legislations are guided including waste management.
3. The Local Self-Governance Act, 1999
The act was issued within the context of decentralization. It stipulates that all
responsibilities for solid waste management (SWM) including collection,
transportation and final disposal have been transferred over to the municipalities,
together with other duties and authority to protect the local environment.
4. Solid Waste Management Act, 2011
The Government of Nepal enacted the Solid Waste Management Act of 2011
effective from 15 June 2011. The objectives of the act include maintaining a clean
and healthy environment by minimizing the adverse effects of solid waste on
public health and the environment. The local bodies, such as municipalities, have
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been made responsible for the construction, operation, and management of
infrastructure for collection, treatment, and final disposal of MSW. The act
mandates local bodies to take the necessary steps to promote reduce, reuse, and
recycle (3R), including segregation of MSW at source. It also provides for the
involvement of the private sector, community-based organizations (CBOs), and
nongovernment organizations (NGOs) in SWM through competitive bidding.
Procedures for bidding, selection of the successful bidder, and authority of the
bidder in collecting tipping fees (tariffs) against SWM services are provided. In
addition, the act authorizes the imposition and collection of service fees against
SWM services, and prescribes the basis for fixing such fees and procedures for their
collection and usage. It also authorizes the local bodies to formulate rules, by-laws,
and guidelines, with the approval of the municipal board.
5. Solid Waste Management Regulation 2013
Government of Nepal in 2013 published Solid Waste Management Regulation
under the rights of Solid Waste Management Act, 2068. This regulation has
emphasized the segregation of hazardous waste at source and mentioned that
the responsibility of proper disposal and management of segregated hazardous
waste belongs to the producers themselves. The regulation has also given priority
for the segregation and minimization of waste at source. And this has emphasized
the role of local authority for creating mass awareness for managing the waste
accordingly.
6. Investment Board Act 2068 (2011):
As per section 9 (1) ( C ) of the Investment Board Act, 2011 (2068 BS), OIBN has
been facilitating investment in solid waste management projects in Urban Areas.
The law states that “Irrespective of whatever stipulation made in existing laws, the
investment required for implementation of any project for Solid Waste
Management and Treatment in urban areas should be mobilized based on this
Act”. So, any projects of this nature should get approval from the Investment Board
before they start implementing the project.
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Managing solid waste has been accorded a low priority mainly because the demand is
higher for other public services in many municipalities in Nepal. Local bodies are
experiencing difficulties in developing management plans due to the lack of SWM
baseline information and data related to the functional elements of SWM. It is essential
to know the quantity and composition of MSW when designing and implementing proper
waste management plans that include resource recovery through appropriate methods.
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5. PRELIMINARY ENVIRONMENTAL AND SOCIAL IMPACT
ASSESSMENT
Environment assessment of waste processing and management facilities is required to be
undertaken with the objective of providing services to the population of the area. Existing
law in Nepal have provision of carrying out Initial Environmental Examination (IEE) or
Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) depending upon the extent, duration and
magnitude of environmental impacts. As mentioned in Environment Protection Rules
(EPR), following projects requires IEE:
1. For municipal waste,
a. Filling of land with One thousand to Five Thousand tons of waste a year.
b. Activities relating to transfer stations and resource recovery areas spread over
from 5 to 10 hectares.
c. Selecting, picking, disposing, and recycling waste through chemical,
mechanical or biological techniques in an area from 5 to 10 hectors.
d. Activities relating to compost plants in an area ranging between 5 to 10
hectares.
e. Operations of sewerage schemes more than Five millions.
Similarly, following projects should conduct Environmental Impact Assessment, if
required,
1. Waste management activities to the undertaken with the objective of providing
services to a population of more than Ten Thousand.
2. Following activities relating to waste emitted from houses and residential areas: -
a. Filling of land with more than 5,000 tons of waste per year.
b. Activities relating of transfer station and resources recovery areas spread over
an area of more than 10 hectares.
c. Selecting, picking, disposing and recycling wastes through chemical,
mechanical or biological techniques' in an area spread over more than 10
hectares.
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d. Activity relating to compost plants spread over an area of more than 10
hectors.
e. Burying of waste emitted from an urban area with a population of at least
Ten Thousand.
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6. PRELIMINARY RISK ANALYSIS
A set of risk factors which are cross cutting all technologies pertain to due diligence and
transparency at the time of initial project development, selection of plant location and
conducting environmental and social impact assessment. Several plants across the world
have closed down when the above aspects are not addressed appropriately at the right
stage of project evolution. Some of the major risks are highlighted as follows;
• Opposition by the community regarding sanitary landfill site
• Municipal solid waste to be treated and thereby receive value addition needs to
be considered not just as waste but as ‘feedstock’ from the point of view of the
plant operator. Hence, shortfall in the quantity of waste can lead to ineffective
operation of the plant.
• The tariff rate might not be accepted by the community
• Lack of availability of land for processing plant and sanitary landfill site
The risk should be shared by the municipality and provincial government. The detailed
framework should be decided while developing project development agreement.
Risk Matrix:
Score
S
e
v
e
ri
t
y
Catastrophic 10 10A 10B 10C 10D 10E
9 9A 9B 9C 9D 9E
Hazardous 8 8A 8B 8C 8D 8E
7 7A 7B 7C 7D 7E
Major 6 6A 6B 6C 6D 6E
5 5A 5B 5C 5D 5E
Minor 4 4A 4B 4C 4D 4E
3 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E
Negligible 2 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E
1 1A 1B 1C 1D 1E
Extremely
Impossibl
e
Impossible Remote Occasio
nal
Frequen
t
A B C D E
Likelihood
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ACCEPTABLE LOW
REVIEW MEDIUM
NEED OF
CRITICAL
ANALYSIS
HIGH
The above risk matrix has been designed and colour coded on the basis of severity and
likelihood of the risk factor. Severity scale has been given from Negligible to catastrophic
from 1 to 10 respectively whereas the likelihood has been graded from extremely
impossible to Frequent with the alphabet being assigned from A to E respectively. For
example if a risk factor has the score of 4B then it is interpreted as minor on a severity
scale and impossible in terms of likelihood. This will fall under the green colour which
implies the risk is at low acceptable level whereas if the risk factor has the score of 10E
then that implies the severity of catastrophic level with the likelihood of happening as
frequent and it will fall under Red Zone. This implies that this risk factor need careful and
critical analysis prior to the project implementation.
S.N. Possible Risks
Description
Risk
Scor
e
Risk bearing
in % Possible
Mitigation Remarks
Gov
.
Devel
oper
1 MoU signing
Understandi
ng between
two parties
5C 50% 50%
• Regular
engagement
with all the
stakeholders
• Transparent
and
Agreeable
document
2 Land
Acquisition
Land
Availability 5C
100
% 0%
• There are land
available but
not committed
for the project
yet
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• Early
communicatio
n with the
municipalities
to find the
appropriate
land and get
an early
commitment
3
Local
Opposition
(Land fill Site)
Local
Community
Opposition
6D 90% 10%
• Finding land
away from the
local
settlement
• Following
international
practices for
the landfill
design
• Developing
effective
compensation
package for
the affected
people
4 Financial
Closure
Developer
should have
all the
necessary
financial
documents
5C 0% 100%
• Regular
communicatio
n with the
developer
• Making sure all
the financial
documentatio
n are correct
and verifiable
5
Infrastructure
development
(Time)
Time of
construction 6C 0% 100%
• Sticking to the
original plan
• Contingency
plan should be
incorporate in
the overall
planning
6
Recruitment
and
management
of work force
Staffs and
labor issues 5D 0% 100%
• Structured
Training and
development
plan should be
in place
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• Provide
incentive to
the existing
workforce for
retaining them
7 Collection and
Segregation
Source
Segregation 1C 0% 100%
• Ensure
education
and outreach
program in
place for
awareness
raising prior to
the beginning
of the project
8 Tariff Rate Finalizing the
rate 5D 50% 50%
• Develop a
scientific
method for
calculating
the tariff rate
• Regular
communicatio
n with all the
relevant
stakeholders
Table 5: Risk Factor Analysis
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7. PROJECT STRUCTURE AND IMPLEMENTATION MODEL
PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIPS (PPP)
Public-Private Partnership is an agreement between public and private entities for a fixed
period, private entities shall make arrangements to own the potential risks that may arise
partially or fully from all or some portion of financing, building, operation, repair and
maintenance of projects under the PPP model. Such entity provides public services
directly or indirectly through construction and/or operation and/or repair and
maintenance and/or use of public or private assets and shall be entitled to earn
reasonable profit. Public entities shall create environment that facilitates the private
sector’s investments through policies, legal, institutional and economic arrangements22.
It will be appropriate to design a project based on PPP model where Public and Private
Entities are involved. When resources allocated from national treasury fall short, assets of
public utility and operation of public services less costly as well as resources, skills and
technology available with the private sector must be attracted towards development
works of the nation based on the concept of PPP.
In the present context of Janakpur Sub-metropolitan and its adjoining municipalities, PPP
model is suitable. The preliminary study conducted in these municipalities gave the
information that the land will be provided by local government for the development of
integrated solid waste management projects.
22 World Bank, 2072, Public-Private Partnership Policy
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8. FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
8.1. Findings
Some of the major findings of the study are listed as follow:
1. The project incorporates Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan City, Chhireshwarnath
Municipality, Mithila Municipality, Bardibas Municipality, & Dhanusadham
Municipality in province 2 were incorporated in the package based on their daily
waste generation and other relevant criteria.
2. Based on the study, the most suitable and relevant waste to energy plant that has
been taken into consideration is Anaerobic digestion, where the methane gas will
be compressed, bottled and can be sold to local market. Also 2% of the organic
input can be generated as a fertilizer and 16.66% of organic input can be
generated as bio-pesticide.
3. Public-Private Partnership business model was found to be suitable for the project.
4. The project can be completed with the total cost of 6,406,706 USD (including
interest component during construction period) and Equity IRR of 16.41%
5. Payback period has been calculated as 6.51 years.
8.2. Recommendations
Based on the findings, the project sounds to be technically as well as financially viable
for developer to invest. Whereas, study of environmental and social aspect as well as in-
depth study of all other components needs to be further considered in the next stage.
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Disclaimer:
This project profile is based on preliminary study to facilitate prospective developers to
assess possible scope. It is, however, advisable to get a detailed feasibility study
prepared before taking a final investment decision.
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9. ANNEX
9.1. Next Steps and Useful Contacts
As part of further development of project, the potential developer who might be
interested to develop this project will be identified. Afterwards, communication channel
will be formulated for the effective execution of this project. The useful contacts of all
the municipalities incorporated in this are highlighted as follows;
Table 6: Useful Contact information
S.N District Municipality Chief Administrative
officer
Mayor
1 Dhanusa Janakpur Sub-
Metropolitan City
Umesh Dhungana Lal Kishor Shah
2 Dhanusa Chhireshwarnath Yogendra Pajiyar 3 Dhanusa Mithila Basudev Regmi Hari Narayan
Mahato 4 Mahottari Bardibas Agni Prasad Adhikari Bidur Kumar Karki
5 Dhanusa Dhanusadham Baleshwor
Mandal
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9.2. Map of Janakpur Sub-Metropolitan City
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9.3. Map of Chhireshwarnath Municipality
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9.4. Map of Mithila Municipality
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9.5. Map of Bardibas Municipality
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9.6. Map of Dhanusadham Municipality
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9.7. Annex- Financial Report
Projected Profit and Loss statement for initial 10 years of operation
Amount In
Dollars
Particulars 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years 8 years 9 years 10 years 11 years 12 years 13 years
Household Collection
fees
194,336
208,988
218,159
227,691
237,600
247,898
258,927
270,394
282,316 294,710
Output- Gas
424,292
471,183
499,878
530,321
562,617
596,881
633,231
671,794
712,707 756,110
Output - organic
fertilizer
32,728
35,763
37,941
40,251
42,702
45,303
48,062
50,989
54,094 57,388
Output-
Reusable/Recycles
359,057
398,738
423,022
448,784
476,115
505,110
535,871
568,506
603,128 639,858
Output - Pesticide
143,070
158,881
168,557
178,822
189,713
201,266
213,523
226,527
240,322 254,958
Total Income
1,153,482
1,273,553
1,347,556
1,425,869
1,508,747
1,596,458
1,689,614
1,788,210
1,892,567 2,003,025
Depreciation
900,142
770,246
659,674
565,536
485,374
404,286
346,122
296,558
254,312 218,290
O & M Expenses
466,408
485,065
504,467
524,646
545,632
567,457
590,155
613,761
638,312 663,844
Operating Profit
(213,068)
18,243
183,415
335,687
477,741
624,715
753,337
877,890
999,944 1,120,891
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
- -
Interest Expenses
530,276
507,722
482,337
453,766
421,610
385,417
344,682
298,834
247,232 189,153
Profit
(743,344)
(489,479)
(298,922)
(118,079)
56,131
239,298
408,655
579,056
752,711 931,738
Provision for Staff
Bonus
-
-
-
-
5,103
21,754
37,150
52,641
68,428 84,703
Inome Tax
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
50,237 211,759
Net profit
(743,344)
(489,479)
(298,922)
(118,079)
51,028
217,544
371,504
526,415
634,046 635,276
55
Pre-feasibility Study of
INTEGRATED SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PROJECT
Projected Balance Sheet for Initial 10 years of Operation
Amount In Dollars
Particulars 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years 8 years 9 years
10
years
11
years
12
years
13
years
Shareholders Fund
Share Capital
1,922,012 1,922,012 1,922,012 1,922,012 1,922,012 1,922,012
1,922,012
1,922,012
1,922,012
1,922,012
Reserve and Surplus (743,344) (1,232,823) (1,531,746) (1,649,825) (1,598,796) (1,381,253)
(1,009,748
)
(483,334)
150,712
785,988
Loan Fund - - - - - - -
-
-
-
Term Loan
4,304,993 4,102,738 3,875,098 3,618,888 3,330,521 3,005,961
2,640,666
2,229,523
1,766,778
1,245,955
Short Term Loan - - - - - - -
-
-
-
Total
5,483,661 4,791,927 4,265,365 3,891,075 3,653,736 3,546,720
3,552,929
3,668,201
3,839,502
3,953,954
Particulars
Fixed Assets (Net)
5,506,564 4,736,318 4,076,643 3,511,107 3,025,732 2,621,446
2,275,325
1,978,766
1,724,455
1,506,165
Investment - - - - - - -
-
-
-
Current Assets
(3,469) 75,820 209,741 401,829 650,739 948,918
1,302,195
1,715,008
2,141,644
2,475,450
Sundry Debtors 104,862 115,778 122,505 129,624 137,159 145,133
153,601
162,565
172,052
182,093
Advances - - - - - - -
-
-
-
Cash & Bank Balance
(108,331) (39,957) 87,236 272,204 513,580 803,785
1,148,593
1,552,444
1,969,592
2,293,357
Less: Current Liabilities 19,434 20,211 21,019 21,860 22,735 23,644
24,590
25,573
26,596
27,660
Net Current Assets
(22,903) 55,609 188,722 379,968 628,004 925,274
1,277,605
1,689,435
2,115,047
2,447,790
Total
5,496,157 4,963,779 4,705,866 4,716,592 4,977,948 5,468,199
6,181,908
7,123,791
8,149,386
8,932,514
The cash balance is seen as negative in initial years, the amount has to be injected by the equity
holders
56
Pre-feasibility Study of
INTEGRATED SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PROJECT
Cash Flow Statement For Initial 10 years of Operation
Amount In
Dollars
Particulars 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years
8
years
9
years
10
years
11
years
12
years 13 years
Cash flow from operating
activity -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Net profit before interest and
tax
(743,344)
(489,479)
(298,922)
(118,079)
51,028
217,544
371,504
526,415
684,283 847,034
Add: Depreciation
900,142
770,246
659,674
565,536
485,374
404,286
346,122
296,558
254,312 218,290
Add: interest
530,276
507,722
482,337
453,766
421,610
385,417
344,682
298,834
247,232 189,153
Operating cash flow before
working capital change
687,074
788,489
843,089
901,224
958,012
1,007,247
1,062,308
1,121,807
1,185,827 1,254,478
Increase/Decrease in Current
Assets
(104,862)
(10,916)
(6,728)
(7,119)
(7,534)
(7,974)
(8,469)
(8,963)
(9,487) (10,042)
Increase/Decrease in Current
Liabilities
19,434
777
808
841
874
909
946
984
(24,096) (79,697)
Payment of Tax -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
(25,119) (130,998)
Net Cash flow from operating
activity
601,646
778,351
837,170
894,945
951,352
1,000,182
1,054,785
1,113,827
1,127,125 1,033,741
-
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Cash flow from Investing
Activity -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Purchase of Fixed Assets
(6,406,706)
-
-
(0)
-
(0)
0
-
- (0)
Increase/Decrease in
Investment -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Less: Payment of Dividend -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Net Cash flow from Investing
Activity
(6,406,706)
-
-
(0)
-
(0)
0
-
- (0)
-
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Cash flow from Financing
Activity -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Increase in Share Capital
1,922,012
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
57
Pre-feasibility Study of
INTEGRATED SOLID WASTE MANAGEMENT PROJECT
Increase in Borrowing Fund
(Long Term Loan)
4,484,694
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Increase in short Term Loan -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Less: Repayment of Long Term
Loan
(179,701)
(202,255)
(227,640)
(256,211)
(288,367)
(324,560)
(365,295)
(411,143)
(462,745) (520,823)
Less: Payment of interest on
Short Term Loan -
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Less: Payment of Interest on
Long Term Loan
(530,276)
(507,722)
(482,337)
(453,766)
(421,610)
(385,417)
(344,682)
(298,834)
(247,232) (189,153)
Net Cash flow from Financing
Activity
5,696,729
(709,977)
(709,977)
(709,977)
(709,977)
(709,977)
(709,977)
(709,977)
(709,977) (709,977)
-
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Increase/Decrease in Cash
and Cash Equivalent
(108,331)
68,374
127,193
184,968
241,376
290,205
344,808
403,850
417,148 323,764
-
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Cash & Bank Balance at the
beginning of the period -
(108,331)
(39,957)
87,236
272,204
513,580
803,785
1,148,593
1,552,444 1,969,592
-
-
-
-
-
- -
-
- -
Balance at the end of period
(108,331)
(39,957)
87,236
272,204
513,580
803,785
1,148,593
1,552,444
1,969,592 2,293,357
The Equity shareholders needs to inject additional cash for serving Working capital in initial years as assumed in the report Earlier