ppp nc u.s. senate poll for january 9-12, 2014

8/13/2019 PPP NC U.S. Senate Poll for January 9-12, 2014

1/25

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2/25

January 9-12, 2014Survey of 1,384 North Carolina votersJanuary 9-12, 2014Survey of 1,384 North Carolina voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604

[email protected] / 888 621-6988



North Carolina Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator KayHagans job performance?

39% Approve .......................................................... 49%Disapprove ...................................................... 13%Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Greg Brannon?

9%Favorable ........................................................ 18%Unfavorable .................................................... 72%Not sure ..........................................................

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Bill Flynn?


Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Heather Grant?


Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mark Harris?


Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Thom Tillis?


Q7 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 wereDemocrat Kay Hagan and Republican GregBrannon, who would you vote for?

41%Kay Hagan ...................................................... 43%Greg Brannon ................................................. 16%Not sure ..........................................................

Q8 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 wereDemocrat Kay Hagan and Republican BillFlynn, who would you vote for?

42%Kay Hagan ...................................................... 44%Bill Flynn ......................................................... 15%Not sure ..........................................................

Q9 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 wereDemocrat Kay Hagan and Republican HeatherGrant, who would you vote for?

41%Kay Hagan ...................................................... 42%Heather Grant ................................................. 17%Not sure ..........................................................

Q10 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 wereDemocrat Kay Hagan and Republican MarkHarris, who would you vote for?

41%Kay Hagan ...................................................... 43%Mark Harris ..................................................... 16%Not sure ..........................................................

Q11 If the candidates for Senate in 2014 wereDemocrat Kay Hagan and Republican ThomTillis, who would you vote for?

42%Kay Hagan ...................................................... 43%Thom Tillis ...................................................... 15%Not sure ..........................................................


3/25

January 9-12, 2014Survey of 1,384 North Carolina votersJanuary 9-12, 2014Survey of 1,384 North Carolina voters





Q12 Do you approve or disapprove of the Affordable

Care Act? 38% Approve .......................................................... 48%Disapprove ...................................................... 13%Not sure ..........................................................

Q13 Do you think the implementation of the Affordable Care Act so far has been verysuccessful, somewhat successful, somewhatunsuccessful, very unsuccessful, or are younot sure?

9%Very successful ............................................... 23%Somewhat successful ..................................... 17%Somewhat unsuccessful ................................. 44%Very unsuccessful ........................................... 7%Not sure ..........................................................

Q14 In the last presidential election, did you vote forBarack Obama or Mitt Romney?

47%Barack Obama ................................................ 47%Mitt Romney .................................................... 6%Someone else/Don't remember ......................

Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

10%Very liberal ...................................................... 16%Somewhat liberal ............................................ 32%Moderate ......................................................... 25%Somewhat conservative .................................. 17%Very conservative ...........................................

Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

53%Woman ........................................................... 47%Man .................................................................

Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.

43%Democrat ........................................................ 33%Republican ...................................................... 23%Independent/Other ..........................................

Q18 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,press 2. If other, press 3.

73%White .............................................................. 21% African-American ............................................ 6%Other ...............................................................

Q19 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are 65or older, press 4.

12%18 to 29 ........................................................... 26%30 to 45 ........................................................... 41%46 to 65 ........................................................... 21%Older than 65 ..................................................

Q20 Area Code

11%252 .................................................................. 18%336 ..................................................................

14%704 .................................................................. 12%828 .................................................................. 11%910 .................................................................. 15%919 .................................................................. 20%Internet ...........................................................

Q21 Mode

80%Phone ............................................................. 20%Internet ...........................................................


4/25

January 9-12, 2014survey of 1,384 North Carolina votersJanuary 9-12, 2014survey of 1,384 North Carolina voters





Base

2012 Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney

Som eone els e/Don'tr emember

Hagan Appr oval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

39% 72% 7% 25%

49% 12% 85% 56%

13% 16% 8% 19%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObam a

MittRomney

Someone els e/Don'tr emember

Brannon Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 8% 10% 12%

18% 18% 18% 21%

72% 74% 71% 67%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Flynn Favor ability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

7% 7% 8% 2%

18% 19% 17% 20%

75% 75% 75% 79%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObam a

MittRomney


Grant Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

9% 12% 6% 4%

16% 13% 18% 17%

76% 75% 76% 78%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 11% 9% 4%

16% 15% 16% 22%

75% 75% 75% 74%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObam a

MittRomney


Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sure

15% 10% 21% 6%

28% 36% 21% 26%

57% 55% 57% 68%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObama

MittRomney


Hagan/Brannon

Kay HaganGreg Brannon

Not s ure

41% 77% 7% 24%43% 9% 79% 39%

16% 15% 14% 37%

Base

2012 Vote

BarackObam a

MittRomney


Hagan/Flynn

Kay HaganBill Flynn

Not sure

42% 80% 6% 21%44% 8% 81% 31%

15% 12% 13% 48%


5/25


6/25






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal

Somewhatl iberal Moderate

Somewhatconservative

Veryconservative

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

9% 9% 9% 11% 6% 7%

16% 19% 15% 14% 16% 16%

76% 72% 76% 74% 77% 77%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9%

16% 21% 18% 13% 15% 17%

75% 70% 72% 78% 75% 73%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Tillis FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

15% 7% 9% 12% 19% 24%

28% 44% 32% 30% 24% 21%

57% 49% 59% 59% 57% 56%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Hagan/BrannonKay Hagan

Greg Brannon

Not sur e

41% 70% 68% 52% 22% 6%

43% 18% 17% 28% 61% 85%

16% 12% 15% 20% 17% 9%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not sur e

42% 75% 68% 53% 23% 5%

44% 14% 15% 29% 64% 85%

15% 11% 17% 18% 14% 9%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Hagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not sur e

41% 71% 66% 53% 23% 5%

42% 17% 14% 26% 59% 84%

17% 12% 20% 20% 18% 11%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Hagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not sur e

41% 71% 67% 53% 22% 5%

43% 19% 13% 28% 59% 87%

16% 10% 19% 19% 18% 8%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Hagan/Tillis

Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not sur e

42% 73% 68% 53% 23% 4%

43% 14% 14% 29% 62% 87%

15% 13% 18% 17% 15% 9%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

ACA A pp ro val

App ro ve

Disapprove

Not sur e

38% 67% 68% 48% 19% 6%

48% 23% 17% 35% 71% 85%

13% 11% 16% 18% 10% 9%


7/25






Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

ACA Rol lo ut Succe s s

Very successful

Somewhatsuccessful

Somewhatunsuccessful

Very unsuccessful

Not sur e

9% 28% 5% 11% 7% 2%

23% 36% 44% 28% 10% 3%

17% 15% 23% 22% 13% 9%

44% 17% 16% 32% 66% 79%

7% 4% 13% 7% 4% 7%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Hagan Approval

Appr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

39% 36% 42%

49% 44% 55%

13% 21% 3%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 9% 1 0%

18% 13% 24%

72% 78% 67%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

7% 6% 8%

18% 14% 22%

75% 80% 70%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 7% 1 1%

16% 12% 20%

76% 81% 69%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 8% 1 1%

16% 12% 20%

75% 79% 69%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

15% 11% 19%

28% 23% 35%

57% 66% 47%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Hagan/Brannon

Kay Hagan

Greg Brannon

Not s ure

41% 41% 41%

43% 40% 47%

16% 19% 12%


8/25






Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not s ure

42% 42% 42%

44% 39% 49%

15% 19% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Hagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not s ure

41% 40% 43%

42% 38% 45%

17% 22% 12%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Hagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not s ure

41% 41% 41%

43% 39% 47%

16% 20% 12%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Hagan/Tillis

Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not s ure

42% 41% 43%

43% 39% 48%

15% 20% 9%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man ACA A pp roval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

38% 40% 36%

48% 44% 53%

13% 16% 10%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man ACA Rol lout Succes s

Very successful

Somewhatsuccessful


Very unsuccessful

Not s ure

9% 10% 8%

23% 24% 21%

17% 17% 17%

44% 40% 50%

7% 8% 5%


9/25






Base

Party

Democrat Republican Independent/Other

Hagan Appr oval

Ap pr ov e

Disapprove

Not s ure

39% 66% 9% 30%

49% 20% 82% 56%

13% 14% 9% 14%

Base

Party



Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

9% 9% 10% 9%

18% 17% 19% 19%

72% 74% 71% 72%

Base

Party


Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

7% 6% 8% 7%

18% 19% 17% 17%

75% 74% 75% 76%

Base

Party


Grant Favor ability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

9% 11% 7% 8%

16% 13% 18% 18%

76% 76% 76% 74%

Base

Party


Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 11% 10% 7%

16% 14% 17% 18%

75% 76% 74% 75%

Base

Party


Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

15% 11% 20% 15%

28% 32% 22% 32%

57% 57% 58% 53%

Base

Party


Hagan/Brannon

Kay Hagan

Greg Brannon

Not s ure

41% 70% 10% 31%

43% 16% 78% 44%

16% 14% 12% 25%

Base

Party


Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not sur e

42% 74% 8% 31%

44% 14% 82% 43%

15% 12% 10% 26%


10/25






Base

Party


Hagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not s ure

41% 72% 8% 31%

42% 14% 77% 42%

17% 14% 14% 27%

Base

Party


Hagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not sur e

41% 73% 7% 30%

43% 15% 80% 42%

16% 12% 13% 28%

Base

Party


Hagan/Tillis

Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not s ure

42% 74% 8% 31%

43% 14% 80% 45%

15% 13% 11% 24%

Base

Party


ACA A pp r ov al

Ap pr ov e

Disapprove

Not sur e

38% 67% 7% 31%

48% 18% 81% 57%

13% 15% 13% 12%

Base

Party


ACA Roll ou t Suc ce s s

Very successful

Somewhatsuccessfu l


Very unsuccessful

Not s ure

9% 16% 2% 7%

23% 41% 4% 16%

17% 21% 13% 14%

44% 15% 75% 54%

7% 7% 5% 9%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

Hagan Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

39% 27% 71% 61%

49% 61% 13% 28%

13% 12% 16% 11%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Other


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 8% 12% 12%

18% 19% 14% 17%

72% 72% 74% 71%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

7% 7% 7% 12%

18% 18% 17% 19%

75% 75% 75% 70%


11/25






Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 7% 16% 9%

16% 17% 12% 14%

76% 76% 73% 77%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 8% 14% 9%

16% 17% 10% 17%

75% 75% 75% 74%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

15% 16% 11% 11%

28% 30% 23% 31%

57% 54% 66% 57%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

Hagan/Brannon

Kay Hagan

Gre g Brannon

Not s ure

41% 30% 76% 56%

43% 54% 10% 25%

16% 16% 14% 19%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not s ure

42% 30% 80% 54%

44% 56% 7% 27%

15% 15% 13% 19%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

Hagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not s ure

41% 30% 78% 56%

42% 53% 9% 22%

17% 18% 13% 22%


12/25






Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

Hagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not s ure

41% 29% 78% 58%

43% 54% 9% 24%

16% 17% 13% 18%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

Hagan/Tillis

Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not s ure

42% 30% 78% 54%

43% 55% 8% 25%

15% 15% 14% 21%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Other

ACA A pp roval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

38% 28% 73% 46%

48% 60% 9% 38%

13% 12% 18% 16%

Base

Race

White Af r ican -

Am er ican Othe r

ACA Roll ou t Succe ss

Very success ful

Somewhatsuccessful


Very unsuccessful

Not s ure

9% 6% 19% 17%

23% 18% 39% 21%

17% 15% 22% 17%

44% 55% 8% 36%

7% 5% 12% 8%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Hagan Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

39% 47% 33% 41% 37%

49% 31% 48% 51% 57%

13% 22% 20% 8% 7%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 12% 10% 9% 9%

18% 19% 12% 21% 19%

72% 69% 78% 70% 72%


13/25






Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

7% 7% 8% 6% 8%

18% 16% 15% 20% 18%

75% 77% 77% 74% 74%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 11% 6% 10% 8%

16% 22% 13% 15% 17%

76% 67% 81% 75% 75%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 10% 11% 8% 9%

16% 16% 13% 17% 17%

75% 74% 76% 75% 74%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

15% 7% 13% 15% 23%

28% 24% 22% 34% 27%

57% 69% 65% 51% 51%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Hagan/Brannon

Kay Hagan

Gre g Brannon

Not s ure

41% 53% 37% 43% 35%

43% 32% 43% 44% 49%

16% 15% 20% 13% 16%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not s ure

42% 58% 36% 43% 37%

44% 26% 47% 44% 49%

15% 16% 18% 13% 14%


14/25






Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Hagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not s ure

41% 56% 37% 42% 37%

42% 25% 43% 43% 46%

17% 18% 21% 15% 17%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Hagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not s ure

41% 55% 37% 42% 37%

43% 28% 43% 43% 49%

16% 16% 20% 15% 14%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Hagan/Tillis

Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not s ure

42% 55% 36% 44% 38%

43% 30% 45% 43% 49%

15% 15% 19% 13% 13%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

ACA A pp roval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

38% 49% 39% 39% 30%

48% 29% 52% 51% 50%

13% 21% 9% 10% 20%

Base

Ag e

18 to29

30 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

ACA Rol lo ut Succes s

Very success ful

Somewhatsuccessful


Very unsuccessful

Not s ure

9% 12% 7% 9% 10%

23% 41% 15% 23% 21%

17% 10% 18% 18% 17%

44% 22% 52% 46% 44%

7% 15% 8% 4% 8%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Hagan Appr oval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not su re

39% 40% 40% 34% 35% 35% 49% 36%

49% 48% 52% 59% 54% 54% 44% 37%

13% 12% 7% 7% 11% 1 1% 7% 28%


15/25






Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Brannon Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

9% 11% 9% 7% 7% 12% 14% 8%

18% 21% 19% 19% 22% 20% 16% 13%

72% 68% 72% 74% 71% 68% 70% 79%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not su re

7% 4% 14% 4% 2% 8% 8% 7%

18% 24% 20% 17% 19% 16% 16% 16%

75% 72% 66% 79% 79% 76% 77% 77%

Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Grant Favorabilit yFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

9% 10% 5% 9% 8% 12% 8% 10%

16% 19% 17% 12% 21% 18% 17% 11%

76% 71% 78% 79% 71% 70% 75% 79%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Harris Favorabilit yFavorable

Unfavorable

Not su re

9% 11% 8% 1 0% 7% 1 3% 11% 8%

16% 18% 17% 15% 20% 18% 16% 10%

75% 71% 74% 75% 73% 68% 73% 82%

Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Tillis Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

15% 17% 16% 21% 12% 18% 19% 5%

28% 27% 27% 32% 31% 27% 37% 22%

57% 56% 57% 47% 57% 54% 44% 73%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Hagan/Brannon

Kay Hagan

Greg Brannon

Not su re

41% 41% 39% 36% 38% 35% 53% 43%

43% 41% 46% 53% 48% 47% 38% 33%

16% 17% 15% 11% 13% 17% 9% 24%

Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not sur e

42% 44% 42% 36% 38% 38% 52% 42%

44% 44% 47% 54% 48% 47% 37% 34%

15% 13% 11% 11% 14% 15% 11% 25%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Hagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not su re

41% 44% 40% 34% 38% 36% 52% 43%

42% 41% 42% 53% 48% 49% 36% 30%

17% 16% 18% 13% 14% 15% 12% 27%


16/25






Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Hagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not sur e

41% 44% 39% 33% 38% 38% 51% 42%

43% 42% 47% 56% 50% 48% 34% 29%

16% 14% 14% 11% 12% 14% 14% 29%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Hagan/Tillis

Kay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not su re

42% 43% 41% 33% 40% 39% 53% 43%

43% 43% 47% 56% 47% 47% 37% 32%

15% 14% 12% 11% 13% 14% 11% 26%

Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

ACA A pp ro val Ap pr ov e

Disapprove

Not sur e

38% 39% 34% 35% 35% 36% 49% 39%

48% 45% 51% 53% 56% 47% 43% 44%

13% 16% 15% 12% 9% 17% 7% 16%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

ACA Rol lou t Suc ces sVery successful

Somewhatsuccessful


Very unsuccessful

Not su re

9% 17% 9% 8% 10% 15% 12% -

23% 21% 21% 22% 17% 24% 27% 25%

17% 13% 19% 13% 19% 10% 17% 22%

44% 42% 45% 53% 48% 42% 42% 41%

7% 7% 6% 4% 6% 9% 2% 12%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Hagan Approval

Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

39% 39% 36%

49% 52% 37%

13% 9% 28%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 10% 8%

18% 19% 13%

72% 71% 79%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

7% 7% 7%

18% 19% 16%

75% 74% 77%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 8% 10%

16% 17% 11%

76% 75% 79%


17/25






Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

9% 10% 8%

16% 17% 10%

75% 73% 82%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

15% 17% 5%

28% 30% 22%

57% 53% 73%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Hagan/Brannon

Kay Hagan

Greg Brannon

Not s ure

41% 41% 43%

43% 46% 33%

16% 14% 24%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet

Hagan/Flynn

Kay Hagan

Bill Flynn

Not s ure

42% 42% 42%

44% 46% 34%

15% 12% 25%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne tHagan/Grant

Kay Hagan

Heather Grant

Not s ure

41% 41% 43%

42% 45% 30%

17% 15% 27%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternetHagan/Harris

Kay Hagan

Mark Harris

Not s ure

41% 41% 42%

43% 46% 29%

16% 13% 29%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Hagan/TillisKay Hagan

Thom Tillis

Not s ure

42% 42% 43%

43% 46% 32%

15% 12% 26%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet

ACA A pp roval Ap pr ove

Disapprove

Not s ure

38% 38% 39%

48% 49% 44%

13% 13% 16%


18/25






Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

ACA Rol lout Succes s

Very successful

Somewhatsuccessful


Very unsuccessful

Not s ure

9% 11% -

23% 22% 25%

17% 16% 22%

44% 45% 41%

7% 5% 12%


19/25

January 9-12, 2014Survey of 575 Republican primary votersJanuary 9-12, 2014Survey of 575 Republican primary voters





North Carolina Survey Results

Q1 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Greg Brannon?


Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Bill Flynn?


Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Heather Grant?


Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mark Harris?


Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Thom Tillis?


Q6 Given the choices of Greg Brannon, Bill Flynn,Heather Grant, Mark Harris, and Thom Tillis,who would you most like to see as theRepublican candidate for Senate this fall?

11%Greg Brannon ................................................. 7%Bill Flynn ......................................................... 11%Heather Grant ................................................. 8%Mark Harris ..................................................... 19%Thom Tillis ...................................................... 44%Someone else/Not sure ..................................

Q7 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?

2%Very liberal ...................................................... 4%Somewhat liberal ............................................ 16%Moderate ......................................................... 40%Somewhat conservative .................................. 38%Very conservative ...........................................

Q8 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

48%Woman ........................................................... 52%Man .................................................................

Q9 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to65, press 2. If you are 65 or older, press 3.

32%18 to 45 ........................................................... 37%46 to 65 ........................................................... 31%Older than 65 ..................................................


20/25

January 9-12, 2014Survey of 575 Republican primary votersJanuary 9-12, 2014Survey of 575 Republican primary voters





Q10 Area Code

9%252 .................................................................. 20%336 .................................................................. 18%704 .................................................................. 14%828 .................................................................. 10%910 .................................................................. 14%919 .................................................................. 14%Internet ...........................................................

Q11 Mode

86%Phone ............................................................. 14%Internet ...........................................................


21/25

January 9-12, 2014survey of 575 Republican primary votersJanuary 9-12, 2014survey of 575 Republican primary voters





Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

12% - 14% 18% 7% 15%

18% 31% 16% 14% 20% 18%

70% 69% 70% 68% 73% 67%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

8% 5% 7% 12% 7% 8%

16% 40% 26% 12% 17% 16%

76% 55% 67% 76% 77% 76%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Grant FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

6% 7% 22% 12% 4% 5%

17% 36% 19% 17% 18% 16%

76% 57% 60% 71% 78% 80%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Harris FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

8% 7% 5% 11% 7% 7%

18% 38% 37% 14% 17% 16%

75% 55% 58% 75% 75% 76%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

22% 12% 18% 22% 21% 25%

23% 31% 31% 28% 23% 21%

54% 57% 52% 50% 56% 53%

Base

Ideology

Veryliberal



Veryconservative

2014 GOP SenPreference

Greg Brannon

Bill Flynn

Heather Grant

Mark Harris

Thom Tillis

Someone else/Nots u r e

11% - 11% 10% 9% 15%

7% 5% 13% 7% 7% 6%

11% 19% 17% 13% 11% 9%

8% 14% 10% 4% 11% 6%

19% 7% 22% 18% 16% 22%

44% 55% 26% 49% 45% 41%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Favorable

UnfavorableNot s ure

12% 11% 13%

18% 13% 23%70% 76% 64%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

UnfavorableNot s ure

8% 7% 9%

16% 14% 18%76% 79% 73%


22/25






Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

6% 6% 7%

17% 14% 21%

76% 80% 72%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

8% 9% 7%

18% 15% 20%

75% 77% 73%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

22% 17% 28%

23% 21% 26%

54% 62% 47%

Base

Gender

Wom an Man


Greg Brannon

Bill Flynn

Heather Grant

Mark Harris

Thom Tillis

Someone else/Notsure

11% 8% 1 4%

7% 8% 6%

11% 12% 10%

8% 7% 9%

19% 16% 21%

44% 48% 40%

Base

Ag e

18 to45

46 to65

Older than 65


Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

12% 16% 12% 8%

18% 15% 21% 18%

70% 69% 67% 74%

Base

Ag e

18 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

8% 14% 4% 8%

16% 11% 21% 16%

76% 75% 75% 76%


23/25






Base

Ag e

18 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Grant Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

6% 8% 5% 7%

17% 14% 19% 19%

76% 78% 76% 75%

Base

Ag e

18 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Harris Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

8% 12% 3% 9%

18% 13% 22% 16%

75% 75% 75% 74%

Base

Ag e

18 to45

46 to65

Older than 65

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

22% 16% 21% 31%

23% 22% 26% 22%

54% 62% 53% 47%

Base

Ag e

18 to45

46 to65

Older than 65


Greg Brannon

Bill Flynn

Heather Grant

Mark Harris

Thom Tillis


11% 13% 15% 6%

7% 6% 7% 8%

11% 14% 11% 8%

8% 8% 7% 9%

19% 10% 20% 26%

44% 49% 40% 44%

Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Brannon Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

12% 12% 7% 8% 4% 4% 18% 33%

18% 22% 18% 16% 28% 26% 12% 10%

70% 66% 75% 76% 69% 70% 69% 58%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Flynn Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not su re

8% 2% 18% 3% 2% - 6% 20%

16% 27% 15% 16% 19% 26% 13% 7%

76% 72% 67% 81% 80% 74% 81% 73%


24/25






Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Grant Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

6% 2% 2% 5% 7% 11% 4% 14%

17% 29% 17% 14% 20% 22% 16% 11%

76% 70% 81% 80% 73% 67% 80% 75%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet

Harris Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not su re

8% 2% 7% 7% 6% 4% 8% 16%

18% 24% 16% 15% 24% 25% 15% 10%

75% 75% 77% 78% 69% 71% 77% 73%

Base

Ar ea Co de

252 336 704 828 910 919 Inter net

Tillis Favorabilit yFavorable

Unfavorable

Not sur e

22% 16% 20% 35% 22% 16% 28% 13%

23% 28% 21% 26% 24% 29% 20% 20%

54% 56% 59% 39% 54% 56% 52% 67%

Base

Ar ea Cod e

252 336 704 828 910 919 Internet


Greg Brannon

Bill Flynn

Heather Grant

Mark Harris

Thom Tillis


11% 8% 7% 6% 10% 1 0% 16% 25%

7% 7% 18% 2% 7% 1% 7% 1%

11% 13% 9% 5% 12% 1 6% 8% 19%

8% 4% 9% 6% 9% 9% 6% 11%

19% 27% 14% 24% 22% 17% 22% 8%

44% 41% 43% 55% 40% 46% 42% 36%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne tBrannon Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

12% 9% 33%

18% 20% 10%

70% 72% 58%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternetFlynn Favorabilit y

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

8% 6% 20%

16% 18% 7%

76% 76% 73%

Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Grant FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

6% 5% 14%

17% 19% 11%

76% 76% 75%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet

Harris FavorabilityFavorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

8% 6% 16%

18% 19% 10%

75% 75% 73%


25/25




Base

Mode

Phone In terne t

Tillis Favorability

Favorable

Unfavorable

Not s ure

22% 24% 13%

23% 24% 20%

54% 52% 67%

Base

Mode

Phone In ternet


Gre g Brannon

Bill Flynn

Heather Grant

Mark Harris

Thom Tillis

Someone else/Notsu re

11% 9% 25%

7% 8% 1%

11% 10% 19%

8% 8% 11%

19% 20% 8%

44% 45% 36%

ppp nc u.s. senate poll for january 9-12, 2014

Documents